Resilient dairy: socio-technical innovation for dairy resilience and sustainability

Lead Research Organisation: Newcastle University
Department Name: Sch of Natural & Environmental Sciences

Abstract

This project will explore new ways to make dairy systems better for the natural environment and farmers' livelihoods, while maintaining the long-term supply of dairy products at reasonable prices in the face of unpredictable challenges like climate change.

We will do this by combining the latest natural, social, biological and veterinary science with industry expertise and experiential farmer knowledge, to devise and test innovations that could increase the resilience and sustainability of dairy farming in a rapidly changing world.

THE CHALLENGE

The UK alone has the tenth largest dairy sector in the world, producing 14 percent of the EU's milk and representing over two per cent of global milk production. A sustainable dairy industry must improve or maintain water, biodiversity and soil quality, meet social expectations, offer farmers a livelihood and provide accessible and affordable dairy products to consumers. However, a number of important changes threaten the long-term future of the sector.

The UK dairy industry has suffered from low and sometimes negative profit margins in recent years, worsened by high input costs, competition between retailers, global oversupply and, since 2014, Russian dairy import bans. Dairy production depends on nature but, if poorly managed, can erode the natural capital upon which it depends, for example by polluting rivers. Dairy systems also use a lot of water, and so are vulnerable to reductions in water availability and quality caused by climate change, and they are also vulnerable to the introduction of new animal diseases transmitted by ticks or insects. In order to make systems resilient to these future changes, and to make them sustainable and socially responsible, we need to understand the complex links between dairy production, animal health, and the natural ecosystems upon which they depend.

OUR APPROACH

We will do this by investigating a range of innovative, practical measures developed with, and applied by, major players in the dairy industry in collaboration with dairy farmers in the north of England and south of Scotland, that are designed to improve animal health and milk production while improving the natural environment. This will include the use of new pricing models being piloted by Nestle that reward more sustainable production decisions and enable farmers to adapt more effectively to future change, so guaranteeing the long-term supply of dairy products to manufacturers. We will also investigate a range of other innovative interventions, which we will develop in collaboration with farmers and other stakeholders, for example new techniques for loosening compacted soils and methods from precision agriculture. With the possibility of a post-Brexit reduction or cessation of direct payments to dairy farmers it is critical and timely to improve both financial and environmental sustainability in the sector.

The project combines cutting edge social, economic, natural, biological and veterinary science to identify and test new approaches in close collaboration with industry partners in the UK. The work will provide evidence to the devolved administrations, Defra (notably feeding into their two forthcoming 25-year plans) and the third sector to inform post-Brexit policy on food, farming and environmental policy, and will support the Government's role in providing early warning of major, notifiable or new and emerging animal diseases in the dairy sector. We will use computer models and an international stakeholder network to identify lessons for the industry internationally.

Technical Summary

The project will explore opportunities to increase resilience and sustainability of food production landscapes and their supply chains in three phases, using the UK dairy sector as a case study.

The research seeks to understand possible trajectories of dairy production systems in response to multiple interacting drivers of change. It will explore functional links between ecosystem services, resilience and sustainability, exploring the extent to which changes in ecosystem stocks and services impact the resilience and sustainability of dairy production systems, supply chains and benefits to other locations and socio-economic sectors. It will investigate the social structures and interactions that are necessary to facilitate social innovation for resilience and sustainability, based on principles or Responsible Research and Innovation.

The first phase will develop systems models to derive novel academic insights and scenarios with stakeholders. Concurrently, empirical research on ecosystem functioning and animal health will be conducted in two contrasting UK dairy regions, where our project partners already have practical interventions and stakeholder networks in place. In the second phase, we will build ecosystem services and disease models, based on new and historical data and remote-sensed datasets. The third phase focuses on scaling up interventions, which have been evaluated through empirical case study research in the second phase, to broader spatial scales.

Planned Impact

Impact goal: to develop and use a whole food system model to evaluate and then propose a range of dairy farming interventions that can increase the resilience and sustainability of production in the face of difficult to predict interactions between environmental, social and market forces. To achieve this goal, we will:
* Work with the dairy industry to identify cost-effective farm and food system-level interventions that can enact the principles contained in the Dairy 2020 Vision and the Leading the Way Sustainable Growth Plan and deliver measurable improvements in environmental sustainability and securing long-term milk supply
* Work with dairy farmers, the dairy industry and Government to develop scalable new pricing models based on Payments for Ecosystem Services (PES) that can generate additional income for farmers whilst providing security of supply and protecting natural capital, in the context of the emerging post-Brexit agricultural policy regime in England and Scotland
* Combine empirical, experimental and monitoring in-situ and remote sensing to gather data on environmental impacts, animal health and milk yield to build a scientifically robust evidence base on the impacts, synergies and trade-offs of identified interventions on biodiversity, vegetation, soil, water, animal health and milk production
* Engage will innovators and influencers from business, government and the third sector to support the transformation of ecosystem management within the dairy supply chain, in Cumbria and Girvan, and across different commodities at a national and international scale
* Work with the devolved administrations, Defra (notably feeding into their forthcoming 25-year plans) and Third Sector to inform the development of food, farming and environmental policy relating to PES, natural capital and adapting to environmental change, and supporting Government's role in providing early warning of major, notifiable or new and emerging animal diseases in the diary sector

Engagement with the farming community: The research has been designed to build on, and work closely with, a significant and active programme of dairy farmer engagement that is being carried out by Nestle and its partners 3Keel and Business in the Community (BiTC), with Innovation for Agriculture, Game & Wildlife Conservation Trust (GWCT) & Rivers Trusts (RTs)), in both study areas. This on-going programme - part of their 'Working With Nature' initiative - already involves investment of approx. £2 million per year by Nestle in the form of milk price premiums paid to farmers carrying out land-based environmental interventions as part of the programme. This creates a guaranteed pool of 101 farmers, with whom we have direct access for the research.

Engagement with the GFS programme: the project team, led by the PI, will engage with ongoing and future activities of the GFS to ensure effective two-way knowledge exchange with GFS partners.

Planned engagement with other stakeholders via Advisory Group (roles and activities in Case for Support):
* Nestle UK&I (Andrew Griffiths)
* ASDA (Chris Brown) and Co-op (Sarah Wakefield)
* Arla (Richard Laxton), FirstMilk (Ian Critchley) and Dairycrest (Matt Bardell)
* Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership (Gemma Cranston), N8 AgriFood (Katherine Denby/Jonathan Oxley)
* BiTC (Gudrun Cartwright/Katie Spooner), Innovation for Agriculture (David Gardner), GWCT (Alistair Leake), RTs (Alistair Maltby)
* Defra (Lucy Dorey-Robinson), Natural England (David Burton), Scottish Government (Nia Ball), Scottish Natural Heritage (Cecile Smith)

Complemented by a wider Reference Group regularly updated on project progress, including:
* Sainsbury's
* Tesco
* Waitrose
* M&S
* Unilever
* Wheatsheaf/Grosvenor Estate Farm
* Müller Milk & Ingredients
* Meadow Foods
* Danone
* Crown Estates
* Anglian Water, United Utilities and Scottish Water
* Volac
* Glanbia
* Yara
* Lactalis McLelland
*
 
Description This project tested and helped develop Landscape Enterprise Networks (LENs) in collaboration with 3Keel, Nestle and other partners, showing how they could be integrated with green finance and national carbon markets like the Peatland Code and Woodland Carbon Code. Key findings include:
* Income Nestle scheme provides resilience to farm businesses, and farmers prefer its simplicity to agri-environment schemes
* Planted 97% as many hedgerows sequestering 90% of the carbon (40.6 tC by 2050) in 4 years as Countryside Stewardship achieved in 10 years (with 50% less farms)
* Hedgerow and tree planting on dairy farms unlikely to promote spread following incursion of bluetongue disease
* Nestle farms have high levels of liver fluke, but those with fenced watercourses had fewer infected snails (vectors)
* Integration with carbon markets could enable schemes to expand in scale (via investment) and scope (land uses)

For a full summary of key findings, see this newsletter: https://www.resilientdairylandscapes.com/_files/ugd/6e5046_8bf957ccc9c942f78599dfb094178829.pdf
Exploitation Route This work informed the development of ecosystem markets in other systems across the UK and Europe via Landscape Enterprise Networks (LENs), an open-source platform pioneered by 3Keel and Nestle in collaboration with the Newcastle-led Resilient Dairy Landscapes project [S6, R3, R4]. LENs enables businesses with regional interests to co-invest in regenerative farming and conservation to deliver benefits for their business, local farmers and society. There are now six LENs landscapes channelling private investment into sustainable agriculture and nature conservation in England, Scotland, Italy and Hungary, with investment totalling £5M to date. The LENs landscapes in Cumbria and SW Scotland work with >80 farmers covering 8% Scottish and 2% UK dairy output, with other LENs landscapes focusing on arable farming and catchment management. The Head of Value Chain Sustainability for Nestle UK and Ireland explained the importance of the research in developing and rolling out LENs:
"The Resilient Dairy Landscapes project led by Professor Reed was crucial for the development of LENs as an open-source platform, which along with the academic rigour and analysis provided by the research, has enabled uptake of LENs across the UK as well as prominence in English policy (LENs featured prominently in Defra's 25 year plan) and Scottish Policy (LENs is one of the most developed pillars of SEPA and Scottish Wildlife Trust's £1 billion challenge initiative). Social science from the project has helped us design schemes to drive farmer uptake, and evidence on the multifunctional benefits of interventions has helped drive interest from a wide range of investors."
Sectors Agriculture, Food and Drink,Communities and Social Services/Policy,Environment,Government, Democracy and Justice

URL https://www.resilientdairylandscapes.com/publications
 
Description This project has informed the development of ecosystem markets in other systems across the UK and Europe via Landscape Enterprise Networks (LENs), an open-source platform pioneered by 3Keel and Nestle in collaboration with the Newcastle-led Resilient Dairy Landscapes project. LENs enables businesses with regional interests to co-invest in regenerative farming and conservation to deliver benefits for their business, local farmers and society. There are now six LENs landscapes channelling private investment into sustainable agriculture and nature conservation in England, Scotland, Italy and Hungary, with investment totalling £5M to date. The LENs landscapes in Cumbria and SW Scotland work with >80 farmers covering 8% Scottish and 2% UK dairy output, with other LENs landscapes focusing on arable farming and catchment management. The Head of Value Chain Sustainability for Nestle UK and Ireland explained the importance of the research in developing and rolling out LENs: "The Resilient Dairy Landscapes project led by Professor Reed was crucial for the development of LENs as an open-source platform, which along with the academic rigour and analysis provided by the research, has enabled uptake of LENs across the UK as well as prominence in English policy (LENs featured prominently in Defra's 25 year plan) and Scottish Policy (LENs is one of the most developed pillars of SEPA and Scottish Wildlife Trust's £1 billion challenge initiative). Social science from the project has helped us design schemes to drive farmer uptake, and evidence on the multifunctional benefits of interventions has helped drive interest from a wide range of investors."
First Year Of Impact 2020
Sector Agriculture, Food and Drink,Communities and Social Services/Policy,Environment,Government, Democracy and Justice
Impact Types Economic,Policy & public services

 
Description Briefing note: Sequestering soil carbon by planting hedgerows 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Policy brief and webinar. Key messages:

Planting hedgerows is a tool for carbon sequestration and storage

Rates of planting in agri-environment schemes are too slow to meet the Climate Change Committee goal of 40% increase in hedgerows

Planting rates could be increased by:

1. Increasing payments in agri-environment schemes for the delivery of public goods as well as compensating for costs and time of implementation/management

2. Harnessing private sector funding

3. Allowing farmers to sell carbon credits in private markets
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://www.resilientdairylandscapes.com/_files/ugd/6e5046_92ff8770a2914c18a3999dcea3dc43e0.pdf
 
Description Policy brief - What is the evidence that public money leads to public goods delivery from agri-environment schemes? 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Policy seminar at Defra
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.dropbox.com/s/1xjqwv9ar23x396/Public%20goods%20policy%20brief.pdf?dl=0