Centre for Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE III)
Lead Research Organisation:
University of Warwick
Department Name: Economics
Abstract
We propose a centre to meet the challenge of integrating history and institutions into UK evidence-based policy. The popular 'what works' approach has achieved much but needs to be augmented with knowledge about the hard-to-measure factors that are influential for practical policy success: social norms, culture, implicit incentives, analytical frames, and intrinsic motivation. Importantly, these factors all have roots in historical circumstances. Our research programme addresses historical roots, the structure of institutions and policy design problems to fill this gap and promote the goal of inclusive growth.
Furthermore, while the centre is based in the economics discipline, CAGE from its inception has always taken an interdisciplinary approach. For this phase, theme 1 is a collaboration of economics and history, theme 2 is a collaboration between economics, psychology and anthropology, theme 3 is a collaboration between economics and medical sciences, and theme 4 between economics, statistics and computer science. Each theme uses insights and techniques from data science to empirically test hypotheses. This unique character will be further reinforced by the establishment of an Interdisciplinary Advisory Group (IAG) that will help develop collaborative research initiatives.
CAGE's research programme on history and institutions is anchored with a creative set of flagship initiatives such as: the digitisation of 'lost' UK economic history data, the development of a database for analysing information overload, historical firm-level databases for India and the UK, and a series of UK field experiments related to mental health services, council-level environmental partnerships, and micro-level pollution management. These projects will build on CAGE's achievements since 2009 in developing knowledge regarding the history of economic growth, the analysis of well-being, and innovative approaches to policy design. Crucially, CAGE's research team have published at a high level in economics as well as other disciplines, putting them in the position to be an important connector within UK social science.
Our capacity-building programme is designed to stimulate the development of new cohorts of researchers and policy practitioners, starting with secondary schools and introducing undergraduates to research tools according to a systematic training plan. This programme will also be targeted towards increasing the socio-economic diversity of the research and policy-making community. At CAGE, we have learned that long-term capacity and co-ordination is built up through high-quality networks. We will continue our successful Media Fellow and Policy Fellow programmes (in partnership with the Government Economic Service (GES)), with a focus on links with data journalists and local policy-makers. In particular, our planned open data resources and policy trials targeted at local councils will help to diffuse rigorous, evidence-based policy-making into new areas where practical guidance has traditionally been scarce.
Furthermore, while the centre is based in the economics discipline, CAGE from its inception has always taken an interdisciplinary approach. For this phase, theme 1 is a collaboration of economics and history, theme 2 is a collaboration between economics, psychology and anthropology, theme 3 is a collaboration between economics and medical sciences, and theme 4 between economics, statistics and computer science. Each theme uses insights and techniques from data science to empirically test hypotheses. This unique character will be further reinforced by the establishment of an Interdisciplinary Advisory Group (IAG) that will help develop collaborative research initiatives.
CAGE's research programme on history and institutions is anchored with a creative set of flagship initiatives such as: the digitisation of 'lost' UK economic history data, the development of a database for analysing information overload, historical firm-level databases for India and the UK, and a series of UK field experiments related to mental health services, council-level environmental partnerships, and micro-level pollution management. These projects will build on CAGE's achievements since 2009 in developing knowledge regarding the history of economic growth, the analysis of well-being, and innovative approaches to policy design. Crucially, CAGE's research team have published at a high level in economics as well as other disciplines, putting them in the position to be an important connector within UK social science.
Our capacity-building programme is designed to stimulate the development of new cohorts of researchers and policy practitioners, starting with secondary schools and introducing undergraduates to research tools according to a systematic training plan. This programme will also be targeted towards increasing the socio-economic diversity of the research and policy-making community. At CAGE, we have learned that long-term capacity and co-ordination is built up through high-quality networks. We will continue our successful Media Fellow and Policy Fellow programmes (in partnership with the Government Economic Service (GES)), with a focus on links with data journalists and local policy-makers. In particular, our planned open data resources and policy trials targeted at local councils will help to diffuse rigorous, evidence-based policy-making into new areas where practical guidance has traditionally been scarce.
Organisations
- University of Warwick (Lead Research Organisation)
- UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD (Collaboration)
- University of Copenhagen (Collaboration)
- QUEEN'S UNIVERSITY BELFAST (Collaboration)
- ETH Zurich (Collaboration)
- Human Development Research Foundation (Collaboration)
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (Collaboration)
- Centre For Mental Health (Collaboration)
- Royal Economic Society (Collaboration)
- Government of the UK (Collaboration)
- Global Alliance for Maternal Mental Heal (Project Partner)
- HM Treasury (Project Partner)
Publications
Abramitzky R
(2025)
Economic Crisis and Disillusionment from Socialism: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment
in Journal of the European Economic Association
Adena M
(2025)
AI Images, Labels and News Demand
Aoki-Beattie Y
(2026)
Postpartum Depression and the Motherhood Penalty
Bagues M
(2025)
The psychological gains from COVID-19 vaccination
in Journal of Public Economics
Bagues M
(2025)
The psychological gains from COVID-19 vaccination
in Journal of Public Economics
Balbuzanov I
(2025)
Incentivizing Engagement: Experimental Evidence on Journalist Performance Pay
| Title | Can riots lead to democracy |
| Description | In 2010 protests erupted across the Arab world with protesters demanding a better economic future, an end to government corruption, and most of all democracy. But what really is the impact of protest and riots on establishing democracy? This video is part of our school series 'Representation, Protest and Political Movement', which looks at the intersection of economics, politics and history and the effect on modern society. It is based on the published research Peaceful and Violent Origins of Voting Rights: A Political Economy Analysis of the Great Reform Act of 1832 (Toke S Aidt, Raphaël Franck) The project is a partnership between Discover Economics, the ESRC CAGE Research Centre and the All-Ireland Centre of Excellence in Economics, History and Policy (CEPH). Visit www.discovereconomics.co.uk to find out more. |
| Type Of Art | Film/Video/Animation |
| Year Produced | 2025 |
| Impact | This video - made in conjunction with Discover Economics - was presented to over 100 students (Year 12/13) from West Midlands state schools at an event at the University of Warwick on Tuesday 18th March 2025. The video was accompanied by a learning pack and incorporated into the teaching. |
| URL | https://youtu.be/bPVgGJMODuA?si=SXFIa4eryzwloBhK |
| Title | Did Trump's rallies lead to racial bias in policing? |
| Description | Before he was elected in 2016 Donald Trump's speeches were full of anti-immigrant, anti-Muslim sentiment. But this racialised language wasn't just a promise of what was to come once in power. New research tells us that the rallies themselves had an impact on how minorities were treated - months before he was elected. This video is part of our school series 'Representation, Protest and Political Movement', which looks at the intersection of economics, politics and history and the effect on modern society. It is based on the published research Inflammatory Political Campaigns and Racial Bias in Policing (Pauline Grosjean, Federico Masera, Hasin Yousaf). The project is a partnership between Discover Economics, the ESRC CAGE Research Centre and the All-Ireland Centre of Excellence in Economics, History and Policy (CEPH). Visit www.discovereconomics.co.uk to find out more. |
| Type Of Art | Film/Video/Animation |
| Year Produced | 2025 |
| Impact | This video - made in conjunction with Discover Economics - was presented to over 100 students (Year 12/13) from West Midlands state schools at an event at the University of Warwick on Tuesday 18th March 2025. The video was accompanied by a learning pack and incorporated into the teaching. |
| URL | https://youtu.be/pp9nQcBW_eE?si=0YaUGp1mUwgAXozU |
| Title | Did the Great Irish Famine spark a revolution? |
| Description | In 1916 an Irish uprising known as the Easter Rising broke out, leading to civil war and the country becoming a self-governing state separate from Britain. But how did this rebellion come about? And who were the rebels prepared to give their lives to fight against British rule? This video is part of our school series 'Representation, Protest and Political Movement', which looks at the intersection of economics, politics and history and the effect on modern society. It is based on the published research The deep roots of rebellion (Gaia Narciso, Battista Severgnini). The project is a partnership between Discover Economics, the ESRC CAGE Research Centre and the All-Ireland Centre of Excellence in Economics, History and Policy (CEPH). Visit www.discovereconomics.co.uk to find out more. |
| Type Of Art | Film/Video/Animation |
| Year Produced | 2025 |
| Impact | This video - made in conjunction with Discover Economics - was presented to over 100 students (Year 12/13) from West Midlands state schools at an event at the University of Warwick on Tuesday 18th March 2025. The video was accompanied by a learning pack and incorporated into the teaching. |
| URL | https://youtu.be/6hAd4iLI9o8?si=X3YNV5S0bK60AzEu |
| Title | How Rwanda changed minds after genocide |
| Description | In 1994 Rwanda faced one of the worst genocides in recorded history due to deep ethnic divisions within the country. But have controversial government attempts at reconciliation and state propaganda really healed a brutally divided society? This video is part of our school series 'Representation, Protest and Political Movement', which looks at the intersection of economics, politics and history and the effect on modern society. It is based on the published research Erasing Ethnicity? Propaganda, Nation Building, and Identity in Rwanda (Arthur Blouin and Sharun W. Mukand). The project is a partnership between Discover Economics, the ESRC CAGE Research Centre and the All-Ireland Centre of Excellence in Economics, History and Policy (CEPH). Visit https://www.discovereconomics.co.uk for further information. |
| Type Of Art | Film/Video/Animation |
| Year Produced | 2025 |
| Impact | This video - made in conjunction with Discover Economics - was presented to over 100 students (Year 12/13) from West Midlands state schools at an event at the University of Warwick on Tuesday 18th March 2025. The video was accompanied by a learning pack and incorporated into the teaching. |
| URL | https://youtu.be/RpyQTpC4XP8?si=eny0bTrugAeoS4_1 |
| Title | How did Sinn Fein rise to power? |
| Description | In 1910 the whole of Ireland was part of the United Kingdom but a 1918 election saw a new political party rise to power - one that wanted to break ties with Britain. But how had this obscure party risen so quickly? This video is part of our school series 'Representation, Protest and Political Movement', which looks at the intersection of economics, politics and history and the effect on modern society. It is based on the published research Representation of the People: Franchise Extension and the "Sinn Féin Election" in Ireland, 1918 (Alan de Bromhead, Alan Fernihough, Enda Hargaden). It is part of political economy - a branch of economics that studies how political decisions and public opinion interact with economic and social factors. The research highlights that: In 1918, voting rights in Ireland expanded dramatically, nearly tripling the number of eligible voters-but this wasn't the main reason for Sinn Féin's landslide victory in that year's general election. New female voters were less likely to support Sinn Féin, and new male voters were no more supportive than the existing electorate. Many women did not vote at all. A statistical analysis of Ireland's voters suggests that Sinn Féin's success was driven more by shifting public opinion-particularly towards rebellion and independence-than by changes in the electorate's size or composition. The Sinn Féin party that won in 1918 is not the same organisation as the modern Sinn Féin, although they share the same name. The project is a partnership between Discover Economics, the ESRC CAGE Research Centre and the All-Ireland Centre of Excellence in Economics, History and Policy (CEPH). Visit www.discovereconomics.co.uk to find out more. |
| Type Of Art | Film/Video/Animation |
| Year Produced | 2025 |
| Impact | This video - made in conjunction with Discover Economics - was presented to over 100 students (Year 12/13) from West Midlands state schools at an event at the University of Warwick on Tuesday 18th March 2025. The video was accompanied by a learning pack and incorporated into the teaching. |
| URL | https://youtu.be/TDBHQjYmvPo?si=fcBHGznykcf25MIr |
| Title | Who joined the Nazis and did it pay off? |
| Description | Between 1925 and 1939 the number of Nazi party members grew massively from just a few thousand to millions. But who were the people that fuelled Hitler's rise to power? Who were the members of the Nazi party? This video is part of our school series 'Representation, Protest and Political Movement', which looks at the intersection of economics, politics and history and the effect on modern society. It is based on the published research Rise and fall in the Third Reich: Social advancement and Nazi membership (Matthias Blum, Alan de Bromhead). The project is a partnership between Discover Economics, the ESRC CAGE Research Centre and the All-Ireland Centre of Excellence in Economics, History and Policy (CEPH). Visit https://www.discovereconomics.co.uk/ for further information. |
| Type Of Art | Film/Video/Animation |
| Year Produced | 2025 |
| Impact | This video - made in conjunction with Discover Economics - was presented to over 100 students (Year 12/13) from West Midlands state schools at an event at the University of Warwick on Tuesday 18th March 2025. The video was accompanied by a learning pack and incorporated into the teaching. |
| URL | https://youtu.be/uce0294fC9M?si=qI-b0YD5aEGmXPhT |
| Description | AI tools for economists - event |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Influenced training of practitioners or researchers |
| URL | https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/research/centres/cage/news/22-12-25-how_can_ai_tools_make_ec... |
| Description | Anti depressant treatment |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Implementation circular/rapid advice/letter to e.g. Ministry of Health |
| Description | Barriers to trade - written submission |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Participation in a guidance/advisory committee |
| URL | https://committees.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/152101/pdf/ |
| Description | Delivered R C Dutt lectures |
| Geographic Reach | Asia |
| Policy Influence Type | Influenced training of practitioners or researchers |
| URL | https://www.cssscal.org/events.php |
| Description | District Councils' Network - Planning expertise |
| Geographic Reach | Local/Municipal/Regional |
| Policy Influence Type | Contribution to new or improved professional practice |
| Description | Econometrics and the impact of legislation - Govt Regulatory Policy Committee |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Participation in a guidance/advisory committee |
| URL | https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/regulatory-policy-committee/ |
| Description | Economic Security - Department of Business and Trade |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Participation in a guidance/advisory committee |
| Description | Evidence on postpartum depression |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Contribution to a national consultation/review |
| URL | https://post.parliament.uk/approved-work-pregnancy-and-postpartum-mental-health/ |
| Description | Government Economic Service AI training |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Influenced training of practitioners or researchers |
| Impact | Follow up survey shows: 66% of attendees will use the techniques learned in their day to day work. 31% maybe 97% would recommend the training to colleagues |
| URL | https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/research/centres/cage/news/20-01-26-data_management_and_ai_s... |
| Description | Planning research MHCLG presentation |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Participation in a guidance/advisory committee |
| Description | Prevalence of Lead Exposure in UK - Written submission |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Contribution to a national consultation/review |
| URL | https://committees.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/149739/pdf/ |
| Description | Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Contribution to new or improved professional practice |
| Impact | Interest and coverage from regional media outlets (Leeds Live, Birmingham Live etc) plus national mainstream coverage GB News, This is Money, i paper. |
| URL | https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/research/centres/cage/news/25-04-25-fluctuating_renewable_fu... |
| Description | Use of AI in Government - written evidence |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Contribution to a national consultation/review |
| URL | https://committees.parliament.uk/publications/47199/documents/244683/default/ |
| Description | Women in Economics - RES panel |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Influenced training of practitioners or researchers |
| URL | https://res.org.uk/events/uk-wen-career-conversations-event-21-may/ |
| Description | Clear skies, clear minds: Air Quality and Children's Welfare - L Gazze |
| Amount | £498,705 (GBP) |
| Organisation | University of Warwick |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Start | 02/2025 |
| End | 01/2028 |
| Description | Centre for Mental Health |
| Organisation | Centre for Mental Health |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Hospitals |
| PI Contribution | Ongoing |
| Collaborator Contribution | Ongoing |
| Impact | None to date |
| Start Year | 2025 |
| Description | Discover Economics |
| Organisation | Royal Economic Society |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Charity/Non Profit |
| PI Contribution | Using CAGE research to develop opportunities which encourage young people from diverse and less representative groups into economics. Provide a platform to show that studying economics is more than just about finance. |
| Collaborator Contribution | Draw on Discover Economics' expertise in the school sector to run a campaign through creating useable and accessible content and resources which demonstrates the cross-curricular benefits of studying economics. |
| Impact | Series of video and teaching resources for schools (x6 annually) Partnership with CEPH for series 2 Annual on campus event for regional state schools students (<90 post 16) |
| Start Year | 2023 |
| Description | Government Economic Service |
| Organisation | Government of the UK |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Partner on CAGE |
| Collaborator Contribution | Government Data training workshops, Academic events, networking events and research dissemination. |
| Impact | Government Data training workshops, Academic events, networking events and research dissemination. |
| Start Year | 2025 |
| Description | Human Development Research Foundation |
| Organisation | Human Development Research Foundation |
| Country | Pakistan |
| Sector | Charity/Non Profit |
| PI Contribution | Onging |
| Collaborator Contribution | Ongoing |
| Impact | None |
| Start Year | 2025 |
| Description | Queens University Belfast |
| Organisation | Queen's University Belfast |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | Join Research Project / CAGE lead Professor Mirko Draca |
| Collaborator Contribution | Joint research |
| Impact | None to date |
| Start Year | 2025 |
| Description | University of Copenhagen |
| Organisation | University of Copenhagen |
| Country | Denmark |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | Joint Research / CAGE Lead Professor Sonia Bhalotra |
| Collaborator Contribution | Joint research |
| Impact | none to date |
| Start Year | 2025 |
| Description | University of North Carolina |
| Organisation | University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill |
| Country | United States |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | Joint research project / CAGE Lead Professor Sonia Bhalotra |
| Collaborator Contribution | Joint research project |
| Impact | None to date |
| Start Year | 2025 |
| Description | University of Oxford |
| Organisation | University of Oxford |
| Department | Social Sciences Division |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | Joint research project / CAGE Lead Professor Stephen Broadberry |
| Collaborator Contribution | Joint research |
| Impact | Reported in RF |
| Start Year | 2025 |
| Description | University of Zurich |
| Organisation | ETH Zurich |
| Country | Switzerland |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | Joint research / CAGE Professor Elliott Ash |
| Collaborator Contribution | Joint research |
| Impact | In other areas of RF |
| Start Year | 2025 |
| Title | WhereToBuild - Using Demand to Inform Housebuilding |
| Description | Over the past three decades the UK has seen housing affordability plummet. The shortage of housing supply, and critically, the misallocation of where homes are built, are central to this issue. What the map shows This map provides information on where and how new housing should be built in Great Britain to satisfy demand. We use data on billions of property searches to define two measures of housing demand at the neighbourhood level: Housing gap: the difference between the number of people searching for homes and the number of available properties in an area. It reflects how many home-seekers are affected by a shortage. Housing tightness: the ratio of demand to supply. It reflects how intensely affected home-seekers compete for each available property. We have used these to produce local gap-based targets for housebuilding, and show the difference between these and official government targets. Search the map to find information about your area. |
| Type Of Technology | Webtool/Application |
| Year Produced | 2025 |
| Impact | What the map shows This map provides information on where and how new housing should be built in Great Britain to satisfy demand. We use data on billions of property searches to define two measures of housing demand at the neighbourhood level: Housing gap: the difference between the number of people searching for homes and the number of available properties in an area. It reflects how many home-seekers are affected by a shortage. Housing tightness: the ratio of demand to supply. It reflects how intensely affected home-seekers compete for each available property. We have used these to produce local gap-based targets for housebuilding, and show the difference between these and official government targets. Search the map to find information about your area. |
| URL | https://wheretobuild.warwick.ac.uk/ |
