COVID 19 - Reduced Air Traffic due to Coronavirus, Environmental Impacts

Lead Research Organisation: University of Oxford
Department Name: Oxford Physics

Abstract

The aviation industry is responsible for at least 5% human climate impact, despite producing only 2.5% of CO2 emissions. A key driver of this is contrails, which have a particularly large effect by trapping heat in the troposphere.
However, their impact is poorly understood due to difficulties in studying contrails, especially for situations where contrails spread out into large, long-lived, cirrus clouds. The unprecedented reduction in aviation due to the pandemic allows us to isolate and track individual contrails using satellite data, which is usually very challenging. The relatively clear skies during the pandemic also enable us to much better estimate the impact of aviation by comparing airspace and contrail formation during the shutdown against normal conditions.

Furthermore, as the pandemic subsides there is a unique and urgent opportunity for the UK government to support aviation in an economically and environmentally friendly manner - especially in the context of controversial decisions such as Heathrow's third runway. This project will use unique data sources to conduct cutting-edge research into aviation's environmental impact, contrails in particular, to allow the government to make evidence-based decisions on financial and regulatory support to the industry as it returns to flight operations in the future.

Publications

10 25 50
 
Description We investigated aviation's total contribution to climate change - rather than just the effect of aircraft CO2 emissions - and found that aviation contributes approximatesly 4% of climate change. Furthermore, we found that the reduction in flights due to the COVID-19 pandemic only had minimal, short lasting impact.
Exploitation Route This will assist policymakers and aviation industry leaders in determining strategies to minimise the climate impact of aviation without relying on the outdated "net zero" approach.
Sectors Aerospace, Defence and Marine,Government, Democracy and Justice

URL https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/nov/04/small-cuts-in-air-traffic-would-level-off-global-heating-caused-by-flying-study
 
Title milankl/FlyingClimate: Supplementary material for Kloewer et al 2021 
Description This repository contains data, analysis and plotting scripts for Kloewer et al, 2021. - Emissions and flight data from EUROCONTROL - Calculation of the warming-equivalent emissions - Scenarios for aviation until 2050 - Plotting scripts for Figure 1-4 and the supplementary figures 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2021 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact None as yet 
URL https://zenodo.org/record/5534138
 
Description Global network of geoscientists 
Organisation Imperial College London
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Providing data, analysis and insight into the changes in seismic noise due to the reduction in aircraft movements during the COVID lockdowns.
Collaborator Contribution Data analysis and preparation, insight into other sources of seismic noise
Impact Publication in Science describing our results (10.1126/science.abd2438), ongoing partnership to investigate sources of seismic noise in more detail. Highly multidisciplinary between atmospheric science, earth sciences, economics, political science, medicine.
Start Year 2020
 
Description Global network of geoscientists 
Organisation Royal Observatory of Belgium
Country Belgium 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Providing data, analysis and insight into the changes in seismic noise due to the reduction in aircraft movements during the COVID lockdowns.
Collaborator Contribution Data analysis and preparation, insight into other sources of seismic noise
Impact Publication in Science describing our results (10.1126/science.abd2438), ongoing partnership to investigate sources of seismic noise in more detail. Highly multidisciplinary between atmospheric science, earth sciences, economics, political science, medicine.
Start Year 2020
 
Description Social media channel 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact I run a personal twitter channel that focuses on my research, mainly tweeting examples of satellite data or discussing their relevence to weather forecasting or the aviation industry. Median monthly 'reach' is ~50,000 unique engagements. Maximum monthly reach over 2019 was 2.3 million unique engagements.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022