Establishing the Need - Finding the future market for UK photon sources

Lead Research Organisation: University of Bristol
Department Name: Electrical and Electronic Engineering

Abstract

A number of unique and potentially disruptive quantum based technologies are emerging from the UK Quantum Technologies Programme. The potential applications for these devices span a diverse range of sectors which defies a broad approach to identifying the market for them. The four main sectors where impact is expected are reflected in the national quantum technology hubs - imaging, sensors and metrology, computing and communications and it is expected that the establishment of viable commercial infrastructure in quantum engineering will be based on these themes.

Many companies seeking to engage commercially with this technology have yet to see where the emerging technology fits with their own business strategy and this can discourage early adoption. Currently, each lab discovery that presents a commercial opportunity must be looked at on a case by case basis for its market potential and often with a technology push rather than market pull approach. It can be difficult for larger companies to see where this may fit into their supply chain and the volume of sales that these technologies might achieve, and so crucial early investment in start up or spin out technology is stifled.

At the laboratory and technology transfer office level within the quantum technology hubs there is an excellent understanding of where a device may make an impact but it is often difficult to identify other models and markets of interest. This project will instigate an independent market research study guided by the technology available and linking it, via a large manufacturing supplier of optoelectronic components, to the sectors and end users where it is most likely to gain commercial traction. The project will identify the largest market opportunities and the specific technologies that should be invested in.

Photonic sources are interesting to Gooch and Housego (GH) as an optoelectronics supplier and GH would like to identify the potential market and model for this technology. The Quantum Technology Enterprise Centre (QTEC) has been working with Milner Strategic Marketing (MSM) on developing a business model for single photon sources and MSM is in a position to apply this approach to the national programme. Thus far QTEC has engaged with potential customers and end users of entangled photon sources in the bioimaging and life sciences sectors. Apart from using photon sources as a quantum research laboratory tool, some promising applications have been identified in microscopy and biology. It is envisaged that this approach will form a database of usable technology and workable business models available across the programme and that this can be expanded to work for other emerging technologies within the quantum hubs.

Planned Impact

The Quantum Technology Enterprise Centre (QTEC) will create a database of existing quantum technologies and their technology readiness level from across the national quantum technology programme. This will be translated into scenario planning and market research studies. From the report generated form this information National Quantum Hub members will obtain information on model routes to market, applicable sectors and potential customers or end users. The QTEC programme will achieve considerable exposure to help recruit new Fellows to further support and grow the emerging quantum technology industry in the UK. Finally, the project will become a blueprint for a roll out approach for QTEC regarding market research and customer engagement.

As a result of the project Gooch and Housego will develop a road map for future markets and technology, and position themselves as a go to supplier for the emerging quantum technology industry. This will help UK industry to establish itself as a key supplier into the emerging global quantum technology markets.
If the market study leads to further collaborative R&D or the development of a product, by one or more of the partners, then this will safeguard current employee roles and support the creation of new jobs.

Milner Strategic Marketing will support the existing quantum technologies market research activity and become a go-to market research company for the quantum technology industry. The UK's quantum hubs will benefit through having access to leading market research into specific applications and sectors that they can then apply to their own technology development and businesses, giving them the best chance of success. With quantitative evidence of the most-likely market and thorough business models, large UK businesses will have the confidence to invest in quantum technologies. This will lead to job creation and revenue growth, which impacts on the wider UK economy.

As a whole, this project aims to ensure that the UK is a global leader in quantum technologies. Investing in the right technologies and having an informed development roadmap will give UK companies the best chance of success, leading to job creation, export growth and scientific reputational benefits.

Publications

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Description As part of the project consortium we have investigated the current and future UK market for quantum-enabled photon sources. Quantum-enabled photon sources are devices such as narrow-linewidth lasers, single/pair-photon sources etc. that have applications in the broader quantum technologies sector, including atomic sensors, quantum computing and cryptography. The result of this project was the publication (freely accessible) of a market report for years 2018-2022. To our knowledge this was the first such rigorous and comprehensive market research in this technology area in the UK. While other market reports have been published relating to quantum technologies, these have usually been general and lacking specific detail and analysis. In order to produce our report we conducted interviews with relevant academic and industrial experts. We also organised scenario planning and industrial workshops were a total of over 40 academic and industrial experts and decision makers discussed in detail the potential future for the quantum-enabled photon source market in the UK.

The significant interest from both academia and the industry in working with us and participating in our events is a testament to the quality of our work and the success of this project. Our report can inform both the industry and the academia on which technologies are most likely to grow and produce the highest financial returns. It also provides information on which application areas are most likely to benefit from these technologies in the near-term and which ones will require further technological development and investigation.
Exploitation Route Our report can inform any interested party, academic or industrial, on which quantum-enabled photon-source technologies and their application areas are most likely to produce the highest economic impact. As the objective of the National Quantum Technologies Programme is to create technologies that have direct impact on the economy and generate economic growth, it is critical to understand the current and near-term market landscape. Also, an important objective of this project was to bridge the gap in understanding between the academia and the industry. We hope our work encourages similar market research activities in other areas of quantum technologies. By including our methodology in the report, we have provided a blueprint for conducting such studies.
Sectors Aerospace, Defence and Marine,Construction,Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software),Energy,Financial Services, and Management Consultancy,Government, Democracy and Justice,Manufacturing, including Industrial Biotechology,Pharmaceuticals and Medical Biotechnology,Transport

URL https://goochandhousego.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/GH-Market-Report-UK-Market-for-Quantum-Enabling-Photon-Sources-2018-2022-Report.pdf
 
Description Innovate UK project consortium 
Organisation Gooch & Housego
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution - Performing primary research interviews and helping analyse the information we obtained. - Contributed to the planning, organisation and facilitation of the scenario planning workshop. - Contributed to the planning, organisation and facilitation of the industrial workshop. - Co-authoring the final market research report. - Final report interviews to corroborate our findings.
Collaborator Contribution - Performing primary research interviews and helping analyse the information we obtained. - Lead the planning, organisation and facilitation of the scenario planning workshop -- Milner Strategic Marketing. - Lead the planning, organisation and facilitation of the industrial workshop -- Gooch & Housego - Co-authoring the final market research report. - Final report interviews to corroborate our findings.
Impact - Identified relevant market sectors for quantum-enabling photon sources. - Identified and engaged with the businesses interested in such technologies. - Brought the academics within the UK National Quantum Technologies Programme and the wider industry together via two workshops. - Published a report on the UK market for quantum-enabling photon sources. To our knowledge, until then the first such detailed market research study in the area of quantum technologies in the UK.
Start Year 2017
 
Description Innovate UK project consortium 
Organisation Milner Strategic Marketing
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution - Performing primary research interviews and helping analyse the information we obtained. - Contributed to the planning, organisation and facilitation of the scenario planning workshop. - Contributed to the planning, organisation and facilitation of the industrial workshop. - Co-authoring the final market research report. - Final report interviews to corroborate our findings.
Collaborator Contribution - Performing primary research interviews and helping analyse the information we obtained. - Lead the planning, organisation and facilitation of the scenario planning workshop -- Milner Strategic Marketing. - Lead the planning, organisation and facilitation of the industrial workshop -- Gooch & Housego - Co-authoring the final market research report. - Final report interviews to corroborate our findings.
Impact - Identified relevant market sectors for quantum-enabling photon sources. - Identified and engaged with the businesses interested in such technologies. - Brought the academics within the UK National Quantum Technologies Programme and the wider industry together via two workshops. - Published a report on the UK market for quantum-enabling photon sources. To our knowledge, until then the first such detailed market research study in the area of quantum technologies in the UK.
Start Year 2017
 
Description Final report interviews 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact As far as the final market report is concerned, my team was directly responsible for 6 of the sections:
- Biomedicine/life sciences,
- Computing
- Gambling/gaming
- Government
- Scientific/research/universities
- Transportation
As part of the writing process, experts from academia and the industry were interviewed to corroborate our findings and inform us in more detail on specific sectors. This ensured that the final report was rigorous and credible.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Industrial workshop 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact The industrial workshop was organised by the project consortium and led by Gooch & Housego. My team's role was to support, facilitate and help organise the event.

With 34 national leaders of technology transfer and industrialisation, the project held a 1-day industrial workshop whose goals were to verify and disseminate our findings, and to define an overall UK-based strategy for accelerating commercialisation in quantum technologies (QT). A morning session of presentations saw 8 industrial experts identify market opportunities to 2022 for narrowband laser sources, single-photon sources, and photon-pair sources differentiated by market sector and application.The afternoon session imagined the emergence of a nascent QT ecosystem with the delegates splitting into 2 syndicates to discuss three broad topics: mechanisms of technology transfer, ramping-up of production, and infrastructure needed to meet demand.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Primary research questionnaire 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Structured interviews with primarily academic research leaders and their staff (research associates, lecturers, professors etc.), and industrial experts. The purpose was to investigate specific research activities and technologies in the area of photon sources. Interviews were conducted either by phone or face to face and had two stages:
1. Primary research based on a questionnaire.
2. External market driver impact and uncertainty scoring.

The information gathered through this activity was used for the following:
- Gathering information about technologies and research activities in photon sources conducted within the National Quantum Technologies Programme -- stage 1 of the interview process.
- Scoring of the main drivers affecting the future of the photon source market. -- stage 2 of the interview process.
- The interviews formed the basis for the subsequent scenario planning and industrial workshops organised and facilitated by the project consortium as a whole.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Scenario planning workshop 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact A scenario planning workshop was organised by the project consortium and led by Milner Strategic Marketing. My team's role was to support, facilitate and help organise the event.

The workshop was carried out over 2 days with 10 industry and academic participants to explore the different possible futures that would result from the interaction of the critical drivers. This technique encourages participants to think 'outside the box' and consider all of the possible futures that could occur.

The 3 critical drivers for each technology were plotted in pairs and the axis scales were agreed for each driver. The workshop participants were split into 2 syndicates and asked to complete a number of exercises over the course of the workshop. During each exercise, participants were given a chart where 2 of the 3 critical drivers for each technology were plotted against each other. The syndicates had to think through the consequences of the interaction of each of the pairs of drivers (high vs low), for each technology, and write down the characteristics of the scenario. Each scenario on the chart was named and the likely position of the UK in 2017 and in 2022 was plotted.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018