Accelerating innovation in new mobility services: matching sustainable new business models to local potential.

Lead Research Organisation: University of Leeds
Department Name: Institute for Transport Studies

Abstract

This is an exciting yet somewhat uncertain point of transition for the transport sector. The media frequently carries news stories on innovations in cleaner transport technologies (particularly electric vehicles) and visions for how people will travel in the future. These visions are dominated by new mobility services (NMS). They include sharing schemes for cars, bikes and taxis. All are based on Information and Communications Technology such as joining smartphones and apps, with vehicles and devices that are 'smart'. The other common feature is that NMS all have a connection to data and usually 'big data'. Smart cards and apps harvest data as do insurance telematics boxes in cars. Bikes from sharing schemes can be tracked with GPS, companies are basing their business models, pricing and marketing on harvested big data. Meanwhile government collects millions of MOT test certificates each year, and carries out travel surveys, CCTV cameras with number plate recognition are a common feature of many cities.
This rapid digitisation and connectivity might help make better use of existing infrastructure, create new business opportunities change the way people own vehicles and pay for travel. There is some evidence that the way people choose to travel 'their mobility preferences' at least among the younger generation is changing. NMS might make travel easier and better for some groups of people in some places.
These emerging changes could dramatically reduce energy demand from personal transport if certain issues are dealt with together. There has to be a reasonable potential market for a NMS to be viable but the local transport planners also have to understand how the NMS would affect the transport system and the workings of the city. To provide this understanding we need to know the relationships between local travel patterns such as where people live and where they need to get to, transport infrastructure (like the state of roads, railways and bike lanes), the social and demographic factors that affect whether a person can afford or physically get access to a NMS, the state of labour and job markets and where new vehicle technologies and services are available.
If city planners or NMS providers do not examine the range of information about different issues, the new technologies and services could lead to lead to greater demand for mobility for example people might make more journeys and go further resulting in more transport energy use. NMS might only be offered in some areas where large numbers of customers could pay high prices, making it relatively harder for poor or rural areas to get access to services, jobs and other activities. There is also a potential problem that if governments and local authorities do not have appropriate policies and regulations in place to govern the gathering ownership and use of big mobility data, then there might be a loss of public control over data and the ability to steer developments to meet societal objectives. In other words, the risks are that the rapid arrival of such businesses could simply add to the familiar story that people are told that new products are energy efficient and thus sustainable but in actual fact they are not really sustainable because they have negative social and environmental impacts
This project will take an 'interdisciplinary perspective' which means it will link and analyse data from government and private organisations but also work with transport policy makers to understand the local social and environmental issues that need to be considered to make changes in mobility in particular places work socially, economically and environmentally.

Planned Impact

By design this research project is framed around integrating datasets at an uncertain point in transformation of the transport sector. The data accessed will provide insights into ways in which local policy makers (e.g. practioners / planners and politicians at city region and local authority level) may gain policy insights on the potential for sustainable and socially equitable mobility solutions to arise from NMS.
There will be positive impacts for the following:
National Govt departments and agencies e.g. the Department for Transport, particularly experts working with statistics and data division and the Think People division plus members of departments and related agencies who were involved in the MOT Project. They will benefit by observing the extent to which the relationships between commercial, academic and city authority lead to public good which also impacts positively on economic wellbeing. This will inform discussions of development of the governance and regulatory frameworks for the use of new mobility data and multi-organisation data fusion within transport planning.
There are several business needs that have been established through direct discussion with project partners (The Floow, GMPTE and several bus operators). These discussions initially came about as a result of presenting / disseminating results from the RCUK funded MOT project which has created much interest in the data developed during this research.
Within TfGM policy makers and practitioners will benefit through enhanced understanding of the mobility needs of the populations of small areas. Understanding of whether NMS could bring the following benefits for particular groups of people in particular small areas: increased access to opportunities, capability to reduce car use. Analyses that could inform the business case of future public transport and integrated mobility services as well as active travel. Reduction in externalities associated with car use in different areas of the city. The direct benefits to TfGM that will enhance their policy making and planning would be delivered within the lifetime of the project. Beyond the life of the project there are opportunities for residents and visitors to TfGM's area of operation arising from implemented policies.
The Floow stand to benefit from the work through the opportunity to forge relationships with TfGM which may aid them in developing new data products and services. Discussions between Anable and the Floow have been progressing for many months as they see commercial opportunity serve markets and clients they currently do not engage with by exploiting open data opportunities. The fellowship provides an impact opportunity through the placement and working relationship that will be established to overcome data management and analysis challenges, as well as linking up with public transport operators.
Overall a number of recent and ongoing ITS and CDRC projects and ongoing involvement with organisations such as the Open Data Institute have highlighted the practical business need to build workflows that address inter-organisation transport data management, fusion and analysis.
 
Description Work has been published or presented which provides useful information to policy makers and other stakeholders interested in sustainable transport. Using data about places (spatial data) Two specific pieces of work of interest are as follows.

E-bikes and their capability to reduce car CO2 emissions:
We estimated the maximum capability to reduce CO2 by substituting private car travel for e-bike use for each neighbourhood in England. This has involved simulation and spatial analysis. The results are a set of maps and graphs which policy makers and communities can use to see where it is possible to replace a large proportion of current car use with e-bikes. We also present the data in the context of the social characteristics of areas. Work has now been published. e-bikes have the capability to reduce car CO2 emissions by 24.4 million tonnes p.a. in England). e-bike carbon reduction capability is greatest in rural areas. We identified census zones which have have both high capability to replace car travel with e-bikes and economic vulnerability to car dependence. The mapped results have been used by the ITF since publication in a report hilighting the need for more attention on sustainable rural mobility






Mobility as a Service is a new mobility service (MaaS): Instead of buying separate bus, train and taxi rides, owning a car and incurring lots of separate costs, MaaS uses app technologies, to allow people to choose from a wide range of mobility services to make the journeys they want when they want. Instead of having to buy separate tickets and own cars and bicycles, they can make use of different services when they need for a single monthly fee. This has potential to reduce car ownership and use, and increase use of sustainable transport modes. However these services and business models are new and untested in many cities. There may be both positive and negative effects and these may vary from one place to another. The research developed a "scoping indicator" - a quick and easy method which can be applied in the early stage of appraisal to determine whether may be any impact from MaaS and whether it warrants further investigation.

We have actively engaged with business (which was one of the objectives of this NPIF fellowship) for example forming data sharing agreements with Enterprise Holdings Ltd, As a result of establishing this relationship during the fellowship we have collaborated to win a studentship with with the ESRC data science and society CDT, and gained a funded data science internship at the Leeds Institute for Data Analytics.
Exploitation Route Use the scoping indicators by practitioners.
Use of maps of e-bikes capability to reduce car CO2 emissions to design place based transport decarbonisation policies.

We have recruited a PhD student and a data science intern to continue work on the analysis of car club data from Enterprise UK, to build the evidence base on the contribution of car clubs to transport decarbonisation.

Policy organisations may be able to make use of results e.g. the ITF have made use of results in the published e-bikes paper. https://www.itf-oecd.org/innovations-better-rural-mobility. Results have been shared with organisations who have requested them - to use in policy development. Organisations which have requested results include West Yorkshire Combined Authority. Results are available https://github.com/DrIanPhilips/e-bikeCarbonReductionCapability
Sectors Energy,Environment,Transport

 
Description Work has been published or presented which provides useful information to policy makers and other stakeholders interested in sustainable transport. Using data about places (spatial data) Two specific pieces of work of interest are as follows. A paper on E-bikes and their capability to reduce car CO2 emissions has been published. Initial interest has been high, alt metric score 411 (top 1% of outputs from the same source and In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric). The mapped results have been used by the ITF since publication in a report highlighting the need for more attention on sustainable rural mobility. The results have been requested by transport planning authorities to input to policy development (e.g. WCYA the West Yorkshire Combined Authority). Earlier work on e-bikes has been used in a policy report to the Green Party. It has also been presented in workshops with the Department for Transport and third sector organisation Sustrans. Findings on e-bike carbon reduction capability have been presented to politicians, policy makers and others. The results have been used in discussion about transport policy, and have been cited in policy reports. A report on E-bike use in the Lake District During Covid -19: insights for sustainable transport & green recovery (https://www.researchgate.net/publication/349573533_E-bike_use_in_the_Lake_District_During_Covid_-19_insights_for_sustainable_transport_green_recovery) has been viewed online 900 times. The work was presented to practitioner organisations such as ACTravelwise. The emerging area of impact of this work is carrying out research using spatial analytical and geo-computational methods which describes the mobility needs capabilities and constraints of people in places which helps organisations such as Transport for Greater Manchester to appraise evaluate and support decision making which will allow the development of a pathway towards their strategic policy vision. The future of mobility is identified as a grand challenge in the UK Industrial strategy. The importance of considering the grand challenges in the context of people and places has been identified in the Industrial Strategy as a means by which positive societal impact will be achieved. Through the placement visits described in previous sections I have identified questions relevant to Transport for Greater Manchester, which can be addressed through this research fellowship. Initial data analysis has been presented and is being used by Transport for Greater Manchester to refine their approach to gaining insights from spatial data.
First Year Of Impact 2020
Sector Energy,Environment,Transport
Impact Types Societal,Policy & public services

 
Description Invitation to contribute to WHO HEAT tool consensus meeting on the methods of incorporating e-bikes into the HEAT tool
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
 
Description Use of my research in green Party policy document: "A Sustainable Transport System for the North West: Putting the Green New Deal into action Report for Gina Dowding MEP"
Geographic Reach Local/Municipal/Regional 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
URL https://ginadowding.org.uk/nw-constituency/sustainable-and-active-transport-report-putting-the-green...
 
Description citation in Active transportation with micro electric vehicles: Emergency COVID-19 responses and the disrupted future of oil
Geographic Reach North America 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
URL https://cascadeinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Yonatan-ISC-Brief-3-v1-July-9.pdf
 
Description citation in Financing climate action with positive social impact: How banking can support a just transition in the UK
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
URL https://www.lse.ac.uk/granthaminstitute/publication/financing-climate-action-with-positive-social-im...
 
Description citation in High Speed Rail Group's Response to Decarbonising Transport:Setting the Challenge
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
URL http://www.infrastructure-intelligence.com/sites/default/files/article_uploads/HSRG%20Decarbonising%...
 
Title constricting a scoping indicator of the impacts of MaaS on walking and car use 
Description Potential Impacts of Mobility as a Service on walking and car use: A scoping indicator for transport decision makers. This repo contains a script to illustrate how the indicator was constructed. This code accompanies this paper: Philips I, Walmsley A, Anable, J (2020). A scoping indicator identifying potential impacts of all-inclusive MaaS taxis on other modes in Manchester, Transport Findings, https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.11524., 
Type Of Material Data analysis technique 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact unknown 
URL https://github.com/DrIanPhilips/ImpactsMaaSWalkCar
 
Title e-bikeCarbonReductionCapability 
Description This is a dataset and code repo to accompany the Paper: Philips, I., Anable, J., Chatterton, T., 2022. E-bikes and their capability to reduce car CO2 emissions. Transp. Policy https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2021.11.019 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2022 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact The results from this project have been used by organisations: The International Transport forum used a map based on these results in their publication. https://www.itf-oecd.org/innovations-better-rural-mobility. The results have been shared with transport planners engaged in developing sustainable transport policy including West Yorkshire Combined Authority (the regional transport planning authority for West Yorkshire) . The results contributed to the business plan which resulted in the funding of this project: http://www.sustainablestaveley.org.uk/communityebikes/ 
URL https://github.com/DrIanPhilips/e-bikeCarbonReductionCapability
 
Title spatial microsimulation of car km travelled by purpose 
Description An R repo estmiating car use for different purposes for English LSOAs We investigated the potential for using a spatial microsimulation approach to generate small area estimates of car km travelled by purpose. We used two sources of data; a microsimulation based population projection (for the year 2017) and the English National Travel Survey anonymised individual records. We constructed the estimates of car km travelled for individuals within English LSOAs using Monte-Carlo Sampling. To understand the potential to develop this approach further we chose to retain small area estimates of total car km travelled and estimates of commute distance by purpose from the 2011 census for validation purposes. The results are promising and show potential for further development. The project was carried out principally using R, the code is stored in a repository to aid reproducibility and further development. A paper based on this work is being presented at the European Transport conference in September 2020 This work was carried out by Claire Shadbolt supervised by Ian Philips as part of the LIDA data science internship scheme at the University of Leeds. The work is funded through Ian's ESRC research felloswhip https://environment.leeds.ac.uk/transport/staff/972/dr-ian-philips 
Type Of Material Data analysis technique 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact presentation of the work at the European Transport Conference. Following this I was invited to present to the Transport research group at Chalmers University Sweden 
URL https://github.com/DrIanPhilips/car_km_by_purpose_microsim
 
Description Enterprise Holdings UK 
Organisation Enterprise Holdings
Department Enterprise Car Club
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution Co-ordination of a data sharing agreement with Enterprise holdings UK, Co-ordination of a data science internship to carry out initial analysis of the data. Further data analysis following the internship
Collaborator Contribution Sharing of car club usage data.
Impact Internal reports shared with Enterprise
Start Year 2019
 
Description LIDA data science internship 
Organisation University of Leeds
Department Leeds Institute of Data Analysis
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution supervision of data science internship
Collaborator Contribution administration of data science internship programme
Impact Reports to Enterprise Ltd, conference paper
Start Year 2019
 
Description e-bike policy briefing 
Organisation Centre for Research into Energy Demand Solutions
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Collaboration with CREDS (UKRI funded Centre for Research into Energy Demand Solutions to produce a briefing paper https://www.creds.ac.uk/publications/e-bike-carbon-savings-how-much-and-where/
Collaborator Contribution CREDS provided design, editorial support, publishing and webhosting for the briefing
Impact Outcomes; considerable media engagement. The work has been presented to government: Department for Transport social research group. All Party Parliamentary Group on Cycling and Walking. The work was also included an example of impact in the CREDS centre mid-term review
Start Year 2020
 
Description Engaging Social Sciences in the Department for Transport Workshop 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The aim for this event was to bring policy makers/area specialists together with academics from the University of Leeds to afford the opportunity to network, share knowledge with the hope of fostering future collaborative partnerships between the two organisations.

One of the main objectives of the Department for Transport is to share its social research interests and to hear from University academics working within related topic areas. The event also involved facilitated discussion with DfT experts to discuss ways forward for future collaborations
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
 
Description Media interviews on e-bike carbon reduction capability 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact A policy briefing was produced with the purpose of engaging policy makers and practitioners
This briefing was circulated to Media. https://www.creds.ac.uk/publications/e-bike-carbon-savings-how-much-and-where/

We shared the briefing with 52 media contacts, including national media and trade/specialist media (e.g. cycling magazines). Colleagues in the University of Leeds press office liaised with their regional news outlets. The briefing launch was also promoted via Twitter.
The story was picked up by the BBC with coverage online and on BBC Radio 4's 6pm news programme, and was also extensively referenced in online cycling websites in the UK and internationally: Australia, Italy, USA, India, Spain and Norway.
To share the briefing more widely, we contacted c.60 organisations and individuals with an interest in energy, climate and transport. This included cycling organisations (Cycling UK), policymakers (Department for Transport, Committee on Climate Change), local government (Local Government Association) and other agencies (National Parks).
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://www.creds.ac.uk/publications/e-bike-carbon-savings-how-much-and-where/
 
Description Presentation to APPGCW 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Presentation on the carbon reduction capability of e-bikes to the All Party Parliamentary Group on Cycling and Walking.

There was awareness of this work following co-author Prof Jillian Anable being asked about it at the Transport Select Committee
https://committees.parliament.uk/oralevidence/617/pdf/

We have also seen minutes of the Department for Transport's Net Zero Transport Board where the work has been discussed.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
 
Description Presentation to practitioner conference ACTravelwise conference 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Presented on line to the ACTravelwise conference. Purpose was to present on e-bike carbon reduction capability and other co-benefits of e-bikes to an organisation representing practitioners.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Workshop with Sustrans 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Third sector organisations
Results and Impact Sustrans sought engagement with researchers from the University to lift horizons, discuss wider research landscapes, share perspectives, and challenge views, particularly in relation to their strategic priorities Liveable Cities and Towns for Everyone and Paths for Everyone.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019