Productive and Inclusive Net Zero (PRINZ) - Opportunities and barriers in the transition to sustainable and equitable growth

Lead Research Organisation: Imperial College London
Department Name: Imperial College Business School

Abstract

This project explores the link between productivity and two important government priorities: phasing out greenhouse gas emissions (net zero) and improving economic prospects at the regional level (levelling up). Bringing these objectives together emphasises that the UK's productivity challenge is as much about the quality of economic growth as it is about the amount of growth.
The project takes a strongly empirical approach. Using granular datasets and case study evidence, we seek to identify the productivity risks and opportunities that arise from net zero at the national, regional and sectoral level. These insights are then used to formulate pertinent policy interventions for clean, equitable productivity growth. To do this, we explore the main drivers of clean and equitable productivity growth:
- Innovation: Both productivity growth and the net zero transition depend on innovation. We examine how changes in country-level emissions and/or emission intensities are related to clean innovation for different technology categories.
- Jobs and skills: The coming decades will see far-reaching shifts in the demand for skills. We shed light on the quantity and quality of the new jobs that are being created and those that are at risk, and the extent of job re-allocation that may occur as part of the net zero transition.
- Finance: Net zero requires an overhaul of the nation's capital stock, creating an opportunity to rebalance regional patterns of growth. We explore to what extent credit constraints pose a potential barrier to regional decarbonisation and productivity growth.
The project adopts a broad, multi-disciplinary perspective, nested in the social sciences. It features statistical analysis, qualitative social science methods and mathematical modelling as well as insights from innovation, finance, education, labour market and climate change policy. The team is located in business schools, economics departments, geography departments, environmental research centres and innovation think tanks.
The emphasis is on impact-oriented research, which combines state-of-the-art analysis with continuous engagement with decision makers throughout the project. In doing so, the project can leverage the close links of all project partners within both national and local government.
The project brings together an experienced team of researchers with different disciplinary skills and backgrounds. The core team is supported by a wider group of often very senior researchers, whose insights are leveraged into the project as in kind contributions. They will be joined by a team of early career researchers, who will work across topics and partner organisations. We believe that this makes the project exceptional value for money.
To make the structure work, we have established a tight, but lean project management structure with a strong PI and clear responsibilities for module leads and Co-PIs. Importantly, part of the team has a long history of working together over many projects, which ensures cohesion and reduces delivery risks. At this project establishes a number of new connections between researchers and research institutions that have previously not collaborated. We expect that this is an opportunity to trigger new insights and mutual exchange of ideas that will be fruitful beyond the lifetime of this project. For some members of the research team it is also the first time to contribute their considerable expertise in other fields to the issue of climate change and the Net Zero transition. Given the pervasiveness of the climate change issue this is a very welcome aspect.

Publications

10 25 50
 
Description Invited Member of LIFE COASE Project at Florence School of Regulation, European University Institute (Sato)
Geographic Reach Europe 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
URL https://webgate.ec.europa.eu/life/publicWebsite/project/details/101074420
 
Description LSE Grantham response to BEIS/ UK ETS Authority Call for Evidence: "Developing the UK Emissions Trading Scheme (UK ETS)" (Sato)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/consultations/developing-the-uk-emissions-trading-scheme-uk-ets
 
Description Presentation to the Skidmore Review (M Sato, A Saussay)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
 
Description Reponse to ONS consultation "Defining and Measuring Green Jobs" (Sato)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
URL https://consultations.ons.gov.uk/external-affairs/defining-and-measuring-green-jobs/
 
Description Research Collaboration with University of Milan (Sato) (2022 - Still Active) 
Organisation University of Milan
Country Italy 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Misato Sato is collaborating on green skills project with Francesco Vona (professor, econoimcs department) since Feb 2019.
Collaborator Contribution Francesco Vona is a co-author. Misato and Francesco obtained access to Burning Glass and they are working together with Aurelien Saussay (previously Postdoctoral Research Officer on this project, based at GRI) on this project.
Impact Saussay, A., Sato, M., Vona, F., and O'Kane, L. (2022). Who's fit for the low-carbon transition? emerging skills and wage gaps in job ad data. Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment Working Paper. No. 381. Sato, M., Cass, L., Saussay, A., Vona, F., Mercer, L., and O'Kane, L. (2023). Skills and wage gaps in the low-carbon transition: comparing job vacancy data from the US and UK. Policy report, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
Start Year 2019
 
Description "Britain needs to decide what it wants to be good at" - Anna VALERO 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Britain needs to decide what it wants to be good at (Valero, 8 March 2023, Financial Times)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://www.ft.com/content/2240fde9-7951-4a2a-aa4d-2230d38c1eae
 
Description "Britain's Productivity Puzzle: Interview with David Aaronovitch" - Anna VALERO 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Britain's Productivity Puzzle. Interview with David Aaronovitch (Valero, September 2022, BBC Radio 4 The Briefing Room)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m001c6vg
 
Description "On soaring cost of living, energy crisis" - Anna VALERO 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact On soaring cost of living, energy crisis (Valero, September 2022, ABC Melbourne)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://www.abc.net.au/melbourne/programs/mornings/uk-cost-of-living-energy-crisis-anna-valero/10146...
 
Description "Stimulating innovation for net zero, article for SDG action" - Anna VALERO 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact 27 September (Valero) Stimulating innovation for net zero, article for SDG action
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://sdg-action.org/stimulating-innovation-for-net-zero%EF%BF%BC/
 
Description "University challenge: bridging the local and the global" - Anna VALERO 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact 17 May (Valero) University challenge: bridging the local and the global
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://oecdcogito.blog/2022/05/17/university-challenge-bridging-the-local-and-the-global/
 
Description "What should the next UK prime minister do?" - Anna VALERO 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact 2 September (Valero and Van Reenen) What should the next UK prime minister do?
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2022/09/02/sunak-truss-what-should-the-next-uk-prime-minister...
 
Description "What's behind Britain's growth crisis?" - Anna VALERO 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact What's behind Britain's growth crisis? (Valero, July 2022, The Economist podcast)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://www.economist.com/podcasts/2022/07/13/whats-behind-britains-growth-crisis?utm_medium=social-...
 
Description 2 meeting with BEIS/ Chris Skidmore (Sato) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact At the meetings Dr Sato and colleagues presented their work on UK green skills and jobs to inform the review. Other participants included Aurélien Saussay, Leanne Cass, Leo Mercer, Josh Burke. They are keen to use the results presented in their review.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Blog post in LSE business review 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Blog post on LSE business review.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2022/10/24/clean-technologies-for-growth-and-equity/
 
Description Conference talk at American Economics Association Meeting: The value of clean innovation 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Conference presentation within invited session at the American Economics Association meeting in New Orleans
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://www.aeaweb.org/conference/2023/program/1600?q=eNqrVipOLS7OzM8LqSxIVbKqhnGVrJQMlWp1lBKLi_OTgR...
 
Description Discussion on green jobs and skills with data provider Lightcast (Sato Saussay Cass) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact Discussions on continuing research collaboration on the green jobs and skills topic. This included discussions around new potential projects, dissemination and technical aspects.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description EAERE Pre-conference event "The Economics of a Just and Equitable Climate Transition Pre-Conference Workshop" (Sato) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Dr Sato gave an invited keynote talk entitled "Skill and Wage Gaps in the Low Carbon Transition".
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://www.sipotra.it/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/The-Economics-of-a-Just-and-Equitable-Climate-Tran...
 
Description ESCOE online seminar: Efficient Industrial Policy for Innovation - Standing on the Shoulders of Hidden Giants 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Online seminar. Mainly attended by professionals working in government departments and statistical agencies.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://www.escoe.ac.uk/events/efficient-industrial-policy-for-innovation-standing-on-the-shoulders-...
 
Description Grantham Workshop Nov 2022 (Sato) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Misato Sato gave a talk titled "Financial Market Response to Corporate Climate Change Litigation" at the Grantham Workshop.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://www.lse.ac.uk/granthaminstitute/events/frank-venmans-grantham-workshop/
 
Description International Production Chains and the Pollution Offshoring Hypothesis: an Empirical Investigation (A Saussay) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact 12th FAERE Thematic Workshop
Climate Change Economics and Management
Linking Adaptation and Mitigation
ENS Paris-Saclay
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://faere.fr/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Programme_12th_JT_FAERE_final.pdf
 
Description Invited speaker at Oxford University workshop on "Multilateral cooperation and carbon taxation: challenges and opportunities" (Sato) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Dr Sato gave a talk entitled "Carbon leakage: A review" at a high profile conference organised by Oxford University's Centre for Business Taxation to shed light on the opportunities and limits that could arise from the adoption of a global minimum carbon tax and/or carbon border adjustment measures.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://oxfordtax.sbs.ox.ac.uk/event/multilateral-cooperation-and-carbon-taxation
 
Description Invited speaker at WTO Webinar on Trade and Climate Change (Sato) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Dr Sato gave a talk on "CO2 emission transfers associated with trade" at the WTO Webinar series on Trade and Climate Change.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/reser_e/climate_change_6april22_e.htm
 
Description Knowledge exchange meeting with DESNZ on low carbon jobs (Sato Saussay Cass) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact At the meetings Dr Sato and colleagues discussed their work on US/ UK green skills and jobs, and answered technical questions for the policy makers around methodology. Other participants included Aurélien Saussay, Leanne Cass. The DESNZ team presented their works using job vacancy data on green skills.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Knowledge sharing with Nesta to improve identification of green skills and green jobs using online job vacancy data (Sato Saussay Cass) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact Knowledge sharing with research stakeholders, in order to mutually improve research on green skills and jobs. 8 March 2023
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Launch event of the Climate Actions and Policies Measurement Framework, COP 27 OECD Virtual Pavilion (Sato) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Third sector organisations
Results and Impact Dr Sato was an invited panellist at this event and asked to give an intervention during the event.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description NUS ESI (National University of Singapore, Energy Studies Institute) Workshop "International Experience of Carbon Pricing - Adoption and Implementation (Sato) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact Dr Sato was an invited speaker and gave a talk on "Allocation allocation allocation! The political economy of the development of the EU ETS"
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Presentation at workshop 'Knowledge, skills, behaviours: An international workshop on the systematic analysis of job vacancy data' (Sato) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Workshop "Knowledge, skills, behaviours: An international workshop on the systematic analysis of job vacancy data", University of Brighton.
Dr Misato Sato gave a talk on "Who's fit for the low-carbon transition? Emerging skills and wage gaps in job ad data" to an audience of around 25 academics and policy makers, other practitioners (ONS, Nesta, Lightcast).

Date 13 October 2022.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://blogs.brighton.ac.uk/knowledgeskillsbehavioursworkshop/
 
Description Presentation on UK low carbon jobs and skills preliminary results to the PRINZ monthly seminar (Cass Saussay) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Cass and Saussay presented preminary results from the UK low carbon jobs and skills analysis to the PRINZ monthly seminar. This sparked a discussion on methodology, and helped to improve our research design.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Presentation to MCS Certified (certification body for renewables installers), and discussions of potntial collaborataion (Sato Saussay Cass) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact We presented our work on green skills to MCS Certified, and proposed a data collaboration with them. Dec 2022.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Presentation to OECD on industrial energy prices and discussions of potential collaborataion (Sato) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Presentation and discussion with OECD researchers (Environmental Performance and Information Division Environment Directorate) to discuss potential collaboration on indicators of relative climate policy stringency and energy prices. 3 Feb 2023.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Public event - LSE Environment Week - Anna VALERO 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact September 2022 - Panellist at LSE Environment Week, "Whatever It Takes - Is There A Plan B For Climate Change?".
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://www.lse.ac.uk/Events/2022/09/202209201830/climate
 
Description Public event - Labour Conference, Green Alliance - Anna VALERO 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact September 2022 - Labour Conference, Green Alliance - Nesta event: Climate for growth: levelling up through innovation, with Chi Onwurah MP, Shadow Minister for Science, Research and Innovation.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://www.nesta.org.uk/event/climate-for-growth-levelling-up-through-green-innovation/
 
Description Skills and wage gaps in the UK low carbon transition: insights from job vacancy data (M Sato) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Dr Misato Sato gave a talk at BEIS/ DESNZ, in their internal seminar series on Carbon pricing. the talk title is "Skills and wage gaps in the UK low carbon transition: insights from job vacancy data".
Possible meetings to follow-up.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Stake holder meeting - Anna VALERO 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact July 2022 Meeting with DLUHC (Liam Sides) to discuss net zero and levelling up.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Stake holder meeting - Anna VALERO 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact September 2022 - Meeting with Institute for Apprenticeships & Technical Education to discuss work on green jobs and opportunities for collaboration
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Stake holder meeting - Anna VALERO 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact September 2022 - Meeting with Chris Skidmore and team to discuss LSE support for the Net Zero Review
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Stake holder meeting - Anna VALERO 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact September 2022 - Meeting with Institute for Apprenticeships & Technical Education to discuss work on green jobs and opportunities for collaboration.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Talk at Oxford Environmental Economics Seminar Series: Efficient Industrial Policy for Innovation: Standing on the Shoulders of Hidden Giants 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact Academic seminar. Lots of good questions and debate. Likely to lead to future collaborations.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/335eb11c-dcc5-4ca4-8bb8-afc79a2ef0f9/
 
Description Who's fit for the low-carbon transition? Emerging skills and wage gaps in job ad data (Milan) (A Saussay) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Annual European Economic Association Congress 2022, Bocconi University, Milan, Italy
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://eea-esem-2022.org/full-programme?field_eea_or_esem_target_id=All&field_day_value=All&field_t...
 
Description Who's fit for the low-carbon transition? Emerging skills and wage gaps in job ad data (Paris) (A Saussay) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Internal Seminar at CEPII. The CEPII is the leading French center for research and expertise on the world economy. It contributes to the policy making process trough its independent in-depth analyses on international trade, migrations, macroeconomics and finance. The CEPII also produces databases and provides a platform for debate among academics, experts, practitioners, decision makers and other private and public stakeholders. Founded in 1978, the CEPII is part of the network coordinated by France Strategy, within the Prime Minister's services.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL http://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/fr/evenements/abstract.asp?IDReu=636
 
Description Who's fit for the low-carbon transition? Emerging skills and wage gaps in job ad data (Paris, SWEEET) (A Saussay) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact SWEEET (a pan-institute Series of Webinars in Economics of Environment, Energy and Transports) is a joint initiative of - BETA (Nancy/Strasbourg), Chair Energy and Prosperity (Paris), CESAER (Dijon), Chaire Économie du Climat (Paris), CIRED (Nogent-sur-Marne), CREM (Rennes), EconomiX (Nanterre), Economie Publique (Grignon), GAEL (Grenoble), Gustave Eiffel University, Gretha (Bordeaux), IFPEN (Rueil Malmaison), IREGE (Université de Savoie), LEDI (Dijon), LEMNA (Nantes), LEO (Orléans), OFCE Sciences Po (Paris) and TSE (Toulouse), VATT (Helsinki, Finland). Its main objective is to propose an opportunity to environment and energy scholars for exchanging and interacting with a broader audience. It is open to anyone interested in the topics.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://sites.google.com/view/seminarsweeet/program
 
Description Who's fit for the low-carbon transition? Emerging skills and wage gaps in job ad data (San Francisco) (A Saussay) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The Virtual Seminar on Climate Economics is an online seminar series hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. The seminar is open to everyone interested in research on the economics of climate change-including topics drawn from macroeconomics, microeconomics, finance, econometrics, and environmental economics.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/events/virtual-seminar-on-climate-economics/
 
Description Workshop and lecture series at ETH Zurich on clean industrial policy and pro social preferences 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact Visit to ETH for a lecture on clean industrial policy and a workshop presenting my paper on pro social preferences
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://gess.ethz.ch/en/details.prof-ralf-martin-imperical-college-london-efficient-industrial-polic...