The HealthMod Cluster: Enhancing Policy Modelling Capabilities to Tackle the Economic Determinants of Health and Health Inequality
Lead Research Organisation:
University of Glasgow
Department Name: College of Medical, Veterinary, Life Sci
Abstract
HealthMod is a large research programme that brings together scientists, policymakers, and charities interested in using economic policies to improve people's health. We particularly want to improve the health of people who experience disadvantage or discrimination in their lives, as they tend to spend much more of their lives in poor health and also die younger, and the situation has got worse over the past decade.
Local and national governments make decisions on various economic policies, such as changes to taxes, welfare, job creation, and social housing. These policies have long-term effects on people's health, as they influence important aspects of healthy living, like having enough money, good work, decent housing, safe neighbourhoods, and supportive communities.
In HealthMod, we want to help policymakers, charity organisations and communities themselves understand how these policies affect people differently, based on characteristics like gender, income, and where they live. Our research would show whether planned new policies are likely to support long and healthy lives for everyone, or whether they would make inequalities worse.
Our programme has three work areas:
Computer modelling for Health: We will develop computer models to show how different kinds of policies might affect the economic situation and long-term health of each person in Britain. These models help policymakers understand the impact of policies on people in their area, especially whether they narrow or widen unfair health inequalities, so they can make informed decisions. All models we develop will be freely available for researchers and policymakers to use.
Policy and Advocacy Engagement: Government organisations and charities seeking to promote healthier policy decisions are partners in our programme. Together we will decide on the most urgent questions that our modelling can help answer. This will ensure that the models we build can inform real decisions. We will create websites, videos, and training courses to explain how our models work and how to use them effectively.
Citizen's Engagement and Democratisation of Modelling: We believe it is vital to involve people who may be affected by economic policies. We will host workshops where individuals experiencing issues such as poverty or poor health can share their thoughts and experiences. These insights will shape our models, making them more relevant and inclusive. We will also work with a broader group of citizens to understand which policy outcomes are most important for society.
Our goal is to create high-quality, trustworthy computer models that incorporate policymaker and community perspectives. This research will guide the best way to design, explain and use computer modelling for policy decisions that seek to improve health and reduce health inequalities.
Local and national governments make decisions on various economic policies, such as changes to taxes, welfare, job creation, and social housing. These policies have long-term effects on people's health, as they influence important aspects of healthy living, like having enough money, good work, decent housing, safe neighbourhoods, and supportive communities.
In HealthMod, we want to help policymakers, charity organisations and communities themselves understand how these policies affect people differently, based on characteristics like gender, income, and where they live. Our research would show whether planned new policies are likely to support long and healthy lives for everyone, or whether they would make inequalities worse.
Our programme has three work areas:
Computer modelling for Health: We will develop computer models to show how different kinds of policies might affect the economic situation and long-term health of each person in Britain. These models help policymakers understand the impact of policies on people in their area, especially whether they narrow or widen unfair health inequalities, so they can make informed decisions. All models we develop will be freely available for researchers and policymakers to use.
Policy and Advocacy Engagement: Government organisations and charities seeking to promote healthier policy decisions are partners in our programme. Together we will decide on the most urgent questions that our modelling can help answer. This will ensure that the models we build can inform real decisions. We will create websites, videos, and training courses to explain how our models work and how to use them effectively.
Citizen's Engagement and Democratisation of Modelling: We believe it is vital to involve people who may be affected by economic policies. We will host workshops where individuals experiencing issues such as poverty or poor health can share their thoughts and experiences. These insights will shape our models, making them more relevant and inclusive. We will also work with a broader group of citizens to understand which policy outcomes are most important for society.
Our goal is to create high-quality, trustworthy computer models that incorporate policymaker and community perspectives. This research will guide the best way to design, explain and use computer modelling for policy decisions that seek to improve health and reduce health inequalities.
Technical Summary
CLUSTER SUMMARY An interdisciplinary team of researchers collaborating with highly engaged government, third sector and community partners to co-produce versatile public health modelling infrastructure as a national asset, and perform model-based appraisal of policy interventions targeting the economic determinants of health.
CHALLENGE The unequal distribution of economic resources contributes to widening health inequalities. There are large evidence gaps on how different economic determinants (e.g. wealth, welfare, work) jointly produce health outcomes and which policies (e.g. tax, benefits, labour market) and policy combinations can maximise health / inequality benefits.
VISION HealthMOD will be a cluster of excellence for innovative public health computational modelling that provides timely and effective support to real-life policy processes. By testing which existing or novel policy options are effective in disrupting health-harming dynamics, it will catalyse a policy shift toward actions that are geared to achieving tangible health improvements.
RESEARCH We will use qualitative, quantitative and computational methods to (a) represent the complex causal chains linking economic factors to health outcomes, (b) analyse subgroup and spatial heterogeneity in model inputs and outputs, (c) test which combinations of established and novel policies maximise benefits, and (d) incorporate general public and marginalized community perspectives for democratised, socially-robust modelling.
THEORY OF CHANGE Using innovative co-production approaches, our computational models will be informed by policy need and reflect the lived experience of communities. Capacity-building promotes informed engagement with and responsible use of models and outputs across policy, advocacy, media and lay audiences.
BENEFITS HealthMod will deliver scalable methods and tools to identify, advocate for, design and implement policies and multi-component strategies for population health improvement
CHALLENGE The unequal distribution of economic resources contributes to widening health inequalities. There are large evidence gaps on how different economic determinants (e.g. wealth, welfare, work) jointly produce health outcomes and which policies (e.g. tax, benefits, labour market) and policy combinations can maximise health / inequality benefits.
VISION HealthMOD will be a cluster of excellence for innovative public health computational modelling that provides timely and effective support to real-life policy processes. By testing which existing or novel policy options are effective in disrupting health-harming dynamics, it will catalyse a policy shift toward actions that are geared to achieving tangible health improvements.
RESEARCH We will use qualitative, quantitative and computational methods to (a) represent the complex causal chains linking economic factors to health outcomes, (b) analyse subgroup and spatial heterogeneity in model inputs and outputs, (c) test which combinations of established and novel policies maximise benefits, and (d) incorporate general public and marginalized community perspectives for democratised, socially-robust modelling.
THEORY OF CHANGE Using innovative co-production approaches, our computational models will be informed by policy need and reflect the lived experience of communities. Capacity-building promotes informed engagement with and responsible use of models and outputs across policy, advocacy, media and lay audiences.
BENEFITS HealthMod will deliver scalable methods and tools to identify, advocate for, design and implement policies and multi-component strategies for population health improvement
Organisations
- University of Glasgow (Lead Research Organisation)
- Public Health Scotland (Project Partner)
- Resolution Foundation (Project Partner)
- Institute for Government (Project Partner)
- Glasgow City Region (Project Partner)
- World Health Organization (Project Partner)
- Public Health Wales NHS Trust (Project Partner)
- The Health Foundation (UK) (Project Partner)
- Dept Levelling Up, Housing & Communities (Project Partner)
- DEPARTMENT FOR WORK AND PENSIONS (Project Partner)
- SCOTTISH GOVERNMENT (Project Partner)
- New Economics Foundation (Project Partner)
- Centre for Progressive Policy (Project Partner)
- Wellbeing Economy Alliance Scotland (Project Partner)
- West Midlands Combined Authority (Project Partner)
Publications
Balogh R
(2025)
Wealth and health: the neglected economic determinant.
in The Lancet regional health. Europe
McCabe R
(2024)
Implications of child poverty reduction targets for public health and health inequalities in England: a modelling study between 2024 and 2033
in Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health
| Description | Mobilising community assets advisory board |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Participation in a guidance/advisory committee |
| Description | Scottish Parliament / University of Glasgow Climate Change Scrutiny and Research Symposium |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Contribution to a national consultation/review |
| URL | https://www.gla.ac.uk/research/az/publicpolicy/news/headline_1136156_en.html |
| Description | Orienting Policy Towards Inequality Minimising Actions (OPTIMA): A systems science approach to 20-minute neighbourhood policy and evaluation |
| Amount | £1,319,798 (GBP) |
| Funding ID | NIHR160301 |
| Organisation | National Institute for Health and Care Research |
| Sector | Public |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Start | 08/2024 |
| End | 08/2027 |
| Description | Capital Investment Health Impact Assessment (CHIA) Celebration Event |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | Regional |
| Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
| Results and Impact | A project developed by Glasgow City Region created an innovative new 'CHIA' (Capital Investment Health Impact Assessment) toolkit which includes access to online resources, to enable capital projects to embed health and equity in decision-making by following a tailored Health Impact Assessment process; as well as a project account and collaboration space to guide projects through the CHIA process. This toolkit will be used in the development and delivery of capital infrastructure projects at various stages to ensure that decisions made at every level, from design, to build and operate, focus on maximising benefits for local communities, including reducing health inequalities. SIPHER inclusive economy indicators are used in the toolkit. Prof Petra Meier attended the celebration event and had discussions with policy makers and other representatives. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| URL | https://www.linkedin.com/posts/glasgow-city-region_chia-healthimpacts-healthandequity-activity-72747... |
| Description | ESRC networking lunch and roundtable on data infrastructure and research skills training |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Professor Petra Meier attended an Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) networking event and roundtable discussion, and provided subject expertise around the data infrastructure and skills needs in social sciences to undertake data-driven research, the challenges researchers at different career stages face in acquiring these skills, and the opportunities to effect change. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| Description | Health Equity Network Conference |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Jo Longbottom attended the Health Equity Network conference in Glasgow and discussed interests and work on health equity - she has since been invited to lead a HEN group on systems leadership. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| URL | https://healthequitynetwork.co.uk/ |
| Description | Health Inequalities Workshop - MVLS Health Inequalities College Future Theme |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | Local |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Professor Petra Meier was invited to attend a Workshop with University of Glasgow MVLS college to discuss strategic vision for the college future team of health inequalities - focussing on setting objectives and exploring innovative interdisciplinary methods. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| Description | Meeting with Department of Health & Social Care UK Governement. SIPHER Directorate, June 2024. |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
| Results and Impact | A meeting with contacts from the Department of Health and Social Care to discuss progress on SIPHER and the new HealthMod Programme, with particular interest in the dynamic microsimulation modelling work. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| Description | Mobilising Community Assets advisory board |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Invited to Advisory Board Meeting of UKRI funded Mobilising community assets programme and provided subject expertise around health inequalities and input into programmatic aspects |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| Description | Participation at Europe Day event |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
| Results and Impact | Europe Day celebrates the anniversary of the Schuman declaration on 9 May 1950, which set out the foundation of the European Union. Professor Meier attended activities and networked with stakeholders. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| Description | Participation at Global Health & Environment Interdisciplinary Research Themes (IRT) Launch Event |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | The GHE IRT launch event introduced the IRT and provided opportunities for an interactive discussion and networking. Professor Meier attended and provided input to help shape its future direction. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| URL | https://mediaspace.gla.ac.uk/media/GHE+Launch+Event+Intro/1_q0sf2jbl |
| Description | Policy Modelling for Health (HealthMod) - launch event 24 June 2024 (online) |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
| Results and Impact | The formal online launch of Policy Modelling for Health took place Monday 24 June via Teams. The event objectives were to introduce the programme to our wider network of partners and to start discussions with members of the Programme's Policy and Think Tank & Advocacy working groups to help guide future engagements. 40 people attended the event, including Programme members, national, regional and local policy partners, colleagues from the PHI UK Directorate, and representatives from Think Tank and Advocacy organisations. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| Description | Policy Working Group meeting 2 October 2024 - HealthMod - Julian Cox / Jo Winterbottom |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
| Results and Impact | Inaugural meeting of Policy Modelling for Health (HealthMod)'s Policy Working Group took place 2 October 2024. The Policy Working Group is to help ensure that Policy Modelling for Health develops innovative research processes and methods to enhance utility of models, boosting interest and increasing capacity for modelling within policy audiences. Hoping to gain expert advice around policy, where priorities are, where data needs are, where evidence gaps are and where the project might be able to help. Policy Working Group members represent a variety of policy-making organisations including UK Government, Welsh Government, Scottish Government, WHO, NHS Wales. The group will meet every 6 months. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024,2025 |
| Description | Public Health Scotland Board visit |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | Regional |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | The PHS Board was hosted by University on Glasgow. Professor Petra Meier took part in the meetings as a UofG representative and did a presentation, taking the opportunity to share good practices and common interests. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| Description | Public Health Wales Systems Summit April 2024 -keynote speaker Professor Petra Meier |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Professor Meier delivered a keynote speech at Public Health Wales' Systems Summit online event 10 April 2024. 81 people attended the summit. Feedback via Public Health Wales was that attendees were enthused, motivated and challenged by the event. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| Description | Think-Tank and Advocacy Working Group - Meeting 2 October 2024 - Jo Winterbottom / Julian Cox |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Third sector organisations |
| Results and Impact | The inaugural meeting of Policy Modelling for Health (HealthMod)'s Think Tank & Advocacy Working Group took place 2 October 2024. The working group was set up to help ensure that Policy Modelling for Health develops innovative research processes and methods to enhance utility of models, boosting interest and increasing capacity for modelling within policy audiences. Hoping to gain expert advice around policy, where priorities are, where data needs are, where evidence gaps are and where the project might be able to help. Working Group members represent organisations such as the Centre for Progressive Policy, New Economics Foundation, Institute for Government, The Health Foundation, Wellbeing Alliance Scotland, Resolution Foundation. The Working Group will meet every 6 months. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024,2025 |
| Description | Training sessions on SimPaths - February 2025 - Matteo Richiardi and Patryk Bronka - Centre for Microsimulation & Policy Analysis, University of Essex |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Matteo Richiardi and Patryk Bronka of CEMPA delivered a series of SimPaths focused training sessions, which discussed the model in detail and look into the specifics of modelling policy options in the second part of the training. The first session assumed no knowledge of SimPaths or Java programming* and concluded with the participants being able to compile and run the model. The second session then explored modifying existing policies, model parameters, and processes. The training was well attended both by Policy Modelling for Health (HealthMod) colleagues (30% of the audience) and external attendees (70% of the audience). The training was recorded and the recording shared with colleagues who were not able to attend on the days the training took place. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2025 |
