MISTRAL: Multi-scale Infrastructure Systems Analytics

Lead Research Organisation: University of Oxford
Department Name: Environmental Change Institute SoGE

Abstract

National infrastructure provides essential services to a modern economy: energy, transport, digital communications, water supply, flood protection, and waste water / solid waste collection, treatment and disposal. The OECD estimates that globally US$53 trillion of infrastructure investment will be needed by 2030. The UK's National Infrastructure Plan set out over £460 billion of investment in the next decade, but is not yet known what effect that investment will have on the quality and reliability of national infrastructure services, the size of the economy, the resilience of society or its impacts upon the environment. Such a gap in knowledge exists because of the sheer complexity of infrastructure networks and their interactions with people and the environment. That means that there is too much guesswork, and too many untested assumptions in the planning, appraisal and design of infrastructure, from European energy networks to local drainage systems.

Our vision is for infrastructure decisions to be guided by systems analysis. When this vision is realised, decision makers will have access to, and visualisation of, information that tells them how all infrastructure systems are performing. They will have models that help to pinpoint vulnerabilities and quantify the risks of failure. They will be able to perform 'what-if' analysis of proposed investments and explore the effects of future uncertainties, such as population growth, new technologies and climate change.

The UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) is a consortium of seven UK universities, led by the University of Oxford, which has developed unique capability in infrastructure systems analysis, modelling and decision making. Thanks to an EPSRC Programme Grant (2011-2015) the ITRC has developed and demonstrated the world's first family of national infrastructure system models (NISMOD) for analysis and long-term planning of interdependent infrastructure systems. The research is already being used by utility companies, engineering consultants, the Institution of Civil Engineers and many parts of the UK government, to analyse risks and inform billions of pounds worth of better infrastructure decisions. Infrastructure UK is now using NISMOD to analyse the National Infrastructure Plan.

The aim of MISTRAL is to develop and demonstrate a highly integrated analytics capability to inform strategic infrastructure decision making across scales, from local to global. MISTRAL will thereby radically extend infrastructure systems analysis capability:
- Downscale: from ITRC's pioneering representation of national networks to the UK's 25.7 million households and 5.2 million businesses, representing the infrastructure services they demand and the multi-scale networks through which these services are delivered.
- Upscale: from the national perspective to incorporate global interconnections via telecommunications, transport and energy networks.
- Across-scale: to other national settings outside the UK, where infrastructure needs are greatest and where systems analysis represents a huge business opportunity for UK engineering firms.
These research challenges urgently need to be tackled because infrastructure systems are interconnected across scales and prolific technological innovation is now occurring that will exploit, or may threaten, that interconnectedness. MISTRAL will push the frontiers of system research in order to quantify these opportunities and risks, providing the evidence needed to plan, invest in and design modern, sustainable and resilient infrastructure services.

Five years ago, proposing theory, methodology and network models that stretched from the household to the globe, and from the UK to different national contexts would not have been credible. Now the opportunity for multi-scale modelling is coming into sight, and ITRC, perhaps uniquely, has the capacity and ambition to take on that challenge in the MISTRAL programme.

Planned Impact

The aim of MISTRAL is to develop and demonstrate the next generation of models, methods and tools that are needed to inform strategic infrastructure system decision making across scales from local to global. The decision makers who are responsible for strategic infrastructure planning, investment and design, work in government departments, regulators, utility companies and their consultants. This includes organisations like Infrastructure UK, Department for Transport, DECC, the Committee on Climate Change, Ofcom, the Environment Agency, RWE, BP, Shell, National Grid, Network Rail, Thames Water, SITA, CH2M, KPMG, JBA and Volterra, who are all partners in MISTRAL.

MISTRAL is intended to provide decision makers with insights that hitherto have not been available to inform crucial questions: How will infrastructure systems perform in the context of major future changes like population growth, technological change and climate change? What would be the benefits of investing in new infrastructure capacity or of endeavouring to manage demand for infrastructure services? Where are the most vulnerable points in infrastructure networks? How much is it worth investing to reduce the risk of catastrophic failure? We are answering some of these questions already, based on ITRC's first Programme Grant; for example identifying critical points in the transport network following the disruptive weather in the winter of 2013/14; and analysing the benefits of the £460billion of investments in the National Infrastructure Plan. MISTRAL will extend our analytical capability across different scales of decision making, thereby also helping to inform decision makers in devolved administrations and local authorities. With increasing devolution of decision making powers, organisations like the Greater London Authority, Transport for London, Newcastle City Council and Transport for Greater Manchester are taking increasing responsibility for infrastructure planning. We aim to have MISTRAL's infrastructure system analytics being used and informing decisions by governments, utilities and regulators at a range of scales in the UK.

MISTRAL looks upscale to understand the interdependencies between UK infrastructure systems, the EU and the world. This is of particular importance in the energy, transport, telecommunications and waste sectors. Global infrastructure networks are also of great interest to the European Investment Bank and other international investors, OECD and insurers such as Willis and Zurich Re. We will work with UK knowledge-based businesses, such as Arup and Atkins, to strengthen comparative advantage in the global infrastructure market. We aim for MISTRAL's capabilities to be used in infrastructure planning, design and analysis around the world. By working in countries like China and the UAE, where huge sums are being invested in infrastructure, we will seek to inform infrastructure decisions and demonstrate how infrastructure systems could be steered towards more sustainable outcomes. By working with the UN's infrastructure organisation, UNOPS, we intend to improve post-disaster and post-conflict infrastructure planning.

Technologies companies like Microsoft, Siemens and Improbable Worlds also want to be involved in MISTRAL because of the new datasets we will assemble, the new analytical methods we will develop and the glimpses that the research might provide of the future. We for MISTRAL's national infrastructure database to become a shared national resource, and a focal point for research and industrial collaboration.

Ultimately, consumers of infrastructure services will benefit from infrastructure systems that are more efficient, reliable, resilient and affordable. We will dedicate effort to communicating the benefits of engineering systems research, so that members of the public can engage in on an informed basis in important infrastructure decisions.

Organisations

Publications

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Dawson RJ (2018) A systems framework for national assessment of climate risks to infrastructure. in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences

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Koks E (2018) Moving flood risk modelling forwards in Nature Climate Change

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Lamb R (2019) A Probabilistic Model of the Economic Risk to Britain's Railway Network from Bridge Scour During Floods. in Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis

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Koks E (2019) Understanding Business Disruption and Economic Losses Due to Electricity Failures and Flooding in International Journal of Disaster Risk Science

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Koks L (2019) The macroeconomic impacts of future river flooding in Europe in Environmental Research Letters

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Arrighi C (2019) Preparedness against mobility disruption by floods in Science of The Total Environment

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Hall J (2019) UK reveals new platform for infrastructure data analysis and simulation modelling in Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Civil Engineering

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Thacker S (2019) Infrastructure for sustainable development in Nature Sustainability

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Usher W (2019) A Software Framework for the Integration of Infrastructure Simulation Models in Journal of Open Research Software

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Moy De Vitry M (2019) Smart urban water systems: what could possibly go wrong? in Environmental Research Letters

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Oughton E (2020) cdcam: Cambridge Digital Communications Assessment Model in Journal of Open Source Software

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Oughton E (2020) itmlogic: The Irregular Terrain Model by Longley and Rice in Journal of Open Source Software

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Lovell K (2022) Infrastructure decision-making: Opening up governance futures within techno-economic modelling in Technological Forecasting and Social Change

 
Title Containing infrastructure models for testing and scale 
Description Slides for a lightning talk at the Docker Containers for Reproducible Research Workshop (#C4RR), 27th to 28th June 2017, University of Cambridge.Prototyping an approach to running coupled infrastructure systems models in containers. 
Type Of Art Film/Video/Animation 
Year Produced 2020 
URL https://figshare.com/articles/presentation/Containing_infrastructure_models_for_testing_and_scale/51...
 
Title Containing infrastructure models for testing and scale 
Description Slides for a lightning talk at the Docker Containers for Reproducible Research Workshop (#C4RR), 27th to 28th June 2017, University of Cambridge.Prototyping an approach to running coupled infrastructure systems models in containers. 
Type Of Art Film/Video/Animation 
Year Produced 2020 
URL https://figshare.com/articles/presentation/Containing_infrastructure_models_for_testing_and_scale/51...
 
Title snail: spatial networks impact assessment library 
Description Software development is a search for the most useful levels of abstraction. This poster documents the process of developing a spatial networks impact assessment library (snail) to provide productive implementations of reusable abstractions over a methodology that has so far been implemented using lower-level software libraries to solve the concrete problems at hand. Climate hazards pose increasing risks to people and society. Impact assessment uses probabilistic estimates of various hazards (fire, flood, landslide) to calculates the exposure, vulnerability and risk. In particular, parts of infrastructure networks (roads, power grid, water supply) may be directly exposed to climate hazards, with knock-on indirect effects on people, society, firms and the economy, which may be much wider than the direct impact on a single stretch of road or electricity substation. snail provides a reusable library for analysis, setting clear data requirements and implementing the details of probabilistic spatial network failure analysis given a spatial network, usage, vulnerabilities and hazards. It aims to support developer-users who will use and extend this to implement specific analyses, and may build it into more end-user-friendly toolkits or platforms. A poster presented at the SIAM CSE21 conference, minisymposterium PP7: Software Productivity and Sustainability for CSE. 
Type Of Art Image 
Year Produced 2021 
URL https://figshare.com/articles/poster/snail_spatial_networks_impact_assessment_library/14043566/1
 
Title snail: spatial networks impact assessment library 
Description Software development is a search for the most useful levels of abstraction. This poster documents the process of developing a spatial networks impact assessment library (snail) to provide productive implementations of reusable abstractions over a methodology that has so far been implemented using lower-level software libraries to solve the concrete problems at hand. Climate hazards pose increasing risks to people and society. Impact assessment uses probabilistic estimates of various hazards (fire, flood, landslide) to calculates the exposure, vulnerability and risk. In particular, parts of infrastructure networks (roads, power grid, water supply) may be directly exposed to climate hazards, with knock-on indirect effects on people, society, firms and the economy, which may be much wider than the direct impact on a single stretch of road or electricity substation. snail provides a reusable library for analysis, setting clear data requirements and implementing the details of probabilistic spatial network failure analysis given a spatial network, usage, vulnerabilities and hazards. It aims to support developer-users who will use and extend this to implement specific analyses, and may build it into more end-user-friendly toolkits or platforms. A poster presented at the SIAM CSE21 conference, minisymposterium PP7: Software Productivity and Sustainability for CSE. 
Type Of Art Image 
Year Produced 2021 
URL https://figshare.com/articles/poster/snail_spatial_networks_impact_assessment_library/14043566
 
Description We can report the following progress and research findings:

1. National infrastructure system model (NISMOD) development and application
• NISMOD was used to support analysis for National Needs Assessment conducted by the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016
• Ongoing collaboration with National Infrastructure Commission in support of National Infrastructure Assessment, including use of NISMOD for the UK's first National Infrastructure Assessment that was published in 2018 and analysis for the National Infrastructure Commission's 2020 study of the resilience of national infrastructure
• 'Fast track' development of NISMOD2.0 for early April 2017 milestone.
• Main developments in NISMOD2.0:
Population:
• New household-level microsimulation model
Housing:
• Building characterisation for all UK buildings
Energy:
• Local 'energy hub' model.
• Better treatment of intermittency and demand response
• Higher spatial resolution national/continental model
Transport:
• Higher resolution multi-modal model
Digital Communication:
• Geospatial analysis of digital connectivity and roll-out (fixed, mobile, satellite)
• Input to NIC 5G study
Water:
• Integration of WATHNET national model used for the Water UK 'national framework' study.
• Incorporation of energy use and waste water treatment
Urban drainage:
• High resolution of simulation of urban flooding and investment in sewer networks
Flooding:
• Work with EA to update and integrate the Long Term Investment Strategy model
Solid waste:
• Higher resolution model of waste arising, transportation, treatment and disposal
Decision analysis:
• Uncertainties, trade-offs and optimisation

2. Analysis of infrastructure network resilience:
• Pinpointing key vulnerabilities in transport networks (Lloyds Science of Risk Prize 2016)
• Regional economic impacts of infrastructure network failure
• Analysis of infrastructure options for the Oxford-Cambridge Arc
• Climate adaptation and interdependencies methodology and analysis for HS2
• Climate resilient infrastructure investment appraisal for World Bank and Asian Development Bank

3. Econometric analysis of the relationship between infrastructure and regional economic growth

4. Development of a spatial Agent-Based Model of housing and infrastructure

5. Development of an international version of the NISMOD system, comprising of a 'process' for national infrastructure assessment and a computer based 'platform' to support infrastructure assessment.
• We have conducted a 'Fast Track' infrastructure assessment in the West Bank and Gaza for the UN and the Palestinian Authority.
• Analysis of sustainable infrastructure plans in Curacao, St Lucia and Ghana, in collaboration with UNOPS
• Identification of decarbonisation pathways for the EEH regional transport strategy

6. National and global-scale analysis of the resilience of infrastructure systems, with the World Bank, FCDO and Insurance for Development Forum. The preliminary results were presented at CoP26.
Exploitation Route Our methodologies, datasets and tools are already being taken forwards for national infrastructure assessment in the UK (e.g. by the National Infrastructure Commission) and internationally by the UN.
Sectors Construction,Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software),Energy,Environment,Financial Services, and Management Consultancy,Security and Diplomacy,Transport

URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/
 
Description • NISMOD was used to support analysis for National Needs Assessment conducted by the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016 and the UK's first National Infrastructure Assessment • Analysis for the National Infrastructure Commission's 2020 study of the resilience of national infrastructure • NISMOD has been used to analyse infrastructure options for the Oxford-Cambridge Arc • Pinpointing key vulnerabilities in transport networks (Lloyds Science of Risk Prize 2016) • Climate adaptation and interdependencies methodology and analysis for HS2 • Analysis of sustainable infrastructure plans in Curacao, St Lucia, Ghana and Bangladesh in collaboration with UNOPS • Identification of decarbonisation pathways for the EEH regional transport strategy • National and global-scale analysis of the resilience of infrastructure systems, with the World Bank, FCDO and Insurance for Development Forum. The results were presented at CoP26 and COP27
Sector Construction,Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software),Energy,Environment,Financial Services, and Management Consultancy,Transport
Impact Types Societal,Economic,Policy & public services

 
Description 'Interacting risks' Draft UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA) research project, GH/0718[2]. (Sept 2018)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact The purpose of this project is to inform the Adaptation Sub-Committee's (ASC) Evidence Report for the upcoming UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 3 (CCRA3), the ASC is commissioning a range of research projects funded by Defra, the devolved administrations and research councils, which aim to improve the science and impact of the CCRA. This specific project aims to assess and prioritise risks deriving from interactions and cascading effects between the natural environment, built environment and infrastructure, allowing policy makers to understand how to achieve desired outcomes at least cost and avoid unintended consequences. The results will be used throughout the Evidence Report to highlight cross-cutting issues. Unless cross-cutting issues are considered, actions could be ineffective, sub-optimal in terms of their costs and benefits, or lead to unintended consequences. The current evidence on interacting risks was considered in the chapter for the 2016 Evidence Report on cross-cutting issues. The project aims and objects include considering climate risks and their effect on the natural/built environment and infratructure; how these interactions affect the overall level of risk, risk likelihood, risk by different locations; risk prioritization; how risk may be addressed. The methodology will require an approach to conducting a literature review of existing systems models (for example ITRC/NISMOD, TIM model, National Infrastructure Commission modelling) to include an assessment of what models can do and their benefits and limitations. In addition, assessing the interactions of climate risks between the natural and built environments, and infrastructure, taken from the results of existing systems models and previous analysis conducted for CCRA1 and CCRA2. A framework for prioritising interactions will be required, and how the research results can be used in the ASC's assessment of urgency in CCRA3, and by adaptation decision makers in policy making. The final report is to be prepared for publishing on the ASC's website during January 2020. The budget for this project is up to £240,000 excluding VAT (£300,000 including VAT); 40% of the payments need to be made in the financial year 2018/19 and 60% in the financial year 2019/20.
URL https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/Attachment/2268a57d-c8b7-41ea-89a8-5145276e731d
 
Description 'SustainABLE; Ensuring the achievement of the sustainable development goals (SDGs) through sustainable and inclusive projects (September 2019)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: At the ITRC we've developed models to facilitate planning of infrastructure projects, using the 'system of systems' approach, allowing us to use our specialist researchers and models to look at ways of improving the performance of infrastructure systems on a local and national level in the UK, as well as overseas. This means investments in infrastructure can be properly costed, planned for long-term sustainability and resilience to natural hazards, and looked at from a systems perspective rather than on a project-by-project basis. We're working closely with UNOPS as part of our mission to change people's perspectives around the environment, construction and infrastructure. Together with UNOPS, we have launched SustainABLE, a free online tool focusing on using technology and research for: · Sustainability for the communities to be served. · Saving the planet · Saving money. We've been working with Scott Thacker, senior analyst at UNOPS and honorary research associate at the Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, not just on the new tool but also on research which underpins its criticality. .../... External Participant: Civil Engineering Surveyor (CES); The Journal of the Chartered Institution of Civil Engineering Surveyors September 2019 Internal participant: Hall, J.W.
URL http://ces.pagelizard.co.uk/webviewer/#cesseptember2019/sustainable
 
Description 25th Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) World Congress Copenhagen; 'Quality of Life': Digital Connectivity Presentation 18/09/2018 (17/09/2018 - 21/09/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:Conference Section: TS11 - COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES 1 Powerpoint presented by James Padden, Department for Transport, UK: 'EU-TP1075 Understanding 'Digital Demand': how will demand for digital connectivity evolve across different road environments, and what does this suggest for digital infrastructure requirements?' Accompanying slide narratives supplied by Ed Oughton (Mistral) External participants: James Padden; Head of Future Roads Technology, Traffic & Technology , Department for Transport, Government, UK Thomas E. Kern; Principal, The American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO), USA (ITS Conference session Moderator) Internal participant: E. Oughton
URL https://itsworldcongress.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Copenhagen-2018-congress-programme.pdf
 
Description 4th UN Environment Assembly Resolution on Sustainable Infrastructure. (11/03/2019 to 15/03/2019)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: The resolution points to the centrality of infrastructure to the SDGs and the broader 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Among other things, it calls upon Member States to strengthen national and regional systems-level strategic approaches to infrastructure planning and requests that UN Environment, its partners, and other stakeholders support Member States' efforts. It also requests that UN Environment prepare a compilation report for the next UNEA of relevant best practices and knowledge gaps, and asks that Member States share such information with each other. Rowan Palmer (Programme Specialist, Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, South-South Cooperation Unit, Policy and Programme Division) states "This resolution provides a strong mandate to continue our work.", referring to the UN Environment Sustainable Infrastructure partnership (26/02/2019) which recognises the work of the ITRC. Link: https://sdg.iisd.org/events/fourth-session-of-the-un-environment-assembly-unea-4/ External participants: ? UN Environment Assembly ? Rowan Palmer; Programme Specialist, Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, South-South Cooperation Unit, Policy and Programme Division Internal participants: ITRC Group
URL https://sdg.iisd.org/events/fourth-session-of-the-un-environment-assembly-unea-4/
 
Description A Cooper (Policy & Engagement Director), S Varma (Policy Advisor), and S Hayes (Senior Economic Adviser) of the NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 17/11/2017 to discuss the Digital Twin Pilot Project Scoping
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact A Cooper (Policy & Engagement Director), S Varma (Policy Advisor), and S Hayes (Senior Economic Adviser) of the NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 17/11/2017 to discuss the Digital Twin Pilot Project Scoping
 
Description A Fast Track Analysis of infrastructure provision in Palestine: Outcomes from the ITRC/Mistral & UNOPS collaboration (02/03/2018)
Geographic Reach Asia 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: There are many challenges facing the people of Palestine including limited access to infrastructure services that provide basic needs, such as water, energy and waste treatment, transportation and communications. Providing secure and resilient infrastructure services in these sectors can enhance future economic productivity and social welfare, while the lack of such services can conversely lead to declining wellbeing, and diminishing economic productivity and social freedom. The ITRC, together with UNOPS have reviewed the recent situation in Palestine, and identified a number of key challenges in the provision of infrastructure services. The analysis presented in this report identifies that Palestine is experiencing shortages in the provision of most infrastructure services. The demand for infrastructure services is currently not being met in all infrastructure sectors, and this demand is expected to increase due to population growth, increasing urbanisation, economic growth and climate change. Serious impediments to infrastructure supply also exist due to external factors including occupation security measures, conflict, and insufficient asset utilisation. This report presents the ITRC's findings from the first stages of this assessment (the FTA), which focuses on an expedited analysis of the earlier steps in this process, developing a broad understanding of issues particular to the study site (Palestine), exploring how infrastructure systems are being utilised, current and future demands and the capacity constraints within each of the key sectors. It also provides an overview gaps in information and understanding, and attempts to identify trends including future plans and challenges. This report also sets out the methods used in the remaining steps in the process, and begins to develop a range of strategic pathways and their subsequent analysis. Importantly, this report is intended as a tool to facilitate the iterative process of engagement with potential stakeholders, both in Palestine and abroad, by presenting an overview of our methodology. Internal participants: Ives M; Thacker S; Adshead D; Hall J; Hickford A; Nicholls R External participants: ? Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS ? Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS ? Muwafaq Abu-Ayyash, Infrastructure Development Specialist And Chief Design Engineer, UNOPS ? Rob Jones, Head of Programme Delivery in the State of Palestine, UNOPS
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/PDFs/PalestineFTA_online.pdf
 
Description A Next Generation of Catastrophe (NG-CAT) models. International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems. This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focussed on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity. Abstract: Presentation subjects were - Hazard & the city - Infrastructure & the city - Infrastructure & Hazards - Catastrophe (CAT) modelling - Next Generation - Catastrophe (NG-CAT) model - Case studies were presented - Future research includes: - - Other hazard/infrastructure - -Multi-hazard and cascading effects - -Refinement of damage functions Link Conference Proceedings: http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf Internal participants: Pregnolato, M (Presenter) Dunn, S Ford, A Dawson, R Wilkinson, S External participants: International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue - The NIC met with the ITRC on 03/07/2017 to discuss: energy; transport; water, climate, next phase of modelling and other issues
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti and Jack Large of the NIC met with Jim Hall, Matt Ives and Dan Adshead of the ITRC on 03/07/2017 to discuss ? Energy: New model runs; fuel price sensitivity analysis ?  Transport: Congestion metric; impact of a sensitivity analysis on car costs, GVA, fares ?  Water: Climate change update, abstraction reform, PCC reductions ?  Other: Asset maintenance, baselines (Jim Hall), next phase of modelling
 
Description A member of the NIC met Simon Blainey and John Preston of the ITRC on 11/07/2017 to discuss the modelling results produced by NIC using NISMOD and DfT models
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact A member of the NIC met Simon Blainey and John Preston of the ITRC on 11/07/2017 to discuss the modelling results produced by NIC using NISMOD and DfT models
 
Description A member of the NIC met with A Stringfellow from the ITRC on 28/02/2017 to hold a solid waste workshop.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Consideration of future infrastructure with respect to solid waste.
 
Description A member of the NIC met with D Cleevely of the ITRC during June 2017 to discuss ?  Digital Communications
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact A member of the NIC met with D Cleevely of the ITRC during June 2017 to discuss ?  Digital Communications
 
Description A member of the NIC met with Modassar Chaudry from the ITRC 26 April 2017 to give advice on modelling some key parameters for the imminent NIC scenarios
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Modassar Chaudry from the ITRC 26 April 2017 to give advice on modelling some key parameters for the imminent NIC scenarios
 
Description A member of the NIC met with W Powrie, K Roberts, Geoff Watson, and A Stringfellow on 16/06/2016 to discuss continued on-line engagement with NIC.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact A member of the NIC met with W Powrie, K Roberts, Geoff Watson, and A Stringfellow on 16/06/2016 to discuss continued on-line engagement with NIC.
 
Description A member of the NIC received assistance from G Watson and K Roberts of the ITRC during September 2017 with reference to solid waste.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact A member of the NIC received assistance from G Watson and K Roberts of the ITRC during September 2017 with reference to solid waste.
 
Description A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva from the ITRC on 27/01/2017 to discuss NIC staff training on infrastructure
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva from the ITRC on 27/01/2017 to discuss NIC staff training on infrastructure
 
Description A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva on 31/01/2017 to discuss urban transport
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva on 31/01/2017 to discuss urban transport
 
Description A second Impact Accelerator Award (IAA) to be funded by EPSRC to provide ITRC's national infrastructure assessment capabilities to the newly-formed National Infrastructure Commission (NIC)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact In October of 2017 the NIC produced their Interim National Infrastructure Assessment which featured assessments of future demands for infrastructure services based on modelling outputs from ITRC's NISMOD tool. This collaboration will continue until the end of June 2018 culminating in the release of the NIC's full National Infrastructure Assessment. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Hall J; ITRC/MistralRresearchers External participant/s: The Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) Additional Link: https://www.nic.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/Congestion-Capacity-Carbon-Modelling-Annex.pdf
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/publications/congestion-capacity-carbon-priorities-for-national-infrastructur...
 
Description A sustainable Oxford-Cambridge corridor? (20/02/2020)
Geographic Reach Local/Municipal/Regional 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact Outputs and Outcomes: The workshop provided a • Summary of key spatial challenges to deliver infrastructure systems across the Arc (Oxford-Cambridge corridor) • Summary of key evidence needed to address these challenges • Assessment of useful current and potential capabilities to be made available through DAFNI's user interface • Options of institutional and financial models to enable ITRC and DAFNI to work together with Arc stakeholders External participants: • Cameron Adams, Sustainable Places Account Manager, Environment Agency • Matt Allen, Director of Business Development & Marketing, Bidwells • Shaun Armstrong, Specialist photographer for businesses and projects, Mubsta.com • Steve Arnold, Princpal Economist, Environment Agency • Adrian Arnold, Head of Planning Services, Oxford City Council • Simon Blainey, Associate Professor in Transportation, University of Southampton • Sam Bosson, Projects Manager, Greater South East Energy Hub • Simon Bowers, Executive Director (Business), Daventry District Council / Northamptonshire County Council • Julian Bowrey, Regional Manager, South East and East Midlands, Innovate UK • Michael Brooks, Campaign Regions Planning Consultant (CRPS), Campaign to Protect Rural England (CPRE) • Stephen Brown • Roland Bull, Partner, Rural Investment Lead, Bidwells • Matthew Bullock, Founder, Honorary Vice-Chair, Cambridge Ahead • Paul Burgess, Secretary, Farm Woodland Forum • Jeanne Capey, Senior Leadership, Operations, Environment Agency • Ian Chapman, Head, Regional Engagement & Corporate Projects, Cranfield University • Laura Church, Corporate Director, Place and Infrastructure, Luton Council • Caroline Danby, Head of Strategic Growth, Central Bedfordshire Council • Andrew Davie, Assistant Director Development & Infrastructure, Central Bedfordshire Council • Holly Dawson, Partner, Business Space Agency, Bidwells • Philippa English, Communications Manager, Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (MHCLG) • Paul Everard, Manager, Planning Policy & Heritage, Northampton Borough Council • Victoria Fletcher, Manager, Environment and Heritage, Council County Oxfordshire • Paul Frainer, Assistant Director, Strategy and Economy, South Cambridgeshire District Council • Charlotte Frizzell, Lead Adviser, Sustainable Development, Natural England • Sue Frost, Service Director, Planning and Economic Growth, Luton Council • Connie Frost-Bryant, Manager, Senior Spatial Planning, Homes England • Edward Garnett, Cranfield University • Kenisha Garnett, Lecturer in Decision Science, Centre for Environment and Agricultural Informatics, Cranfield University • James Golding-Graham, Innovation Manager (seconded), Mobility and Climate, England's Economic Heartland • Naomi Green, Head of Technical Programme, Strategic Alliance Programme Team, England's Economic Heartland • Caroline Green, Assistant Chief Executive, Oxford City Council • Angela Guess, Legal Director, Acquisition and Disposal Commercial Development, Landlord and Tenant, Shakespeare Martineau • Richard Harrington, Chief Executive Officer, Buckinghamshire Local Enterprise Partnership (BLEP) • Jim Harris, Chair, Environmental Technology, Cranfield University • Neil Harris, Professor of Atmospheric Informatics, Centre for Environment and Agricultural Informatics, Cranfield University • David Hartley, Director, Commercial and Knowledge Exchange, Oxford Brookes University • Doug Higgins, Project Director, First Base • Nicholas Hillman, Director, Higher Education Policy Institute (HEPI) • Bev Hindle, Director, Oxfordshire Growth Board and Oxford to Cambridge Arc Leaders and CEx groups, Oxfordshire County Council • Paul Jeffrey, Director, Water Theme, Cranfield Water Science Institute, Cranfield University • Owen Jenkins, Director, Growth and Economy, Oxfordshire County Council • David Johncock, Cabinet Member for Planning, Wycombe District Council • Robert Jolley, Assistant Director, Growth & Economy, Cherwell District Council • Mike Jones, Partner Planning, Bidwells • Phil Jones, Flood and Water Manager, Northamptonshire County Council • Juliet Kauffmann, Business Development Manager for the School of Water, Energy and Power, Environment and Agrifood, Cranfield University • Stephen Kelly, Joint Director, Planning and Economic Development, Greater Cambridge Shared Planning Service • Laura Kitson, Strategic Flood Risk Planning Advisor, Environment Agency • Joanne Lancaster, Managing Director Huntingdonshire District Council • Arthur Le Geyt, Economic Data Analysis and Theory, South East Midlands Local Enterprise Group (SEMLEP) • Ben Lee, Media and Political Relations, Bidwells • Ceri Lewis, Oxford to Cambridge Local Natural Capital Plan (OxCam LNCP) • Alistair Lomax, Director, Arc Universities Group • Jason Longhurst, Director of Regeneration and Business, Central Bedfordshire Council • Andrew Longley, Head, Joint Planning Unit, North Northamptonshire Joint Planning & Delivery Unit • Greg Macdonald, Head, Economic and Commercial Development, East Northants Council • Miriam Mendes, Programme Manager, Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC), Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford • Jim Newton, Assistant Director, Planning and Economy, South Northamptonshire Council (SNC) • Olaide Oboh, Director of Partnerships, First Base • Simon Prescott, DLP Consultants • Carolyn Puddicombe, Christ Church, Oxford • Rob Sadler, Head of Office, Cambridge, Savills • Jon Shortland, Chief Officer for Planning and Highways, Bedford Borough Council (BBC) • Allan Simpson, Strategic Growth Manager, Anglian Water • Tom Stephenson, Lead, Research and Innovation, Cranfield University • Colin Stocker • Andra Stopforth, Delivery Manager, Joint Planning & Delivery Unit, North Northamptonshire • Nigel Tipple, Chief Executive, Oxfordshire Local Enterprise Partnership (OxLEP) • Martin Tugwell, Programme Director, Strategic Alliance Programme, England's Economic Heartland • Michael Tyce, Campaign to Protect Rural England (Oxfordshire Branch) • Dave Valler, Reader in Planning, School of the Built Environment, Oxford Brookes University • Ian Vincent, Chief Executive, Daventry District Council • David Williams, Head, Business Space Agency, Bidwells • Paul Woods, Managing Director, Edge 4 Planning Limited • Katarzyna Wysocka, Team Manager, Sustainable Development and Transport, Luton Borough Council • Juliette Young, Senior Policy Officer, Royal Society for the Protection of Birds (RSPB) Internal participants: • Prof. Paul Jeffrey, Cranfield Water Science Institute, Cranfield University • Prof. Jim Hall, Environmental Change Institute & ITRC Principal, University of Oxford • Dr. Nik Lomax, Leeds University • Dr. Nahid Mohajer, University of Oxford • Dr. Alison Smith, University of Oxford • Dr. Simon Blainey, University of Southampton • Dr. Modassar Chaudry, Cardiff University ITRC - Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium DAFNI - Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure Link to full report: https://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/arc-main-report.pdf
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/arc-main-report.pdf
 
Description Acknowledgement of input by ITRC's Jim Hall to the International Transport Forum (ITF) - Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) report: Strategic Infrastructure Planning: International Best Practice (23/03/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact This report reviews experiences with strategic infrastructure planning with a view to identifying international best practices. Governments play a critical role in providing the framework for investment in the transport, energy and water infrastructure on which economies depend. Long asset lives and large sunk costs make such investments particularly subject to risk and uncertainty. A long-term strategic plan that integrates specific projects reduces such risks by setting out a stable set of the priorities for future investment. This report is the product of a roundtable organised by the International Transport Forum at the OECD and the UK National Infrastructure Commission. Reference: Strategic Infrastructure Planning: International Best Practice; Strategic infrastructure planning: Account for uncertainties and interdependencies; Addressing uncertainty through scenario-based planning (p51). Young, K. and J.W. Hall (2015), "Introducing system interdependency into infrastructure appraisal: From projects to portfolios to pathways". Journal of Infrastructure Complexity, Vol.2/2 DOI:10.1186/s40551-01-0005-8.
URL https://www.itf-oecd.org/sites/default/files/docs/strategic-infrastructure-planning.pdf
 
Description Alexa Bruce (Environment Lead) of the NIC met with Jim Hall of the ITRC on 25/01/2018 to request Mistral's perspective on the NIC's approach to risk management (as against the costs of such) to establish the level of drought resilience. A Peer Review Roundtable was set-up.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Alexa Bruce (Environment Lead) of the NIC met with Jim Hall of the ITRC to request Mistral's perspective on the NIC's approach to risk management (as against the costs of such) to establish the level of drought resilience. A Peer Review Roundtable was set-up.
 
Description Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and J Large of the NIC met with S Blainey and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 25/05/2017 to discuss ?  Meeting with Department of Transport modellers ?  Updates on energy and waste model runs
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and J Large of the NIC met with S Blainey and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 25/05/2017 to discuss ?  Meeting with Department of Transport modellers - questions relating to the working of NISMOD transport and DfT models. ?  Updates on energy and waste model runs
 
Description Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with S Barr and C Robson from the ITRC during May 2017 to discuss the incorporation of NIC scenarios within the current NISMOD system.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with S Barr and C Robson from the ITRC during May 2017 to discuss the incorporation of NIC scenarios within the current NISMOD system.
 
Description Announcement of MISTRAL: Multi-scale Infrastructure Systems Analytics - led by Professor Jim Hall, University of Oxford EP/N017064/1 (26/02/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact MISTRAL: Multi-scale Infrastructure Systems Analytics - led by Professor Jim Hall, University of Oxford EP/N017064/1 - which builds on previous EPSRC investment in the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC), a consortium of seven UK universities, led by Oxford, which has developed unique capability in infrastructure systems analysis, modelling and decision making. ITRC's vision is for infrastructure decisions to be guided by systems analysis. When this vision is realised, decision makers will have access to, and visualisation of, information that tells them how all infrastructure systems are performing. They will have models that help to pinpoint vulnerabilities and quantify the risks of failure. They will be able to perform 'what-if' analysis of proposed investments and explore the effects of future uncertainties, such as population growth, new technologies and climate change. Five years ago, proposing theory, methodology and network models that stretched from the household to the globe, and from the UK to different national contexts would not have been credible. Now the opportunity for multi-scale modelling is coming into sight, and ITRC, perhaps uniquely, has the capacity and ambition to take on that challenge in the MISTRAL programme. Internal participant: Hall J External funding body: Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)
URL https://www.epsrc.ac.uk/newsevents/news/systemsanalysis/
 
Description Anticipating disruption: At the nexus of technology and infrastructure. Roundtable review by KPMG (30/11/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact A roundtable discussion addressing the questions: - In which infrastructure sectors do you expect to see the greatest technological disruption? - How can infrastructure and government leaders prepare for disruption? - Will technology allow less developed nations to `leap frog' the centuries of investments made in the mature markets. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Hall J External participant/s: Dr. Rick Geddes, Professor, Department of Policy Analysis and Management, Cornell University Darran Anderson, Director of Strategy and Innovation, Texas Department of Transportation Shashi Verma, Chief Technology Officer, Transport for London James Stewart; Vice Chair responsible for Industrial Strategy, Geo-politics and Brexit, KPMG Emily Dann; Senior Marketing Manager, Global Infrastructure, KPMG Global Resource Centre
URL https://home.kpmg.com/xx/en/home/insights/2017/11/anticipating-disruption-technology-and-infrastruct...
 
Description Bianca Letti and J Large of the NIC met with Matt Ives on 15/05/2017 to discuss ?  Transport: issues related to demand growth, elasticity, sensitivity testing; model changes for rail electrification ?  Updates on energy and waste model runs ? Updates to exchange rates and fuel price scenarios ?  NIC recommendations for reporting tool
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Bianca Letti and Jack Large of the NIC met with Matt Ives on 15/05/2017 to discuss ?  Transport: issues related to demand growth, elasticity, sensitivity testing; model changes for rail electrification ?  Updates on energy and waste model runs ? Updates to exchange rates and fuel price scenarios ?  NIC recommendations for reporting tool
 
Description Bianca Letti from the NIC met Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Will Usher from the ITRC on 10/11/2016 to discuss a broad catch up on ITRC/NIC work & NIC technology scenarios."
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Bianca Letti from the NIC met Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Will Usher from the ITRC on 10/11/2016 to discuss ? a broad catch up on ITRC/NIC work ? NIC technology scenarios.
 
Description COASTAL ADAPTATION SEMINAR 2016, Singapore, 27 May 2016
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Coastal Adaptation Study International Panel of Experts (CASIPE) 2016 Singapore Session: The Future of National Infrastructure. Seminar to present the aims of the ITRC and Mistral projects. To develop and demonstrate a new generation of simulation models and tools to inform the analysis, planning and design of national infrastructure. To additionally introduce The Future of National Infrastructure Systems-of-Systems Approach. Speaker: Prof. Robert Nicholls University of Southampton, United Kingdom Coastal Adaptation study Influenced the resulting conference report: Building and Construction Authority Annual Report 2015/16 Internal participant/s: Nicholls R External participant/s: Kees d'Angremond; Prof. (Distinguished Diplomate, Emeritus Professor, Consultant, Zevenhoven, Netherlands) Gerald E Galloway, Jr.; PE PhD. (Glenn L Martin Institute Professor of Engineering, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and an Affiliate Professor, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA.) Warren Day; Warren Day Consulting) Vladan Babovic, Assoc. Prof. (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National University of Singapore) Calvin Chung (Engineer at Reclamation, Singapore) Natarajan Senthil Kumar (Executive Project Manager, Coastal Protection Department, Built Environment Technology Centre, Building and Construction Authority, Singapore) V Sundar, Prof Indian Institute of technology Madras Department of Ocean Engineering
URL https://www.bca.gov.sg/AboutUs/BCA_Annual_Report/BCA%20AR%202015-16_v19-lr.pdf
 
Description CaMkOx (EW Arc). Communications update requested by Jim Hall from Bev Hindle, Oxfordshire CC (22/06/2018)
Geographic Reach Local/Municipal/Regional 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: It's been a while since ITRC and Oxon CC connected on the Oxford-MK-Cambridge proposals, but these seem to be acquiring some momentum. Meanwhile within the ITRC research programme there have been considerations about analysis that ITRC could do to inform the plans. It would be useful to know where things stand in Oxfordshire CC, as ITRC would like to reconnect with some key stakeholders to discuss how our research could input. Future meeting arranged. External participant: Bev Hindle, Acting Director for Environment & Economy, Oxon CC Internal participants: Hall, J Mendes, M
 
Description CambsNotspotter hackathon seeking solutions to Cambridge's mobile connectivity issues (18/11/2017)
Geographic Reach Local/Municipal/Regional 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact Outcome: Pitch 1 - mobile phone app to aid navigation via areas of known strong data connectivity Pitch 2 - Incorporate fibre broadband and small localised wifi routers into new transport routes on greenways Pitch 3 - using available data, major existing transport routes were identified as having poor data connectivity, leading to the proposal that focus should be given to adding connectivity infrastructure to those routes ? Link: http://www.cambridgeahead.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/CambsNotspotterHack-Briefing-Pack-revised-Nov-2017.pdf ? Link: http://www.cambridgeahead.co.uk/hackathon2017/ ? Link: http://cambridgehack.com/better-mobile-hack/ Internal participants Oughton E Frias Z External participants Bob Driver, CEO, Cambridge Wireless (Judge) Tim Winchcomb, Technology Strategy Consultant, Cambridge Consultants Sam Massey, Senior Analyst, Cambridge Consultants Laura Trevail, Affiliate Context Strategist, TravelSpirit Steve Unger, Group Director and Board Member, Ofcom (Judge) Emma Fletcher, MD, SmithsonHill Gabrielle Hibberd, Cofinitive (Event Organiser) Dominic Bowles, CambridgeHack (Event Organiser)
URL http://www.cambridgeahead.co.uk/hackathon2017/
 
Description Challenges in SpaceTime - Coupling Models of Next Generation Infrastructure, International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems. This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focussed on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity. ? Outputs & outcomes: Challenges in SpaceTime - Coupling Models of Next Generation Infrastructure, International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017) Abstract: Under the EPSRC-funded MISTRAL project, a new National Infrastructure Systems Model is being developed by the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium: NISMOD v2.0. The model includes highly spatially and temporally resolved simulation models of six infrastructure systems: transport, energy supply & demand, water supply & treatment, flood defence, digital communications and solid waste. One of the key challenges in coupling simulation models of infrastructure systems is the differing spatial and temporal resolutions used by the models. We have developed a general approach to spatiotemporal data conversion which has been implemented in 'smif', an open source simulation modelling integration framework. ? Link Conferece: International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/ ? Link Conference Proceedings: http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf Internal participants: Russell T (Presenter) Usher W External participants: International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description Changing Commutes and the Changing Future of Urban Transport (11/09/2017 - 12/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact This seminar investigates how working spaces and places in cities are changing and what this means for urban systems in terms of infrastructure, urban design and planning. Key questions to be examined include: - How diverse are the working spaces and places of workers in cities? - How are working spaces transformed into workplaces? - Where is formal/informal/precarious work undertaken; in what urban sites and places, and what spaces do these create? - Are new hybrid places emerging in cities? How regulated/formalized are these? - How do we have to rethink 'the journey to work', formal vs. informal work(spaces), private vs. public spaces and corporate vs. social spaces in cities? The seminar is interdisciplinary and international in nature with speakers from geography, architecture, planning, economics, management, sociology and engineering presenting new research findings and theoretical insights into changing working patterns in Russia, Italy, Spain, Greece, Germany, the Netherlands and the UK. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Blainey SP External participant/s: International Infrastructure Experts/Policy Makers
URL https://www.southampton.ac.uk/geography/news/events/2017/09/changingworkplaces.page
 
Description City growth paterns under various assumptions developed for the National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) report 'Transport and housing for thriving city regions' (produced by the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC)).(10/07/2018)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Greg McClymont (Lead on transport and cities) from the NIC contacted Nik Lomax and Andrew Smith of the ITRC on 10/07/2018 to confirm publication of the NIA report 'Transport and housing for thriving city regions'. Chapter 4 of that report included the Lomax and Smith's contribution of the baseline projection for population and employment in UK cities leading to the headline conclusion that transport networks are close to capacity in many UK cities. Lomax and Smith's report is in the supporting documents section, entitled 'Effects of capacity constraints on population and employment distribution'. Development of a baseline projection for population and employment in UK cities and undertook sensitivity testing of projections to consider outcomes under different assumptions about future growth patterns. Lomax and Smith developed alternative scenarios for population and employment growth in cities reflecting transport infrastructure constraints and housing constraints. The headline conclusion reported in the National Infrastructure Assessment is that transport networks are close to capacity in many UK cities. This ITRC report contributed to chapter 4 of the NIA, Transport and housing for thriving city regions - https://www.nic.org.uk/assessment/national-infrastructure-assessment/transport-and-housing-for-thriving-city-regions/ This ITRC report is in the supporting documents section, entitled 'Effects of capacity constraints on population and employment distribution'. https://www.nic.org.uk/supporting-documents/effects-of-capacity-constraints-on-population-and-employment-distribution/ Internal participants: Lomax NM Smith AP External Participant: Greg McClymont, NIC Lead on transport and cities URLs ? https://www.nic.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/Urban-Capacity-Report-27-June-2018.pdf ? https://www.nic.org.uk/assessment/national-infrastructure-assessment/transport-and-housing-for-thriving-city-regions/ ? https://www.nic.org.uk/supporting-documents/effects-of-capacity-constraints-on-population-and-employment-distribution/
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/Urban-Capacity-Report-27-June-2018.pdf
 
Description Closing sessions. "Delivering the 'modelled world' of infrastructure"; and "UKCRIC: joining the dots in infrastructure and cities research". International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Closing Sessions: 1) Delivering the 'modelled world' of infrastructure: Professor Jim Hall FREng, Director, Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford and UKCRIC, UK 2) UKCRIC: joining the dots in infrastructure and cities research: Professor William Powrie, Dean of the Faculty and Engineering and the Environment, University of Southampton and UKCRIC, UK https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B9KA_YDfYnALdUZGSURHa01xZU0 Internal participants: Hall J (Presenter) Powrie W (Presenter) External participants: International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description Cyber Infrastructure Meeting (proposed) (29/09/2017)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC)/(Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics) MISTRAL investigation of the suitability of working with The National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC, part of GCHQ), the University of Cambridge Judge Business School, and Lockheed Martin. They have approached ITRC wanting to collaborate with our projects MISTRAL/Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI). This is a fact-finding meeting.
 
Description DAFNI visit at Defra. Dialogue to assess common areas of research and data. Presentation to policymakers. (25/09/2017)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact - The DAFNI project has 8m of investment over four years which is looking at how we can bring data and models together better to inform strategic development of UK Infrastructure. - There are already some overlaps with Defra such as flood infrastructure and air pollution. The contacts here are already made and currently in the Environment Agency. - The central setup is based at Science and Technology Facilities Council (STFC) but there is also investment in infrastructure within some universities. - The real unique aspect of the work is the bringing together of models. Defra overlap: - Defra is hoping to build a more strategic relationship with STFC. There is an initial meeting on the 2nd October 2017 which is to start to look at Earth Observation (satellite data) which Defra and DAFNI have a shared interest in. Steve Wilkinson (Head of Innovation, Data Transformation Programme, Defra) is also interested in seeing if the Defra-DAFNI relationship can be extended much further in order to use it to get a broader research sector more directly focused on Defra's problems. - Defra are more interested in the softer engineering aspects - which falls between landscape and infrastructure. [There might be potential though to set up a DAFNI accelerator in this space?] - Learning how DAFNI tackles problems / develops approaches could be a useful insight into what would be involved to set up something equivalent for landscape modelling. Future activities to assist joining Defra and DAFNI: - send through details of the contacts currently held by DAFNI - provide a link to the DAFNI paper on the status of flood analysis It would probably be worth following up on a more technical level if / when Defra/DAFNI get something going with STFC. Internal participant: Hall J External participant/s: Erica Yang, Head of Visual Analytics and Imaging Systems, Science and Technology Facilities Council (STFC) Project Director; DAFNI: Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (in construction) Caroline Poulsen, Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs (DEFRA) Steve Brian Wilkinson, Head of Innovation, Data Transformation Programme, Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs (DEFRA)
 
Description Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) Development Roadmap and Engagement Event (18/01/2018) held at the Science and Technology Facilities Council (STFC) Scientific Computing Department at Harwell, Oxfordshire.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Jim Hall, Director of the Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, and Principal Investigator for DAFNI, said, "The workshop was a significant milestone for the DAFNI delivery programme. We have made a lot of progress since the launch event last July, having almost completed the requirements specification for DAFNI. The workshop demonstrated that the user community has growing confidence in our approach to dealing with security and licensing." Dr Erica Yang, STFC's leader of the DAFNI programme, said "The success of this event gives the early demonstration of the strength and capability of STFC Scientific Computing in constructing and delivering a large scale complex data analytics facility. The level of responses from the participants, including academia, public sector, and industry, sends us a clear signal that the community oriented co-design and co-development approach we are undertaking is of crucial importance to address the highly complex and rapidly evolving research challenges of urban infrastructure modelling and simulation community" Geoff McBride, STFC's theme leader of Global Food Security and Agri-Tech and STFC representative in the UK Water Partnership, said, "I'm very inspired by the project and am happy to advocate where ever I can. This is a rapidly expanding area in data intensive science within STFC, for supporting and empowering next generation multi-disciplinary research communities of crucial importance for the future of our nation." STFC's Sam Chorlton, who is the DAFNI Technical Architect, said, "This event demonstrated a shared knowledge and appreciation of the complexities of problems that DAFNI undertakes. It was a good platform for engaging with potential future stakeholders." External participants: ? Dr Erica Yang, STFC's leader of the DAFNI programme ? Geoff McBride, STFC's theme leader of Global Food Security and Agri-Tech and STFC representative in the UK Water Partnership ? Sam Chorlton, STFC's DAFNI Technical Architect Internal participants: ? Russell T ? Hall JW ? Link: https://www.scd.stfc.ac.uk/Pages/DAFNI-Development-Roadmap-and-Engagement-Event.aspx
URL https://www.scd.stfc.ac.uk/Pages/DAFNI-Development-Roadmap-and-Engagement-Event.aspx
 
Description Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) Conference 2019 (10/06/2019 - 11/06/2019)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Sir John Armitt gave the keynote speech to the DAFNI conference. It is the first data and analytics facility of its kind to support infrastructure planning and research, facilitating collaboration across and between universities, government and the private sector. The data and modelling accessible through the DAFNI platform will be important to the Commission's resilience study, which is considering what action government should take to ensure that UK infrastructure can cope with future changes, disruptions, shocks and accidents. Included were Sir John's comments: "Data is now as important to UK infrastructure as concrete or steel." "The key is not just the quality of the data we collect, but how we process it and finally how and where we use it. That's why today's launch of the UK's Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure is an important step forward in using data to transform how we think about infrastructure." [...] "DAFNI provides a strong platform to help us to do this. It gives us the opportunity to ensure that the recommendations we make in the next Assessment will be based on the best data and robust modelling. It will, crucially, enable us to develop our understanding of how increasingly inter-connected infrastructure systems work together, and affect each other."[...] "So, the earlier and deeper you can engage with the Commission and this study in helping us shape a new methodology for resilience in UK infrastructure, the more opportunity you will have to help shape the approach to NIA 2." Jim Hall of the ITRC commenced the conference by launching the first version of the @DAFNI facility modelling system. Ed Oughton @UniofOxford speaking at the #DAFNIConference today about his work on a @DAFNIfacility pilot project with digital communications models for 5G networks.
 
Description Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) inaugural meeting/UNOPS (06/07/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Global Opportunities for Infrastructure Intelligence. Slide presentation demonstrating ITRC/Mistral's specialism is infrastructure delivery and implementation: - Procurement, project management and technical assistance. ? Outcomes and outputs: Infrastructure is central for achieving sustainable development. The opportunity is reliant on evidence and intelligence. New datasets, methodologies and case studies are emerging. There is still much work to be done to satisfy the global need. With DAFNI, the UK can be at the forefront of realising this future Applications and impacts with the Governments of Palestine, Syria, and Curacao have led to further connections with, for example, the Government of St. Lucia. Link: https://www.slideshare.net/UKCIP/global-opportunities-for-infrastructure-intelligence Keynote speakers external to Mistral: Ian Osborne, Head of Complex Systems, KTN James Stewart, Head of Global Infrastructure, KPMG Erica Yang, Head of Visual Analytics and Imaging Systems, Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC) David Wallom, University of Oxford Alex Wrottesley, Ordnance Survey Bianca Letti, National Infrastructure Commission Richard Milton / Michael Batty, University College London Philip Steadman / Paul Ruyssevelt, University College London Keynote speakers from Mistral group: Scott Thacker, United Nations Office for Project Services Jim Hall, DAFNI Project Lead, University of Oxford Stuart Barr, University of Newcastle Nik Lomax, University of Leeds Tom Russell, University of Oxford Simon Blainey, University of Southampton Keiron Roberts, University of Southampton
URL https://www.slideshare.net/UKCIP/global-opportunities-for-infrastructure-intelligence
 
Description Data exchanges between ITRC/Mistral and Network Rail
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact ITRC/Mistral requested the following information from Network Rail as part of the collaboration between both groups: • Shapefile of rail network (including number of tracks on each link and station locations) • Maximum speeds for line sections - linked to shapefile of network • Any data on route capacity (e.g. signal spacings?) - linked to network shapefile data • Any data on current crowding levels by service/route • Timetable data including both passenger and freight services (CIF format is fine) • OD flow data for passengers (LENNON or similar) plus associated routing data (MOIRA?) if available • Fault management system (FMS) data - or any aggregated data analysis of that • Interdependent asset locations mapping, e.g. locations of utility systems - shapefile or excel with coordinates information Plus: • Network Rail's climate change adaptation strategy, which you mentioned in the meeting. • Plans made for additional meetings in a few week's time. • Also possibly to discuss interactions with the Cabinet Office's Resilience Direct work. ITRC/Mistral researchers: Blainey SP; Pant R; Hall JW Network Rail researchers: Lisa Constable, Weather Resilience and Climate Change Adaptation Strategy Manager, Network Rail Caroline Lowe, Advanced Data Analytics, Network Rail Christopher Wynne-Cowlin, Support Services Manager, Network rail
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/rail-network-vulnerabilities/#.WqKqqGrFJaQ
 
Description Designing a road traffic model for the cross-sectoral analysis of future national infrastructure', 5th International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure, London (11-13/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact The International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) meeting in 2017 brought together a global community of infrastructure academics, policy and industry professionals. The event aimed to share progress, knowledge and new thinking, and a number of ITRC-MISTRAL's researchers presented their work. A presentation describing NISMOD v1 (2011 - 2015) - the first family of models to analyse the long-term performance, plans, and risks and vulnerabilities of the national infrastructure under future uncertainty. Included, amongst many other factors: - Integration of capacity, demand and risk modelling frameworks - System model with packages of policy interventions - Global connectivity: integration with international demand/supply nodes at model boundaries - Risk and resilience Conference Proceedings http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf Presentation title: Designing a road traffic model for the cross-sectoral analysis of future national infrastructure This paper presents a UK national road traffic model developed as part of the ITRC MISTRAL - a large interdisciplinary project of the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC). The proposed model includes passenger and freight vehicle flows on major UK roads and predicts future demand in the form of an inter-zonal origin-destination matrix, using and elasticity-based simulation approach. An important part of the model is the network assignment step during which predicted flows are assigned to the road network. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Lovric M (Presenter); Blainey S; Preston JM External participant/s: 5th International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure
URL http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf
 
Description Development of a fast-track analysis of infrastructure needs for the small island state of Curaçao (31/07/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Jade Leung, the ITRC-MISTRAL researcher leading the study, described its aim as "enabling decision-makers within Curaçao to understand the opportunities available for robust infrastructure policy options, as well as developing a better understanding of future vulnerabilities". The study will help to decide on future infrastructure provision that will work well under the demands of population and tourism growth, and of climate change-driven sea-level rise. One important area of the analysis, undertaken by the ITRC's Lena Fuldauer, will work with the waste, wastewater and energy sectors, investigating the opportunities and risks that arise from interdependencies between these sectors. At the heart of the analysis sits the ITRC's National Infrastructure Systems Model for International Contexts (NISMOD-Int). This uses a system-of-systems approach to give Curacao's decision-makers information that will help them identify adaptable pathways for their sustainable development. NISMOD-Int uses a process whereby researchers work together with local policy-makers and experts to develop and test strategies for future infrastructure provision. This process is enabled by NISMOD-Int's data visualisation and decision support platform, developed by the ITRC's Tom Russell. UNOPS is assisting the Government of Curaçao to make local infrastructure more resilient to the demands and risks that lie ahead. UNOPS is supporting data collection and local stakeholder interactions. In June 2017, UNOPS' Ciaretta Profas led a meeting that brought together over 50 people from across Curaçao's infrastructure sector, including local governments, infrastructure companies (waste, wastewater, transport, water and electricity), Curacao Maritime Authority, Central Bureau of Statistics, UN agencies; and local environmental NGOs and activists. We were pleased to have the strong support of the Curaçao government, and were joined by Her Excellency Zita Jesus-Leito, Minister of Traffic, Transportation and Urban Planning. She opened the meeting by stressing the importance of developing a shared vision, with strategies that work with the unique nature of Curacao, and which balance economic and environmental factors: "Plans for infrastructure development and restructuring should always address the impact on the environment and nature. These should never be disregarded when developing cities and neighbourhoods. This model (NISMOD-Int) allows the Ministry to apply an integrated approach when initiating an infrastructure development project". An overview of the event was broadcast on the local television network in the local language, Papiamento. Over the coming months, members of ITRC-MISTRAL and UNOPS will be working closely with experts from Curaçao to finalise the fast-track analysis. It is expected that the insights derived from the analysis, alongside the knowledge creation during the process, will help to support evidence-based infrastructure development within Curaçao. This partnership forms part of a larger initiative by UNOPS to facilitate the roll-out and uptake of NISMOD-Int, as part of their programme on Evidence Based Infrastructure (EBI). Further applications of NISMOD-Int are currently being explored in a range of political and geographical contexts including in post-conflict, post-disaster and developing economies, rapidly developing city-states and small island nations from South and Central America, to Africa, the Middle East and Asia. Scott Thacker is a Senior Analyst for the Curaçao fast-track analysis - United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS). External Participants: Government Ministers of Curaçao Internal participants: Thacker S Leung J Fuldauer L Adshead D
URL https://www.youtube.com/embed/sMlSuns1VnM
 
Description DfT Modelling Meeting Post NS S&T WG: Infrastructure modelling: discussions of connections between the NISMOD2 transport model and NTM on 03/05/2018
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Amanda Rowlatt and Robin Cambery of the NIC met with Jim Hall 03/05/2018 for a meeting this morning, including an offer to follow up with more in-depth discussions of connections between the NISMOD2 transport model and NTM. The meeting also touched on the opportunities potentially provided by DAFNI to provide a secure and stable high performance compute platform for NTM. Details were forwarded to Sam Chorlton, who leads the DAFNI delivery programme at the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory and who will follow up to explore this possibility. This would be a good time to open that discussion, as DAFNI's design is now being finalised, and Sam's team are embarking on the delivery of the software platform. Though that platform is designed to be fairly multi-purpose, it would be useful to discuss any issues that NTM might bring. ? Outputs & outcomes: - Opportunities potentially provided by the Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) to provide a secure and stable high performance compute platform for NTM - Discussion of DAFNI's design to assess any issues that NTM might bring
 
Description Disaster Resilient Infrastructure Conference, New Delhi, India (15/01/2018 to 16/01/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact A slide presentation: Infrastructure development challenges. Themes covered included opportunities being created through the emergence of newly available global infrastructure network datasets, the role of infrastructure development as a key to addressing many of the sustainable development goals (SDG's), and infrastructure vulnerability assessment methodology, examples being China and New Zealand. The next step will be the development of an evidence based infrastructure assessment framework (EBIDF). ? Outputs & outcomes: Dr Raghav Pant provided a slide presentation 'Infrastructure development challenges' to conference for Technical Session 1 (TS-1 Contd.) Transport and Energy sectors. Chair : Mr Aromar Revi , Director -Indian Institute for Human Settlements, Coordinating Lead, Author of the 2018 IPCC Special Report on Global Warming Co-Chair : Ms Susanne Ursula Krings, National Expert, Federal Office of Civil Protection and Disaster Assistance (BBK), Germany ? Link: http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/ppts/15jan/TS-1/2/IWDRI2018_TS1_Pant_Oxford%20UK.pdf ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Hall J External participant/s: National Disaster Management Authority in India Kamal Kishore; Member, National Disaster Management Authority Supriya Krishnan; Member, National Disaster Management Authority
URL http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html
 
Description Disaster Resilient Infrastructure, National Disaster Management Authority in India (15/01/2018 to 16/01/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact A slide presentation: 'Managing risks in key infrastructure sectors' Infrastrucure failures using disruptions to UK infrastructure and lessons learnt. Analyising the risks of infrastructure failure, mapping and modelling interdependencies are considered leading to the economic benefit of alternative adaptations, progress with adaptation, ASC assessment of progress with adaptation, and the risk management cycle of - Assessing risks - Appraising responses - Implementing responses - Monitoring responses and return to assessing risks ? Outputs & outcomes: Prof Jim Hall provided a slide presentation 'Managing risks in key infrastructure sectors' to conference Technical Session 1 (TS1) 'Managing risks in key infrastructure sectors' subsection: 'Disaster Control Infrastructure'. Chair : Mr Kenichi Yokoyama, Country Director- India, Asian Development Bank Co-Chair : Mr Chatchawal Simaskul, Plan and Policy Analyst, Ministry of Transport, Thailand ? Link: Conference programme: http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html Conference programme ? Link: Prof Hall's presentation: http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/ppts/15jan/TS-1/1/IWDRI2018_TS1_Hall_Oxford%20UK.pdf
URL http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html
 
Description Disaster Resilient Infrastructure, National Disaster Management Authority in India (15/01/2018 to 16/01/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Email from Prof Hall to Kamal Kishore (Member, National Disaster Management Authority) describing the ITRC/Mistral research on developing methodology to analyse vulnerabilities within transport networks. Some insights into ITRC's interactions with national government provided by attachment of 'Strategic analysis of the future of national infrastructure' (https://www.icevirtuallibrary.com/doi/abs/10.1680/jcien.16.00018). In addition ITRC's influence in the recent Vision and Priorities (https://www.nic.org.uk/our-work/national-infrastructure-assessment/) document published by the National Infrastructure Commission and in the Institution of Civil Engineer's National Needs Assessment(https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr). The first phase of ITRC's research is all documented in the book 'The Future of National Infrastructure' (ISBN 9781107066021).
URL http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html
 
Description Discussion on 11/04/2017 with NIC members with reference to Energy modelling issues and questions: storage, distributed generation, assets
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact D Schneemann, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large of the NIC met with Dan Adshead, and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 11/04/2017 to discuss ? Energy modelling issues and questions: storage, distributed generation, assets Information also disseminated to Odifreddi F; Energy Policy Advisor National Infrastructure Commission
 
Description Discussion paper: Intended outputs of the ITRC and MISTRAL programmes (13/09/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact This discussion paper summarises the headline outputs from the ITRC and MISTRAL programmes. It is intended to respond to the ITRC-MISTRAL Client Group's question on intended impacts and to inform the Client Group's advice. Internal participants: Hall J; ITRC/Mistral researchers External participants: National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) Client Group
 
Description Economist Group report on sustainable infrastructure 'The critical role of infrastructure for the Sustainable Development Goals' (18/01/2019)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: A Technical Essay issued by The Economist Intelligence Unit. The essay discusses the benefits of infrastructure, examines the barriers to delivering sustainable infrastructure, and highlights solutions and best practices. Provision of technical help for this Essay which has been written by The Economist Intelligence Unit supported by UNOPS, the UN organisation with a core mandate for infrastructure. The research uses three pillars - the economy, the environment and wider society - as well as the overarching theme of resilience through which to assess the role of infrastructure in meeting global social and environment goals. External Participants: ? Marianne Fay, chief economist for climate change, World Bank ? Mark Harvey, head of profession (infrastructure), UK Department for International Development ? Morgan Landy, senior directorof global infrastructure and natural resources, International Finance Corporation ? Virginie Marchal, senior policy analyst, Environment Directorate, OECD ? Jo da Silva, founder and director, International Development, Arup ? Graham Watkins, principal environment specialist, Inter-American Development Bank Internal participants: Thacker S Hall JW
URL https://unops.economist.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/ThecriticalroleofinfrastructurefortheSustaina...
 
Description Evidence based infrastructure assessment framework (EBIDF) workshop including ITRC's presentation of 'NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework' (29/06/2017) (United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)).
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact The meeting introduced various aspects of Urban, Transport and Traffic Planning. The article was broadcast on the local tv-station fully in the local language (link : https://youtu.be/sMlSuns1VnM). Scott Thacker (the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)) gave the presentation describing 'NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework'. Jade Leung, one of the ITRC's research team, has been working with UNOPS to develop a fast-track analysis of the infrastructure needs of the small island state of Curaçao, in the Caribbean, by the end of 2017. Curaçao's economy is likely to host greater numbers of tourists in the near future - the demand from extra visitors will exert significant pressure on national infrastructure systems, and, as a small island state, the risks associated with rising sea-levels need to be investigated. Jade Leung will be piloting a new element of NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework. This will develop some standard themes and approaches for decision-makers to support them as they apply NISMOD-Int data to creating practical, workable responses to future infrastructure challenges. External participants: ? Ciaretta Gianella Gianiza Profas, National Project Coordinator, Curaçao ? Zita Jesus-Leito, Minister di VVRP ? Sherwin Josepha, Servisio Di Obra Públiko Internal participants: - Thacker S - Leung J - Fuldauer L
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/fast-track-analysis-for-curacao/#.WqgUkmrFIdU
 
Description External Stakeholder engagement: Department of Transport, International Transport Analysis Conference (ITAC) (25/11/2016)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Simon Blainey will attend the International Transport Analysis Conference at Department of Transport (DfT) on 25 November 2016. Conference objectives: - Connect; bring together researchers, analysts, policy makers, and other parties to tackle joint research and policy problems - Build a knowledge network; greater collaboration and research sharing across academia, sector experts, researchers and government analysts - Co-operate; collaborative working opportunities such as placements and secondments Internal participant/s Blainey SP External Participant/s Department of Transport, International Transport Analysis Conference (ITAC)
 
Description External Stakeholder: Department of Transport: Assessing Single Point Criticalities to Interdependent Infrastructure Networks at the National Scale (24/02/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact This was an end of project presentation, so the specific outcomes were to discuss the findings of the project with the DfT to assist decisions made. Attendees: Andrew Murray CEng FIMechE; Accomplished Engineering & Operations Director, Network Rail Tony Sawh; Stakeholder Manager, Network Rail Tracy Catling; Aviation Strategy and Contingencies, Department of Transport Simon Lancaster; Strategy Co-ordination and Programmes (SCP) Sharon Sottin; SCP Chris Watts; Deputy Director, National Security, Department of Transport Robert Boscott; Transport Security and Operation Centre, Department of Transport
 
Description Fast Track Analysis for National Infrastructure. UNOPS presents road map on building sustainable and robust infrastructure to officials from the Government of the State of Palestine.
Geographic Reach Asia 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Mr. Al Hasayneh added: "We have to unite all the efforts to come up with an effective and innovative plan to challenges such as population growth, and climate change." EBIDF presents a comprehensive road map to the way Governments and practitioners think about and plan for infrastructure.
URL https://www.unops.org/english/News/announcements/Pages/Fast-Track-Analysis-for-National-Infrastructu...
 
Description Fifth Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP) Annual Conference: SUSTAINABLE INFRASTRUCTURE. Hosted by the World Bank, Washington DC, USA 27-29 November 2017
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Infrastructure-understood to include water supply and sanitation, flood protection, roads and transport, energy and telecommunications-has major implications for a variety of development outcomes, at the household level (health, education and social mobility), at the firm level (productivity, industrial development), and at the global level (climate change, energy, forests, biodiversity, pollution). Ensuring affordable and reliable access remains a major challenge in developing countries, but one that is further complicated by both a changing climate and changing climate policies. The balancing act across the three dimensions of sustainability - social, economic, and environmental - is increasingly central to the infrastructure challenge, even as the world appears to have made little progress in solving the infrastructure finance gap. These issues can and have been addressed from different scientific perspectives, including many different disciplines and methods. However, despite a clear move of the academic community towards interdisciplinary projects, researchers working on specific aspects of the infrastructure agenda are not systematically interacting with each other. The Fifth Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP) Annual Conference will be hosted by the World Bank on the topic of sustainable infrastructure, to stimulate research on these issues and foster interdisciplinary dialogue where relevant. This conference aims at taking stock of recent advances and research challenges. To do so, we plan to gather the best researchers in the field, both from the academic world and from more policy-oriented backgrounds, to exchange ideas and insights in a two-day conference organized at the World Bank. Attending for ITRC: Prof Jim Hall
URL http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/news/call-papers-fifth-ggkp-annual-conference-sustainable-infras...
 
Description Flood and coastal risk management: long-term investment scenarios (LTIS) 2019 (Environment Agency Report, HM Government) (01/03/2019)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: LTIS 2019 Section 8. 'The impacts of flooding' LTIS analysis includes damage to properties as well as wider impacts of flooding. This is in line with flood and coastal erosion risk management (FCERM) options appraisal guidance and practice. The Environment Agency worked with the University of Oxford (ITRC) to explore the impacts of flooding from rivers and the sea on transport and utilities infrastructure including: road, rail, electricity, gas, water. The analysis included: sites, networks, the interdependencies between networks. The analysis did not have access to data about the resilience of individual sites. Consequently it was limited to describing the extent to which properties in England are served by infrastructure located in (or dependent on others in) areas at risk of flooding. We were unable to include telecommunications because data was not available. This is ground-breaking work using a unique set of national infrastructure modelling tools. Being part of an 'open and collaborative approach' of national and international experts LTIS 2019 significantly improves the Government's understanding of: the potential impacts to infrastructure without resilience, and how these impacts can be used to improve investment modelling. Confidence in LTIS assessment of these wider impacts has improved. This allows them to be better represented within the LTIS optimisation calculations. The effect of this on optimum investment in the baseline scenario is: an increase in net present value (NPV) from £101 billion to about £220 billion, the overall benefit to cost ratio increases from about 5 to 1, to about 9 to 1, and a revision of the optimum level of investment upwards from a long-term annual average of £860 million to £933 million, which would increase risk reduction from 12% to about 15% Twitter feed: Daniel Johns? @DanielJ88 · Feb 28 (Head of Public Affairs @AnglianWater ) @EnvAgency fires the starting pistol on this year's govt #spendingreview by publishing new #floods long-term investment scenarios. 'Dredging Today' https://www.dredgingtoday.com/2019/03/01/new-study-on-flood-defenses-in-the-uk/ 'The Environment Agency has just released a new economic assessment to aid planning for flooding and coastal risk management over the next 50 years. The study uses new climate change, population and mapping data to set out potential future scenarios, assessing how funding could be best allocated to meet these challenges.' https://www.dredgingtoday.com/2019/03/01/new-study-on-flood-defenses-in-the-uk/ Link: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/flood-and-coastal-risk-management-in-england-long-term-investment/long-term-investment-scenarios-ltis-2019#the-impacts-of-flooding External participant: The Environment Agency, UK Government Internal participants: Zorn C. ITRC Group
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/flood-and-coastal-risk-management-in-england-long-term-in...
 
Description Forecasting the throughput of the United Kingdom deep water container seaports up to 2050; Siga2 2018 Conference 'Maritime and Ports' (03/05/2018 - 04/05/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Siga2 2018 Conference 'Maritime and Ports'. The Special Interest Group A2 (Ports and Maritime) of the World Conference on Transport Research Society (WCTRS). The conference featured presentations that deal with a topic that can be considered to be at current a key development in the port and maritime business, either at management, operational or policy level. The ITRC/Mistral presentation covered: Forecasting the throughput of the United Kingdom deep water container seaports up to 2050. Internal participants: Buitrago Moreno M Preston J External participants: Jan Hoffmann; Group A2 Chair Prof. Thierry Vanelslander (Department of Transport and Regional Economics - University of Antwerp / TransportNET), Conference Co-chair Prof. Enrico Musso (Department of Quantitative Methods - University of Genova / TransportNET), Conference Co-chair
URL https://www.uantwerpen.be/en/conferences/siga2-2018-conference/specific-features/#
 
Description Fulai Sheng of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) was contacted by Steve Crosskey of UNOPS to confirm a 90 minute presentation, and hands on demonstration, of certain key aspects of the NISMOD-Int tool through a scenario based activity to be presented by Dr. Thacker (UNOPS, ITRC). (19/09/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Steve Crosskey of UNOPS contacted Fulai Sheng of UNEP to confirm that, after their telephone conversation on 18/09/2018, expressing that they have many areas in common with their working goals. The aspect of long term planning under deep uncertainty is maybe of interest for the Turin workshop, and Steve Crosskey would be happy to arrange a 90 minute session of presentation, and hand on demonstration of certain key aspects of the tool through a scenario based activity. Dr. Thacker (ITRC UNOPS Lead, based in Oxford) from Steve Crosskey's unit would come and deliver the presentation. Further presentations from a report from NISMOD use in Curaçao that can be shared (as well as similar for CAT-I in Brazil.) Some sensitivity around results of assessments, so explicit permission to share results must be obtained which sometimes makes putting together case studies difficult. A follow up email on 20/09/2018 from Beibei Gu to Steve Crosskey (both of UNOPS) thanked him for sharing the Evidence-Based Infrastructure (http://ebidf.org/) framework and the relevant tool package. Ms Gu found it to be very helpful and certainly relevant to the target audience of the UNOPS Turin training. Ms Gu suggested a follow-up discussion with Mr Crosskey on the proposed session, and also to share a bit of session flow? Given that the Turin participants are mid- and senior-level policymakers, there is a need to be as interactive as possible to stimulate exchanges. Mr Crosskeys followed the last email up on the same day (20/09/2018) to progress the discussions to include Dr Thacker by holding an 'in person' meeting (flying in from Copenhagen on Thursday 11th October, and returning the same day). External particpants: ? Fulai Sheng; Head, Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) ? Steve Crosskey; Head of IPM Strategic Initiatives, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS Headquarters ? Beibei Gu; Consultant at United Nations Environmental Programme Internal participant: Thacker S.
 
Description Future research meetings to discuss NIC engagement elements: transport model, new strategies; additional issues with water & solid waste models (21/03/2017)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC on 21/03/2017 to discuss ? transport model, new strategies ? additional issues with water & solid waste models
 
Description Future research meetings to discuss NIC engagement elements: water, wastewater and waste models (15/03/2017)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and J Large from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives on 15/03/2017 to discuss ? Water model questions ? Wastewater link to water model ? Packages & visualisation ? New solid waste strategies and separating LACW and C&I from MSW outputs
 
Description Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF) Infrastructure for Sustainable Development Hub. Feedback request to the Inter American Development Bank (IADB) on the ITRC/Mistral proposal for the IADB to be named as a potential collaborator. November 2017
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Communication between Prof Jim Hall and Mr Hendrik Meller (Advisor for Sustainable Infrastructure and Climate Change in Latin America and the Caribbean in the Environmental Safeguards Unit of the Inter-American Development Bank(IADB)) to propose a meeting in Washington (USA) to discuss a proposal for the IADB to become a collaborator for the Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF) Infrastructure for Sustainable Development Hub. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Hall J External participant/s: Hendrik Meller, Advisor for Sustainable Infrastructure and Climate Change in Latin America and the Caribbean in the Environmental Safeguards Unit, Inter-American Development Bank Graham George Watkins, Principal Environmental Specialist, Inter-American Development Bank Tomas Sebastian Serebrisky, Principal Economic Advisor, Inter-American Development Bank Maria Cecilia Ramirez Bello, Infrastructure specialist, Inter-American Development Bank Giovanni Leo Frisari, Climate Change Economist, Inter-American Development Bank
URL http://www.rcuk.ac.uk/funding/gcrf/interdisciplinary-research-hubs-to-address-intractable-challenges...
 
Description Global Engineering Congress at the Institute of Civil Engineers (ICE) 'Mobilising the global engineering community to deliver the Sustainable Development Goals' (22/10/2018 - 26/10/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Wednesday a.m. Innovate overview session title: Supporting evidence-based infrastructure development worldwide: - 'Overview of Evidence Based Infrastructure (EBI)', Nick O'Regan, Director of Infrastructure and Project Management, UNOPS - 'Introduction to tools', Jim Hall, Director, Environmental Institute - 'Highlighting specifically technical developments (tools) within EBI and case-study applications: NISMOD-Int Curacao and CAT-I', Scott Thacker, Senior Analyst, & Steven Crosskey, Head of Strategic Initiatives, UNOPS. Highlighting a range of co-developed tools and methodologies that are being implemented in various countries globally ? Links: https://www.ice.org.uk/ICEDevelopmentWebPortal/media/Events/Conferences/GEC-Brochure-web.pdf https://www.ice.org.uk/events/global-engineering-congress External participants: Nick O'Regan, Director of Infrastructure and Project Management Group (IPMG), UNOPS Steven Crosskey, Head, Strategic Initiatives, IPMG, UNOPS Internal participants Thacker S. Hall J.W.
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/ICEDevelopmentWebPortal/media/Events/Conferences/GEC-Brochure-web.pdf
 
Description Government Office for Science Foresight Project - Future of Mobility (November 2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact The Government Office for Science, led by the Government Chief Scientific Advisor, Sir Mark Walport, is starting a Foresight project on the Future of Mobility. We are very keen to speak with you to get your thoughts on this high profile project that will bring together the latest academic research to impact on future policy in government. The latest academic research is vital to help shape future policy making in the cross-cutting area of Mobility. Foresight projects last about 12 months and previous futures projects have included Population Ageing, Cities and Manufacturing (for more information please follow https://www.foresight.gov.uk). A key element of this work on transport will be to analyse the existing scientific landscape, using the best available data, to build a robust evidence base on how transport demands and provision could look in 2040. In particular, a detailed investigation into the status quo, current trends and identification of drivers of change will be conducted. Social, demographic, economic and technological trends will be considered to develop a set of transport futures, projecting 25/30 years into the future. The project will also work with policymakers to consider what this evidence base means for policy development in their area. Infrastructure systems is an area that we are very keen to explore and having identified yourself as an expert in this field, I would be very interested to see if this is an area where you can help. We are especially keen to find out more about the work of the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium. ITRC Mistral participant/s: John Preston and Simon Blainey External participant/s: Dr Jon Keating, Foresight Project Research Officer, Government Office for Science (Go-Science) Jones Rebecca, Team Leader, Demography and Ageing, Government Office for Science (Go-Science)
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/foresight-projects
 
Description Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP) Annual Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure, Washington DC. Parallel Session C2, Adaptation and Long Term Decision-Making (27/11/2017 - 28/11/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: A two-day conference bringing together the best researchers in the field of interdisciplinary projects, researchers working on specific aspects of the infrastructure agenda, both from the academic world and from more policy-oriented backgrounds, to take stock of recent advances and challenges around the infrastructure agenda. Links: ? http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/Presentation_C2_Pant.pdf ? http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/GGKP_Fifth_Annual_Conference%20Report.pdf Internal participants: Pant, R. Thacker, S. Hall, J.W. External participants: ? World Bank ? Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP) ? Chair: Arame Tall, Climate Change, World Bank ? Discussant: Joe Grice, Office of National Statistics, United Kingdom
URL http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/Presentation_C2_Pant.pdf
 
Description Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP) Annual Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure, Washington DC. Parallel Session D2 Adaptation and Flooding (27/11/2018 - 28/11/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: A two-day conference bringing together the best researchers in the field of interdisciplinary projects, researchers working on specific aspects of the infrastructure agenda, both from the academic world and from more policy-oriented backgrounds, to take stock of recent advances and challenges around the infrastructure agenda. Links: ? http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/D2_Hu.pdf ? http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/GGKP_Fifth_Annual_Conference%20Report.pdf Internal participants: Pant, R. Hall, J.W. Hu, X. Lim, W.H. Lu, X. External participants: ? World Bank ? Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP) ? Session Chair: K. Vijaya Lakshmi, Development Alternatives ? Discussant: Jaco Tavenier, Oragnisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
URL http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/D2_Hu.pdf
 
Description Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP) Annual Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure, Washington DC. Plenary Session: Going with the Flow: Water Infrastructure and Sustainable Development (27/11/2017 - 28/11/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: A two-day conference bringing together the best researchers in the field of interdisciplinary projects, researchers working on specific aspects of the infrastructure agenda, both from the academic world and from more policy-oriented backgrounds, to take stock of recent advances and challenges around the infrastructure agenda. Link: ? http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/GGKP_Fifth_Annual_Conference%20Report.pdf Internal participant: Hall J.W. External participants: ? World Bank ? Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP) ? Session Chair: Guang Zhe Chen, Water Global Practice, World Bank
URL http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/GGKP_Fifth_Annual_Conference%20Report.pdf
 
Description Guidance to the report by the Global Risks 2017 Advisory Board.
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact Instigation of collaboration across multiple interconnected systems, countries, areas of expertise, and stakeholder groups with the aim of having a greater societal impact. It is hoped that The Global Risks Report 2017 and the subsequent deliberations at the World Economic Forum's Annual Meeting 2017 will contribute to a debate about pragmatic solutions.
URL http://www3.weforum.org/docs/GRR17_Report_web.pdf
 
Description HM Govt. Infrastructure and climate change report (Postnote 621) (27/03/2020)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Key infrastructure areas such as transport, energy, water and telecoms are vital to society and the economy. Evidence suggests that climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, posing a risk to infrastructure systems. This POSTnote looks at the main climate-related risks to the UK's economic infrastructure, measures to reduce these risks and the main challenges to implementing resilience measures. The ITRC is referenced by the following articles (*reports produced referencing ITRC): 4. National Infrastructure Commission (2018). National Infrastructure Assessment. * 12. National Infrastructure Commission (2019). Resilience Study: Scoping Responses. * 26. National Infrastructure Commission (2018). Preparing for a drier future. * 36. Pant, R. et al. (2016). Analysing the risks of failure of interdependent infrastructure networks. in The Future of National Infrastructure. (eds. Hall, J. W. et al.) 241-267. Cambridge University Press. 39. Hall, J. W. et al. (2016). Introducing national infrastructure assessment. in The Future of National Infrastructure. (eds. Hall, J. W. et al.) 3-11. Cambridge University Press. 41. Hall, J. W. et al. (2014). Assessing the Long-Term Performance of Cross-Sectoral Strategies for National Infrastructure. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, Vol 20, 04014014. 49. Thacker, S. et al. (2017). System-of-systems formulation and disruption analysis for multi-scale critical national infrastructures. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, Vol 167, 30-41. 119. Hall, J. W. et al. (2019). Adaptation thresholds and pathways for tidal flood risk management in London. Climate Risk Management, Vol 24, 42-58. 127. DAFNI : Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure. (Chair of Governance Board, Prof J.W. Hall) External participants: The Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology, Westminster, London SW1A 0AA Cabinet Office Defra HM Treasury Members of the POST Board Internal participants: J.W. Hall ITRC Link: https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/POST-PN-0621/POST-PN-0621.pdf
URL https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/POST-PN-0621/POST-PN-0621.pdf
 
Description HS2: the planned high-speed railway linking London and cities in the Midlands and North of England. Understanding resilience to climate change. (01/04/2016 - 28/06/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact In April 2016 Dr Raghav Pant and Dr Scott Thacker from the Environmental Change Institute (ECI) at the School of Geography and the Environment asked the Consulting Services team at Oxford University Innovation for help with a complex collaborative project. The objective was to assess the possible impacts of climate change on interdependent systems along HS2 - the planned high-speed railway linking London, Birmingham, the East Midlands, Leeds, Sheffield and Manchester. The project was managed by JBA Consulting - a group of engineers, environmental consultants, designers and scientists who for the last 20 years have been committed to improving the natural and built environment - and alongside the ECI team also included professionals from the Met Office. With OUI's assistance, contracts and invoicing arrangements were put in place, and the work got underway. Raghav and Scott's insights enabled the project to make practical, science-based judgements based on world-leading techniques established by the University of Oxford's Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium. Together, they led the development of a comprehensive methodology to assist civil engineers and designers in accounting for climate change interdependencies when designing the HS2 route. In particular, they developed and implemented methods for describing the interdependencies; created a risk-based approach for assessing the impact of climate change on HS2 interdependencies; and prescribed a methodology for categorising, assessing and prioritising any HS2 vulnerabilities arising from these interdependencies. Their work established a system-of-systems approach that provides HS2 with a holistic understanding of risk attributable to other interdependent utilities such as electricity, gas, water, etc. In a nutshell, it is a comprehensive climate change risk assessment of interdependent infrastructures, which is an intrinsic part of HS2 Ltd's commitment to creating a resilient high-speed railway network. Internal participants: Pant R; Thacker, S External participants: JBA Consulting ? Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/hs2-understanding-resilience-to-climate-change/ ? Link: https://innovation.ox.ac.uk/university-members/engaging-social-sciences/first-class-ticket-climate-change-resilience/
URL https://innovation.ox.ac.uk/university-members/engaging-social-sciences/first-class-ticket-climate-c...
 
Description ITRC Infrastructure Analysis: OxCam Arc: Evaluating impact of local, regional and national choices on sustainable future options (20/11/2019)
Geographic Reach Local/Municipal/Regional 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact This consultation and dissemination event will combine a presentation of the ITRC's new analysis of the Arc with keynote presentations from stakeholders in the initiative. Panel discussions with tackle the complex challenges implied by the Arc. We aim to demonstrate the capabilities of the UK's universities (inside and outside the Arc) to add value and insight to this complex and contested initiative. We will provide scenarios that stimulate discussion and models that can be used to explore possible futures and navigate trade-offs. External participants: Paul Leinster, CBE, Professor of Environmental Assessment at Cranfield University, previously Chief Executive of the Environment Agency. Bev Hindle, Director of the Oxfordshire Growth Board, Director of the Oxford to Cambridge Arc Leaders and Chief Executive groups. Internal participants: J.W. hall Alison Smith Dr. Simon Blainey Dr. Modassar Chaudry Lahiru Jayasuriya Dr. Ed Oughton Dr Alistair Ford Dr Nik Lomax Prof Stuart Barr
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/consultation-dissemination-event-november-2019
 
Description ITRC paper 'Engineering for Sustainable Development' requested for use as part of the learning programme for engineers about the SDGs (17/10/2018 & 24/10/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: ICE were offered the ITRC report "Infrastructure: underpinning sustainable development", which will include detailed explanations of the influences between infrastructure and all 17 SDGs. Accompanying each SDG , the ITRC/UNOPS demonstrate the influences using real-world civil engineering projects. Release date Wednesday the 24th of October. 24/10/2018:Foreward to Conference: DR. MARLENE KANGA, AM FTSE Hon.FIEAust Hon.FIChemE, PRESIDENT, World Federation of Engineering Organisations The World Federation of Engineering Organisations (WFEO) is proud to be leading the celebration of engineering as part of the bicentenary of the Institution of Civil Engineers, a national member of the Federation representing the UK, and to also celebrate the 50th anniversary of the founding of WFEO. Their Triennial Statement states, in part: The SDGs were developed to address these challenges. They set out a 'bold and transformative plan of action which could shift the world onto a sustainable and resilient path, leaving no one behind.' Using the SDGs as our framework, and the GEC as our launchpad, we intend to bring about transformative change in the way that infrastructure is designed, built and maintained. ITRC/UNOPS presentations: 'Supporting evidence-based infrastructure development worldwide. Overview of Evidence Based Infrastructure (EBI)'. Nick O'Regan, Director of infrastructure and project management, UNOPS 'Introduction to tools'. Jim Hall, Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford 'Highlighting specifically technical developments (tools) within EBI and case-study applications: NISMOD-Int, Curacao and CAT-I'. Scott Thacker, UNOPS & ITRC; Steven Crosskey, UNOPS Scott Thacker, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) 'Global Opportunities for Infrastructure Intelligence' slide presentation Presentation covered many aspects including: Opportunity - To identify adaptable pathways to sustainable development - Large quantities of infrastructure still to be built [estimated $57 trillion 2013 - 2030] Risk - Long-term lock-in to unstainable technologies and practices - Inaction Solution - Evidence and intelligence required to harness this opportunity and avoid the risk. To underpin policy and business cases and provide confidence to investors Conclusions -Infrastructure is central for achieving sustainable development The opportunity is reliant on evidence and intelligence New datasets, methodologies and case studies are emerging Still lots to be done to satisfy the global need With Data and Analytics Facility National Infrastructure (DAFNI), the UK can be at the forefront of realising this global future. INFRASTRUCTURE LAYS FOUNDATIONS FOR SDG SUCCESS New Oxford University-UNOPS report stresses infrastructure as key to unlocking Sustainable Development Goals. A new report published today by the University of Oxford-led Infrastructure Transition Research Consortium (ITRC) and UNOPS, has found that efficient infrastructure policy and disciplined investment decisions are vital for attaining the SDGs. The report, Infrastructure: Underpinning Sustainable Development, is the result of extensive research into the influence that both 'networked infrastructure' (water, waste, energy, digital communications and transport infrastructure) and 'non-networked infrastructure' (buildings and facilities) have on all 17 SDGs. It highlights the need to understand infrastructure as an integrated system of systems - the interdependencies across sectors requires us to break down the 'silo mentality' in infrastructure development. Focusing on real-life projects implemented by UNOPS around the world, the report finds that infrastructure projects can have multiple effects across several SDGs and their targets. It found that networked infrastructure influences 72 percent of SDG targets, while non-networked infrastructure influences 81 percent of targets - reinforcing the pivotal role that infrastructure will play towards attaining the SDGs. Introducing the report, UNOPS Executive Director Grete Faremo said: "Infrastructure, in particular, underpins all of the SDGs. It plays a critical role in society because it can influence development far into the future - both positively and negatively. This is why it is vital to understand the influence that infrastructure systems have on the SDGs. "We are proud to present this report together with Oxford/ITRC, and to reaffirm our commitment to helping people build better lives and countries achieve peace and sustainable development." The launch of the report coincides with the 2018 Global Engineering Conference, hosted by the Institution of Civil Engineers in London, starting today. UNOPS Director of Infrastructure and Project Management, Mr Nick O'Regan, will present the report during a keynote speech on Wednesday 24 October 2018. He will explore how rapid population growth, urbanization, climate change and challenges associated with development funding impact on achieving the SDGs. "Our children and the children of those we serve have great expectations of their future, it is on all of us to create an environment that is resilient, sustainable and equitable - and the built environment can be an enabler or an obstacle to this," said Mr O'Regan. "Together with our partners the ITRC, we have focused on the SDGs as a common framework to work towards an understanding of how we can contribute to sustainable development. This will help governments, and their development partners make better-informed decisions within this uncertainty," he said. Professor of Climate and Environmental Risk, University of Oxford, Professor Jim W Hall FREng added: "Though our research started from a sustainability perspective, in particular the central role that infrastructure has in climate change mitigation and adaptation, our work has attracted growing attention from finance ministries and infrastructure units that tend to be focused on the role of infrastructure in economic growth and productivity." "In that sense, infrastructure can be a 'Trojan horse' that brings sustainability considerations within the purview of the economic imperatives of most governments. "The collaboration between ITRC and UNOPS has been a very productive one, with UNOPS bringing us new challenges from very diverse contexts around the world and opportunities for our work to have an impact on the ground, which is what motivates my team. This report provides a next important step in that journey." In addition, the press circulation was: Name: Job title: Media outlet Matt McGrath; Environment Corresponden;t BBC Christian Knutson; Podcast Host; Civil Engineering podcast Sarah George; Reporter; Edie Olivia Minnock; Content Editor; Energy Digital Bernadette Ballantyne; Podcast Host; Engineering Matters podcast Peter Reina; Europe Correspondent; London Engineering News Record Terry Slavin; Editor Ethical; Corporation Rob Horgan; News Editor; New Civil Engineer Connor Ibbetson; Reporter; New Civil Engineer Sam Sholli; Reporter; New Civil Engineer Isabella Kaminski; Freelancer Links: https://www.slideshare.net/UKCIP/global-opportunities-for-infrastructure-intelligence https://www.ice.org.uk/ICEDevelopmentWebPortal/media/Events/Conferences/GEC-Programme-107.pdf https://www.ice.org.uk/ICEDevelopmentWebPortal/media/Events/Conferences/GLOBAL-ENGINEERING-CONGRESS-BROCHURE.pdf External participants: ? Hannah Besford, ICE Learns (Knowledge) Team - Project Manager ? Steve Crosskey, UNOPS ? Dr. Marlene Kanga, AM FTSE Hon.FIEAust Hon.FIChemE, President, World Federation of Engineering Organisations ? Nick O'Regan, Director of infrastructure and project management, UNOPS ? Zita Jesus-Leito, Minister of Traffic, Transportation and Urban Planning, Curaçao Internal participants: Thacker S. Hall J.
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/infrastructure-lays-foundation-for-sdg-success/
 
Description ITRC press release quote - NISMOD Water Model Link to NIC (10/05/2018 - 11/05/2018)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Sarah Southerton of the NIC was advised by Matt Ives of a link to the NIC the Oxford Science Blog (http://www.ox.ac.uk/news/science-blog) that should go out on the 10th or 11th of May 2018 promoting the ITRC/Mistral's new NISMOD water model manuscript (https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/wej.12352). This article will not make use of the quote but mentions the use of this water model in the NIC work (with a link to your publication). Apparently the Oxford Science Blog has 20,000 readers so some additional exposure. ? Outputs & outcomes: Additional exposure of the NISMOD Water model to apparently 20,000 readers of the Oxford Science Blog.
 
Description Infrastructure assessments, comparison of modelling approaches by the Greater London Authority (21/08/2017)
Geographic Reach Local/Municipal/Regional 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact From Jeremy Skinner, Head of Economic Growth, Greater London Authority: Both James Stewart at KPMG and Professor Brian Collins at UCL have mentioned some of the work that you'd been doing with the National Infrastructure Commission and I wanted to get in touch to understand a bit more about the approach you are taking. I lead the team in London that produced the 2050 London infrastructure plan in 2014 and subsequent updates for which more information can be found here. But more specifically, we have been working with an SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) called Greenwood Strategic Advisors to develop a system dynamics based approach to modelling policy and investment decisions in the capital, an approach which the same firm is deploying for Boston and Frankfurt. I thought I'd get in touch to see if there were any resonances with the work that you have been doing work, an overview of which would be much appreciated in any case. Response from Professor Jim Hall: The approach that we have developed, which is discussed in our book The Future of National Infrastructure, is a combination of: 1. Systems modelling of infrastructure networks: energy, transport, digital, water, waste, flood risk management 2. Decision analysis to explore the implications of future scenarios (e.g. population growth, climate change) and sequence policies and investments going into the future. The first phase of our ITRC research programme focussed at a national scale, and developed the NISMOD model, which is now being used by the National Infrastructure Commission for the National Infrastructure Assessment. We also used NISMOD to inform the National Needs Assessment led by Sir John Armitt. A short paper on that work is attached. The current phase of our programme is called MISTRAL and is operating at multiple spatial scales, including the city scale, as well as exploring opportunities to transfer the technologies globally. I've interacted with the GLA in a number of different contexts over the years, including in relation to adaptation to climate change, water and flooding. I'd be happy to follow up with a telephone conversation or meeting next time I'm in London to explore potential connections with the GLA. Appended Document: Jim W. Hall, Scott Thacker, Matt C. Ives, Yue Cao, Strategic analysis of the future of national infrastructure. Civil Engineering Volume 170 Issue CE1 pp 39-47 Internal participant: Hall J External participants: Jeremy Skinner, Head of Economic Growth, Greater London Authority Madalina Ursu, Infrastructure and Competitiveness Policy Officer in Economic and Business Policy, Greater London Authority Oscar Watkins, Policy and Project Officer - Economic Growth, Greater London Authority Molly Strauss, Senior Policy and Programme Officer, Greater London Authority Matthew Daley, Greater London Authority
 
Description Initiative on Climate Change policy and Governance (ICCG) Lecture Series on Disaster Risk Reduction. Webinar by Dr Elco Koks (19/12/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Outputs & outcomes: The ICCG has investigated the Hot Topic of 2017 "Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR)" seeking knowledge from webinars, publications, and from the Best Climate Practices contest. The ICCG closes 2017 by launching a new video lecture series on DRR. The lecture series features international experts who address the theme in a simple and accessible way, providing definitions, case studies, and examples of solutions and best practices. ITRC were represented by Dr Elco Kok's webinar on extreme weather events. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Koks E External participant/s: Alessandra Mazzai; Information and Communication Officer, Initiative on Climate Change policy and Governance (ICCG)
URL http://www.iccgov.org/iccg-videolezioni-sul-tema-riduzione-del-rischio-disastri-naturali-drr/
 
Description Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE) Northern Infrastructure Strategy
Geographic Reach Local/Municipal/Regional 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Improvements in: 1. Population projections 2. Economic projections, based on the Cambridge Econometrics multi-sectoral model of the UK economy 3. Demand projections for infrastructure services from each of our infrastructure models
URL https://www.greatermanchester-ca.gov.uk/info/20001/transport/50/transport_for_greater_manchester_tra...
 
Description Invitation from Fuzhou (China) to contribute to policy briefs such as this one: International Expert Meeting on Sustainable Infrastructure (22/10/2018 - 23/10/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Lead paper on a framework for assessing tools and methodologies that enable strategic planning of infrastructure to meet the sustainable development goals: Implementing an integrated approach to infrastructure (moderator Matteo TARANTINO, UNIGE) • Panel Discussion: Examples of an integrated approach in practice ? Outputs & outcomes: This meeting will involve consulting with the participants of the Fuzhou Group (those who attended the symposium) to build a broad and inclusive framework. Following the meeting The ITRC/Mistral has been invited to contribute to policy briefs such as this one: http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/resource/mainstreaming-biodiversity-infrastructure-sector-fostering-system-level-approaches • Will Usher (ITRC) will lead a paper on a framework for assessing tools and methodologies that enable strategic planning of infrastructure to meet the sustainable development goals. This will involve consulting the participants of the Fuzhou Group (those attended the symposium) to build a broad and inclusive framework ? Links: http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/event/international-expert-meeting-sustainable-infrastructure http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/resource/mainstreaming-biodiversity-infrastructure-sector-fostering-system-level-approaches External participants: General: ? School of Economics, Fujian Normal University (Hosts) ? United Nations Environment Programme (Co-organized) Panel Discussion: Examples of an integrated approach in practice ? Vincent NADIN, TU Delft ? Anuradha RAMASWAMI, University of Minnesota ? DONG Zhanfeng, Chinese Academy of Environmental Planning (CAEP) Internal participant: Usher W
URL http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/resource/mainstreaming-biodiversity-infrastructure-sector-foster...
 
Description Launch of the Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) (06/07/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact An audience of 135 representatives from government, business and academia attended the launch and initial consultation event of the Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI), part of the UKCRIC - an £8 million, 4-year project to revolutionize how infrastructure is modelled, assessed, planned and delivered. The ITRC has been the key institutional agent shaping DAFNI, its key output, the NISMOD1 suite of long term performance planning software as well as the NISMOD Database are the seed pilots for the facility. Keynote speakers external to Mistral: Ian Osborne, Head of Complex Systems, KTN James Stewart, Head of Global Infrastructure, KPMG Erica Yang, Head of Visual Analytics and Imaging Systems, Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC) David Wallom, University of Oxford Alex Wrottesley, Ordnance Survey Bianca Letti, National Infrastructure Commission Richard Milton / Michael Batty, University College London Philip Steadman / Paul Ruyssevelt, University College London Keynote speakers from Mistral group: Jim Hall, DAFNI Project Lead, University of Oxford Scott Thacker, United Nations Office for Project Services Stuart Barr, University of Newcastle Nik Lomax, University of Leeds Tom Russell, University of Oxford Simon Blainey, University of Southampton Keiron Roberts, University of Southampton Links: https://www.itrc.org.uk/dafni-data-and-analytics-facility-for-national-infrastructure/dafni-launch/ http://www.itrc.org.uk/dafni-data-and-analytics-facility-for-national-infrastructure/dafni-launch/#.WqkwdufLddg
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/dafni-data-and-analytics-facility-for-national-infrastructure/dafni-launch/#....
 
Description Launch of the National Needs Assessment, 18/10/2016, which sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's long term infrastructure assessment.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Launched on 18/10/2016, the National Needs Assessment sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's long term infrastructure assessment. It has examined what the UK is likely to need from its infrastructure in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. It has also looked at the way in which infrastructure networks relate to, and depend on, one another and how this will impact on the performance of the networks in the future. [...] The primary source for evidence for the NNA comes from the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium led by Professor Jim Hall at Oxford University. Their modelling provides a framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks. They have established a series of scenarios which set out the main demand drivers on infrastructure - population growth, climate change, technology, economic trends. https://www.ice.org.uk/getattachment/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr/National-Needs-Assessment-PDF-(1).pdf.aspx https://www.ice.org.uk/ICEDevelopmentWebPortal/media/Documents/Media/Policy/3150-ICE-Summary-digital.pdf Stakeholder contact for this engagement activity: Andrew Westcott; Head of Policy and Public Affairs, Institution of Civil Engineers
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Launch of the interim report of the National Infrastructure Assessment by the National Infrastructure Commission
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact ITRC/MISTRAL has a long-term collaboration with the UK National Infrastructure Commission, as it provides a unique analytical framework to assess interdependent performance of different infrsatructure sectores in the present and in the future, based on possible future demographic, economic, technological and environment scenarios. Once a parliament the NIC will publish a National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA). The NIA will analyse the UK's long-term economic infrastructure needs, outline a strategic vision over the next 30 years and set out recommendations for how identified needs should be met. In October 2017 they published an interim National Infrastructure Assessment which examines seven key areas, and sets out the vision and priorities for helping meet the country's needs up to 2050. Those seven areas are: Building a digital society Connected, liveable city-regions Infrastructure to support housing Eliminating carbon emissions from energy and waste A revolution in road transport Reducing the risk of drought and flooding Financing and funding infrastructure in efficient ways
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/our-work/national-infrastructure-assessment/
 
Description Letter from Minister Rutley to Ofwat about the National Infrastructure Commission's report in water: Preparing for a drier future. (21/06/2018)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact A letter from Minister Rutley (Interim Parliamentary Under Secretary of State at the Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs) forming a response to the Chief Executive Officer of Ofwat. Ofwat sent a letter to Minister Rutley setting out initial reactions to the National Infrastructure Commission's 'preparing for a drier future' report on water. This included thoughts on how the sector needs to respond. The ITRC was thanked specifically for their expertise in forming that report. Commission's water resources report: The letter was copied by the minister to: Sir John Armitt, Sir James Bevan, Michael Roberts of Water UK, and the chairs of the existing regional planning groups. The outcomes will affect the population of the British Isles. External participants: David Rutley MP, DEFRA, UK Government Rachel Fletcher. Chief Executive, Ofwat, UK Government Internal participants: ITRC Group Ives, M. Hall, J. Links: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-infrastructure-commissions-report-on-water-letter-to-ofwat https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/720159/rutley-letter-ofwat-nic-water-response.pdf
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-infrastructure-commissions-report-on-water-lette...
 
Description Long Term Investment Scenarios: Infrastructure Impacts Analysis (05/07/2019).
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Executive Summary This study presents a flood risk assessment for interdependent infrastructure systems in England. This national-scale assessment builds on a system-of-systems approach that integrates component models into an integrated assessment of exposure, disruption and economic impacts, linking results to annual average infrastructure impacts, and subsequently to direct property damage uplift factors. These are then included in flood and coastal erosion investment optimisation using the Long-Term Investment Scenarios (LTIS) approach. The analysis represents electricity and gas transmission points, water and wastewater treatment plants, roads, railways, ports and airports. It therefore covers a wide range of infrastructure - although with gaps (such as local energy distribution and telecommunications) due to data availability issues. The approach represents interdependence through physical dependencies of infrastructure on electricity, and of properties on utilities, and through economic dependencies as disruptions cascade through the broader economy. The following ITRC papers were referenced: 6. National Infrastructures. Thacker, S, Pant, R and Hall, J W. 167, 2017, Reliability Engineering and System Safety, pp. 30-41. Critical Infrastructure Impact Assessment due to Flood Exposure. Pant, R, et al. 2016, Journal of Flood Risk Management, Vol. 11, pp. 22-33. 7. Geographic Hotspots of Critical National Infrastructure. Thacker, S, et al. 2017, Risk Analysis, Vol. 37, pp. 2490-2505 8. Vulnerability Assessment Framework for Interdependent Critical Infrastructures: Case Study for Great Britain's Rail Network. Pant, R, Hall, J W and Blainey, S P. 1, 2016, European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research, Vol. 16, pp. 174-194. 1567-7141. 9. Evaluating the benefits of adaptation of critical infrastructure to hydrometeorological risk. Thacker, S, et al. 2017, Risk Analysis. External participants: The Environment Agency Internal participants: The ITRC Group
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/flood-and-coastal-risk-management-in-england-long-term-in...
 
Description Lord Adonis of the NIC invited the ITRC to respond (by 12/01/2018) to the document: 'Congestion, Capacity and Carbon: Priorities for National Infrastructure - Executive Summary'
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Lord Adonis of the NIC invited the ITRC, on 13/12/2017, to respond by email to the document by 12/01/2018: 'Congestion, Capacity and Carbon: Priorities for National Infrastructure - Executive Summary'
 
Description MISTRAL Launch Event (23/05/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact On Monday 23 May 2016 at the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE), London, over one hundred high profile government and industry stakeholders gathered to celebrate the launch of the ITRC's exciting new MISTRAL: Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics programme and recently published book, The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach. The ITRC was delighted to welcome keynote speaker Lord Adonis, chair of the National Infrastructure Commission, and Keith Clarke, ICE Vice president, who also spoke. ? Link: https://vimeo.com/172135117 Internal participant/s: Hall J; ITRC Researchers External participant/s included: Lord Adonis; Chair, National Infrastructure Commission Keith Clarke; Vice Ppresident, Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE)
URL http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/news/2016/0524-ITRCLaunch.html
 
Description MISTRAL transport model integration/performance meeting. Forward plan for model, with some investigation of current technology/library options from Colin Lomas of the STFC/DAFNI (03/10/2018)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Small meeting to consider the future meetings required for this national transport project. External participant: Colin Lomas; Senior Software Engineer - DAFNI - Academic Research, Modelling and Advanced Visualisation Internal participants: Blainey S
 
Description Mainstreaming Biodiversity In The Infrastructure Sector: Fostering system-level approaches. Convention for Biological Diversity COP 14 (Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt, 17-29 November 2018) (30/11/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Source: United Nations Environment Programme (UN Environment), United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), Environmental Change Institute (ECI), Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC-Mistral), Global Environmental Policy Programme (GEPP), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), The Nature Conservancy, World Wildlife Fund (WWF), International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) This policy brief calls attention to interlinkages between biodiversity, ecosystems, and landscapes (natural infrastructure) and diverse forms of infrastructure, including systems for water and sanitation, transport, buildings, energy, food, telecommunications, resource use, and waste management. This policy brief was produced the help of the following institutional partners: UN Environment, United Nations Office for Project Services, the Environmental Change Institute of Oxford University, the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, the Global Environmental Policy Programme of the University of Geneva, United Nations Development Programme, The Nature Conservancy, the World Wildlife Fund, and the International Union for the Conservation of Nature. The organizations would like to thank Vanessa Bauer, Gerard Bos, Carol Boyle, Sharon Brooks, Giulia Carbone, Tim Christophersen, Steven Crosskey, Achim Deuchert, David Fisk, Emily Franklin, Jim Hall, Alexandre Hedjazi, Jessica Hyne, Rajeev Issar, Jan Kellet, Marianne Kjellen, Arend Kolhoff, Linda Krueger, Lothar Linde, Elizabeth Losos, Katherine Lu, Vincent Nadin, Kate Newman, Rowan Palmer, Oshani Perera, Spiro Pollalis, Corli Pretorius, Marieta Sakalian, Sameera Savarala, Tim Scott, Sheng Fulai, Roel Slootweg, Stephane Straub, Matteo Tarantino, Bill Tompson, Will Usher, Graham Watkins, and Zhou Xin for their contributions. External participants: Steve Crosskey; Head of IPM Strategic Initiatives, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS Headquarters Internal participant: Thacker S.
URL http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/resource/mainstreaming-biodiversity-infrastructure-sector-foster...
 
Description Mapping out the landscape of long-term national infrastructure demands for the U.K.'S National Infrastructure Assessment . International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems. This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focussed on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity. Abstract: Vision and Priorities: The National Infrastructure Commission has been tasked by the government to provide expert, independent advice on pressing infrastructure issues and to produce an in-depth assessment of the UK's major infrastructure needs out to 2050. • In order to identify the UK's future infrastructure needs, the National Infrastructure Assessment will consider a range of scenarios, which will explore different future pressures on infrastructure. • The scenarios are tested using the national infrastructure systems model (NISMOD), as well as models used by government. • The analysis assumes a 'do minimum' policy, which provides a baseline for the Commission against which it can compare policy options and recommendations as part of the Assessment. • Assessments are being undertaken in energy, transport, water, waste, digital communications and flood risk. Link Conference Proceedings: http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf Internal participants: Ives, M (Presenter) Blainey, S Choundry, M Robson, C Usher, W Hall, JW External participants: International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) Silberman A; Senior Economist, National Infrastructure Commission Letti, B; Economic Adviser, National Infrastructure Commission Large, J; Intern, National Infrastructure Commission Baruah, P; Global Green Growth Institute (GGGI)
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description Meeting with the Greater London Authority (GLA), Greenwood Strategic Advisors, economic advisors from academic faculties and businesses (09/03/2018)
Geographic Reach Local/Municipal/Regional 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: The meeting investigated and reviewed the Greenwood developed system dynamics model 'Greater London Simulator' External participants: ? Jeremy Skinner, Interim Assistant Director, City Intelligence Unit, Greater London Authority (GLA) ? Margaret Kalaugher, Principal Policy Officer, Greater London Authority (GLA) ? Andrew McMunnigall, Interim Manager, Growth & Infrastructure, Greater London Authority (GLA) ? Michele Pittini, Senior Economist, Head of Economics, Greater London Authority (GLA) ? Luke Webster, Chief Investment Officer, Greater London Authority (GLA) ? Dominic Bloomfield, Principal Programme Delivery Officer, Greater London Authority (GLA) ? Julie Sexton, Senior Manager: Programme Delivery, Greater London Authority (GLA) ? Madalina Ursu, Infrastructure and Competitiveness Policy Officer in Economic and Business Policy, Greater London Authority (GLA) ? Vivienne Avery, Demography and Policy Analysis Manager, Greater London Authority (GLA) ? Gordon Douglass, Supervisory Economist, Greater London Authority (GLA) ? Mike Hope, Economist , Greater London Authority (GLA) ? Ben Corr, Demography Manager, Greater London Authority (GLA) ? David Lane, Business Informatics, Systems and Accounting, Henley Business School ? Kim Warren, Originator of Strategy Dynamics, Strategy Dynamics ? Ine Steenmans, Research Associate in 'Foresight and Futures', University College London (UCL) ? Nici Zimmermann, Bartlett School Env, Energy & Resources, Faculty of the Built Environment, University College London (UCL) ? Craig Stephens, Deputy Chief Executive, Greenwood Strategic Advisors AG ? Christoph Kirch, Head of Operations, Greenwood Strategic Advisors AG ? Andreas Harbig, Chief Executive Officer, Greenwood Strategic Advisors AG ? Simon Nielsen, Head of Policy Appraisal and Evaluation, Transport for London (TfL) ? Martin Tedder, Principal Environmental Planner, Transport for London (TfL) ? Julian Ware, Senior Principal, TfL Commercial Finance, Transport for London (TfL) ? Hala Audi, Director of Strategy and Policy, Infrastructure and Projects Authority ? Mark Hitchen, Deputy Director, Infrastructure and Projects Authority Internal participants: ITRC/Mistral Integration & Decisions Group
 
Description Meeting with the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) to discuss waste policy (14/06/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact Meeting with the NIC to discuss waste policy. Internal participant: Kilsby C External participant: Silbeman A; Senior Economist, National Infrastructure Commission
 
Description Members of the NIC met with the ITRC on 28/03/2017 to discuss; the energy supply model; and model parameter/input changes to run technology scenarios
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Doerte Schneemann, Federica Odifreddi, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large of the NIC met with Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Modassar Chaudry of the ITRC on 28/03/2017 to discuss ? Energy supply model ? Model parameter/input changes to run technology scenarios
 
Description Members of the NIC met with the ITRC to discuss run water, waste water and waste models 10/03/2017
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC to discuss ? Run water, waste water and waste models
 
Description Modelling approaches to the East West Arc (08/07/2019)
Geographic Reach Local/Municipal/Regional 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: A meeting at the ECI in Oxford to talk about AECOM's and ITRC's modelling approaches to the East West Arc. This first round of analysis has developed projections of future needs for energy, transport, water and digital communications. ITRC is currently analysing options for sustainable infrastructure provision in more detail and connecting with the many stakeholders in local and central government. The aim is to deliver quantified results for these different future alternatives as well as insights on impacts on stakeholders. This meeting forms a great opportunity to have the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (MHCLG), Bev Hindle and Martin Tugwell in the room to help us all better understand context, needs, challenges and possible complementarities & synergies between the modelling approaches. External participants: ? Oxford City Council: ? Bev Hindle, Director of the Oxford to Cambridge Arc Leaders (the group of Local Authorities in the Arc) ? Anna Rinaldi, Property Asset and Investment Officer ? England's Economic Heartland: ? Martin Tugwell, Director ? AECOM: ? Matthew Pell, Director, Planning ? Charles Ledward, Planning consultant ? Joseph Ward, Senior planner ? Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (MHCLG): ? Kris Krasnowski - Deputy director, Housing delivery, Oxford -Cambridge Arc ? Ben Whitlock - Head of infrastructure ? Edward Douglas - Senior policy advisor ? Thomas Wilson - Infrastructure lead, Oxford to Cambridge Arc ? Rebecca Craig - Policy advisor, OxCam unit Internal participants: ? Jim Hall - Principal Investigator, Oxford ? Adrian Hickford - Arc lead researcher, Southampton ? Tom Russell - Arc technical lead, Oxford ? Miriam Mendes - Programme Manager
 
Description NIC meeting for a review of infrastructure study elements 03/02/2017
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Andrea Silberman and Bianca Letti from NIC met Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Will Usher from ITRC on 03/02/2017 to discuss a review of infrastructure drivers: ? modelling baselines ? economic growth scenarios ? population scenarios ? technology scenarios ? water modelling
 
Description NISMOD-DB++: A next generation spatiotemporal database framework for infrastructure systems analytics and modelling. International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems. This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focused on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity. Link to Conference Proceedings: http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf Internal participants: Barr, S (Presenter) Robson, C Pregnolato Ji Q External participants: International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description National Framework modelling advisory group of the Environment Agency. Attended by the ITRC Water Group. (18/02/19)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact An advisory group of the Environment Agency describing their requirements for the National Framework to their academic collaborators (ITRC, Oxford, and Manchester University), and modellers from water companies. ? Outputs & outcomes: The Group informed the decisions of the Environment Agency. Plans were made for future work together. Participants: ITRC Water Group The Environment Agency
 
Description National Infrastructure Assessment consultation
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/ITRC-response-to-NIA.pdf
 
Description National Infrastructure Assessment. An assessment of the United Kingdom's infrastructure needs up to 2050
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact UK's first National Infrastructure Assessment is backed by ITRC analysis National Infrastructure Commission: The first long-term view of the UK's infrastructure needs was published by the National Infrastructure Commission in July 2018. The National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) calls for a more joined-up view of infrastructure, with significant investments needed to tackle road congestion, deal with water shortages and provide secure low-carbon energy supplies. The NIA proposes ways of promoting greater innovation, for example through the roll-out of 5G mobile services and the uptake of autonomous vehicles. The NIA was underpinned by advanced modelling and analysis of scenarios of the future. This adopted methodology proposed by the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, a consortium of seven of the UK's leading universities, led from the University of Oxford. The ITRC has developed the UK's first National Infrastructure Model (NISMOD) which was used by the National Infrastructure Commission to conduct the National Infrastructure Assessment.
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/CCS001_CCS0618917350-001_NIC-NIA_Accessible.pdf#page=8
 
Description National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) - Workshop Scenarios & Metrics (01/06/2016 September 2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact A member of the NIC met with Will Usher and Tom Russell from ITRC during September 2016 to discuss a workshop on scenarios and metrics.
 
Description National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) Issued a report: Preparing for a drier future England's water infrastructure needs (April 2018) based on analyses by the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: National Infrastructure Commission April 2018 Report: Preparing for a drier future England's water infrastructure needs The Foreward, by Sir John Armitt CBE, Chair, National Infrastructure Commission, states: In its interim assessment, published last year, the Commission identified a range of pressures facing the water industry, including climate change, population growth, growing consumer expectations, ageing infrastructure and the need to protect the environment. The Commission also outlined its vision for reducing the risks of drought and managing the UK's water supplies more effectively. This paper follows that consultation and sets out a range of measures which the Commission believes government, water companies and the regulator should take to increase investment in supply infrastructure and encourage more efficient use of water - halving leakage by 2050, extending metering and developing plans for a national water network. As the analysis presented in this paper shows, the cost of responding to a severe drought in the UK would likely run into tens of billions of pounds. The case for improving our long-term resilience to drought is therefore compelling. The current price review being undertaken by the industry regulator - through which companies are considering how they will provide a secure supply of water to homes and businesses in their area - presents an ideal opportunity for improving the long-term planning and coordination of water supply at both regional and national scale. I am grateful to the many organisations and individuals who have engaged with the Commission's work over recent months and for the continuing dialogue and constructive engagement from all parts of the water sector. I hope that the recommendations contained in this report will now be taken forward as a priority by those with responsibility for ensuring that future generations can continue to access high quality water. The report uses sources supplied by the ITRC: Fig 1: Source: Commission calculations, based on data from Water UK, water companies and the Environment Agency and using the NISMOD model developed by the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium. Fig 2: Source: Commission calculations and analysis, using input from Atkins, Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium and Regulatory Economics Ltd. See Annex 2 for more details and references. Fig 3: Source: Commission analysis, using input from Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium and Regulatory Economics Ltd, see Annex 3 for more details and references. Consequent Recommendations: The Commission recommends that government should ensure plans are in place to deliver additional supply and demand reduction of at least 4,000 Ml/day. Action to deliver this twin-track approach should start immediately: - Ofwat should launch a competitive process by the end of 2019 complementing the Price Review so that at least 1,300 Ml/day is provided through (i) a national water network and (ii) additional supply infrastructure by the 2030s. - The Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs should set an objective for the water industry to halve leakage by 2050, with Ofwat agreeing 5 year commitments for each company (as part of the regulatory cycle) and reporting on progress. - The Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs should enable companies to implement compulsory metering beyond water stressed areas by the 2030s, by amending regulations before the end of 2019 and requiring all companies to consider systematic roll out of smart meters as a first step in a concerted campaign to improve water efficiency. Acknowledgements: The Commission would like to thank: The individuals that provided technical support and comments on the analysis, in particular from: Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, Atkins, Vivid Economics, Regulatory Economics, Mott MacDonald, Anglian Water, Atkins, Consumer Council for Water, Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, Environment Agency, HR Wallingford, Ofwat, Severn Trent Water, Southern Water, Thames Water, UK Water Industry Research, United Utilities, University of Manchester, Water UK, Waterwise, and members of the Commission's technical advisory panel. External participants: The NIC Internal particpants: The ITRC NISMOD Group References: Ref. 17. Hall, Jim W. et al. (2016) The Future of National Infrastructure. A System-of-Systems Approach Link: https://www.nic.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/NIC-Preparing-for-a-Drier-Future-26-April-2018.pdf This report is additionally referenced in the Infrastructure and climate change report (Postnote 621) (27/03/2020) Ref. 26. National Infrastructure Commission (2018). Preparing for a drier future https://post.parliament.uk/research-briefings/post-pn-0621/
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/NIC-Preparing-for-a-Drier-Future-26-April-2018.pdf
 
Description National Infrastructure Commission's modelling workshop - lessons learnt from the National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) (20/09/2018) (13/11/2018)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact ? Outputs: Further participation with the NIC for the development of modelling for the next NIA to work towards the UK Government's ambition to make substantial savings while looking to invest £600 billion in infrastructure projects over the next decade (2017-2027). Workshop - Lessons learned from modelling for the National Infrastructure Assessment Meeting date: Thursday 20th September 2018, 13.00 - 16.00 Venue: Bloomsbury House, 2-3 Bloomsbury Square, London, WC1A 2RL Chair: Bianca Letti, National Infrastructure Commission (Modelling lead) Key aims of workshop 1. Review the modelling that informed the first National Infrastructure Assessment 2. Gather views on the modelling processes and approach from those involved - the Commission's secretariat, government department analysts, consultants and academics from the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium 3. Discuss evidence gaps, unanswered questions and processes which could be put in place for the next Assessment in five years' time Agenda Time Agenda item 13:00 - 13:05 Introduction 13:05 - 13:30 Part 1: Reflections from the NIC • Analysis for the NIA • Working with multiple analytical teams • Questions we would have liked to answer • Approach to NIA 2 13:30 - 14:55 Part 2: Overview of modelling - short presentations by modellers • Quick snapshot of the analysis • What worked well • What would they have liked to have done better • Model development plans that might be usable for the next NIA 14:15 - 14:30 Tea and coffee break 14:30 - 14:50 Part 2 continued: Overview of modelling - short presentations by modellers 14:50 - 15:50 Part 3: Looking towards the next NIA - in break out groups • What are the big questions that might want to be analysed? • How might we go about analysing them? • Where are the gaps between current analytical capability and our aspirations? • How might model development activity, data etc. be coordinated between now and the next NIA? 15:50 - 16:00 : Final reflections and close ? Outcomes: Summary of discussion Part 1: Reflections from the NIC • The NIC presented reflections on the modelling process for the National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA), including its experience working with multiple analytical teams within the Commission and externally, in government and consultancies. The NIC also highlighted areas which it would have liked to focus on for the NIA and some initial thoughts on how modelling for the second NIA might be developed. Part 2: Overview of modelling - short presentations by modellers Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) • The ITRC highlighted the areas of its collaboration with the NIC which it thought were successful as: the consistent set of scenarios used; the diversity and plausibility of assumptions; the flexibility of inputs into the model; and the iterative approach adopted by the NIC and the ITRC in developing the work. • The ITRC also felt that their model provided a useful alternative to government models, and the comparison of outputs between two sets of models led to interesting insights. The water modelling was also mentioned a particularly successful element of the work, as its outputs allowed useful conclusions to be drawn, and the analysis has generally received positive feedback from stakeholders in the sector. • As areas which could have gone better, the ITRC highlighted: difficulties in undertaking regional analysis; assumptions on technological uptake phasing out in the future and questions around whether this is reasonable; and the time constraint for delivering the work. The ITRC would also have liked to have had more flexibility in producing reports on the work they did, rather than requiring the NIC to produce them. • Future model development: o New demand scenarios including: household micro-simulation models for developing synthetic populations; national analysis of the housing stock; new housing allocation model. o Next generation of high resolution models: simulation model of the energy and gas networks; energy hub with local heat networks, hydrogen, storage and demand response; multi-modal transport model; fixed and mobile digital communications; urban drainage. o Model coupling, uncertainty/sensitivity analysis and decision framework. o DAFNI - data and analytics facility for national infrastructure. Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) • BEIS and the NIC initially had difficulties in communicating the conceptual basis for the modelling and what the NIC aimed to get out of it. However, once this was successfully communicated, BEIS thought that translating the conceptual basis of the NIC's scenarios into modelling assumptions was successful. • BEIS also flagged that there were difficulties once the modelling had been done in communicating the findings to policy colleagues in BEIS, as they had not been fully involved in the work as it was ongoing. This led to some delays in delivering the modelling to the NIC. • Future model development: o Understanding the impact of the electrification of heat and transport on power load profiles o Reconciling higher costs of UK TIMES relative to the Dynamic Dispatch Model for the same level of demand 3 Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) • Defra felt that themselves and the NIC worked well together throughout the process. Regular catch-ups and clear output requirements from the outset contributed to this success. • Defra is currently investing in developing its modelling capability, and felt that this additional capability would have been helpful for the NIA, particularly in exploring changing assumptions such as recycling rates. • Future model development: o Better exploration of uncertainty, such as consumer behaviour and response o Simulation target model approach, possibly incorporating elements like Monte Carlo simulation, agent based modelling Department for Transport (DfT) • The DfT also felt that they developed good working relationships with the NIC with regular catch-ups, which were helpful in the modelling process. There were some initial concerns with the presentation of results from two sets of models when outputs turned out to be very different, but with further discussion and investigation the basis for these differences were identified, which helped to assuage concerns. • The DfT were unclear on the value of running two models, and how this added to conclusions. They felt that ahead of future modelling work, the DfT could do more to understand the NIC's requirements and the NIC could review DfT's models in more depth to see if they are fit for their purposes. • Another element of the work which was challenging was the inclusion of some projects requested by the NIC - the DfT could only include projects into their models that had been timetabled for launch, so off-model adjustments were needed to account for some schemes (eg HS2). • The DfT also highlighted time and resource constraints as a challenge, and that sufficient notice of modelling work is needed to ensure resource is available. • Future model development: o Road - recalibrated version of NTM v2 has been launched; internal work to develop a consistent set of scenarios for use in appraisal and development of tools more suitable for scenario analysis; future work planned to consider how to capture impacts of CAVs and other technologies in road traffic models. o Rail - released new WebTAG unit which has revised parameters and variables used in forecasting, including new variables on employment sectors and occupation; moving from NMF to Moira 2.2; further changes planned to forecasting framework and forecasting models. Aurora Energy Research • Engagement between Aurora and the NIC was good, with weekly catch ups helping to keep the NIC updated on work progress. Roundtables helped guide Aurora along and gave them a clear setting of milestones, and allowed them to focus sensitivities based on input from a range of experts. • Aurora felt that one of the biggest challenges in the work was incorporating many new assumptions into the model simultaneously, which made it hard to uncover what was causing results. They also had to build a new network model with locational constraints while developing the market modelling, which increased their workload. • Aurora felt that more interaction between consultancy teams would have been helpful, particularly the team working on heat, as outputs from the heat work were required to take the power modelling forward. 4 • Future model development: o Incorporating locational factors and wind constraints o Fully integrating network and market models o Stochastic models accounting for expected loss of load Flood modelling - NIC presentation • The flood risk modelling was done by the NIC, and the model developed by JBA Consulting in collaboration with Sayers and Partners. The main successes of the modelling were considered to be a useful set of results for different resilience levels, and the ability to test a 4C climate scenario. • It was challenging to establish a baseline, cost undefended areas and quantify the impacts of flooding on mental health. Surface water is also a significant gap in flood modelling in general, and also in this modelling. Anthesis • Anthesis felt that the models worked well in generating the required results for a range of scenarios, particularly greenhouse gases and net present values. The flexible structure of the models allowed the testing of options and sensitivities. • Some challenges were the lack of integration of the two waste models which resulted in manual transfer of data, and the fact that the models were not particularly user friendly, especially if adding additional scenarios. Some modelling issues were uncovered in the process (eg energy mix for GHG model) which could have been addressed earlier. In addition, data issues were a problem (commercial and industrial waste). • Future model development: o Better baseline data, especially for commercial & industrial waste o Integration of two models, and possible use of other packages (model Excel based) o Inclusion of more waste technology options and more sophisticated approach to collection costs o Creation of a user interface and results dashboard Element Energy • Element felt that the work objectives were met successfully, and highlighted that further input on consumer bills was provided following the project to assist the NIC, which helped to generate a clear message on the overall impact of the scenarios. • The interaction with other modelling teams was also considered to be successful, with soft linking of data inputs/outputs carried out with waste and power modelling teams. However, integration with power modelling to allow assessment of impact of electricity demand for heat on the cost and carbon intensity of electricity could have been better. The heat model was designed to be run iteratively with the power modelling, but time and project sequencing limited ability to do this. • Future model development: o Centralised vs localised hydrogen generation o Regional variation of economics of heating solutions o Whole-system energy modelling o Multi-vector system modelling o More realistic heating technology deployment scenarios o Demand side response capability of heating systems o Further developments in CCS assumptions/modelling capability 5 Part 3: Looking towards the next NIA The participants split up into table groups to consider four questions and one participant from each table fed back key elements of their discussion to the wider group. A summary of discussion across all tables is given below. • Questions for the next NIA: o Consider the boundary between questions which should be addressed by the NIC and those addressed by government departments. It was suggested that the NIC could add most value in addressing cross-cutting questions, as well as politically difficult ones. In this context, the NIC could aim to identify and understand what modelling is already done by government departments as well as their modelling capability to avoid replicating work. o Behaviour and behavioural responses, thinking about incentivising behaviour vs areas where change can happen on its own. Understanding different groups of infrastructure users. o Infrastructure and regional economies, and how infrastructure can contribute to growth, taking complementary policies into account. o Technology, exogenous innovation and how technologies diffuse through infrastructure systems. o Considering shock events/disruptions and how they affect long term trends. o Modelling interdependencies. o Modelling surface water/drainage and modelling the digital sector. o Regardless of which questions are addressed in the next NIA, it is important for the NIC to get buy in for its modelling from those they seek to influence, to try and ensure results are taken seriously. • How to analyse them: o Clarity on questions early on, but it is not obvious how early you should decide. In five years your question may have changed. o The importance of defining questions correctly and understanding why we are undertaking modelling before rushing into it was highlighted. Setting out outputs which will be required from the start. o Potential need for an organising framework, setting out objectives and interventions. o Developing and maintaining long term metrics framework. o Thinking about qualitative systems and mapping hypotheses. Considering where there are soft links/need for integration between sectors/model. o Resisting the inclination to make everything complex. Sometimes it's best to keep things logical and simple but structured. o Using more extreme scenarios, but considering whether we can trust models to deal with non marginal changes. o Transparency on how effects propagate between models, better integration between models. • Gaps in capability o Computational gaps, having flexibility and capacity to run sensitivities. o Data gaps - eg commercial and industrial waste. o Gaps in capability to clearly visualise and present data. o Population distribution scenarios, economic feedbacks and modelling adaptive pathways. o Impact of specific projects at the national level may be marginal, consider how to account for the value they add. 6 o Inconsistency in appraisal between sectors, which makes prioritising/choosing between sectors challenging. o Comparing packages of schemes. o Thinking about whether we have the capability to answer the big questions listed in point 1. o Resource availability, and knowledge management between the NIC and departments. • Future model development: o The NIC could consider doing what the airports Commission did and independently peer review existing models. Comparing models might also contribute to peer review processes. o The NIC should support model diversity, but taking care to not disperse attention to too many different models. o DAFNI will be able to provide accessibility to multiple modelling platforms while maintaining confidentiality. o Ensuring the NIC maintains in-house modelling capability to continue to support this work. o Role for the NIC in keeping the conversation going. The Commission would like to thank all participants for their input, which will be carefully considered as the Commission develops the next NIA. External participants at meeting 20/09/2018: Dr James Richardson; Chief Economist, NIC Bianca Letti; Head of Modelling, NIC Sanchia Bailey; Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy (BEIS) Javier Iguarta; Economic Advisor, DEFRA Claire Worsdall; Economist, Department for Transport (DfT) Adam Jones; Department for Transport (DfT) William Hawkes; Department for Transport (DfT) Felix Chow, Oliver Kerr, Anna Macdonald; Aurora Tom Bradbury; Flood modelling, NIC Peter Scholes; Principal Consultant, Anthesis LRS Sam Foster; Element Energy External participants receiving meeting minutes on 13/11/2018: ? Bianca Letti; Head of Modelling, NIC ? Igartua, Javier; Economic Advisor, DEFRA ? Anna Macdonald; Analyst, Aurora Energy Research Ltd ? Sam Foster; Element Energy ? Peter Scholes; Principal Consultant, Anthesis LRS ? Samuel Chorlton; UK Research and Innovation (UK
 
Description Navigating complexity for next generation infrastructure: integrating governance and modelling analysis. ISNGI Conference, ICE, London. (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ITRC/Mistral contributed to this conference. Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems. Abstract: A key theme within the delivery of next generation infrastructure, in the UK and around the world, can be a focus upon the provision of infrastructure services rather than upon reinforcing existing technologically centred systems (e.g. appropriate mobility rather than a series of transport systems). This user-centred approach to infrastructure offers the potential to remove some of the assumptions and inefficiencies present in the existing bounding of infrastructure provision within sectoral siloes. However, it also presents challenges over infrastructure decision-making and governance arrangements. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Lovric M; Watson J; Hiteva R External participant/s: ISNGI Conference 2017
URL http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/Katherine-Lovell.pdf
 
Description Paper launched at the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Investment Fair in New York. 'Integrated Approaches to Sustainable Infrastructure.' (16/04/2019)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact On the 16th of April at the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) launched other 'Integrated Approaches to Sustainable Infrastructure' paper. 'The Evidence-Based Infrastructure approach, developed by the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) and the Infrastructure Transition Research Consortium (ITRC) at the University of Oxford, is designed to account for the interconnections among infrastructure systems and environmental, social, and economic factors, and is intended for use in developing country contexts (Hall et al., 2016). Its application is supported by a suite of analytical tools, including a Capacity Assessment Tool for Infrastructure (CAT-I) and the National Infrastructure Systems Model (NISMOD), which utilizes a "system-of-systems" approach to ensure that cross-sectoral interdependencies are identified, and synergies optimized (Ibid., 2016). These existing tools and approaches together form a complementary "tool box" that planners and policymakers can use to adopt integrated approaches to the planning and development of sustainable infrastructure that supports the 2030 Agenda. External participants: UNOPS: ? Rowan Palmer; Programme Specialist, Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, South-South Cooperation Unit, Policy and Programme Division ? Fulai Sheng; Head, Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) ? Colm Joseph Hastings; Environment Affairs Intern at UN Environment, Genthod, Canton of Geneva, Switzerland ? Vanessa Iris Bauer Internal participants: ? Thacker S ? ITRC Group link: http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/downloads/resource/Integrated_Approaches_To_Sustainable_Infrastructure_UNEP.pdf https://www.un.org/esa/ffd/ffdforum/2019-ffd-forum/2019-sdg-investment-fair/schedule-of-events.html
URL https://www.un.org/esa/ffd/ffdforum/2019-ffd-forum/2019-sdg-investment-fair/schedule-of-events.html
 
Description Participation in The United Nations Conference on Housing and Sustainable Urban Development (Habitat III) held from 17 to 20 October 2016 in Quito, Ecuador. Networking event: How Can Urban Infrastructure be Resilient for Generations to Come
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Member States of the General Assembly, in Resolution 67/216 , decided that the objectives of the Conference are to secure renewed political commitment for sustainable urban development, assess accomplishments to date, address poverty and identify and address new and emerging challenges. The conference will result in a concise, focused, forward-looking and action-oriented outcome document. Panellists include Dr Scott Thacker United Nations Office For Project Services (UNOPS) Session's Partner organizations: European Commission Oxford University United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
URL https://habitat3.org/programme/how-can-urban-infrastructure-be-resilient-for-generations-to-come/
 
Description Participation in The United Nations Conference on Housing and Sustainable Urban Development (Habitat III) held from 17 to 20 October 2016 in Quito, Ecuador. Special session (Issue Paper 18 ): Urban Infrastructures and Basic Services, including Energy
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact This century will see a substantial majority of the world's population living in urban centers. The Habitat III Conference therefore had, as its mission, the adoption of a New Urban Agenda-an action-oriented document which will set global standards of achievement in sustainable urban development, rethinking the way we build, manage, and live in cities through drawing together cooperation with committed partners, relevant stakeholders, and urban actors at all levels of government as well as the private sector. Setting the scene: Summary of Issue Paper 18 and why infrastructure and basic services must be placed at the centre of urban development Moderator, Ms. Grete Faremo, Under-Secretary-General and Executive Director, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) Dr Scott Thacker discussant for this session of National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) work at summit.
URL https://www.oecd.org/gov/Monda-17-Special-Session-on-Urban-Infrastructure-and-Basic-Services-includi...
 
Description Policy, Operational Research, and Public Policy. The Future of National Infrastructure (Presented by Scott Thacker and Jim Hall)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact To follow
 
Description Present a seminar for the Society for Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Defence & Security Analysis Division of the Defence Science and Technology Laboratory in Fareham "We are trying to build relationships with academia and expose our staff to alternative ways of thinking. To this end, I was wondering if you would be willing to give a lunch-time talk on how you tackle deep uncertainty in your work on climate & environmental risks? This would also be a good opportunity to discuss the next DMDU conference that you will be hosting at Oxford and the level of support/involvement that Dstl might provide. Contact at DSTL: Mike Larner, Systems Thinking & Consulting, Defence & Security Analysis Division Robert Solly; Division Head, Defence & Security Analysis, Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, UK Government Attendee: Prof J. Hall
URL http://www.theorsociety.com/Pages/Conferences/OR58/OR58.aspx
 
Description Presentation at conference: 20th EURO Working Group on Transportation : A conceptual design for a national transport model with cross-sectoral interdependencies (04-06/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact This paper presents issues, trade-offs and challenges encountered while developing a UK national transport model as part of a large interdisciplinary project, ITRC MISTRAL. The Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) is a consortium of seven leading UK universities focusing on analysis of national infrastructure systems using a system-of-systems approach. In this paper, we describe a multi-modal multi-scale national transport model being developed by ITRC which includes passenger and freight transport via highways, railways, airports, seaports and local transit networks. The model predicts future demand for each mode on individual flows using an elasticity-based simulation approach. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Lovric M; Blainey S; Preston JM External participant/s: International Transport Experts/Policy makers
URL https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/417159/1/EWGT_LovricEtAl.pdf
 
Description Presentation of Mistral capabilities for providing quantitative infrastructure modelling and exchanges of information. (30/07/2018)
Geographic Reach Local/Municipal/Regional 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Attended by interested parties seeking an overview of the risk/interdependencies work carried out by ITRC-Mistral in the UK after recommendations by others to make contact. Much of the current work for London is at a more 'qualitative' nature. ITRC-Mistral representatives presented a number of case studies demonstrating Mistral's capabilities for more quantitative infrastructure network modelling. The visitors expressed interest in all of the case studies presented and are to go back to home institutions to discuss our work and identify potential for collaboration. Slideshows/handouts/reports were exchanged between groups. External participants: ? Kristen Guida, London Climate Change Partnership ? Dr Gianluca Pescaroli, University College London ? Hamish Cameron, London Resilience Internal participants: Zorn C. Pant R.
 
Description Presentation on Operational Research and Public Policy Design at the Operational Research Society's annual conference, Portsmouth University, from 6-8 September 2016. J Hall; S Thacker
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact 06/09/2016 : 12:00 : Room-DS2.14 Code: OR58A2931 The Future of National Infrastructure Dr Scott Thacker and Prof Jim Hall (University of Oxford) Infrastructure forms the economic backbone of modern society. It is a key determinant of economic competitiveness, social well-being and environmental sustainability. Yet infrastructure systems (energy, transport, water, waste and digital communications), in multiple contexts globally, face a range of serious challenges. There have been many calls for a more strategic, long-term approach to national infrastructure in the UK and elsewhere around the world. Whilst appealing in principle, in practice developing a national infrastructure strategy poses major challenges of complexity and uncertainty. The UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) has set out a systematic methodology for long term analysis of the performance of national infrastructure systems, which deals with each infrastructure sector (energy, transport, digital communications, water supply, waste water and solid waste) in a consistent framework and assesses the interdependencies between infrastructure sectors. The methodology is supported with the world's first infrastructure system of systems model (NISMOD), which has been developed for long term decision analysis in interdependent infrastructure systems. Following an introduction of the ITRC and NISMOD, this presentation provides details of a number of applications of the model to the UK and beyond. In doing so, it provides examples of how system-based modelling is being used to support decision making within government and industry at a range of scales. Robert Solly; Division Head, Defence & Security Analysis, Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, UK Government
URL http://www.theorsociety.com/Pages/Conferences/OR58/OR58.aspx
 
Description Presentation to an advisory committee - The Hazard Forum. 'Risk assessment of interdependent national infrastructure network to inform resilience challenges.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact The purpose of the lecture given at the meeting was to understand the consequences of the failure, as a group, or individually, of complex key infrastructure systems of energy, transport, water, waste and ICT. The event will provide an insight into the work of three research projects which, with other groups, are coordinating their efforts to understand these issues and to work with various stakeholders including central and local government and infrastructure operators to develop strategies.
URL https://hazardsforum.files.wordpress.com/2013/12/160614-hf-nl91_webversion_summer-2016.pdf
 
Description Presentation to the 2nd annual Aid & Development Asia Summit, Bangkok, Thailand. Dates: 21st-22nd June 2016
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact The 2nd annual Aid & Development Asia Summit, which took place in Bangkok, Thailand on 21-22 June 2016 at the United Nations Conference Centre, gathered over 275 local, regional and global humanitarian and development professionals from NGOs, UN agencies, donors, governments and the private sector with an aim to share knowledge, discover success stories or learn from failures, foster innovation and partnerships to assist the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in South-East Asia. The 45+ expert speaker panel shared valuable insights, lead thought provoking discussions and lively exchange of views on a range of vital topics including mobile innovations, partnerships and technologies for humanitarian and development work, emergency response, humanitarian logistics, disaster resilience as well as health & WASH programmes and good practice. The opening panel of the Aid & Development Asia Summit 2016 focused on mobile innovations for humanitarian and development work. The panellists, International Organization for Migration (IOM), Asian Development Bank, UNESCAP, USAID and FHI 360, discussed the impact of mobile devices on development work and utilising mobile technology to better reach and engage communities. It was agreed that improvements in broadband connectivity can be a game-changer in Asia-Pacific, provided that infrastructure, regulatory framework to ensure access and awareness of socio-economic benefits of ICT come together.
URL http://www.aidforum.org/events/event/aid-development-asia-summit-2016
 
Description Presentation to the World Summit of Local and Regional Leaders (United Cities and Local Governments - UCLG), 5th UCLG World Congress, Bogota, Columbia. Dates: 12th-15th October 2016
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact The 2016 World Summit of Local and Regional Leaders convened 12-15 October 2016 in Bogota, Colombia, under the theme 'Local Voices far a Better World'. The World Summit, organized by United Cities and Local Governments (UCLG), hosted over 3,500 delegates from local, regional and national governments, the private sector, civil society, academia and the international community from over 110 countries. The event, which included plenaries, two permanent working platforms, workshops, policy dialogues, community forums, Learning forums and other interactive sessions, was held immediately prior to the Third UN Conference an Housing and Sustainable Urban Development (Habitat III) taking place 17-20 October 2016 in Quito, Ecuador. On 14 October 2016 the Global Task force of Local and Regional Governments (GTF), facilitated by UCLG, convened the second session of the Second World Assembly of Local and Regional Governments. The Second World Assembly adapted a statement containing key recommendations from local and regional governments far Habitat III's main outcome, the New Urban Agenda, which is intended to guide urban development policy across the world during the next two decades. In addition, UCLG bunched the 4th Global Report an local Democracy and Decentralization (GOLD IV), providing analysis, innovative examples and case studies from around the globe to support the recommendations of the Global Agenda of Local and Regional Governments for the 21st Century. Throughout the World Summit, the 5th UCLG World Congress convened and, an 15 October, the UCLG World Council elected the new UCLG President far 2016-2019, Mpho Parks Tau, Councilor of Johannesburg, South Africa, and President, South African Local Government Association. The World Council also adopted the Summit's outcome document, 'The Bogota Commitment and Action Agenda.' ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Thacker S External participant/s: Jon Liden; United Nations Office for Project Services, UNOPS Luke Raggatt; Digital Communications Lead, UNOPS Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS Bruce McKerrow; Global Practice Leader, UNOPS Rob Jones; Head of Programme Delivery in the State of Palestine with UNOPS CPG Partnerships Copenhagen Personnel, UNOPS CPG Communications Personnel, UNOPS
URL https://www.bogota2016.uclg.org/en
 
Description Prime Minister's Council for Science and Technology (CST). Inaugural meeting (2 days). (04/03/2020 to 05/03/2020)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Prof. J.W. Hall (ITRC lead) was invited to provide expertise to the Council with respect to Infrastructure issues.
 
Description Resilience in the round; Building resilience for the future (Ofwat Resilience Report, November 2017)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact A reference to the system-of-systems approach used by ITRC/Mistral The Future of National Infrastructure: A study from the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) set out the value of a systems based approach to making choices about future infrastructure (energy, trasnport, water, waste and ICT).. It illustrates how water and waste water services do not exist in isloation and how interconnected systems and networks can deliver better outcomes for resilience and sustainability. They can provide a conceptual framework and methodologies for modelling and evaluating systems-of-systems. This document provides water companies and others with food for thought on what resilience in the round might look like in practice. It highlights a selection of case studies from the water sector and beyond, to illustrate good practice. But the sector is still on a journey - there are, so far, few solid examples of a truly joined up approach to resilience. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: ITRC/Mistral Project Members External participant/s: Trevor Bishop, Director of Startegy and Planning, Ofwat, UK Government
URL https://www.ofwat.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Resilience-in-the-Round-report.pdf
 
Description Response by the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium to consultation on the National Infrastructure Assessment (06/09/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: The ITRC has engaged with the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) since its formation. We are grateful for the constructive way in which Commissioners and officials of the NIC have approached our work. We offer support to the NIC as it continues to develop and implement the National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) Internal participants: Hall J; ITRC Researchers External participants: NIA/NIC members
 
Description Response from the Chartered Institution of Civil Engineering Surveyors (ICES) to the Call for Evidence for the National Needs Assessment. Prepared in consultation with senior members of the institution.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact The Mistral project replied to the Call for Evidence for the National Needs Assessment (prepared in consultation with senior members of the institution). ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Jim Hall Executive group members: Sir John Armitt; Chair, President Institution of Civil Engineers Martin Baggs; former CEO Thames Water Nick Baveystock, Institution of Civil Engineers Graham Dalton, Independent John Dickie, London First Jim Hall, Oxford University & Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium Steve Holliday, former CEO National Grid Rhian Kelly, CBI Jon Lamonte, Transport for Greater Manchester Professor Lord Robert Mair, Cambridge University Robbie Owen, Pinsent Masons Richard Threlfall, KPMG Gareth Williams, Scottish Council for Development and Industry
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-infrastructure-assessment-call-for-evidence
 
Description Review of infrastructure drivers for National Infrastructure Commission (01/12/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Bianca Letti from the NIC met with Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and W Usher from the ITRC on 01/12/2016 to discuss a review of infrastructure drivers for NIC: technology, population, economic growth, climate change
 
Description Rob Jones (Head, The Caribbean Resilient Infrastructure Alliance) contacted Nick O'Regan of UNOPS Copenhagen (CPH) to coordinate a meaningful relationship with the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and Dr Thacker (the UNOPS member of the ITRC). (13/09/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Fulai Sheng of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) contacted the UNOPS group of the ITRC by email, and copied in Rob Jones (Rob Jones, Head, The Caribbean Resilient Infrastructure Alliance), on 12/09/2018 with reference to developing a work stream on sustainable infrastructure in connection to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and climate actions. UNEP were keen to reach out to UNOPS for partnership and building on UNOPS work. Further contact by telephone was arranged Also on 13/09/2018 Steven Crosskey of UNOPS contacted Fulai Sheng (and copied to Trevor Sway and Nick O'Regan, both of UNOPS) to reach some common ground with reference to a number of initiatives active with UNOPS at that date: 1. UNOPS have developed a Capacity Assessment Tool for Infrastructure (CAT-I) to understand how entities Plan, Deliver and Manage their infrastructure assets. This is a comprehensive look at all aspects of governance around infrastructure leading to practical recommendations for action, to build on strengths and address gaps. 2. a) UNOPS have worked very closely with the ITRC Group of the University of Oxford in several areas including the development of the National Infrastructure Systems Model for Infrastructure, (NISMOD-int), based on the ground breaking work done by ITRC for the UK infrastructure sector, but appropriate for developing nations (where data is generally less available). We have piloted the tool in Palestine, and Curacao island, and presently we have one or two more in the pipeline. This allows us to gather asset data across infrastructure sectors - (water, waste, ICT, Energy and Transport, as well as social infrastructure - health, education Rule of Law, Economic structure, housing etc.), and model current and future demand based on development goals, as well as input hazard data to investigate current and future vulnerabilities in a 'systems of systems' approach. 2. b) UNOPS are jointly supporting and attending the Institute of Civil Engineers (ICE) event - The Global congress on engineering and the SDG's in late October. (https://www.ice.org.uk/events/global-engineering-congress ). For this they are in the process of developing a paper, based on research by ITRC Oxford, on the relationship of Infrastructure to the SDG targets, highlighting its role, and importance. We have also written a short introduction for the Congress brochure, and an expanded piece to go to all participants to highlight the role of Engineers in the SDG's. 2. c) A paper on Small Island Developing states and effects of climate change and the importance of Infrastructure, based on case studies for work ongoing in Curacao and St. Lucia in both of which UNOPS of the ITRC (the University of Oxford) is partaking. Mr Jones believed it would be very useful to discuss the matter further with Mr O'Regan, as there is a clear need to be able to being together the physical infrastructure (built assets etc) and the natural infrastructure (wetlands, mangrove forests etc.) that should be combined to address some of developing countries greatest needs to drive for sustainable development, and combat the negative effects of climate change on the risk environment. Mr O'Regan's interest in developing a work stream on sustainable infrastructure could be a great opportunity to partner in this important area. External participants: ? Fulai Sheng; Head, Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) ? Steve Crosskey; Head of IPM Strategic Initiatives, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS Headquarters ? Nick O'Regan; Director of Infrastructure and Project Management, UNOPS ? Rob Jones (Head, The Caribbean Resilient Infrastructure Alliance) Internal participant: Thacker S.
 
Description Rolling out 5G - ITRC-MISTRAL telecommunications analysis for the Netherlands (01/03/2018)
Geographic Reach Europe 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact A workshop with mobile telecommunications operators in the Netherlands, to test the underlying assumptions and to get industry comment and feedback. ? Outputs & outcomes: Early in the project a workshop brought together mobile telecommunications operators in the Netherlands, to test the underlying assumptions and to get industry comment and feedback. The study, conducted in partnership with the telecommunications consultancy, Stratix, sets out to understand the costs associated with different strategic 5G mobile network options. In particular, the project team was asked to: ? indicate the investments needed to achieve certain levels of service for end users ? understand the differences in the investments required for different networks ? provide insights into the factors that influence investment costs. Within the telecommunications sector, this analysis would normally be conducted internally. By using ITRC-MISTRAL's methodology, this study is bringing transparency to the process of technological innovation. The report is due to be launched by mid-2018. Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/tag/dutch-ministry-of-economic-affairs/ External participant: Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs Internal participant: ? Oughton E. ? ITRC Digital Communications Team
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/tag/dutch-ministry-of-economic-affairs/
 
Description SPRU 50th Anniversary conference, 'Transforming Innovation'. Submission of a joint written evidence to the Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) Committee inquiry into industrial strategy on 3 October 2016.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact Evidence submitted by SPRU's Professor Mazzucato, and Professor Jim Watson has been cited extensively in the Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) Committee's First Review on industrial strategy (published 3 March 2017) 'House of Commons: Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy Committee: Industrial Strategy: First Review: Second report of Session 2016-17', (https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201617/cmselect/cmbeis/616/616.pdf). Traditional approaches to industrial strategy have a sectoral or technology focus. We argue however that the best way for May's government to achieve its economic vision is through a 'mission-oriented' approach that focuses on solving important societal challenges such as; climate change, youth unemployment, obesity, ageing and inequality. Such an approach would require many different sectors to interact with each other in new ways. If used to give direction to Britain's economic growth path, this could generate innovation-led (smart) growth that is both inclusive and sustainable. Link: http://data.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/committeeevidence.svc/evidencedocument/business-energy-and-industrial-strategy-committee/industrial-strategy/written/39044.html Watch / Listen to a full recording of the BEIS Committee Industrial strategy meeting: http://www.parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/d5c3e7c7-62e0-41f8-953c-981289bb3ea6 ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Professor Jim Watson External participant/s: Professor Mazzucato, Director, UCL Institute for Innovation & Public Purpose. Chair in the Economics of Innovation and Public Value
URL http://www.sussex.ac.uk/spru/newsandevents/2016/talks/industrial-strategy
 
Description Shifting the transformation bottlenecks: Innovation in mature infrastructure sectors.31 August to 3 September 2016 European Association for the Study of Science and Technology. Barcelona.
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Presentation of paper 'Shifting the transformation bottlenecks: Innovation in mature infrastructure sectors
URL https://easst.net/article/how-to-inherit-from-barcelona/
 
Description Side event 16 October 2018 Webcast: Infrastructure and Sustainable Development: Making infrastructure investments work for women and girls. UN high level meeting - the next level below their general Assembly - about infrastructure serving women and girls. (16/10/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact Second Committee, Side Event: Infrastructure and sustainable development - Making infrastructure investments work for women and girls (General Assembly, 73rd session). ? Outputs & outcomes: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development has reinforced the recognition that infrastructure forms the backbone of modern societies and that inadequate access to infrastructure and its services prevents the realization of human rights, perpetuates inequality, and hampers progress towards environmental sustainability. Furthermore, we have overwhelming evidence to show how the absence of adequate infrastructure disproportionately affects the most disadvantaged, especially women and girls. A recent study by the G20's Global Infrastructure Hub has shown that there is a current infrastructure investment gap of USD 97 trillion to meet global needs by 2040. The need to invest in infrastructure and provide scalable solutions is evident, but how can they be financed, particularly in low-income countries where the gaps are greatest and the capacity of most households to pay user charges lowest? UN-Women and UNOPS have co-organized this side event bringing together a group of leading experts to explore some of the key policy choices facing countries as they seek to address gaps in their capacity to effectively plan, deliver, and manage sustainable, resilient, inclusive, and gender-responsive infrastructure. Prof Hall particularly outlined the importance of digital infrastructure and gender imbalance across infrastructure issues and planning and encouraged further discussion of this element. He also emphasized the importance of infrastructure's role within the SDGs. He raised awareness of the NISMod-Int infrastructure modelling wich is running in various places worldwide, including smaller states such a St Lucia and Curaçao. Mr Richard Kozul-Wright thanked the panel for it's input which has broadened the panel's viewpoint across the issue of gender imbalance. These points will go towards changing the UN's policies. During the responses Prof Hall spoke to caution in allowing infrastructure to be state led, and into suffering continuing due to a lack of finance in poorer countries. External participants: - Sylvia Hordosch; Policy Adviser/Intergovernmental Support Division, United Nations - Sonal Shah; Independent Consultant on urban planning and sustainable transportation - Natalie Elwell; Senior Gender Advisor, Washington, United Nations - Richard Kozul-Wright; Director of the Globalisation and Development Strategies Division, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) - Anneli Lepp; Political Officer (2nd Committee - Development, Environment, Economy and finance, Humanitarian assistance), United Nations - Ziad Mahmassani; Senior Intergovernmental Affairs Officer at ECOSOC Affairs Branch, United Nations - Christine Brautigam; Policy Adviser at United Nations Women - Shahrashoub Razavi; Gender and Spocial Policy, United Nations Research Institute for Social Development (UNRISD) - Staab, Silke; Gender, Care, Social Policy, United Nations Research Institute for Social Development (UNRISD) - Urjasi Rudra; Advocacy and Program Specialist at UN Women - Elle Wang; Advisor and Strategist for Partnerships, Business Development, and Stakeholder Management, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) - Dragan Micic; Partnerships Advisor, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) - Joop Theunissen; Deputy Chief, Policy Coordination Branch, Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA), United Nations - Eric Olson; Senior Economic Affairs Officer, United Nations - Nicholas O'Regan; Director Infrastructure and Project Management, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) - Joann Lee; Women, SDGs, United Nations - Aina Iiyambo; Senior Governance Advisor, United Nations Development Fund for Women Internal participants: Hall, JW Thacker, S
URL http://webtv.un.org/search/second-committee-side-event-infrastructure-and-sustainable-development-ma...
 
Description Social impact of the 'Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC)' on the Social Impact Open Repository (SIOR) (11/01/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact The Social Impact Open Repository (SIOR) is an initiative born under the IMPACT-EV project funded by the 7th Framework Programme of the European Commission and coordinated by the research centre CREA-UB, University of Barcelona. The SIOR coordination team like to invite the ITRC/Mistral to be part of SIOR (further information is available at: http://sior.ub.edu/). SIOR is an open free and unique repository which gives universal visibility of the social impact of research projects not involving commercial interest. The main objective of IMPACT-EV (Impact Evaluation) is to develop a permanent system of selection, monitoring and evaluation of the various impacts of Social Sciences and the Humanities (SSH) research.
URL http://sior.ub.edu/
 
Description Solid Waste Infrastructure Management System (SWIMS): a dynamic optimisation and decision support tool for solid waste management. International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems. This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focussed on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity. Link Conference Proceedings: http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf Internal participants: Roberts, K (Presenter) Stringfellow, A Watson G Powrie W External participants: International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description Sustainable infrastructure update (infrastructure impacts analysis); policy brief and nexus dialogue with the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) (12/12/2018)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact Email from Rowan Palmer to "Dear Friends and Colleagues, Thank you all for your continuing engagement on sustainable infrastructure. We are pleased to be able to provide you with a brief update on a few of our shared workstreams." Please find attached for your information the finalized policy brief on infrastructure and climate. Many thanks to those of you who provided inputs! We would also like to let you know that we are working with some UN partner agencies and the UN Environmental Management Group (EMG) to organize an interagency "Nexus Dialogue" on sustainable infrastructure to be held 26th of February in Geneva. More information to follow, but we wanted to flag the date for those of you interested in attending. Thank you all for your continuing engagement on sustainable infrastructure. We are pleased to be able to provide you with a brief update on a few of our shared workstreams: 1. With inputs and endorsement from a number of you and your organization, we developed the attached policy brief on the infrastructure-biodiversity nexus. It was released at the start of the CBD COP last Saturday, and is also available for download on the Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP). Please feel free to share it amongst your own networks as you see fit. And THANK YOU to all those who provided input. 2. In order to take advantage of the policy window provided by the upcoming climate COP in Poland, we are developing a similar policy brief on the infrastructure-climate nexus. Please see attached zero draft for review and comment. Please send any comments or edits back by COB, Monday, November 26. As with the biodiversity brief, please let us know if your institution is interested in endorsing the brief. 3. The sustainable infrastructure expert meeting that was held in Fuzhou on the 22-23 October was a great success -thanks to those of you who were able to attend and for your contributions. The meeting summary is now available, along with the presentations, on the event web page that is hosted on the GGKP. 4. Taking further advantage of the GGKP as a resource, we have also created a sustainable infrastructure page to serve as a makeshift home for our growing network of partners working on sustainable infrastructure. We can upload knowledge products to the GGKP library and link to them from the page, list upcoming and past events, write blog posts, and probably more. The GGKP currently receives about 18,000 unique site visits per month and has around 60 partner organizations, so it is a great way to share information about sustainable infrastructure. We are in the process of slowly uploading some 50 or so sustainable infrastructure-relevant documents (reports, papers, etc.) that we have come across during our research (many of them from your institutions). However, if you have additional sustainable infrastructure-related knowledge products you would like to add to the library, please send them to Ben Smith (bsmith@ggkp.org, copying Vanessa.bauer@un.org) for inclusion. And please let us know if you would like to be listed as a partner organization on the sustainable infrastructure page, and we can add your logo. The more the better. Thank you for your ongoing collaboration. Best, Rowan [Palmer] Links: Policy brief on the infrastructure-biodiversity nexus. It was released at the start of the CBD COP last Saturday. http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/resource/mainstreaming-biodiversity-infrastructure-sector-fostering-system-level-approaches Sustainable infrastructure expert meeting, Fuzhou on the 22-23 October. The meeting summary and presentations: http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/Meeting Summary_Fuzhou 22-23October 2018 %281%29.pdf http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/coalition/infrastructure-sustainable-development-goals Further GGKP resource, sustainable infrastructure page: http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/coalition/infrastructure-sustainable-development-goals Email recipeints: : 'lothar.linde@yahoo.de' ; 'dtang@adb.org' ; 'bwang@aiib.org' ; 'maddenje@cdmsmith.com' ; 'czhao@eximbank.gov.cn' ; 'liyijun@cdb.cn' ; 'dongzf@caep.org.cn' ; 'jiaoewang@163.com' ; 'jinfj@igsnrr.ac.cn' ; 'tim.stumhofer@climateworks.org' ; 'tfarrell@conservation.org' ; 'markus.lehmann@cbd.int' ; 'carol.boyle@deakin.edu.au' ; 'greg@eds.org.nz' ; 'schmitt@arch.ethz.ch' ; 'a.relicovschi@eib.org' ; 'Lisa.Hunsinger.Extern@bmub.bund.de' ; 'klu@foe.org' ; 'peter.wolff@die-gdi.de' ; 'John.hauert@giz.de' ; 'achim.deuchert@giz.de' ; 'dtaras@iadb.org' ; 'weikang.wang@gggi.org' ; 'jiong.yong@ecos.ch' ; 'Pascal.peduzzi@unepgrid.ch' ; 'd.fisk@imperial.ac.uk' ; 'stephen.selwood@infrastructure.org.nz' ; 'zhou@iges.or.jp' ; 'chulanee@nus.edu.sg' ; 'chulaneejk@gmail.com' ; 'gwatkins@iadb.org' ; 'gsrinivasan2@ifc.org' ; 'andrea.bassi@ke-srl.com' ; 'operera@iisd.org' ; 'lila.buckley@iied.org' ; 'lieuw-kie-song@ilo.org' ; 'tsukamoto@ilo.org' ; 'Gueye@ilo.org' ; 'abrauss@intracen.org' ; 'gerard.bos@iucn.org' ; 'giulia.carbone@iucn.org' ; 'maximilian.mueller@iucn.org' ; 'rebecca.wellington@iucn.org' ; 'kimhoseok@gmail.com' ; 'jed.shilling@verizon.net' ; 'mohan@mindlanka.org' ; 'mindlanka@gmail.com' ; 'Akolhoff@eia.nl' ; 'elizabeth.losos@duke.edu' ; 'laura.bonich@nv5.com' ; 'Matthew.GRIFFITHS@oecd.org' ; 'Kumi.KITAMORI@oecd.org' ; 'william.tompson@oecd.org' ; 'jim.hall@eci.ox.ac.uk' ; 'william.usher@ouce.ox.ac.uk' ; 'ian@pdg.co.za' ; 'li.panwen@chinaaseanenv.org' ; 'gregor.grossman@giz.de' ; 'lkrueger@TNC.org' ; 'kai.li@tnc.org' ; 'sunjie@tongji.edu.cn' ; 'hancf@tongji.edu.cn' ; 'fengting@tongji.edu.cn' ; 'stephane.straub@ut-capitole.fr' ; 'v.nadin@tudelft.nl' ; 'roll@un.org' ; Rupert Colville ; Beibei Gu ; 'Han Meng' ; Yuki Yasui ; Jonathan Gilman ; Hossein Fadaei ; Jannica Pitkanen-Brunnsberg ; Rie Tsutsumi ; Hala Razian ; Feng Wang ; Martina Otto ; 'serge.salat@gmail.com' ; 'guoyong.liang@unctad.org' ; Sophia Twarog ; Vito Intini ; 'tim.scott@undp.org' ; Konstantinos Alexopoulos ; Marco Keiner ; Sarangoo Radnaaragchaa ; Cornelia Pretorius ; Graham Alabaster ; 'c.linke@unido.org' ; 'n.tas (unido.org)'; 'Angus Mackay'; Jose Pineda ; 'jose.pineda@sauder.ubc.ca' ; 'AlexandreBabak.Hedjazi@unige.ch' ; 'matteo.tarantino@unige.ch' ; 'anu@umn.edu' ; 'stevenc@unops.org' ; 'scottt@unops.org' ; 'clypiridis@worldbank.org' ; 'nli@wwfchina.org' ; 'kate.newman@wwfus.org' ; 'splo@wwfchina.org' ; 'dganapin@wwfint.org' ; 'pollalis@gsd.harvard.edu' ; 'viktor.novikov@zoinet.org' ; 'otto.simonett@zoinet.org' ; Curt Garrigan ; 'o.iti@unido.org' ; 'bella.evidente@unitar.org' Cc: Fulai Sheng ; Emily Franklin ; Vanessa Iris Bauer ; Beibei Gu Major external participants: - Rowan Palmer Programme Specialist Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, South-South Cooperation Unit, Policy and Programme Division - Fulai Sheng, UNOPS - Ben Smith, UNOPS - Emily Franklin, UNOPS - Beibei Gu, UNOPS - Additional recipients of details: - Mr Bin Wang; Senior Strategy and Policy officer, The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank - Jane E. Madden, P.E., BCEE; Senior Vice President, CDM Smith Internal participant: Thacker S
URL http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/resource/mainstreaming-biodiversity-infrastructure-sector-foster...
 
Description System-of-systems infrastructure modelling to support national sustainable development outcomes, International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems. This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focussed on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity. ? Outputs & outcomes: System-of-systems infrastructure modelling to support national sustainable development outcomes, International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017) Abstract: Infrastructures such as energy, water, transportation, waste and digital communications system provide services that underpin many of societies critical functions. Given their importance, evidence-based infrastructure development provides an opportunity to establish adaptable pathways to sustainable development. One major barrier to realising this opportunity is the current lack of data, methodology and tools, developed specifically to support decision-makers in this task. We address this need through the development of the first-of-its-kind National Infrastructure Systems Model (NISMOD) for International contexts. At the heart of NISMOD is an assessment process that has been designed to facilitate a systematic analysis of infrastructures to support national sustainable development outcomes. These outcomes are explicitly highlighted in the visualisation platform using, amongst others, performance metrics related to the United Nations Sustainability Development Goals, which have been calculated using system-of-systems infrastructure models. The visualisation platform has been specifically designed to step infrastructure decision makers through the assessment process, highlighting key information and insights and facilitating the iterative exploration and characterisation of adaptable pathways. We demonstrate the flexibility of applying NISMOD, to a range of different countries and contexts, by presenting a number of ongoing case studies. These include Palestine, Curacao and Syria, where the process and platform are being deployed, in collaboration with a range of organisations, to derive important new evidence and the opportunity to achieve measurable sustainable development. ? Link Conference Proceedings: http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf Internal participants: Russell, T (Presenter) Thacker, S Hall, JW Pant, R Leung J Koks E External participants: International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description Systemic Resilience Metrics for Interdependent Infrastructure Networks (Sixth Internsational Symposium on Reliability Engineering and Risk Management: Resilience and Sustainability of Urban Systems). Singapore. (31/05/2018 - 01/06/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Critical infrastructures such as energy, transport, water, waste and telecommunications exist as geospatial interdependent networks, supplying goods and services that support society and economy. The resilience of infrastructure networks is tested in external shocks, resulting in the potential for widespread cascading failures with catastrophic socio-economic consequences. For efficient resilience planning, there is a need to understand systemic vulnerabilities to prioritize resource allocation for network enhancement. We present a system-of-systems methodology to meet this need, by analysing the systemic resilience in terms of individual asset level and aggregated spatial vulnerability characteristics of interdependent critical infrastructure networks. Link: http://rpsonline.com.sg/proceedings/6isrerm/html/RR02.xml Internal participants: Pant, R. Zorn, C. Thacker, S. Hall, J.W. External participants: Sixth International Symposium on Reliability Engineering and Risk Management Xudong Qian, Editor Sze Dai Pang, Editor Ghim Ping Raymond Ong, Editor Kok-Kwang Phoon, Editor
URL http://rpsonline.com.sg/proceedings/6isrerm/html/RR02.xml
 
Description The Consumer Data Research Centre (CDRC) Data Partner Forum: Using population data to inform infrastructure investment (08/06/2018)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Deliver software that generates data • Open-source standalone generic components: • R/python/node.js interfaces. • Documented, tested and published*. (http://github.com/nismod/ukpopulation) • Enhances reproducibility. • Freely available to a wider audience. • Outlive the project. Links: ? https://www.cdrc.ac.uk/case-study/datapartnerforum/ ? https://www.cdrc.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/6-Andrew-Smith.pdf Internal participants: Smith AP Lomax NM External participants: The Consumer Data Research Centre (CDRC) Data Partner Forum
URL https://www.cdrc.ac.uk/case-study/datapartnerforum/
 
Description The Dependence of National Transportation Infrastructure on Electricity
Geographic Reach Australia 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
URL https://ir.canterbury.ac.nz/bitstream/handle/10092/12780/POSTER%20-%20Zorn_DependenceTrnsptInfstruct...
 
Description The Dependence of New Zealand's Transport Infrastructure on Electricity
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Project to consider dependence of the wider New Zealand transportation network on electricity distribution components using 'people directly affected' as the common metric. Format: Information poster Internal participant: Thacker S External participants: ? Lea Andreae, University of Applied Sciences, Münster, Germany ? Conrad Zorn, University of Auckland ? Assoc. Prof. Asaad Shamseldin, University of Auckland Continued research into - increased infrastructure - dependencies on transport sub-networks - production of more realistic overview of fuel supply demands on certain routes
URL https://ir.canterbury.ac.nz/bitstream/handle/10092/12780/POSTER%20-%20Zorn_DependenceTrnsptInfstruct...
 
Description The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Using the concept of "system-transitions" the book identifies key decisions and system components to be tackled for reaching a sustainable mode of national infrastructure delivery and operation, and combines these findings with innovative visualisation and dissemination techniques to generate a comprehensive, innovative vision of infrastructure provision. - Develops an interdisciplinary conceptualisation of infrastructure systems, with a focus upon the mutual interdependencies between energy, transport, water, waste and ICT infrastructures. Presents concepts and methodologies for modelling, evaluation and visualisation of these complex systems of systems. - Demonstrates, though application to the challenge of infrastructure provision in Britain, how long term plans for infrastructure provision can be developed and evaluated. - Sets out a range of alternative strategies for infrastructure provision in GB and analyse their performance in a range of possible futures. It will use this evidence to develop a long-term vision for infrastructure provision in Britain - Covers a broad scope of methodologies in a comprehensive presentation: system simulation, robust decision making, risk analysis, complex adaptive systems, transition theory, complex visualisation
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/the-future-of-national-infrastructure-a-system-of-systems-approach/#.WMZvpFWL...
 
Description The House of Commons, Treasury Select Committee, Group hearings on the Autumn Statement 2016 (13/12/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/national-infrastructure-plan : Prof Jim Hall of the ITRC gave evidence to the UK Government's Autumn Select Committee as a member of a panel of experts providing evidence to the National Infrastructure Plan. This includes the Government will attract new private sector investment towards UK infrastructures meeting the needs of the economy. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Hall J External participant/s: Toby Coaker; Committee Specialist, Treasury Select Committee Andrew Westcott; Head of Policy, Institute of Civil Engineers Martin Baggs; Panel member and Infrastructure Executive (previously CEO, Thames Water) Alexander Jan; Panel member and Head of Transactions, Arup Andrew Rose; Panel member and Chief Executive of the Global Infrastructure Investor Association
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/571559/autumn_statement_20...
 
Description The Industrial and Infrastructure Strategy Challenge: Industrial and infrastructure strategy post Brexit: understanding the opportunities and managing the risks. 24 January, 2017 - County Hall, Westminster, London
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact The objective of this conference is to survey these policy questions, explore the new analytical methods and tools available and consider what new tools and evidence we need to develop to fully understand the opportunities and risks. The conference will discuss the implications of the Autumn statement after the initial flurry has subsided and help finalise submissions to the National Infrastructure Assessment call for evidence. Prof Jim Hall, ITRC Mistral, partook in the Government Department of the Treasury's Autumn statement, and will sit on the Technical Panel for the National Infrastructure Assessment held by the NI Commission.
URL https://www.neks.ltd/detailsconf
 
Description The International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI). Modelling future scenarios of infrastructure demand for the UK's National Infrastructure Assessment (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact The International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) meeting in 2017 brought together a global community of infrastructure academics, policy and industry professionals. The event aimed to share progress, knowledge and new thinking, and a number of ITRC-MISTRAL's researchers presented their work. International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI), ONE GREAT GEORGE STREET, LONDON; 11-13 SEPTEMBER 2017 http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/ Conference Proceedings http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems. This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focussed on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity. Presentation: Modelling future scenarios of infrastructure demand for the UK's National Infrastructure Assessment Abstract The National Infrastructure Commission has been tasked by the U.K. Government to provide expert, independent advice on pressing concerns regarding the UK's infrastructure and to provide in-depth assessments of her national infrastructure needs up to 2050. A cornerstone of this work is the development of the National Infrastructure Assessment, which will evaluate Britain's future infrastructure needs under a range of scenarios of future uncertainty, exploring alternative driving forces and pressures on infrastructure. Conference Proceedings : http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf Internal participants: Ives, MC Usher, W (Presenter) Hall, JW Blainey, S Chaudry, M Robson, C External participants: Silberman, A; National Infrastructure Commission, UK Letti, B; National Infrastructure Commission, UK Large, J; National Infrastructure Commission, UK Baruah, P; Global Green Growth Institute (GGGI), UK
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description The International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI). Next generation infrastructure modelling for next generation infrastructure decision support. (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems. This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focussed on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity. This session: Context: • Investment decisions should be based on the best available evidence • Large capital expenditure both for investment and operation of national infrastructure - UK: £500bn infrastructure projects planned to 2030 • Near term decision making under uncertainty - demographic changes and migration • UK population growth: ~75 million by 2050 - economic growth and trade • changing geopolitical landscape - technological change • autonomous vehicles • AI, robots - a different workforce - climate and extreme events • increased exposure to flooding • adaptation strategies Other sections of the presentation: • Breaking down silos • New challenges; High spatial and temporal scales • New opportunities; New sources of primary and secondary data • Developing NISMOD v2.0 • Summary Under the MISTRAL project • Any Questions? http://www.itrc.org.uk/ http://smif.rtfd.io william.usher@ouce.ox.ac.uk • Link Conference: http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/ • Link to Conference Presentation: https://www.slideshare.net/UKCIP/next-generation-infrastructure-modelling-for-next-generation-infrastructure-decision-support?ref=https://www.itrc.org.uk/itrc-mistral-contributions-to-the-isngi-conference-2017/ Internal participants: Usher W. (Presenter) Hall J. External participants: International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
URL https://www.slideshare.net/UKCIP/next-generation-infrastructure-modelling-for-next-generation-infras...
 
Description The Martin Centre for Architectural and Urban Studies: Symposium for Applied Urban Modelling 2018. 'Modelling long-term change for national infrastructure planning.' (28/06/2018)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: The Symposium builds on the extensive network of academics and practitioners in infrastructure planning, city design and the assessment of societal impacts of physical interventions, and take the opportunity of this major event to extend the engagement with wider disciplines. The ITRC/Mistral group presented Session 2: Long term urban change: Modelling long-term change for national infrastructure planning Links: ? https://www.martincentre.arct.cam.ac.uk/conferences/AUM Internal Participants: Ford, A. Barr, S. Lomax, NM Pregnolato, M. Smith, AP Robson, C Glenis, V. Dawson, R. Hall, J.W. External participants: The Martin Centre for Architectural and Urban Studies Links: ? https://www.martincentre.arct.cam.ac.uk/conferences/AUM
URL https://www.martincentre.arct.cam.ac.uk/conferences/AUM
 
Description The NIC met with ITRC on 16/02/2017 to discuss ? Water flow scenarios/modelling ? NIC starting to use NISMOD
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Andrea Silberman from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC on 16/02/2017 to discuss ? Water flow scenarios/modelling ? NIC starting to use NISMOD
 
Description The NIC met with ITRC on 28/04/2017 to discuss ? Model changes and outputs for transport, waste, energy strategies
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Andrea Silberman and Bianca Letti from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC on 28/04/2017 to discuss ? Model changes and outputs for transport, waste, energy strategies
 
Description The NIC met with Jim Hall of the ITRC on 04/09/2017 to discuss Water for the next phase of the NIA, and future requirements for NIA
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Bianca Letti and A Bruce of the NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 04/09/2017 to discuss ? Water: discussed options for next phase of NIA around intervention in WRMPs in December, comparing company vs regional decision making ? Discussions with Bianca Letti regarding future requirements for NIA
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC by email on 12/06/2017 to discuss creation of a development (test) environment concerning NISMOD 1
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact A member of the NIC met with Matt Ives from the ITRC by email on 12/06/2017 to discuss: the creation of a development (test) environment for changes to NISMOD 1 avoiding disruption to the production server and the simulations being run by the NIC
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC in the University of Southampton on 10/02/2017 to discuss Solid waste
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Thomas Bousfield of the NIC met with the ITRC in the University of Southampton on 10/02/2017 to discuss Solid waste
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 03/11/2017 to discuss the presentation of WATHNET; the next round of water modelling; discussions of new drought scenarios in GBWIM and WATHNET; Annex findings
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Bianca Letti, Alexa Bruce, Andrea Silberman, and Manuela Solera-Deuchar from the NIC met with Jim Hall and Mohammad Mortazavi-Naeini from the ITRC on 03/11/2017 to discuss ? Presentation of WATHNET by Mohammad Mortazavi-Naeini ? Next round of water modelling - discussions of new drought scenarios in GBWIM and WATHNET ? Discussions around Annex findings
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 06/02/2018 to discuss testing Mistral in relation to integration of NIC's independent transport projection data.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Greg McClymont (Lead on transport and cities) from the NIC met with Nik Lomax, Andrew Smith, and Simon Blainey of the ITRC on 06/02/2018 to discuss testing Mistral in relation to integration of NIC's independent transport projection data
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 08/02/2018 to raise important questions emerging from the NIA, and to plan a conference/event later in 2018 (18/04/2018, the Mistral mid-term review, and in the autumn).
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Manuela Di Mauro (Water Lead), James Richardson (Chief Economist), Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist), Bianca Letti (Economic Advisor), and Matt Crossman (Flood Risk Management Lead) of the NIC met with Jim Hall of the ITRC on 08/02/2018 to raise important questions emerging from the NIA. Further meetings/events are planned for on 18/04/2018, the Mistral mid-term review, and for a conference in the autumn (Jim Hall to contact Pete Tyler (University Professor, Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge) to settle on a date and location).
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 17/10/2017 to discuss the NIA Phase II kick-off meeting; the next round of water/drought modelling; solid waste modelling; a summary on the NIA, NNA work, and Civil Engineers meeeting the carbon challenge
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Bianca Letti, Alexa Bruce, Andrea Silberman, and Manuela Solera-Deuchar of the NIC met with J Hall and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 17/10/2017 to discuss ? NIA Phase II kick-off meeting ? Next round of water modelling - need for new drought scenarios in GBWIM ? Solid Waste modelling, fixing issues with multi-threading, new strategies on residual waste management - assess alternative combinations of collection and processing - Presented a summary on the NIA and NNA work as well as role of Civil Engineers in meeting the carbon challenge
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 23/11/2017 to discuss; new NISMOD updates, NIC demand management, Atkins drought water scenarios
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser), Michael Tran, and Manuela Solar-Deuchar (HM Treasury Representative) from the NIC met with Matt Ives of the ITRC on 23/11/2017 to discuss ? NISMOD updates to be released in v1.62 on Friday ? can NIC force demand managemet but ensure it is not used as an option otherwise ? Atkins drought water scenarios and sustainability changes updates
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 30/11/2017 to discuss; a general overview and update on the research projects; geographical coverage and consistency; increase in yield versus capacity, future of other models in NISMOD
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser), Michael Tran, Manuela Solar-Deuchar (HM Treasury Representative), and Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist) of the NIC met with Matt Ives of the ITRC on 30/11/2017 to discuss ? General overview of where we are, update on the research projects ? Geographical coverage and consistency (coverage of Wales and consistency of WRZ naming with Water UK) ? Increase in yield versus capacity, 2015 Start year issue ? What next, other models in NISMOD
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on the 23/08/2017 to discuss Energy models and training for NIC members using NISMOD
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, A Ioannis, Alexa Bruce, and Doerte Schneemann of the NIC met with Matt Ives of the ITRC on the 23/08/2017 to discuss ? Energy: New model runs ? Energy: Discussing differences with UK TIMES outputs ? Training for Ioannis and Michael on using NISMOD
 
Description The National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) report (10/07/2018)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact The National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) report is the first long term view of the UK's infrastructure needs, and is underpinned by analysis produced by a consortium of the UK's leading universities, including Oxford University, who led on the work and includes advanced modelling and analysis with scenarios of the future (the ITRC). This adopted methodology has been proposed by the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium. The ITRC has developed the UK's first National Infrastructure Model (NISMOD) which was used by the National Infrastructure Commission to conduct the National Infrastructure Assessment. The Assessment sets out a clear, long term strategy for the UK's economic infrastructure from 2020 to 2050, providing long term clarity for industry and the supply chain. (Report Annexe B) ? Link: https://www.nic.org.uk/publications/national-infrastructure-assessment-2018/
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/publications/national-infrastructure-assessment-2018/
 
Description The National Infrastructure Assessment: Process and Methodology. May 2016
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact 'The National Infrastructure Assessment: Process and Methodology' consultative document giving rise to the resultant National Infrastructure Commission (NIC). The NIC will seek to draw together expertise across every relevant sector, alongside unique and independent analysis to develop an assessment of the nation's infrastructure of the highest possible standard. The ITRC/Mistral project provides information and methodologies to the NIC. Internal participant/s: ITRC Team External participant/s: Lord Adonis; Chair of the National Infrastructure Commission
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/525950/National_Infrastruc...
 
Description The National Infrastructure Assessment; Process and Methodology
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/523947/national_infrastructure_commission_consultation_response_print.pdf
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/525950/National_Infrastruc...
 
Description The National Infrastructure Commissiomn (NIC) conveyed a copy of the cover letter and Terms of Reference for the 'Government response to the National Infrastructure Assessment / New National Infrastructure Commission Study on resilience', including a reference to the Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI), issued to Sir John Armitt by the Rt Hon. Phil Hammond (Chancellor of the Exchequer) (30/10/2018)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:Matt Crossman of the NIC contacted Jim Hall of the ITRC with details of the 'Terms of Reference for the NIC Resilience Study' published on 29 October 2018 as a letter from The Rt. Hon. Phil Hammond (Chancellor of the Exchequer) to Sir John Armitt (Chair of the National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA)): 'Government response to the National Infrastructure Assessment /New National Infrastructure Commission Study on resilience'. The ToR include a reference to the Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI). 'The National Infrastructure Assessment highlighted the importance of ensuring our infrastructure can respond future challenges, such as those expected as a result of climate change to the success of our economy. We need to ensure our systems can cope with future shocks, threats, and challenges, especially those intensified by the increased interdependence of infrastructure systems. I am therefore asking the NIC to review the evidence on the different approaches for improving the resilience of infrastructure systems. The NIC should make recommendations to government on how best to assess resilience, how government should plan for unexpected shocks, and to review the costs and benefits of measures to improve resilience.' Phil Hammond. External participants: ? Crossman M; Flood Risk Management Lead, National Infrastructure Commission ? The Rt Hon Philip Hammond; Chancellor of the Exchequer Internal participants: J.W. Hall
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/7521...
 
Description The techUK Communications Infrastructure Council (CIC) meeting (21/09/2017)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs: The CIC brings together techUK's member companies with an interest in fixed-line and wireless telecoms infrastructure, with participating companies from across the telecommunications value chain: operators/ISPs, network service providers, manufacturers and technology providers, and software suppliers. It provides the collective industry voice on improving and developing the market and on the Government policy and regulatory issues that affect it. The group is also well connected with senior Government and Ofcom decision makers who look to us for an overall independent industry perspective. This CIC will be an opportunity to present to industry the work of ITRC-MISTRAL, and discuss further the risk of infrastructure failure and the long term benefits of investments and policies to improve infrastructure systems in the UK. ? Outcomes: The Communications Infrastructure Council (CIC) thanked the ITRC group for it's presentation. The presentation sparked off some interesting discussion - and as mentioned in the meeting, the CIC hopes there will be a convenient opportunity in the future to return and update the Council on how the work is progressing. Internal participant/s Oughton E Frias Z External Participant/s Skye MacLeod, Head of Spectrum Policy Forum and Telecoms, techUK Raj Sivalingam, Executive Director, Telecoms & Spectrum, techUK
URL http://www.techuk.org/events/meeting/item/9302-techuk-communications-infrastructure-council
 
Description Towards a Multi-Scale Multi-Modal Model of Infrastructure Interdependence (30/08/2016 to 02/09/2016)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Conference presentation. 'Towards a Multi-Scale Multi-Modal Model of Infrastructure Interdependence', RGS-IBG Annual International Conference; Theme: Nexus Thinking, London, 30 August-2 September 2016. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Blainey SP; Pant R; Thacker S External participant/s: Royal Geographical Society Conference chair: Peter Jackson, University of Sheffield
URL http://www.rgs.org/WhatsOn/ConferencesAndSeminars/Annual+International+Conference/Annual+Internation...
 
Description UK Collaboratorium for Research in Infrastructure & Cities (UKCRIC) partner updates at 27/01/2017 for the UKCRIC All-Hands Meeting
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Professor Jim Hall provided the following details for the ITRC as partner to UKCRIC for the UKCRIC All-Hands Meeting shortly after the 27th January 2017 • The ITRC-MISTRAL programme is proceeding at full speed, with a pilot Version 2.0 of NISMOD to be presented at the ITRC Assembly in April, along with pilot versions of the international version of NISMOD-Int and the NISMOD-DB database portal. • The digital communications team in ITRC are holding a workshop in Cambridge on 1 February with high level stakeholders from the digital sector. • The next workshop on Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty will be held in Oxford on 13-15 November 2017. • ITRC researchers won the Lloyds science of risk prize for their work on rail network systems analysis and wrote the infrastructure chapter in the World Economic Forum's 2017 Global Risks Report. Provided to Joanna Johnson, UKCRIC Coordination Node Manager
 
Description UK Govt. Department for Transport National Security Science & Technology Working Group: Joining this committee. Introductory presentation: Preparing for Catastrophe: Climate-resilient infrastructure systems (03/05/2018)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Briefing talk, to introduce the MISTRAL project, upon joining the UK Govt., Department for Transport National Security Science & Technology Working Group. Preparing for Catastrophe: Climate-resilient infrastructure systems National infrastructure systems are characterised by growing complexity and interdependencies between different networks e.g. energy, transport and digital networks. These interdependencies can exacerbate the possibility of cascading failures, where failure in one location can propagate to disproportionately large numbers of infrastructure users. The UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) has developed methodology for mapping interdependencies in large spatially distributed networks and modelling the consequences of cascading failure, in order to identify and prioritise vulnerabilities in the network. We have proposed a definition of 'critical infrastructure hotspots' and have mapped these hotspots for the UK. We are modelling the potential impacts on the wider economy of infrastructure failures and are using the evidence to prioritise interventions to reduce the risks of infrastructure failure. Prof Hall joins the Department of Transport National Security Science & Technology Working Group. Professor Jim Hall FREng is Director of the Environmental Change Institute in the University of Oxford, where he is Professor of Climate and Environmental Risks, a Senior Research Fellow in the Department of Engineering Science and fellow of Linacre College. His research focuses upon management of climate-related risks in infrastructure systems, in particular relating to various dimensions of water security, including flooding and water scarcity. Jim Hall is a member of the UK independent Committee on Climate Change Adaptation. In 2010 Jim was elected as a Fellow of the Royal Academy of Engineering "for his contribution to the development of methods for flood risk analysis, which underpin approaches for flood risk management in the UK and internationally." He sits on the Public Voice Committee of the Institution of Civil Engineers and was a member of the panel conducting the Institution of Civil Engineer's 2014 State of the Nation Infrastructure assessment and the Executive Group for the National Needs Assessment - A Vision for UK Infrastructure. Until 2015 Jim Hall was co-chair of the Global Water Partnership / OECD Task Force on the Economics of Water Security and Sustainable Growth. He advises the World Bank on water security and is editor of the AGU journal Water Resources Research. Jim leads the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, which has developed the world's first national infrastructure simulation models for appraisal of national infrastructure investment and risks. His book "The Future of National Infrastructure: A System of Systems Approach" was published by Cambridge University Press in 2016. He sits on the Expert Advisory Group for the National Infrastructure Commission and Chairs the DAFNI Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure. Website: http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/people/jhall.html Internal participant: Jim W Hall External participants; members of the Department for Transport National Security Science & Technology Working Group: ? Jessica Sorrell ? Alice MacFarlan ? Andrew Brunning, Delivery Manager at Department for Transport (DfT), United Kingdom ? Anthony Boucher ? Callum Knox ? Chris Blakeman ? Chris Brown ? Claire Lock ? Dan Taylor ? Daniel Acheampong ? Duncan Turton ? Grant Bass ? Jennifer Yau ? John Mairs ? Kavitha Kishen ? Matthew James ? Mike Alcock ? Miles Gidlow ? Peter Browne ? Phil Blythe ? Ramona Fitch ? Roh Hathlia ? Sevvy Palmer ? Simon Lancaster ? Siobhan Campbell ? Steve Berry ? Tom Salter ? Tracy Catling ? Valerie Trojanowska External participants; specialist groups of the Department of Transport, UK Government. ? Special Purpose Company (SPC)(SCP@dft.gsi.gov.uk) ? Sevvy1 Palmer Centre for Connected and Autonomous Vehicles ? Transport Security Operations Centre (TSOC)(TSOC@dft.gsi.gov.uk)
 
Description UN Environment - Belt and Road Workshop: Evidence-based infrastructure for sustainable and resilient development using NISMOD-Int (11/10/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ITRC/UNOPS gave a workshop in Turin on "Evidence-based infrastructure for sustainable and resilient development". This involved, presenting information on the ITRC and NISMOD-Int. ? Outputs & outcomes: The workshop was part of a UN Environment 'Environmental leadership Programme' workshop for 'Green development of the Belt and Road Initiative'. Session M11: "Macro-level infrastructure planning: country experiences". Presented by Steven Crosskey UNOPS; Dr. S Thacker (ITRC, Oxford University) Translation of slides/speech in Russian. The 1Belt 1Road Initiative is the biggest global infrastructure project ever attempted. The Belt and Road Initiative is geographically structured along several land corridors, and the maritime silk road. Infrastructure corridors encompassing around 60 countries, primarily in Asia and Europe but also including Oceania and East Africa, will cost an estimated US$4-8 trillion.[19][20] For more information https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belt_and_Road_Initiative External participants: Steve Crosskey; Head of IPM Strategic Initiatives, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS Headquarters Civil servants from Central Asia: Uzbekistan, Kazakstan, Tajikistan, and the Kyrgyz Republic. Internal participant: Thacker S
URL https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belt_and_Road_Initiative
 
Description UNOPS - Best Practice in Infrastructure design for nations and internationally (01/06/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: A short video introduction to the need and progress of change for infrastructure design worldwide referencing the work of the ITRC. ? Link: https://youtu.be/sha-qrLD-TQ External Participants: UNOPS Internal Participants: Thacker, S
URL https://youtu.be/sha-qrLD-TQ
 
Description Uncertainty in the UK's National Infrastructure Assessment of Mobile Telecommunication Infrastructure. The 45th Research Conference on Communications (8 to 09/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Conference session: TPRC45 September 8-9, 2017 Economics/Political Economy 6 'Uncertainty in the UK's National Infrastructure Assessment of Mobile Telecommunication Infrastructure' Moderators: Trey Hanbury, Partner, Hogan Lovells US LLP The UK's National Infrastructure Commission is undertaking its first ever National Infrastructure Assessment, of which telecommunications is a key component. The aim of this conference is to ensure efficient and effective digital infrastructure delivery over the long term, the results of which will be used to direct both industry and government over coming decades. However, taking a strategic long-term approach to the assessment of telecommunication infrastructure is a challenging endeavour due to rapid technological innovation in both the supply of, and demand for, digital services. Link to paper: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2941232
URL https://static1.squarespace.com/static/56a114ff5dc6de6ca8f06129/t/59a4162d914e6bc2a74e4e9f/150392580...
 
Description United Nations Nexus Dialogue on Sustainable Infrastructure. Geneva (26/02/2019)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: The dialogue produced an Outcome Statement on how integrated approaches can help to deliver the 2030 Agenda. The coming decades will require large amounts of investment in new and existing infrastructure. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) estimates that an annual average of USD 6.9 trillion in infrastructure investment until 2030 is required to support global development. The bulk of this investment is taking place in developing countries, including fragile low-income economies and emerging economies, and is driven by a lack of development and infrastructure needed to meet the 2030 Agenda and the SDGs, population growth, increased income levels, and rapid urbanization in the context of growing inequality and climate change. This Outcome Statement reflects the discussions held during the Nexus Dialogue on sustainable infrastructure that was organized by the UN Environment Management Group and UN Environment's Sustainable Infrastructure Partnership. It has benefitted from the inputs of colleagues from Duke University, ETH Zurich, GGGI, GGKP, GLO, ILO, ITRC at the University of Oxford, IUCN, OECD, OHCHR, UNECE, UNEMG, UN Environment, UNEP-WCMC, UNDP, UNIDO, UNISDR, UNITAR, the University of Geneva, UNOPS, UN Women, and WWF. External Participants: ? UN Environment Management Group ? UN Environment's Sustainable Infrastructure Partnership Internal participants: ITRC Group ? Link: https://unemg.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/EMG-Nexus_Sustainable-Infrastructure_Outcome-Statement.pdf
URL https://unemg.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/EMG-Nexus_Sustainable-Infrastructure_Outcome-Statement....
 
Description United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction adds UK ITRC's latest global multi-hazard risk analysis to their PreventionWeb disaster risk reduction knowledge base (08/08/2019)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: UKITRC's latest global multi-hazard risk analysis to their @PreventionWeb disaster risk reduction knowledge base #DRR #transport #Risk Transport infrastructure is exposed to natural hazards all around the world. Here, the authors present the first global estimates of multi-hazard exposure and risk to road and rail infrastructure. Results reveal that ~27% of all global road and railway assets are exposed to at least one hazard and ~7.5% of all assets are exposed to a 1/100 year flood event. Global Expected Annual Damages (EAD) due to direct damage to road and railway assets range from 3.1 to 22 billion US dollars, of which ~73% is caused by surface and river flooding. Global EAD are small relative to global GDP (~0.02%). However, in some countries EAD reach 0.5 to 1% of GDP annually, which is the same order of magnitude as national transport infrastructure budgets. A cost-benefit analysis suggests that increasing flood protection would have positive returns on ~60% of roads exposed to a 1/100 year flood event. Links: https://www.preventionweb.net/go/66678 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-10442-3 External participants: United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR) and its readership Internal participants: ITRC Group
URL https://www.preventionweb.net/go/66678
 
Description United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) Fast-Track Analysis discussed with Council of Ministers, Curaçao (14/03/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact As part of UNOPS' national resilience programme, ITRC-MISTRAL has been active in Curaçao for over a year, working with local stakeholders from government and business to develop an understanding of the island's current and future infrastructure needs and to explore options for how those needs can be met. The analysis will demonstrate how evidence-based investments and policies in national infrastructure can be used to underpin long-term sustainable and resilient development. Scott Thacker presented findings to the Ministry for Traffic, Transportation and Urban Planning. The Minister, Zita Jesus-Leito, felt that these interim results were so significant that she arranged for a session at the regular Council of Ministers meeting (equivalent to the UK's Cabinet) shortly after. Dr Thacker commented: "We are able to demonstrate how more informed decisions in infrastructure can have positive effects for Curaçao's economy, environment and broader society and this evidence is giving senior decision-makers the confidence to act." ? Link: https://itrc.ouce.ox.ac.uk/unops-collaboration-update-fast-track-analysis-discussed-with-council-of-ministers-curacao/ Internal participants: ? Dr Scott Thacker ? Lena Fuldauer ? Daniel Adshead External participants: ? Zita Jesus-Leito, The Minister, Ministerio Tráfiko, Transporte i Planifikashon Urbano, Government of Curaçao ? The Council of Ministers of Curaçao
URL http://www.gobiernu.cw/pap/notisia/komunikado/korsou-ta-bai-bira-mas-resistente-ku-unops/
 
Description United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) Requirement for Infrastructure Information (23/05/2016)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact On Monday 23 May 2016 at the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE), London, over one hundred high profile government and industry stakeholders gathered to celebrate the launch of the ITRC's exciting new MISTRAL: Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics programme and recently published book, The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach (http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/news/2016/0524-ITRCLaunch.html). The benefits of this approach to UNOPS is portrayed in the video shown at the launch. Internal participant/s: Ives M; Hall J; Thacker S External participant/s: Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS Ashika Thanki; Experienced senior humanitarian professional implementing evidence-based solutions, UNOPS
URL https://play.buto.tv/vNXbk
 
Description United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS): Fast-track analysis for Curaçao. Presentation of information to the Minister of Traffic, Transportation and Urban Planning, Government of Curacao (28/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Development of a fast-track analysis of the infrastructure needs of the small island state of Curaçao, in the Caribbean, by the end of the year 2017. Curaçao's economy is likely to host greater numbers of tourists in the near future - the demand from extra visitors will exert significant pressure on national infrastructure systems, and, as a small island state, the risks associated with rising sea-levels need to be investigated. Across the rest of 2017, Jade Leung (ITRC-MISTRAL/UNOPS) will be working with the government of Curaçao and representatives from other parts of the public, private and civic communities to build a shared understanding of the priorities for infrastructure development. Through the Fast Track Analysis process, the government and other stakeholders can explore different future scenarios and infrastructure strategies across a number of sectors, including energy, transport and solid waste. Through this work, we aim to enable decision-makers to understand the opportunities available for robust infrastructure policy options, as well as develop a better understanding of future vulnerabilities.The system for this assessment will be NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework. This will develop some standard themes and approaches for decision-makers; to support them as they apply NISMOD-Int data to creating practical, workable responses to future infrastructure challenges.The study will also help to decide on future infrastructure provision that will work well under the demands of population and tourism growth, and of climate change-driven sea-level rise. One important area of the analysis, undertaken by the ITRC's Lena Fuldauer, will work with the waste, wastewater and energy sectors, investigating the opportunities and risks that arise from interdependencies between these sectors. This partnership forms part of a larger initiative by UNOPS to facilitate the roll-out and uptake of NISMOD-Int, as part of their programme on Evidence Based Infrastructure (EBI). ? Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/nismod-int-assessment-for-curacao-infrastructure/ ? Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/nismod-int-assessment-for-curacao-infrastructure/ ? Link: https://youtu.be/sMlSuns1VnM Internal participants: ? Thacker S ? Leung J ? Fuldauer L External participants: Her Excellency Zita Jesus-Leito; Minister of Traffic, Transportation and Urban Planning, Government of Curacao
URL http://www.gobiernu.cw/pap/notisia/komunikado/korsou-ta-bai-bira-mas-resistente-ku-unops/
 
Description United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS): Planning for future infrastructure needs for the people of Palestine (26/03/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact The Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) is working with the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) to help the people of Palestine to more easily plan the development of their communities and economy. The occupied Palestinian territories of West Bank and Gaza Strip face many challenges in the provision of infrastructure services resulting from years of conflict and neglect, including water and energy shortages that have become a part of everyday life. Just as the provision of infrastructure can enhance social wellbeing, the lack of infrastructure services can lead to declining health, wellbeing, economic productivity and social freedom.In Palestine, the demand for infrastructure services are currently not being met in all sectors, with demand expected to only increase further due to population growth, increasing urbanisation, and climate change. Currently there are insufficient public funds for the levels of investments required to meet these shortages. In order to attract additional private and donor investment Palestine must ensure investors that it can devise a national infrastructure strategy that will ensure efficient use of such funding. ITRC's National Infrastructure Systems Modelling International (NISMOD-Int) platform and processes for evidence-based decision making provide governing bodies with the tools necessary to develop national infrastructure plans through an exploration of their current and future infrastructure needs. This includes understanding interdependencies, and assessing alternative management strategies for improving the systems' resilience and robustness. A key step in this process is the development of a 'Fast Track' systems-based assessment (FTA) of current and future infrastructure needs. The FTA begins with a broad understanding of the issues particular to Palestine, moving to a focus on how infrastructure systems are currently being used, and then considers what constrains the capacity of each infrastructure sector. ITRC's researchers also assess the drivers of future demand for infrastructure services, and identify recent trends and future plans for infrastructure provision. It is hoped that this study forms, not only an important resource, but also the basis for the Palestinian authority and other stakeholder to develop a deeper understanding of their infrastructure and future infrastructure decisions. Future work, in collaboration with ITRC and UNOPS could develop this initial FTA further, adding more sophistication to the underlying analysis and providing the opportunity to develop and test further infrastructure strategies including developing a complete "vision" applied across all sectors. It is expected that such an analysis would help Palestine's infrastructure decision-makers to better understand their current infrastructure system-of-systems, including interdependencies, and assess alternative management strategies for improving the systems' resilience and robustness to future uncertainties. Included within future work could be research into developing indicators capable of tracking the performance of alternative strategies and linking these to a vision for Palestine's future (State of Palestine 2015) and the UN's Sustainable Development Goals. Developing such capabilities will enable system-wide evidence-based infrastructure planning to coordinate, prioritise and monitor future delivery of infrastructure services and assess their impact in a highly uncertain future. It will provide confidence in the institutional capacity and consistency in decision-making necessary to attract further donor funding and much needed private investment into the economy. A detailed report 'A Fast Track Analysis of infrastructure provision in Palestine - Outcomes from the ITRC/UNOPS collaboration' has been produced for the use of The occupied Palestinian territories of West Bank and Gaza Strip ? Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/unops-planning-for-future-infrastructure-needs-for-the-people-of-palestine/ ? Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/PDFs/PalestineFTA_online.pdf Internal participants: ? Ives M ? Thacker S ? Adshead D ? Hall JW ? Hickford A ? Nicholls External participants: ? Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS ? Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS ? Muwafaq Abu-Ayyash, Infrastructure Development Specialist And Chief Design Engineer, UNOPS ? Rob Jones, Head of Programme Delivery in the State of Palestine, UNOPS ? Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS ? The Palestinian Authority (PA)
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/PDFs/PalestineFTA_online.pdf
 
Description Valuing Infrastructure Conference - April 2017
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
URL http://store.leeds.ac.uk/conferences-and-events/environment/earth-and-environment/valuing-infrastruc...
 
Description Waterloo Institute for Complexity and Innovation (WICI, Waterloo University, Canada) Conference on Modelling Complex Urban Environments: Session 1: The use of big data in simulating attributes and mobilities of passengers on the UK Rail network (22/06/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: The methodology extends for the first time the concept of simultaneously constraining for 3-levels of variables, enabling the inclusion of mobility interaction in the spatial microsimulation process. The outcome is a synthetic population of attribute-rich individuals who are representative of all railway passengers in the study area. In the second stage, the synthetic population is used as input into a rail GIS network that has been logistically constrained by real transit schedules. This produces a rich dataset of railway passengers including both exogenous and endogenous attributes, enabling the identification of context rich space-time volumes of individual passengers on train carriages, platforms and stations. This also enables the assignment of passengers to traffic on the rail network, precluding the need for the complexities of a utility optimizing transit assignment. The hypothesis is that such micro-level information on passenger demand will have a significant impact on the quality of inputs to strategic, tactical and operational rail-sector analysis planning models. Link: https://uwaterloo.ca/complexity-innovation/sites/ca.complexity-innovation/files/uploads/files/wici_ucc_conference_program_16may2018_id.pdf Internal participants: Odiari, E., University of Leeds Birkin, M., University of Leeds Grant-Muller, S., University of Leeds Malleson, N., University of Leeds External Participants: Waterloo Institute for Complexity and Innovation (WICI, Waterloo University, Canada) Alison Heppenstall, Organizer (A.J.Heppenstall@leeds.ac.uk)
URL https://uwaterloo.ca/complexity-innovation/sites/ca.complexity-innovation/files/uploads/files/wici_u...
 
Description World Economic Forum: Insight report: How infrastructure defines our climate
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Citation in systematic reviews
Impact The development of the world's first capability to model and understand infrastructure as interdependent systems. This will enable the effective planning and delivery of infrastructure through the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) Evidence-Based Infrastructure Development (EBID) Framework. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Hall J; ITRC/Mistral Researchers External participant/s: Rob Jones, Head of Programme Delivery in the State of Palestine, UNOPS
URL https://www.unops.org/english/News/Insights/Pages/How-infrastructure-defines-our-climate.aspx
 
Description A National Scale Model of Green Infrastructure for Water Resources
Amount £98,625 (GBP)
Funding ID NE/N017714/1 
Organisation Natural Environment Research Council 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 01/2016 
End 09/2017
 
Description A tool to support decision making for the Oxford-Cambridge Arc
Amount £66,244 (GBP)
Funding ID EP/R511742/1 
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 04/2020 
End 04/2021
 
Description CaMKOx - Machine Learning and Spatial Optimisation to Inform Policy Options for the Cambridge-Milton Keynes-Oxford Arc
Amount £217,316 (GBP)
Funding ID TU/ASG/R-SPEU-106 
Organisation Alan Turing Institute 
Sector Academic/University
Country United Kingdom
Start 10/2019 
End 09/2020
 
Description Contract for small services Oxford/Research/2017/001
Amount $48,000 (USD)
Funding ID Oxford/Research/2017/001 
Organisation United Nations Office for Project Services 
Sector Public
Country United States
Start 12/2017 
End 09/2018
 
Description EPSRC Digital Catapult - Researcher in Residence programme
Amount £50,000 (GBP)
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 01/2018 
End 12/2018
 
Description EPSRC Fellowship
Amount £272,638 (GBP)
Funding ID EP/R00742X/1 
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 12/2017 
End 11/2020
 
Description EPSRC Global Challenge Research Fund Institutional Sponsorship 2016
Amount £74,593 (GBP)
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 07/2016 
End 03/2017
 
Description EPSRC Impact Acceleration Account Award
Amount £38,690 (GBP)
Funding ID EPSRC Impact Acceleration Account Award EP/R511742/1 
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 10/2017 
End 06/2018
 
Description EPSRC Value for Money Assessment
Amount £8,000,000 (GBP)
Funding ID EP/R012202/1 
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 04/2017 
End 03/2021
 
Description Multi-Hazard Resilience Estimation and Planning for Interdependent National Infrastructure Networks
Amount £172,308 (GBP)
Funding ID NE/N012917/1 
Organisation Natural Environment Research Council 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 04/2016 
End 03/2017
 
Description NERC ERIIP
Amount £172,308 (GBP)
Funding ID NE/N012917/1 
Organisation Natural Environment Research Council 
Department NERC Catalyst Grant
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 04/2016 
End 03/2017
 
Description Piloting and developing a major programme on infrastructure systems in developing countries.
Amount £74,594 (GBP)
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 07/2016 
End 03/2017
 
Description Scoping studies for consolidating knowledge on resilience between and within critical infrastructure sectors.
Amount £27,200 (GBP)
Organisation Arup Group 
Sector Private
Country United Kingdom
Start 03/2016 
End 06/2016
 
Title Electricity distribution network data for a topological investigation 
Description An investigation of the topological properties of the real-world electricity distribution networks was conducted using real network data that was collected from China, covering urban and sub-urban areas. The study was focused on the 10kV level of the distribution networks. The networks have been modelled as graphs with nodes representing substations, distribution transformers, switches, busbars and consumer locations of the network, and edges standing for the connections between the nodes through underground (UG) cables and overhead (OH) distribution line segments. Since, the collected real-world network data set includes the actual geographical location of the electrical components in a map, the information about nodes were extracted with x, y coordinates. Hence, the edges were represented using start and end x, y coordinates. Therefore, the extracted topological structure of each 10kV network sample is available in the data set as a connection matrix. Connection matrix has four columns; start_x coordinate, start_y coordinate, end_x coordinate and end_y coordinate. A row in a connection matrix corresponds to one edge in a specific network. Connection matrices were used to analyse the topological properties of the networks and also it was used to re-create the network layouts for visualizing purposes. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2017 
Provided To Others? Yes  
 
Title HIRE - HIgh Resolution Energy Demand simulation model 
Description HIRE was written in Python (Python>=3.6) and developed at the Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford within the EPSRC sponsored MISTRAL programme, as part of the Infrastructure Transition Research Consortium. Eggimann, S., Hall, W.J., Eyre, N. (2019): A high-resolution spatio-temporal energy demand simulation of large-scale heat pump diffusion to explore the potential of heating demand side management. Applied Energy, 236, 997-1010. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.12.052. HIRE allows the simulation of long-term changes in energy demand patterns for the residential, service and industry sector on a high temporal and spatial scale. National end-use specific energy demand data is disaggregated on local authority district level and a bottom-up approach is implemented for hourly energy demand estimation for different fuel types and end uses.Future energy demand is simulated based on different socio-technical scenario assumptions such as technology efficiencies, changes in the technological mix per end use consumptions or behavioural change. Energy demand is simulated in relation to changes in scenario drivers of the base year. End-use specific socio-technical drivers for energy demands modelled where possible on a household level. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2018 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact This is a key model in the MISTRAL SoS analysis methodology, its inputs and outputs are closely linked to all the other infrastructure sectors analysed in the project across 7 differnt universities. 
URL https://ed.readthedocs.io/en/latest/documentation.html#introduction
 
Title Hierarchical Microgrid Energy Management in an Office Building 
Description A two-stage hierarchical Microgrid energy management method in an office building is proposed, which considers uncertainties from renewable generation, electric load demand, outdoor temperature and solar radiation. In stage 1, a day-ahead optimal economic dispatch method is proposed to minimize the daily Microgrid operating cost, with the virtual energy storage system being dispatched as a flexible resource. In stage 2, a two-layer intra-hour adjustment methodology is proposed to smooth the power exchanges at the point of common coupling by coordinating the virtual energy storage system and the electric vehicles at two different time scales. A Vehicle-to-Building control strategy was developed to dispatch the electric vehicles as a flexible resource. Numerical studies demonstrated that the proposed method is able to reduce the daily operating cost at the day-ahead dispatch stage and smooth the fluctuations of the electric power exchanges at the intra-hour adjustment stage. The dataset contains details of the test office building with electric vehicles integrated (thermal parameters, volume, outdoor temperature data, solar radiation data, electrical load, internal heat gain data and real-time electricity purchasing price, etc). It also contains the optimal dispatch results of the virtual energy storage system and the electric vehicles at both day-ahead and intra-hour stages. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2017 
Provided To Others? Yes  
 
Title Household Microsynthesis 
Description A python package for microsynthesising household populations from census data, including communal and unoccupied residences. It is a methodology and software of a scalable small area microsynthesis of dwellings in a given region. It uses a microsynthesis technique developed by the author (publication in press) that uses quasirandom sampling to directly generate non-fractional populations very efficently. This also introduces and tests (successfully) a newly-developed extension to the microsynthesis technique that can deal with extra constraints (in this case the fact that a household cannot have more bedrooms than rooms). The microsynthesis combines census data on occupied households, communal residences, and unoccupied dwellings to generate a synthetic population of dwellings classified in a number of categories, shown in the table below. It can be used to generate a realistic synthetic population of dwellings in a region at a specified geographical resolution. Regions can be one or more local authorities or countrywide, and the geographical resolutions supported are: local authority, MSOA, LSOA or OA. The synthetic population is consistent with the census aggregates within the specified geographical resolution. The term 'unoccupied' in this context means a dwelling that is not permanently occupied, or is unoccupied, on the census date. This of course does not mean that the property is permanently unoccupied, and could actually mean that the occupants did not return the census form. The census tells us only that these properties exist. Category values for a dwelling may be unknown or unapplicable in the synthesised data. This is simply because some columns are specific to a particular dwelling type (e.g. QS420EW_CELL for communal residences) or information is just unavailable (as is often the case for unoccupied dwellings. These values are indicated as negative numbers in the output, where -1 indicates unknown and -2 non-applicable. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2018 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact It provides the scenarios to run NISMOD 2, a tool that integrates infrastructure models developed across the 7 universities in MISTRAL. The integrated models will run as a single tool, NISMOD2, to analyse long term performance of interdependencies across the main infrastructure sectors. NISMOD1, the first version of the integrated tool, was used as an analytical framework by the UK National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) to prepare their first National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) report. This report produced recommendations to prioritize implementation of the UK Major Projects Pipeline, worth circa £600 billion. The group is continuing its partnership with the NIC to produce their next NIA in 5 years, this time using NISMOD2. 
URL https://github.com/nismod/household_microsynth
 
Title September 2016 Mistral project, section 'Water, waste water and flooding'. Gully (roadside drain) network component. 
Description First stage of developing gully (roadside drain) network component complete. The gully component has been tested using a new (observed) data set of gullies in a town in Scotland derived from Robert Bertsch's EngDoc study. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact Following the lit review of methods, a conceptual algorithm has been developed for using the new gully data set and road-centre line data to derive a synthetic sewer network. This will be developed and tested in GIS in the next 2 weeks using case study data in Scotland and Newcastle. 
 
Title September 2016 Mistral project, section 'Water, waste water and flooding': Discussions with Northumbrian Water 
Description Mistral project section: Water, waste water and flooding We are in discussion with Northumbrian Water regarding whole city model set up. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2016 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Not available 
 
Title Simulating Peer-to-Peer Energy Trading in a Microgrid 
Description Peer-to-Peer (P2P) energy trading represents direct energy trading between peers, where energy from small-scale Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) in dwellings, offices, factories, etc, is traded among local energy prosumers and consumers. A research paper titled "Peer-to-Peer Energy Trading in a Microgrid" has been published on Applied Energy regarding this topic. In the paper, a hierarchical system architecture model was proposed to identify and categorize the key elements and technologies involved in P2P energy trading. A P2P energy trading platform was designed and P2P energy trading was simulated using game theory. In case studies of the paper, two sets of cases were conducted in order to validate the proposed P2P energy trading platform using the simulation method illustrated in the paper. The original numerical data of the results in the case studies of the paper have been provided, for researchers to better understand the results or to use the results for other purposes. The whole dataset includes 4 excel files in total. The detailed descriptions are presented as follows: 1. "Numerical results and figures _ Case 1 _ Inputs.xlsx" provides the numerical inputs of Case 5.1 of the paper. It contains three sheets, providing the data behind Fig. 7(a), Fig. 7(b) and Fig. 7(c) of the paper respectively. In the "Fig. 7(a)" sheet, the "Percentage of Peak Generation (%)" is provided. In the "Fig. 7(b)" sheet, the "Load Profile of Non-flexible Demand Type 1 (kW)" and "Load Profile of Non-flexible Demand Type 2 (kW)" are provided. In the "Fig. 7(c)" sheet, the "Total Power Consumption of Non-flexible Demands in the Microgrid (kW)" is provided. 2. "Numerical results and figures _ Case 1 _ Outputs.xlsx" provides the numerical results of Case 5.1 of the paper. It contains three sheets, providing the data behind Fig. 8(a), Fig. 8(b) and Fig. 8(c) of the paper respectively. In the "Fig. 8(a)" sheet, the "ON/OFF Status of Flexible Demand of Peers 1 (Boolean)" and "ON/OFF Status of Flexible Demand of Peers 2 (Boolean)" are provided. In the "Fig. 8(b)" sheet, the "Total Power Consumption of Peers 1 without P2P (kW)", "Total Power Consumption of Peers 1 with P2P (kW)", "Total Power Consumption of Peers 2 without P2P (kW)", and "Total Power Consumption of Peers 2 with P2P (kW)" are provided. In the "Fig. 8(c)" sheet, the "Net Load of the Microgrid without P2P (kW)" and "Net Load of the Microgrid with P2P (kW)" are provided. 3. "Numerical results and figures _ Case 2 _ Inputs.xlsx" provides the numerical inputs of Case 5.2 of the paper. It contains one sheet, providing the data behind Fig. 9 of the paper. In the "Fig. 9" sheet, the "Percentage of Peak PV Generation (%)" and "Percentage of Peak Wind Generation (%)" are provided. 4. "Numerical results and figures _ Case 2 _ Outputs.xlsx" provides the numerical results of Case 5.2 of the paper. It contains three sheets, providing the data behind Fig. 10(a), Fig. 10(b) and Fig. 10(c) of the paper respectively. In the "Fig. 10(a)" sheet, the "ON/OFF Status of Flexible Demand of Peers 1 (Boolean)", "ON/OFF Status of Flexible Demand of Peers 2 (Boolean)", and "ON/OFF Status of Flexible Demand of Peers 3 (Boolean)" are provided. In the "Fig. 10(b)" sheet, the "Total Power Consumption of Peers 1 without P2P (kW)", "Total Power Consumption of Peers 1 with P2P (kW)", "Total Power Consumption of Peers 2 without P2P (kW)", "Total Power Consumption of Peers 2 with P2P (kW)", "Total Power Consumption of Peers 3 without P2P (kW)", and "Total Power Consumption of Peers 3 with P2P (kW)" are provided. In the "Fig. 10(c)" sheet, the "Net Load of the Microgrid without P2P (kW)" and "Net Load of the Microgrid with P2P (kW)" are provided. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2018 
Provided To Others? Yes  
 
Title Simulation Modelling Integration Framework - smif 
Description smif is a framework for handling the creation, management and running of system-of-systems models. A system-of-systems model is a collection of system simulation models that are coupled through dependencies on data produced by each other. smif provides a user with the ability to create system-of-systems models add simulation models to a system-of-systems model create dependencies between models by linking model inputs and outputs pick from a library of data adapters which perform common data conversions across dependencies create user-defined data adapters for more special cases add scenario data sources and link those to model inputs within a system-of-systems add a simulation model to a library of models write a simulation model wrapper which allows smif to run the model define multi-dimensional model inputs, outputs and parameters and appropriate metadata run system-of-systems models link concrete scenario data sets to a system-of-systems model define one or more decision modules that operate across the system-of-systems define a narrative to parameterise the contained models persist intermediate data for each model output, and write results to a data store for subsequent analysis In summary, the framework facilitates the hard coupling of complex systems models into a system-of-systems. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2018 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact smif has been designed to support the coupling of bottom-up, engineering simulation models built to simulate the operation of a given infrastructure system smif provides a mechanism for passing information from the system-of-systems level (at planning timesteps scale) to the contained models smif is appropriate for coupling large complex models that exchange resources and information at relatively course timesteps smif is needed to integrate the models developed across the 7 universities in MISTRAL. The integrated models will run as a single tool, NISMOD2, to analyse long term performance of interdependencies across the main infrastructure sectors. NiISMOD1, the first version of the integrated tool, was used as an analytical framework by the UK National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) to prepare their first National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) report. This report produced recommendations to prioritize implementation of the UK Major Projects Pipeline, worth circa £600 billion. The group is continuing its partnership with the NIC to produce their next NIA in 5 years, this time using NISMOD2. 
URL https://github.com/nismod/smif
 
Title The Cambridge Communications Assessment Model 
Description The Cambridge Communications Assessment Model (ccam) is a decision support tool to quantify the performance of national digital infrastructure strategies. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2018 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact This model has been adopted by the Netherlands government to assess their roll out of 5G infrastructure. 
URL https://github.com/nismod/digital_comms
 
Title ukpopulation: UK Demographic Projections 
Description Population and demographics projection module, developed for ITRC/MISTRAL 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2018 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact This model provides the demographics projections & scenarios for the infrastructure models developed across the 7 participating universities in MISTRAL. The integrated models will run as a single tool, NISMOD2, to analyse long term performance of interdependencies across the main infrastructure sectors. 
URL https://github.com/nismod/ukpopulation
 
Description "Report for Institution of Civil Engineers Northern infrastructure strategy project on the demand predictions for Energy and Transport Infrastructure in the NE, NW and Yorkshire & Humber 
Organisation Institution of Civil Engineers
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Use of the NISMOD transport model for a local (road scale) assessment of potential traffic increase.
Collaborator Contribution The Meanwood project is a joint arts/science outreach project coming out of the work of iBUILD, an EPSRC funded collaborative project, in collaboration withe ICE. The NISMOD transport model was used to inform a report for Institution of Civil Engineers Northern infrastructure strategy project on the demand predictions for Energy and Transport Infrastructure in the NE, NW and Yorkshire & Humber.
Impact The report will be circulated shortly.
Start Year 2017
 
Description "Report for Institution of Civil Engineers Northern infrastructure strategy project on the demand predictions for Energy and Transport Infrastructure in the NE, NW and Yorkshire & Humber 
Organisation University of Leeds
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Use of the NISMOD transport model for a local (road scale) assessment of potential traffic increase.
Collaborator Contribution The Meanwood project is a joint arts/science outreach project coming out of the work of iBUILD, an EPSRC funded collaborative project, in collaboration withe ICE. The NISMOD transport model was used to inform a report for Institution of Civil Engineers Northern infrastructure strategy project on the demand predictions for Energy and Transport Infrastructure in the NE, NW and Yorkshire & Humber.
Impact The report will be circulated shortly.
Start Year 2017
 
Description Conference DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales 
Organisation Defence Science & Technology Laboratory (DSTL)
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Collaborator Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Impact There will a high profile international conference delivered on 13-15 November 2017
Start Year 2016
 
Description Conference DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales 
Organisation Rolls Royce Group Plc
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Collaborator Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Impact There will a high profile international conference delivered on 13-15 November 2017
Start Year 2016
 
Description Conference DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales 
Organisation The RAND Corporation
Country United States 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Collaborator Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Impact There will a high profile international conference delivered on 13-15 November 2017
Start Year 2016
 
Description Conference DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales 
Organisation World Bank Group
Country United States 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Collaborator Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Impact There will a high profile international conference delivered on 13-15 November 2017
Start Year 2016
 
Description Consultation for a national infrastructure database, modelling, simulation and vizualisation facility ( MISTRAL/UKCRIC) 
Organisation Innovate UK
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution We are partnering with Innovate UK, STFC and OS to develop and implement a consultation process to design a national infrastructure database, modelling, simulation and vizualisation facility funded by the UKCRIC capital grant. The migration of ITRC and MISTRAL research outputs would kickstart the migration of as many as possible relevant outputs from other infrastructure research across the UK. The aim is to make the new facility become a national hub to accellerate research in infrastructure sytems to consolidate the UK's leadership in the field.
Collaborator Contribution There has been several meetings, Innovate UK is fully commited in supporting the consulation process. STFC will manage the facility and OS will provide data access to the initaive.
Impact The process is being developed with a major consultation event to be hels in June/July in London.
Start Year 2016
 
Description Consultation for a national infrastructure database, modelling, simulation and vizualisation facility ( MISTRAL/UKCRIC) 
Organisation Ordnance Survey
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution We are partnering with Innovate UK, STFC and OS to develop and implement a consultation process to design a national infrastructure database, modelling, simulation and vizualisation facility funded by the UKCRIC capital grant. The migration of ITRC and MISTRAL research outputs would kickstart the migration of as many as possible relevant outputs from other infrastructure research across the UK. The aim is to make the new facility become a national hub to accellerate research in infrastructure sytems to consolidate the UK's leadership in the field.
Collaborator Contribution There has been several meetings, Innovate UK is fully commited in supporting the consulation process. STFC will manage the facility and OS will provide data access to the initaive.
Impact The process is being developed with a major consultation event to be hels in June/July in London.
Start Year 2016
 
Description Consultation for a national infrastructure database, modelling, simulation and vizualisation facility ( MISTRAL/UKCRIC) 
Organisation Science and Technologies Facilities Council (STFC)
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution We are partnering with Innovate UK, STFC and OS to develop and implement a consultation process to design a national infrastructure database, modelling, simulation and vizualisation facility funded by the UKCRIC capital grant. The migration of ITRC and MISTRAL research outputs would kickstart the migration of as many as possible relevant outputs from other infrastructure research across the UK. The aim is to make the new facility become a national hub to accellerate research in infrastructure sytems to consolidate the UK's leadership in the field.
Collaborator Contribution There has been several meetings, Innovate UK is fully commited in supporting the consulation process. STFC will manage the facility and OS will provide data access to the initaive.
Impact The process is being developed with a major consultation event to be hels in June/July in London.
Start Year 2016
 
Description Environmental Agency Long-term Investment Scenario (LTIS) model 
Organisation Environment Agency
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution This study evaluates how the EA can improve their Long-term Investment Scenario (LTIS) model, which is basically used for flood defence investment appraisal - i.e. where and when should flood defences be invested in. We are advising on one specific area of interest in model development: 'Risks to infrastructure'
Collaborator Contribution This is a team of organisations led by consultants CH2MILL with a unique ability to respond to the challenges posed by LTIS additional analysis, in particular for this standalone analysis. The team has a deep understanding of LTIS from CH2M and Horritt Consulting, experience of working with natural processes from CEH, knowledge of the flood risk management system (including flood impacts and social science aspects) from FHRC and infrastructure system modelling from the University of Oxford. The team includes a range of perspectives, but all are able to think differently and deliver innovative solutions that consider the big picture of the problem. The partnership involved our subject experts and the LTIS Environment Agency project team.
Impact We believe that in the longer term a full range of responses could be integrated with the LTIS risk modelling, including temporary community defences, natural flood management and non-structural responses. Similarly, we can improve the LTIS modeling by directly including a wide range of impacts (and therefore benefits of investment), including the risks to infrastructure. The project involves the following disciplines: finance, policy management, social sciences, economics, enguneering, compuer sciences,
Start Year 2016
 
Description HS2 Assessment for Climate Change Resilience 
Organisation High Speed Two (HS2) Ltd
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution In April 2016 Dr Raghav Pant and Dr Scott Thacker from the Environmental Change Institute (ECI) at the School of Geography and the Environment asked the Consulting Services team at Oxford University Innovation for help with a complex collaborative project. The objective was to assess the possible impacts of climate change on interdependent systems along HS2 - the planned high-speed railway linking London, Birmingham, the East Midlands, Leeds, Sheffield and Manchester. The project was managed by JBA Consulting - a group of engineers, environmental consultants, designers and scientists who for the last 20 years have been committed to improving the natural and built environment - alongside professionals from the Met Office. Raghav and Scott's insights enabled the project to make practical, science-based judgements based on world-leading techniques established by the University of Oxford's Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium. Together, they led the development of a comprehensive methodology to assist civil engineers and designers in accounting for climate change interdependencies when designing the HS2 route. In particular, they developed and implemented methods for describing the interdependencies; created a risk-based approach for assessing the impact of climate change on HS2 interdependencies; and prescribed a methodology for categorising, assessing and prioritising any HS2 vulnerabilities arising from these interdependencies. Their work established a system-of-systems approach that provides HS2 with a holistic understanding of risk attributable to other interdependent utilities such as electricity, gas, water, etc. In a nutshell, it is a comprehensive climate change risk assessment of interdependent infrastructures, which is an intrinsic part of HS2 Ltd's commitment to creating a resilient high-speed railway network.
Collaborator Contribution They provided an analytical framework to further strengthen and validate the NISMOD suite of tools and databases for infrastructure planning being developed within the MISTRAL project.
Impact The project was managed by JBA Consulting - a group of engineers, environmental consultants, designers and scientists who for the last 20 years have been committed to improving the natural and built environment. HS2 is one of the most important UK infrastructure projects that can potentially transform the UK economy by facilitating improved capacity and connectivity between London, the Midlands and the North. By developing a guidance methodology with JBA we have been able to inform HS2 Ltd's future planning and design.
Start Year 2016
 
Description National Infrastructure Assessment An assessment of the United Kingdom's infrastructure needs up to 2050 
Organisation HM Treasury
Department National Infrastructure Commission
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution The first long-term view of the UK's infrastructure needs was published by the National Infrastructure Commission in July 2018. The National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) calls for a more joined-up view of infrastructure, with significant investments needed to tackle road congestion, deal with water shortages and provide secure low-carbon energy supplies. The NIA proposes ways of promoting greater innovation, for example through the roll-out of 5G mobile services and the uptake of autonomous vehicles. The NIA was underpinned by advanced modelling and analysis of scenarios of the future. This adopted methodology proposed by the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, a consortium of seven of the UK's leading universities, led from the University of Oxford. The ITRC has developed the UK's first National Infrastructure Model (NISMOD) which was used by the National Infrastructure Commission to conduct the National Infrastructure Assessment. The Commission is grateful to everyone who has engaged with the National Infrastructure Assessment process. The list below sets out organisations that have engaged with the Commission since publication of its interim report Congestion, Capacity, Carbon: Priorities for National Infrastructure through at least one of the following means: - submitting consultation responses to the interim report - participating in roundtables - attending meetings with members of the Commission Secretariat. Former Commissioners Lord Adonis, Demis Hassabis, Lord Heseltine and Sir Paul Ruddock were all members of the Commission at earlier stages of the Assessment process and contributed to it throughout their tenure. The Commission would like to thank everyone who responded to earlier consultations (on the Process and Methodology for the Assessment, and the Call for Evidence on the Assessment), commented on the driver papers, and participated in initial workshops and roundtables. The Commission acknowledges the contribution of its expert advisory groups for their input throughout the Assessment process, the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium for support with modelling, and the consultants that have been engaged by the Commission and contributed to developing its evidence base.
Collaborator Contribution Developing the National Infrastructure Assessment will be an enormous piece of work. Every aspect of the UK's economic infrastructure will need to be studied, assessed, and understood. But just as importantly, the National Infrastructure Commission will need a firm grasp on the interrelationships between and across sectors as well as within them. The Commission will seek to draw together expertise across every relevant sector, alongside unique and independent analysis to develop an assessment of the nation's infrastructure of the highest possible standard. The Commission does not take this task lightly. Indeed, the final assessment will represent a world first. The first long-term view of the UK's infrastructure needs was published by the National Infrastructure Commission in July 2018. The National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) calls for a more joined-up view of infrastructure, with significant investments needed to tackle road congestion, deal with water shortages and provide secure low-carbon energy supplies. The NIA proposes ways of promoting greater innovation, for example through the roll-out of 5G mobile services and the uptake of autonomous vehicles.
Impact This first-ever National Infrastructure Assessment for the United Kingdom makes recommendations for how the identified infrastructure needs and priorities of the country should be addressed. Government will be required to formally respond to the recommendations made. The Assessment includes a range of recommendations, including on: Low carbon energy - making a switch to low-carbon and renewable sources for both the country's power and heating, combined with a move towards electric vehicles, would mean the customer of 2050 would pay the same in real terms for their energy as today Digital technology - that the Government devise a National Broadband Plan by Spring 2019, to deliver full fibre connections across the whole of the country, including those in rural areas - this should ensure that the technology is available to 15 million homes and businesses by 2025, 25 million by 2030, and all homes and businesses by 2033 The future for the nation's roads - that the Government work with councils and private companies to deliver a national network of charging points for electric vehicles and ensures that the impacts of connected and autonomous vehicles are taken into account when planning for the next rail control period and road investment strategy; Encouraging growth of cities - that Metro Mayors and city leaders develop and implement long-term strategies for transport, employment and housing in their areas, to support economic growth, with new powers and devolved infrastructure budgets. The National Infrastructure Assessment's spending plans include funding for projects including Crossrail 2 in London, and Northern Powerhouse Rail linking the major Northern cities, and recommends a boost in funding for major cities totalling £43 billion to 2040, with cities given stable five-year budgets, starting in 2021; Tackling floods - that the Government should put in place a long-term strategy to deliver a nationwide standard of flood resilience by 2050 with funding for flood risk management increasing significantly over the coming decades Cutting waste - that new national rules for what can and cannot be recycled be introduced, with restrictions on the hardest-to-recycle plastics, aimed at increasing rates and reducing the amount of plastics going to incinerators. This would also mean that all food waste is separated making it available to create biogas, so it can be used to heat people's homes and potentially as a transport fuel
Start Year 2017
 
Description National Infrastructure Assessment for the National Infrastructure Commission 
Organisation HM Treasury
Department National Infrastructure Commission
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Each Parliament, the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) will deliver a study on the UK's long-term strategic infrastructure needs and produce recommendations to address those needs across the economic infrastructure sectors including transport, energy, water and wastewater, digital communications, solid waste, flood risk management as well as considering their interdependencies and interaction with the built environment. The National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) will consist of two stages: Visions and Priorities, identifying the vision and long-term infrastructure needs to be published in mid-2017 and the National Infrastructure Assessment, a roadmap of recommendations including both on policy and infrastructure solutions to be published in mid-2018. As part of its work on the NIA, the NIC has been developing scenarios to help understand how the UK's infrastructure requirements could change in response to different assumptions about the future. These scenarios are based on available empirical evidence about past trends, and on quantitative and qualitative forecasts of changes in the economy, population and demography, climate and environment, and technology. Quantitative modelling of 'baseline' outcomes in these scenarios, and of packages of policy proposals in the most relevant scenarios, will allow an assessment of the robustness of policy options to future uncertainty. These scenarios are tested using the national infrastructure system model (NISMOD), which was developed by the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium and used to inform the National Needs Assessment, as well as models used by Government departments for the water, wastewater, solid waste, transport and energy sectors. The results from the scenario analysis are intended to provide evidence on the potential challenges for each sector through identifying the likely scale of future infrastructure requirements and to support the development of infrastructure recommendations that are robust to future uncertainty. Results will be validated by sensitivity analysis of selected parameters and by analysing outputs from different models, which have been independently quality assured.
Collaborator Contribution Each Parliament, the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) will deliver a study on the UK's long-term strategic infrastructure needs and produce recommendations to address those needs across the economic infrastructure sectors including transport, energy, water and wastewater, digital communications, solid waste, flood risk management as well as considering their interdependencies and interaction with the built environment. The National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) will consist of two stages: Visions and Priorities, identifying the vision and long-term infrastructure needs to be published in mid-2017 and the National Infrastructure Assessment, a roadmap of recommendations including both on policy and infrastructure solutions to be published in mid-2018. As part of its work on the NIA, the NIC has been developing scenarios to help understand how the UK's infrastructure requirements could change in response to different assumptions about the future. These scenarios are based on available empirical evidence about past trends, and on quantitative and qualitative forecasts of changes in the economy, population and demography, climate and environment, and technology. Quantitative modelling of 'baseline' outcomes in these scenarios, and of packages of policy proposals in the most relevant scenarios, will allow an assessment of the robustness of policy options to future uncertainty. These scenarios are tested using the national infrastructure system model (NISMOD), which was developed by the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium and used to inform the National Needs Assessment, as well as models used by Government departments for the water, wastewater, solid waste, transport and energy sectors. The results from the scenario analysis are intended to provide evidence on the potential challenges for each sector through identifying the likely scale of future infrastructure requirements and to support the development of infrastructure recommendations that are robust to future uncertainty. Results will be validated by sensitivity analysis of selected parameters and by analysing outputs from different models, which have been independently quality assured.
Impact Progress with modelling for NIA/V&P to date • NIC have analysed infrastructure 'drivers' (population and demography, economic growth and productivity, climate and the environment, technology) to identify trends which will affect future infrastructure needs and generate scenarios - working papers published online • Meetings between NIC & ITRC to discuss technology scenarios and appropriate parameters in NISMOD • ITRC have added the NIC's socio-economic scenarios (population and economic growth) in NISMOD • NIC and ITRC have analysed the water supply-demand balance across the 11-member future flow scenarios in order to determine which to use for NIC scenario analysis • NIC would like to commission Dr Michael Simpson to include new research on high and low emissions scenarios in NISMOD by end of March 2017 • NIC have started running water model with support from ITRC
Start Year 2016
 
Description National Needs Assessment 
Organisation Institution of Civil Engineers
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution National Infrastructure Commission The ITRC collaborated with Infrastructure UK (IUK), HM Treasury, to inform the work of the Major Infrastructure Tracking (MIT) team and the national infrastructure pipeline. The IUK infrastructure pipeline consists of circa 497 infrastructure projects with a budget of approximately £450 billion for the next decade for investment in energy, transport, water, waste water, and solid waste. This successful collaboration led to the ITRC being invited to provide analytics for the National Needs Assessment exercise. The NNA is a first step in the creation of the National Infrastructure Commission recently announced by the Chancellor of the Exchecker, George Osbourne, to be led by Lord Adonis. The coalition undertaking the 'National Needs Assessment' is being chaired by ICE President and National Infrastructure Commissioner Sir John Armitt, who announced its launch at his ICE presidential address in November. It includes ICE, CBI, KPMG, Pinsent Masons, University of Cambridge, University of Oxford, Graham Dalton (former Highways Agency CEO), National Grid, London First, Green Alliance, Transport for Greater Manchester, Thames Water and the Scottish Council for Development and Industry. The needs assessment will be based on evidence gathered during the nationwide consultation launched today, evidence hearings, research being undertaken by the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, and a vast pool of data and analysis. It will take into account factors such as climate change, population growth and technological 'game changers'. It will also review different options for meeting the UK's needs, considering affordability, public acceptability and environmental obligations. A report will be published in October 2016 setting out a vision for UK infrastructure up to 2050 and a series of interventions Government and industry will need to make to realise the vision.
Collaborator Contribution The ICE has given the ITRC the opportunity to make a clear impact on policy for the management of national infrastructure for the next decades in the UK.The National Needs Assessment sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's (NIC) long term infrastructure assessment.
Impact This is a multidisciplinary collaboration - engineering, finance, mathematics, social and economic sciences. The National Needs Assessment (NNA) was an Institution of Civil Engineers initiative to examine the UK's likely infrastructure needs in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. It also looked at the way infrastructure networks relate to, and depend on, one another and how this will impact on the performance of networks in the future. We provided the primary evidence for the NNA through our modelling framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks. Our scenarios set out the main demand drivers on infrastructure - population growth, climate change, technology, economic trends. The National Needs Assessment sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's (NIC) long term infrastructure assessment. The MISTRAL programme is now providing the analytical framework for the National Infrastructure Commission's (NIC) National Infrastructure Assessment. Main messages Housing needs: A comprehensive review of public land available for housing Housing should be considered as part of the Nationally Significant Infrastructure Planning (NSIP) regime to enable house building in the right locations. Energy needs: A plan for low carbon electricity generation capacity that ensures security of supply through to at least 2035. This should include a diverse mix of energy generation based on nuclear, renewables, gas and interconnectors The NIC should set out alternative strategies for energy security post 2035, including use of new technologies Government and Ofgem should take a more proactive role in enabling a smarter energy system to reduce the need for major new power projects A clear policy and consistent schemes for reduction of energy demand in households and businesses. Transport needs: Identify priority routes for capacity improvements on road and rail networks, including completion of HS2 Phases 1 and 2, development of the business case for extending high-speed rail to Scotland, capacity increase in the South-West and a transport corridor from East to West Support the efficient use of road space, and rapid implementation of autonomous vehicles for both freight and passenger traffic Establish and implement new ways of funding primary road infrastructure, including consideration of a road pricing system.. Increase investment in the commuter rail network and other public transport to ensure the economic development of urban centre is not constrained by overcrowding and congestion.
Start Year 2016
 
Description UNOPS and ITRC-MISTRAL Collaboration 
Organisation United Nations Office for Project Services
Country United States 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution As a key component of the research, we are developing, in collaboration with the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), a series of open-source analysis tools known as NISMOD-Int for the application of evidence-based decision making to developing countries. These tools will allow recipient countries to develop and assess alternative infrastructure transition strategies for meeting their future sustainable development goals. This work is currently being piloted in the occupied Palestinian territories with plans underway to extend our coverage to Africa, Asia and the Island States. Middle East infratructure NISMOD-International The current ITRC-MISTRAL research program encompasses the analysis of infrastructure systems at multiple-scales including "across scales", that is, to assess and compare infrastructure systems at a national scale in other countries around the world. Our intention therefore is to adapt and apply our ground breaking systems-of-systems infrastructure assessment capabilities to other countries and contexts including developing countries, rapidly developing city-states, and post-conflict, post-disasters contexts. Most of the world's infrastructure development is occurring outside the UK in rapidly emerging economies with the greatest infrastructure gap present in the poorest countries of the world. Infrastructure decisions being made now will lock in development pathways. In the international cases we have examined so far we have seen a wide range of planning and decision methodologies, but no long-term cross-sectoral strategic systems analysis. Given the scale of infrastructure investment required around the world, from post-disaster situations to rapidly industrialising economies, it is not surprising that ITRC has been invited to apply its approach in situations outside the UK, from Palestine to China. As a key component of this research we are developing, in collaboration with the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), a series of open-source analysis tools known as NISMOD-Int for the application of evidence-based decision making to developing countries. These tools will allow recipient countries to develop and assess alternative infrastructure transition strategies for meeting their future sustainable development goals. This work is currently being piloted in the occupied Palestinian territories with plans underway to extend our coverage to Africa, Asia and the Island States. A central module within the open-source analysis tools we are applying is a generic infrastructure systems assessment framework that can be applied to any of the diverse range of possible international settings. Integral to this framework will be the ability to combine the surplus of rapidly emerging global datasets, including big data from remote sensing satellites and mobile devices, with country-specific engineering insights and on-the-ground assessments gained from our UNOPS partners. By applying our methodology at a variety of scales we will enable an exploration of the many different infrastructure network configurations that might be achievable given the lock-in to infrastructure systems that have been built in recent decades and the current patterns of investment. And in post-disaster, post-conflict contexts provide the capacity for evidence-based strategies to enable affected countries to 'build back better'.
Collaborator Contribution UNOPS has developed its Evidence Based Infrastructure Development Framework (EBIDF), in partnership with the MISTRAL proogramme. This is a key strathegy for the organisation. UNOPS has recruited one of MISTRAL's senior researchers, Dr Scott Thacker, as a dedicated UNOPS/ITRC-Mistral Research Fellow, seconded at ITRC-MISTRAL in the Universitiy of Oxford.
Impact This is a multi-discplinary collaboration - engineering, social sciences, economics, mathematics , computer science, hydrology, governance, politics. The UNOPS and MISTRAL have presented plans Mufeed Al Hasayneh, Minister of Public Works and Housing of Palestine. It has also started a collaboration with the National Agenda for the Future of Syria and UNOPS for the reconstruction of Syria's infrastructure. A simlar agreement is being arranged with the island of Curacao, threatened by climate change (sea levels rising).
Start Year 2016
 
Description United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS): NISMOD-Int assessment for Curaçao infrastructure 
Organisation Government of Curaçao
Department Ministry of Traffic, Transportation and Urban Planning
Country Curaçao 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Researchers from ITRC-MISTRAL, led by Dr Scott Thacker, have been working with the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) to develop a fast-track analysis of infrastructure needs for the small island state of Curaçao, located in the southern Caribbean Sea. Jade Leung, the ITRC-MISTRAL researcher leading the study, described its aim as "enabling decision-makers within Curaçao to understand the opportunities available for robust infrastructure policy options, as well as developing a better understanding of future vulnerabilities". The study will help to decide on future infrastructure provision that will work well under the demands of population and tourism growth, and of climate change-driven sea-level rise. One important area of the analysis, undertaken by the ITRC's Lena Fuldauer, will work with the waste, wastewater and energy sectors, investigating the opportunities and risks that arise from interdependencies between these sectors.
Collaborator Contribution UNOPS is assisting the Government of Curaçao to make local infrastructure more resilient to the demands and risks that lie ahead. UNOPS is supporting data collection and local stakeholder interactions. In June 2017, UNOPS' Ciaretta Profas led a meeting that brought together over 50 people from across Curaçao's infrastructure sector, including local governments, infrastructure companies (waste, wastewater, transport, water and electricity), Curacao Maritime Authority, Central Bureau of Statistics, UN agencies; and local environmental NGOs and activists. We were pleased to have the strong support of the Curaçao government, and were joined by Her Excellency Zita Jesus-Leito, Minister of Traffic, Transportation and Urban Planning. She opened the meeting by stressing the importance of developing a shared vision, with strategies that work with the unique nature of Curacao, and which balance economic and environmental factors: "Plans for infrastructure development and restructuring should always address the impact on the environment and nature. These should never be disregarded when developing cities and neighbourhoods. This model (NISMOD-Int) allows the Ministry to apply an integrated approach when initiating an infrastructure development project". An overview of the event was broadcast on the local television network in the local language, Papiamento. ? Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/nismod-int-assessment-for-curacao-infrastructure/ ? Link: https://youtu.be/sMlSuns1VnM
Impact Over the coming months, members of ITRC-MISTRAL and UNOPS will be working closely with experts from Curaçao to finalise the fast-track analysis. It is expected that the insights derived from the analysis, alongside the knowledge creation during the process, will help to support evidence-based infrastructure development within Curaçao. This partnership forms part of a larger initiative by UNOPS to facilitate the roll-out and uptake of NISMOD-Int, as part of their programme on Evidence Based Infrastructure (EBI). Further applications of NISMOD-Int are currently being explored in a range of political and geographical contexts including in post-conflict, post-disaster and developing economies, rapidly developing city-states and small island nations from South and Central America, to Africa, the Middle East and Asia. Scott Thacker is a Senior Analyst for the Curaçao fast-track analysis - United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS).
Start Year 2017
 
Description 'Designing a road traffic model for the cross-sectoral analysis of future national infrastructure', 5th International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure, London (11-13/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) meeting in 2017 brought together a global community of infrastructure academics, policy and industry professionals. The event aimed to share progress, knowledge and new thinking, and a number of ITRC-MISTRAL's researchers presented their work.
A presentation describing NISMOD v1 (2011 - 2015) - the first family of models to analyse the long-term performance, plans, and risks and vulnerabilities of the national infrastructure under future uncertainty. Included, amongst many other factors:
- Integration of capacity, demand and risk modelling frameworks
- System model with packages of policy interventions
- Global connectivity: integration with international demand/supply nodes at model boundaries
- Risk and resilience

Conference Proceedings
http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf

Presentation title: Designing a road traffic model for the cross-sectoral analysis of future national infrastructure

This paper presents a UK national road traffic model developed as part of the ITRC MISTRAL - a large
interdisciplinary project of the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC). The proposed
model includes passenger and freight vehicle flows on major UK roads and predicts future demand in the
form of an inter-zonal origin-destination matrix, using and elasticity-based simulation approach. An
important part of the model is the network assignment step during which predicted flows are assigned
to the road network.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Lovric M (Presenter); Blainey S; Preston JM

External participant/s:
5th International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2010,2014,2017
URL http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf
 
Description 'Flexible Working and the Journey to Work in the UK', paper presented at RGS-IBG Annual International Conference, Cardiff (30/08/2018). Blainey SP & Alwosheel A (2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Paper to be presented at RGS-IBG Annual International Conference, Cardiff (30/08/2018). (28/08/2018 - 31/08/2018) A key event in the Society's calendar, the Annual International Conference is the largest annual academic geography conference in Europe, with over 1,800 delegates from 60 countries taking part in close to 400 academic sessions.
? Outputs & outcomes:
Session 132:
Changing Landscapes of Work and Travel
Convenors:
Simon Blainey (University of Southampton, UK)
Darja Reuschke (University of Southampton, UK)
Chair:
Simon Blainey (University of Southampton, UK)
Session Abstract:
The landscapes of work are rapidly changing in mature economies, as economic and lifestyle transitions lead an increasing number of people to work in ways which are different from the traditional 'nine to five' pattern. Whether this involves flexible working hours, home working, mobile working, itinerant working, peripatetic working, or real or notional self-employment linked to the 'platform' and 'sharing' economies, the potential impacts of these shifts are profound. Some of the most significant impacts include those on travel patterns and on the demand for and supply of transport services. However, the effects of changing working patterns on landscapes of travel are poorly understood. To complicate the picture further, there are similarly profound shifts taking place in technologies and practices of travel, such as those linked to autonomous vehicles, changing fuel sources, and the supposed advent of 'mobility as a service'. These could themselves have impacts on working patterns, by making a wider range of work-space-time configurations available to and feasible for both employees and employers. This session will investigate the interactions between these changing landscapes of work and transport, focusing particularly on the impact they have on work-related travel (both inside and outside 'work time') and transport-related work.
Presentation abstract:
Flexible Working and the Journey to Work in the UK
Simon Blainey (University of Southampton, UK)
Abdulrahman Alwosheel (University of Southampton, UK)
Changing urban working patterns mean that the traditional daily journey to and from a single workplace is becoming a progressively less typical part of people's lives. Growth in home, flexible, mobile, itinerant and peripatetic working is leading to increasingly complex and heterogenous commuting and work-related travel behaviour. There has though only been limited quantitative analysis of how these changes in working patterns have affected work-related travel in the UK. This paper investigates the extent to which this gap in knowledge can be filled using data from surveys of employment patterns, focusing particularly on the UK Labour Force Survey and the Skills and Employment Survey. This data is used to analyse longitudinal trends in employment and work-related travel patterns, with the results being compared to those from earlier analysis based on the European Working Conditions Survey.

External participants:
Session Convenor: Darja Reuschke (University of Southampton, UK)
Royal Geographical Society -Institute of British Geographers (RGS-IBG) Annual International Conference 2018

Internal participants:
Blainey S.P.
Alwosheel A.
Preston J.P.

Link: http://conference.rgs.org/AC2018/132
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://conference.rgs.org/AC2018/132
 
Description 'Infrastructure for Sustainable Development'. Presentation to the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) (12/03/2018 - 13/02/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Presentation to the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS): 'Infrastructure for Sustainable Development'
? Outputs & outcomes:
Follow-on meetings have been planned.

External participants:
Personnel at United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) Headquarters, Copenhagen

Internal participants:
Adshead D
Thacker S
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description 'Keeping hackers at bay'. Windpower Monthly (08/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Recent cyber attacks have shown the vulnerability of power systems and the dangers of not keeping IT systems secure and up to date. How can operators defend their assets from hackers?
Passwords may be weak and software out of date. Such a scenario would just be "poor security from the ground up", says Edward Oughton, a research associate in technology modelling at Cambridge University's Centre for Risk Studies and co-author of reports on cyber attacks on electricity distribution networks.
"It's a cliche, but you're only as strong as your weakest link." He stresses that it is the human element that is typically weakest.

? Link: https://www.windpowermonthly.com/article/1442824/keeping-hackers-bay

External participants:
Ros Davison; Windpower Monthly
Windpower Monthly readership

Internal participant:
Oughton, E.A.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.windpowermonthly.com/article/1442824/keeping-hackers-bay
 
Description 'Lights Out'. Canadian Underwriter magazine article. (01/11/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact ? Output/outcome:
In March 1989, a solar storm on the surface of the sun ejected a very large and fast coronal mass ejection. Slamming into the earth, it created a geomagnetic storm that led to the electrical collapse of the Hydro-Quebec grid for nine hours, disrupting power for 6 million customers. The resulting total cost has been estimated at more than $2 billion.
The article also related to the Canadian experience of 1989 in Quebec Province.
The relationship to the Insurance sector was also covered. "There is still disagreement among the experts on these perspectives, so it is not surprising the 2015 U.S. National Space Weather Action Plan emphasizes the need for improved assessment, modelling and prediction of the impact of this threat on critical infrastructure systems. For the insurance industry, estimating the likelihood of an extreme geomagnetic disturbance is a challenging task due to the limits of available data. Carrington or Quebec-sized extreme space weather is a random phenomenon, meaning it could happen at any time. It is something that should be considered across all relevant lines of business as part of catastrophe planning, especially for geomagnetic latitudes between 50° and 55°, a band that, as noted, includes Toronto and Vancouver."

External participants: Canadian Underwriter magazine

Internal participant:
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.canadianunderwriter.ca/features/lights-out/attachment/ed-oughton-1/
 
Description 'Out-law' Law journal report (20/12/2017) on a six month initiative by the NIC to explore a digital twin to include the work of the ITRC/MISTRAL 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: The 'Law Out-law' journal reported a quote from the NIC: "A six month pilot initiative should be carried out "to explore and experiment with the benefits of building a digital twin of a specific geographical area", the NIC said. The Centre for Digital-Built Britain (CDBB), Alan Turing Institute (ATI) and the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) should all have roles in the pilot, it said. A review of the pilot should be completed by October 2018 and lessons from it used to inform "any future development of larger-scale or more complex digital twins, and the most effective institutional structures to support continuing progress in this area", it said.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.out-law.com/en/articles/2017/december/uk-urged-to-build-digital-twin-of-its-infrastructu...
 
Description 'Solar storm outage is ultimate high-impact threat'. Insurance Times article (03/04/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outcomes and outputs: 'Solar storm outage is ultimate high-impact threat'. Insurance Times, 3 April 2017.
Increased insurance sector awareness.

External participant: 'Insurance Times' & readership
Internal participant: Oughton, E.A.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description '£442 Billion Potential Loss in UK Power Sector Cyber-Attack'. PSBE Cyber News Group news article. (14/04/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
NEWS by Tony Morbin

If the UK power supply were to be hit by a catastrophic cyber-attack, realistically, how might it happen and what would the economic consequences be? Those were questions that researchers at the Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies examined in a new report out yesterday: Integrated Infrastructure: Cyber resiliency in Society, funded by Lockheed Martin.

Report examines how the direct and indirect economic costs accrue for a hypothetical cyber-attack on the UK's critical national infrastructure.
Dr Edward J Oughton, research associate at the Centre for Risk Studies, Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, explained to SCMagazineUK.com "In this report we have demonstrated an impact assessment methodology for understanding the disruption costs from this particular attack scenario. ... future research can utilise this methodology for assessing the potential costs associated with a range of cyber-attacks. Ultimately this quantification allows industry and government to begin to undertake more comprehensive cost-benefit analysis of risk mitigation strategies." Oughton adds that the UK's Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) - a research partner in the report, used analysis methods based on many years' work funded by the Engineering and Physical Science Research Council (EPSRC).

External participant:
Tony Morbin, PSBE Cyber News Group
PSBE Cyber News Group readership

Internal participant:
Oughton, E.A.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.scmagazineuk.com/442-billion-potential-loss-uk-power-sector-cyber-attack/article/1477490
 
Description 01/02/2016: ITRC Mistral meeting with Department for International Development (DfID) and United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 01/02/2016: ITRC Mistral meeting with Department for International Development (DfID) and United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS). Venue: London
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description 01/09/2016: Plans for the MISTRAL transport modelling; presentation at the Royal Geographical Society conference, London, Conference theme: Nexus Thinking 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact As part of the ITRC Mistral project's national framework for high resolution infrastructure simulation, Simon Blainey, Raghav Pant and Scott Thacker gave a presentation at the Royal Geographical Society conference on 1 September on plans for the MISTRAL transport modelling.

Conference Theme: Nexus Thinking

The three-day RGS-IBG Annual International Conference attracts over 1,600 geographers from around the world
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.rgs.org/WhatsOn/ConferencesAndSeminars/Annual+International+Conference/Annual+Internation...
 
Description 04/10/2016 & 01/11/2016: Two meetings between ITRC Mistral (Dr Matt Ives), United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), and TheThingsNetwork 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 04/10/2016 & 01/11/2016: Two meetings between ITRC Mistral (Dr Matt Ives), United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), and TheThingsNetwork to look into remote data collection options for UNOPS
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description 13/07/2016: Project update with Trevor Sway and Nick O'Regan of United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS). 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Project update with Trevor Away and Nick O'Regan of UNOPS. UNOPS is experiencing delays in data gathering, DEBI data entry development and occupied Palestine territories Prime Ministers Office engagement.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description 16/02/2017: Initial meeting ITRC Oxford team, and Nick O'Regan of the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) with reference to Curacao 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Initial meeting ITRC Oxford team, and Nick O'Regan of the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) with reference to Curacao
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description 21/09/2016: ITRC Mistral Visiting Research Fellowship for Ms Jeonghee Jeong, Deputy Director in the Overseas Construction Policy Division at the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (MOLIT), South Korea 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Jeonghee Jeong joined Transport Research Group (TRG) of ITRC Mistral project on 21st September 2016 for two years as a Visiting Research Fellow.
Ms Jeong is Deputy Director in the Overseas Construction Policy Division at the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (MOLIT), South Korea.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description 22nd SETAC Europe LCA Case Study Symposium 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Present a conference paper: Application of the Solid Waste Infrastructure Management System (SWIMS) model to support regional and national decision making.
Paper authors: Turner D., Coello J., Watson G., Stringfellow A., Ives M., Powrie W., Hall J.

A meeting (22nd Sept) has been arranged with Andrea Silberman (NIC) and Helen Jamieson (Defra) to discuss waste policy and meet the waste management modelling team at Defra

http://meetings.setac.org/frontend.php/presentation/listForPublic
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description 25/07/2016: Discussions with Nick O'Regan, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) around long term engagement strategy with countries post engagement with the occupied Palestine territories 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 25/07/2016: Discussions with Nick O'Regan, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) around long term engagement strategy with countries post engagement with the occupied Palestine territories
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description 4th UN Environment Assembly Resolution on Sustainable Infrastructure. (11/03/2019 to 15/03/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
The resolution points to the centrality of infrastructure to the SDGs and the broader 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Among other things, it calls upon Member States to strengthen national and regional systems-level strategic approaches to infrastructure planning and requests that UN Environment, its partners, and other stakeholders support Member States' efforts. It also requests that UN Environment prepare a compilation report for the next UNEA of relevant best practices and knowledge gaps, and asks that Member States share such information with each other.
Rowan Palmer (Programme Specialist, Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, South-South Cooperation Unit, Policy and Programme Division) states "This resolution provides a strong mandate to continue our work.", referring to the UN Environment Sustainable Infrastructure partnership (26/02/2019) which recognises the work of the ITRC.

Link: https://sdg.iisd.org/events/fourth-session-of-the-un-environment-assembly-unea-4/

External participants:
? UN Environment Assembly
? Rowan Palmer; Programme Specialist, Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, South-South Cooperation Unit, Policy and Programme Division

Internal participants:
ITRC Group
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://sdg.iisd.org/events/fourth-session-of-the-un-environment-assembly-unea-4/
 
Description 5G investor relations panel, Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS) (22/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Information provided by the 5G investor relations panel to Financial Services, Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS)

External participants:
Financial Services, Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS)

Internal participant:
Oughton E.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description A Cooper (Policy & Engagement Director), S Varma (Policy Advisor), and S Hayes (Senior Economic Adviser) of the NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 17/11/2017 to discuss the Digital Twin Pilot Project Scoping 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A Cooper (Policy & Engagement Director), S Varma (Policy Advisor), and S Hayes (Senior Economic Adviser) of the NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 17/11/2017 to discuss the Digital Twin Pilot Project Scoping

Other ITRC/Mistral staff involved: Ives M, Mortazavi-Naeini M.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A Fast Track Analysis of infrastructure provision in Palestine: Outcomes from the ITRC/Mistral & UNOPS collaboration (02/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
There are many challenges facing the people of Palestine including limited access to infrastructure services that provide basic needs, such as water, energy and waste treatment, transportation and communications. Providing secure and resilient infrastructure services in these sectors can enhance future economic productivity and social welfare, while the lack of such services can conversely lead to declining wellbeing, and diminishing economic productivity and social freedom.


The ITRC, together with UNOPS have reviewed the recent situation in Palestine, and identified a number of key challenges in the provision of infrastructure services. The analysis presented in this report identifies that Palestine is experiencing shortages in the provision of most infrastructure services. The demand for infrastructure services is currently not being met in all infrastructure sectors, and this demand is expected to increase due to population growth, increasing urbanisation, economic growth and climate change. Serious impediments to infrastructure supply also exist due to external factors including occupation security measures, conflict, and insufficient asset utilisation.


This report presents the ITRC's findings from the first stages of this assessment (the FTA), which focuses on an expedited analysis of the earlier steps in this process, developing a broad understanding of issues particular to the study site (Palestine), exploring how infrastructure systems are being utilised, current and future demands and the capacity constraints within each of the key sectors. It also provides an overview gaps in information and understanding, and attempts to identify trends including future plans and challenges. This report also sets out the methods used in the remaining steps in the process, and begins to develop a range of strategic pathways and their subsequent analysis. Importantly, this report is intended as a tool to facilitate the iterative process of engagement with potential stakeholders, both in Palestine and abroad, by presenting an overview of our methodology.

Internal participants: Ives M; Thacker S; Adshead D; Hall J; Hickford A; Nicholls R

External participants:
? Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS
? Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS
? Muwafaq Abu-Ayyash, Infrastructure Development Specialist And Chief Design Engineer, UNOPS
? Rob Jones, Head of Programme Delivery in the State of Palestine, UNOPS
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/PDFs/PalestineFTA_online.pdf
 
Description A Next Generation of Catastrophe (NG-CAT) models. International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems.
This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focussed on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity.

Abstract: Presentation subjects were
- Hazard & the city
- Infrastructure & the city
- Infrastructure & Hazards
- Catastrophe (CAT) modelling
- Next Generation - Catastrophe (NG-CAT) model
- Case studies were presented
- Future research includes:
- - Other hazard/infrastructure
- -Multi-hazard and cascading effects
- -Refinement of damage functions

Link Conference Proceedings: http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf

Internal participants:
Pregnolato, M (Presenter)
Dunn, S
Ford, A
Dawson, R
Wilkinson, S

External participants:
International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description A Short Review of Resilience in Interdependent Transport, Energy and Water Systems 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact A published report as part of a series on resilience
The Resilience Shift is an initiative led by Arup with support from the Lloyd's Register Foundation to address the recommendations of a Foresight review of resilience engineering.This report is based on a review of academic literature and other relevant reports and research programmes based on the topic of resilience engineering and the related topics of performance-based engineering and adaptive capacity, especially at the design and planning stages of the three interdependent infrastructure sectors of energy, water and transport. The focus has been to identify recent examples of the methodologies and implementation of resilience engineering in a range of geographic contexts, particularly where interdependencies between sectors have an impact on the methodologies or practices used.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Pant R; ITRC Researchers Southampton University"

External participant/s:
ARUP as part of their resilience centre funded by the Lloyds Register Foundation
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://resilienceshift.org/knowledge/
 
Description A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue - Engagement with external stakeholders: (27/02/2017) Palestine Workshop 2a: Workshops with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) and foreign national organisations 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Palestine Workshop 2a:
- Location: Ramallah, West Bank
- Date: 27/2/2017
- Attendees: Drs Ives and Thacker, UNOPS staff, Minister from Public Works and Housing, staff members from Ministry of Transport, Palestine Water Authority, Palestine Energy Authority, Ministry of Interior, PCBS
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the NIC met Simon Blainey and John Preston of the ITRC on 11/07/2017 to discuss the modelling results produced by NIC using NISMOD and DfT models 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A member of the NIC met Simon Blainey and John Preston of the ITRC on 11/07/2017 to discuss the modelling results produced by NIC using NISMOD and DfT models
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the NIC met with A Stringfellow from the ITRC on 28/02/2017 to hold a solid waste workshop. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact A member of the NIC met with A Stringfellow from the ITRC on 28/02/2017 to hold a solid waste workshop.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the NIC met with D Cleevely of the ITRC during June 2017 to discuss ?  Digital Communications 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A member of the NIC met with D Cleevely (Dr David Cleevely, International Telecommunications Expert) of the ITRC during June 2017 to discuss
?  Digital Communications
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the NIC met with Modassar Chaudry from the ITRC 26 April 2017 to give advice on modelling some key parameters for the imminent NIC scenarios 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact A member of the NIC met with Modassar Chaudry from the ITRC 26 April 2017 to give advice on modelling some key parameters for the imminent NIC scenarios
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the NIC met with W Powrie, K Roberts, G Watson, and A Stringfellow on 16/06/2016 to discuss continued on-line engagement with NIC. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A member of the NIC met with W Powrie, K Roberts, Geoff Watson, and A Stringfellow on 16/06/2016 to discuss continued on-line engagement with NIC.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the NIC received assistance from G Watson and K Roberts of the ITRC during September 2017 with reference to solid waste. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A member of the NIC received assistance from G Watson and K Roberts of the ITRC during September 2017 with reference to solid waste.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva from the ITRC on 27/01/2017 to discuss NIC staff training on infrastructure 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva from the ITRC on 27/01/2017 to discuss NIC staff training on infrastructure
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva on 31/01/2017 to discuss urban transport 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva on 31/01/2017 to discuss urban transport
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A second Impact Accelerator Award (IAA) to be funded by EPSRC to provide ITRC's national infrastructure assessment capabilities to the newly-formed National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact In October of 2017 the NIC produced their Interim National Infrastructure Assessment which featured assessments of future demands for infrastructure services based on modelling outputs from ITRC's NISMOD tool. This collaboration will continue until the end of June 2018 culminating in the release of the NIC's full National Infrastructure Assessment.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Hall J; ITRC/MistralRresearchers

External participant/s:
The Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/publications/congestion-capacity-carbon-priorities-for-national-infrastructur...
 
Description A sustainable Oxford-Cambridge corridor? (20/02/2020) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Outputs and Outcomes:
The workshop provided a
• Summary of key spatial challenges to deliver infrastructure systems across the Arc (Oxford-Cambridge corridor)
• Summary of key evidence needed to address these challenges
• Assessment of useful current and potential capabilities to be made available through DAFNI's user interface
• Options of institutional and financial models to enable ITRC and DAFNI to work together with Arc stakeholders

External participants:
• Cameron Adams, Sustainable Places Account Manager, Environment Agency
• Matt Allen, Director of Business Development & Marketing, Bidwells
• Shaun Armstrong, Specialist photographer for businesses and projects, Mubsta.com
• Steve Arnold, Princpal Economist, Environment Agency
• Adrian Arnold, Head of Planning Services, Oxford City Council
• Simon Blainey, Associate Professor in Transportation, University of Southampton
• Sam Bosson, Projects Manager, Greater South East Energy Hub
• Simon Bowers, Executive Director (Business), Daventry District Council / Northamptonshire County Council
• Julian Bowrey, Regional Manager, South East and East Midlands, Innovate UK
• Michael Brooks, Campaign Regions Planning Consultant (CRPS), Campaign to Protect Rural England (CPRE)
• Stephen Brown
• Roland Bull, Partner, Rural Investment Lead, Bidwells
• Matthew Bullock, Founder, Honorary Vice-Chair, Cambridge Ahead
• Paul Burgess, Secretary, Farm Woodland Forum
• Jeanne Capey, Senior Leadership, Operations, Environment Agency
• Ian Chapman, Head, Regional Engagement & Corporate Projects, Cranfield University
• Laura Church, Corporate Director, Place and Infrastructure, Luton Council
• Caroline Danby, Head of Strategic Growth, Central Bedfordshire Council
• Andrew Davie, Assistant Director Development & Infrastructure, Central Bedfordshire Council
• Holly Dawson, Partner, Business Space Agency, Bidwells
• Philippa English, Communications Manager, Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (MHCLG)
• Paul Everard, Manager, Planning Policy & Heritage, Northampton Borough Council
• Victoria Fletcher, Manager, Environment and Heritage, Council County Oxfordshire
• Paul Frainer, Assistant Director, Strategy and Economy, South Cambridgeshire District Council
• Charlotte Frizzell, Lead Adviser, Sustainable Development, Natural England
• Sue Frost, Service Director, Planning and Economic Growth, Luton Council
• Connie Frost-Bryant, Manager, Senior Spatial Planning, Homes England
• Edward Garnett, Cranfield University
• Kenisha Garnett, Lecturer in Decision Science, Centre for Environment and Agricultural Informatics, Cranfield University
• James Golding-Graham, Innovation Manager (seconded), Mobility and Climate, England's Economic Heartland
• Naomi Green, Head of Technical Programme, Strategic Alliance Programme Team, England's Economic Heartland
• Caroline Green, Assistant Chief Executive, Oxford City Council
• Angela Guess, Legal Director, Acquisition and Disposal Commercial Development, Landlord and Tenant, Shakespeare Martineau
• Richard Harrington, Chief Executive Officer, Buckinghamshire Local Enterprise Partnership (BLEP)
• Jim Harris, Chair, Environmental Technology, Cranfield University
• Neil Harris, Professor of Atmospheric Informatics, Centre for Environment and Agricultural Informatics, Cranfield University
• David Hartley, Director, Commercial and Knowledge Exchange, Oxford Brookes University
• Doug Higgins, Project Director, First Base
• Nicholas Hillman, Director, Higher Education Policy Institute (HEPI)
• Bev Hindle, Director, Oxfordshire Growth Board and Oxford to Cambridge Arc Leaders and CEx groups, Oxfordshire County Council
• Paul Jeffrey, Director, Water Theme, Cranfield Water Science Institute, Cranfield University
• Owen Jenkins, Director, Growth and Economy, Oxfordshire County Council
• David Johncock, Cabinet Member for Planning, Wycombe District Council
• Robert Jolley, Assistant Director, Growth & Economy, Cherwell District Council
• Mike Jones, Partner Planning, Bidwells
• Phil Jones, Flood and Water Manager, Northamptonshire County Council
• Juliet Kauffmann, Business Development Manager for the School of Water, Energy and Power, Environment and Agrifood, Cranfield University
• Stephen Kelly, Joint Director, Planning and Economic Development, Greater Cambridge Shared Planning Service
• Laura Kitson, Strategic Flood Risk Planning Advisor, Environment Agency
• Joanne Lancaster, Managing Director Huntingdonshire District Council
• Arthur Le Geyt, Economic Data Analysis and Theory, South East Midlands Local Enterprise Group (SEMLEP)
• Ben Lee, Media and Political Relations, Bidwells
• Ceri Lewis, Oxford to Cambridge Local Natural Capital Plan (OxCam LNCP)
• Alistair Lomax, Director, Arc Universities Group
• Jason Longhurst, Director of Regeneration and Business, Central Bedfordshire Council
• Andrew Longley, Head, Joint Planning Unit, North Northamptonshire Joint Planning & Delivery Unit
• Greg Macdonald, Head, Economic and Commercial Development, East Northants Council
• Miriam Mendes, Programme Manager, Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC), Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford
• Jim Newton, Assistant Director, Planning and Economy, South Northamptonshire Council (SNC)
• Olaide Oboh, Director of Partnerships, First Base
• Simon Prescott, DLP Consultants
• Carolyn Puddicombe, Christ Church, Oxford
• Rob Sadler, Head of Office, Cambridge, Savills
• Jon Shortland, Chief Officer for Planning and Highways, Bedford Borough Council (BBC)
• Allan Simpson, Strategic Growth Manager, Anglian Water
• Tom Stephenson, Lead, Research and Innovation, Cranfield University
• Colin Stocker
• Andra Stopforth, Delivery Manager, Joint Planning & Delivery Unit, North Northamptonshire
• Nigel Tipple, Chief Executive, Oxfordshire Local Enterprise Partnership (OxLEP)
• Martin Tugwell, Programme Director, Strategic Alliance Programme, England's Economic Heartland
• Michael Tyce, Campaign to Protect Rural England (Oxfordshire Branch)
• Dave Valler, Reader in Planning, School of the Built Environment, Oxford Brookes University
• Ian Vincent, Chief Executive, Daventry District Council
• David Williams, Head, Business Space Agency, Bidwells
• Paul Woods, Managing Director, Edge 4 Planning Limited
• Katarzyna Wysocka, Team Manager, Sustainable Development and Transport, Luton Borough Council
• Juliette Young, Senior Policy Officer, Royal Society for the Protection of Birds (RSPB)

Internal participants:
• Prof. Paul Jeffrey, Cranfield Water Science Institute, Cranfield University
• Prof. Jim Hall, Environmental Change Institute & ITRC Principal, University of Oxford
• Dr. Nik Lomax, Leeds University
• Dr. Nahid Mohajer, University of Oxford
• Dr. Alison Smith, University of Oxford
• Dr. Simon Blainey, University of Southampton
• Dr. Modassar Chaudry, Cardiff University

ITRC - Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium
DAFNI - Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure

Link to full report: https://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/arc-main-report.pdf
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/arc-main-report.pdf
 
Description A workshop covering the Global Engineering Congress (GEC) Legacy was held at the Institute of Civil Engineers (ICE). (02/07/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Collaboration with global engineers, national and international policy makers, asset owners and experts from across the built environment. Future activities include the Global Engineering Congress conference 22 to 26 October 2018

External participants:
Approximately 20 attendees including former ICE presidents and practitioners.

Internal participants:
Thacker, S.
Adshead, D.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Andrea Silberman (NIC) meets with Prof Kilsby (ITRC) to discuss Waste policy. 14/09/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist, National Infrastructure Commission) met with Prof Kilsby from the ITRC on 14/09/2016 to discuss Waste policy.

Internal participants: Hall J; ITRC/Mistral researchers

External participants: National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) Client Group
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Andrea Silberman from the NIC met with Stuart Barr from ITRC on 10/11/2016 to discuss urban storm drainage modelling. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 'Andrea Silberman from the NIC met with Stuart Barr from ITRC on 10/11/2016 to discuss urban storm drainage modelling.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and J Large of the NIC met with S Blainey and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 25/05/2017 to discuss ?  Meeting with Department of Transport modellers ?  Updates on energy and waste model runs 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large of the NIC met with S Blainey and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 25/05/2017 to discuss
?  Meeting with DfT modellers - questions relating to the working of NISMOD transport and DfT models.
?  Updates on energy and waste model runs
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with S Barr and C Robson from the ITRC during May 2017 to discuss the incorporation of NIC scenarios within the current NISMOD system. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with S Barr and C Robson from the ITRC during May 2017 to discuss the incorporation of NIC scenarios within the current NISMOD system.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Announcement of MISTRAL: Multi-scale Infrastructure Systems Analytics - led by Professor Jim Hall, University of Oxford EP/N017064/1 (26/02/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact MISTRAL: Multi-scale Infrastructure Systems Analytics - led by Professor Jim Hall, University of Oxford EP/N017064/1 - which builds on previous EPSRC investment in the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC), a consortium of seven UK universities, led by Oxford, which has developed unique capability in infrastructure systems analysis, modelling and decision making. ITRC's vision is for infrastructure decisions to be guided by systems analysis. When this vision is realised, decision makers will have access to, and visualisation of, information that tells them how all infrastructure systems are performing. They will have models that help to pinpoint vulnerabilities and quantify the risks of failure. They will be able to perform 'what-if' analysis of proposed investments and explore the effects of future uncertainties, such as population growth, new technologies and climate change.

Five years ago, proposing theory, methodology and network models that stretched from the household to the globe, and from the UK to different national contexts would not have been credible. Now the opportunity for multi-scale modelling is coming into sight, and ITRC, perhaps uniquely, has the capacity and ambition to take on that challenge in the MISTRAL programme.

Internal participant: Hall J
External funding body: Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.epsrc.ac.uk/newsevents/news/systemsanalysis/
 
Description Anticipating disruption: At the nexus of technology and infrastructure. Roundtable review by KPMG (30/11/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact A roundtable discussion addressing the questions:
- In which infrastructure sectors do you expect to see the greatest technological disruption?
- How can infrastructure and government leaders prepare for disruption?
- Will technology allow less developed nations to `leap frog' the centuries of investments made in the mature markets

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Hall J

External participant/s:
Dr. Rick Geddes, Professor, Department of Policy Analysis and Management at Cornell University
Darran Anderson, Director of Strategy and Innovation at the Texas Department of Transportation
Shashi Verma, Chief Technology Officer at Transport for London
James Stewart; Vice Chair responsible for Industrial Strategy, geo-politics and Brexit, KPMG
Emily Dann; Senior Marketing Manager, Global Infrastructure, KPMG Global Resource Centre
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://home.kpmg.com/xx/en/home/insights/2017/11/anticipating-disruption-technology-and-infrastruct...
 
Description Bianca Letti and J Large of the NIC met with Matt Ives on 15/05/2017 to discuss ?  Transport: issues related to demand growth, elasticity, sensitivity testing; model changes for rail electrification ?  Updates on energy and waste model runs ? Updates to exchange rates and fuel price scenarios ?  NIC recommendations for reporting tool 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Bianca Letti and J Large of the NIC met with Matt Ives on 15/05/2017 to discuss
?  Transport: issues related to demand growth, elasticity, sensitivity testing; model changes for rail electrification
?  Updates on energy and waste model runs
? Updates to exchange rates and fuel price scenarios
?  NIC recommendations for reporting tool
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Bianca Letti from the NIC met Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Will Usher from the ITRC on 10/11/2016 to discuss a broad catch up on ITRC/NIC work & NIC technology scenarios. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Bianca Letti from the NIC met Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Will Usher from the ITRC on 10/11/2016 to discuss
? a broad catch up on ITRC/NIC work
? NIC technology scenarios.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) Conference: Innovation in modelling & forecasting. 11/09/2018 (10/09/2018 - 12/09/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Session: Innovation in modelling & forecasting
1. Projecting people and households at high spatial resolution
? Outputs & outcomes:
Presented the MISTRAL demographic Work at British Society for Population Studies conference
- Ongoing development of dynamic microsimulation framework, focussing on households.
The Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, a collaboration of seven UK universities, is looking at future infrastructure demand across a range of sectors (transport, water, waste, energy and digital). The consortium requires high resolution (i.e. a very fine spatial scale) projections of population and housing in order to feed their demand models.
Demographic projections for both people and households are produced by statistical agencies around the world. These projections are essential for planning the delivery of services and the allocation of resources to sub-national areas but with few exceptions, projections are limited to larger administrative areas (e.g. local authorities in the UK) because the geographical detail is not available, or is simply not required: for example national funding allocation is usually given to administrative areas, not small sub-administrative units. This paper outlines and compares two methodologies for producing consistent high resolution projections of people and households in Great Britain. Firstly a technique that uses a series of microsimulations constrained to official projections at wider geographies; secondly a dynamic microsimulation model which utilises survey and census data as well as supply data for housing stock. In both models, people are allocated to households, who are then distributed to physical housing units. In the second model, we discuss how the coupling
between the time-evolution of populations and that of households can be captured.

External participants:
? British Society for Population Studies (BSPS)
? Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton. Session Chair

Internal participants:
Smith AP
Lomax NM

Links
? http://www.lse.ac.uk/social-policy/Assets/Documents/bsps/Abstracts-book.pdf
? https://iussp.org/en/british-society-population-studies-bsps-conference-2018
? http://www.lse.ac.uk/social-policy/Assets/Documents/bsps/Timetable-2018.pdf
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://www.lse.ac.uk/social-policy/Assets/Documents/bsps/Abstracts-book.pdf
 
Description Building a new future for infrastructure with ITRC. Government & Public Sector Journal. Summer/Autumn 2018 (01/09/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
The world's first national infrastructure system-of-systems model. In terms of computing the ITRC NISMOD solution for data is very different architecturally from what's come before. It uses new database storage methods, new software developments, and couples different database systems together through a federated database architecture, NISMOD-DB++. This allows it to ingest and analyse the bigger datasets required for the fine scale analysis being undertaken with NISMOD.
By 2020, the ITRC national infrastructure portal will be open to academia and industry as well as policymakers, providing access to infrastructure datasets, simulation and modelling results. ITRC is already working with UK government, private sector, and overseas governments on projects including providing the analytical framework for the assessments carried out by the UK's National Infrastructure Commission for the UK's National Grid, HS2, Department for Transport, Defra, JBA on the risk of bridge scouring and floods, Caribbean Islands' infrastructure needs with the UN, and Tanzania's transport links with the World Bank.
NISMOD will be used by governments, private sector companies, economists and researchers interested in the future of infrastructure systems and effects over time, from climate effects to economic scenarios and population dynamics.

Link: http://www.gpsj.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/GPSJ.pdf
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://www.gpsj.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/GPSJ.pdf
 
Description COASTAL ADAPTATION SEMINAR 2016, Singapore, 27 May 2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Coastal Adaptation Study International Panel of Experts (CASIPE) 2016 Singapore
Session: The Future of National Infrastructure. Seminar to present the aims of the ITRC and Mistral projects. To develop and demonstrate a new generation of simulation models and tools to inform the analysis, planning and design of national infrastructure. To additionally introduce The Future of National Infrastructure Systems-of-Systems Approach.
Speaker: Prof. Robert Nicholls University of Southampton, United Kingdom Coastal Adaptation study
Influenced the resulting conference report: Building and Construction Authority Annual Report 2015/16

Internal participant/s:
Nicholls R

External participant/s:
Kees d'Angremond; Prof. (Distinguished Diplomate, Emeritus Professor, Consultant, Zevenhoven, Netherlands)
Gerald E Galloway, Jr.; PE PhD. (Glenn L Martin Institute Professor of Engineering, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and an Affiliate Professor, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA.)
Warren Day; Warren Day Consulting)
Vladan Babovic, Assoc. Prof. (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National University of Singapore)
Calvin Chung (Engineer at Reclamation, Singapore)
Natarajan Senthil Kumar (Executive Project Manager, Coastal Protection Department, Built Environment Technology Centre, Building and Construction Authority, Singapore)
V Sundar, Prof Indian Institute of technology Madras Department of Ocean Engineering
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.bca.gov.sg/AboutUs/BCA_Annual_Report/BCA%20AR%202015-16_v19-lr.pdf
 
Description CambsNotspotter hackathon seeking solutions to Cambridge's mobile connectivity issues (18/11/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Outcome:
Pitch 1 - mobile phone app to aid navigation via areas of known strong data connectivity
Pitch 2 - Incorporate fibre broadband and small localised wifi routers into new transport routes on greenways
Pitch 3 - using available data, major existing transport routes were identified as having poor data connectivity, leading to the proposal that focus should be given to adding connectivity infrastructure to those routes

? Link: http://www.cambridgeahead.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/CambsNotspotterHack-Briefing-Pack-revised-Nov-2017.pdf
? Link: http://www.cambridgeahead.co.uk/hackathon2017/
? Link: http://cambridgehack.com/better-mobile-hack/

Internal participants
Oughton E
Frias Z

External participants
Bob Driver, CEO, Cambridge Wireless (Judge)
Tim Winchcomb, Technology Strategy Consultant, Cambridge Consultants
Sam Massey, Senior Analyst, Cambridge Consultants
Laura Trevail, Affiliate Context Strategist, TravelSpirit
Steve Unger, Group Director and Board Member, Ofcom (Judge)
Emma Fletcher, MD, SmithsonHill
Gabrielle Hibberd, Cofinitive (Event Organiser)
Dominic Bowles, CambridgeHack (Event Organiser)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.cambridgeahead.co.uk/hackathon2017/
 
Description Centre for Digital Built Britain (CDBB) workshop on planning infrastructure under uncertainty (25/04/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Workshop on planning infrastructure under uncertainty, Alan Turing Institute, London
Executive summary:
This report presents the conclusions of a research scoping network supported by the Centre for Digital Built Britain. The main source of information is a pair of workshops bringing together a range of research disciplines and practitioners, with information gathered being synthesised by an interdisciplinary core network team of researchers
in mathematical sciences, engineering and social sciences. This has been supplemented with a survey to gather wider views, and knowledge of the core team
gathered through other events and projects. Alongside this main report, an annex on good practice in research software development is also available, written by the Head of Research Engineering at the Alan Turing Institute.

Link: https://www.cdbb.cam.ac.uk/system/files/documents/2019_04_25FinalReport.pdf

External participants:
Centre for Digital Built Britain (CDBB)
List of network participants:
Simone Abram, Durham University
James Angus, Network Rail
Adam Anyszewski, Edinburgh University
Filip Babovic, Edinburgh University
Chris Bagley, KTN
Pete Barbrook Johnson, University of Surrey
Burcak Basbug, Erkan Coventry
Jacki Bell, Durham Energy Institute
Ronan Bolton, Edinburgh University
Charles Boulton, CDBB, Cambridge Uni
Richard Bradley, London School of Economics
Dominic Calleja, Liverpool University
Chris Dent, Edinburgh University
Hailiang Du, Durham University
Michael Goldstein, Durham University
Weisi Guo, Warwick University
Matt Hemsley, National Audit Office
James Hetherington, Turing Institute
Bill Hewlett, Costain
Matthew Hindle, Energy Networks
Adam Hutchinson, Ofgem
Kat Lovell SPRU, University of Sussex
Iain MacLeod, IESIS
Sebastian Maier, Imperial College London
Gordon Masterton, Edinburgh University
Martin Mayfield, Sheffield University
Will McDowall, UCL
Gordon McKerron, SPRU, University of Sussex
Hugh McMichael, Jacobs
John Miles, Cambridge University
Andrew Mortimer, Scottish Government
Mike Mosely, i3P & KTN
Giannis Moutsinas, University of Warwick
David Owens, Costain
Nazmiye Ozkan, Cranfield University
Tom Reynolds, Edinburgh University
Joe Roussos, London School of Economics
Julie Sigles, Centre for Digital Built Britain
Antti Silvast, Durham Energy Institute
Ritchie Somerville, University of Edinburgh
Neil Strachan, UCL
Jonathan Sweeney, Ofgem
Evelyn Tehrani, Durham Energy Institute
Liz Varga, Cranfield University
Lynne Ward, Scottish Futures Trust
Alec Waterhouse, BEIS
Ed Wheatcroft, London School of Economics
Elliott White, National Audit Office
Mark Winskel, University of Edinburgh
Andrew Wright, Cognitive Energy & Durham Energy Institute
Henry Wynn, London School of Economics

Internal participants:
Barr, S.
Lovell, K.
Usher, W.
Watson, J.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://www.cdbb.cam.ac.uk/system/files/documents/2019_04_25FinalReport.pdf
 
Description Centre for Transport Studies (CTS), University of London, Seminar Series: Designing a Road Traffic Model for the Cross-sectoral Analysis of Future National Infrastructure (28/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
The proposed strategic model predicts passenger and freight vehicle flows on major UK roads using and elasticity-based simulation approach. The assessment of road capacity utilisation after the network assignment step facilitates the identification of "pinch points" where future infrastructure investments might be targeted. Several policy interventions can be studied with the model, including road expansion, new road development and congestion charging. The model also explicitly considers cross-sectoral interdependencies with other infrastructure networks, primarily with the energy sector where the transport sector is the largest consumer, the digital communications sector, waste management and water. In future extensions, the model will also be able to estimate the environmental footprint and assess the risk and resilience of the transport network. This model has the potential to inform policy makers about the long-term performance of UK road infrastructure, considering a range of possible future scenarios for population growth, technological innovation and climate change.

External participants:
? The Centre For Transport Studies (CTS), University College London
? Imperial College London

Internal participants:
Lovric M.
Blainey S.
Preston J.M.

Links:
? https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/designing-a-road-traffic-model-for-the-cross-sectoral-analysis-of-future-national-infrastructure-tickets-44327689312#
? https://banianvaricom.files.wordpress.com/2018/03/lovric_cts_seminar.pdf
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://banianvaricom.files.wordpress.com/2018/03/lovric_cts_seminar.pdf
 
Description Challenges in SpaceTime - Coupling Models of Next Generation Infrastructure, International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems.
This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focussed on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity.

? Outputs & outcomes: Challenges in SpaceTime - Coupling Models of Next Generation Infrastructure, International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017)

Abstract:
Under the EPSRC-funded MISTRAL project, a new National Infrastructure Systems Model is being developed by the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium: NISMOD v2.0. The model includes highly spatially and temporally resolved simulation models of six infrastructure systems: transport, energy supply & demand, water supply & treatment, flood defence, digital communications and solid waste.
One of the key challenges in coupling simulation models of infrastructure systems is the differing spatial and temporal resolutions used by the models. We have developed a general approach to spatiotemporal data conversion which has been implemented in 'smif', an open source simulation modelling integration framework.

? Link Conference: International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
? Link Conference Proceedings: http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf

Internal participants:
Russell T (Presenter)
Usher W

External participants:
International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description Changing Commutes and the Changing Future of Urban Transport (11/09/2017 - 12/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact This seminar investigates how working spaces and places in cities are changing and what this means for urban systems in terms of infrastructure, urban design and planning. Key questions to be examined include:
- How diverse are the working spaces and places of workers in cities?
- How are working spaces transformed into workplaces?
- Where is formal/informal/precarious work undertaken; in what urban sites and places, and what spaces do these create?
- Are new hybrid places emerging in cities? How regulated/formalized are these?
- How do we have to rethink 'the journey to work', formal vs. informal work(spaces), private vs. public spaces and corporate vs. social spaces in cities?
The seminar is interdisciplinary and international in nature with speakers from geography, architecture, planning, economics, management, sociology and engineering presenting new research findings and theoretical insights into changing working patterns in Russia, Italy, Spain, Greece, Germany, the Netherlands and the UK.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Blainey SP

External participant/s:
International Infrastructure Experts/Policy Makers
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.southampton.ac.uk/geography/news/events/2017/09/changingworkplaces.page
 
Description City growth paterns under various assumptions developed for the National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) report 'Transport and housing for thriving city regions' (produced by the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC)).(10/07/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Greg McClymont (Lead on transport and cities) from the NIC contacted Nik Lomax and Andrew Smith of the ITRC on 10/07/2018 to confirm publication of the NIA report 'Transport and housing for thriving city regions'. Chapter 4 of that report included the Lomax and Smith's contribution of the baseline projection for population and employment in UK cities leading to the headline conclusion that transport networks are close to capacity in many UK cities. Lomax and Smith's report is in the supporting documents section, entitled 'Effects of capacity constraints on population and employment distribution'. Development of a baseline projection for population and employment in UK cities and undertook sensitivity testing of projections to consider outcomes under different assumptions about future growth patterns. Lomax and Smith developed alternative scenarios for population and employment growth in cities reflecting transport infrastructure constraints and housing constraints. The headline conclusion reported in the National Infrastructure Assessment is that transport networks are close to capacity in many UK cities.

This ITRC report contributed to chapter 4 of the NIA, Transport and housing for thriving city regions - https://www.nic.org.uk/assessment/national-infrastructure-assessment/transport-and-housing-for-thriving-city-regions/

This ITRC report is in the supporting documents section, entitled Effects of capacity constraints on population and employment distribution
https://www.nic.org.uk/supporting-documents/effects-of-capacity-constraints-on-population-and-employment-distribution/

Internal participants:
Lomax NM
Smith AP

External Participant:
Greg McClymont, NIC Lead on transport and cities
Internal participants:

URLs:? https://www.nic.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/Urban-Capacity-Report-27-June-2018.pdf
? https://www.nic.org.uk/assessment/national-infrastructure-assessment/transport-and-housing-for-thriving-city-regions/
? https://www.nic.org.uk/supporting-documents/effects-of-capacity-constraints-on-population-and-employment-distribution/
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/Urban-Capacity-Report-27-June-2018.pdf
 
Description Client Group & MISTRAL meeting 3 - KPMG, London, February 2017 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The aim of the ITRC-MISTRAL Client Group is to provide high level guidance and advocacy to ensure that:
1. The ITRC's research in the MISTRAL programme, and in particular development of NISMOD 2.0, is directed at the most important strategic questions for national infrastructure in the UK.
2. The outputs of the MISTRAL programme, and in particular development of NISMOD 2.0, are taken up as widely as possible
a. to inform strategic infrastructure investment decisions in government and industry, and also
b. to engage diverse stakeholders in informed discussion about futures and options for national infrastructure.


Membership of the Client Group:
James Angus Network Rail Head of Analysis & Forecasting
Graham Dalton Ministry of Defence Chief Executive of the Defence Infrastructure Organisation, former CEO of Highways England
John Loughhead UK Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy Chief Scientific Advisor and Director General
Ronan Palmer OFWAT Director, Strategy & Planning
James Richardson NIC/HMRC Treasury Chief Economist, National Infrastructure Commission
Jean Spencer Anglian Water Director, Regulation
James Stewart KPMG Chairman, Global Infrastructure
Steve Unger OFCOM Board Member and Group Director - Strategy, International, Technology, Economists (SITE)
Nick Wildgoose Zurich Re Global Supply Chain Product Leader
Nick Winser Energy Systems Catapult Chairman, Energy Systems Catapult
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016,2017
 
Description Client Group & MISTRAL meeting 4 - May 2017, Cambridge 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The aim of the ITRC-MISTRAL Client Group is to provide high level guidance and advocacy to ensure that:
1. The ITRC's research in the MISTRAL programme, and in particular development of NISMOD 2.0, is directed at the most important strategic questions for national infrastructure in the UK.
2. The outputs of the MISTRAL programme, and in particular development of NISMOD 2.0, are taken up as widely as possible
a. to inform strategic infrastructure investment decisions in government and industry, and also
b. to engage diverse stakeholders in informed discussion about futures and options for national infrastructure.


Membership of the Client Group:
James Angus Network Rail Head of Analysis & Forecasting
Graham Dalton Ministry of Defence Chief Executive of the Defence Infrastructure Organisation, former CEO of Highways England
John Loughhead UK Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy Chief Scientific Advisor and Director General
Ronan Palmer OFWAT Director, Strategy & Planning
James Richardson NIC/HMRC Treasury Chief Economist, National Infrastructure Commission
Jean Spencer Anglian Water Director, Regulation
James Stewart KPMG Chairman, Global Infrastructure
Steve Unger OFCOM Board Member and Group Director - Strategy, International, Technology, Economists (SITE)
Nick Wildgoose Zurich Re Global Supply Chain Product Leader
Nick Winser Energy Systems Catapult Chairman, Energy Systems Catapult
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Closing sessions. "Delivering the 'modelled world' of infrastructure"; and "UKCRIC: joining the dots in infrastructure and cities research". International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Closing Sessions:
1) Delivering the 'modelled world' of infrastructure: Professor Jim Hall FREng, Director, Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford and UKCRIC, UK
2) UKCRIC: joining the dots in infrastructure and cities research: Professor William Powrie, Dean of the Faculty and Engineering and the Environment, University of Southampton and UKCRIC, UK

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B9KA_YDfYnALdUZGSURHa01xZU0

Internal participants:
Hall J (Presenter)
Powrie W (Presenter)

External participants:
International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description Collaboration between KPMG and the ITRC/Mistral Group for the 'East West Arc' Oxford to Cambridge (CamKox) (03/10/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Telephone conference to commence Oxford/Cambridge East West Arc corridor actions, KPMG & ITRC/Mistral
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Collaboration with Iowa State University, USA, and the Risk Group (Oxford) using UK data sets on outages and 11/LV networks. (11/02/2019 - 15/02/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Ongoing contact by email to collaborate the analysis of outages and 11/LV networks.

External participant:
Ian Dobson; Sandbulte Professor, Electrical and Computer Engineering Department, Iowa State University, USA

Internal participants:
Zorn, C.
Thacker, S.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
 
Description Collaboration with the World Bank on multi-hazard exposure paper for global transport infrastructure. (30/05/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Skype call with Julie Rozenberg about collaboration on multi-hazard exposure paper for global transport infrastructure. Future related activities expected.

? External participant: Julie Rozenberg, Economist at the World Bank Sustainable Development Group

? Internal participants:
ITRC Global network analyst, Oxford
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Consistent service, not speed, key to UK's 5G future, say researchers. News piece in 'Computer Weekly' magazine online. (03/10/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Oughton and Frias said that, based on a model patterned on the rollout of current 4G long term evolution (LTE) networks, 5G could cover 90% of the UK population with a 50Mbps service by 2026, but at the cost of leaving out 3.6% of the population by 2030.
Their study, The cost, coverage and rollout implications of 5G infrastructure in Britain, published in the Telecommunications Policy journal, added that furthermore, if the 5G roll out is left to the market, the increasing cost of deployment to parts of the country with low population density would leave out 10% of the population by 2026.
"We don't need higher and higher headline speeds, but what we do need is reliable connectivity - to ensure we can reap the productivity benefits of new digital applications, platforms and services," said Oughton.

? Link, external: https://www.computerweekly.com/news/450427404/Consistent-service-not-speed-key-to-UKs-5G-future-say-researchers

External participant:
Alex Scroxton; Networking Editor, ComputerWeekly.com
Readership of ComputerWeekly.com

Internal participant:
Oughton, E.A.
Frias, Z.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.computerweekly.com/news/450427404/Consistent-service-not-speed-key-to-UKs-5G-future-say-...
 
Description Consultation meetings series for the National Needs Assessment (NNA) for Infrastructure - Engagement breakfast, Birmingham, 13/04/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The National Needs Assessment (NNA) was led by Sir John Armitt in his capacity as president of the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016. The objective was to examine the UK's likely infrastructure needs in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change.
ITRC-MISTRAL provided the primary evidence for the NNA through our modelling framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks, we presented our work in the consultations events.
The NNA states what needs to be done now and the decisions that need to be taken to deliver services for our infrastructure needs until 2050. It provides a blueprint for the government-backed National Infrastructure Commission's own National Infrastructure Assessment, due to be published in 2018.

50 formal responses were received during the consultation process and these have been fed into the findings and recommendations.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Consultation meetings series for the National Needs Assessment (NNA) for Infrastructure, Northern Powerhouse Conference, Manchester, 19/04/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact "The National Needs Assessment (NNA) was led by Sir John Armitt in his capacity as president of the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016. The objective was to examine the UK's likely infrastructure needs in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. ITRC-MISTRAL provided the primary evidence for the NNA through our modelling framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks, we presented our work in the consultations events. The NNA states what needs to be done now and the decisions that need to be taken to deliver services for our infrastructure needs until 2050. It provides a blueprint for the government-backed National Infrastructure Commission's own National Infrastructure Assessment, due to be published in 2018.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Consultation meetings series for the National Needs Assessment (NNA) for Infrastructure, Sub-sector workshop, ICE, London, 21/04/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The National Needs Assessment (NNA) was led by Sir John Armitt in his capacity as president of the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016. The objective was to examine the UK's likely infrastructure needs in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. ITRC-MISTRAL provided the primary evidence for the NNA through our modelling framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks, we presented our work in the consultations events. The NNA states what needs to be done now and the decisions that need to be taken to deliver services for our infrastructure needs until 2050. It provides a blueprint for the government-backed National Infrastructure Commission's own National Infrastructure Assessment, due to be published in 2018.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Consultation meetings series for the National Needs Assessment (NNA) for Infrastructure, CONSULTATION Summation Conference, KPMG, London, 27/04/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The National Needs Assessment (NNA) was led by Sir John Armitt in his capacity as president of the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016. The objective was to examine the UK's likely infrastructure needs in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. ITRC-MISTRAL provided the primary evidence for the NNA through our modelling framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks, we presented our work in the consultations events. The NNA states what needs to be done now and the decisions that need to be taken to deliver services for our infrastructure needs until 2050. It provides a blueprint for the government-backed National Infrastructure Commission's own National Infrastructure Assessment, due to be published in 2018.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Consultation meetings series for the National Needs Assessment (NNA) for Infrastructure, Technology & Disruptive trends, ICE, London, 14/04/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact "The National Needs Assessment (NNA) was led by Sir John Armitt in his capacity as president of the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016. The objective was to examine the UK's likely infrastructure needs in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change.
ITRC-MISTRAL provided the primary evidence for the NNA through our modelling framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks, we presented our work in the consultations events.
The NNA states what needs to be done now and the decisions that need to be taken to deliver services for our infrastructure needs until 2050. It provides a blueprint for the government-backed National Infrastructure Commission's own National Infrastructure Assessment, due to be published in 2018.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Contribution on infrastructure and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) plus responses to questions in relation to work of the Local Infrastructure Commission (July 2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
ITRC/Mistral to present a contribution on infrastructure and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and respond to questions in relation to work of the Local Infrastructure Commission.
The Local Infrastructure Commission (established by Katy Roelich) is an expert group established as part of an Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council funded project. It will explore how infrastructure needs can be understood and how they might be different at a local scale; how infrastructure planning and delivery happens at a local scale; and debate new approaches to decision making around infrastructure at all scales that might enable delivery of infrastructure that is more likely to meet local needs.
Continued contact with the Katy Roelich (Local Infrastructure Commission/University of Leeds)

Link: https://maadm.leeds.ac.uk/local-infrastructure-commission/call-for-evidence/

External participant: Katy Roelich Local Infrastructure Commission/University of Leeds

Internal participants:
Thacker, S.
Adshead, D.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://maadm.leeds.ac.uk/local-infrastructure-commission/call-for-evidence/
 
Description Cyber Infrastructure Meeting (proposed) (29/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC)/(Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics) MISTRAL investigation of the suitability of working with The National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC, part of GCHQ), the University of Cambridge Judge Business School, and Lockheed Martin. They have approached ITRC wanting to collaborate with our projects MISTRAL/Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI). This is a fact-finding meeting.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description DAFNI STFC introductory call with BT with the Canadian Space Agency (June 2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Project kick-off meeting at Canadian Space Agency on Canadian infrastructure analysis.
The consequent report was issued by The Honourable Navdeep Bains, P.C., M.P. , Minister of Innovation, Science and Economic Development

Internal participant
Oughton, E.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://asc-csa.gc.ca/eng/publications/dp-2017-2018.asp#s5
 
Description DAFNI visit at Defra. Dialogue to assess common areas of research and data. Presentation to policymakers. (25/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact - The DAFNI project has 8m of investment over four years which is looking at how we can bring data and models together better to inform strategic development of UK Infrastructure.
- There are already some overlaps with Defra such as flood infrastructure and air pollution. The contacts here are already made and currently in the Environment Agency.
- The central setup is based at Science and Technology Facilities Council (STFC) but there is also investment in infrastructure within some universities.
- The real unique aspect of the work is the bringing together of models.

Defra overlap:
- Defra is hoping to build a more strategic relationship with STFC. There is an initial meeting on the 2nd October 2017 which is to start to look at Earth Observation (satellite data) which Defra and DAFNI have a shared interest in. Steve Wilkinson (Head of Innovation, Data Transformation Programme, Defra) is also interested in seeing if the Defra-DAFNI relationship can be extended much further in order to use it to get a broader research sector more directly focused on Defra's problems.
- Defra are more interested in the softer engineering aspects - which falls between landscape and infrastructure. [There might be potential though to set up a DAFNI accelerator in this space?]
- Learning how DAFNI tackles problems / develops approaches could be a useful insight into what would be involved to set up something equivalent for landscape modelling.

Future activities to assist joining Defra and DAFNI:
- send through details of the contacts currently held by DAFNI
- provide a link to the DAFNI paper on the status of flood analysis

It would probably be worth following up on a more technical level if / when Defra/DAFNI get something going with STFC.

Internal participant:
Hall J

External participant/s:
Erica Yang, Head of Visual Analytics and Imaging Systems, Science and Technology Facilities Council (STFC) Project Director; DAFNI: Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (in construction)
Caroline Poulsen, Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs (DEFRA)
Steve Brian Wilkinson, Head of Innovation, Data Transformation Programme, Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs (DEFRA)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description DRAFT ENTRY Green Infrastructure for the Sustainable Development Goals: An evidence-based approach to resilient, sustainable infrastructure: tools and experiences. (15/11/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Schools
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Conference hosted/supported by the Geneva Environment Network asking 'How can policy tools and data better support governments in their decision-making processes towards a resilient and sustainable future?'

UNOPS, and Oxford University's 'Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium' (ITRC), will present on this important question and explore practical ways of developing resilient, sustainable infrastructure through the application of existing tools and processes, illustrated with diverse case studies drawn from the ITRC's experiences to date.
In the run-up to the next UN Environment Assembly, themed "Innovative solutions for environmental challenges and sustainable consumption and production", UN.Environment, within the framework of the Geneva Environment Network, is pleased to host a talk that will feature the UNOPS/ITRC National Infrastructure Systems Model (NISMOD-int) and its application in Curação, and Palestine, as well as a Capacity Assessment Tool for Infrastructure (CAT-I) and country work carried out in Brazil, Serbia and Nepal.

Link: Livestream on https://www.facebook.com/GenevaEnvironmentNetwork/

External participant:
Steve Crosskey
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) Development Roadmap and Engagement Event (18/01/2018) held at the Science and Technology Facilities Council (STFC) Scientific Computing Department at Harwell, Oxfordshire. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Jim Hall, Director of the Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, and Principal Investigator for DAFNI, said, "The workshop was a significant milestone for the DAFNI delivery programme. We have made a lot of progress since the launch event last July, having almost completed the requirements specification for DAFNI. The workshop demonstrated that the user community has growing confidence in our approach to dealing with security and licensing."

Dr Erica Yang, STFC's leader of the DAFNI programme, said "The success of this event gives the early demonstration of the strength and capability of STFC Scientific Computing in constructing and delivering a large scale complex data analytics facility. The level of responses from the participants, including academia, public sector, and industry, sends us a clear signal that the community oriented co-design and co-development approach we are undertaking is of crucial importance to address the highly complex and rapidly evolving research challenges of urban infrastructure modelling and simulation community"

Geoff McBride, STFC's theme leader of Global Food Security and Agri-Tech and STFC representative in the UK Water Partnership, said, "I'm very inspired by the project and am happy to advocate where ever I can. This is a rapidly expanding area in data intensive science within STFC, for supporting and empowering next generation multi-disciplinary research communities of crucial importance for the future of our nation."

STFC's Sam Chorlton, who is the DAFNI Technical Architect, said, "This event demonstrated a shared knowledge and appreciation of the complexities of problems that DAFNI undertakes. It was a good platform for engaging with potential future stakeholders."

External participants:
? Dr Erica Yang, STFC's leader of the DAFNI programme
? Geoff McBride, STFC's theme leader of Global Food Security and Agri-Tech and STFC representative in the UK Water Partnership
? Sam Chorlton, STFC's DAFNI Technical Architect

Internal participants:
? Russell T
? Hall JW

? Link: https://www.scd.stfc.ac.uk/Pages/DAFNI-Development-Roadmap-and-Engagement-Event.aspx
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.scd.stfc.ac.uk/Pages/DAFNI-Development-Roadmap-and-Engagement-Event.aspx
 
Description Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) Hack week (25/06/2018 - 29/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ITRC database and integration team, prototyping DAFNI modelling service and testing ITRC models in DAFNI environment. Approximately 12 attendees (DAFNI delivery team, ITRC database and integration team), prototyping DAFNI modelling service and testing ITRC models in DAFNI environment. Further team work to follow.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) briefing to Infrastructure and Projects Authority (IPA). 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The IPA has a number of projects involving geospatial data within a number of Departments. Consequent request to Jim Hall to provide a briefing of the role of Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI). Briefing agreed for September 11th 2017.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) inaugural meeting/UNOPS (06/07/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Global Opportunities for Infrastructure Intelligence. Slide presentation demonstrating ITRC/Mistral's specialism is infrastructure delivery and implementation: - Procurement, project management and technical assistance.

? Outcomes and outputs:
Infrastructure is central for achieving sustainable development. The opportunity is reliant on evidence and intelligence. New datasets, methodologies and case studies are emerging. There is still much work to be done to satisfy the global need. With DAFNI, the UK can be at the forefront of realising this future
Applications and impacts with the Governments of Palestine, Syria, and Curacao have led to further connections with, for example, the Government of St. Lucia.

Link: https://www.slideshare.net/UKCIP/global-opportunities-for-infrastructure-intelligence

Keynote speakers external to Mistral:
Ian Osborne, Head of Complex Systems, KTN
James Stewart, Head of Global Infrastructure, KPMG
Erica Yang, Head of Visual Analytics and Imaging Systems, Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC)
David Wallom, University of Oxford
Alex Wrottesley, Ordnance Survey
Bianca Letti, National Infrastructure Commission
Richard Milton / Michael Batty, University College London
Philip Steadman / Paul Ruyssevelt, University College London

Keynote speakers from Mistral group:
Scott Thacker, United Nations Office for Project Services

Jim Hall, DAFNI Project Lead, University of Oxford
Stuart Barr, University of Newcastle
Nik Lomax, University of Leeds
Tom Russell, University of Oxford
Simon Blainey, University of Southampton
Keiron Roberts, University of Southampton
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.slideshare.net/UKCIP/global-opportunities-for-infrastructure-intelligence
 
Description Data exchanges between ITRC/Mistral and Network Rail (16/02/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ITRC/Mistral requested the following information from Network Rail as part of the collaboration between both groups:
• Shapefile of rail network (including number of tracks on each link and station locations)
• Maximum speeds for line sections - linked to shapefile of network
• Any data on route capacity (e.g. signal spacings?) - linked to network shapefile data
• Any data on current crowding levels by service/route
• Timetable data including both passenger and freight services (CIF format is fine)
• OD flow data for passengers (LENNON or similar) plus associated routing data (MOIRA?) if available
• Fault management system (FMS) data - or any aggregated data analysis of that
• Interdependent asset locations mapping, e.g. locations of utility systems - shapefile or excel with coordinates information

Plus:
• Network Rail's climate change adaptation strategy, which you mentioned in the meeting.
• Plans made for additional meetings in a few week's time.
• Also possibly to discuss interactions with the Cabinet Office's Resilience Direct work.

ITRC/Mistral researchers:
Blainey SP; Pant R; Hall JW

Network Rail researchers:
Lisa Constable, Weather Resilience and Climate Change Adaptation Strategy Manager, Network Rail
Caroline Lowe, Advanced Data Analytics, Network Rail
Christopher Wynne-Cowlin, Support Services Manager, Network rail
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/rail-network-vulnerabilities/#.WqKqqGrFJaQ
 
Description Delivering on the Sustainable Development Goals through long-term infrastructure planning (14/11/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Delivering on the Sustainable Development Goals through long-term infrastructure planning. University of Oxford and United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS). Presentation, 'Decision-Making Under Deep Uncertainty' conference, Los Angeles, 13-15 November 2018.

Breakout 1C: DMDU and infrastructure planning
Delivering on the Sustainable Development goals through long-term infrastructure planning

Link: http://www.deepuncertainty.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/DRAFT-2018-DMDU-agenda-20181016-1.pdf

External participants:
- Chair (Break out 1C): Julie Rozenberg, Economist, World Bank Sustainable Development Group
- Multi-city regional water supply portfolios: David Gold, Bernardo Trindade, Patrick Reed and Greg Characklis
- Californian energy utilities: Robert Kay, Judsen Bruzgul and Tommy Hendrickson
- Mexico's fuel transportation and storage infrastructure: Edmundo Molina-Perez, Giovanni Hernandez, Fabian Carranza, Steven Popper and Luis Serra.

Internal participants:
Adshead, D.
Thacker, S.
Fuldauer, L.I.
Hall, J.W.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://www.deepuncertainty.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/DRAFT-2018-DMDU-agenda-20181016-1.pdf
 
Description Delivering on the Sustainable Development Goals through long-term infrastructure planning. New tools for DMDU analysis colloquium. (15/11/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Delivering on the Sustainable Development Goals through long-term infrastructure planning. University of Oxford and United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS). Presentation, 'Decision-Making Under Deep Uncertainty' conference, Los Angeles, 13-15 November 2018.

Breakout 4A: New tools for DMDU analysis colloquium
An interdependent infrastructure systems planning tool to support strategic long-term, national-scale DMDU

Link: http://www.deepuncertainty.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/DRAFT-2018-DMDU-agenda-20181016-1.pdf

External Participants:
- Chair (Breakout 4A): Jan Kwakkel. Lead developer of an open source workbench for exploratory modeling, scenario discovery, and multi-objective robust optimization, TUDelft
- Policy trees and threshold-based adaptation of water resources systems under climate change: Jonathan Herman
- WaterPaths: Bernardo Trindade, Patrick Reed, Harrison Zeff and Gregory Characklis
- Travel Model Improvement Program: Martin Milkovits and Sarah Sun
- Free web-based tool to support decision making under uncertainty: Niels Riegels, Oluf Jessen, Silvia Leirao and Henrik Madsen

Internal participants:
Adshead, D.
Thacker, S.
Fuldauer, L.I.
Hall, J.W.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://www.deepuncertainty.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/DRAFT-2018-DMDU-agenda-20181016-1.pdf
 
Description Development of a fast-track analysis of infrastructure needs for the small island state of Curaçao (31/07/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Jade Leung, the ITRC-MISTRAL researcher leading the study, described its aim as "enabling decision-makers within Curaçao to understand the opportunities available for robust infrastructure policy options, as well as developing a better understanding of future vulnerabilities". The study will help to decide on future infrastructure provision that will work well under the demands of population and tourism growth, and of climate change-driven sea-level rise. One important area of the analysis, undertaken by the ITRC's Lena Fuldauer, will work with the waste, wastewater and energy sectors, investigating the opportunities and risks that arise from interdependencies between these sectors.

At the heart of the analysis sits the ITRC's National Infrastructure Systems Model for International Contexts (NISMOD-Int). This uses a system-of-systems approach to give Curacao's decision-makers information that will help them identify adaptable pathways for their sustainable development. NISMOD-Int uses a process whereby researchers work together with local policy-makers and experts to develop and test strategies for future infrastructure provision. This process is enabled by NISMOD-Int's data visualisation and decision support platform, developed by the ITRC's Tom Russell.

UNOPS is assisting the Government of Curaçao to make local infrastructure more resilient to the demands and risks that lie ahead. UNOPS is supporting data collection and local stakeholder interactions. In June 2017, UNOPS' Ciaretta Profas led a meeting that brought together over 50 people from across Curaçao's infrastructure sector, including local governments, infrastructure companies (waste, wastewater, transport, water and electricity), Curacao Maritime Authority, Central Bureau of Statistics, UN agencies; and local environmental NGOs and activists.

We were pleased to have the strong support of the Curaçao government, and were joined by Her Excellency Zita Jesus-Leito, Minister of Traffic, Transportation and Urban Planning. She opened the meeting by stressing the importance of developing a shared vision, with strategies that work with the unique nature of Curacao, and which balance economic and environmental factors: "Plans for infrastructure development and restructuring should always address the impact on the environment and nature. These should never be disregarded when developing cities and neighbourhoods. This model (NISMOD-Int) allows the Ministry to apply an integrated approach when initiating an infrastructure development project". An overview of the event was broadcast on the local television network in the local language, Papiamento.

Over the coming months, members of ITRC-MISTRAL and UNOPS will be working closely with experts from Curaçao to finalise the fast-track analysis. It is expected that the insights derived from the analysis, alongside the knowledge creation during the process, will help to support evidence-based infrastructure development within Curaçao.

This partnership forms part of a larger initiative by UNOPS to facilitate the roll-out and uptake of NISMOD-Int, as part of their programme on Evidence Based Infrastructure (EBI). Further applications of NISMOD-Int are currently being explored in a range of political and geographical contexts including in post-conflict, post-disaster and developing economies, rapidly developing city-states and small island nations from South and Central America, to Africa, the Middle East and Asia.

Scott Thacker is a Senior Analyst for the Curaçao fast-track analysis - United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS).

External Participants:
Government Ministers of Curaçao

Internal participants:
Thacker S
Leung J
Fuldauer L
Adshead D
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.youtube.com/embed/sMlSuns1VnM
 
Description DfT Modelling Meeting Post NS S&T WG: Infrastructure modelling: discussions of connections between the NISMOD2 transport model and NTM on 03/05/2018 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Amanda Rowlatt and Robin Cambery of the DfT met with Jim Hall 03/05/2018 for a meeting this morning, including an offer to follow up with more in-depth discussions of connections between the NISMOD2 transport model and NTM.
The meeting also touched on the opportunities potentially provided by DAFNI to provide a secure and stable high performance compute platform for NTM. Details were forwarded to Sam Chorlton to Sam Chorlton, who leads the DAFNI delivery programme at the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory and who will follow up to explore this possibility. This would be a good time to open that discussion, as DAFNI's design is now being finalised, and Sam's team are embarking on the delivery of the software platform. Though that platform is designed to be fairly multi-purpose, it would be useful to discuss any issues that NTM might bring.

? Outputs & outcomes:
- Opportunities potentially provided by the Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) to provide a secure and stable high performance compute platform for NTM
- Discussion of DAFNI's design to assess any issues that NTM might bring
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014,2018
 
Description Digital Communications workshop 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact This workshop brought together 55 high profile representatives of industry, government and academic representatives to explore the key issues facing each of the digital communications subsystems, specifically fixed, mobile, wireless and satellite connectivity.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/digital-communications/the-future-of-digital-communications/#.WqkvKufLddg
 
Description Disaster Resilient Infrastructure Conference, New Delhi, India (15/01/2018 to 16/01/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Email from Prof Hall to Kamal Kishore (Member, National Disaster Management Authority) describing the ITRC/Mistral research on developing methodology to analyse vulnerabilities within transport networks. Some insights into ITRC's interactions with national government provided by attachment of 'Strategic analysis of the future of national infrastructure' (https://www.icevirtuallibrary.com/doi/abs/10.1680/jcien.16.00018). In addition ITRC's influence in the recent Vision and Priorities (https://www.nic.org.uk/our-work/national-infrastructure-assessment/) document published by the National Infrastructure Commission and in the Institution of Civil Engineer's National Needs Assessment(https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr). The first phase of ITRC's research is all documented in the book 'The Future of National Infrastructure' (ISBN 9781107066021).

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Hall J

External participant/s:
National Disaster Management Authority in India
Kamal Kishore; Member, National Disaster Management Authority
Supriya Krishnan; Member, National Disaster Management Authority
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html
 
Description Disaster Resilient Infrastructure, National Disaster Management Authority in India (15/01/2018 to 16/01/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A slide presentation: Infrastructure development challenges.
Themes covered included opportunities being created through the emergence of newly available global infrastructure network datasets, the role of infrastructure development as a key to addressing many of the sustainable development goals (SDG's), and infrastructure vulnerability assessment methodology, examples being China and New Zealand. The next step will be the development of an evidence based infrastructure assessment framework (EBIDF).
? Outputs & outcomes:
Dr Raghav Pant provided a slide presentation 'Infrastructure development challenges' to conference for Technical Session 1 (TS-1 Contd.) Transport and Energy sectors.
Chair : Mr Aromar Revi , Director -Indian Institute for Human Settlements, Coordinating Lead, Author of the 2018 IPCC Special Report on Global Warming
Co-Chair : Ms Susanne Ursula Krings, National Expert, Federal Office of Civil Protection and Disaster Assistance (BBK), Germany
? Link: http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/ppts/15jan/TS-1/2/IWDRI2018_TS1_Pant_Oxford%20UK.pdf
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html
 
Description Disaster Resilient Infrastructure, National Disaster Management Authority in India (15/01/2018 to 16/01/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A slide presentation: 'Managing risks in key infrastructure sectors'
Infrastrucure failures using disruptions to UK infrastructure and lessons learnt. Analyising the risks of infrastructure failure, mapping and modelling interdependencies are considered leading to the economic benefit of alternative adaptations, progress with adaptation, ASC assessment of progress with adaptation, and the risk management cycle of
- Assessing risks
- Appraising responses
- Implementing responses
- Monitoring responses and return to assessing risks
? Outputs & outcomes:
Prof Jim Hall provided a slide presentation 'Managing risks in key infrastructure sectors' to conference Technical Session 1 (TS1) 'Managing risks in key infrastructure sectors' subsection: 'Disaster Control Infrastructure'.
Chair : Mr Kenichi Yokoyama, Country Director- India, Asian Development Bank
Co-Chair : Mr Chatchawal Simaskul, Plan and Policy Analyst, Ministry of Transport, Thailand
? Link: Conference programme: http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html Conference programme
? Link: Prof Hall's presentation: http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/ppts/15jan/TS-1/1/IWDRI2018_TS1_Hall_Oxford%20UK.pdf
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html
 
Description Discuss model-running architecture's interaction of design for the Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) National Infrastructure Modelling Service (20/07/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Small group discussions with reference to model-running architecture's interaction of design for the Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) National Infrastructure Modelling Service (NIMS) with the Simulation Modelling Integration Framework (SMIF).This was a follow up to the meeting on 18th January 2018. Further meetings anticipated.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Discussion of model-running architecture and plan Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) (25/05/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
A hack week for DAFNI is planned for the week beginning 25th June 2018

Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/PDFs/1-NISMOD-DAFNI.pdf

External participants:
? Sam Chorlton (Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure, Science and Technology Facilities Council)
? Roald Schoenmakers (Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure, Science and Technology Facilities Council)

Internal participants:
? Russell T
? Usher W
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015,2018
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/PDFs/1-NISMOD-DAFNI.pdf
 
Description Discussion of the uses of CityCAT and synthetic network generator for improved sewer model analysis and design. (24/05/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Engagement with staff from WSP at Newcastle 24 May 2018. Martin Osborne, Jonathan Cutting to discuss uses of CityCAT and synthetic network generator for improved sewer model analysis and design (a hack week was held).

External participants:
? WSP at Newcastle
? Martin Osborne, Technical Director - Water at WSP in the UK (Reading)
? Jonathan Cutting, Technical Director at WSP in the U.K. (Derby)

Internal participants:
ITRC Newcastle/Urban water team
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Discussion on 11/04/2017 with NIC members with reference to Energy modelling issues and questions: storage, distributed generation, assets 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Doerte Schneemann (Power Sector Lead), Bianca Letti (Economic Advisor), and Jack Large (Intern) of the NIC met with Dan Adshead, and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 11/04/2017 to discuss
? Energy modelling issues and questions: storage, distributed generation, assets
Information also disseminated to Odifreddi F; Energy Policy Advisor National Infrastructure Commission
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Discussion paper: Intended outputs of the ITRC and MISTRAL programmes (13/09/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact This discussion paper summarises the headline outputs from the ITRC and MISTRAL programmes. It is intended to respond to the ITRC-MISTRAL Client Group's question on intended impacts and to inform the Client Group's advice.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Discussion to commence collaboration with the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC) on coastal flood impact and cascading economic impacts. (14/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Skype call with Luc Feyen and Michalis Vousdoukas about collaboration with JRC on coastal flood impact and cascading economic impacts. Further meetings arranged.

External participants:
? Luc Feyen, European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC)
? Michalis Vousdoukas, Researcher in Coastal Oceanography, European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC)

Internal participant: ITRC Global Network Analyst, Oxford
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Discussion with Nick Wildgoose about potential business case study, based on our ideas and work for Zurich RE and clients (07/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Discussion with Nick Wildgoose about potential business case study, based on our ideas and work for Zurich RE and clients. Future collaborations likely.

External participant: Nick Wildgoose, Global Supply Chain Product leader, Zurich RE

Internal participant: ITRC Global Network Analyst, Oxford
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Discussions/calls with the Institute of Civil Engineers (ICE) in preparation for Global Engineering Congress (GEC) conference, 22 to 26 October 2018 (post 02/07/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:

Scott Thacker of the ITRC held discussions/calls with Rob Curd, Project Manager, and Elodie Huiban, Campaigns and Events Manager, both of the Institute of Civil Engineers (ICE) in preparation for Global Engineering Congress (GEC) conference, 22 to 26 October 2018. Scott Thacker will be a speaker at that GEC conference.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Dr E Oughton of the Digital Communications section of the ITRC contacted Jonathan Legh-Smith, Mansoor Hanif, and Fraser Burton of British Telecomms (BT) to initiate a follow up to ITRC's recent presentation of their 5G modelling research to the Communications Infrastructure Council (suggested by Garry Miller (Head of Infrastructure Policy, BT)), and discuss the new £8 million Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC) investment into a UK Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastruct 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Dear Jonathan, Mansoor and Fraser,
I lead the digital communications infrastructure analysis with David Cleevely (Centre for Science and Policy, University of Cambridge), as part of the UK's Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium. You have been in contact with Jim Hall previously (cc'd).
Last week we presented our 5G modelling research to the Communications Infrastructure Council and Garry Miller (Head of Infrastructure Policy) requested that we follow up with a teleconference to discuss the relevance of the work for BT. I wondered if we might be able to arrange a group call to discuss this further?
It would also be useful to talk about the new £8 million STFC investment into a UK Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI), which will be located at the Harwell scientific campus in Oxfordshire. We're in the process of galvanising support for this initiative and are looking for key digital stakeholders. This facility will provide UK infrastructure researchers with a fantastic opportunity to undertake large-scale computational modelling, and we would like to work with industrial partners to help provide new evidence on the issues currently being faced by operators.
Please let me know if this is of interest, as I will be arranging a call with Garry, and it seems appropriate to have a group conversation on this matter from all those that have expressed interest.
Dr Edward J. Oughton

External participants:
? David Cleevely; Centre for Science and Policy, University of Cambridge
? Jonathan Legh-Smith; British Telecomms (BT)
? Mansoor Hanif; British Telecomms (BT)
? Fraser Burton; British Telecomms (BT)
? Garry Miller; Head of Infrastructure Policy, BT
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Ecobuild Conference : The UK's Future Energy Mix : Presentation: Alternative pathways for meeting UK's 2050 energy needs 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Conference session addressed: What should the UK's energy mix look like by 2050?What will the split be across nuclear, renewables, CCGT, interconnection? How will other forms of generation, as well as storage, impact future energy mix? What impact will Hinkley Point C have on other forms of generation?

http://www.ecobuild.co.uk/agenda 7th March 13:30 - 14:45
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.ecobuild.co.uk/agenda
 
Description Economist Group report on sustainable infrastructure 'The critical role of infrastructure for the Sustainable Development Goals' (18/01/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
A Technical Essay issued by The Economist Intelligence Unit.
The essay discusses the benefits of infrastructure, examines the barriers to delivering sustainable infrastructure, and highlights solutions and best practices.
Provision of technical help for this Essay which has been written by The Economist Intelligence Unit supported by UNOPS, the UN organisation with a core mandate for infrastructure. The research uses three pillars - the economy, the environment and wider society - as well as the overarching theme of resilience through which to assess the role of infrastructure in meeting global social and environment goals.

External Participants:
? Marianne Fay, chief economist for climate change, World Bank
? Mark Harvey, head of profession (infrastructure), UK Department for International Development
? Morgan Landy, senior directorof global infrastructure and natural resources, International Finance Corporation
? Virginie Marchal, senior policy analyst, Environment Directorate, OECD
? Jo da Silva, founder and director, International Development, Arup
? Graham Watkins, principal environment specialist, Inter-American Development Bank

Internal participants:
Thacker S
Hall JW
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://unops.economist.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/ThecriticalroleofinfrastructurefortheSustaina...
 
Description Engage with external group follow on event: Investigation with respect to the GB electricity network; mapping the detailed GB electricity network and initial description of the energy supply modelling design architecture 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact October 2016 Investigation with respect to the GB electricity network; mapping the detailed GB electricity network and initial description of the energy supply modelling design architecture

Work has begun on gathering data on the electricity network. Scott Thacker (Mistral) will be approached regarding the data he has available and on the detail that is required.
Lahiru Jayasuriya will be helping Modassar Chaudry in gathering the gas and electricity network data and more importantly addressing the question of the level of detail that is required for the modelling work.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engage with external group: Investigation with respect to the GB electricity network with the National Grid, and with the Energy Group of the ECI, University of Oxford 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact - Scott Thacker (Oxford) will be approached in early September 2016 regarding any information/data he has on the detailed GB electricity network.
- We anticipate interacting with Nick Eyre, Energy Group (ECI, University of Oxford) and his team in September/October 2016 regarding energy supply and demand modelling and data interactions.
- Engagement with National Grid (data, questions etc) will start around September/October (2016) time.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external Stakeholders: Highway cost data discussions, with David Perestrelo, Product Manager for Data Products at RICS (Building and Infrastructure). ITRC Mistral Participant: Blainey S 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Meeting with David Perestrelo at Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors on 24 November to discuss highway cost data. ITRC/Mistral participant: Blainey S
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external groups (April 2017): Association of American Geographers (AAG) 2017: Building blocks and values in infrastructure. 5-9 April 2017 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Conference session: 1287 Building blocks and values in infrastructure: understanding agency, normativity, directionality & change I. Embedded normativities

Author: Ralitsa Hiteva, Dr. - Social Policy Research Unit (SPRU), University of Sussex
Paper: Hidden agencies of governance: intermediaries and infrastructure
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.sussex.ac.uk/spru/research/major/infrastructure/call
 
Description Engagement with external groups (April 2017): Association of American Geographers (AAG) 2017: Building blocks and values in infrastructure. 5-9 April 2017 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Conference Session: 1487 Building blocks and values in infrastructure: understanding agency, normativity, directionality & change II. Analytics and interventions
Paper: Finding the Locus of Control: Politics of Scale and Directionality in Infrastructure Development
Authors: Katherine Lovell - Science Policy Research Unit (SPRU), University of Sussex; Ralitsa Hiteva - SPRU, University of Sussex
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.sussex.ac.uk/spru/research/major/infrastructure/call
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders (05/09/2016): ITRC Mistral, Transport project. Meeting with Network Rail 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Engagement with external stakeholders (05/09/2016): ITRC Mistral, Transport project. Simon Blainey, James Pritchard, Raghav Pant and Jim Hall attended meeting with Network Rail on 5th September
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders (13/09/2016): ITRC Mistral, Transport. Simon Blainey attended MISTRAL client group meeting. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ITRC Mistral Project 1.2: High resolution simulation of infrastructure systems. Client group meeting.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders (2016): Investigating network dimensions for the different geotypes with Dr Zoraida Frias, a telecommunications engineer (Assistant Professor), Technical University of Madrid 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ITRC Mistral, Digital Communications section is working with Dr Zoraida Frias, a telecommunications engineer (Assistant Professor) at the Technical University of Madrid, to work out the network dimensions for the different geotypes used in the 5G study, based on extrapolating the technical characteristics of 4G, to 5G.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders (21/09/2016): ITRC Mistral, Transport project. James Pritchard attended the Rail Safety and Standards Board (RSSB) Rail Carbon Tool Seminar 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact (21/09/2016): ITRC Mistral, Transport project. James Pritchard attended the Rail Safety and Standards Board (RSSB) Rail Carbon Tool Seminar. The Rail Carbon Tool ihas been developed to assist the UK rail industry with understanding what its carbon footprint is so it can go on and reduce it throughout its supply chain.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.rssb.co.uk/library/research-development-and-innovation/2016-09-t1009-final-report.pdf
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders (Sept 2016): 27TH European Regional International Telecommunication Society Conference. The evolution of the north-south telecommunications divide: the role for Europe Conference Programme Cambridge, UK 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact Conference Parallel Session 3: Broadband 2
Studying the Costs of fibre deployment in fixed broadband access infrastructure: Evidence from the UK's national needs assessment

Mistral participant: E.J. Oughton
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.itseurope.org/2016/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Programme-4-Sept-16.pdf
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders (Sept 2016): Economics: Proposed development markers with Cambridge Econometrics (CE), and the University of Cambridge (CU) (Mistral Paper 4.2 PMC) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact Engagement with external stakeholders (Sept 2016): Economics: Proposed development markers with Cambridge Econometrics (CE), and the University of Cambridge (CU) (Mistral Paper 4.2 PMC)


Economics: Two years beginning September 2016 through to March 2018

a) October 2016 through March 2017
i) Development of evidence base and conceptual framework
ii) Collection of data on quantity and quality of infrastructure
iii) Development of infrastructure indicators


Expected outcome: Key deliverable in March 2017 is Working Paper on conceptual framework-joint Cambridge Econometrics (CE) and the University of Cambridge (CU),

b) Nov 2016 through June 2017
i) Development of local area model on employment, Growth Value Added (GVA) and population
ii) CE milestone is delivery of GVA, employment and population data by June 2016
iii) Collection of key investment and company data;
iv) Development of spatial and infrastructure typology;

c) March 2017-through March 2018

Econometric modelling 2017.
CE milestone is delivery of model and estimation in conjunction with
CU. First run would be middle 2017 and then through rest of year.

d) Late 2017-2018
i) Preparation for major conference in Cambridge early 2018.
ii) Deliverable is paper at conference by CE and Cambridge University
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders - Discussion of waste policy and meet the waste management modelling team of the Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs (Defra). (22/09/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A meeting (22/09/2016) has been arranged with Andrea Silberman (National Infrastructure Commission) and Helen Jamieson Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs (Defra) to discuss waste policy and meet the ITRC Mistral waste management modelling team at Defra.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders. Meeting scheduled with Network Rail on Monday 5th September 2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact Meeting scheduled with Network Rail on Monday 5th September 2016.
Negotiations ongoing to schedule meeting with Department of Transport (DfT) Rail team following contact made via National Infrastructure Commission (NIC). Mistral participants: Blainey S, Pritchard J, Pant R, and Hall J
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Meeting with Martin Williams regarding collaborative work in Ghana. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Engagement with external stakeholders: Meeting with Martin Williams regarding collaborative work in Ghana. as part of Project 3.1: A general framework for national infrastructure assessment
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: 'Meeting of modellers' with World Bank representatives. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 'Meeting of modellers' with World Bank representatives. (Mistral Project 3.1: A general framework for national infrastructure assessment)
Mistral participants: Jim Hall and Matt Ives
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Contact with Edinburgh University with reference to applicability of National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) to their work in Nigeria. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact 18/08/2016 Miriam Mendes and Matt Ives (both of ITRC Mistral) spoke with Kenneth AMAESHI and Georgina JAMIESON of Edinburgh University about applicability of National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) to their work in Nigeria.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Meeting with FCO Prosperty Fund representatives for South East Asia and Vietnam. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Meeting with FCO Prosperty Fund representatives for South East Asia and Vietnam. (Part of Mistral Project 3.1: A general framework for national infrastructure assessment)
Mistral participants: Jim Hall and Matt Ives
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Mistral researchers update of project activity for United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) in respect of occupied Palestine territories (oPt) PMO engagement 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 18/08/2016: ITRC Mistral project update with Trevor Sway and Nick O'Regan of the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS). They are happy with our progress. They are still experiencing delays in data gathering and occupied Palestine territories (oPt) PMO engagement.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Palestine Workshop 1: Workshops with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) and foreign national organisations (2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Workshops with UNOPS and foreign national organisations:
Palestine Workshop 1:
- Location: Jerusalem, Israel
- Attendees: UNOPS staff
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Palestine Workshop 2a: (28/02/2017) Workshops with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), and foreign national and international organisations 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Palestine Workshop 2a:
- Location: East Jerusalem, Israel
- Date: 28/2/2017
- Attendees: Drs Ives and Thacker, UNOPS staff, delegates from World Bank, USAID, European Commission, DIFD, Global Affairs Canada (previously DFATD), Germany Representative Office in Ramallah, France Representative Office, The Office of the Quartet Representative, UNDP, UNEP, UNCTAD
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Presentation of the National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) concept along with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) at UN Aid and Development Funding Conference in Bangkok 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 22/06/2016: Matt Ives (ITRC Mistral) presented the National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) concept along with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) at UN Aid and Development Funding Conference in Bangkok, Thailand. Excellent feedback from conference.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.aidforum.org/events/event/aid-development-asia-summit-2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Syria Workshop 1: (01-02/03/2017) UNOPS staff, delegates National Agenda for the Future of Syria, Oxford NISMOD-Int team 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Syria Workshop 1:
- Location: Oxford, UK
- Dates: 1/3/2017 - 2/3/2017
- Attendees: UNOPS staff, delegates National Agenda for the Future of Syria, Oxford National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) team (ITRC Mistral)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Engagement with the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE) to provide 5G communication information for the NIC response to the National Needs Assessment (NNA) (18/07/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The NIC requested evidence from the Institute of Civil Engineers (ICE) 5G Infrastructure Panel for the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) response to the National Needs Assessment (NNA). Evidence for the ICE was submitted by Dr Ed Oughton of the ITRC.
? Outputs & outcomes: Continued project with the NIC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement within Mistral (Sept. 2016): Working plans regarding population micro-simulation and building modelling (Project 4.2: Simulating the inter-relationship between infrastructure and economic activity.) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact Engagement within Mistral: Project 4.2: Simulating the inter-relationship between infrastructure and economic activity.
Meeting to discuss on their working plans regarding population micro-simulation and building modelling, as well as on the implications of these plans for Task 4.2 (first meeting within Task 4.2.1.b).
September 2016

Participants: Mark Birkin (Leeds), Stuart Barr (Newcastle), William Usher (Oxford)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement within Mistral project with respect to the National Infrastructure Systems MODel (NISMOD) (August 2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact - Adrian Hickford begins his work on NISMOD-Int Fast Track Analysis.
- Scott Thacker begins engagement on NISMOD-Int Resilience Analysis

The ITRC Mistral team like to develop an training program for new people that can also be utilised for training of NIC staff and NISMOD-Int stakeholders.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement within Mistral project: (28/10/2016) meeting regarding the software and architectural aspects of the modelling work on 28th October to be held at Cardiff University. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Engagement within Mistral project: Modassar Chaudry, Jianzhong Wu, and Meysam Qadrdan, all of Cardiff University, have arranged a meeting with William Usher and Tom Russell regarding the software and architectural aspects of the modelling work on 28th October 2016to be held at Cardiff University.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement within Mistral project: Review of Fast Track and future priorities 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact Meeting with Matt Ives, Jim Hall and Adrian Hickford to review Fast Track and future priorities (Own reference: Project 3.1: A general framework for national infrastructure assessment )
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engineering & Technology Magazine Articles '5G street fight' and 'Cities block 5G kiosks after doing rival deals' (01/10/2018 & 12/10/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Mark Ballard of the Engineering & Technology Magazine expressed an interest in the findings from the DfT analysis of digital connectivity requirements for Connected and Autonomous Vehicles. Ed Oughton of the ITRC was qouted in two articles; '5G street fight' and 'Cities block 5G kiosks after doing rival deals' (https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2018/10/cities-block-5g-kiosk-rollout-after-doing-rival-deals/)

An E&T article, '5G street fight' (https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2018/10/5g-street-fight/) reported public and private interests are vying to control comms infrastructure on city streets, so they can profit when next-gen mobile arrives.
In the follow on article, 'Cities block 5G kiosks after doing rival deals' (https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2018/10/cities-block-5g-kiosk-rollout-after-doing-rival-deals/) an E&T investigation has found those authorities with the greatest prospect of making millions of pounds from recent deals with rival comms companies have been most opposed to the BT rollout. They do not take a share of money made from BT's infrastructure.Some have refused all attempts BT has made to implement 'InLink' phone kiosks as part of its rollout of a national comms network - even though UK planning law does not allow them to oppose it.
Dr Edward Oughton, a leading researcher of national 5G infrastructure at the University of Oxford, said if one comms provider built a wireless and small-cell infrastructure and a rival built a network covering the same area, it would undermine their business model."Your capital is at risk if another operator comes in and takes the reward," he said. "It's going to have a significant impact." But he said: "BT are clearly going to scale up so that operators deal with them nationally and it starts to kill off the idea of their being small, regional, small cell providers."
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2018/10/cities-block-5g-kiosk-rollout-after-doing-rival-de...
 
Description Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) and UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) Infrastructure Roadmap - Energy - 1st Consultation Workshop (30/04/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) Infrastructure Roadmap: Energy
The Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) National Centre for Energy Systems Integration has been commissioned by EPSRC and UKRI to assist in the creation of the UK research and innovation infrastructure roadmap for Energy looking to the long term (2030).

Links:
https://www.ukri.org/research/infrastructure/
https://www.ncl.ac.uk/cesi/events/item/ukresearchandinnovationinfrastructureroadmapenergy.html

External participants:
National Centre for Energy Systems Integration (Newcastle University)

Internal participants:
ITRC/Mistral Energy Demand Group
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.ukri.org/research/infrastructure/
 
Description Evidence based infrastructure assessment framework (EBIDF) workshop including ITRC's presentation of 'NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework' (29/06/2017) (United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)). 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The meeting introduced various aspects of Urban, Transport and Traffic Planning. The article was broadcast on the local tv-station fully in the local language (link : https://youtu.be/sMlSuns1VnM).

Scott Thacker (the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)) gave the presentation describing 'NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework'.
Jade Leung, one of the ITRC's research team, has been working with UNOPS to develop a fast-track analysis of the infrastructure needs of the small island state of Curaçao, in the Caribbean, by the end of 2017. Curaçao's economy is likely to host greater numbers of tourists in the near future - the demand from extra visitors will exert significant pressure on national infrastructure systems, and, as a small island state, the risks associated with rising sea-levels need to be investigated.

Jade Leung will be piloting a new element of NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework. This will develop some standard themes and approaches for decision-makers to support them as they apply NISMOD-Int data to creating practical, workable responses to future infrastructure challenges.

External participants:
? Ciaretta Gianella Gianiza Profas, National Project Coordinator, Curaçao
? Zita Jesus-Leito, Minister di VVRP
? Sherwin Josepha, Servisio Di Obra Públiko

Internal participants:
- Thacker S
- Leung J
- Fuldauer L
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/fast-track-analysis-for-curacao/#.WqgUkmrFIdU
 
Description Evidence provided to the Institution for Civil Engineers (ICE) for their 5G information provision to the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) for its response to the National Needs Assessment (NNA) (18 July 2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The NIC requested evidence from the ICE 5G Infrastructure Panel for the NIC response to the National Needs Assessment (NNA). Evidence for the ICE was submitted by Ed Oughton of the ITRC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/getattachment/news-and-insight/policy/nic-consultation-on-5g/ICE-NIC-5G-Consu...
 
Description External Stakeholder Engagement: Quantifying the daily economic impact of extreme space weather due to failure in electricity transmission infrastructure: 14 October 2016 Key Note speech at European Space Weather Week 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Extreme space weather due to Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) has the potential to cause considerable disruption to the global economy by destroying the Extra High Voltage (EHV) transformers required to operate electricity transmission infrastructure. This could lead to large numbers of firms and consumers being left without electricity. Moreover, cascading failure can render other critical interdependent infrastructure systems inoperable affecting transport, digital communications, waste and water services. Yet, the direct and indirect economic costs posed by this threat remain under-researched. This is surprising given that insight into this subject is important for supporting the optimal allocation of limited resources across government and industry, especially for emergency response and mitigation planning. Moreover, these estimates can prove useful tools for stress testing the portfolio exposure of insurance companies under catastrophic scenarios as they bear the financial risk associated with business and supply chain interruption costs. In this paper a set of scenarios are developed to explore the uncertainty associated with EHV transformer damage levels in the USA. Using the World Input Output Database, the direct and indirect economic costs are estimated to provide insight into how an extreme event may affect other nations, via supply chain linkages, outside of the geographic footprint of the storm. The paper contributes to our understanding of the economic impact of extreme space weather, as well as making a number of key methodological contributions relevant for future work. The results provide evidence to support the cost-benefit analysis of further investment into space weather forecasting.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.stce.be/esww13/program/keynotes.php#K14-K1-3
 
Description External Stakeholder engagement: Department of Transport, International Transport Analysis Conference (ITAC) (25/11/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Simon Blainey will attend the International Transport Analysis Conference at Department of Transport (DfT) on 25 November 2016.
Conference objectives:
- Connect; bring together researchers, analysts, policy makers, and other parties to tackle joint research and policy problems
- Build a knowledge network; greater collaboration and research sharing across academia, sector experts, researchers and government analysts
- Co-operate; collaborative working opportunities such as placements and secondments

Internal participant/s
Blainey SP

External Participant/s
Department of Transport, International Transport Analysis Conference (ITAC)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description External Stakeholder: Department of Transport: Assessing Single Point Criticalities to Interdependent Infrastructure Networks at the National Scale (24/02/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact This was an end of project presentation, so the specific outcomes were to discuss the findings of the project with the DfT. Attendees: Andrew Murray CEng FIMechE; Accomplished Engineering & Operations Director, Network Rail
Tony Sawh; Stakeholder Manager, Network Rail
Tracy Catling; Aviation Strategy and Contingencies, Department of Transport
Simon Lancaster; Strategy Co-ordination and Programmes (SCP)
Sharon Sottin; SCP
Chris Watts; Deputy Director, National Security, Department of Transport
Robert Boscott; Transport Security and Operation Centre, Department of Transport
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description External stakeholder engagement with Andrew Holt (First Secretary Economic and Political, Head of Prosperity Team, the Embassy of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and North Ireland in Vietnam) and some of his team members. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 22/08/2016: Matt Ives (ITRC Mistral) and Rob Jones (United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)) will have a telephone conversation with Andrew Holt (First Secretary Economic and Political, Head of Prosperity Team, the Embassy of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and North Ireland in Vietnam) and some of his team members, following on from ITRC Mistral's presentation at the UN Conference in Bangkok regarding applicability of the National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) to their work in Southeast Asia.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Fast-Track Analysis discussions and high level meetings between United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) and Council of Ministers, Curaçao. (March 2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Further meetings are planned to discuss decisions with reference to infrastructure analysis for the Government of Curaçao

Link: http://www.gobiernu.cw/pap/notisia/komunikado/korsou-ta-bai-bira-mas-resistente-ku-unops/

External participant:
The Government of Curaçao

Internal pastricipants:
Adshead D.
Thacker S.
Fuldauer L.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://www.gobiernu.cw/pap/notisia/komunikado/korsou-ta-bai-bira-mas-resistente-ku-unops/
 
Description February 2016 & forward: Mistral Project Management meetings 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Monthly or bi-monthly meetings between ITRC MIstral team and Trevor Sway (United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)) commencing February 2016 and continuing. Meetings by videoconference method.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Flood and coastal risk management: long-term investment scenarios (LTIS) 2019 (Environment Agency Report, HM Government) (01/03/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
LTIS 2019 Section 8. 'The impacts of flooding'
LTIS analysis includes damage to properties as well as wider impacts of flooding. This is in line with flood and coastal erosion risk management (FCERM) options appraisal guidance and practice.
The Environment Agency worked with the University of Oxford (ITRC) to explore the impacts of flooding from rivers and the sea on transport and utilities infrastructure including: road, rail, electricity, gas, water.
The analysis included: sites, networks, the interdependencies between networks. The analysis did not have access to data about the resilience of individual sites. Consequently it was limited to describing the extent to which properties in England are served by infrastructure located in (or dependent on others in) areas at risk of flooding. We were unable to include telecommunications because data was not available.
This is ground-breaking work using a unique set of national infrastructure modelling tools.

Being part of an 'open and collaborative approach' of national and international experts LTIS 2019 significantly improves the Government's understanding of: the potential impacts to infrastructure without resilience, and how these impacts can be used to improve investment modelling.
Confidence in LTIS assessment of these wider impacts has improved. This allows them to be better represented within the LTIS optimisation calculations. The effect of this on optimum investment in the baseline scenario is: an increase in net present value (NPV) from £101 billion to about £220 billion, the overall benefit to cost ratio increases from about 5 to 1, to about 9 to 1, and a revision of the optimum level of investment upwards from a long-term annual average of £860 million to £933 million, which would increase risk reduction from 12% to about 15%

Twitter feed: Daniel Johns? @DanielJ88 · Feb 28 (Head of Public Affairs @AnglianWater ) @EnvAgency fires the starting pistol on this year's govt #spendingreview by publishing new #floods long-term investment scenarios.

'Dredging Today' https://www.dredgingtoday.com/2019/03/01/new-study-on-flood-defenses-in-the-uk/ 'The Environment Agency has just released a new economic assessment to aid planning for flooding and coastal risk management over the next 50 years. The study uses new climate change, population and mapping data to set out potential future scenarios, assessing how funding could be best allocated to meet these challenges.' https://www.dredgingtoday.com/2019/03/01/new-study-on-flood-defenses-in-the-uk/

Link: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/flood-and-coastal-risk-management-in-england-long-term-investment/long-term-investment-scenarios-ltis-2019#the-impacts-of-flooding

External participant: The Environment Agency, UK Government

Internal participants:
Zorn C.
ITRC Group
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/flood-and-coastal-risk-management-in-england-long-term-in...
 
Description Forecasting the throughput of the United Kingdom deep water container seaports up to 2050; Siga2 2018 Conference 'Maritime and Ports' (03/05/2018 - 04/05/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Siga2 2018 Conference 'Maritime and Ports'. The Special Interest Group A2 (Ports and Maritime) of the World Conference on Transport Research Society (WCTRS).
The conference featured presentations that deal with a topic that can be considered to be at current a key development in the port and maritime business, either at management, operational or policy level. The ITRC/Mistral presentation covered: Forecasting the throughput of the United Kingdom deep water container seaports up to 2050.

Internal participants:
Buitrago Moreno M
Preston J

External participants:
Jan Hoffmann; Group A2 Chair
Prof. Thierry Vanelslander (Department of Transport and Regional Economics - University of Antwerp / TransportNET), Conference Co-chair
Prof. Enrico Musso (Department of Quantitative Methods - University of Genova / TransportNET), Conference Co-chair
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.uantwerpen.be/en/conferences/siga2-2018-conference/specific-features/#
 
Description Fulai Sheng of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) was contacted by Steve Crosskey of UNOPS to confirm a 90 minute presentation, and hands on demonstration, of certain key aspects of the NISMOD-Int tool through a scenario based activity to be presented by Dr. Thacker (UNOPS, ITRC). (19/09/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Steve Crosskey of UNOPS contacted Fulai Sheng of UNEP to confirm that, after their telephone conversation on 18/09/2018, expressing that they have many areas in common with their working goals. The aspect of long term planning under deep uncertainty is maybe of interest for the Turin workshop, and Steve Crosskey would be happy to arrange a 90 minute session of presentation, and hand on demonstration of certain key aspects of the tool through a scenario based activity. Dr. Thacker (ITRC UNOPS Lead, based in Oxford) from Steve Crosskey's unit would come and deliver the presentation. Further presentations from a report from NISMOD use in Curaçao that can be shared (as well as similar for CAT-I in Brazil.) Some sensitivity around results of assessments, so explicit permission to share results must be obtained which sometimes makes putting together case studies difficult.
A follow up email on 20/09/2018 from Beibei Gu to Steve Crosskey (both of UNOPS) thanked him for sharing the Evidence-Based Infrastructure (http://ebidf.org/) framework and the relevant tool package. Ms Gu found it to be very helpful and certainly relevant to the target audience of the UNOPS Turin training. Ms Gu suggested a follow-up discussion with Mr Crosskey on the proposed session, and also to share a bit of session flow? Given that the Turin participants are mid- and senior-level policymakers, there is a need to be as interactive as possible to stimulate exchanges.
Mr Crosskeys followed the last email up on the same day (20/09/2018) to progress the discussions to include Dr Thacker by holding an 'in person' meeting (flying in from Copenhagen on Thursday 11th October, and returning the same day).

External particpants:
? Fulai Sheng; Head, Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
? Steve Crosskey; Head of IPM Strategic Initiatives, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS Headquarters
? Beibei Gu; Consultant at United Nations Environmental Programme

Internal participant:
Thacker S.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Future of Utilities Summit. The UK's Leading Energy & Water Summit. (25/03/2019 - 26/03/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Panel discussion raising the following points...
Continually adapting to climate change and reducing the industry's carbon footprint
• Improving industry wide incident response: is collaboration the key?
• How feasible is it to target an incident free future?
• To what extent does a focus on sustainability change the industry's supply of capital?
• How important will domestic customers' behaviour be in the journey towards a sustainable utilities industry?
• What makes an effective customer awareness programme? How should it be adjusted for I&C customers?
• Should resilience programmes be compulsory?
• What lessons for compliance and approaches to long-term planning can be learnt from abroad?

Link: X:\IMPACT\MISTRAL Impact\Impact Tracker evidence\GZA39_FoU_Summit_Brochure.pdf
Link: https://marketforcelive.com/future-of-utilities/events/utilities-summit/

External participants:
- Steven Thompson, Environmental Sustainability Manager, National Grid
- Randolph Brazier, Head of Innovation & Development, Energy Networks Association
- Alison Hoyle, Asset Resilience and Compliance Director, Southern Water

Internal participant:
Hall J.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://marketforcelive.com/future-of-utilities/events/utilities-summit
 
Description Future research meetings to discuss NIC engagement elements: transport model, new strategies; additional issues with water & solid waste models (21/03/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC on 21/03/2017 to discuss
? Transport model, new strategies
? Additional issues with water & solid waste models
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Future research meetings to discuss NIC engagement elements: water, wastewater and waste models (15/03/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist), Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser), and Jack Large (Intern) from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives on 15/03/2017 to discuss
? Water model questions
? Wastewater link to water model
? Packages & visualisation
? New solid waste strategies and separating LACW and C&I from MSW outputs
Outcome - further combined research
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Future solar storm could cause devastating damage. (18/10/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Science magazine article: 'Future solar storm could cause devastating damage.. A new model suggests a major such event in 150 years could equal the current U.S. GDP'
Some scientists question the model's predictions. "Estimating the economic impact is challenging now, let alone in over a century," says Edward Oughton, a research associate at the University of Cambridge's Center for Risk Studies. Yet he warns that uncertainty should not deter us from practical preparations, such as making power grids more resilient and improving early-warning systems.

External participants:
Jeremy Hsu, Freelance science and technology journalist
Scientific American readership
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/future-solar-storms-could-cause-devastating-damage/
 
Description Future technical change and renewable energy technology (14/11/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Jim Watson of the ITRC met with the NIC with reference to future technical change and renewable energy technology.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Geographical Information Science Research UK (GISRUK) "From Data to Decisions": Spatial Interaction Modelling for Large-Scale Infrastructure Projects (23/04/2019 - 26/04/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
We propose a modelling methodology for exploring and quantifying the impact of large-scale infrastructure changes on internal migration. Choosing measures of the potential emissiveness and attractiveness of geographical units and how the proposed infrastructure changes these values (e.g. housing stock), a spatial interaction model can be used to compute changes to future population distributions.

The GISRUK conferences have the following aims:
- to act as a focus for GIS research in the UK, while welcoming researchers from Europe and beyond
- to provide a mechanism for the announcement and publication of GIS research
- to act as an interdisciplinary forum for the discussion of research ideas
- to promote active collaboration amongst researchers from diverse parent disciplines
- to provide a framework in which young researchers (including students) can see their work in a national and international
context

External participant:
Robson C

Internal participants:
Smith A
Lomax N

Link: https://github.com/geospatialncl/gisruk2019_papers/raw/master/papers/presentations_full/Session4/TrackA/GISRUK_2019_paper_52.pdf
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://github.com/geospatialncl/gisruk2019_papers/raw/master/papers/presentations_full/Session4/Tra...
 
Description Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF) Infrastructure for Sustainable Development Hub. Feedback request to the Inter American Development Bank (IADB) on the ITRC/Mistral proposal for the IADB to be named as a potential collaborator. November 2017 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Email between Prof Jim Hall and Mr Hendrik Meller (Advisor for Sustainable Infrastructure and Climate Change in Latin America and the Caribbean in the Environmental Safeguards Unit of the Inter-American Development Bank(IADB)) to propose a meeting in Washington (USA) to discuss a proposal for the IADB to become a collaborator for the Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF) Infrastructure for Sustainable Development Hub.
Externals:
Hendrik Meller, (hendrikm@IADB.ORG), Advisor for Sustainable Infrastructure and Climate Change in Latin America and the Caribbean in the Environmental Safeguards Unit, Inter-American Development Bank
Graham George Watkins, (GWATKINS@iadb.org) Principal Environmental Specialist, Inter-American Development Bank
Tomas Sebastian Serebrisky, (TSEREBRISKY@iadb.org) Principal Economic Advisor , Inter-American Development Bank
Maria Cecilia Ramirez Bello, (mcramirez@IADB.ORG) Infrastructure specialist, Inter-American Development Bank
Giovanni Leo Frisari, (giovannif@IADB.ORG) Climate Change Economist, Inter-American Development Bank
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.rcuk.ac.uk/funding/gcrf/interdisciplinary-research-hubs-to-address-intractable-challenges...
 
Description Government Office for Science Foresight Project - Future of Mobility (November 2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The Government Office for Science, led by the Government Chief Scientific Advisor, Sir Mark Walport, is starting a Foresight project on the Future of Mobility. We are very keen to speak with you to get your thoughts on this high profile project that will bring together the latest academic research to impact on future policy in government.

The latest academic research is vital to help shape future policy making in the cross-cutting area of Mobility. Foresight projects last about 12 months and previous futures projects have included Population Ageing, Cities and Manufacturing (for more information please follow https://www.foresight.gov.uk). A key element of this work on transport will
be to analyse the existing scientific landscape, using the best available data, to build a robust evidence base on how transport demands and provision could look in 2040. In particular, a detailed investigation into the status quo, current trends and identification of drivers of change will be conducted. Social, demographic, economic and technological trends will be considered to develop a set of transport futures, projecting 25/30 years into the future. The project will also work with policymakers to consider what this evidence base means for policy development in their area.

Infrastructure systems is an area that we are very keen to explore and having identified yourself as an expert in this field, I would be very interested to see if this is an area where you can help. We are especially keen to find out more about the work of the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium.

ITRC Mistral participant/s: John Preston and Simon Blainey

External participant/s:
Dr Jon Keating, Foresight Project Research Officer, Government Office for Science (Go-Science)
Jones Rebecca, Team Leader, Demography and Ageing, Government Office for Science (Go-Science)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/future-of-mobility
 
Description Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP) Annual Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure, Washington DC. Parallel Session C2, Adaptation and Long Term Decision-Making (27/11/2017 - 28/11/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: A two-day conference bringing together the best researchers in the field of interdisciplinary projects, researchers working on specific aspects of the infrastructure agenda, both from the academic world and from more policy-oriented backgrounds, to take stock of recent advances and challenges around the infrastructure agenda.
In addition Prof JW Hall sat on the Scientific Committee,

Links:
? http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/Presentation_C2_Pant.pdf
? http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/GGKP_Fifth_Annual_Conference%20Report.pdf

Internal participants:
Pant, R.
Thacker, S.
Hall, J.W.

External participants:
? World Bank
? Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP)
? Chair: Arame Tall, Climate Change, World Bank
? Discussant: Joe Grice, Office of National Statistics, United Kingdom
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/Presentation_C2_Pant.pdf
 
Description Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP) Annual Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure, Washington DC. Parallel Session D2 Adaptation and Flooding (27/11/2018 - 28/11/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: A two-day conference bringing together the best researchers in the field of interdisciplinary projects, researchers working on specific aspects of the infrastructure agenda, both from the academic world and from more policy-oriented backgrounds, to take stock of recent advances and challenges around the infrastructure agenda.
In addition Prof JW Hall sat on the Scientific Committee for this conference.

Links:
? http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/D2_Hu.pdf
? http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/GGKP_Fifth_Annual_Conference%20Report.pdf

Internal participants:
Pant, R.
Hall, J.W.
Hu, X.
Lim, W.H.
Lu, X.

External participants:
? World Bank
? Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP)
? Session Chair: K. Vijaya Lakshmi, Development Alternatives
? Discussant: Jaco Tavenier, Oragnisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/D2_Hu.pdf
 
Description Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP) Annual Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure, Washington DC. Plenary Session: Going with the Flow: Water Infrastructure and Sustainable Development (27/11/2018 - 28/11/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: A two-day conference bringing together the best researchers in the field of interdisciplinary projects, researchers working on specific aspects of the infrastructure agenda, both from the academic world and from more policy-oriented backgrounds, to take stock of recent advances and challenges around the infrastructure agenda.
In addition, Prof Hall was a member of the Scientific Committee.

Link:
? http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/GGKP_Fifth_Annual_Conference%20Report.pdf

Internal participant:
Hall J.W.

External participants:
? World Bank
? Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP)
? Session Chair: Guang Zhe Chen, Water Global Practice, World Bank
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/GGKP_Fifth_Annual_Conference%20Report.pdf
 
Description Guardian Newspaper Online. Live Q&A post the Habitat III conference in 2016 (Quito): How shall we plan the cities of the future? 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Media event to address the following questions arising from the Habitat III conference.
What do we need to do to build the cities of the future? Join an expert panel on Thursday 24 November, 2-3.30pm GMT, to discuss.
At the end of October, after the Habitat III conference, the UN formally adopted a new plan for cities that was two years in the making. The New Urban Agenda will guide urban policy at every level for the next twenty years. So how do we start putting the vision into practice?
There are many questions around how to implement the new agenda. How do cities of the future should promote civic engagement? How can we make sure that our cities are spaces where girls and women can achieve their full potential? And as the world is rapidly ageing, how do we make sure cities are built in a way that promotes mobility and access for older people?
Join an expert panel on Thursday 24 November, from 2pm to 3.30pm GMT, to discuss these questions and more.
The expert panel included Scott Thacker, research scientist, Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. Scott's research focuses on modelling the function and performance of infrastructure systems.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.theguardian.com/global-development-professionals-network/2016/nov/21/live-qa-how-shall-w...
 
Description HM Govt. Infrastructure and climate change report (Postnote 621) (27/03/2020) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Key infrastructure areas such as transport, energy, water and telecoms are vital to society and the economy. Evidence suggests that climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, posing a risk to infrastructure systems. This POSTnote looks at the main climate-related risks to the UK's economic infrastructure, measures to reduce these risks and the main challenges to implementing resilience measures.

The ITRC is referenced by the following articles (*reports produced referencing ITRC):
4. National Infrastructure Commission (2018). National Infrastructure Assessment. *
12. National Infrastructure Commission (2019). Resilience Study: Scoping Responses. *
26. National Infrastructure Commission (2018). Preparing for a drier future. *
36. Pant, R. et al. (2016). Analysing the risks of failure of interdependent infrastructure networks. in The Future of National Infrastructure. (eds. Hall, J. W. et al.) 241-267. Cambridge University Press.
39. Hall, J. W. et al. (2016). Introducing national infrastructure assessment. in The Future of National Infrastructure. (eds. Hall, J. W. et al.) 3-11. Cambridge University Press.
41. Hall, J. W. et al. (2014). Assessing the Long-Term Performance of Cross-Sectoral Strategies for National Infrastructure. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, Vol 20, 04014014.
49. Thacker, S. et al. (2017). System-of-systems formulation and disruption analysis for multi-scale critical national infrastructures. Reliability Engineering & System Safety,
Vol 167, 30-41.
119. Hall, J. W. et al. (2019). Adaptation thresholds and pathways for tidal flood risk management in London. Climate Risk Management, Vol 24, 42-58.
127. DAFNI : Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure. (Chair of Governance Board, Prof J.W. Hall)

External participants:
The Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology, Westminster, London SW1A 0AA
Cabinet Office
Defra
HM Treasury
Members of the POST Board

Internal participants:
J.W. Hall
ITRC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/POST-PN-0621/POST-PN-0621.pdf
 
Description HS2: the planned high-speed railway linking London and cities in the Midlands and North of England. Understanding resilience to climate change. (01/04/2016 - 28/06/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact In April 2016 Dr Raghav Pant and Dr Scott Thacker from the Environmental Change Institute (ECI) at the School of Geography and the Environment asked the Consulting Services team at Oxford University Innovation for help with a complex collaborative project. The objective was to assess the possible impacts of climate change on interdependent systems along HS2 - the planned high-speed railway linking London, Birmingham, the East Midlands, Leeds, Sheffield and Manchester. The project was managed by JBA Consulting - a group of engineers, environmental consultants, designers and scientists who for the last 20 years have been committed to improving the natural and built environment - and alongside the ECI team also included professionals from the Met Office.

With OUI's assistance, contracts and invoicing arrangements were put in place, and the work got underway. Raghav and Scott's insights enabled the project to make practical, science-based judgements based on world-leading techniques established by the University of Oxford's Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium. Together, they led the development of a comprehensive methodology to assist civil engineers and designers in accounting for climate change interdependencies when designing the HS2 route. In particular, they developed and implemented methods for describing the interdependencies; created a risk-based approach for assessing the impact of climate change on HS2 interdependencies; and prescribed a methodology for categorising, assessing and prioritising any HS2 vulnerabilities arising from these interdependencies.

Their work established a system-of-systems approach that provides HS2 with a holistic understanding of risk attributable to other interdependent utilities such as electricity, gas, water, etc. In a nutshell, it is a comprehensive climate change risk assessment of interdependent infrastructures, which is an intrinsic part of HS2 Ltd's commitment to creating a resilient high-speed railway network.

Internal participants: Pant R; Thacker, S

External participants: JBA Consulting

? Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/hs2-understanding-resilience-to-climate-change/
? Link: https://innovation.ox.ac.uk/university-members/engaging-social-sciences/first-class-ticket-climate-change-resilience/
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://innovation.ox.ac.uk/university-members/engaging-social-sciences/first-class-ticket-climate-c...
 
Description HSBC Bank plc requested (by email) the use of quotes from the ITRC report: 'Exploring the cost, coverage and rollout implications of 5G in Britain' on 27/03/2018. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Quotes permitted. Access to the journal paper agreed.
Stephen Howard of the HSBC Bank plc contacted the ITRC to request use of quotes from 'Exploring the cost, coverage and rollout implications of 5G in Britain'* for a telecoms analysis report. All references would be attributed to ITRC-MISTRAL.

Additionally, Dr Oughton offered to present the ITRC's research, at the Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS) 5G investor relations event in mid-March, to the HSBC Bank plc team, and discuss their thinking on the topic, from the viewpoint of working on the business model and revenue aspects. During the presentation Dr Oughton wished to indicate the need to use cases and revenue gains, as against the current mentions of CapEx alone, which is very concerning.

*(Oughton, E.J., and Frias, Z. (2016) Exploring the cost, coverage and rollout implications of 5G in Britain: A report for the UK's National Infrastructure Commission. Centre for Risk Studies, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge) https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/577965/Exploring_the_Cost_Coverage_and_Rollout_Implications_of_5G_in_Britain_-_Oughton_and_Frias_report_for_the_NIC.pdf

External participant:
Stephen Howard, Global Head of Telecoms, Media & Technology Research, HSBC Bank plc

Internal participant:
ITRC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Habitat 3 (United Nations): Quito, Ecuador: 17-20 October 2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact To co-present a session about the work of National Infrastructure Systems Model International (NISMOD-Int) at this summit, Habitat III (also known as the United Nations Conference on Housing and Sustainable Urban Development). This is global gathering, bringing together many of the world's most influential urbanists. Habitat III, so-called because it is the third in a very-occasional series of conferences on the theme (the last, Habitat II, was held in Istanbul in 1996), set forth what it calls The New Urban Agenda, meant to manage urban development for the next two decades.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Thacker S

External participant/s:
Jon Liden; United Nations Office for Project Services, UNOPS
Luke Raggatt; Digital Communications Lead, UNOPS
Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS
Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS
Bruce McKerrow; Global Practice Leader, UNOPS
Rob Jones; Head of Programme Delivery in the State of Palestine with UNOPS
CPG Partnerships Copenhagen Personnel, UNOPS
CPG Communications Personnel, UNOPS
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://urbandemos.nyu.edu/dispatch-from-habitat-iii-in-quito-ecuador-october-2016/
 
Description ITRC Infrastructure Analysis: OxCam Arc: Evaluating impact of local, regional and national choices on sustainable future options (20/11/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact This consultation and dissemination event will combine a presentation of the ITRC's new analysis of the Arc with keynote presentations from stakeholders in the initiative. Panel discussions with tackle the complex challenges implied by the Arc. We aim to demonstrate the capabilities of the UK's universities (inside and outside the Arc) to add value and insight to this complex and contested initiative. We will provide scenarios that stimulate discussion and models that can be used to explore possible futures and navigate trade-offs.

External participants:
Paul Leinster, CBE, Professor of Environmental Assessment at Cranfield University, previously Chief Executive of the Environment Agency.
Bev Hindle, Director of the Oxfordshire Growth Board, Director of the Oxford to Cambridge Arc Leaders and Chief Executive groups.

Internal participants:
J.W. hall
Alison Smith
Dr. Simon Blainey
Dr. Modassar Chaudry
Lahiru Jayasuriya
Dr. Ed Oughton
Dr Alistair Ford
Dr Nik Lomax
Prof Stuart Barr

Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/consultation-dissemination-event-november-2019/
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/consultation-dissemination-event-november-2019
 
Description ITRC paper 'Engineering for Sustainable Development' requested for use as part of the learning programme for engineers about the SDGs (17/10/2018 & 24/10/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
ICE were offered the ITRC report "Infrastructure: underpinning sustainable development", which will include detailed explanations of the influences between infrastructure and all 17 SDGs. Accompanying each SDG , the ITRC/UNOPS demonstrate the influences using real-world civil engineering projects. Release date Wednesday the 24th of October.


24/10/2018:Foreward to Conference: DR. MARLENE KANGA, AM FTSE Hon.FIEAust Hon.FIChemE, PRESIDENT, World Federation of Engineering Organisations
The World Federation of Engineering Organisations (WFEO) is proud to be leading the celebration of engineering as part of the bicentenary of the Institution of Civil Engineers, a national member of the Federation representing the UK, and to also celebrate the 50th anniversary of the founding of WFEO.
Their Triennial Statement states, in part: The SDGs were developed to address these challenges. They set out a 'bold and transformative plan of action which could shift the world onto a sustainable and resilient path, leaving no one behind.' Using the SDGs as our framework, and the GEC as our launchpad, we intend to bring about transformative change in the way that infrastructure is designed, built and maintained.

ITRC/UNOPS presentations:
'Supporting evidence-based infrastructure development worldwide. Overview of Evidence Based Infrastructure (EBI)'. Nick O'Regan, Director of infrastructure and project management, UNOPS
'Introduction to tools'. Jim Hall, Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford
'Highlighting specifically technical developments (tools) within EBI and case-study applications: NISMOD-Int, Curacao and CAT-I'. Scott Thacker, UNOPS & ITRC; Steven Crosskey, UNOPS

Scott Thacker, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) 'Global Opportunities for Infrastructure Intelligence' slide presentation
Presentation covered many aspects including:
Opportunity - To identify adaptable pathways to sustainable development - Large quantities of infrastructure still to be built [estimated $57 trillion 2013 - 2030]
Risk - Long-term lock-in to unstainable technologies and practices - Inaction
Solution - Evidence and intelligence required to harness this opportunity and avoid the risk. To underpin policy and business cases and provide confidence to investors
Conclusions -Infrastructure is central for achieving sustainable development
The opportunity is reliant on evidence and intelligence
New datasets, methodologies and case studies are emerging
Still lots to be done to satisfy the global need
With Data and Analytics Facility National Infrastructure (DAFNI), the UK can be at the forefront of realising this global future.

INFRASTRUCTURE LAYS FOUNDATIONS FOR SDG SUCCESS
New Oxford University-UNOPS report stresses infrastructure as key to unlocking Sustainable Development Goals.
A new report published today by the University of Oxford-led Infrastructure Transition Research Consortium (ITRC) and UNOPS, has found that efficient infrastructure policy and disciplined investment decisions are vital for attaining the SDGs.
The report, Infrastructure: Underpinning Sustainable Development, is the result of extensive research into the influence that both 'networked infrastructure' (water, waste, energy, digital communications and transport infrastructure) and 'non-networked infrastructure' (buildings and facilities) have on all 17 SDGs. It highlights the need to understand infrastructure as an integrated system of systems - the interdependencies across sectors requires us to break down the 'silo mentality' in infrastructure development.
Focusing on real-life projects implemented by UNOPS around the world, the report finds that infrastructure projects can have multiple effects across several SDGs and their targets. It found that networked infrastructure influences 72 percent of SDG targets, while non-networked infrastructure influences 81 percent of targets - reinforcing the pivotal role that infrastructure will play towards attaining the SDGs.
Introducing the report, UNOPS Executive Director Grete Faremo said: "Infrastructure, in particular, underpins all of the SDGs. It plays a critical role in society because it can influence development far into the future - both positively and negatively. This is why it is vital to understand the influence that infrastructure systems have on the SDGs.
"We are proud to present this report together with Oxford/ITRC, and to reaffirm our commitment to helping people build better lives and countries achieve peace and sustainable development."
The launch of the report coincides with the 2018 Global Engineering Conference, hosted by the Institution of Civil Engineers in London, starting today.
UNOPS Director of Infrastructure and Project Management, Mr Nick O'Regan, will present the report during a keynote speech on Wednesday 24 October 2018. He will explore how rapid population growth, urbanization, climate change and challenges associated with development funding impact on achieving the SDGs.
"Our children and the children of those we serve have great expectations of their future, it is on all of us to create an environment that is resilient, sustainable and equitable - and the built environment can be an enabler or an obstacle to this," said Mr O'Regan.
"Together with our partners the ITRC, we have focused on the SDGs as a common framework to work towards an understanding of how we can contribute to sustainable development. This will help governments, and their development partners make better-informed decisions within this uncertainty," he said.
Professor of Climate and Environmental Risk, University of Oxford, Professor Jim W Hall FREng added: "Though our research started from a sustainability perspective, in particular the central role that infrastructure has in climate change mitigation and adaptation, our work has attracted growing attention from finance ministries and infrastructure units that tend to be focused on the role of infrastructure in economic growth and productivity."
"In that sense, infrastructure can be a 'Trojan horse' that brings sustainability considerations within the purview of the economic imperatives of most governments.
"The collaboration between ITRC and UNOPS has been a very productive one, with UNOPS bringing us new challenges from very diverse contexts around the world and opportunities for our work to have an impact on the ground, which is what motivates my team. This report provides a next important step in that journey."

In addition, the press circulation was:
Name: Job title: Media outlet
Matt McGrath; Environment Corresponden;t BBC
Christian Knutson; Podcast Host; Civil Engineering podcast
Sarah George; Reporter; Edie
Olivia Minnock; Content Editor; Energy Digital
Bernadette Ballantyne; Podcast Host; Engineering Matters podcast
Peter Reina; Europe Correspondent; London Engineering News Record
Terry Slavin; Editor Ethical; Corporation
Rob Horgan; News Editor; New Civil Engineer
Connor Ibbetson; Reporter; New Civil Engineer
Sam Sholli; Reporter; New Civil Engineer
Isabella Kaminski; Freelancer

Links: https://www.slideshare.net/UKCIP/global-opportunities-for-infrastructure-intelligence
https://www.ice.org.uk/ICEDevelopmentWebPortal/media/Events/Conferences/GEC-Programme-107.pdf
https://www.ice.org.uk/ICEDevelopmentWebPortal/media/Events/Conferences/GLOBAL-ENGINEERING-CONGRESS-BROCHURE.pdf

External participants:
? Hannah Besford, ICE Learns (Knowledge) Team - Project Manager
? Steve Crosskey, UNOPS
? Dr. Marlene Kanga, AM FTSE Hon.FIEAust Hon.FIChemE, President, World Federation of Engineering Organisations
? Nick O'Regan, Director of infrastructure and project management, UNOPS
? Zita Jesus-Leito, Minister of Traffic, Transportation and Urban Planning, Curaçao

Internal participants:
Thacker S.
Hall J.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/infrastructure-lays-foundation-for-sdg-success/
 
Description ITRC press release quote - NISMOD Water Model Link to NIC (10/05/2018 - 11/05/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Sarah Southerton of the NIC was advised by Matt Ives of a link to the NIC the Oxford Science Blog (http://www.ox.ac.uk/news/science-blog) that should go out on the 10th or 11th of May 2018 promoting the ITRC/Mistral's new NISMOD water model manuscript (https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/wej.12352). This article will not make use of the quote but mentions the use of this water model in the NIC work (with a link to your publication). Apparently the Oxford Science Blog has 20,000 readers so some additional exposure.

? Outputs & outcomes:
Additional exposure of the NISMOD Water model to apparently 20,000 readers of the Oxford Science Blog.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description ITRC-MISTRAL 2020 Webinar series 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The webinars highlighted projects and collaborations at national, regional and local scale; including with the UK's National Infrastructure Commission, the Government of St Lucia, UNOPS and Oxford-Cambridge Arc leaders. The webinar series also celebrated consortium achievements as ITRC moved into its next phase with NISMOD moving to a new home at the DAFNI. There is a summary of the webinars available on the ITRC website that includes concise blogs, session recordings and speaker bios.

Each session produced a stimulating debate and a lot of information was shared between senior industry figures, policy makers, academics and sector practitioners. New links were made and discussions about further collaboration have been held.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/event/itrc-webinar-series-launches-2/
 
Description ITRC/Mistral showcase meeting to inform Willis Tower Watson, with discussions for future collaborations (07/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Future collaborations likely.

External participants: Willis Tower Watson

Internal participants: ITRC/Mistral Team for 'Risk and Resilience'
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description ITRC/UNOPS launch of the report "Infrastructure: underpinning sustainable development". Given at a professional event for 4000 engineers in London (GEC)- see page 3 of the programme, in which the ITRC will launch a report produced as part of a collaborative partnership between the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) and the University of Oxford-led Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC). (19/10/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
ITRC/UNOPS launch of the report "Infrastructure: underpinning sustainable development". Given at a professional event for 4000 engineers in London (GEC)- see page 3 of the programme, in which the ITRC will launch a report produced as part of a collaborative partnership between the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) and the University of Oxford-led Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC).
The report foreward was given by Ms. Grete Faremo, Under-Secretary-General, and UNOPS Executive Director.
This report was produced as part of a collaborative partnership between the United Nations Office for Project Services - UNOPS and the University of Oxford-led Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC). Through a systematic evaluation process, it presents and explains the ability for infrastructure to influence all 17 of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), including almost all of their targets. Accompanying these explanations are a rich set of examples that show how infrastructure projects, implemented by UNOPS and its partners, are helping to advance the 2030 Agenda in a variety of countries and contexts around the world. In doing so, it provides new and important evidence that highlights the central role of infrastructure in achieving the SDGs and in underpinning sustainable development.

https://www.itrc.org.uk/infrastructure-lays-foundation-for-sdg-success/

External participants:
Ms. Grete Faremo, Under-Secretary-General, and UNOPS Executive Director
Steven Crosskey, Head of IPM Strategic Initiatives, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS Headquarters, Copenhagen, Denmark
Luke Raggatt, UNOPS
Tom COLLINS, UNOPS
Press office of the Institute of Civil Engineering ( ICE): Elodie Huiban, Rob Curd, Vienn McMasters vienn.mcmasters@ice.org.uk
Catherine Dhanjal, TheAnswer Ltd
Press release recipients:
Matt McGrath, Environment Correspondent, BBC
Christian Knutson, Podcast Host, Civil Engineering podcast
Sarah George, Reporter, Edie
Olivia Minnock, Content Editor, Energy Digital
Bernadette Ballantyne, Podcast Host, Engineering Matters podcast
Peter Reina, Europe Correspondent, London Engineering News Record
Terry Slavin, Editor, Ethical Corporation
Rob Horgan, News Editor, New Civil Engineer
Connor Ibbetson, Reporter, New Civil Engineer
Sam Sholli, Reporter, New Civil Engineer
Isabella Kaminski, Freelancer

Internal participants:
Thacker S.
Hall J.W.
University of Oxford Media unit:
Lanisha Butterfield, Stuart Gillespie, Christopher McIntyre

Reported:
24/10/2018 - journal article: 'MBSN: Market Business News' https://marketbusinessnews.com/sustainable-development-goals/189238/
22/10/2018 - Press Release from Oxford University. 'INFRASTRUCTURE LAYS FOUNDATIONS FOR SDG SUCCESS. New Oxford University-UNOPS report stresses infrastructure as key to unlocking Sustainable Development Goals.'
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/infrastructure-lays-foundation-for-sdg-success/
 
Description Infrastructure Impacts Analysis for the NIC Flood Risk Analysis required by the UK Govt. Chancellor's October 2018 Budget speech (13/12/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Start 14/12/2018
Email: From Mike Steel (Flood and Coastal Risk Management - Expert Advisor, NIC). To Scott Thacker of Oxford Infrastructure Analytics (OIA).
"Tom Bradbury at NIC is very interested in the analysis you did for our Long Term Investment Scenarios (LTIS)* work as the NIC have a new commission to look at resilience (see link below)
So this email is just to make the connection but I suspect Tom would like to discuss it with you at some point - and I'm very pleased it is proving so relevant."

From Scott Thacker to Mike Steel and Tom Bradbury 19/12/2018
"Good to hear from you and of this interest in the work. Everything is well here - currently tying up a number of threads pre-Christmas . I hope that all is well with you and your team.Many thanks for making this connection.@ Tom - very happy to discuss at any point. I am between London and Oxford, so either by phone or face-to-face can work - let me know."

From Scott Thacker to Jim Hall and Raghav Pant both also of OIA; 20/12/2018
"As an update, I went to the NIC today to present this work (to Tom Bradbury).
He was impressed and will be in touch in the new year to discuss how this analysis can be utilised/extended to be incorporated within the forthcoming NIC resilience study. They are currently scoping methods for this and are struggling to find anything that connects the infrastructure risk with economic loss estimation (for adaptation) - so we are well placed here. I will keep you updated as I hear more."

Outcomes synopsis at 07/01/2019:
*Long Term Investment Scenarios (LTIS). These are the investment scenarios that the Environment Agency (EA) put together to optimise flood defence expenditure for England.
The National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) have been asked by the Chancellor, in his October 2018 budget, to undertake a resilience analysis for the UK. So far, this work described above, is as close to what they want as exists. As such, we expect to undertake some consultancy/research work for them in the coming months.

External participants:
Mike Steel; Expert Advisor, Flood and Coastal Risk Management, National Infrastructure Commission (NIC)
Thomas Bradbury; Flood Risk Expert, National Infrastructure Commission (NIC)

Internal participants:
Thacker S
Hall JW
Pant R
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Infrastructure assessments, comparison of modelling approaches by the Greater London Authority (21/08/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact From Jeremy Skinner, Head of Economic Growth, Greater London Authority:
Both James Stewart at KPMG and Professor Brian Collins at UCL have mentioned some of the work that you'd been doing with the National Infrastructure Commission and I wanted to get in touch to understand a bit more about the approach you are taking.
I lead the team in London that produced the 2050 London infrastructure plan in 2014 and subsequent updates for which more information can be found here.
But more specifically, we have been working with an SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) called Greenwood Strategic Advisors to develop a system dynamics based approach to modelling policy and investment decisions in the capital, an approach which the same firm is deploying for Boston and Frankfurt. I thought I'd get in touch to see if there were any resonances with the work that you have been doing work, an overview of which would be much appreciated in any case.

Response from Professor Jim Hall:
The approach that we have developed, which is discussed in our book The Future of National Infrastructure, is a combination of:
1. Systems modelling of infrastructure networks: energy, transport, digital, water, waste, flood risk management
2. Decision analysis to explore the implications of future scenarios (e.g. population growth, climate change) and sequence policies and investments going into the future.
The first phase of our ITRC research programme focussed at a national scale, and developed the NISMOD model, which is now being used by the National Infrastructure Commission for the National Infrastructure Assessment. We also used NISMOD to inform the National Needs Assessment led by Sir John Armitt. A short paper on that work is attached.
The current phase of our programme is called MISTRAL and is operating at multiple spatial scales, including the city scale, as well as exploring opportunities to transfer the technologies globally.
I've interacted with the GLA in a number of different contexts over the years, including in relation to adaptation to climate change, water and flooding.
I'd be happy to follow up with a telephone conversation or meeting next time I'm in London to explore potential connections with the GLA.

Appended Document: Jim W. Hall, Scott Thacker, Matt C. Ives, Yue Cao, Strategic analysis of the future of national infrastructure. Civil Engineering Volume 170 Issue CE1 pp 39-47

Internal participant:
Hall J

External participants:
Jeremy Skinner, Head of Economic Growth, Greater London Authority
Madalina Ursu, Infrastructure and Competitiveness Policy Officer in Economic and Business Policy, Greater London Authority
Oscar Watkins, Policy and Project Officer - Economic Growth, Greater London Authority
Molly Strauss, Senior Policy and Programme Officer, Greater London Authority
Matthew Daley, Greater London Authority
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Initiative on Climate Change policy and Governance (ICCG) Lecture Series on Disaster Risk Reduction. Webinar by Dr Elco Koks (19/12/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press)
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The ICCG has investigated the Hot Topic of 2017 "Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR)" seeking knowledge from webinars, publications, and from the Best Climate Practices contest. The ICCG closes 2017 by launching a new video lecture series on DRR. The lecture series features international experts who address the theme in a simple and accessible way, providing definitions, case studies, and examples of solutions and best practices. ITRC were represented by Dr Elco Kok's webinar on extreme weather events.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Koks E

External participant/s:
Alessandra Mazzai; Information and Communication Officer, Initiative on Climate Change policy and Governance (ICCG)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.iccgov.org/iccg-videolezioni-sul-tema-riduzione-del-rischio-disastri-naturali-drr/
 
Description Institute of Actuaries. Best-laid plans - managing uncertainty in infrastructure policy (30/11/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Roundtable in Cambridge: Best-laid plans - managing uncertainty in infrastructure policy - with the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries

• Outputs and Outcomes:
From the event report.
Session 2 - Infrastructure modelling
Introduced by William Usher, Infrastructure Research Transitions Consortium (ITRC): Strategic planning for infrastructure requires a sense of social needs and existing provision. Technology allows us to monitor and evaluate infrastructure. He highlighted two kinds of uncertainty: natural/inherent variability, for example wind speed or economic markets; and epistemic uncertainty which is about lack of knowledge, where more information can be useful.
Uncertainty is also a feature within models, affecting both the structure of the model and the assumptions used to set parameter values. Sometimes it can be quantified, but if not one approach is to devise scenarios. In the ITRC's strategic long-term planning of national infrastructure systems, uncertainty is managed by assessing robustness of investment strategies under a range of scenarios at the upstream planning stage. This crucial step allows exploration of alternatives, optionality and portfolios without committing resources and before commencing projects. Contd/.
Conclusions included:
Investment:
• Find ways to develop the defined contribution infrastructure investment market
• Promote investment in projects that will further the UN Sustainable Development Goals
• Investors are demanding excessive returns. To change this we need to move past discussion to
action and 'just do it', and government must be involved

Communication:
• Different communities need to do more sharing of their methodologies
• Improved communication and engagement, especially to the construction sector and
infrastructure owners
• Communicating a complex view of risk to the infrastructure community

The ITRC web site was referenced specifically from the above article section of the report.

Link: https://www.actuaries.org.uk/system/files/field/document/Roundtable%2020181130%20Discussion%20Summary%20v3_website.pdf
(https://www.actuaries.org.uk/news-and-insights/public-affairs-and-policy/evolving-risks-and-future-insurance/actuarial-risk-principles)

External participants:
• Institute and Faculty of Actuaries
• Chair: Campbell Middleton, Professor of Construction Engineering at Cambridge University
• Matt Gurden, Chair of the IFoA's Wider Fields Working Party
• Sarah Rae, Senior Economist at the National Infrastructure Commission
• Louise Pryor, Chair of IFoA Resource and Environment Board

Internal participant:
Usher, W.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.actuaries.org.uk/system/files/field/document/Roundtable%2020181130%20Discussion%20Summar...
 
Description Institute of Resilient Infrastructure, University of Leeds, request for use of ITRC outputs with respect to their Meanwood Road project. Request not upheld due to prior agreement to provide the details for the ICE Northern Powerhouse study. (14/03/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The consideration of the potential use of the ITRC transport model results (used for the ICE Northern Powerhouse study) to make inferences or assertions at a scale that the model is not actually designed to do so. David Dawson (Leeds University) to discuss the Meanwood Road project with Simon Blainey (ITRC) to ascertain whether the NISMOD transport model can be used to provide potential insights at this scale. ITRC's data were not available to the Meanwood Road project.

Internal participant/s
Barr S
Robson C
Hall J
Blainey SP

External Participant/s
Dr David Dawson, Leverhulme Early Career Research Fellow, Institute of Resilient Infrastructure
Prof.Phil Purnell, Director, Institute for Resilient Infrastructure
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Instituto de Pesquisa Economica Aplicada (IPEA), Brazil. Discussion of the integration and use of the Simulation Modelling Integration Framework (SMIF) (April 2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Continuing work with the IPEA. Work is now focused on the Simulation Modelling Integration Framework (SMIF)

External participants:
Instituto de Pesquisa Economica Aplicada (IPEA), Brazil

Internal participants:
Russell, T.
Hall, J.W.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
 
Description Intermediate git workshop ('Branch and Merge with Git') (21/02/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Training on use of version control tool was provided.

External participants:
6 attendees, School of Geography, University of Oxford

Internal participant:
Russell T
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description International Academic Advisory Board and Client Group meeting 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact The last Board and Client Group meeting of the ITRC-MISTRAL programme aimed:

• To reflect on the achievements of the MISTRAL programme
• To seek strategic advice on future research, collaborations and impact

The meeting included: an overview of MISTRAL achievements, impact and forward trajectory, remarks from EPSRC, reflections and lessons learnt from MISTRAL and a roundtable of advice on the future opportunities that ITRC members should prioritise. Members had a good discussion about these matters and commended ITRC for their academic relevance, productivity in terms of outputs and societal impact. They also outlined some further research challenges and encouraged members of ITRC to continue their excellent work. The discussion also raised some possible options for collaboration in future, such as further research into the role of infrastructure in making global supply chains more sustainable..
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
 
Description International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI 2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Registration for the International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI 2016) is now open. This year the Symposium is being hosted by the SMART Infrastructure Facility at the University of Wollangong, Australia. See http://isngi.org/for more details on the Event and how to register.
A GENUINE AND CO-ORDINATED GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE RESEARCH PROGRAM

The International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure is an initiative of the SMART Infrastructure Facility and our host partners University College London (UK), University of Oxford (UK), Virginia Tech (US) and Delft University of Technology (NLD). The objective of the symposia series is to commence a genuine and co-ordinated global infrastructure research program about long term infrastructure and land use planning and to provide an opportunity for the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia work together to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity.
We seek to establish international and interdisciplinary research collaborations that are designed to enable exploration of the development of Next Generation Infrastructure (NGI) in the context of understanding the interactions between infrastructure, the population it serves, technology and sustainability both now and into the future.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/ISNGI-2016.pdf
 
Description James Richardson, Chief Economist of the NIC, met with Jim Watson from ITRC on 17/10/2016 to discuss a range of topics 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Chief Economist of the NIC met with Jim Watson from ITRC on 17/10/2016 to discuss a range of topics including the following within infrastructure models
? energy demand
? representation of innovation and technological change.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description January 2016: ITRC Mistral Inaugural meeting with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) group 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ITRC Mistral Inaugural meeting with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) group.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Knowledge exchange first meeting with the Department for Transport (09/07/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
The meeting was very productive. We have exchanged email addresses and phone numbers and are planning to keep in contact for knowledge exchange on a regular basis going forward.

External participants:
Philip Sumner; Transport Modeller at the Department for Transport
And colleagues

Internal participants:
Blainey S.
Preston J.
Lovric M.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Launch of the Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) (06/07/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact An audience of 135 representatives from government, business and academia attended the launch and initial consultation event of the Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI), part of the UKCRIC - an £8 million, 4-year project to revolutionize how infrastructure is modelled, assessed, planned and delivered. The ITRC has been the key institutional agent shaping DAFNI, its key output, the NISMOD1 suite of long term performance planning software as well as the NISMOD Database are the seed pilots for the facility.

Keynote speakers external to Mistral:
Ian Osborne, Head of Complex Systems, KTN
James Stewart, Head of Global Infrastructure, KPMG
Erica Yang, Head of Visual Analytics and Imaging Systems, Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC)
David Wallom, University of Oxford
Alex Wrottesley, Ordnance Survey
Bianca Letti, National Infrastructure Commission
Richard Milton / Michael Batty, University College London
Philip Steadman / Paul Ruyssevelt, University College London

Keynote speakers from Mistral group:
Jim Hall, DAFNI Project Lead, University of Oxford
Scott Thacker, United Nations Office for Project Services
Stuart Barr, University of Newcastle
Nik Lomax, University of Leeds
Tom Russell, University of Oxford
Simon Blainey, University of Southampton
Keiron Roberts, University of Southampton

Links:
https://www.itrc.org.uk/dafni-data-and-analytics-facility-for-national-infrastructure/dafni-launch/
http://www.itrc.org.uk/dafni-data-and-analytics-facility-for-national-infrastructure/dafni-launch/#.WqkwdufLddg
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/dafni-data-and-analytics-facility-for-national-infrastructure/dafni-launch/#....
 
Description Launch of the National Needs Assessment, 18/10/2016, which sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's long term infrastructure assessment. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Launched on 18/10/2016, the National Needs Assessment sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's long term infrastructure assessment.
It has examined what the UK is likely to need from its infrastructure in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. It has also looked at the way in which infrastructure networks relate to, and depend on, one another and how this will impact on the performance of the networks in the future. [...]

The primary source for evidence for the NNA comes from the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium led by Professor Jim Hall at Oxford University. Their modelling provides a framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks. They have established a series of scenarios which set out the main demand drivers on infrastructure - population growth, climate change, technology, economic trends.

https://www.ice.org.uk/getattachment/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr/National-Needs-Assessment-PDF-(1).pdf.aspx
https://www.ice.org.uk/ICEDevelopmentWebPortal/media/Documents/Media/Policy/3150-ICE-Summary-digital.pdf
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Launch of the National Needs Assessment, 18/10/2016, which sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's long term infrastructure assessment. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Launched on 18/10/2016, the National Needs Assessment sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's long term infrastructure assessment.
It has examined what the UK is likely to need from its infrastructure in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. It has also looked at the way in which infrastructure networks relate to, and depend on, one another and how this will impact on the performance of the networks in the future. [...]

The primary source for evidence for the NNA comes from the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium led by Professor Jim Hall at Oxford University. Their modelling provides a framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks. They have established a series of scenarios which set out the main demand drivers on infrastructure - population growth, climate change, technology, economic trends.

https://www.ice.org.uk/getattachment/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr/National-Needs-Assessment-PDF-(1).pdf.aspx
https://www.ice.org.uk/ICEDevelopmentWebPortal/media/Documents/Media/Policy/3150-ICE-Summary-digital.pdf

Stakeholder contact for this engagement activity: Andrew Westcott; Head of Policy and Public Affairs, Institution of Civil Engineers
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2006
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Launch of the interim report of the National Infrastructure Assessment by the National Infrastructure Commission 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ITRC/MISTRAL has a long-term collaboration with the UK National Infrastructure Commission, as it provides a unique analytical framework to assess interdependent performance of different infrsatructure sectores in the present and in the future, based on possible future demographic, economic, technological and environment scenarios. Once a parliament the NIC will publish a National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA). The NIA will analyse the UK's long-term economic infrastructure needs, outline a strategic vision over the next 30 years and set out recommendations for how identified needs should be met. In October 2017 they published an interim National Infrastructure Assessment which examines seven key areas, and sets out the vision and priorities for helping meet the country's needs up to 2050. Those seven areas are:

Building a digital society
Connected, liveable city-regions
Infrastructure to support housing
Eliminating carbon emissions from energy and waste
A revolution in road transport
Reducing the risk of drought and flooding
Financing and funding infrastructure in efficient ways
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/our-work/national-infrastructure-assessment/
 
Description Lord Adonis of the NIC invited the ITRC to respond (by 12/01/2018) to the document: 'Congestion, Capacity and Carbon: Priorities for National Infrastructure - Executive Summary' 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Lord Adonis of the NIC invited the ITRC to respond (by 12/01/2018) to the document:
'Congestion, Capacity and Carbon: Priorities for National Infrastructure - Executive Summary'
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description MISTRAL Launch 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact On Monday 23 May at the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE), London, over one hundred high profile government and industry stakeholders gathered to celebrate the launch of the ITRC's exciting new MISTRAL: Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics programme and recently published book, The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach

The ITRC has been awarded £5.3 million of funding from the Engineering and Physical Science Research Council for another five years of research. The aim of the MISTRAL (Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics) programme is to develop and demonstrate a highly integrated analytics capability to inform strategic infrastructure decision making across scales, from local to global. MISTRAL will thereby radically extend the ITRC's pioneering infrastructure systems analysis capability.

At the launch, Professor Jim Hall reported on the ITRC's interim results in providing the analytical framework to the National Needs Assessment (NNA) led by Sir John Armitt. The NNA aims to inform the decisions of the National Infrastructure Commission which the media has been covering closely. The ITRC was delighted to welcome keynote speaker Lord Adonis, chair of the National Infrastructure Commission, and Keith Clarke, ICE Vice president, who also spoke.

"Five years ago, when we started on the ITRC journey, proposing theory, methodology and network models that stretched from the household to the globe, and from the UK to different national contexts would not have been credible. Now, thanks to what we have achieved in ITRC, the opportunity for multi-scale modelling is coming into sight."
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/news/2016/0524-ITRCLaunch.html
 
Description MISTRAL Launch Event (23/05/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact On Monday 23 May 2016 at the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE), London, over one hundred high profile government and industry stakeholders gathered to celebrate the launch of the ITRC's exciting new MISTRAL: Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics programme and recently published book, The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach.
The ITRC was delighted to welcome keynote speaker Lord Adonis, chair of the National Infrastructure Commission, and Keith Clarke, ICE Vice president, who also spoke.
? Link: https://vimeo.com/172135117

Internal participant/s:
Hall J; ITRC Researchers

External participant/s included:
Lord Adonis; Chair, National Infrastructure Commission
Keith Clarke; Vice Ppresident, Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/news/2016/0524-ITRCLaunch.html
 
Description MISTRAL technology's potential for developing the Learning Action Alliance on Blue Green Infrastructure and the new Ofwat requirements for Drainage and Wastewater Management Plans (22/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Engagement with Northumbrian Water Group (NWG) staff and other stakeholder staff at the NWG offices, Pity Me, Durham.
Thoe attending discussed the Learning Action Alliance on Blue Green Infrastructure where the new Ofwat requirements for Drainage and Wastewater Management Plans were considered along with MISTRAL technology's potential for developing these, presented by ITRC's Vassilis Glenis.

External participants:
Northumbrian Water Group (NWG)

Internal participants:
Glenis V.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description MISTRAL transport model integration/performance meeting. Forward plan for model, with some investigation of current technology/library options from Colin Lomas of the STFC/DAFNI (03/10/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Small meeting to consider the future meetings required for this national transport project.

External participant:
Colin Lomas; Senior Software Engineer - DAFNI - Academic Research, Modelling and Advanced Visualisation

Internal participants:
Blainey S
Lovric M
Russell T
Usher W
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Mapping out the landscape of long-term national infrastructure demands for the U.K.'S National Infrastructure Assessment . International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems.
This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focussed on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity.

Abstract:
Vision and Priorities:
The National Infrastructure Commission has been tasked by the government to provide expert, independent advice on pressing infrastructure issues and to produce an in-depth assessment of the UK's major infrastructure needs out to 2050.
• In order to identify the UK's future infrastructure needs, the National Infrastructure Assessment will consider a range of scenarios, which will explore different future pressures on infrastructure.
• The scenarios are tested using the national infrastructure systems model (NISMOD), as well as models used by government.
• The analysis assumes a 'do minimum' policy, which provides a baseline for the Commission against which it can compare policy options and recommendations as part of the Assessment.
• Assessments are being undertaken in energy, transport, water, waste, digital communications and flood risk.

Link Conference Proceedings: http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf

Internal participants:
Ives, M (Presenter)
Blainey, S
Choundry, M
Robson, C
Usher, W
Hall, JW

External participants:
International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
Silberman A; Senior Economist, National Infrastructure Commission
Letti, B; Economic Adviser, National Infrastructure Commission
Large, J; Intern, National Infrastructure Commission
Baruah, P; Global Green Growth Institute (GGGI)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description Materials exchange between Mistral and CECAN (28/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Communications between Mistral and CECAN have been set up and materials exchanged. Ongoing communications.

External participant:
Pete Barbrook-Johnson, Knowledge Integrators, Centre for the Evaluation of Complexity Across the Nexus (CECAN)

Internal participant:
Lovell, K
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Meeting at Delft University to 'Shape Energy Think Piece' on residential energy. (11/04/2018 - 12/04/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Meeting at Delft University to 'Shape Energy Think Piece':
a) Contrasting alternative modelling approaches to energy demand
b) Getting feedback from critical friends on current state of paper
? Outputs & outcomes:
A journal paper (under review in July 2018). 'A complementary understanding of residential energy demand, consumption and services'. A thinkpiece submitted to Shape Energy project.

External participants:
? Igor Nikolic, Energy and Industry group, Delft University of Technology (TU Delft)
? Kornelis Blok, Energy Systems Analysis, Delft University of Technology (TU Delft)
? Paulien Herder, Engineering Systems Design in Energy and Department Head of Engineering Systems and Services, Delft University of Technology (TU Delft)
? Pieter Bots, Department of Multi Actor Systems, Delft University of Technology (TU Delft)
? Simon Tindemans, Intelligent Electrical Power Grids group, Delft University of Technology (TU Delft)
? Milos Cvetkovic, challenges of renewable energy integration, Delft University of Technology (TU Delft)
? Mathijs de Weerdt, Multi-Party Optimization within the Algorithmics Group, Delft University of Technology (TU Delft)

Internal participants:
Ives M.
Hiteva R.
Weijnen M.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Meeting between ITRC and the Electrical Infrastructure Security Council (EIS Council) to consider joint work.(28/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
This was a small meeting to form an overview of each other parties projects/interests. It resulted in an invitation from the EIS Council's web-based to participate in its 'Emergency All-sector Response Transnational Hazard Exercise'.
The applicability of Mistral to this exercise would be a minimal commitment of a few hours. To be considered.

External participants:
? Avi (Joey) Schnurr, CEO and President, EIS Council
? John Organek, Director, Program Planning and Operational Architecture, EIS Council

Internal participants:
Zorn, C.
Koks, E.
Pant, R.
Thacker, S.
Hall, J.W.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.eiscouncil.org/EarthEx.aspx
 
Description Meeting on 28/04/2017 with the NIC to discuss model changes and outputs for transport, waste, energy strategies 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist) and Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser) from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC on 28/04/2017 to discuss
? Model changes and outputs for transport, waste, energy strategies
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Meeting with Simon Martin, Divisional Director, Global Waste Practice Leader, Mott MacDonald 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Further meetings arranged

External participant:
Simon Martin, Divisional Director, Global Waste Practice Leader, Mott MacDonald

Internal participant:
ITRC Group at University of Southampton
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Meeting with the Greater London Authority (GLA), Greenwood Strategic Advisors, economic advisors from academic faculties and businesses (09/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
The meeting investigated and reviewed the Greenwood developed system dynamics model 'Greater London Simulator'

External participants:
? Jeremy Skinner, Interim Assistant Director, City Intelligence Unit, Greater London Authority (GLA)
? Margaret Kalaugher, Principal Policy Officer, Greater London Authority (GLA)
? Andrew McMunnigall, Interim Manager, Growth & Infrastructure, Greater London Authority (GLA)
? Michele Pittini, Senior Economist, Head of Economics, Greater London Authority (GLA)
? Luke Webster, Chief Investment Officer, Greater London Authority (GLA)
? Dominic Bloomfield, Principal Programme Delivery Officer, Greater London Authority (GLA)
? Julie Sexton, Senior Manager: Programme Delivery, Greater London Authority (GLA)
? Madalina Ursu, Infrastructure and Competitiveness Policy Officer in Economic and Business Policy, Greater London Authority (GLA)
? Vivienne Avery, Demography and Policy Analysis Manager, Greater London Authority (GLA)
? Gordon Douglass, Supervisory Economist, Greater London Authority (GLA)
? Mike Hope, Economist , Greater London Authority (GLA)
? Ben Corr, Demography Manager, Greater London Authority (GLA)
? David Lane, Business Informatics, Systems and Accounting, Henley Business School
? Kim Warren, Originator of Strategy Dynamics, Strategy Dynamics
? Ine Steenmans, Research Associate in 'Foresight and Futures', University College London (UCL)
? Nici Zimmermann, Bartlett School Env, Energy & Resources, Faculty of the Built Environment, University College London (UCL)
? Craig Stephens, Deputy Chief Executive, Greenwood Strategic Advisors AG
? Christoph Kirch, Head of Operations, Greenwood Strategic Advisors AG
? Andreas Harbig, Chief Executive Officer, Greenwood Strategic Advisors AG
? Simon Nielsen, Head of Policy Appraisal and Evaluation, Transport for London (TfL)
? Martin Tedder, Principal Environmental Planner, Transport for London (TfL)
? Julian Ware, Senior Principal, TfL Commercial Finance, Transport for London (TfL)
? Hala Audi, Director of Strategy and Policy, Infrastructure and Projects Authority
? Mark Hitchen, Deputy Director, Infrastructure and Projects Authority

Internal participants:
ITRC/Mistral Integration & Decisions Group
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016,2018
 
Description Meeting with the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) to discuss waste policy (14/06/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Meeting with the NIC to discuss waste policy

Internal participant: Kilsby C
External participant: Silbeman A; Senior Economist, National Infrastructure Commission
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Members from the NIC met with ITRC on 14/06/2017 to discuss modelling; feedback from participants; Vision and Priorities; modelling scenarios, assumptions, and findings 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, A Bwawa, J Richardson, and Katie Black from the NIC met with Jim Hall, Matt Ives, and Dan Adshead on 14/06/2017 to discuss
?  NIC modelling results, incl. use of ITRC-NISMOD
?  a presentation by NIC with feedback from participants
?  Objectives for Vision and Priorities and approach to modelling scenarios
?  Scenario assumptions made
?  Findings from scenario modelling
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Members of the NIC met with the ITRC on 28/03/2017 to discuss; the energy supply model; and model parameter/input changes to run technology scenarios(28/03/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Doerte Schneemann (Power Sector Lead), Federica Odifreddi (Energy Policy Advisor), Bianca Letti (Economic Advisor), and Jack Large (Intern) of the NIC met with Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Modassar Chaudry of the ITRC on 28/03/2017 to discuss
? Energy supply model
? Model parameter/input changes to run technology scenarios
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Mid-year population estimates (MYE), Subnational population projections (SNPP) and National population projections (NPP) data for the entire UK (01/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
The statistical agencies of the United Kingdom, that is: The Office for National Statistics (ONS), StatsWales, National Records of Scotland (NR Scotland), and Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA), all produce annual population estimates and projection data. This package develops a statistical system for analysis and predictions of population changes.

? https://github.com/nismod/ukpopulation

External participants
? The Office for National Statistics (ONS)
? StatsWales
? National Records of Scotland (NR Scotland)
? Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA)

Internal participants:
Leeds Demographic ITRC Unit
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://github.com/nismod/ukpopulation
 
Description Mistral Client Group KPMG Dinner 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact James Steward, KPMG head of Global Infrastructure, hosted a Mistral Client Group KPMG Dinner to discuss current progress and limplementatin of the MISTRAL Programme legacy.
Atendees:

James Stewart KPMG Chairman, Global Infrastructure
Graham Dalton Ministery of Defence Chief Executive of the Defence Infrastructure Organisation, former CEO of Highways England
James Angus Network Rail Head of Analysis & Forecasting
James Richardson NIC/HMRC Treasury Chief Economist, National Infrastructure Commission
Ronan Palmer OFWAT Director, Strategy & Planning
Nick Wildgoose Zurich Re Global Supply Chain Product Leader

MISTRAL:
Stuart Barr
Simon Blainey
Jim Hall
Miriam Mendes
Robert Nicholls
Edward Oughton
Scott Thacker
Pete Tyler
William Usher
Jim Watson
Jianzhong Wu
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Mistral Client Group Meeting 1 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Minutes of the MISTRAL client group meeting
6 July 2016, Institution of Mechanical Engineers
Present: Graham Dalton (chair), James Stuart (KPMG), James Richardson (National Infrastructure Commission), Jean Spencer (Anglian Water), Nick Winser (Energy Systems Catapult), Nick Wildgoose (Zurich Insurance), Jonathan Day (Environment Agency),
Jim Hall (ITRC, Oxford), Stuart Barr (ITRC, Newcastle), Jainzhong Wu (ITRC, Cardiff), Ed Oughton (ITRC, Cambridge), John Preston (ITRC, Southampton), Miriam Mendes (ITRC, Oxford)
By phone:
Ronan Palmer (Ofwat), Jo Kaye (Network Rail)
Apologies:

1. Introductions and purpose of the ITRC-MISTRAL Client Group
GD welcomed participants
JH introduced the purpose of the Client Group, to provide high level guidance and advocacy to ensure that the MISTRAL programme is directed at the most important strategic questions for national infrastructure in the UK, and the outputs of the MISTRAL programme are taken up as widely as possible. JH emphasised the importance of a focussed approach to connecting the research to infrastructure owner and end-user needs. He also emphasised the importance of legacy for the MISTRAL programme. Advice is sought from the Client Group on both of these matters.
2. Briefing on the background to the ITRC research and analytical capability. Future plans for the MISTRAL programme
JH provided an overview of the achievements of the ITRC programme and
JS challenged the suggestion that the priorities for MISTRAL challenge 3 should be emerging markets and least developed countries. No developed economy has this level of capability, so there is much potential for MISTRAL in these countries.
JS questioned where affordability comes into our thinking. JH emphasised that ITRC is providing the evidence to inform trade-offs about affordability. He also noted that ITRC is analysing capital and operation costs of infrastructure but acknowledged that there are many factors that mediate between costs and user bills. JS and JR emphasised the complexity of the relationship between costs and bills.
RP asked for more specific indications of impact. He emphasised the benefits in terms of cross-cutting impacts and targeting investment. Possibilities are: reduced cost, better targeting of investment; better timing of investment; better discussion of investment. This will inform research design and help advocacy by the Client Group. JS emphasised the importance of understanding interdependencies. JH explained that modern decision analysis methodologies provide new capabilities for uncertainty and decision analysis. JD suggested that ITRC has also contributed by developing shared understanding and a common vocabulary. JS challenged what the improvements could be made to decision making around major projects like HS2 or airport capacity or Hinkley.
3. Discussion of industry needs for infrastructure systems analysis on the timescale of 2-10 years in the future
JR: There is a gap in understanding of where people live and work and how they behave. ABM is an interesting way of addressing this.
NW: The energy landscape has changed. How do you keep up with that rapidly changing landscape. JH indicated that the MISTRAL research will be dealing with more of this complexity in its new modelling. JW explained that MISTRAL will be able to look at energy interactions and interdependencies in a way that has not been achieved previously, for example in terms of interactions between electricity and gas.
GD: There is a genuine need for better planning across sectors.
JP explained that the ITRC transport modelling had gone beyond corridor modelling to look at the national system from a multi-modal perspective.
JD noted the links with the Environment Agency's Long Term Investment Scenarios, which has not yet paid much attention to interdependencies. There is potential for better treatment of cascading failure and indirect damage. There is potential also to look in a more nuanced way at demographic change.
JS: Mapping infrastructure and interdependencies is useful for resilience planning e.g. energy for water. What are the competing needs for water e.g. agriculture. Links to housing and where water demand will be - benefits of planning on a consistent basis. How to keep analysis up to date?
JK: Potential to do a better job on interdependencies. Impacts of a digital railway. Affordability plays a much greater part in decision making. Network Rail does not have control over all instruments for managing demand: JK would welcome better approaches to forecasting demand.
JR: Benefits of consistent assumptions in GDP, population etc. The analysis of resilience is useful and unique. Triangulation against other models is worthwhile. There is benefit to be had in making evidence more open and transparent. Interactions with the planning system are very important, whilst difficult to model. Intra-urban transport is very important - where does the transition lie between car-based and mass transit cities if we continue to see transport growth. Feedbacks between infrastructure investment and growth - probably not best dealt with by integrating everything into the model.
JH: Household location has come up in a number of different comments. MISTRAL will adopt a household allocation disaggregator to develop higher resolution models of where houses be located. JD: the location of the floodplain could also be a constraint. JR: actually insufficient amounts of housing are built, so household sizes may increase - may be best to exogenise the planning decision and then explore the consequences.
RP: Analysis of interdependencies is useful. How can we add richer information into interactions with customers and stakeholders? Lead-times for policy and behavioural changes and how this relates to questions about, for example, investment in advance of need: how can regulators be better informed: interdependencies across sectors and with the economy. Could really help regulators improve their game.
NW: Energy sector doesn't need another model. All models have proved to be wrong regarding the current situation in the energy sector. What's needed is the over-arching umbrella to deal with interactions and common assumptions e.g. electric cars without low carbon electricity. Need to be realistic about lead-times.
EO: Significance of interdependencies between telecoms development e.g. in relation to transport corridors.
JS: Most decision is retrospective post-justification - ITRC should aim to improve decision making at an early point. Cities are very important - need ability to model cities. This will be the best database and repository of information - need to think through what ability will be given to others to leverage off the model.
NW: interface into corporate investment decision making
4. Operation of the ITRC-MISTRAL Client Group
JH: from this discussion we will prioritise and sequence the research and development work. At the next meeting we will present a plan. We should also discuss the business model and legacy - how can we collaborate and leverage?
5. AOB
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Mistral Client Group Meeting 2 13/September/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ITRC-MISTRAL Client Group Meeting #2

Date: Tuesday 13/September/2016
Time: 09:00 - 11:00
Location: Wesley Room, 4th Floor
Queen Elisabeth II Centre http://qeiicentre.london/getting-here/
Broad Sanctuary
Westminster, London SW1P 3EE
+44 (0) 207 798 4000

Client Group attendees
1. Graham Dalton (former CEO of Highways England), Chair
2. James Angus (Head of Analysis & Forecasting, Network Rail)
3. Jonathan Day (Deputy Director, Investment & Portfolio, Environment Agency) - By phone
4. Phil Hardy-Bishop (UK Infrastructure Director, Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors)
5. Ronan Palmer (Director, Strategy & Planning, Ofwat) - By phone
6. James Richardson (Chief Economist, National Infrastructure Commission)
7. Jean Spencer (Director, Regulation Anglia Water)
8. James Stewart (Chairman Global Infrastructure, KPMG) - By phone
9. Nick Wildgoose (Global Supply Chain Product Leader, Zurich Re)
10. Nick Winser (Chairman, Energy Systems Catapult) - By phone
The venue's telephone system failed and unfortunately Jonathan Day, Ronan Palmer, James Stewart and Nick Winser were unable to join.
ITRC attendees
1. Jim Hall (University of Oxford)
2. Simon Blainey (University of Southampton)
3. Jianzhong Wu (Cardiff University)
4. Stuart Barr (Newcastle University)
5. Ed Oughton (University of Cambridge)
6. Will Usher (University of Oxford)
7. Miriam Mendes (ITRC Programme Manager)
Apologies
Steve Unger (Ofcom)
Agenda
1. Welcome
2. Minutes of last meeting
3. Overview of intended outcomes of the ITRC-MISTRAL programme
4. Business model(s) for the legacy of ITRC-MISTRAL
5. AOB and date of next meeting.

GD welcomed the meeting participants and noted the minutes of the last meeting that were circulated with the agenda.
JH explained that at the last meeting two questions were raised by the Client Group: (1) to summarise the main intended outcomes of the MISTRAL programme and (2) to begin to consider questions of legacy from the programme and how the research would be taken up in practice. The two notes that were circulated with the agenda address these two issues.
Intended outputs of the ITRC-MISTRAL programme
JH presented the first paper on the intended outcomes from the MISTRAL programme, which are summarised as:
1. A national-scale system-of-systems modelling capability for assessment of infrastructure assessment decisions
2. Models and datasets for analysis of risk, vulnerability and resilience in interdependent infrastructure networks
3. A national infrastructure database
4. A platform and process for infrastructure assessment in countries outside the UK
5. Global infrastructure network analysis
6. Modelling of the inter-relationship between infrastructure and the economy
7. Insights into the governance of interdependent infrastructure systems
NWil emphasises the significance of international supply chain connectivity and suggested possibilities to link up with new data on production sites, for example from the pharmaceutical industry.
JSp noted the significance of extreme events and the need to link between risk and vulnerability issues (outcome 2) and long term infrastructure planning (outcome 1). Further work to establish the economic impacts of extreme events would be helpful. JSp sees NISMOD/ITRC as a way to help make the business case for infrastructure in an independent way. GD suggested that the ITRC should take more account of behavioural changes: tolerance of failure is decreasing and expectations for no downtime are getting higher.
PH-B explained two of RICS's initiatives that are potentially relevant: (1) relating to floor area and land value, which may be relevant to spatial modelling and (2) international work on construction data, including construction pricing. JH agreed that a follow-up meeting would be helpful.
JR noted the importance of connectivity for a service-based economy. Work on analysis of connectivity would be helpful. The most interesting and challenging intended outcome is #6 (Modelling of the inter-relationship between infrastructure and the economy). The ABM approach is very interesting. Where people live is a function of the planning system, so we need to consider how that is going to be modelled. Locational decisions within and between urban areas and ability of people to get into the CBD of big successful cities are emerging as a challenge. The NIC's thinking on resilience is less developed, so they welcome input on that.
GD emphasizes need to take political dimensions into account in analysis of governance. JR would like to understand more about the research on governance (output 7). It was agreed that the next meeting should involve the SPRU team working on governance within MISTRAL as well as the representatives of regulators on the client group (Ronan Palmer, Steve Unger).
JR also noted that over next few years new big datasets are coming available (internet of things, car sensors, oyster cards, mobile phones etc.). SB recognised this but also observed that there are challenges with matching different datasets together and in coping with data of variable quality. EO noted particular challenges with telecommunications perspective. SB also pointed out difficulties with port date - JR suggested that HMRC might have useful data.
Security issues of data and models issues of data and models were discussed. The ITRC has already put in place security arrangements for sensitive datasets. SB indicated that whilst encryption is technically straightforward, the challenge is to manage the level of accessibility for different groups to provide the right balance of security and fitness for purpose.
Business model(s) for the legacy of ITRC-MISTRAL
JH presented the paper on business models for the legacy of ITRC-MISTRAL.
The MISTRAL programme aims:
• to have MISTRAL's national infrastructure system analytics in use and informing decisions by governments, utilities and regulators at a range of scales in the UK;
• for MISTRAL's national infrastructure database to become a shared national resource and a focal point for research and industrial collaboration;
• for MISTRAL's systems analytics to be used in infrastructure planning and design around the world;
• to be engaging a wide range of stakeholders, including the general public, in understanding infrastructure performance and choices.
Potential business models might include some combination of:
• University 'business as usual'
• Sustained funding for 'national capability'
• An open source software initiative
• A global platform
• Spin-out company or companies
JR recognised the importance of sustaining capability in national infrastructure assessment:
• The intention is to grow the NIC's capability in infrastructure assessment. NIC staff are already being trained to use NISMOD. In that sense the NIC could become a 'home' for NISMOD in the future.
• NIC could become a funder of NISMOD if the costs involved are not huge; or could buy a subscription along with other stakeholders. The NIESC economics model is an example of this type of approach.
• A global platform in collaboration with other countries could also interesting. Maybe NIC and other small number of country/partners (Australia, OECD, DfID etc.) could fund this.
• There are trade-offs between a tightly knit group arrangement versus a broader subscription arrangement.
• It is important to maintain transparency so that the model can be explained. The challenge is that with more subscribers a model may become more proprietary. We want to open this up and 'bust cartels': transparency is therefore very important.
WU indicated that there needed to be clarity on what was to be offered: a model (code) or a service? There needed to be mechanisms to keep the capability together and provide updates.
NWil: There is business in being a source of information to corporations that are concerned on business continuity. Utilities and insurers are prepared to pay for information. Think of how different decision makers are looking into the problem.
SB emphasised the importance of developing a mechanism that ensures that the university partners stayed engaged. GD also asked what the ongoing research interest would be, as this is important for keeping the university partners engaged. It is important to maintain capability and not be overly dependent on government.
Actions:
1. MM to collect possible business models from other fields. What are the organisational arrangements and how is capability maintained?
2. At the next meeting we can revisit the discussion of business models and test some options.
Next meeting
James Stewart has offered to host a dinner at KPMG, which would be an opportunity to revisit the discussion about business models. Date be confirmed: suggest in January.
The next formal Client Group meeting will be on the first day of the ITRC-MISTRAL Assembly in Cambridge on the afternoon of 4 April 2017 followed by dinner in Churchill College.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Modelling digital communications (09/10/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Presentation at Cambridge Computer Lab Networks and Operating Systems Group re: modelling digital communications
Further joint activity.

External participants:
Cambridge Computer Lab Networks and Operating Systems Group

Internal participants:
Oughton, E.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description NERC Industry - academia brokerage event, CIRIA, London 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact MISTRAL Researcher Raghav Pant, University of Oxford gave a talk as an exemplar of Innovation success stories after receiving one of the NERC grants fo research in Resilience.


This event will provide an opportunity to find out more about the NERC five-year, £5m initiative 'Environmental Risks to Infrastructure Innovation Programme' and will facilitate networking and joint proposal development between academic and industry partners.

Application for this event is now closed. If you are interested in attending please contact samantha.mitchell@ciria.org

Background
The Environmental Risks to Infrastructure Innovation Programme (ERIIP) is a collaboration between academia and infrastructure owners, operators, policy-makers and regulators to enable the UK infrastructure sector to use environmental science to identify, quantify and manage environmental risks to UK infrastructure.

NERC are now inviting proposals for innovation projects under the third round of the Environmental Risks to Infrastructure Innovation Programme (ERIIP). Under this programme, all projects must have project partners related to UK infrastructure, e.g. infrastructure owners, operators, regulators or policy-makers. This brokerage event will run to support this requirement, and to support the development of effective partnerships between academia and the infrastructure sector.

During this event, there will be the opportunity to find out more about the specific research priorities of the Innovation Programme industry partners and their joint priorities and areas of interest.

Please note, due to high levels of interest attendance at this event must be applied for.

To apply please complete the following survey: NERC Industry - academia brokerage event

All applications must be submitted by 23rd February and applicants will be informed on whether their application has been successful by no later than 3rd March.

If you have any questions regarding the application process please contact Samantha Mitchell.

If you have any questions regarding the event programme please contact rugh@nerc.ac.uk or sirio.daleo@ciria.org

NERC ERIIP funding call
Further information on the Environmental Risks to Infrastructure Innovation Programme (ERIIP) funding call, guidance on the application process and FAQ are available here.

ERIIP members research priorities
Short presentations on the research priorities of each ERIIP members will be available by 24 February on CIRIA's and NERC's websites.

Why attend?
This event will:

facilitate discussion of industry challenges and partnering opportunities
highlight industry stakeholder issues and core themes identified by NERC
facilitate academic / industry networking and collaboration
promote the Innovation Programme Call and EOI stage
explain processes for call and EOI

Programme
09.00 Registration

09.30 Introduction & welcome
Owen Jenkins, CIRIA

09.40 NERC ERIIP introduction
Ruth Hughes / Robyn Thomas, NERC

09:55 Innovation success stories
Raghav Pant, University of Oxford
David Gunn, British Geological Survey & Colin Brett, Uniper Technologies Ltd

10:20 ERIIP members presentation

11:20 Coffee & networking

11:40 ERIIP members presentation

12.40 Networking Lunch

13:40 Industry - academic one-to-one

15:30 Afternoon break

15:45 Discussion sessions

Lightning
Space weather

16:30 Close

Who should attend?
Infrastructure operators, designers, contractors, regulators and academics.

When
15 March 2017
9.30 - 16.30 (Registration from 9.00)

Where
Prince Philip House,
3 Carlton House Terrace,
St. James's, London
SW1Y 5DG
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description NIA/NIC modellers review workshop, proposed for Autumn 2018 (03/05/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
The NIC met with Jim Hall to discuss an "NIA modellers review workshop" after the NIA has been published. Jim Hall of the ITRC offered to host that 'in the autumn' [2018].

External participants: Modellers Group, National Infrastructure Commission (NIC)

Internal participant: Hall JW
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description NIC meeting for a review of infrastructure study elements 03/02/2017 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist) and Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser) from the NIC met Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Will Usher from ITRC/Mistral on 03/02/2017 to discuss a review of infrastructure drivers:
? modelling baselines
? economic growth scenarios
? population scenarios
? technology scenarios
? water modelling
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description NISMOD-DB++: A next generation spatiotemporal database framework for infrastructure systems analytics and modelling. International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems.
This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focused on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity.

Link to Conference Proceedings: http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf

Internal participants:
Barr, S (Presenter)
Robson, C
Pregnolato
Ji Q

External participants:
International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description National Geographic Article: Solar storms can be even worse if you live near certain rocks (18/03/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
New USGS data show how cities have higher or lower risks of blackouts during a powerful sun storm depending on their regional geology.
[...] This means that space weather risk assessments are several decades behind the threat analyses for hazards such as hurricanes and earthquakes, which makes mitigation planning "extremely challenging," says Edward Oughton, a senior research associate at the University of Oxford's Environmental Change Institute. Undertaking more detailed regional mapping of geoelectric risks will help fill in the gaps, and Australian and Chinese initiatives to this effect are already underway.

External participant:
Robin George Andrews; Correspondent, National Geographic

Internal participant:
Oughton E.A.

Link: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2019/03/solar-storms-worse-damage-if-you-live-near-certain-rocks-geology/
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2019/03/solar-storms-worse-damage-if-you-live-near-certai...
 
Description National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) - Workshop Scenarios & Metrics (01/06/2016 September 2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A member of the NIC met with Will Usher and Tom Russell from ITRC during September 2016 to discuss a workshop on scenarios and metrics.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) Issued a report: Preparing for a drier future England's water infrastructure needs (April 2018) based on analyses by the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
National Infrastructure Commission April 2018
Report: Preparing for a drier future England's water infrastructure needs

The Foreward, by Sir John Armitt CBE, Chair, National Infrastructure Commission, states:
In its interim assessment, published last year, the Commission identified a range of pressures facing the water industry, including climate change, population growth, growing consumer expectations, ageing infrastructure and the need to protect the environment. The Commission also outlined its vision for reducing the risks of drought and managing the UK's water supplies more effectively.
This paper follows that consultation and sets out a range of measures which the Commission believes government, water companies and the regulator should take to increase investment in supply infrastructure and encourage more efficient use of water - halving leakage by 2050, extending
metering and developing plans for a national water network. As the analysis presented in this paper shows, the cost of responding to a severe drought in the UK would likely run into tens of billions of pounds. The case for improving our long-term resilience to drought is therefore compelling.
The current price review being undertaken by the industry regulator - through which companies are considering how they will provide a secure supply of water to homes and businesses in their area - presents an ideal opportunity for improving the long-term planning and coordination of water supply at both regional and national scale.
I am grateful to the many organisations and individuals who have engaged with the Commission's work over recent months and for the continuing dialogue and constructive engagement from all parts of the water sector. I hope that the recommendations contained in this report will now be taken forward as a priority by those with responsibility for ensuring that future generations can continue to access high quality water.

The report uses sources supplied by the ITRC:
Fig 1: Source: Commission calculations, based on data from Water UK, water companies and the Environment Agency and using the NISMOD model developed by the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium.
Fig 2: Source: Commission calculations and analysis, using input from Atkins, Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium and Regulatory Economics Ltd. See Annex 2 for more details and references.
Fig 3: Source: Commission analysis, using input from Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium and Regulatory Economics Ltd, see Annex 3 for more details and references.

Consequent Recommendations:
The Commission recommends that government should ensure plans are in place to deliver additional supply and demand reduction of at least 4,000 Ml/day. Action to deliver this twin-track approach should start immediately:
- Ofwat should launch a competitive process by the end of 2019 complementing the Price Review so that at least 1,300 Ml/day is provided through (i) a national water network and (ii) additional supply infrastructure by the 2030s.
- The Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs should set an objective for the water industry to halve leakage by 2050, with Ofwat agreeing 5 year commitments for each company (as part of the regulatory cycle) and reporting on progress.
- The Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs should enable companies to implement compulsory metering beyond water stressed areas by the 2030s, by amending
regulations before the end of 2019 and requiring all companies to consider systematic roll out of smart meters as a first step in a concerted campaign to improve water efficiency.

Acknowledgements:
The Commission would like to thank:
The individuals that provided technical support and comments on the analysis, in particular from:
Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, Atkins, Vivid Economics, Regulatory Economics, Mott MacDonald, Anglian Water, Atkins, Consumer Council for Water, Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, Environment Agency, HR Wallingford, Ofwat, Severn Trent Water, Southern Water, Thames Water, UK Water Industry Research, United Utilities, University of Manchester, Water UK, Waterwise, and members of the Commission's technical advisory panel.

References:
Ref. 17. Hall, Jim W. et al. (2016) The Future of National Infrastructure. A System-of-Systems Approach
Link: https://www.nic.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/NIC-Preparing-for-a-Drier-Future-26-April-2018.pdf

This report is additionally referenced in the Infrastructure and climate change report (Postnote 621) (27/03/2020)
Ref. 26. National Infrastructure Commission (2018). Preparing for a drier future
https://post.parliament.uk/research-briefings/post-pn-0621/
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/NIC-Preparing-for-a-Drier-Future-26-April-2018.pdf
 
Description National Infrastructure Commission Roundtable: Transport Connectivity Metric (22/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Simon Blainey of the ITRC attended the National Infrastructure Commission Roundtable on their Transport Connectivity Metric

External participants:
The National Infrastructure Commission (NIC)

Internal participant:
Blainey S.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description National Infrastructure Commission's modelling workshop - lessons learnt from the National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) (20/09/2018) (13/11/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs:
Further participation with the NIC for the development of modelling for the next NIA to work towards the UK Government's ambition to make substantial savings while looking to invest £600 billion in infrastructure projects over the next decade (2017-2027).

Workshop - Lessons learned from modelling for the National Infrastructure Assessment
Meeting date: Thursday 20th September 2018, 13.00 - 16.00
Venue: Bloomsbury House, 2-3 Bloomsbury Square, London, WC1A 2RL
Chair: Bianca Letti, National Infrastructure Commission (Modelling lead)
Key aims of workshop
1. Review the modelling that informed the first National Infrastructure Assessment
2. Gather views on the modelling processes and approach from those involved - the Commission's secretariat, government department analysts, consultants and academics from the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium
3. Discuss evidence gaps, unanswered questions and processes which could be put in place for the next Assessment in five years' time
Agenda
Time Agenda item
13:00 - 13:05
Introduction
13:05 - 13:30
Part 1: Reflections from the NIC
• Analysis for the NIA
• Working with multiple analytical teams
• Questions we would have liked to answer
• Approach to NIA 2
13:30 - 14:55
Part 2: Overview of modelling - short presentations by modellers
• Quick snapshot of the analysis
• What worked well
• What would they have liked to have done better
• Model development plans that might be usable for the next NIA
14:15 - 14:30
Tea and coffee break
14:30 - 14:50
Part 2 continued: Overview of modelling - short presentations by modellers
14:50 - 15:50
Part 3: Looking towards the next NIA - in break out groups
• What are the big questions that might want to be analysed?
• How might we go about analysing them?
• Where are the gaps between current analytical capability and our aspirations?
• How might model development activity, data etc. be coordinated between now and the next NIA?
15:50 - 16:00 : Final reflections and close

? Outcomes: Summary of discussion
Part 1: Reflections from the NIC
• The NIC presented reflections on the modelling process for the National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA), including its experience working with multiple analytical teams within the Commission and externally, in government and consultancies. The NIC also highlighted areas which it would have liked to focus on for the NIA and some initial thoughts on how modelling for the second NIA might be developed.
Part 2: Overview of modelling - short presentations by modellers
Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC)
• The ITRC highlighted the areas of its collaboration with the NIC which it thought were successful as: the consistent set of scenarios used; the diversity and plausibility of assumptions; the flexibility of inputs into the model; and the iterative approach adopted by the NIC and the ITRC in developing the work.
• The ITRC also felt that their model provided a useful alternative to government models, and the comparison of outputs between two sets of models led to interesting insights. The water modelling was also mentioned a particularly successful element of the work, as its outputs allowed useful conclusions to be drawn, and the analysis has generally received positive feedback from stakeholders in the sector.
• As areas which could have gone better, the ITRC highlighted: difficulties in undertaking regional analysis; assumptions on technological uptake phasing out in the future and questions around whether this is reasonable; and the time constraint for delivering the work. The ITRC would also have liked to have had more flexibility in producing reports on the work they did, rather than requiring the NIC to produce them.
• Future model development:
o New demand scenarios including: household micro-simulation models for developing synthetic populations; national analysis of the housing stock; new housing allocation model.
o Next generation of high resolution models: simulation model of the energy and gas networks; energy hub with local heat networks, hydrogen, storage and demand response; multi-modal transport model; fixed and mobile digital communications; urban drainage.
o Model coupling, uncertainty/sensitivity analysis and decision framework.
o DAFNI - data and analytics facility for national infrastructure.
Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS)
• BEIS and the NIC initially had difficulties in communicating the conceptual basis for the modelling and what the NIC aimed to get out of it. However, once this was successfully communicated, BEIS thought that translating the conceptual basis of the NIC's scenarios into modelling assumptions was successful.
• BEIS also flagged that there were difficulties once the modelling had been done in communicating the findings to policy colleagues in BEIS, as they had not been fully involved in the work as it was ongoing. This led to some delays in delivering the modelling to the NIC.
• Future model development:
o Understanding the impact of the electrification of heat and transport on power load profiles
o Reconciling higher costs of UK TIMES relative to the Dynamic Dispatch Model for the same level of demand
3
Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra)
• Defra felt that themselves and the NIC worked well together throughout the process. Regular catch-ups and clear output requirements from the outset contributed to this success.
• Defra is currently investing in developing its modelling capability, and felt that this additional capability would have been helpful for the NIA, particularly in exploring changing assumptions such as recycling rates.
• Future model development:
o Better exploration of uncertainty, such as consumer behaviour and response
o Simulation target model approach, possibly incorporating elements like Monte Carlo simulation, agent based modelling
Department for Transport (DfT)
• The DfT also felt that they developed good working relationships with the NIC with regular catch-ups, which were helpful in the modelling process. There were some initial concerns with the presentation of results from two sets of models when outputs turned out to be very different, but with further discussion and investigation the basis for these differences were identified, which helped to assuage concerns.
• The DfT were unclear on the value of running two models, and how this added to conclusions. They felt that ahead of future modelling work, the DfT could do more to understand the NIC's requirements and the NIC could review DfT's models in more depth to see if they are fit for their purposes.
• Another element of the work which was challenging was the inclusion of some projects requested by the NIC - the DfT could only include projects into their models that had been timetabled for launch, so off-model adjustments were needed to account for some schemes (eg HS2).
• The DfT also highlighted time and resource constraints as a challenge, and that sufficient notice of modelling work is needed to ensure resource is available.
• Future model development:
o Road - recalibrated version of NTM v2 has been launched; internal work to develop a consistent set of scenarios for use in appraisal and development of tools more suitable for scenario analysis; future work planned to consider how to capture impacts of CAVs and other technologies in road traffic models.
o Rail - released new WebTAG unit which has revised parameters and variables used in forecasting, including new variables on employment sectors and occupation; moving from NMF to Moira 2.2; further changes planned to forecasting framework and forecasting models.
Aurora Energy Research
• Engagement between Aurora and the NIC was good, with weekly catch ups helping to keep the NIC updated on work progress. Roundtables helped guide Aurora along and gave them a clear setting of milestones, and allowed them to focus sensitivities based on input from a range of experts.
• Aurora felt that one of the biggest challenges in the work was incorporating many new assumptions into the model simultaneously, which made it hard to uncover what was causing results. They also had to build a new network model with locational constraints while developing the market modelling, which increased their workload.
• Aurora felt that more interaction between consultancy teams would have been helpful, particularly the team working on heat, as outputs from the heat work were required to take the power modelling forward.
4
• Future model development:
o Incorporating locational factors and wind constraints
o Fully integrating network and market models
o Stochastic models accounting for expected loss of load
Flood modelling - NIC presentation
• The flood risk modelling was done by the NIC, and the model developed by JBA Consulting in collaboration with Sayers and Partners. The main successes of the modelling were considered to be a useful set of results for different resilience levels, and the ability to test a 4C climate scenario.
• It was challenging to establish a baseline, cost undefended areas and quantify the impacts of flooding on mental health. Surface water is also a significant gap in flood modelling in general, and also in this modelling.
Anthesis
• Anthesis felt that the models worked well in generating the required results for a range of scenarios, particularly greenhouse gases and net present values. The flexible structure of the models allowed the testing of options and sensitivities.
• Some challenges were the lack of integration of the two waste models which resulted in manual transfer of data, and the fact that the models were not particularly user friendly, especially if adding additional scenarios. Some modelling issues were uncovered in the process (eg energy mix for GHG model) which could have been addressed earlier. In addition, data issues were a problem (commercial and industrial waste).
• Future model development:
o Better baseline data, especially for commercial & industrial waste
o Integration of two models, and possible use of other packages (model Excel based)
o Inclusion of more waste technology options and more sophisticated approach to collection costs
o Creation of a user interface and results dashboard
Element Energy
• Element felt that the work objectives were met successfully, and highlighted that further input on consumer bills was provided following the project to assist the NIC, which helped to generate a clear message on the overall impact of the scenarios.
• The interaction with other modelling teams was also considered to be successful, with soft linking of data inputs/outputs carried out with waste and power modelling teams. However, integration with power modelling to allow assessment of impact of electricity demand for heat on the cost and carbon intensity of electricity could have been better. The heat model was designed to be run iteratively with the power modelling, but time and project sequencing limited ability to do this.
• Future model development:
o Centralised vs localised hydrogen generation
o Regional variation of economics of heating solutions
o Whole-system energy modelling
o Multi-vector system modelling
o More realistic heating technology deployment scenarios
o Demand side response capability of heating systems
o Further developments in CCS assumptions/modelling capability
5
Part 3: Looking towards the next NIA
The participants split up into table groups to consider four questions and one participant from each table fed back key elements of their discussion to the wider group. A summary of discussion across all tables is given below.
• Questions for the next NIA:
o Consider the boundary between questions which should be addressed by the NIC and those addressed by government departments. It was suggested that the NIC could add most value in addressing cross-cutting questions, as well as politically difficult ones. In this context, the NIC could aim to identify and understand what modelling is already done by government departments as well as their modelling capability to avoid replicating work.
o Behaviour and behavioural responses, thinking about incentivising behaviour vs areas where change can happen on its own. Understanding different groups of infrastructure users.
o Infrastructure and regional economies, and how infrastructure can contribute to growth, taking complementary policies into account.
o Technology, exogenous innovation and how technologies diffuse through infrastructure systems.
o Considering shock events/disruptions and how they affect long term trends.
o Modelling interdependencies.
o Modelling surface water/drainage and modelling the digital sector.
o Regardless of which questions are addressed in the next NIA, it is important for the NIC to get buy in for its modelling from those they seek to influence, to try and ensure results are taken seriously.
• How to analyse them:
o Clarity on questions early on, but it is not obvious how early you should decide. In five years your question may have changed.
o The importance of defining questions correctly and understanding why we are undertaking modelling before rushing into it was highlighted. Setting out outputs which will be required from the start.
o Potential need for an organising framework, setting out objectives and interventions.
o Developing and maintaining long term metrics framework.
o Thinking about qualitative systems and mapping hypotheses. Considering where there are soft links/need for integration between sectors/model.
o Resisting the inclination to make everything complex. Sometimes it's best to keep things logical and simple but structured.
o Using more extreme scenarios, but considering whether we can trust models to deal with non marginal changes.
o Transparency on how effects propagate between models, better integration between models.
• Gaps in capability
o Computational gaps, having flexibility and capacity to run sensitivities.
o Data gaps - eg commercial and industrial waste.
o Gaps in capability to clearly visualise and present data.
o Population distribution scenarios, economic feedbacks and modelling adaptive pathways.
o Impact of specific projects at the national level may be marginal, consider how to account for the value they add.
6
o Inconsistency in appraisal between sectors, which makes prioritising/choosing between sectors challenging.
o Comparing packages of schemes.
o Thinking about whether we have the capability to answer the big questions listed in point 1.
o Resource availability, and knowledge management between the NIC and departments.
• Future model development:
o The NIC could consider doing what the airports Commission did and independently peer review existing models. Comparing models might also contribute to peer review processes.
o The NIC should support model diversity, but taking care to not disperse attention to too many different models.
o DAFNI will be able to provide accessibility to multiple modelling platforms while maintaining confidentiality.
o Ensuring the NIC maintains in-house modelling capability to continue to support this work.
o Role for the NIC in keeping the conversation going.
The Commission would like to thank all participants for their input, which will be carefully considered as the Commission develops the next NIA.


External participants at meeting 20/09/2018:
Dr James Richardson; Chief Economist, NIC
Bianca Letti; Head of Modelling, NIC
Sanchia Bailey; Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy (BEIS)
Javier Iguarta; Economic Advisor, DEFRA
Claire Worsdall; Economist, Department for Transport (DfT)
Adam Jones; Department for Transport (DfT)
William Hawkes; Department for Transport (DfT)
Felix Chow, Oliver Kerr, Anna Macdonald; Aurora
Tom Bradbury; Flood modelling, NIC
Peter Scholes; Principal Consultant, Anthesis LRS
Sam Foster; Element Energy

External participants receiving meeting minutes on 13/11/2018:
? Bianca Letti; Head of Modelling, NIC
? Igartua, Javier; Economic Advisor, DEFRA
? Anna Macdonald; Analyst, Aurora Energy Research Ltd
? Sam Foster; Element Energy
? Peter Scholes; Principal Consultant, Anthesis LRS
? Samuel Chorlton; UK Research and Innovation (UK
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description National coupled infrastructure modelling at Oxford (02/03/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact An invitation to attend the formal launch of the Mistral project.

External participant/s:
Robert Muir of RMS - Risk Management Solutions

Internal participant/s:
Lord S
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.water.ox.ac.uk/itrc-five-years-on-a-new-mistral-journey-begins/
 
Description National coupled infrastructure modelling at Oxford (24/02/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact An invitation to attend the formal launch of the Mistral project.

External participant/s:
Dickie Whitaker of Oasis Loss Modelling Framework

Internal participant/s:
Lord S
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2008,2016
URL https://www.water.ox.ac.uk/itrc-five-years-on-a-new-mistral-journey-begins/
 
Description National framework modelling meeting (09/09/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Venue: London. The ITRC water group met researchers/academics from the University of Manchester, industry experts from Atkins, and the Environment Agency.
? Outputs & outcomes:
Significant outcome was decision on how the Environment Agency should progress in their modelling approach for a national UK water resources model.

External participants:
- Environment Agency
- University of Manchester
- Atkins

Internal participants:
ITRC Water Group
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Navigating complexity for next generation infrastructure: integrating governance and modelling analysis. ISNGI Conference, ICE, London. (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ITRC/Mistral contributed to this conference. Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems.

Abstract:
A key theme within the delivery of next generation infrastructure, in the UK and around the world, can be a focus upon the provision of infrastructure services rather than upon reinforcing existing technologically centred systems (e.g. appropriate mobility rather than a series of transport systems). This user-centred approach to infrastructure offers the potential to remove some of the assumptions and inefficiencies present in the existing bounding of infrastructure provision within sectoral siloes. However, it also presents challenges over infrastructure decision-making and governance arrangements.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Lovric M; Watson J; Hiteva R

External participant/s:
ISNGI Conference 2017
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016,2017
URL http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/Katherine-Lovell.pdf
 
Description Newspaper comment that water meters should be used in most UK households. Interviewee, Professor Jim Hall of the ITRC/Mistral. (03/09/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Prof Hall's headline comments:
- Compulsory meters must be considered to tackle the water crisis following this summer's heatwave across the UK and large parts of Europe
- The devices are controversial, as large families can end up paying more
- Supporters say they reduce usage by more than 8 gallons per person per day
- The National Infrastructure Commission has called for the UK to cut water use from 37 gallons (141 litres) per person per day to an ambitious 30 gallons (118 litres).

Additional information was provided by:
- Professor Len Shaffrey, climate scientist at the University of Reading, with reference to several leading theories as to what may be causing the recent global heatwave.
- Jamie Hannaford, principal hydrologist at the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, added: 'The headline, if you like, the simple story, is warmer, drier summers and, as a result, lower river flows in the future.'

Links:
MailOnline article: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-6127501/Water-meters-compulsory-households-cope-climate-change.html
Telegraph Online: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/09/03/power-showers-could-restricted-households-forced-install-water

External participants:
The MailOnline Readership
The Telegraph Online Readership
Dr Jamie Hannaford, principal hydrologist at the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology
Professor Len Shaffrey, climate scientist at the University of Reading

Internal participant:
Hall J.W.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/09/03/power-showers-could-restricted-households-forced-install...
 
Description Panel 1: Infrastructure Systems: Collective agents of Social Change: International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI 2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 1st September 2016: "DAY 1 ISNGI - Policy Focus"
Dr Matt Ives: Chair: Panel 1: Infrastructure Systems: Collective agents of Social Change
Other panellists:
- Mr Wienke Giezeman Initiator, The Things Network
- Dr Nicola Nelson Manager, Health, Environment & Asset Science, Sydney Water
- Dr WW 'Wijnand' Veeneman
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/ISNGI-2016.pdf
 
Description Paper launched at the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Investment Fair in New York. 'Integrated Approaches to Sustainable Infrastructure.' (16/04/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact On the 16th of April at the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) launched other 'Integrated Approaches to Sustainable Infrastructure' paper.
'The Evidence-Based Infrastructure approach, developed by the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) and the Infrastructure Transition Research Consortium (ITRC) at the University of Oxford, is designed to account for the interconnections among infrastructure systems and environmental, social, and economic factors, and is intended for use in developing country contexts (Hall et al., 2016). Its application is supported by a suite of analytical tools, including a Capacity
Assessment Tool for Infrastructure (CAT-I) and the National Infrastructure Systems Model (NISMOD), which utilizes a "system-of-systems" approach to ensure that cross-sectoral interdependencies are identified, and synergies optimized (Ibid., 2016). These existing tools and approaches together form a complementary "tool box" that planners and policymakers can use to adopt integrated approaches to the planning and development of sustainable infrastructure that supports the 2030 Agenda. '

External participants:
UNOPS:
? Rowan Palmer; Programme Specialist, Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, South-South Cooperation Unit, Policy and Programme Division
? Fulai Sheng; Head, Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
? Colm Joseph Hastings; Environment Affairs Intern at UN Environment, Genthod, Canton of Geneva, Switzerland
? Vanessa Iris Bauer

Internal participants:
Thacker S
ITRC Group

link: http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/downloads/resource/Integrated_Approaches_To_Sustainable_Infrastructure_UNEP.pdf
https://www.un.org/esa/ffd/ffdforum/2019-ffd-forum/2019-sdg-investment-fair/schedule-of-events.html
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/downloads/resource/Integrated_Approaches_To_...
 
Description Participation by presentation of paper at the RGS-IBG Annual International Conference 2016. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The session focused on the geographies of interdependency between transport and other infrastructure networks, examining how nexus thinking can 1) enhance existing approaches to dealing with and exploiting infrastructure interdependencies, in order to realise a more efficient, equitable and sustainable use of transport infrastructure and 2) help understand and address the impacts of interdependencies on society.

http://conference.rgs.org/AC2016/231
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://conference.rgs.org/AC2016/231
 
Description Potential Collaboration NISMOD-INT & the Inter American Development Bank (IADB) research project on infrastructure in the Andean region and the prioritization of infrastructure projects to boost economic development. (06/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Jim Hall from the ITRC had an initial conversation, requested by Gustavo Canavire Bacarreza of the Inter American Development Bank (IADB), to explore a potential collaboration involving the IADB's research project on infrastructure in the Andean region and the prioritization of infrastructure projects to boost economic development.
The IADB came across the System-of-systems approach and the framework developed by the ITRC for the UK and found it very interesting. In particular they explored the analysis tools NISMOD-Int, which seems to have the potential of being an excellent tool that can be applied to the IADB's research.

During their conversation Jim Hall mentioned that the ITRC has had several interactions with the IADB, in particular with the team of Graham Watkins, who the ITRC visited in Washington DC last year. The ITRC team currently have infrastructure assessment and planning studies under way in Argentina (for the World Bank) and in the Caribbean islands (jointly with UNOPS).

Further related activities are expected.

External participants:
- Gustavo Javier Canavire Bacarreza, Senior Economist, Country Department Andean Group, Inter American Development Bank
- Lucia Emanuela Martin Rivero, Country Department Andean Group, Inter American Development Bank
- Javier Diaz Cassou, Lead Economist, Inter American Development Bank

Internal participant: Hall J.W.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Preparation for Department for Transport (DfT) National Security Science & Technology Working Group (NSS & TWG) on 3rd may 2018. (18/04/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
To assist those new to Mistral to understand the project Jim Hall provided a title and abstract 'Preparing for Catastrophe: Climate-resilient infrastructure systems'
National infrastructure systems are characterised by growing complexity and interdependencies between different networks e.g. energy, transport and digital networks. These interdependencies can exacerbate the possibility of cascading failures, where failure in one location can propagate to disproportionately large numbers of infrastructure users. The UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) has developed methodology for mapping interdependencies in large spatially distributed networks and modelling the consequences of cascading failure, in order to identify and prioritise vulnerabilities in the network. We have proposed a definition of 'critical infrastructure hotspots' and have mapped these hotspots for the UK. We are modelling the potential impacts on the wider economy of infrastructure failures and are using the evidence to prioritise interventions to reduce the risks of infrastructure failure.

External participants:
? Jessica Sorrell, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Alice MacFarlan, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Andrew Brunning, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Anthony Boucher, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Callum Knox, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Chris Blakeman, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Chris Brown, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Claire Lock, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Dan Taylor, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Daniel Acheampong, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Duncan Turton, Department for Transport (DfT)
? John Mairs, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Kavitha Kishen, National Security Science and Research, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Matthew James, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Miles Gidlow, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Peter Browne, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Phil Blythe, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Ramona Fitch, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Roh Hathlia, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Smart Cities Partnership (SCP), Department for Transport (DfT)
? Sevvy Palmer, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Sevvy1 Palmer, Centre for Connected and Autonomous (CCAV) (UK Govt)
? Simon Lancaster, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Siobhan Campbell, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Steve Berry, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Tom Salter, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Tracy Catling, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Transport Security Operations Centre (TSOC), Department for Transport (DfT)
? Valerie Trojanowska, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Grant Bass, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Jennifer Yau, Department for Transport (DfT)
? Mike Alcock, Department for Transport (DfT)

Internal participant:
Hall JW
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Present a seminar for the Society for Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Defence & Security Analysis Division of the Defence Science and Technology Laboratory in Fareham "We are trying to build relationships with academia and expose our staff to alternative ways of thinking.
To this end, I was wondering if you would be willing to give a lunch-time talk on how you tackle deep uncertainty in your work on climate & environmental risks?
This would also be a good opportunity to discuss the next DMDU conference that you will be hosting at Oxford and the level of support/involvement that Dstl might provide.

Contact at DSTL: Mike Larner, Systems Thinking & Consulting, Defence & Security Analysis Division
Robert Solly; Division Head, Defence & Security Analysis, Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, UK Government
Attendee: Prof J. Hall
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.theorsociety.com/Pages/Conferences/OR58/OR58.aspx
 
Description Presentation at conference: 20th EURO Working Group on Transportation : A conceptual design for a national transport model with cross-sectoral interdependencies (04/09/2017 to 06/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact This paper presents issues, trade-offs and challenges encountered while developing a UK national transport model as part of a large interdisciplinary project, ITRC MISTRAL. The Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) is a consortium of seven leading UK universities focusing on analysis of national infrastructure systems using a system-of-systems approach. In this paper, we describe a multi-modal multi-scale national transport model being developed by ITRC which includes passenger and freight transport via highways, railways, airports, seaports and local transit networks. The model predicts future demand for each mode on individual flows using an elasticity-based simulation approach.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Lovric M; Blainey S; Preston JM

External participant/s:
International Transport Experts/Policy makers
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/417159/1/EWGT_LovricEtAl.pdf
 
Description Presentation of Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) pilot / mobile assessment model at Facebook Connectivity Lab's Faculty Workshop, San Francisco, CA. (06/12/2018 - 07/12/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
The event was a chance to see the research that Facebook Connectivity are doing and start a dialogue about potential collaboration. We now have a variety of proposals in process,
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Presentation of Mistral capabilities for providing quantitative infrastructure modelling and exchanges of information. (30/07/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Attended by interested parties seeking an overview of the risk/interdependencies work carried out by ITRC-Mistral in the UK after recommendations by others to make contact. Much of the current work for London is at a more 'qualitative' nature. ITRC-Mistral representatives presented a number of case studies demonstrating Mistral's capabilities for more quantitative infrastructure network modelling. The visitors expressed interest in all of the case studies presented and are to go back to home institutions to discuss our work and identify potential for collaboration. Slideshows/handouts/reports were exchanged between groups.

External participants:
? Kristen Guida, London Climate Change Partnership
? Dr Gianluca Pescaroli, University College London
? Hamish Cameron, London Resilience

Internal participants:
Zorn C.
Pant R.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Presentation of global network model and discussion of possible collaboration with XL Catlin (20/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
XL Catlin visit: Presentation of Mistral's global network model, and follow-on discussions on possible collaboration. The first possible collaboration would be the ITRC Global Infrastructure Analysis Group holding a workshop on how to use big (open) data for risk analysis.

External participants:
? Tom Philp, Manager - Science, Xl Catlin
? Matt Wheeler, Catastrophe Research Manager, Xl Catlin
? Alan Milroy, Head of Geospatial Underwriting), Xl Catlin

Internal participants:
The ITRC/Mistral Global Infrastructure Analysis Group
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Presentation of global network model and discussion of possible collaboration with Zurich RE (20/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Zurich RE: Presentation of Mistral's global network model, and discussion on possible collaboration. First possible collaboration is on mapping global vanilla flows.

External participant:
Nick Wildgoose, Global Supply Chain Product Leader, Zurich RE

Internal participants:
The ITRC/Mistral Global Infrastructure Analysis Group
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Presentation on Operational Research and Public Policy Design at the Operational Research Society's annual conference, Portsmouth University, from 6-8 September 2016. J Hall; S Thacker 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 06/09/2016 : 12:00 : Room-DS2.14 Code: OR58A2931
The Future of National Infrastructure
Dr Scott Thacker and Prof Jim Hall (University of Oxford)
Infrastructure forms the economic backbone of modern society. It is a key determinant of economic competitiveness, social well-being and environmental sustainability. Yet infrastructure systems (energy, transport, water, waste and digital communications), in multiple contexts globally, face a range of serious challenges. There have been many calls for a more strategic, long-term approach to national infrastructure in the UK and elsewhere around the world. Whilst appealing in principle, in practice developing a national infrastructure strategy poses major challenges of complexity and uncertainty. The UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) has set out a systematic methodology for long term analysis of the
performance of national infrastructure systems, which deals with each infrastructure sector (energy, transport, digital communications, water supply, waste water and solid waste) in a consistent framework and assesses the interdependencies between infrastructure sectors. The methodology is supported with the world's first infrastructure system of systems model (NISMOD), which has been developed for long term decision analysis in interdependent infrastructure systems. Following an introduction of the ITRC and NISMOD, this presentation provides details of a number of applications of the model to the UK and beyond. In doing so, it provides examples of how system-based modelling is being used to support decision making within government and industry at a range of scales.

External Stakeholder Representative: Robert Solly; Division Head, Defence & Security Analysis, Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, UK Government
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.theorsociety.com/Pages/Conferences/OR58/OR58.aspx
 
Description Presentation; World Summit of Local and Regional Leaders (United Cities and Local Governments - UCLG), Bogota, Columbia 12-15 October 2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Presentation of National Infrastructure Systems Model International (NISMOD-INT) work at Summit conference
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.bogota2016.uclg.org/en/programme
 
Description Prime Minister's Council for Science and Technology (CST). Inaugural meeting (2 days). (04/03/2020 to 05/03/2020) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Prof. J.W. Hall (ITRC lead) was invited to provide expertise to the Council with respect to Infrastructure issues.
Ongoing Council meetings.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
 
Description Project 3.1: A general framework for national infrastructure assessment; signed approval from the Palestinian Authority for further engagement with Ministry of Interior 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) has received signed approval from the Palestinian Authority for further engagement with Ministry of Interior which they now hope to utilise for other ministries.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Project initialisation meetings for a research study in St Lucia. (28/02/2018 to 02/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Fast Track Analysis (FTA) for St. Lucia. FTA is a standardised form of study that the ITRC provides. It is essentially a national infrastructure assessment - to understand a countries future infrastructure needs and provide recommendations for how those needs can be met.

External participants:
Government of St. Lucia
Private Sector Officials

Internal participants:
Thacker S.
Fuldauer L.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Project planning and design meeting with Thames21 (21/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Project planning and design meeting with Thames21, an educational charity. Skype meeting.
Guidance on direction of 'Water Futures' visualisation tool was provided.
Further meetings planned (March 2018)

External participant:
Edel Fingleton, Education Officer, Thames21

Internal participants:
? Landstrom C.
? Mortazavi-Naeini M.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Project planning and design meeting with Thames21 (26/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Guidance on direction of'Water Futures' visualisation tool was provided.
Follow up meeting from 21/03/2018

External participants:
Thames21

Internal participants:
Landstrom C.
Mortazavi-Naeini M.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Protecting future housing developments from the effects of climate change. (09/05/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Professor Jim Hall of Oxford's Environmental Change Institute comments on new plans by the Environment Agency to protect future housing developments from the effects of climate change.

External participant: BBC World Service; News
Internal participant: Hall J.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
 
Description Provision of an Executive Summary of the paper 'Quantifying the Daily Economic Impact of Extreme Space Weather Due to Failure in Electricity Transmission Infrastructure' to the Meteorlogical Office (Met Office) for onward provision to the UK Science Minister as part of the Met Office's funding request to the Department of Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) for the new L5 satellite mission. (July 2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Continuing discussions for further related activity.
Dr Oughton has provided an Executive Summary of the paper 'Quantifying the Daily Economic Impact of Extreme Space Weather Due to Failure in Electricity Transmission Infrastructure' to the Meteorlogical Office (Met Office) for onward provision to the UK Science Minister as part of the Met Office's funding request to the Department of Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) for the new L5 satellite mission. The Executive Summary accompanies the business case for the space mission undertaken by the UK Space Agency. No funding is provided as yet.
Full details of the article; Oughton, Edward J., Andrew Skelton, Richard B. Horne, Alan W. P. Thomson, and Charles T. Gaunt. 2017. 'Quantifying the Daily Economic Impact of Extreme Space Weather Due to Failure in Electricity Transmission Infrastructure'. Space Weather 15 (1): 65-83. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016SW001491

External participants:
Meteorlogical Office (Met Office)
Department of Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS)

Internal participant: Oughton E.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Quoted in the press: Quantifying the daily economic impact of extreme space weather due to failure in electricity transmission infrastructure. (19/01/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Reviewed and featured by the press: . Oughton, E.J., Skelton, A., Horne, R.B., Thomson, A.W.P., and Gaunt, C.T. (2017) Quantifying the daily economic impact of extreme space weather due to failure in electricity transmission infrastructure. Space Weather, 15 (1): 65-83 doi: 10.1002/2016SW001491.

http://news.agu.org/press-release/extreme-space-weather-induced-electricity-blackouts-could-cost-u-s-more-than-40-billion-daily/
http://www.jbs.cam.ac.uk/home/
http://www.cambridgenetwork.co.uk/news/severe-space-weather-could-cost-billions/
http://news.sky.com/story/blackouts-from-extreme-space-weather-could-cost-16333bn-study-10733502
https://phys.org/news/2017-01-extreme-space-weather-induced-blackouts-billion.html
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2017-01-19/how-space-could-trigger-a-future-economic-crisis
https://www.aol.com/article/news/2017/10/06/huge-solar-storm-is-coming-could-cost-20-trillion-damage/23231369/?guccounter=1
https://www.cambridge-news.co.uk/news/cambridge-news/cambridge-experts-warn-extreme-space-12478665
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/eggheads-warn-extreme-space-weather-9645134
http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/579759/Solar-storm-space-weather-forecast-blackouts-world-economy-meltdown-UK-US-China
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.cambridgenetwork.co.uk/news/severe-space-weather-could-cost-billions/
 
Description R Gecan of the Congressional Budget Office (CBO, USA) had a discussion with Dr E. Oughton of the ITRC Digital Comms Group with reference to Critical National Infrastructure (CNI) threats of low probability but high impact. (31/07/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Ron Gecan from the CBO contacted Dr E. Oughton of the ITRC regarding CNI low probability, high impact threats. The discussion covered Dr Oughton's space weather CNI research in greater detail, after reading the papers published by Dr Oughton.
The original paper Mr Gecan read was:
Oughton, Edward J., Andrew Skelton, Richard B. Horne, Alan W. P. Thomson, and Charles T. Gaunt. 2017. 'Quantifying the Daily Economic Impact of Extreme Space Weather Due to Failure in Electricity Transmission Infrastructure'. Space Weather 15 (1): 65-83. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016SW001491.
In addition the following paper, currently in review, was also discussed:
Oughton, E.J., M. A. Hapgood, G.S. Richardson, C.D. Beggan, A.W.P. Thomson, M. Gibbs, C. Burnett, et al. 2018. 'A Risk Assessment Framework for the Socio-Economic Impacts of Electricity Transmission Infrastructure Failure Due to Space Weather'. Cambridge Judge Business School Working Paper No. 01/2018. https://www.jbs.cam.ac.uk/faculty-research/publications/working-papers/working-papers-from-2018/
Short further discussion is anticipated.

External participant: Ron Gecan, Prinicpal Analysts, Congressional Budget Office USA.

Internal participant: E. Oughton
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Re-organisaton of collaborations with the Bank of England. Meeting with the ITRC/Mistral's Agent Based Modelling Group (Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET), University of Oxford) (26/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Collaboration re-organisation meeting. A new schedule of actions for the collaboration of our groups has been established.

External participants:
? Arzu Uluc, Economist: Macro-Financial Risks Division, Bank of England
? Marc Hinterschweiger, Bank of England

Internal participants:
ITRC/Mistral's Agent Based Modelling Group (Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET), University of Oxford)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Report in the University of Cambridge 'Daily News Digest' (04/10/2017) highlighting the study by E Oughton and Z Frias stating that consistent broadband service rather than speed should be the key to the UK's 5G mobile technology 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Study by Edward Oughton (Cambridge Judge Business School) says that consistent broadband service rather than speed should be the key to the UK's 5G mobile technology. Computer Weekly. The Government should avoid setting unrealistic connectivity requirements for 5G mobile broadband, and focus instead on ensuring reliable and consistent coverage.The government is in danger of setting unrealistic speed and connectivity requirements for future 5G mobile broadband networks - especially in rural areas - and should focus instead on trying to guarantee reliable and consistent universal coverage in order for the UK to fully exploit the potential of 5G, according to a new report from the University of Cambridge's Judge Business School.

Internal participant/s
Oughton E
Frias Z

External Participant/s
Charles Goldsmith, Head of Media Relations, University of Cambridge Judge Business School
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://universityofcambridge.cmail20.com/t/ViewEmail/j/78B710B2E15AD5F42540EF23F30FEDED/A2D24B087D0C...
 
Description Report to Department for Transport (DfT): digital connectivity for Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs) (06/10/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Expansion of the debate with reference to the necessity of establishing 5G connectivity.
Meanwhile EU members commit to a new declaration to establish a common baseline for 5G standards and help make Europe a global leader on future mobile networks.
Full deployment of a commercial 5G mobile network is still at least two years away, but new business models are already beginning to crystallise around the technology.

Link: https://www.computerweekly.com/news/450427404/Consistent-service-not-speed-key-to-UKs-5G-future-say-researchers
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.computerweekly.com/news/450427404/Consistent-service-not-speed-key-to-UKs-5G-future-say-...
 
Description Research engagement with Challenge 1 researchers: Building characterisation, aggregation and scenarios 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact September 2016 Meeting with Mark Birkin and Will Usher to develop and agree population attribution of buildings and population geodemographic data structure for NISMOD-DB2.
Also to provide a deeper engagement with other Challenge 1 researchers.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Research meeting review/forward planning at the Treasury Offices, London (13/03/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Research meeting review/forward planning at the Treasury Offices, London (13/03/2017). Focus: to review the National Infrastructure Assessment in relation to ITRC Mistral

Participants: Jim Hall, Matt Crossman, Alexa Bruce, James Richardson,
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Research meetings to discuss NIC engagement elements: Run water, wastewater and waste models (10/03/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist), Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser), and Jack Large (Intern) from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC to dicuss
? Run water, wastewater and waste models
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Researcher review of NIC Technology Scenarios 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact Review of ITRC/National Infrastructure Commission Technology Scenarios. 10 November 2016
Participants: Bianca Letti, Matt Ives, Will Usher, Daniel Adshead
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Researcher review team meeting 16/02/2017 to discuss 1) Water flow scenarios/modelling 2) NIC starting to use NISMOD 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist) from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC on 16/02/2017 to discuss
? Water flow scenarios/modelling
? NIC starting to use NISMOD
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Response by the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium to consultation on the National Infrastructure Assessment (06/09/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: The ITRC has engaged with the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) since its formation. We are grateful for the constructive way in which Commissioners and officials of the NIC have approached our work. We offer support to the NIC as it continues to develop and implement the National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA)

Internal participants: Hall J; ITRC Researchers

External participants: NIA/NIC members
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Response from the Chartered Institution of Civil Engineering Surveyors (ICES) to the Call for Evidence for the National Needs Assessment. Prepared in consultation with senior members of the institution. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The Mistral project replied to the Call for Evidence for the National Needs Assessment (prepared in consultation with senior members of the institution).

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Jim Hall

Executive group members:
Sir John Armitt; Chair, President Institution of Civil Engineers
Martin Baggs; former CEO Thames Water
Nick Baveystock, Institution of Civil Engineers
Graham Dalton, Independent
John Dickie, London First
Jim Hall, Oxford University & Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium
Steve Holliday, former CEO National Grid
Rhian Kelly, CBI
Jon Lamonte, Transport for Greater Manchester
Professor Lord Robert Mair, Cambridge University
Robbie Owen, Pinsent Masons
Richard Threlfall, KPMG
Gareth Williams, Scottish Council for Development and Industry
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-infrastructure-assessment-call-for-evidence
 
Description Review of infrastructure drivers for National Infrastructure Commission (01/12/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact Review of infrastructure drivers for National Infrastructure Commission: technology, population, economic growth, climate change (01/12/2016)

Participants: Bianca Letti, Matt Ives, Will Usher, Daniel Adshead
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Rising sea levels will claim homes around English coast, report warns. 'Third of coastline cannot be affordably protected, government climate change advisers say, with current plans 'not fit for purpose'' (26/10/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Prof Jim Hall, another member of the committee, said: "We are not prepared."
Making better information easily available would alarm people but was vital, said Hall. It would also affect property values, he said: "If it was better communicated, as we think it should be, then that would have a [negative] impact on house prices." For big cities such as London, bigger defences make economic sense. "That's going to cost money and that's not very good news for the chancellor, but it's just the start of the costs of climate change," said Hall.

External participants:
The UK Committee for Climate Change (CCC )

Internal participant:
Hall J.W.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/oct/26/rising-sea-levels-will-claim-homes-around-englis...
 
Description Rob Jones (Head, The Caribbean Resilient Infrastructure Alliance) contacted Nick O'Regan of UNOPS Copenhagen (CPH) to coordinate a meaningful relationship with the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and Dr Thacker (the UNOPS member of the ITRC). (13/09/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Fulai Sheng of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) contacted the UNOPS group of the ITRC by email, and copied in Rob Jones (Rob Jones, Head, The Caribbean Resilient Infrastructure Alliance), on 12/09/2018 with reference to developing a work stream on sustainable infrastructure in connection to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and climate actions. UNEP were keen to reach out to UNOPS for partnership and building on UNOPS work. Further contact by telephone was arranged

Also on 13/09/2018 Steven Crosskey of UNOPS contacted Fulai Sheng (and copied to Trevor Sway and Nick O'Regan, both of UNOPS) to reach some common ground with reference to a number of initiatives active with UNOPS at that date:
1. UNOPS have developed a Capacity Assessment Tool for Infrastructure (CAT-I) to understand how entities Plan, Deliver and Manage their infrastructure assets. This is a comprehensive look at all aspects of governance around infrastructure leading to practical recommendations for action, to build on strengths and address gaps.
2. a) UNOPS have worked very closely with the ITRC Group of the University of Oxford in several areas including the development of the National Infrastructure Systems Model for Infrastructure, (NISMOD-int), based on the ground breaking work done by ITRC for the UK infrastructure sector, but appropriate for developing nations (where data is generally less available). We have piloted the tool in Palestine, and Curacao island, and presently we have one or two more in the pipeline. This allows us to gather asset data across infrastructure sectors - (water, waste, ICT, Energy and Transport, as well as social infrastructure - health, education Rule of Law, Economic structure, housing etc.), and model current and future demand based on development goals, as well as input hazard data to investigate current and future vulnerabilities in a 'systems of systems' approach.
2. b) UNOPS are jointly supporting and attending the Institute of Civil Engineers (ICE) event - The Global congress on engineering and the SDG's in late October. (https://www.ice.org.uk/events/global-engineering-congress ). For this they are in the process of developing a paper, based on research by ITRC Oxford, on the relationship of Infrastructure to the SDG targets, highlighting its role, and importance. We have also written a short introduction for the Congress brochure, and an expanded piece to go to all participants to highlight the role of Engineers in the SDG's.
2. c) A paper on Small Island Developing states and effects of climate change and the importance of Infrastructure, based on case studies for work ongoing in Curacao and St. Lucia in both of which UNOPS of the ITRC (the University of Oxford) is partaking.
Mr Jones believed it would be very useful to discuss the matter further with Mr O'Regan, as there is a clear need to be able to being together the physical infrastructure (built assets etc) and the natural infrastructure (wetlands, mangrove forests etc.) that should be combined to address some of developing countries greatest needs to drive for sustainable development, and combat the negative effects of climate change on the risk environment. Mr O'Regan's interest in developing a work stream on sustainable infrastructure could be a great opportunity to partner in this important area.

External participants:
? Fulai Sheng; Head, Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
? Steve Crosskey; Head of IPM Strategic Initiatives, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS Headquarters
? Nick O'Regan; Director of Infrastructure and Project Management, UNOPS
? Rob Jones (Head, The Caribbean Resilient Infrastructure Alliance)

Internal participant:
Thacker S.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Rolling out 5G - ITRC-MISTRAL telecommunications analysis for the Netherlands (01/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A workshop with mobile telecommunications operators in the Netherlands, to test the underlying assumptions and to get industry comment and feedback.
? Outputs & outcomes:
Early in the project a workshop brought together mobile telecommunications operators in the Netherlands, to test the underlying assumptions and to get industry comment and feedback.
The study, conducted in partnership with the telecommunications consultancy, Stratix, sets out to understand the costs associated with different strategic 5G mobile network options.
In particular, the project team was asked to:
? indicate the investments needed to achieve certain levels of service for end users
? understand the differences in the investments required for different networks
? provide insights into the factors that influence investment costs.
Within the telecommunications sector, this analysis would normally be conducted internally. By using ITRC-MISTRAL's methodology, this study is bringing transparency to the process of technological innovation.
The report is due to be launched by mid-2018.

Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/tag/dutch-ministry-of-economic-affairs/

External participant:
Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs

Internal participant:
Oughton E.
ITRC Digital Communications Team
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/tag/dutch-ministry-of-economic-affairs/
 
Description Royal Academy of Engineering Ingenious Project (01/03/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Schools
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Working on a Royal Academy of Engineering Ingenious project in the next couple of weeks talking about climate change with school children. Part of this will be infrastructure resilience and land-use planning.

External participants:
Royal Academy of Engineering
Schools (Newcastle area)

Internal participants:
ITRC Newcastle
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
 
Description SPRU 50th Anniversary conference, 'Transforming Innovation'. Submission of a joint written evidence to the Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) Committee inquiry into industrial strategy on 3 October 2016. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Evidence submitted by SPRU's Professor Mazzucato, and Professor Jim Watson has been cited extensively in the Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) Committee's First Review on industrial strategy (published 3 March 2017) 'House of Commons: Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy Committee: Industrial Strategy: First Review: Second report of Session 2016-17', (https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201617/cmselect/cmbeis/616/616.pdf).

Traditional approaches to industrial strategy have a sectoral or technology focus. We argue however that the best way for May's government to achieve its economic vision is through a 'mission-oriented' approach that focuses on solving important societal challenges such as; climate change, youth unemployment, obesity, ageing and inequality. Such an approach would require many different sectors to interact with each other in new ways. If used to give direction to Britain's economic growth path, this could generate innovation-led (smart) growth that is both inclusive and sustainable. Link: http://data.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/committeeevidence.svc/evidencedocument/business-energy-and-industrial-strategy-committee/industrial-strategy/written/39044.html
Watch / Listen to a full recording of the BEIS Committee Industrial strategy meeting:
http://www.parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/d5c3e7c7-62e0-41f8-953c-981289bb3ea6

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Professor Jim Watson

External participant/s:
Professor Mazzucato, Director, UCL Institute for Innovation & Public Purpose. Chair in the Economics of Innovation and Public Value
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.sussex.ac.uk/spru/newsandevents/2017/talks/beis-report
 
Description Seminar and workshop at the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Paris (27/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Collaborators from the Bank of England (BoE) and <> gave a seminar and a long (2h30) workshop presenting all details and inner workings of the housing model, including the spatial aspects already developed.
? Outputs & outcomes:
This information was provided to an audience (around 40) constituting mostly OECD economists and researchers but included also a few country representatives (economics counsellors).

External participants: The Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) forum

Internal participants: ITRC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Shifting the transformation bottlenecks: Innovation in mature infrastructure sectors.31 August to 3 September 2016 European Association for the Study of Science and Technology. Barcelona. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Presentation of paper 'Shifting the transformation bottlenecks: Innovation in mature infrastructure sectors
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://easst.net/article/how-to-inherit-from-barcelona/
 
Description Side event 16 October 2018 Webcast: Infrastructure and Sustainable Development: Making infrastructure investments work for women and girls. UN high level meeting - the next level below their general Assembly - about infrastructure serving women and girls. (16/10/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Second Committee, Side Event: Infrastructure and sustainable development - Making infrastructure investments work for women and girls (General Assembly, 73rd session).

? Outputs & outcomes:
The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development has reinforced the recognition that infrastructure forms the backbone of modern societies and that inadequate access to infrastructure and its services prevents the realization of human rights, perpetuates inequality, and hampers progress towards environmental sustainability. Furthermore, we have overwhelming evidence to show how the absence of adequate infrastructure disproportionately affects the most disadvantaged,
especially women and girls.

A recent study by the G20's Global Infrastructure Hub has shown that there is a current infrastructure investment gap of USD 97 trillion to meet global needs by 2040. The need to invest in infrastructure and provide scalable solutions is evident, but how can they be financed, particularly in low-income countries where the gaps are greatest and the capacity of most households to pay user charges lowest?

UN-Women and UNOPS have co-organized this side event bringing together a group of leading experts to explore some of the key policy choices facing countries as they seek to address gaps in their capacity to effectively plan, deliver, and manage sustainable, resilient, inclusive, and gender-responsive infrastructure.

Prof Hall particularly outlined the importance of digital infrastructure and gender imbalance across infrastructure issues and planning and encouraged further discussion of this element. He also emphasized the importance of infrastructure's role within the SDGs. He raised awareness of the NISMod-Int infrastructure modelling wich is running in various places worldwide, including smaller states such a St Lucia and Curaçao.

Mr Richard Kozul-Wright thanked the panel for it's input which has broadened the panel's viewpoint across the issue of gender imbalance. These points will go towards changing the UN's policies.

During the responses Prof Hall spoke to caution in allowing infrastructure to be state led, and into suffering continuing due to a lack of finance in poorer countries.

External participants:
- Sylvia Hordosch; Policy Adviser/Intergovernmental Support Division, United Nations
- Sonal Shah; Independent Consultant on urban planning and sustainable transportation
- Natalie Elwell; Senior Gender Advisor, Washington, United Nations
- Richard Kozul-Wright; Director of the Globalisation and Development Strategies Division, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)
- Anneli Lepp; Political Officer (2nd Committee - Development, Environment, Economy and finance, Humanitarian assistance), United Nations
- Ziad Mahmassani; Senior Intergovernmental Affairs Officer at ECOSOC Affairs Branch, United Nations
- Christine Brautigam; Policy Adviser at United Nations Women
- Shahrashoub Razavi; Gender and Spocial Policy, United Nations Research Institute for Social Development (UNRISD)
- Staab, Silke; Gender, Care, Social Policy, United Nations Research Institute for Social Development (UNRISD)
- Urjasi Rudra; Advocacy and Program Specialist at UN Women
- Elle Wang; Advisor and Strategist for Partnerships, Business Development, and Stakeholder Management, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)
- Dragan Micic; Partnerships Advisor, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)
- Joop Theunissen; Deputy Chief, Policy Coordination Branch, Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA), United Nations
- Eric Olson; Senior Economic Affairs Officer, United Nations
- Nicholas O'Regan; Director Infrastructure and Project Management, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)
- Joann Lee; Women, SDGs, United Nations
- Aina Iiyambo; Senior Governance Advisor, United Nations Development Fund for Women

Internal participants:
Hall, JW
Thacker, S
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://webtv.un.org/search/second-committee-side-event-infrastructure-and-sustainable-development-ma...
 
Description Social impact of the 'Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC)' on the Social Impact Open Repository (SIOR) (11/01/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The Social Impact Open Repository (SIOR) is an initiative born under the IMPACT-EV project funded by the 7th Framework Programme of the European Commission and coordinated by the research centre CREA-UB, University of Barcelona. The SIOR coordination team like to invite the ITRC/Mistral to be part of SIOR (further information is available at: http://sior.ub.edu/). SIOR is an open free and unique repository which gives universal visibility of the social impact of research projects not involving commercial interest.
The main objective of IMPACT-EV (Impact Evaluation) is to develop a permanent system of selection, monitoring and evaluation of the various impacts of Social Sciences and the Humanities (SSH) research.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://sior.ub.edu/
 
Description Solar blast could knock out the power grid - and your computer (18/11/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Newspaper report 'The Met Office is urging investment in satellites to detect once-a-century storms that could leave us in the dark for five days.'
Britain risks being crippled by huge electrical disturbances caused by storms in space unless a satellite network is built that can detect them coming. A network of satellites would monitor the sun and give at least a week to predict a solar flare. The Met Office states: "We find that for a one-in-100-year event, with no space weather forecasting capability, the gross domestic product loss to the United Kingdom could be as high as £15.9bn". The national weather service has told ministers a solar flare of the kind that has hit Earth two or three times in 200 years would cost the country £16bn in damage to computers, data transmission cables and power lines.
The report, co-authored with scientists from the British Antarctic Survey, Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, and Cambridge University said the UK should construct an early warning system.
? Outputs & outcomes:
British government's awareness raised of the cost of solar flare disruption and the need to enstate an efficient modern satellite system to create a timely awareness of a solar flare outburst.

External Participants:
- Jonathan Leake; Science Editor, The Sunday Times
- UK Newspapers

Internal participant: EA Oughton

Link: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/solar-blast-could-knock-out-the-power-grid-and-your-computer-jxl02j755
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/solar-blast-could-knock-out-the-power-grid-and-your-computer-jxl0...
 
Description Solid Waste Infrastructure Management System (SWIMS): a dynamic optimisation and decision support tool for solid waste management. International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems.
This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focused on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity.

Link Conference Proceedings: http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf

Internal participants:
Roberts, K (Presenter)
Stringfellow, A
Watson G
Powrie W

External participants:
International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description Submission to the NIC on the 5G infrastructure evidence call - completed (July 2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Submission to the NIC on the 5G infrastructure evidence call, for use by the National Needs Assessment (NNA)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/getattachment/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-...
 
Description Sustainable Infrastructure and the SDGs. How can sustainable infrastructure be delivered in the context of climate change. Economist Group interview with Prof Hall of the ITRC (17/11/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact The research into SDGs for The Economist will take the form of a 4,000-word digital essay complemented by an influencer outreach campaign of guest blogs, sponsored by the UN Office for Project Services (UNOPS) and hosted on https://perspectives.eiu.com/

? Outputs & outcomes:
Economist Article after December 5th 2018. Research questions could include the following:
· What is sustainable infrastructure and how does it contribute to achieving the Sustainable Developments Goals?
· What are the social and environmental dimensions of infrastructure, beyond the economic ones?
· How can governments achieve their infrastructure-related commitments under the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development?
· How can sustainable infrastructure be delivered in the context of climate change?
· How can infrastructure help to mitigate the effects of climate change, and how can it help to better adapt to climate change?
· To what extent can sustainable infrastructure help to avert, or better respond to, climate-related crises?
· What are the key challenges in delivering sustainable infrastructure (for example, geography, strategy, regulation, policy environment, coordination, risk management, financing, capacity, R&D, information and knowledge)?
· Are any interesting policy initiatives addressing these barriers and challenges?
· What compelling case studies might highlight the role of sustainable infrastructure in meeting the SDGs, particularly in challenging contexts such as recent hurricanes in the Caribbean?
· What is the outlook for sustainable infrastructure development?
· What key policy initiatives are needed now to target the main issues at stake?

External participant: Sarah Murray; Financial Times and Economist Group contributor (Economist Intelligence Unit (sister to the Economist newspaper) )
Internal participant: Prof JW Hall
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://perspectives.eiu.com/
 
Description Sustainable infrastructure update (infrastructure impacts analysis); policy brief and nexus dialogue with the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) (12/12/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Email from Rowan Palmer to "Dear Friends and Colleagues, Thank you all for your continuing engagement on sustainable infrastructure. We are pleased to be able to provide you with a brief update on a few of our shared workstreams."
Please find attached for your information the finalized policy brief on infrastructure and climate. Many thanks to those of you who provided inputs!

We would also like to let you know that we are working with some UN partner agencies and the UN Environmental Management Group (EMG) to organize an interagency "Nexus Dialogue" on sustainable infrastructure to be held 26th of February in Geneva. More information to follow, but we wanted to flag the date for those of you interested in attending.

Thank you all for your continuing engagement on sustainable infrastructure. We are pleased to be able to provide you with a brief update on a few of our shared workstreams:

1. With inputs and endorsement from a number of you and your organization, we developed the attached policy brief on the infrastructure-biodiversity nexus. It was released at the start of the CBD COP last Saturday, and is also available for download on the Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP). Please feel free to share it amongst your own networks as you see fit. And THANK YOU to all those who provided input.

2. In order to take advantage of the policy window provided by the upcoming climate COP in Poland, we are developing a similar policy brief on the infrastructure-climate nexus. Please see attached zero draft for review and comment. Please send any comments or edits back by COB, Monday, November 26. As with the biodiversity brief, please let us know if your institution is interested in endorsing the brief.

3. The sustainable infrastructure expert meeting that was held in Fuzhou on the 22-23 October was a great success -thanks to those of you who were able to attend and for your contributions. The meeting summary is now available, along with the presentations, on the event web page that is hosted on the GGKP.

4. Taking further advantage of the GGKP as a resource, we have also created a sustainable infrastructure page to serve as a makeshift home for our growing network of partners working on sustainable infrastructure. We can upload knowledge products to the GGKP library and link to them from the page, list upcoming and past events, write blog posts, and probably more. The GGKP currently receives about 18,000 unique site visits per month and has around 60 partner organizations, so it is a great way to share information about sustainable infrastructure. We are in the process of slowly uploading some 50 or so sustainable infrastructure-relevant documents (reports, papers, etc.) that we have come across during our research (many of them from your institutions). However, if you have additional sustainable infrastructure-related knowledge products you would like to add to the library, please send them to Ben Smith (bsmith@ggkp.org, copying Vanessa.bauer@un.org) for inclusion. And please let us know if you would like to be listed as a partner organization on the sustainable infrastructure page, and we can add your logo. The more the better.

Thank you for your ongoing collaboration. Best, Rowan [Palmer]

Links:
Policy brief on the infrastructure-biodiversity nexus. It was released at the start of the CBD COP last Saturday. http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/resource/mainstreaming-biodiversity-infrastructure-sector-fostering-system-level-approaches

Sustainable infrastructure expert meeting, Fuzhou on the 22-23 October. The meeting summary and presentations:
http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/sites/default/files/Meeting Summary_Fuzhou 22-23October 2018 %281%29.pdf
http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/coalition/infrastructure-sustainable-development-goals

Further GGKP resource, sustainable infrastructure page: http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/coalition/infrastructure-sustainable-development-goals

Email recipeints:
: 'lothar.linde@yahoo.de' ; 'dtang@adb.org' ; 'bwang@aiib.org' ; 'maddenje@cdmsmith.com' ; 'czhao@eximbank.gov.cn' ; 'liyijun@cdb.cn' ; 'dongzf@caep.org.cn' ; 'jiaoewang@163.com' ; 'jinfj@igsnrr.ac.cn' ; 'tim.stumhofer@climateworks.org' ; 'tfarrell@conservation.org' ; 'markus.lehmann@cbd.int' ; 'carol.boyle@deakin.edu.au' ; 'greg@eds.org.nz' ; 'schmitt@arch.ethz.ch' ; 'a.relicovschi@eib.org' ; 'Lisa.Hunsinger.Extern@bmub.bund.de' ; 'klu@foe.org' ; 'peter.wolff@die-gdi.de' ; 'John.hauert@giz.de' ; 'achim.deuchert@giz.de' ; 'dtaras@iadb.org' ; 'weikang.wang@gggi.org' ; 'jiong.yong@ecos.ch' ; 'Pascal.peduzzi@unepgrid.ch' ; 'd.fisk@imperial.ac.uk' ; 'stephen.selwood@infrastructure.org.nz' ; 'zhou@iges.or.jp' ; 'chulanee@nus.edu.sg' ; 'chulaneejk@gmail.com' ; 'gwatkins@iadb.org' ; 'gsrinivasan2@ifc.org' ; 'andrea.bassi@ke-srl.com' ; 'operera@iisd.org' ; 'lila.buckley@iied.org' ; 'lieuw-kie-song@ilo.org' ; 'tsukamoto@ilo.org' ; 'Gueye@ilo.org' ; 'abrauss@intracen.org' ; 'gerard.bos@iucn.org' ; 'giulia.carbone@iucn.org' ; 'maximilian.mueller@iucn.org' ; 'rebecca.wellington@iucn.org' ; 'kimhoseok@gmail.com' ; 'jed.shilling@verizon.net' ; 'mohan@mindlanka.org' ; 'mindlanka@gmail.com' ; 'Akolhoff@eia.nl' ; 'elizabeth.losos@duke.edu' ; 'laura.bonich@nv5.com' ; 'Matthew.GRIFFITHS@oecd.org' ; 'Kumi.KITAMORI@oecd.org' ; 'william.tompson@oecd.org' ; 'jim.hall@eci.ox.ac.uk' ; 'william.usher@ouce.ox.ac.uk' ; 'ian@pdg.co.za' ; 'li.panwen@chinaaseanenv.org' ; 'gregor.grossman@giz.de' ; 'lkrueger@TNC.org' ; 'kai.li@tnc.org' ; 'sunjie@tongji.edu.cn' ; 'hancf@tongji.edu.cn' ; 'fengting@tongji.edu.cn' ; 'stephane.straub@ut-capitole.fr' ; 'v.nadin@tudelft.nl' ; 'roll@un.org' ; Rupert Colville ; Beibei Gu ; 'Han Meng' ; Yuki Yasui ; Jonathan Gilman ; Hossein Fadaei ; Jannica Pitkanen-Brunnsberg ; Rie Tsutsumi ; Hala Razian ; Feng Wang ; Martina Otto ; 'serge.salat@gmail.com' ; 'guoyong.liang@unctad.org' ; Sophia Twarog ; Vito Intini ; 'tim.scott@undp.org' ; Konstantinos Alexopoulos ; Marco Keiner ; Sarangoo Radnaaragchaa ; Cornelia Pretorius ; Graham Alabaster ; 'c.linke@unido.org' ; 'n.tas (unido.org)'; 'Angus Mackay'; Jose Pineda ; 'jose.pineda@sauder.ubc.ca' ; 'AlexandreBabak.Hedjazi@unige.ch' ; 'matteo.tarantino@unige.ch' ; 'anu@umn.edu' ; 'stevenc@unops.org' ; 'scottt@unops.org' ; 'clypiridis@worldbank.org' ; 'nli@wwfchina.org' ; 'kate.newman@wwfus.org' ; 'splo@wwfchina.org' ; 'dganapin@wwfint.org' ; 'pollalis@gsd.harvard.edu' ; 'viktor.novikov@zoinet.org' ; 'otto.simonett@zoinet.org' ; Curt Garrigan ; 'o.iti@unido.org' ; 'bella.evidente@unitar.org'
Cc: Fulai Sheng ; Emily Franklin ; Vanessa Iris Bauer ; Beibei Gu

Major external participants:
- Rowan Palmer Programme Specialist Economic and Fiscal Policy Unit, Economy Division, South-South Cooperation Unit, Policy and Programme Division
- Fulai Sheng, UNOPS
- Ben Smith, UNOPS
- Emily Franklin, UNOPS
- Beibei Gu, UNOPS
- Additional recipients of details:
- Mr Bin Wang; Senior Strategy and Policy officer, The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank
- Jane E. Madden, P.E., BCEE; Senior Vice President, CDM Smith

Internal participant:
Thacker S
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/resource/mainstreaming-biodiversity-infrastructure-sector-foster...
 
Description System-of-systems infrastructure modelling to support national sustainable development outcomes, International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems. This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focussed on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity.

? Outputs & outcomes: System-of-systems infrastructure modelling to support national sustainable development outcomes, International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017)

Abstract:
Infrastructures such as energy, water, transportation, waste and digital communications system provide services that underpin many of societies critical functions. Given their importance, evidence-based infrastructure development provides an opportunity to establish adaptable pathways to sustainable development. One major barrier to realising this opportunity is the current lack of data, methodology and tools, developed specifically to support decision-makers in this task. We address this need through the development of the first-of-its-kind National Infrastructure Systems Model (NISMOD) for International contexts. At the heart of NISMOD is an assessment process that has been designed to facilitate a systematic analysis of infrastructures to support national sustainable development outcomes. These outcomes are explicitly highlighted in the visualisation platform using, amongst others, performance metrics related to the United Nations Sustainability Development Goals, which have been calculated using system-of-systems infrastructure models. The visualisation platform has been specifically designed to step infrastructure decision makers through the assessment process, highlighting key information and insights and facilitating the iterative exploration and characterisation of adaptable pathways. We demonstrate the flexibility of applying NISMOD, to a range of different countries and contexts, by presenting a number of ongoing case studies. These include Palestine, Curacao and Syria, where the process and platform are being deployed, in collaboration with a range of organisations, to derive important new evidence and the opportunity to achieve measurable sustainable development.

? Link Conference Proceedings: http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf

Internal participants:
Russell, T (Presenter)
Thacker, S
Hall, JW
Pant, R
Leung J
Koks E

External participants:
International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description Systemic Resilience Metrics for Interdependent Infrastructure Networks (Sixth Internsational Symposium on Reliability Engineering and Risk Management: Resilience and Sustainability of Urban Systems). Singapore. (31/05/2018 - 01/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Critical infrastructures such as energy, transport, water, waste and telecommunications exist as geospatial interdependent networks, supplying goods and services that support society and economy. The resilience of infrastructure networks is tested in external shocks, resulting in the potential for widespread cascading failures with catastrophic socio-economic consequences. For efficient resilience planning, there is a need to understand systemic vulnerabilities to prioritize resource allocation for network enhancement. We present a system-of-systems methodology to meet this need, by analysing the systemic resilience in terms of individual asset level and aggregated spatial vulnerability characteristics of interdependent critical infrastructure networks.

Link: http://rpsonline.com.sg/proceedings/6isrerm/html/RR02.xml

Internal participants:
Pant, R.
Zorn, C.
Thacker, S.
Hall, J.W.

External participants:
Sixth International Symposium on Reliability Engineering and Risk Management
Xudong Qian, Editor
Sze Dai Pang, Editor
Ghim Ping Raymond Ong, Editor
Kok-Kwang Phoon, Editor
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://rpsonline.com.sg/proceedings/6isrerm/html/RR02.xml
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 03/07/2017 to discuss: energy; transport; water, climate, next phase of modelling and other issues 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti and Jack Large of the NIC met with Jim Hall, Matt Ives and Dan Adshead of the ITRC on 03/07/2017 to discuss
? Energy: New model runs; fuel price sensitivity analysis
?  Transport: Congestion metric; impact of a sensitivity analysis on car costs, GVA, fares
?  Water: Climate change update, abstraction reform, PCC reductions
?  Other: Asset maintenance, baselines (Jim Hall), next phase of modelling
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The 22nd SETAC (Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry) Europe LCA (Life Cycle Assessment) Case Study Symposium. Presentation of paper for session 'Application of the Solid Waste Infrastructure Management System (SWIMS) model to support regional and national decision making. (22/09/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Solid waste management (SWM) is an essential municipal service provided by government. Given the rapid population growth and socio-economic development that is projected to occur around the world, nations must ensure that they have sufficient infrastructure capacity to maintain this vital service. There is also increasing pressure on the SWM sector to improve its environmental performance. Despite increasing budgetary pressures, SWM decision makers are being required to make important strategic and investment decisions whilst simultaneously maintaining reliable, low-cost SWM services and identifying and pursuing opportunities to reduce their environmental impact. To alleviate this burden, regional and national SWM decision makers require information and tools to help inform management, planning, and investment in their SWM systems. The Solid Waste Infrastructure Management System (SWIMS) model is a life cycle-based decision support and optimisation tool for SWM. SWIMS forms part of a system-of-systems model, known as NISMOD-LP, which was developed in the UK and enables the analysis of interdependent national infrastructure systems. SWIMS models the infrastructure capacity requirements of a given area and tracks these requirements through time. Flows of waste materials through the SWM system are simulated from the point of generation through collection, treatment, and disposal/recycling/reuse. Potential environmental and financial impacts associated with the management of these waste flows are quantified through life-cycle process modelling. The model is able to explore every possible way through which waste streams can be managed within the system, both now and in the future, and of optimising waste management and investment based on a defined optimisation goal (e.g. minimising costs, reducing CO2e emissions, maximising materials recovery), a given a set of management constraints (e.g. restrictions on waste to landfill), and a range of possible future scenarios. SWIMS can model any area of any geographic scale and can thus be used to represent a city, region, or nation (including the cities and regions within that nation).
The purpose of this presentation is to provide a description of the SWIMS model and to highlight its novelties compared to other SWM decision support and optimisation tools. To demonstrate the value of the tool to decision makers, a case study of its application in the context of SWM at the UK regional scale will be presented.

Presenters: D.A. Turner, EMPA / Technology and Society Lab; J. Coello, Improbable; G. Watson, A. Stringfellow, University of Southampton; M. Ives, Oxford University; W. Powrie, University of Southampton; J. Hall, Oxford University
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://meetings.setac.org/frontend.php/presentation/listForPublic#
 
Description The Consumer Data Research Centre (CDRC) Data Partner Forum: Using population data to inform infrastructure investment (08/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Deliver software that generates data
• Open-source standalone generic components:
• R/python/node.js interfaces.
• Documented, tested and published*. (http://github.com/nismod/ukpopulation)
• Enhances reproducibility.
• Freely available to a wider audience.
• Outlive the project.

Links:
? https://www.cdrc.ac.uk/case-study/datapartnerforum/
? https://www.cdrc.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/6-Andrew-Smith.pdf

Internal participants:
Smith AP
Lomax NM

External participants:
The Consumer Data Research Centre (CDRC) Data Partner Forum
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.cdrc.ac.uk/case-study/datapartnerforum/
 
Description The Department for Transport (DfT) & the Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC) will meet with Simon Blainey of the ITRC to discuss the potential for hosting the National Transport Model on the Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI). (10/09/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Discussion between the Department for Transport (DfT) & the Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC), and the ITRC. Further related meetings are expected.

External participants:
? Department for Transport (DfT)
? Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC)

Internal partiicpants:
? Blainey S
? Hall JW
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description The Department for Transport (DfT), other relevant stakeholders, and Prof. Mike McDonald (ITRC, Southampton University) are exploring the potential for a workshop on International Connectivity and Maritime Transport (Sept 2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
The Department for Transport (DfT), other relevant stakeholders, and Prof. Mike McDonald (ITRC, Southampton University) are exploring the potential for a workshop on International Connectivity and Maritime Transport. Further related activity is expected.

External participants:
? The Department for Transport (DfT)
? Other stakeholders (to be announced)

Internal participant:
M. McDonald
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description The Dependence of New Zealand's Transport Infrastructure on Electricity 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Project to consider dependence of the wider New Zealand transportation network on electricity distribution components using 'people directly affected' as the common metric.
Format: Information poster

Internal participant:
Thacker S

External participants:
? Lea Andreae, University of Applied Sciences, Münster, Germany
? Conrad Zorn, University of Auckland
? Assoc. Prof. Asaad Shamseldin, University of Auckland
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://ir.canterbury.ac.nz/bitstream/handle/10092/12780/POSTER%20-%20Zorn_DependenceTrnsptInfstruct...
 
Description The House of Commons, Treasury Select Committee, Group hearings on the Autumn Statement 2016 (13/12/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Prof Jim Hall of the ITRC gave evidence to the UK Government's Autumn Select Committee as a member of a panel of experts providing evidence to the National Infrastructure Plan. This includes the Government will attract new private sector investment towards UK infrastructures meeting the needs of the economy.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Hall J

External participant/s:
Toby Coaker; Committee Specialist, Treasury Select Committee
Andrew Westcott; Head of Policy, Institute of Civil Engineers
Martin Baggs; Panel member and Infrastructure Executive (previously CEO, Thames Water)
Alexander Jan; Panel member and Head of Transactions, Arup
Andrew Rose; Panel member and Chief Executive of the Global Infrastructure Investor Association
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/national-infrastructure-plan
 
Description The International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI). Modelling future scenarios of infrastructure demand for the UK's National Infrastructure Assessment (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) meeting in 2017 brought together a global community of infrastructure academics, policy and industry professionals. The event aimed to share progress, knowledge and new thinking, and a number of ITRC-MISTRAL's researchers presented their work.

International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI), ONE GREAT GEORGE STREET, LONDON; 11-13 SEPTEMBER 2017 http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/

Conference Proceedings
http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf

Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems.

This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focussed on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity.

Presentation: Modelling future scenarios of infrastructure demand for the UK's National Infrastructure Assessment

Abstract
The National Infrastructure Commission has been tasked by the U.K. Government to provide expert, independent advice on pressing concerns regarding the UK's infrastructure and to provide in-depth assessments of her national infrastructure needs up to 2050. A cornerstone of this work is the development of the National Infrastructure Assessment, which will evaluate Britain's future infrastructure needs under a range of scenarios of future uncertainty, exploring alternative driving forces and pressures on infrastructure.

Conference Proceedings : http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/ISNGI-Conference-Proceedings-v2.pdf

Internal participants:
Ives, MC
Usher, W (Presenter)
Hall, JW
Blainey, S
Chaudry, M
Robson, C

External participants:
Silberman, A; National Infrastructure Commission, UK
Letti, B; National Infrastructure Commission, UK
Large, J; National Infrastructure Commission, UK
Baruah, P; Global Green Growth Institute (GGGI), UK
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
 
Description The International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI). Next generation infrastructure modelling for next generation infrastructure decision support. (11/09/2017 to 13/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems.
This year's ISNGI will bring together the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia to help commence this co-ordinated global infrastructure research program, focussed on long term infrastructure and land use planning, and to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity.

This session: Context:
• Investment decisions should be based on the best available evidence
• Large capital expenditure both for investment and operation of national infrastructure - UK: £500bn infrastructure projects planned to 2030
• Near term decision making under uncertainty - demographic changes and migration
• UK population growth: ~75 million by 2050 - economic growth and trade
• changing geopolitical landscape - technological change
• autonomous vehicles
• AI, robots - a different workforce - climate and extreme events
• increased exposure to flooding
• adaptation strategies
Other sections of the presentation:
• Breaking down silos
• New challenges; High spatial and temporal scales
• New opportunities; New sources of primary and secondary data
• Developing NISMOD v2.0
• Summary Under the MISTRAL project
• Any Questions? http://www.itrc.org.uk/ http://smif.rtfd.io william.usher@ouce.ox.ac.uk

• Link Conference: http://isngi.org/conference-outputs/
• Link to Conference Presentation: https://www.slideshare.net/UKCIP/next-generation-infrastructure-modelling-for-next-generation-infrastructure-decision-support?ref=https://www.itrc.org.uk/itrc-mistral-contributions-to-the-isngi-conference-2017/

Internal participants:
Usher W. (Presenter)
Hall J.

External participants:
International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.slideshare.net/UKCIP/next-generation-infrastructure-modelling-for-next-generation-infras...
 
Description The Martin Centre for Architectural and Urban Studies: Symposium for Applied Urban Modelling 2018. 'Modelling long-term change for national infrastructure planning.' (28/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
The Symposium builds on the extensive network of academics and practitioners in infrastructure planning, city design and the assessment of societal impacts of physical interventions, and take the opportunity of this major event to extend the engagement with wider disciplines. The ITRC/Mistral group presented Session 2: Long term urban change: Modelling long-term change for national infrastructure planning

Links:
? https://www.martincentre.arct.cam.ac.uk/conferences/AUM

Internal Participants:
Ford, A.
Barr, S.
Lomax, NM
Pregnolato, M.
Smith, AP
Robson, C
Glenis, V.
Dawson, R.
Hall, J.W.

External participants:
The Martin Centre for Architectural and Urban Studies
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.martincentre.arct.cam.ac.uk/conferences/AUM
 
Description The NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 04/09/2017 to discuss Water for the next phase of the NIA, and future requirements for NIA 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Bianca Letti and A Bruce of the NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 04/09/2017 to discuss
? Water: discussed options for next phase of NIA around intervention in WRMPs in December, comparing company vs regional decision making
? Discussions with Bianca Letti regarding future requirements for NIA
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 25/01/2018 to request Mistral's perspective on the NIC's approach to risk management, and to establish the level of drought resilience. A Peer Review Roundtable was set-up. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Alexa Bruce (Environment Lead) of the NIC met with Jim Hall of the ITRC on 25/01/2018 to request Mistral's perspective on the NIC's approach to risk management (as against the costs of such) to establish the level of drought resilience. A Peer Review Roundtable was set-up.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC by email on 12/06/2017 to discuss creation of a development (test) environment concerning NISMOD 1 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A member of the NIC met with Matt Ives from the ITRC by email on 12/06/2017 to discuss:
the creation of a development (test) environment for changes to NISMOD 1 avoiding disruption to the production server and the simulations being run by the NIC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC in the University of Southampton on 10/02/2017 to discuss Solid waste 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Thomas Bousfield of the NIC met with the ITRC in the University of Southampton on 10/02/2017 to discuss Solid waste
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 03/11/2017 to discuss the presentation of WATHNET; the next round of water modelling; discussions of new drought scenarios in GBWIM and WATHNET; Annex findings 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Bianca Letti, Alexa Bruce, Andrea Silberman, and Manuela Solera-Deuchar from the NIC met with Jim Hall and Mohammad Mortazavi-Naeini from the ITRC on 03/11/2017 to discuss
? Presentation of WATHNET by Mohammad Mortazavi-Naeini
? Next round of water modelling - discussions of new drought scenarios in GBWIM and WATHNET
? Discussions around Annex findings
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 06/02/2018 to discuss testing Mistral in relation to integration of NIC's independent transport projection data. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Greg McClymont (Lead on transport and cities) from the NIC met with Nik Lomax, Andrew Smith, and Simon Blainey of the ITRC on 06/02/2018 to discuss testing Mistral in relation to integration of NIC's independent transport projection data.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 08/02/2018 to raise important questions emerging from the NIA, and to plan a conference/event later in 2018 (18/04/2018, the Mistral mid-term review, and in the autumn). 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Manuela Di Mauro (Water Lead), James Richardson (Chief Economist), Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist), Bianca Letti (Economic Advisor), and Matt Crossman (Flood Risk Management Lead) of the NIC met with Jim Hall of the ITRC on 08/02/2018 to raise important questions emerging from the NIA. Further meetings/events are planned for on 18/04/2018, the Mistral mid-term review, and for a conference in the autumn (Jim Hall to contact Pete Tyler (University Professor, Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge) to settle on a date and location).
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 17/10/2017 to discuss the NIA Phase II kick-off meeting; the next round of water/drought modelling; solid Waste modelling; a summary on the NIA, NNA work, and Civil Engineers meeeting the carbon challenge 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Bianca Letti, Alexa Bruce, Andrea Silberman, and Manuela Solera-Deuchar of the NIC met with J Hall and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 17/10/2017 to discuss
? NIA Phase II kick-off meeting
? Next round of water modelling - need for new drought scenarios in GBWIM
? Solid Waste modelling, fixing issues with multi-threading, new strategies on residual waste management
- assess alternative combinations of collection and processing
- Presented a summary on the NIA and NNA work as well as role of Civil Engineers in meeting the carbon challenge
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 23/11/2017 to discuss; new NISMOD updates, NIC demand management, Atkins drought water scenarios 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser), Michael Tran, and Manuela Solar-Deuchar (HM Treasury Representative) from the NIC met with Matt Ives of the ITRC on 23/11/2017 to discuss
? NISMOD updates to be released in v1.62 on Friday
? can NIC force demand managemet but ensure it is not used as an option otherwise
? Atkins drought water scenarios and sustainability changes updates
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 30/11/2017 to discuss; a general overview and update on the research projects; geographical coverage and consistency; increase in yield versus capacity, future of other models in NISMOD 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser), Michael Tran, Manuela Solar-Deuchar (HM Treasury Representative), and Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist) of the NIC met with Matt Ives of the ITRC on 30/11/2017 to discuss
? General overview of where we are, update on the research projects
? Geographical coverage and consistency (coverage of Wales and consistency of WRZ naming with Water UK)
? Increase in yield versus capacity, 2015 Start year issue
? What next, other models in NISMOD
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on the 23/08/2017 to discuss Energy models and training for NIC members using NISMOD 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, A Ioannis, Alexa Bruce, and Doerte Schneemann of the NIC met with Matt Ives of the ITRC on the 23/08/2017 to discuss
? Energy: New model runs
? Energy: Discussing differences with UK TIMES outputs
? Training for Ioannis and Michael on using NISMOD
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) report (10/07/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) report is the first long term view of the UK's infrastructure needs, and is underpinned by analysis produced by a consortium of the UK's leading universities, including Oxford University, who led on the work and includes advanced modelling and analysis with scenarios of the future (the ITRC). This adopted methodology has been proposed by the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium.

The ITRC has developed the UK's first National Infrastructure Model (NISMOD) which was used by the National Infrastructure Commission to conduct the National Infrastructure Assessment. The Assessment sets out a clear, long term strategy for the UK's economic infrastructure from 2020 to 2050, providing long term clarity for industry and the supply chain. (Report Annexe B)

? Link: https://www.nic.org.uk/publications/national-infrastructure-assessment-2018/
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/publications/national-infrastructure-assessment-2018/
 
Description The National Infrastructure Assessment: Process and Methodology. May 2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 'The National Infrastructure Assessment: Process and Methodology' consultative document giving rise to the resultant National Infrastructure Commission (NIC). The NIC will seek to draw together expertise across every relevant sector, alongside unique and independent analysis to develop an assessment of the nation's infrastructure of the highest possible standard. The ITRC/Mistral project provides information and methodologies to the NIC.

External Stakeholder Representative: Robert Solly; Division Head, Defence & Security Analysis, Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, UK Government
External participant/s:
Lord Adonis; Chair of the National Infrastructure Commission

Internal participant/s:
Hall J; ITRC Team
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/525950/National_Infrastruc...
 
Description The National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) conveyed a copy of the cover letter and Terms of Reference for the 'Government response to the National Infrastructure Assessment / New National Infrastructure Commission Study on resilience', including a reference to the Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI), issued to Sir John Armitt by the Rt Hon. Phil Hammond (Chancellor of the Exchequer) (30/10/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:Matt Crossman of the NIC contacted Jim Hall of the ITRC with details of the 'Terms of Reference for the NIC Resilience Study' published on 29 October 2018 as a letter from The Rt. Hon. Phil Hammond (Chancellor of the Exchequer) to Sir John Armitt (Chair of the National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA)): 'Government response to the National Infrastructure Assessment /New National Infrastructure Commission Study on resilience'. The ToR include a reference to the Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI).

'The National Infrastructure Assessment highlighted the importance of ensuring our infrastructure can respond future challenges, such as those expected as a result of climate change to the success of our economy. We need to ensure our systems can cope with future shocks, threats, and challenges, especially those intensified by the increased interdependence of infrastructure systems. I am therefore asking the NIC to review the evidence on the different approaches for improving the resilience of infrastructure systems. The NIC should make recommendations to government on how best to assess resilience, how government should plan for unexpected shocks, and to review the costs and benefits of measures to improve resilience.' Phil Hammond.

Link: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/752185/CX_letter_resillience_study_and_terms_or_reference_29102018__002__final-digi.pdf

External participants:
? Crossman M; Flood Risk Management Lead, National Infrastructure Commission
? The Rt Hon Philip Hammond; Chancellor of the Exchequer

Internal participants: J.W. Hall
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/7521...
 
Description The National Infrastructure Commission and the Institute for Transport Studies (ITS) Leeds Future Cities Workshop (27/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Simon Blainey of the ITRC attended the National Infrastructure Commission and the Institute for Transport Studies (ITS) Leeds Future Cities Workshop

External participants:
? The NIC Transport Group
? Institute for Transport Studies (ITS), University of Leeds

Internal participant:
Blainey S.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description The Northumbrian Water Group (NWG) Innovation Festival: presentations showcasing Mistral work (09/07/2018 - 13/07/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
The concept of a digital twin is that we use a live and dynamic digital representation the real world to enable us to do things better. Our starting point is that this is likely to be in three main areas:

- Improved customer / employee experience - this could be around H&S, incident response, training, optimised field services / work management;
- improved productivity / reduced whole life cost - this could be include efficient investment delivery, extended asset life, reduced energy / chemical use; and
- facilitated innovation - the idea that the digital twin could be a safe environment in which to test and experiment, without risking real-world consequences.

There are organisations already building and using versions of digital twins, so we thought we'd start by understanding what others have done and how it might benefit our business. We are planning three stands of work, working together initially to explore the art of the possible but separating to work on:

- developing a roadmap that will enable us and our partners to plan development and investment needed in this area over the next 3-5 years;
- develop business cases for how we might use the technology in the short term, along with proposals for what we would need to do to make it happen; and
- a recreation of an operational incident, to show what benefits accrue from being able to visualise and plan on the fly, as an incident evolves.

60 attendees present for the Sprint from a range of organisations including Northumbrian Water, over 1000 present across the full event.

The NWG has provided a 'Sprint Follow Up' where one may select Sprint 5 to be informed of what comes out of this Sprint.

Link: https://innovationfestival.org/testing-the-water

External participants:
The Northumbrian Water Group (NWG)

Internal participants:
Barr S.
Robson C.
Glenis V.
Kilsby C.
Pregnolato M.
Ford A.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://innovationfestival.org/testing-the-water
 
Description The Oxford International Infrastructure Consortium (OXIIC) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The Oxford International Infrastructure Consortium (OXIIC) is an Oxford based research platform which aims to facilitate collaboration and dialogue between academia,international organisations, governments, financial institutions, and other public and private sectors on infrastructure worldwide.
It is supported by the Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment (SSEE), the Environmental Change Institute (ECI), University of Oxford and the UK Infrastructure Transition Research Consortium (ITRC-MISTRAL). The establishment of the OXIIC is in response to the "knowledge gap" in the field of infrastructure. Drawing on the long tradition of independent scholarship and academic freedom at the University of Oxford, the OXIIC has the following aspirations:

1- To offer the world-class impartial and supportive environment for dialogue and communication on infrastructure between academics, policymakers and practitioners;

2- To facilitate the exchange of knowledge, data and information on infrastructure between academics, policymakers and practitioners;

3- To work effectively with other institutions and initiatives world
wide, where such partnerships can lead to outstanding research and insights on infrastructure.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.oxiic.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/1_OXIIC-2016-Conference-Brochure__print-version-revi...
 
Description The Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC) and Simon Blainey of the ITRC held discussions on establishing a contract/agreement for their use of NISMOD1 (July 2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC) and Simon Blainey of the ITRC held discussions on establishing a contract/agreement for their use of NISMOD1. The discussions are yet to be concluded.

? Outputs & outcomes:
Continuing discussions for further related activity.

External participants: The Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC)

Internal participant: Simon Blainey, ITRC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description The future of digital communications 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact St Catharine's College Cambridge, 1 February 2017

Our event brought together leading players in the digital communications sector, including industry, policy and research. They considered some of the critical issues facing the digital communications sector and how best to create a model the UK's digital telecommunications infrastructure to help decision-makers in policy and industry.

We would like to thank the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, funders of the ITRC-MISTRAL programme, and Analysys Mason, who sponsored this event.

Fixed and satellite networks
Mobile, wireless and satellite networks
Modelling the UK's digital communications

Professor Jim Hall (University of Oxford) described the challenge of integrating digital telecommunications within ITRC-MISTRAL. Different from other infrastructure sectors, it is marked by rapid technological innovation with the demand for services co-evolving with capacity provision. It is tough to get data on networks and systems, and analysing resilience is tricky when there is a lot of redundancy in the system.

For this workshop, ITRC-MISTRAL is seeking some advice on how we should advance our modelling capability - what outputs will be most useful?

Dr Joe Butler (National Infrastructure Commission - NIC) outlined the NIC's work so far on digital communications. This is primarily an in-depth study on 5G (Connected Future), reflecting the NIC's conviction that digital is a core part of the UK's infrastructure: the glue holding the other infrastructure sectors together.

NIC recognises that there is need to create a coherent approach to public investment in digital infrastructure, and the next National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) will include some recommendations to government. NIC is at the evidence-gathering phase for the NIA. A workshop on 23 March will be part of this (anyone interested in attending should email enquiries@nic.gsi.gov.uk by 9 March 2017).
1. Fixed and satellite networks

Professor Polina Bayvel (University College London) introduced the session by exploring the history and potential of the UK's optical fibre communications infrastructure. It still carries 99% of all data and there are still improvements that can be made to increase capacity on this network. It is also critical to the operation of all UK infrastructure.

Professor Bayvel argued that we should not use the present to predict the future, and that a new national planning model needs to incorporate present data as well as some blue sky technological options and a range of variables, including policy (which has moved slowly so far).

Ian Hawkins (Head of networks research, BT) presented the trends and changes as seen from an industry perspective and which are driving investment.

He described the changing interactions taking place over the broadband network, such as immersive content and the Internet of Things. The UK's fixed network is performing well compared to other EU countries, but more needs to be done with the existing network to meet increasing demand. BT has an ambition to put 11m customers on ultra-fast broadband by 2020, but there is an economic judgement about where to put this investment: new build, ease of access, density of business?

For the future, there is likely to be progress with network function virtualisation, to improve network resilience and adaptability. This approach has been taken up by NTT (Japan) in response to their experience of natural disasters, which in themselves make great demands on telecommunications networks. In future there will be a more software-based network, with cloud and network infrastructure converging. While this will be more agile, it also highlights the challenge of cyber-security.
1.2 Fixed and satellite networks - panel session

Dr James Allen (Analysys Mason), Andrew Ferguson (thinkbroadband), Dr Joel Grotz (SES Satellites), Robert Kenny (Communications Chambers), chaired by Professor Jon Crowcroft (University of Cambridge).

The questions ranged widely: the regulatory framework, market mechanisms to promote investment, the role of competition, international comparators, the role of satellite and dealing with customer expectations.

Main discussion points

Policy tends to drive development, but needs to be exercised with some caution. Being a prudent (technological) follower minimises the investment risk.
Competition has largely worked, but it's not clear how it can address the gaps in service that still exist. Some people still have a single, poor option, so competition hasn't worked for them.
Where there is choice for consumers, it's important that they are guided to make the right choice for their needs.
Market interventions can work to promote social as well as economic objectives
Integrating digital into other infrastructures is a good idea, but difficult to co-ordinate in practice and not always good value.
UK's digital infrastructure is good and broadly does well in international comparisons, but there are problems at the bottom end of the market.

2. Mobile, wireless and satellite networks

Professor Mischa Dohler (Kings College London) opened the discussion on mobile and wireless networks. The current capacity has increased by a factor of a million, largely driven by the move to smaller cells and network densification. More investment here would be more productive, but academic and policy interest tends to focus on the smaller improvements delivered by the physical layer.

Looking ahead, there are some inevitable trends: continuing increase in data transmission speeds, an increasing number of devices, improvement in delay. To help to respond to these changes, fibre networks need to be improved and new sharing models should be developed. There should be efforts to enhance cell density - but are there sufficient skills to install the necessary base stations? Would de-regulation of planning help? Who will be the new players in the sector in the future, and will a new regulatory framework be required?

Rupert Baines (CEO of ULTRASoC and non-Executive Director of Accelleran) gave an industry view which focused on consumers as the driver of change. The services people want, and how they are regulated, will dictate how the industry grows, not new technological development.

However there are some emerging trends: tablets and 'phones are the most popular devices, drawing on large data centres, with laptops and PCs starting becoming the niche devices. Similarly for wireless, it's either a small box or a large data centre. Spectrum is a scarce resource and isn't being allocated well, with some bands full while others are under-used.

For the future, the application of small cells could help to improve coverage in rural areas with consequent social benefits. This might also be a way to address the increasing demand for mobile connectivity on transport, especially roads and railways, with innovations such as small cells located in vehicles. Globally, while Europeans are looking to 5G networks, remember that in developing countries, most people will be using 2G for the next five years.
2.1 Mobile, wireless and satellite panel session

Colin Blackman (Camford Associates), Dr Hector Fenech (Eutelsat), Dr Zoraida Frais (Technical University of Madrid), Caroline Miller (O2), chaired by Graham Louth (Aetha Consulting).

The questions focused on improving coverage, better customer experience, network densification and provision of 5G.

Main discussion points

The business case for 5G has not yet been made. Most applications can be delivered on 3G/4G.
Improving coverage is necessary, but there seemed to be consensus that a range of solutions would need to be considered, such as: subsidies, satellite, national roaming; and better stakeholder engagement.
Densification of networks will be necessary to improve services - there are clearly a number of constraints, including planning rules and availability of sites. Satellite might be helpful where traffic is sparse.
Customers mainly want a reliable service, but it's important to understand what customers need and will pay for, and to not only be led by technology.

3. Modelling the UK's digital communications

Dr Ed Oughton (University of Cambridge) introduced the digital strand of the ITRC-MISTRAL programme. It aims to understand capacity demand as well as risk, vulnerability and resilience. The model tries to answer questions such as: what is the cost of deploying digital communications; and how will this change over time? It also aims to model infrastructure viability, behavioural deployment strategies and interdependencies with other infrastructures (e.g. insights into energy demand of the network and responding to demands from the transport network).

The research team appealed for help with access to data sources, and also for information from industry and policymakers on what they would like the model to do for them.
3.1 Modelling the UK's digital communications, panel discussion

Cristina Data (OFCOM), Neil Fleming (AIG), Noelle Godfrey (Connecting Cambridgeshire), Nick Palmer (Bellever Risk Management), chaired by Philip Guildford (University of Cambridge).

The questions related to requirements from modelling of digital infrastructure, access to data sets and understanding resilience.

Main discussion points

Useful outputs for a model would include exploring scenarios, informing future planning, how to expand connectivity, predicting future demand and growth, resilience to multiple failures and the impact of one failure on other systems. It must be applicable to a local level.
Is the model one based around risk and resilience, or one that incorporates supply/demand and policy factors? How can a digital system be resilient under both approaches?
Improved access to operators' data might be possible if they can see the benefits of the model outputs and are convinced that their data will remain confidential. Operators are reluctant to share data, and ITRC-MISTRAL is looking at crowsourced data as an alternative.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/digital-communications/the-future-of-digital-communications/#.WMgld38qtdg
 
Description The techUK Communications Infrastructure Council (CIC) meeting (21/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs:
The CIC brings together techUK's member companies with an interest in fixed-line and wireless telecoms infrastructure, with participating companies from across the telecommunications value chain: operators/ISPs, network service providers, manufacturers and technology providers, and software suppliers. It provides the collective industry voice on improving and developing the market and on the Government policy and regulatory issues that affect it. The group is also well connected with senior Government and Ofcom decision makers who look to us for an overall independent industry perspective.
This CIC will be an opportunity to present to industry the work of ITRC-MISTRAL, and discuss further the risk of infrastructure failure and the long term benefits of investments and policies to improve infrastructure systems in the UK.
? Outcomes:
The Communications Infrastructure Council (CIC) thanked the ITRC group for it's presentation. The presentation sparked off some interesting discussion - and as mentioned in the meeting, the CIC hopes there will be a convenient opportunity in the future to return and update the Council on how the work is progressing.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.techuk.org/events/meeting/item/9302-techuk-communications-infrastructure-council
 
Description Towards a Multi-Scale Multi-Modal Model of Infrastructure Interdependence (30/08/2016 to 02/09/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Conference presentation. 'Towards a Multi-Scale Multi-Modal Model of Infrastructure Interdependence', RGS-IBG Annual International Conference; Theme: Nexus Thinking, London, 30 August-2 September 2016.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Blainey SP; Pant R; Thacker S

External participant/s:
Royal Geographical Society
Conference chair: Peter Jackson, University of Sheffield
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.rgs.org/WhatsOn/ConferencesAndSeminars/Annual+International+Conference/Annual+Internation...
 
Description Transport (Report of 24 August 2016): Ongoing discussions with regard to detailed plans for new MISTRAL transport model 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact Transport element of ITRC Mistral (Report of 24 August 2016)

Ongoing discussions between Simon Blainey and Raghav Pant with regard to detailed plans for new MISTRAL transport model. Raghav Pant is continuing to undertake preparatory work for this model.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description UK Collaboratorium for Research in Infrastructure & Cities (UKCRIC) partner updates at 27/01/2017 for the UKCRIC All-Hands Meeting 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Professor Jim Hall provided the following details for the ITRC as partner to UKCRIC for the UKCRIC All-Hands Meeting shortly after the 27th January 2017

• The ITRC-MISTRAL programme is proceeding at full speed, with a pilot Version 2.0 of NISMOD to be presented at the ITRC Assembly in April, along with pilot versions of the international version of NISMOD-Int and the NISMOD-DB database portal.
• The digital communications team in ITRC are holding a workshop in Cambridge on 1 February with high level stakeholders from the digital sector.
• The next workshop on Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty will be held in Oxford on 13-15 November 2017.
• ITRC researchers won the Lloyds science of risk prize for their work on rail network systems analysis and wrote the infrastructure chapter in the World Economic Forum's 2017 Global Risks Report.

Provided to Joanna Johnson, UKCRIC Coordination Node Manager
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description UN Environment - Belt and Road Workshop: Evidence-based infrastructure for sustainable and resilient development using NISMOD-Int (11/10/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ITRC/UNOPS gave a workshop in Turin on "Evidence-based infrastructure for sustainable and resilient development". This involved, presenting information on the ITRC and NISMOD-Int.

? Outputs & outcomes:
The workshop was part of a UN Environment 'Environmental leadership Programme' workshop for 'Green development of the Belt and Road Initiative'. Session M11: "Macro-level infrastructure planning: country experiences". Presented by Steven Crosskey UNOPS; Dr. S Thacker (ITRC, Oxford University)
Translation of slides/speech in Russian.
The 1Belt 1Road Initiative is the biggest global infrastructure project ever attempted. The Belt and Road Initiative is geographically structured along several land corridors, and the maritime silk road. Infrastructure corridors encompassing around 60 countries, primarily in Asia and Europe but also including Oceania and East Africa, will cost an estimated US$4-8 trillion.[19][20] For more information https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belt_and_Road_Initiative

External participants:
Steve Crosskey; Head of IPM Strategic Initiatives, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS Headquarters
Civil servants from Central Asia: Uzbekistan, Kazakstan, Tajikistan, and the Kyrgyz Republic.

Internal participant:
Thacker S
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belt_and_Road_Initiative
 
Description UNOPS - Best Practice in Infrastructure design for nations and internationally (01/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: A short video introduction to the need and progress of change for infrastructure design worldwide referencing the work of the ITRC.
? Link: https://youtu.be/sha-qrLD-TQ

External Participants: UNOPS
Internal Participants: Thacker, S
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://youtu.be/sha-qrLD-TQ
 
Description Uncertainty in the UK's National Infrastructure Assessment of Mobile Telecommunication Infrastructure. The 45th Research Conference on Communications (8 to 09/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
Conference session:
TPRC45 September 8-9, 2017
Economics/Political
Economy 6 'Uncertainty in the UK's National Infrastructure Assessment of Mobile Telecommunication Infrastructure'
Moderators: Trey Hanbury, Partner, Hogan Lovells US LLP

The UK's National Infrastructure Commission is undertaking its first ever National Infrastructure Assessment, of which telecommunications is a key component. The aim of this conference is to ensure efficient and effective digital infrastructure delivery over the long term, the results of which will be used to direct both industry and government over coming decades. However, taking a strategic long-term approach to the assessment of telecommunication infrastructure is a challenging endeavour due to rapid technological innovation in both the supply of, and demand for, digital services.

Link to paper: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2941232
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://static1.squarespace.com/static/56a114ff5dc6de6ca8f06129/t/59a4162d914e6bc2a74e4e9f/150392580...
 
Description United Nations Nexus Dialogue on Sustainable Infrastructure. Geneva (26/02/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
The dialogue produced an Outcome Statement on how integrated approaches can help to deliver the 2030 Agenda.
The coming decades will require large amounts of investment in new and existing infrastructure. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) estimates that an annual average of USD 6.9 trillion in infrastructure investment until 2030 is required to support global development. The bulk of this investment is taking place in developing countries, including fragile low-income economies and emerging economies, and is driven by a lack of development and infrastructure needed to meet the 2030 Agenda and the SDGs, population growth, increased income levels, and rapid urbanization in the context of growing inequality and climate change.
This Outcome Statement reflects the discussions held during the Nexus Dialogue on sustainable infrastructure that was organized by the UN Environment Management Group and UN Environment's Sustainable Infrastructure Partnership. It has benefitted from the inputs of colleagues from Duke University, ETH Zurich, GGGI, GGKP, GLO, ILO, ITRC at the University of Oxford, IUCN, OECD, OHCHR, UNECE, UNEMG, UN Environment, UNEP-WCMC, UNDP, UNIDO, UNISDR, UNITAR, the University of Geneva, UNOPS, UN Women, and WWF.

External Participants:
? UN Environment Management Group
? UN Environment's Sustainable Infrastructure Partnership

Internal participants:
ITRC Group

? Link: https://unemg.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/EMG-Nexus_Sustainable-Infrastructure_Outcome-Statement.pdf
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://unemg.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/EMG-Nexus_Sustainable-Infrastructure_Outcome-Statement....
 
Description United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) Fast-Track Analysis discussed with Council of Ministers, Curaçao (14/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact As part of UNOPS' national resilience programme, ITRC-MISTRAL has been active in Curaçao for over a year, working with local stakeholders from government and business to develop an understanding of the island's current and future infrastructure needs and to explore options for how those needs can be met. The analysis will demonstrate how evidence-based investments and policies in national infrastructure can be used to underpin long-term sustainable and resilient development.

Scott Thacker presented findings to the Ministry for Traffic, Transportation and Urban Planning. The Minister, Zita Jesus-Leito, felt that these interim results were so significant that she arranged for a session at the regular Council of Ministers meeting (equivalent to the UK's Cabinet) shortly after.

Dr Thacker commented: "We are able to demonstrate how more informed decisions in infrastructure can have positive effects for Curaçao's economy, environment and broader society and this evidence is giving senior decision-makers the confidence to act."

? Link: https://itrc.ouce.ox.ac.uk/unops-collaboration-update-fast-track-analysis-discussed-with-council-of-ministers-curacao/

Internal participants:
? Dr Scott Thacker
? Lena Fuldauer
? Daniel Adshead

External participants:
? Zita Jesus-Leito, The Minister, Ministerio Tráfiko, Transporte i Planifikashon Urbano, Government of Curaçao
? The Council of Ministers of Curaçao
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.gobiernu.cw/pap/notisia/komunikado/korsou-ta-bai-bira-mas-resistente-ku-unops/
 
Description United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) Requirement for Infrastructure Information (23/05/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact On Monday 23 May 2016 at the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE), London, over one hundred high profile government and industry stakeholders gathered to celebrate the launch of the ITRC's exciting new MISTRAL: Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics programme and recently published book, The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach. The benefits of this approach to UNOPS is portrayed in the video: https:https://vimeo.com/172135117

Internal participant/s: Ives M; Hall J; Thacker S

External participant/s:
Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS
Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS
Ashika Thanki; Experienced senior humanitarian professional implementing evidence-based solutions, UNOPS
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/news/2016/0524-ITRCLaunch.html
 
Description United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) and Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) Researcher - Infrastructure Modelling Post specifications for advertisement 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ITRC, a research programme of the University of Oxford, is currently embarking on a new phase of development of the NISMOD (National Infrastructure Systems MODel) system-of-systems modelling capability. As part of its MISTRAL program, ITRC together with UNOPS, will be developing a NISMOD-International (NISMOD-Int) in order to inform decision making in regard to the future provision of infrastructure in developing, post-conflict, and post-disaster countries. To this end, UNOPS are looking to recruit a Researcher to assist in this next development of the system-of-systems modelling suite and to provide UNOPS with the capacity, to support the application of NISMOD (National Infrastructure Systems MODel).
https://www.unops.org/english/News/announcements/Pages/Fast-Track-Analysis-for-National-Infrastructure.aspx
UNOPS:
? Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS
? Rob Jones; Head of Programme Delivery in the State of Palestine, UNOPS
? Judeh Hussein; UNOPS Office, Jerusalem, Israel
? Lorraine Anabtawi; Human Resources and Admin Specialist at UNOPS

ITRC/Mistral:
Ives M
Mendes M
Thacker S
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://jobs.unops.org/Pages/ViewVacancy/VADetails.aspx?id=10827&media=print
 
Description United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS): Fast-track analysis for Curaçao. Presentation of information to the Minister of Traffic, Transportation and Urban Planning, Government of Curacao (28/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Development of a fast-track analysis of the infrastructure needs of the small island state of Curaçao, in the Caribbean, by the end of the year 2017.
Curaçao's economy is likely to host greater numbers of tourists in the near future - the demand from extra visitors will exert significant pressure on national infrastructure systems, and, as a small island state, the risks associated with rising sea-levels need to be investigated.
Across the rest of 2017, Jade Leung (ITRC-MISTRAL/UNOPS) will be working with the government of Curaçao and representatives from other parts of the public, private and civic communities to build a shared understanding of the priorities for infrastructure development. Through the Fast Track Analysis process, the government and other stakeholders can explore different future scenarios and infrastructure strategies across a number of sectors, including energy, transport and solid waste. Through this work, we aim to enable decision-makers to understand the opportunities available for robust infrastructure policy options, as well as develop a better understanding of future vulnerabilities.The system for this assessment will be NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework. This will develop some standard themes and approaches for decision-makers; to support them as they apply NISMOD-Int data to creating practical, workable responses to future infrastructure challenges.The study will also help to decide on future infrastructure provision that will work well under the demands of population and tourism growth, and of climate change-driven sea-level rise. One important area of the analysis, undertaken by the ITRC's Lena Fuldauer, will work with the waste, wastewater and energy sectors, investigating the opportunities and risks that arise from interdependencies between these sectors.
This partnership forms part of a larger initiative by UNOPS to facilitate the roll-out and uptake of NISMOD-Int, as part of their programme on Evidence Based Infrastructure (EBI).

? Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/nismod-int-assessment-for-curacao-infrastructure/
? Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/nismod-int-assessment-for-curacao-infrastructure/
? Link: https://youtu.be/sMlSuns1VnM

Internal participants:
? Thacker S
? Leung J
? Fuldauer L

External participants:
Her Excellency Zita Jesus-Leito; Minister of Traffic, Transportation and Urban Planning, Government of Curacao
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.gobiernu.cw/pap/notisia/komunikado/korsou-ta-bai-bira-mas-resistente-ku-unops/
 
Description United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS): Planning for future infrastructure needs for the people of Palestine (26/03/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) is working with the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) to help the people of Palestine to more easily plan the development of their communities and economy.
The occupied Palestinian territories of West Bank and Gaza Strip face many challenges in the provision of infrastructure services resulting from years of conflict and neglect, including water and energy shortages that have become a part of everyday life.
Just as the provision of infrastructure can enhance social wellbeing, the lack of infrastructure services can lead to declining health, wellbeing, economic productivity and social freedom.In Palestine, the demand for infrastructure services are currently not being met in all sectors, with demand expected to only increase further due to population growth, increasing urbanisation, and climate change. Currently there are insufficient public funds for the levels of investments required to meet these shortages. In order to attract additional private and donor investment Palestine must ensure investors that it can devise a national infrastructure strategy that will ensure efficient use of such funding.
ITRC's National Infrastructure Systems Modelling International (NISMOD-Int) platform and processes for evidence-based decision making provide governing bodies with the tools necessary to develop national infrastructure plans through an exploration of their current and future infrastructure needs. This includes understanding interdependencies, and assessing alternative management strategies for improving the systems' resilience and robustness.
A key step in this process is the development of a 'Fast Track' systems-based assessment (FTA) of current and future infrastructure needs. The FTA begins with a broad understanding of the issues particular to Palestine, moving to a focus on how infrastructure systems are currently being used, and then considers what constrains the capacity of each infrastructure sector. ITRC's researchers also assess the drivers of future demand for infrastructure services, and identify recent trends and future plans for infrastructure provision.
It is hoped that this study forms, not only an important resource, but also the basis for the
Palestinian authority and other stakeholder to develop a deeper understanding of their infrastructure
and future infrastructure decisions. Future work, in collaboration with ITRC and UNOPS could develop
this initial FTA further, adding more sophistication to the underlying analysis and providing the
opportunity to develop and test further infrastructure strategies including developing a complete "vision"
applied across all sectors. It is expected that such an analysis would help Palestine's infrastructure
decision-makers to better understand their current infrastructure system-of-systems, including
interdependencies, and assess alternative management strategies for improving the systems' resilience
and robustness to future uncertainties. Included within future work could be research into developing
indicators capable of tracking the performance of alternative strategies and linking these to a vision for
Palestine's future (State of Palestine 2015) and the UN's Sustainable Development Goals. Developing
such capabilities will enable system-wide evidence-based infrastructure planning to coordinate, prioritise
and monitor future delivery of infrastructure services and assess their impact in a highly uncertain future.
It will provide confidence in the institutional capacity and consistency in decision-making necessary to
attract further donor funding and much needed private investment into the economy.
A detailed report 'A Fast Track Analysis of infrastructure provision in Palestine - Outcomes from the ITRC/UNOPS collaboration' has been produced for the use of The occupied Palestinian territories of West Bank and Gaza Strip.

? Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/unops-planning-for-future-infrastructure-needs-for-the-people-of-palestine/
? Link: https://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/PDFs/PalestineFTA_online.pdf

Internal participants:
? Ives M
? Thacker S
? Adshead D
? Hall JW
? Hickford A
? Nicholls

External participants:
? Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS
? Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS
? Muwafaq Abu-Ayyash, Infrastructure Development Specialist And Chief Design Engineer, UNOPS
? Rob Jones, Head of Programme Delivery in the State of Palestine, UNOPS
? Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS
? The Palestinian Authority (PA)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/PDFs/PalestineFTA_online.pdf
 
Description Varied discussions between the Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA) Brazil, and the ITRC (23/02/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA) of Brazil met with the ITRC on 23/02/2018 to discuss:
? Group of Twenty (G20) meetings, sustainable development goals (SDGs), Global Infrastructure Hub
? IPEA desire to apply the National Infrastructure Systems MODel (NISMOD) to Brazil to generate a roadmap for future infrastructure investment focussed primarily on water, energy, and transport
? Keen to do a Fast Track Analysis (FTA), have gathered required data
? Possibility to get a post-grad student from Brazil to work in Oxford

External participants:
? Ernesto Lozardo, Director, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA), Brazil
? Alexandre Xavier Ywata de Carvalho, Director of Regional, Urban and Environmental Studies and Policies, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA), Brazil
? Fabiano Mezadre Pompermayer, Director of Studies and Sectoral Policies on Innovation and Infrastructure, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA), Brazil

Internal participants:
? Hall JW
? Ives, M
? Mendes M
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Waterloo Institute for Complexity and Innovation (WICI, Waterloo University, Canada) Conference on Modelling Complex Urban Environments: Session 1: The use of big data in simulating attributes and mobilities of passengers on the UK Rail network (22/06/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes:
The methodology extends for the first time the concept of simultaneously
constraining for 3-levels of variables, enabling the inclusion of mobility interaction in the spatial microsimulation process. The outcome is a synthetic population of attribute-rich individuals who are representative of all railway passengers in the study area. In the second stage, the synthetic population
is used as input into a rail GIS network that has been logistically constrained by real transit schedules.
This produces a rich dataset of railway passengers including both exogenous and endogenous attributes, enabling the identification of context rich space-time volumes of individual passengers on train carriages, platforms and stations. This also enables the assignment of passengers to traffic on the rail network, precluding the need for the complexities of a utility optimizing transit assignment. The hypothesis is that such micro-level information on passenger demand will have a significant impact on the quality of inputs to strategic, tactical and operational rail-sector analysis planning models.

Link: https://uwaterloo.ca/complexity-innovation/sites/ca.complexity-innovation/files/uploads/files/wici_ucc_conference_program_16may2018_id.pdf

Internal participants:
Odiari, E., University of Leeds
Birkin, M., University of Leeds
Grant-Muller, S., University of Leeds
Malleson, N., University of Leeds

External Participants:
Waterloo Institute for Complexity and Innovation (WICI, Waterloo University, Canada)
Alison Heppenstall, Organizer (A.J.Heppenstall@leeds.ac.uk)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://uwaterloo.ca/complexity-innovation/sites/ca.complexity-innovation/files/uploads/files/wici_u...
 
Description Westminster Business Forum policy conference (Arc economical development) (12/09/2019) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact Work on the Ox-Cam Arc was presented at the Westminster Business Forum policy conference on Developing the Oxford-MK-Cambridge Arc economy.

External participants:
Westminster Business Forum

Internal participants:
Blainey, S.P.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
 
Description Workshop ITRC-MISTRAL & Smith School for Enterprise and the Environment: Bridging the infrastructure gap: global integration and the "One Belt, One Road"initiative 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The Oxford International Infrastructure Consortium (OXIIC) is an Oxford based research platform which aims to facilitate collaboration and dialogue between academia,international organisations, governments, financial institutions, and other public and private sectors on infrastructure worldwide. It is supported by the Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment (SSEE), the Environmental Change Institute (ECI), University of Oxford and the UK Infrastructure Transition Research Consortium (ITRC-MISTRAL).

The "One Belt One Road"(OBOR) initiative was proposed so as to jointly build the new Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road (hereinafter referred to as the 'Belt'and 'Road', respectively) for promoting economic prosperity of the countries along the Belt and Road and facilitating regional economic cooperation. Its blueprint articulates of the features of a circumnavigationroute "connecting the vibrant East Asia economic circle at one end and the developed European economic circle at the other, and encompassing countries with huge potential for economic development". The new routes will encompass over 60 countries, accounting for 60% of the world's population and a collective GDP equivalent to 33% of the world's wealth. The influence of OBOR is already evident in China's overseas investment flows, which rose 16.3% in the first 10 months of 2015 to $92.5bn with specific OBOR related investment rising 36.7% to $13.7bn.

The OXIIC Second Global Infrastructure Conference featured a series of insightful keynotes and interactive discussions from leading thinkers across academia, international organisations, government, business and the investment industry to explore the following thematic areas related to OBOR:
1) How can policy coordination for global integration and cross-
border infrastructure finance and development be enhanced? 2) How can cooperative mechanisms for the development of cross-border infrastructure and multinational business be built?
3) How can cross -border infrastructure investment for long-term sustainable growth best be fostered and safeguarded?
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.oxiic.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/1_OXIIC-2016-Conference-Brochure__print-version-revi...
 
Description Workshop: 2017 Decision-making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The ITRC hosted the '2017 international Decision-making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) Workshop', the 5th workshop in the series. The focus was on "dealing with deep uncertainty in decisionmaking across multiple scales", recognising the interconnections between global change, national governments and local decision-makers in today's complex and interconnected world. The conference attracted 159 participants from government, academia and business from all over the world and further established the ITRC-MISTRAL research globally
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/society-for-decision-making-under-deep-uncertainty-annual-workshop/#.WqkuPOfL...
 
Description World Economic Forum: Insight report: How infrastructure defines our climate 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Short report on UNOPS web page including Note 1:
With the University of Oxford's Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, we are developing the world's first capability to model and understand infrastructure as interdependent systems. This will enable the effective planning and delivery of infrastructure through the Evidence-Based Infrastructure Development (EBID) Framework.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Hall J; ITRC/Mistral Researchers

External participant/s:
Rob Jones, Head of Programme Delivery in the State of Palestine, UNOPS
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.unops.org/news-and-stories/insights/how-infrastructure-defines-our-climate