A scalable dynamical core for Next Generation Weather and Climate Prediction - Phase 2

Lead Research Organisation: University of Reading
Department Name: Meteorology

Abstract

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Planned Impact

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Description I have been developing numerical methods for transporting pollutants and other atmospheric constituents that are stable and accurate even when a large time-step are used and even on quasi-uniform grids of the sphere. The Met Office is moving a way from the highly non-uniform latitude-longitude grid to a quasi-uniform grid such as the cubed sphere. Therefore it is not possible to use the same kind of transport scheme. The question is, should we use a one-dimensional scheme applied in every direction separately or a multi-dimensional scheme that does not rely on grid points being aligned in particular directions. With an MSc student, we have developed a new transport scheme that does not rely on grid alignment. However we have found that the classic schemes that do rely on grid alignment, perform extremely well even when grids are not aligned.

We have also compared the accuracy of different techniques for taking long, stable time-steps. Implicit time-stepping is usually thought to suffer from large errors when using large time-steps while semi-Lagrangian schemes are thought to be more accurate. In contrast, we have found that the more Lagrangian type of transport scheme is unstable when long time-steps are taken on distorted grids while the implicit time-stepping retains stability.
Exploitation Route Continued discussions with the Met Office and with ECMWF
Sectors Aerospace, Defence and Marine,Environment

URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1701.06907
 
Description Options for the next Met Office prediction model were analysed. Several originally promising methods were eliminated and some new methods were explored.
First Year Of Impact 2014
Sector Aerospace, Defence and Marine
Impact Types Policy & public services

 
Description Transport scheme in next generation Met Office model
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1701.06907
 
Title AtmosFOAM 
Description A suite of numerical models and methods for atmospheric modelling using emerging numerical techniques 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2014 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Papers and collaborative code development with students 
URL https://github.com/AtmosFOAM/
 
Description Long time step transport with ECMWF 
Organisation European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting ECMWF
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Developing transport schemes for atmospheric modelling that are conservative and stable for long time steps.
Collaborator Contribution Advising on requirements and current capabilities.
Impact No
Start Year 2019
 
Description MSc project on transport schemes with the Met Office 
Organisation Meteorological Office UK
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Tested various transport schemes which could be suitable for the next Met Office forecasting model.
Collaborator Contribution Met Office staff jointly supervised an MSc dissertation on numerical methods suitable for the next Met Office forecasting model.
Impact Publication submitted: https://arxiv.org/abs/1701.06907
Start Year 2015
 
Title AtmosFOAM 
Description A set of library routines and applications for simulating the atmosphere using arbitrary meshes 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2015 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact This is a research tool and has enabled the research for all of my publications. 
URL https://github.com/AtmosFOAM
 
Description Dynamical Core Model Intercomparison Project (DCMIP) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Series of lectures at the Dynamical Core Model Intercomparison Project workshop in order to train post-graduates and weather forecast model developers in the latest modelling techniques.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.earthsystemcog.org/projects/dcmip-2016/
 
Description Plenary talk at SIAM student chapter 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact The talk on "New mathematical techniques for weather and climate prediction" sparked questions and interest from the students and informed students about the mathematical challenges of weather and climate prediction

none
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.reading.ac.uk/maths/siamstudentchapter/conference.html