General methods and implementations of epidemic model inference on high-performance computing platforms.

Lead Research Organisation: Lancaster University
Department Name: Mathematics and Statistics

Abstract

: Currently, parameter inference algorithms for stochastic epidemic models exist in the literature, with concrete implementations typically coded anew for each application. As demonstrated by the
SARS-CoV-2 outbreak, this puts state-of-the-art inference out of reach of emergency situations when effective model fitting is required the most. This project seeks to bring together these application-specific methodologies into a general toolkit for epidemic model inference. As such, it will develop theory around stochastic state-transition models, provide improved MCMC-based fitting methods, and find novel abstractions of the underlying process models which can be reflected in a sustainable high-performance software library.

Publications

10 25 50

Studentship Projects

Project Reference Relationship Related To Start End Student Name
EP/W523811/1 01/10/2021 30/09/2025
2644858 Studentship EP/W523811/1 01/01/2022 31/12/2025 Alin Morariu