Impact of Climate Extremes on Ecsosystem and Human Health in Brazil (PULSE-Brazil)

Lead Research Organisation: University of Exeter
Department Name: Engineering Computer Science and Maths

Abstract

The international scientific community is developing a greater understanding of the underpinning science and the associated impacts of climate change on Amazonia. However, the challenge is now to continue to develop the science while at the same time engaging with the national and international stakeholders, the key policymakers and the local communities.

We recognise that this cannot be achieved in isolation and the key to success will be through international collaboration. Therefore, this programme will be delivered through close collaboration between the University of Exeter, the Brazilian National Institute for Space Research (INPE), the Federal University of Minas Gerais and the UK Met Office. The PULSE-Brazil project consists of three inter-linked Work-packages (WPs):

Work-package 1 (WP1) - will coordinate the exchange of scientists between the UK and Brazil, organise and run international conferences and stakeholder engagement activities, and manage the overall PULSE-Brazil project. The ultimate aim of this WP is to integrate the results and discussions between the cross-disciplinary research team and policy makers to propose strategies for mitigation and adaptation (Leader: Luiz Aragao)

Work-package 2 (WP2) - will focus on building the climate, environmental and human-health datasets for assessing the Impacts and Vulnerability to Climate Change in Brazil, based on state-of-the-art climate change projections from he regional Eta model and the MBSCG global model. The climate and environmental data will be delivered by INPE of Brazil, while the health data will be delivered by Federal University of Minas Gerais - both funded by a related proposal to FAPESP- FRPGCC (Leader : Jose Marengo).

Work-package 3 (WP3) - will develop a 'user friendly' decision-support system (PULSE) that will allow both academic and non-academic users to visualise the impacts of Climate Change on ecosystems and human health the Brazilian region, using relevant outputs from pre-existing model projections. This will be subcontracted to the UK Met Office (Leader: Richard Betts).

Planned Impact

The PULSE-Brazil proposal is unlike standard research proposals, in that it does not seek support for a pre-determined research project, but rather it requests support for a suite of activities to facilitate international collaboration via an international project office. This proposal aims to facilitate international collaboration to further the understanding of the impacts of climate change in Amazonia. The following outlines the potential beneficiaries of this work.

Brazilian Policymakers (e.g. Ministry of Science and Technology) - through attendance at workshops and conferences key stakeholders will gain a greater understanding of Earth System Science and the profound consequences of human activity - specifically the potential impact of climate and land-cover changes in Amazonia. This will help inform policy decisions to mitigate against potential changes and to minimize negative impacts on ecosystems, water resources and human health - which will contribute towards improving the quality of life and well-being for local communities. PULSE-Brazil will also provide information to the United Nations environmental conventions on climate change and biological diversity, given the key importance of Amazonia for both.

Regional Authorities in Brazil - Deforestation rates in Brazilian Amazonia have declined by 2/3 over the last five years. PULSE-Brazil will influence public policy at a local/regional level by providing better and clearer information on the potential impacts of climate and land-cover changes on Amazonia to guide options towards sustainability for the region.

Local Communities in Brazil and other Amazon countries - impact studies are best delivered through the involvement of local experts and local communities. Informal workshops to be held in Brazil will enable local communities to steer and contribute to the project. In return, PULSE-Brazil will enhance the understanding and awareness that local communities have regarding links between human actions and climate change.

International & UK Policymakers (Department for International Development, World Bank) - The UK Government will be investing 0.7% of gross national income in aid from 2013 to contribute towards international development, despite the recent economic downturn. The information that is communicated by PULSE-Brazil will enable the relevant policymakers and budget holders to focus their investment on projects that deliver the greatest overall benefits for sustainable international development. This project will also provide inputs to Brazilian and UK national communications to the UN convention on climate change, as well as the 5th Assessment Report for the International Government Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). This will allow more robust reporting on the impacts of climate change in the Amazon.

UK Academic & International Scientific Communities - increased knowledge transfer, and therefore a greater understanding of the underpinning science, can only be achieved through international collaboration. The coordinations provided by PULSE-Brazil, and the associated workshops and seminars, will ensure that vital communication within the international scientific community is enhanced.

National and International Media - A key beneficiary of this project will be the UK, Brazilian and International Media, and ultimately their audiences, who will receive clearer and more accurate information regarding climate and land-use changes in Amazonia. Press releases and media briefings will contribute objective information to the international debates on climate change and deforestation, in both the printed press and other media.
 
Description The PULSE-Brazil project is a somewhat different research project in the sense that its main focus is not generating new science and new findings but rather using current data and understanding of climate and ecological systems to build a data visualisation tool that facilitates the understanding and use of these informations for human health and environmental decision making in Brazil. The impact of PULSE on this in these first two years of project was the official request to use the PULSE tool as a central information platform of climate and environmental data in several Climate Adaptation Plans namely: - Acre State Climate Adaptation and Risk Management Plan - Interministerial Commission on Climate Adaptation of the Federal Government - 2040 National Adaptation Plan of the Secretary of Strategic Affairs of the President's Office
First Year Of Impact 2012
Sector Environment,Healthcare
Impact Types Societal,Policy & public services

 
Description MoU with Fiocruz and INPE in Brazil
Geographic Reach South America 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Describe
URL http://www.exeter.ac.uk/international/news/international/title_405558_en.html
 
Description PULSE as central information tool for Climate Adaptation and Risk Management State Plan in Acre - Brazil
Geographic Reach South America 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Acre is a small and remote Amazonian state in Brazil that despite playing a pivotal role in the whole Amazonian region as a model of sustainable forest governance, yet has a limited number of international research collaborations, namely with the UK. The PULSE project however is making a difference in the State by bringing and locally building an understanding of observed and future climate in the state to best inform policy and decision making in the state. The ongoing collaboration in Acre with the University of Exeter as well the extended visit to Rio Branco of PULSE's project manager allowed for a greater capacity in this state to consider climate change in the State long-term climate and environmental risk management plans. On the 6th of November 2013, a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) was signed in Rio Branco by the leading PULSE institutions in the UK and Brazil as well with 5 key local stakeholders such as the Environment State Secretary, the Health State Secretary, the State and Municipal Civil Defense and the Science and Technology State Foundation. Through this MoU, the PULSE teams will continue to support Acre's desire and need to prepare to climate change in its health and environmental management plans and thereby better equipping the State with up-to-date information about future risks from climate change.
URL http://www.agencia.ac.gov.br/noticias/acre/acre-sera-pioneiro-na-america-latina-em-analise-conjunta-...
 
Description PULSE collaboration with the National Communication of Brazil to the UNFCCC (Health Chapter)
Geographic Reach South America 
Policy Influence Type Citation in systematic reviews
Impact The presence of PULSE project manager in Brazil was na opportunity for this project to be involved and collaborate with the Health chapter of the National Communication of Brazil to the UNFCCC. This represents a key international systematic review of Climate Change in Brazil. The expertise on Climate Modelling from the PULSE research team was essential to enhance the climate-health analysis of the Brazilian health research group in charge of this chapter from the National Communication. Without this PULSE collaboration such use of climate model predictions would have been significantly hindered.
 
Description PULSE involvement with the 20º 40º National Climate Adaptation Plan - Secretary of Strategic Affairs - Presidence of Republic
Geographic Reach South America 
Policy Influence Type Citation in systematic reviews
Impact In December 2013, the PULSE project was invited to participate in the launching meeting of the national Climate Adaptation Plan organized by the Secretary of Strategic Affairs of the Presidence of Republic. PULSE was also invited by the ministry of the Environment to present the project and its data visualisation tool to the interministerial commission of climate change adaptation in Brasilia in June 2014. This opportunity led to a closer cooperation relationship with the Secretary of Climate Change from this Ministry. The presence of PULSE in such strategic meetings and plans for Climate Change policy-making in Brazil represents a significant impact of the knowledge and understanding of climate change implications in Brazil that the PULSE team has developed within the scope of this project.
 
Description PULSE seminar in Fiocruz on Climate Change and Health to postgraduate students
Geographic Reach South America 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact PULSE project manager Duarte Costa was invited during his extended visit to Fiocruz to give a seminar about Climate Change modelling and health to Public Health postgraduate students of the National School of Public Health at Fiocruz. This course triggered a large interest and a new invitation was made for the PULSE research team deliver a one week winter course about climate modelling and health in July 2015
 
Title PULSE - a Data Visualisation tool for climate, ecosystem and health interconnections 
Description The PULSE visualisation tool enables a new and friendly way of viewing in one same platform climate, ecosystems and health data across the 26 Brazilian States. PULSE enables free and easy access to historic records and projections of climate data, combining different spatial and temporal scales as well as information from different models from the CMIP5 ensemble. 
Type Of Material Improvements to research infrastructure 
Year Produced 2012 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact This platform allows na easy access to researchers from Climate, Health and Enviromental Services institutions, as well as decision-makers both at the Acre Government but also at the Ministry of the Environment Climate Change Secretary. The type of quick visualisation of climate change implications in particular states of Brazil, in specific seasons of the year is a key support tool to craete the underpinning understanding of climate change for Brazil in the long-term. 
URL http://www.pulse-brasil.org/tool
 
Title Municipal Climate Prediciton database for all municipalities of Brazil 
Description During the extended visit of PULSE's project manager to Fiocruz a large effort was made to produce a municipal level climate predictions database. Climate outputs from Earth System models have a grid resolution however, for an integrated analysis of climate and health data, climate variables need to have the same spatial scale as all socioeconomic and health variables. The database includes climate predictions of temperature, temperature anomalies, and extreme events such as heatwaves anomalies and means, in three time windows, two scenarios and two climate models for the 5564 municipalities of Brazil. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2014 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact This database will provide an extremely important database for climate-health studies and will be easily accessible and viewed by different local, state and federal stakeholders in Brazil throught the PULSE tool. This format of climate predictions for Brazil as well as the possibility to easily visualize this is unprecedented so far in Brazil. 
 
Description PULSE project manager is invited as collaborator to Rede CLIMA 
Organisation Government of Brazil
Country Brazil 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution PULSE project manager Duarte Costa was invited as a visiting researcher for an extended visit to Fiocruz in Rio de Janeiro - Brazil to assist a group of environmental health researchers preparing the health chapter of the Brazilian Climate Change National Communication (CCNC) to UNFCCC. The PULSE project was a central link to enable such collaboration but also to provide a data platform to assist in the work for that National Communication. The interest of this collaboration led to an official invitation to join the Health Group of Rede CLIMA, the Ministry of Science network of sectorial experts who inform the federal government about climate change implications in different areas of society.
Collaborator Contribution Under the work commission to the Rede CLIMA Health partners for the CCNC, our partners contributed with the understanding and data of health and health socioeconomic determinants, in an integrated approach along with climate model predictions to generate climate vulnerability, risk and impact analysis on health for all 5500 Brazilian municipalities.
Impact This collaboration was key in providing the underpinning understanding of climate change and climate modelling within this environmental health research group, which was inexistent before the collaboration and was enabled through the PULSE project. Some of the outputs were: - Joint coordination and submission of the Health Chapter of the Brazilian National Communication to UNFCCC-COP20 - Interdisciplinary exchange and collaboration between environmental health, geography and climate researchers - Foundation Seminar about Introducing the Climate Change and Health nexus to the postgraduate students of Environmental Health at the National School of Public Health in Fiocruz. The interest of health students was significant and a winter course in July 2015 was set up to provide a follow-up on this seminar - Joint interdisciplinary journal articles being submitted until the end of 2014.
Start Year 2014
 
Description Signature of Memorandum of Understanding with the Government of Acre 
Organisation Government of Brazil
Department State Government of Acre - Brazil
Country Brazil 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution PULSE has been na active partner with the Government of Acre in Brazil to provide up-to-date understanding of climate change model predictions to this Amazonian state, particularly in terms of the effects of extreme events such as flooding, droughts, fire and outbreaks of climate sensitive diseases such as malaria, diarrhoea, dengue and respiratory health illnesses.
Collaborator Contribution The Government of Acre has been very supportive of the PULSE project by making all state-collected environmental and health data available as well as government staff to collaborate with PULSE researchers. Between October and December 2013, the Acre Government welcomed PULSE's project manager Duarte Costa for an extended visit to lead the pilot application of PULSE in the state.
Impact To formalize and ensure the long-term continuity of this science-policy collaboration, especially across different political mandates in Acre, an MoU was signed between the core members of the PULSE project in Brazil and in the UK as well as with the Government of Acre and key Science and Civil Defense stakeholders of Acre's civil society. This MoU will strengthen and facilitate the exchange between researchers, students and government practitioners as well as of data for promote climate change studies in this remote Amazonian state.
Start Year 2013
 
Description Signature of MoU between the University of Exeter, Fiocruz and INPE 
Organisation National Institute for Space Research Brazil
Country Brazil 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution The MoU signed in July 2014 between the University of Exeter Vice Chancellor and the Presidents of Fiocruz and INPE in Brazil represents a landmark of UK-Brazil academic collaboration to which the PULSE-Brazil project represents a significant contribution. Both INPE and Fiocruz are current PULSE partners and the topic of interest of PULSE (climate change, ecosystems and human health interconnections in Brazil) is a key aspect of the MoU celebrated between these institutions. PULSE was a fundamental stepping stone to materialize the desire for greater integration between the teams working in this interdisciplinary topic in both countries.
Collaborator Contribution INPE and Fiocruz are eager to get students and young researchers from their climate research teams involved with Exeter researchers to develop climate impact methodologies in Brazil on ecosystems and human health. Their collaboration to prepare a new Newton Fund Proposal on this topic was central for the continuation of the PULSE activities in the long-term.
Impact Thanks to this MoU a greater exchange of students, researchers and members of staff will be made easier promoting a closer collaboration between countries. This includes training opportunities for visiting Brazilian scientists in the UK and new research avenues and collaborations for UK researchers in Brazil, namely in Amazonian climate change research where Exeter has a key interest. One of the outcomes of this MoU for PULSE was the joint submission of a climate-health research proposal to the Newton Fund which will enable extended visits of young environmental health researchers from Brazil to learn and collaborate to the state-of-the-art Earth System modelling teams from the PULSE project both at the University of Exeter and the Met Office.
Start Year 2014
 
Description Signature of MoU between the University of Exeter, Fiocruz and INPE 
Organisation Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (Fiocruz)
Country Brazil 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution The MoU signed in July 2014 between the University of Exeter Vice Chancellor and the Presidents of Fiocruz and INPE in Brazil represents a landmark of UK-Brazil academic collaboration to which the PULSE-Brazil project represents a significant contribution. Both INPE and Fiocruz are current PULSE partners and the topic of interest of PULSE (climate change, ecosystems and human health interconnections in Brazil) is a key aspect of the MoU celebrated between these institutions. PULSE was a fundamental stepping stone to materialize the desire for greater integration between the teams working in this interdisciplinary topic in both countries.
Collaborator Contribution INPE and Fiocruz are eager to get students and young researchers from their climate research teams involved with Exeter researchers to develop climate impact methodologies in Brazil on ecosystems and human health. Their collaboration to prepare a new Newton Fund Proposal on this topic was central for the continuation of the PULSE activities in the long-term.
Impact Thanks to this MoU a greater exchange of students, researchers and members of staff will be made easier promoting a closer collaboration between countries. This includes training opportunities for visiting Brazilian scientists in the UK and new research avenues and collaborations for UK researchers in Brazil, namely in Amazonian climate change research where Exeter has a key interest. One of the outcomes of this MoU for PULSE was the joint submission of a climate-health research proposal to the Newton Fund which will enable extended visits of young environmental health researchers from Brazil to learn and collaborate to the state-of-the-art Earth System modelling teams from the PULSE project both at the University of Exeter and the Met Office.
Start Year 2014
 
Title PULSE data visualisation tool for climate, ecosystems and human health interconnections in the 26 Brazilian states 
Description The PULSE visualisation tool enables a new and friendly way of viewing in one same platform climate, ecosystems and health data across the 26 Brazilian States. PULSE enables free and easy access to historic records and projections of climate data, combining different spatial and temporal scales as well as information from different models from the CMIP5 ensemble. 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2012 
Impact This platform allows na easy access to researchers from Climate, Health and Enviromental Services institutions, as well as decision-makers both at the Acre Government but also at the Ministry of the Environment Climate Change Secretary. The type of quick visualisation of climate change implications in particular states of Brazil, in specific seasons of the year is a key support tool to craete the underpinning understanding of climate change for Brazil in the long-term. 
URL http://www.pulse-brasil.org/tool