Deltas' dealings with uncertainty: Multiple practices and knowledges of delta governance

Lead Research Organisation: University College London
Department Name: Science, Tech, Eng and Public Policy

Abstract

This project innovatively combines science and technology studies (STS) with the anthropology of development to interrogate how uncertainties are understood and dealt with in environmental planning. We use deltas in South and Southeast Asia as our research object. These deltas are dynamic and densely populated environments typified by agricultural intensification, rapid urbanisation and vulnerability to the effects of climate change. Recognition of the existence of multiple (definitions of) deltas informs the main project hypothesis: much delta knowledge used in the South comes from specific epistemic communities, whose knowledge travels through and because of global development-cooperation networks. We trace these networks and travels through space and time to critically examine how delta knowledges are generated and gain authority, and their hybridisation with 'local' knowledge and governance practices. We do this for four deltas with diverging cultural and historical trajectories and contemporary dynamics: the Ganges-Brahmaputra and the Mekong serve as contrasting reference against which the Chao Phraya and the Irrawaddy will be studied in greater detail. Engaging with contemporary debates in STS, the analyses will be used for a re-consideration of expertise and the role of experts in dealing with uncertainties. This in turn will inform the formulation of guiding principles for productive and responsible ways of environmental knowing and planning at different scales.

Planned Impact

Expected academic output
The academic output of this project will consist of three main categories: articles published in academic journals (such as Geoforum; Science, Technology & Society; Science, Technology & Human Values; Regional Environmental Change), presentations at academic conferences and a jointly edited book. Articles will be produced about the works done in the various activities under WP1, WP2 and WP3, (co-)authored by project team members. The jointly edited book (WP4) will take shape predominantly in the last year of the project, integrating our findings, and through the organisation of a semi-open workshop with selected contributors.

Expected non-academic output & dissemination of knowledge
In addition to several research articles to be published in international journals, one of the results of WP3 will be the building of the capacity of local universities' research staff (notably Chang Mai University and the Asian Institute of Technology, Bangkok) in designing and implementing a participatory modelling approach for supporting consultation and decision-making about natural resources management.

The project will inspire new dialogues and initiatives for more democratic ways of producing and sharing knowledge and making decisions about how to deal with uncertainties in developing-country deltas. To ensure relevance of the research for 'real world' delta problems, the project will install an advisory group or 'sounding board', consisting of delta-planning professionals and academics involved in the four deltas and/or in deltas of 'origin'. The sounding board will, when possible, be present at the yearly progress workshops and will be asked to share their ideas and feedback about the project. In the end the sounding board will be involved in the formulation of the guiding principles. Various persons involved in currently ongoing delta planning processes have already shown a keen interest in being members of this sounding board. Through adjoining projects, the various project partners have already established close links to such processes.

A project website with blog functionality will be used for the regular communication of the on-going research activities by the various project team members.

Publications

10 25 50
 
Description The UK team's main contribution to the project "Deltas' Dealings with Uncertainty: Multiple Practices and Knowledges of Delta Governance" (DoUbT) was to situate global delta-knowledge networks in relation to other global knowledge networks, with a particular focus on the travelling of modelling knowledge. Delta knowledge that is used in Southeast Asia (Thailand and Myanmar in particular) comes from specific epistemic communities, whose knowledge travels through and because of global development-cooperation networks. We have traced these networks and travels through space and time and critically examined how delta knowledges are generated and gain authority, and their hybridisation with 'local' knowledge and governance practices.

Triggered by an increased awareness of the possible effects of climate change, many deltaic regions around the world are undertaking planning initiatives to address the problems they expect to face in the future. Dutch delta planning knowledge and expertise figure prominently in some of these initiatives. What makes Dutch delta knowledge special, and how does it become generic enough to travel to other places? The pertinence of these questions stems from the realization that deltas do not pre-exist human interventions, but are as much the effect of different planning cultures, trajectories and objectives, as they are their cause. Our analysis shows that while the Dutchness of delta planning expertise is a powerful branding, this expertise can only travel through a conscious and simultaneous process of un-Dutching: by packaging and scientizing Dutch Delta planning to turn it into a more generic Adaptive Delta Management approach.

But why does Dutch delta planning not land in the Chao Phraya delta? Three of the four South and Southeast Asian delta that we studied (Bangladesh, Myanmar, Vietnam and Thailand) have international commitments for so-called delta plans: large-scale national efforts to reshape deltas in light of future economic growth and climate change. Thailand's Chao Phraya delta has no such commitments. Why is this the case? We propose that Thailand's absence of a colonial past has retained a differently ordered institutional ca- pacity and that Delta plans embed assumptions that fit poorly with a Thai worldview.

The Earth system poses challenges for governance, from climate volatility's harms compounding in an interconnected world to unexpected local extremes, such as in flooding. Better anticipatory governance of such matters depends on a developed inferential capacity. But how a capacity to infer future consequences develops is not yet understood. In our project we have assessesed the temporal and spatial dimensions of how techniques and scientific knowledge shape institutions and policies. We have examined capacity development for hydrological and climatological policies in two vulnerable deltas in Myanmar and Thailand. We have shown how competition and political and institutional arrangements shape global networks of expertise diffusion and result in idiosyncratic local arrangements. Understanding how governing agents develop inferential capacity can inform on strategies for complex systems governance.
Exploitation Route The project as a whole involved a wide array of disciplines. The results can inspire new dialogues and initiatives for multi-, inter- and transdisciplinary work in environmental planing (bringing together at least science and technology studies and anthropology of development).

Furthermore, the results can be used to propose more democratic ways of producing and sharing knowledge and making decisions about how to deal with uncertainties in developing-country deltas.
Sectors Environment,Government, Democracy and Justice

 
Description ORA DoUbT Consortium 
Organisation IHE Delft Institute for Water Education
Country Netherlands 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The DoUbT project was funded as one project with three ORA partners (from UK, Netherlands and France) and one associated partner (Japan).
Collaborator Contribution The DoUbT project was funded as one project with three ORA partners (from UK, Netherlands and France) and one associated partner (Japan).
Impact See http://delta.hus.osaka-u.ac.jp for the overall project and Researchfish (DoUbT award) for the outputs and outcomes connected to the UK component.
Start Year 2016
 
Description ORA DoUbT Consortium 
Organisation Institute of Development Research (IRD)
Country France 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The DoUbT project was funded as one project with three ORA partners (from UK, Netherlands and France) and one associated partner (Japan).
Collaborator Contribution The DoUbT project was funded as one project with three ORA partners (from UK, Netherlands and France) and one associated partner (Japan).
Impact See http://delta.hus.osaka-u.ac.jp for the overall project and Researchfish (DoUbT award) for the outputs and outcomes connected to the UK component.
Start Year 2016
 
Description ORA DoUbT Consortium 
Organisation Osaka University
Department Department of Anthropology
Country Japan 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The DoUbT project was funded as one project with three ORA partners (from UK, Netherlands and France) and one associated partner (Japan).
Collaborator Contribution The DoUbT project was funded as one project with three ORA partners (from UK, Netherlands and France) and one associated partner (Japan).
Impact See http://delta.hus.osaka-u.ac.jp for the overall project and Researchfish (DoUbT award) for the outputs and outcomes connected to the UK component.
Start Year 2016
 
Description ORA DoUbT Consortium 
Organisation University of Amsterdam
Department Department of Human Geography, Planning and International Development
Country Netherlands 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The DoUbT project was funded as one project with three ORA partners (from UK, Netherlands and France) and one associated partner (Japan).
Collaborator Contribution The DoUbT project was funded as one project with three ORA partners (from UK, Netherlands and France) and one associated partner (Japan).
Impact See http://delta.hus.osaka-u.ac.jp for the overall project and Researchfish (DoUbT award) for the outputs and outcomes connected to the UK component.
Start Year 2016