Assessing the risk of groundwater-induced sewer flooding to inform water and sewerage company investment planning

Lead Research Organisation: British Geological Survey
Department Name: Environmental Modelling

Abstract

During the last two winters, and that of 2000-01, Chalk catchments of southern England experienced severe groundwater flooding. Rising groundwater tables caused rivers to flow high up-catchment in normally dry valleys, flooding homes and businesses in these locations and further downstream. Groundwater ingress into the sewer network led to restricted toilet use and the overflow of diluted, but untreated sewage to road surfaces, rivers and water courses. Increased sewer flows reaching sewage treatment works caused overspills and the contamination of water flowing into rivers. The water and sewerage company Thames Water Utilities Ltd (TWUL) estimate that they spent in the region of £19m responding to the extreme wet weather of 2013-14 and used a fleet of over 100 tankers. However, the magnitude of the event was so large that these efforts could not stop the discharge of sewage to the environment. A particular challenge in managing groundwater flooding in Chalk catchments is that it can last for weeks to months as they are slow to drain after rainfall stops.

In response to these groundwater flooding events TWUL are working to reduce the infiltration of groundwater from the Chalk into sewers, and to understand the risk of groundwater flooding to the network. This involves the development of "Infiltration Reduction Plans", which will be submitted to the Environment Agency, and strategic planning of investment in their infrastructure. This project brings together researchers from the British Geological Survey and Imperial College London, to work in partnership with TWUL infrastructure managers and technical specialists to support this investment planning. The overarching aim of the work is to quantify the scale of the risk of groundwater-induced flooding to the sewer network in a Chalk catchment and to translate this knowledge into options for investment planning. The project builds on recent NERC funded research involving the partners that has developed a series of highly relevant datasets, tools and models. Specifically, we will: (i) quantify the risk of groundwater flooding under current climate using an ensemble of weather sequences generated using the state-of-the art weather generator, GlimClim; (ii) assess changes in the likelihood of flooding under future climate using new probabilistic climate projections; (iii) investigate the propagation, in space and time, of the interaction of groundwater flooding with the sewer network, and where investment should be targeted first to minimise sewer overloading; and (iv) translate this improved understanding into TWUL's investment planning, for example, as part of Ofwat's Asset Management Planning 5-year cycle. The project will use the River Lambourn, Berkshire, which has been impacted by these issues, as a case-study catchment.

Publications

10 25 50
 
Description The frequency of groundwater flooding in the Chalk aquifer in the Lambourn catchment was assessed in this work though the calculation of the return periods of the annual groundwater level maxima at selected boreholes. Historical rainfall data were used to estimate the groundwater levels at selected return periods. To estimate the uncertainties in the calculated groundwater levels, one hundred sequences of rainfall, generated by the statistical 'weather generator' data, were processed through the groundwater model. The probability of exceedance of the simulated groundwater levels were plotted and uncertainty was estimated from the width of the band created by the hundred different plots at each observation borehole. It has been found that uncertainty levels estimated in this way are approximately in the range of plus or minus 10%.

The frequency of groundwater flooding under future climates was also investigated. Data from the 11-member ensemble of 1km gridded time-series projections (1950-2098) of precipitation and potential evapotranspiration from the Future Flows Climate were used for this purpose. These data were split into four parts, one representing the historical period, and three future time slices: the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s. The main conclusions from this exercise are that the historically observed return period values reduce when future climates are applied. This suggests that events that are historically observed will have a higher frequency of occurrence in the future. In general there is a trend of higher frequency of occurrences in the future but variability in the sequence shows up when examining the results for the 2050s.
Exploitation Route The information about changing flood risk and the performance of the sewer network will help inform TWUL's risk-based investment decisions, the submission of their future Asset Management Plans to Ofwat. It will also help them to be more informed when dealing with other external stakeholders with flood responsibilities such as the Environment Agency and Lead Local Flood Authorities in regard to pluvial, fluvial and groundwater flooding impacts particularly in relation to the resilience of its assets.
Sectors Environment

 
Description The output was an integrated groundwater-sewer network model that was used to identify relationships between infiltration into sewers and groundwater levels at specific points on Thames Water Utilities Ltd's (TWUL) sewer network, and to estimate historic and future groundwater flood risk and how this varies across the catchment. The information about changing flood risk and the performance of the sewer network will help inform TWUL's risk-based investment decisions, the submission of their future Asset Management Plans to Ofwat. It will also help them to be more informed when dealing with other external stakeholders with flood responsibilities such as the Environment Agency and Lead Local Flood Authorities in regard to pluvial, fluvial and groundwater flooding impacts particularly in relation to the resilience of its assets.
First Year Of Impact 2015
Sector Environment
Impact Types Economic

 
Description Launch of Groundwater Infiltration into Urban Infrastructure Centre for Research and Innovation 
Organisation Imperial College London
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution With the partners I have set up this new virtual centre, underpinned by a Memorandum of Understanding signed by each organisation. The Centre is developing an integrated research programme to better manage the risk and economic impact of groundwater infiltration - by combining academic and engineering excellence to deliver innovative practicable outcomes.
Collaborator Contribution The partners bring together a diverse set of complimentary expertise to deliver the programme of research that aims to minimise the impacts of groundwater infiltration on urban infrastructure.
Impact New initiative. Outputs imminent.
Start Year 2015
 
Description Launch of Groundwater Infiltration into Urban Infrastructure Centre for Research and Innovation 
Organisation University of Birmingham
Department School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution With the partners I have set up this new virtual centre, underpinned by a Memorandum of Understanding signed by each organisation. The Centre is developing an integrated research programme to better manage the risk and economic impact of groundwater infiltration - by combining academic and engineering excellence to deliver innovative practicable outcomes.
Collaborator Contribution The partners bring together a diverse set of complimentary expertise to deliver the programme of research that aims to minimise the impacts of groundwater infiltration on urban infrastructure.
Impact New initiative. Outputs imminent.
Start Year 2015
 
Description Launch of Groundwater Infiltration into Urban Infrastructure Centre for Research and Innovation 
Organisation WS Atkins
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution With the partners I have set up this new virtual centre, underpinned by a Memorandum of Understanding signed by each organisation. The Centre is developing an integrated research programme to better manage the risk and economic impact of groundwater infiltration - by combining academic and engineering excellence to deliver innovative practicable outcomes.
Collaborator Contribution The partners bring together a diverse set of complimentary expertise to deliver the programme of research that aims to minimise the impacts of groundwater infiltration on urban infrastructure.
Impact New initiative. Outputs imminent.
Start Year 2015