HyCRISTAL: Integrating Hydro-Climate Science into Policy Decisions for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa
Lead Research Organisation:
University of Leeds
Department Name: School of Earth and Environment
Abstract
East Africa (EA) has one of the world's fastest growing populations, with maxima around water-bodies and rapid urbanisation. Climate change is adding to existing problems increasing vulnerability of the poorest. HyCRISTAL is driven by EA priorities. EA communities rely on rainfall for food via agriculture. EA's inland lakes are rain-fed and provide water, power and fisheries. For EA's growing cities, climate impacts on water resources will affect water supply & treatment. HyCRISTAL will therefore operate in both urban & rural contexts.
Change in water availability will be critical for climate-change impacts in EA, but projections are highly uncertain for rain, lakes, rivers and groundwater, and for extremes. EA "Long-Rains" are observed to be decreasing; while models tend to predict an increase (the "EA Climate paradox") although predictions are not consistent. This uncertainty provides a fundamental limit on the utility of climate information to inform policy. HyCRISTAL will therefore make best use of current projections to quantify uncertainty in user-relevant quantities and provide ground-breaking research to understand and reduce the uncertainty that currently limits decision making.
HyCRISTAL will work with users to deliver world-leading climate research quantifying uncertainty from natural variability, uncertainty from climate forcings including those previously unassessed, and uncertainty in response to these forcings; including uncertainties from key processes such as convection and land-atmopshere coupling that are misrepresented in global models. Research will deliver new understanding of the mechanisms that drive the uncertainty in projections. HyCRISTAL will use this information to understand trends, when climate-change signals will emerge and provide a process-based expert judgement on projections. Working with policy makers, inter-disciplinary research (hydrology, economics, engineering, social science, ecology and decision-making) will quantify risks for rural & urban livelihoods, quantify climate impacts and provide the necessary tools to use climate information for decision making.
HyCRISTAL will work with partners to co-produce research for decision-making on a 5-40 year timescale, demonstrated in 2 main pilots for urban water and policies to enable adaptive climate-smart rural livelihoods. These cover two of three "areas of need" from the African Ministerial Council on Environment's Comprehensive Framework of African Climate Change Programmes. HyCRISTAL has already engaged 12 partners from across EA. HyCRISTAL's Advisory Board will provide a mechanism for further growing stakeholder engagement.
HyCRISTAL will work with the FCFA global & regional projects and CCKE, sharing methods, tools, user needs, expertise & communication. Uniquely, HyCRISTAL will capitalise on the new LVB-HyNEWS, an African-led consortium, governed by the East African Community, the Lake Victoria Basin Commission and National Meteorological and Hydrological agencies, with the African Ministerial Conference on Meteorology as an observer.
HyCRISTAL will build EA capacity directly via collaboration (11 of 25 HyCRISTAL Co-Is are African, with 9 full-time in Africa), including data collection and via targeted workshops and teaching. HyCRISTAL will deliver evidence of impact, with new and deep climate science insights that will far outlast its duration. It will support decisions for climate-resilient infrastructure and livelihoods through application of new understanding in its pilots, with common methodological and infrastructure lessons to promote policy and enable transformational change for impact-at-scale. Using a combination of user-led and science-based management tools, HyCRISTAL will ensure the latest physical science, engineering and social-science yield maximum impacts. HyCRISTAL will deliver outstanding outputs across FCFA's aims; synergies with LVB-HyNEWS will add to these and ensure longevity beyond HyCRISTAL.
Change in water availability will be critical for climate-change impacts in EA, but projections are highly uncertain for rain, lakes, rivers and groundwater, and for extremes. EA "Long-Rains" are observed to be decreasing; while models tend to predict an increase (the "EA Climate paradox") although predictions are not consistent. This uncertainty provides a fundamental limit on the utility of climate information to inform policy. HyCRISTAL will therefore make best use of current projections to quantify uncertainty in user-relevant quantities and provide ground-breaking research to understand and reduce the uncertainty that currently limits decision making.
HyCRISTAL will work with users to deliver world-leading climate research quantifying uncertainty from natural variability, uncertainty from climate forcings including those previously unassessed, and uncertainty in response to these forcings; including uncertainties from key processes such as convection and land-atmopshere coupling that are misrepresented in global models. Research will deliver new understanding of the mechanisms that drive the uncertainty in projections. HyCRISTAL will use this information to understand trends, when climate-change signals will emerge and provide a process-based expert judgement on projections. Working with policy makers, inter-disciplinary research (hydrology, economics, engineering, social science, ecology and decision-making) will quantify risks for rural & urban livelihoods, quantify climate impacts and provide the necessary tools to use climate information for decision making.
HyCRISTAL will work with partners to co-produce research for decision-making on a 5-40 year timescale, demonstrated in 2 main pilots for urban water and policies to enable adaptive climate-smart rural livelihoods. These cover two of three "areas of need" from the African Ministerial Council on Environment's Comprehensive Framework of African Climate Change Programmes. HyCRISTAL has already engaged 12 partners from across EA. HyCRISTAL's Advisory Board will provide a mechanism for further growing stakeholder engagement.
HyCRISTAL will work with the FCFA global & regional projects and CCKE, sharing methods, tools, user needs, expertise & communication. Uniquely, HyCRISTAL will capitalise on the new LVB-HyNEWS, an African-led consortium, governed by the East African Community, the Lake Victoria Basin Commission and National Meteorological and Hydrological agencies, with the African Ministerial Conference on Meteorology as an observer.
HyCRISTAL will build EA capacity directly via collaboration (11 of 25 HyCRISTAL Co-Is are African, with 9 full-time in Africa), including data collection and via targeted workshops and teaching. HyCRISTAL will deliver evidence of impact, with new and deep climate science insights that will far outlast its duration. It will support decisions for climate-resilient infrastructure and livelihoods through application of new understanding in its pilots, with common methodological and infrastructure lessons to promote policy and enable transformational change for impact-at-scale. Using a combination of user-led and science-based management tools, HyCRISTAL will ensure the latest physical science, engineering and social-science yield maximum impacts. HyCRISTAL will deliver outstanding outputs across FCFA's aims; synergies with LVB-HyNEWS will add to these and ensure longevity beyond HyCRISTAL.
Planned Impact
HyCRISTAL will have a positive impact on 7 groups of beneficiaries through the process and research outcomes.
1) COMMUNITIES IN THE LAKE VICTORIA BASIN
Communities will have the opportunity to access, input to, and benefit via their livelihoods from the research. Development options and pathways for climate-smart fisheries/agriculture, sustainable water use, access & distribution, will enhance productive and WASH outcomes in the region with such measurable livelihood improvements as greater levels of savings or tradeable assets. At least 400 households will participate in the adaptation trials. Wider engagement will occur via community exchanges, district workshops and regional learning platforms.
2) WATER PLANNERS/MANAGERS IN GOVERNMENT & POLICY
Close links with resource planners and government policymakers (East African Community, Lake Victoria Basin Commission, Uganda National Water and Sewerage Co, Local Authorities) will facilitate the 2-way flow of information, tools & guidance needed to support livelihoods & water management. Training will be tailored to user needs and through inclusive participation, empower women & youth to co-design and better apply planning tools. These stakeholders will act as researcher-advocates and contribute to policy uptake via "fit-for-purpose" evidence of the pilot outcomes. Value-added impact of such interventions on the local economy & livelihoods will result from investments to Treasury & donors. Local/sub-national governments in the region now have devolved responsibilities for climate services and will also benefit from improved evidence of benefits.
3) INTERNATIONAL & BILATERAL DEVELOPMENT PARTNERS
These will benefit from robust quantitative & qualitative evidence to inform programmes of support to national innovation support systems (including advisory services, SME promotion, regulatory frameworks). USAID & EU, World Bank, UNEP, UNDP, WFP, WHO and others are active in this region and will be invited to participate in the high-level Learning Platforms.
4) NGOs
Close collaboration with international (Practical Action) & local NGOs (Rural Environment & Development Organisation, OSIENALA, Association for Strengthening Agricultural Research in Eastern & Southern Africa) will inform their livelihood and WASH programs development and provide evidence of their own interventions and modes of working with pilot communities.
5) CIVIL SOCIETY ORGANIZATIONS (CSOs) & MEDIA
CSOs, national/sub-national farmer/fisher & urban organizations will benefit from evidence supporting lobbying for improved water services and climate-smart fisheries/agriculture management. Some CSOs already provide innovation support services (Uganda National Farmers Federation) and will be able to use the project findings to enhance such service provision. Engagement with CSOs & the media (local FM stations) will raise awareness of the research process and outcomes (planning information & decision tools). Wider coverage of the research & analytical methods will help to showcase benefits & attract future investment, stimulating collaborations beyond HyCRISTAL
6) RESEARCH INSTITUTES & MET SERVICES
HyCRISTAL will work with weather forecasters, hydrologists, hydrogeologists & users of medium-long-range forecasts, through project partnerships. These partners benefit via access to improved climate risk information and by strengthening utility of their climate services at regional to community levels.
7) PRIVATE SECTOR
African companies (Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company) will benefit from exposure to the knowledge products helping to inform their future business plans. Communities across the region will indirectly benefit from improved innovation support policies and interventions that are evidence based and tuned to the ways in which they seek support in their innovation & livelihood decision-making resulting in increased household capacity to invest in new livelihood options as current ones become unsusustainable
1) COMMUNITIES IN THE LAKE VICTORIA BASIN
Communities will have the opportunity to access, input to, and benefit via their livelihoods from the research. Development options and pathways for climate-smart fisheries/agriculture, sustainable water use, access & distribution, will enhance productive and WASH outcomes in the region with such measurable livelihood improvements as greater levels of savings or tradeable assets. At least 400 households will participate in the adaptation trials. Wider engagement will occur via community exchanges, district workshops and regional learning platforms.
2) WATER PLANNERS/MANAGERS IN GOVERNMENT & POLICY
Close links with resource planners and government policymakers (East African Community, Lake Victoria Basin Commission, Uganda National Water and Sewerage Co, Local Authorities) will facilitate the 2-way flow of information, tools & guidance needed to support livelihoods & water management. Training will be tailored to user needs and through inclusive participation, empower women & youth to co-design and better apply planning tools. These stakeholders will act as researcher-advocates and contribute to policy uptake via "fit-for-purpose" evidence of the pilot outcomes. Value-added impact of such interventions on the local economy & livelihoods will result from investments to Treasury & donors. Local/sub-national governments in the region now have devolved responsibilities for climate services and will also benefit from improved evidence of benefits.
3) INTERNATIONAL & BILATERAL DEVELOPMENT PARTNERS
These will benefit from robust quantitative & qualitative evidence to inform programmes of support to national innovation support systems (including advisory services, SME promotion, regulatory frameworks). USAID & EU, World Bank, UNEP, UNDP, WFP, WHO and others are active in this region and will be invited to participate in the high-level Learning Platforms.
4) NGOs
Close collaboration with international (Practical Action) & local NGOs (Rural Environment & Development Organisation, OSIENALA, Association for Strengthening Agricultural Research in Eastern & Southern Africa) will inform their livelihood and WASH programs development and provide evidence of their own interventions and modes of working with pilot communities.
5) CIVIL SOCIETY ORGANIZATIONS (CSOs) & MEDIA
CSOs, national/sub-national farmer/fisher & urban organizations will benefit from evidence supporting lobbying for improved water services and climate-smart fisheries/agriculture management. Some CSOs already provide innovation support services (Uganda National Farmers Federation) and will be able to use the project findings to enhance such service provision. Engagement with CSOs & the media (local FM stations) will raise awareness of the research process and outcomes (planning information & decision tools). Wider coverage of the research & analytical methods will help to showcase benefits & attract future investment, stimulating collaborations beyond HyCRISTAL
6) RESEARCH INSTITUTES & MET SERVICES
HyCRISTAL will work with weather forecasters, hydrologists, hydrogeologists & users of medium-long-range forecasts, through project partnerships. These partners benefit via access to improved climate risk information and by strengthening utility of their climate services at regional to community levels.
7) PRIVATE SECTOR
African companies (Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company) will benefit from exposure to the knowledge products helping to inform their future business plans. Communities across the region will indirectly benefit from improved innovation support policies and interventions that are evidence based and tuned to the ways in which they seek support in their innovation & livelihood decision-making resulting in increased household capacity to invest in new livelihood options as current ones become unsusustainable
Organisations
- University of Leeds (Lead Research Organisation)
- Natural Environment Research Council (Collaboration)
- KENYA MARINE AND FISHERIES RESEARCH INSTITUTE (Collaboration)
- International START Secretariat (Collaboration)
- Lake Victoria Basin Commission (Collaboration)
- Lake Victoria Fisheries Organisation (Collaboration)
- Kenya Forestry Research Institute (Collaboration, Project Partner)
- Kenya Agriculture & Livestock Research Organization (KALRO) (Collaboration)
- National Agricultural Research Laboratories (NARL) (Collaboration)
- World Meteorological Organization (Collaboration, Project Partner)
- International Centre for Maize and Wheat Improvement (CIMMYT) (Collaboration)
- African Centre for Health and Societal Transformation (Collaboration)
- University of Rwanda (Collaboration, Project Partner)
- County Government of Kisumu (Collaboration, Project Partner)
- Rwanda Meteorology Agency (Collaboration)
- Friends of Lake Victoria - OSIENALA (Collaboration)
- Tanzania Fisheries Research Institute (Collaboration)
- Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry (Collaboration)
- ICPAC (Collaboration)
- DFID Uganda (Collaboration)
- University of Dar es Salaam (Collaboration, Project Partner)
- International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (Project Partner)
- Stony Brook University (Project Partner)
- East African Community (Project Partner)
- OSIENALA (Friends of Lake Victoria) (Project Partner)
- IGAD Climate Predict & App Cent (ICPAC) (Project Partner)
- Start International (Project Partner)
- African Centre for Technology Studies (Project Partner)
- National Agriculture Research Org (NARO) (Project Partner)
- Global Energy & Water Exchanges Project (Project Partner)
- Association for Strengthening Agricultural Research in Eastern and Central Africa (Project Partner)
- Tanzanian Fisheries Research Institute (Project Partner)
- International Centre for Theoretical Physics (Project Partner)
- Kenya Agricultural and Livestock Research Organization (Project Partner)
- University of Oregon (Project Partner)
- Kenya Marine and Fisheries Research Institute (Project Partner)
- Lake Victoria Fisheries Organization (Project Partner)
Publications
Black E
(2016)
The Use of Remotely Sensed Rainfall for Managing Drought Risk: A Case Study of Weather Index Insurance in Zambia
in Remote Sensing
Bornemann F
(2019)
Future changes and uncertainty in decision-relevant measures of East African climate
in Climatic Change
Boyd D
(2018)
What Is the Added Value of a Convection-Permitting Model for Forecasting Extreme Rainfall over Tropical East Africa?
in Monthly Weather Review
Burgin L
(2019)
FCFA HyCRISTAL Climate Narrative Rural Infographic and Brief
Burgin L
(2019)
FCFA HyCRISTAL Climate Narrative Urban Infographic and Brief
Chapman S
(2021)
Assessing the impact of climate change on soil erosion in East Africa using a convection-permitting climate model
in Environmental Research Letters
Chapman S
(2020)
Impact of climate change on crop suitability in sub-Saharan Africa in parameterized and convection-permitting regional climate models
in Environmental Research Letters
Degefu M
(2016)
Teleconnections between Ethiopian rainfall variability and global SSTs: observations and methods for model evaluation
in Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics
Dunning C
(2016)
The onset and cessation of seasonal rainfall over Africa
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Evans B
(2020)
The future-climate, current-policy framework: towards an approach linking climate science to sector policy development
in Environmental Research Letters
Finney D
(2019)
The effect of westerlies on East African rainfall and the associated role of tropical cyclones and the Madden-Julian Oscillation
in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
Finney D
(2019)
The effect of westerlies on East African rainfall and the associated role of tropical cyclones and the Madden-Julian Oscillation
in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
Finney D
(2020)
African Lightning and its Relation to Rainfall and Climate Change in a Convection-Permitting Model
in Geophysical Research Letters
Finney D
(2020)
Effects of Explicit Convection on Future Projections of Mesoscale Circulations, Rainfall, and Rainfall Extremes over Eastern Africa
in Journal of Climate
Finney D
(2019)
Implications of Improved Representation of Convection for the East Africa Water Budget Using a Convection-Permitting Model
in Journal of Climate
Good P
(2016)
Large differences in regional precipitation change between a first and second 2 K of global warming
in Nature Communications
Jack C
(2021)
Climate Risk in Africa - Adaptation and Resilience
Jackson L
(2020)
The Effect of Explicit Convection on Couplings between Rainfall, Humidity, and Ascent over Africa under Climate Change
in Journal of Climate
Johnson J
(2022)
Whole-system analysis reveals high greenhouse-gas emissions from citywide sanitation in Kampala, Uganda
in Communications Earth & Environment
Kendon EJ
(2019)
Enhanced future changes in wet and dry extremes over Africa at convection-permitting scale.
in Nature communications
Kisembe J
(2018)
Evaluation of rainfall simulations over Uganda in CORDEX regional climate models
in Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Klein C
(2021)
Combining CMIP data with a regional convection-permitting model and observations to project extreme rainfall under climate change
in Environmental Research Letters
Lapworth DJ
(2017)
Urban groundwater quality in sub-Saharan Africa: current status and implications for water security and public health.
in Hydrogeology journal
Maidment R
(2015)
Recent observed and simulated changes in precipitation over Africa
in Geophysical Research Letters
Maidment RI
(2017)
A new, long-term daily satellite-based rainfall dataset for operational monitoring in Africa.
in Scientific data
Sarojini B
(2016)
Detection and attribution of human influence on regional precipitation
in Nature Climate Change
Scannell C
(2019)
The Influence of Remote Aerosol Forcing from Industrialized Economies on the Future Evolution of East and West African Rainfall
in American Meteorological Society
Stratton R
(2019)
Regional Differences in the Response of Rainfall to Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves over Tropical Africa
in Journal of Climate
Wainwright C
(2021)
Future Changes in Seasonality in East Africa from Regional Simulations with Explicit and Parameterized Convection
in Journal of Climate
Wainwright C
(2020)
Extreme rainfall in East Africa, October 2019-January 2020 and context under future climate change
in Weather
Wainwright C
(2019)
'Eastern African Paradox' rainfall decline due to shorter not less intense Long Rains
in npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Wainwright Caroline M.
(2021)
Extreme rainfall in East Africa, October 2019-January 2020 and context under future climate change
in WEATHER
Walker D
(2019)
Skill of dynamical and GHACOF consensus seasonal forecasts of East African rainfall
in Climate Dynamics
Walker D
(2020)
Common Mechanism for Interannual and Decadal Variability in the East African Long Rains
in Geophysical Research Letters
Ward N
(2021)
Synoptic timescale linkage between midlatitude winter troughs Sahara temperature patterns and northern Congo rainfall: A building block of regional climate variability
in International Journal of Climatology
Wilby R
(2022)
Spatial and temporal scaling of sub-daily extreme rainfall for data sparse places
in Climate Dynamics
Woodhams B
(2021)
Aircraft observations and sub-km modelling of the lake-land breeze circulation over Lake Victoria
in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
Woodhams B
(2019)
Identifying Key Controls on Storm Formation over the Lake Victoria Basin
in Monthly Weather Review
Woodhams B
(2019)
Identifying Key Controls on Storm Formation over the Lake Victoria Basin
in Monthly Weather Review
| Description | Climate change means that there is an urgent need for many long term decisions to be informed by how the climate will and may change. HyCRISTAL is providing new information on climate change for East Africa, and demonstrating the value of integrating knowledge of climate change into long-term decision making. HyCRISTAL has generated new scientific understanding of East African climate change, and addresses five contexts of climate-change informed decision making. HyCRISTAL's lessons are, however, widely applicable. Context of long term decision making in East Africa Recent floods and droughts have demonstrated how Eastern Africa is vulnerable to climate variability and extreme weather. Increasing resilience to such extremes as the population grows is vital to the future of millions. East Africa's population and its cities are growing rapidly, putting pressure on resources and ecosystems. Rapid economic growth means that infrastructure is currently being built that will last decades, and policies are needed to ensure alignment with both sustainable development and climate resilience. Hon. Acidri, Member of the Ugandan Parliament, "Tackling climate change is not only about the predictions, but requires clear focus on community and household resilience and understanding livelihood strategies. Understanding the context for future planning is critical." Climate Change in East Africa Possible futures of Eastern Africa's climate, in the context of HyCRISTAL's two main pilot studies, are provided in HyCRISTAL's narratives. Eastern Africa has warmed and will continue to warm over coming decades, with the amount of long-term warming determined by future emissions of greenhouse gases. This warming will increase heatwaves. Warmer air can hold more moisture and generate heavier rainfall, and rainfall is expected to intensify. Rainfall patterns and amounts are expected to change, and although many models predict increased rainfall overall, whether areas will become wetter or drier generally remains uncertain. Prime Minister, Rt. Hon. Dr. Ruhakana Rugunda "Today we are living with amazing evidence of degradation under climate change" Climate change, flooding and urban water and sanitation (WASH) HyCRISTAL is working with city authorities and WASH organisations in Kampala and Kisumu to enable more climate-resilient WASH: with possible interventions including better management of existing drainage and sanitation systems and appropriate design of new infrastructure. Climate changes and urbanisation are expected to increase flooding and other surface water issues. Cities and towns are already suffering from floods, particularly high impact flash flooding that affects the services and infrastructure people and businesses rely on. The water mobilises human waste in pit latrines and other sanitation systems, leading to health impacts which are felt disproportionately by the most vulnerable - the old, young, sick and poor. HyCRISTAL is working to understand how future intensification of rainfall will affect flood outcomes, and subsequent impacts on sanitation service delivery and health, to enable effective interventions. Climate change information to support rural livelihoods HyCRISTAL is working directly with the Ugandan Parliament, the National Disaster Management Agency and the Ugandan National Meteorological Authority together with key advocacy CSOs to support policy making around climate change interventions. Understanding communication processes and the channels through which information is shared is central to HyCRISTAL's rural livelihoods work. Providing national and local access to data and knowledge, and training in the skills required to interpret that data and knowledge, are essential. Through HyCRISTAL's proactive advocacy engagement and partnerships it has pulled learning through to new legislation, including at the national level. HyCRISTAL has piloted a multidimensional approach to rural adaptation that involves a range of interdependent studies and activities, including the use of Climate Risk Narratives at the local and national level. Data generated through research methods such as the Household Economy Approach and the Individual Household Method contribute to a key output, which is the development of an Integrated Database for African Policymakers (IDAPS). IDAPS is a platform that provides users with a rich and integrated data resource that will span climate, crops, fisheries, hydrology, and livelihoods. Interpreting and analysing this data will assist policymakers to understand and respond to the effects of climate and other significant changes in the Lake Victoria Basin. Climate change information in water resource planning HyCRISTAL is working with national ministries responsible for water resource planning to understand future changes in environmental flows across the Lake Victoria Basin and use this for decision making. The growing population of East Africa relies on groundwater and surface water for domestic water use, agriculture, industry, and power generation. HyCRISTAL is working with the Ministry for Water & Environment (MWE) in Uganda to embed understanding from HyCRISTAL research into water resources tools used for catchment-based water resource management and planning. Dr Callist Tindimugaya, Commissioner for Water Resources Planning and Regulation at MWE, notes "HyCRISTAL's work will enhance what we are doing and ensure climate issues are addressed and our plans are well grounded in climate science", "the work of HyCRISTAL will be very important for the country to take informed decisions." Climate change information for long-term decisions in tea production (CI4Tea) CI4Tea has worked with smallholder farmers, large tea estates, and tea research institutes in Kenya and Malawi to show how climate metrics linked to vulnerability of tea have and will change, to enable stakeholders to prioritise adaptation options. Recent incidences of drought in Kenya (2015) and heatwaves in Malawi (2019) had devastating impact on the crop due to leaf scorch. CI4Tea is side-project of HyCRISTAL (joint with FCFA's UMFULA) and has shown how climate metrics linked to vulnerability of tea (e.g. consecutive high temperature days, 10 day dry spells) have changed in the recent past and are expected to change in the future. This informs adaptation options, such as replanting with drought tolerant varieties, investing in irrigation infrastructure, planting shade trees etc. Tea is a major contributor to the economy in both Kenya (22% of export earnings) and Malawi (10% of export earnings), and provides livelihood to millions. A tea bush has a long economic life cycle of ~60-80 years, and a newly planted bush only becomes profitable after 9 years, making long-term change important for decision making. Tea is climate sensitive, and limited flexibility in its management makes tea crop particularly vulnerable to climate change. Therefore relevant climate change information is valuable to help safeguard future investments. 'Using this information, we can prepare ourselves, the future will not come as a surprise for us' says one of the tea producers from western Kenya. Climate change information for planning Lake Victoria transport systems (HyTpp) HyTpp is working to ensure that future transport systems around or over Lake Victoria take plan appropriately for climate change impacts on lake levels. HyTpp was funded by UKAid, through the Corridors for Growth Fund administered by the World Bank. Rapid growth of population and the economy in the Lake Victoria Basin means that transport links across and around the Lake must be developed. Possible lake levels were calculated using a wide range of plausible global futures. Results showed that levels are likely to increase or decrease, and this may be significantly outside past variability. The outflow, if it continues to follow the 'AGreed Curve', will vary more than the level itself, since the varying outflow of the Agreed Curve buffers the effect of climate change on the lake level. HyCRISTAL's climate science HyCRISTAL has produced a step-change in our understanding of Eastern Africa climate change, including long term trends, seasonality and extremes. Consultation with decision makers meant work was focused on rainfall and its extremes, as this is a key need for many decisions across sectors. Extreme rainfall is expected to intensify more than is projected by global climate models, and increases in extremes may be more widespread than in those models (Kendon et al., 2019; Finney et al., 2020, using new high-resolutions simulations from the FCFA IMPALA project). The recent drying of the long rains, termed the "East African Climate Change paradox" due to its contrast with projected wetting, is due to a shorter, but not less intense, rainy season, linked to heating over Arabia and Indian Ocean temperatures. Heating of the Sahara under climate change tends to lead to a later and longer short rains, with a larger rainfall increase than in the long rains, with an earlier end to the long rains, although differences between models shows that changes to onset, cessation and rainfall are still uncertain in both seasons (Dunning et al., 2018). Other research, not from FCFA, shows that a warming Indian Ocean generates a risk of more extreme short rains seasons, such of those of 2019, due to enhancement of positive Indian Ocean Dipole events (Cai et al). The largest projected increase in the East African long rains from global models has been determined to be implausible, and processes remote from Africa can be key to rainfall changes (Rowell & Chadwick, 2018; Rowell, 2019) Global climate models are not expected to cover the full range of possible change, as they do not fully incorporate how future aerosol emissions may affect climate, especially for short rains (Scannell et al., 2019) Westerly winds provide a key control on rainfall, allow tropical cyclones to indirectly impact rainfall, and are linked to tropical cyclones and the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) HyCRISTAL's climate science methodology, has enabled this progress and is widely applicable: Work with decision makers to understand which aspects of climate change are key to decisions Understand past rainfall changes and processes driving them Quantify uncertainty in existing global model projections (CMIP) for metrics relevant to Eastern Africa Understand uncertainty in CMIP changes and try to narrow this through evaluation of processes causing that cause spread in changes Quantify and understand the role of processes not captured or not well captured by CMIP: moist convection, lake-atmosphere interaction, land-use change, aerosol changes Integration of climate change information into the Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF) HyCRISTAL's engagement in GHACOF has allowed decision makers across sectors to work through expected impacts of HyCRISTAL's narratives of possible future climate on their sectors and develop action time-lines in response. Working with WISER, HyCRISTAL has introduced climate change into the GHACOF forum. The GHACOF forum is convened ahead of every rainy season, and is an established forum for meteorological centres to share predictions for the coming season with users, for users to plan their response, and for users to give feedback on predictions. Decision makers across sectors (Agriculture and Food Security, Livestock and Rangelands, conflict Early Warning, Disaster Risk Management (DRM), Water Resources, Energy and Health) have engaged with HyCRISTAL's narratives and provided feedback to inform both future research and future GHACOFs. Wider lessons Common lessons emerge from HyCRISTAL's pilot studies and activities such as GHACOF The need for greater resilience to current extremes and planning for future unprecedented extremes The value of 'no regrets' options which have benefits regardless of the exact nature of future change The need to integrate possible climate change into important and/or expensive decisions For important future decisions, the need to establish appropriate monitoring and planning processes The need for dialogue across sectors and across national borders. Further Information HyCRISTAL (2019) Scientific Understanding of East African Climate Change from the HyCRISTAL Project. https://doi.org/10.5518/100/19 |
| Exploitation Route | Widely applicable to E African decision making, being taken forward through HyCRISTAL extension including GHACOF |
| Sectors | Agriculture, Food and Drink,Energy,Environment,Government, Democracy and Justice,Transport |
| URL | http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/151635/3/HyCRISTAL_climate_summary_v1.pdf |
| Description | Analysis by HyCRISTAL used in HyTpp reports shared with World Bank, Deltares (Netherlands), Royal Haskoning DHV and The Lake Victoria Basin Comission of the East African Community (10 people) and key results included in HyCRISTAL narratives and their Techneical appendix, a very frequently downloaded product from the FCFA website. The World Bank has confirmed that HyCRISTAL reports "served as a direct and welcome contribution" to improving understanding and reliability of a dredging feasibility study which was undertaken and was able to confirm that under the scenario of climate change the lake levels would remain sufficient for the level of dredging that was planned for ensuring lake transport. The envisioned broad Lake Victoria Transport Program was (independently) dropped from consideration for Bank/IDA regional funding, but remains as an option for national IDA financing and there is interest among some of countries in pursuing that option, in which case the HyTpp reports would be valuable inputs to the decisions made. A memeber of the Lake Victoria BAsin Comission of the East African Comunity noted "I cannot stop reading it and being amazed by the useful information therein that could greatly contribute to policy formulation and programming." HyCRISTAL work on Water and sanitation (WASH) is planning for a joint position paper to be published by Kampala City authority (KCCA) and Northern Water Services Board (Kenya) on climate-smart investments for the urban poor in Kampala based on HyCRISTAL and other collaborative research results, to be led by KCCA . In interactive online tool to assess sanitation management options and the impacts on health in flood conditions is currently in beta testing and is being shared with city authorities to inform planning. Through urban pilot work, Kisumu County government have invited HyCRISTAL to contribute to the County's Integrated Development Plan.In Kisumu, both the city water utility, KIWASCO and the County Public Health officers expressed a desire to formalise longer-term strategic partnerships with the HyCRISTAL team." For rural lvelihoods IDAPS continues to be the core technological output t. Core architecture ensures transferability. Ongoing development is helping in devolution of HyCRISTAL outputs to strengthen national/sub-district capability. Technical discussions advancing with Ugandan National Disaster Management Agency to scale out and make use of IDAPS as part of the new integrated multi-sector Livelihoods Impact-Based (LIMB) Forecasting system to fill a critical gap in managing flood risk in Uganda. At the national level we are working directly with the senior members of the Ugandan Parliament on strategic planning decisions surrounding monitoring of climate impacts and long-term adaptation decisions. At the national level we have continued to work directly with the senior members of the Ugandan Parliament on strategic planning decisions surrounding monitoring of climate impacts and long-term adaptation decisions. HyCRISTAL farmer champions from Mukono interacted with teams from National Planning Authority (NPA) of Uganda, Parliamentary Committee on Climate Change and made substantial input at the National Climate Forum and Negotiators' meeting in preparation for COP25. CI4Tea subproject has worked with smallholder farmers, large tea estates, and tea research institutes in Kenya and Malawi to show how climate metrics linked to vulnerability of tea have and will change, to enable stakeholders to prioritise adaptation options, sharing results with tea producers at relevant regional fora. The development of quantified estimates of the impacts of climate change on water resources has important long term implications for catchment management planning in Uganda. Future water resources assessments and catchment plans will be able to use this information to gain a better understanding of future balance of water supply and demand. This in turn will support the Ugandan Ministry of Water and Environment to make more informed interventions to meet any supply-demand deficits. HyCRISTAL is working with the Ugandan Ministry for Water and Environment (MWE) in an effort to support Integrated Water Resource Management (IWRM) within the Victoria Water Management Zone (WMZ). Due to restrictions on travel, and the need for face-to-face interactions, it has not been possible to progress the adoption of hydrological models, developed through the project, by the Ugandan Ministry of Water and Environment. The integration of the models into the MWE water resource management system and their application to management decisions is the key objective for the remainder of this component of the HyCRISTAL project. All climate science fed through to engagement activities to introduce climate change to the Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF). ~200 attendees including MPs, minsitries. Climate change has now become a regular and routine part of GHACOF, led by ICPAC in Kenya |
| First Year Of Impact | 2019 |
| Sector | Agriculture, Food and Drink,Environment,Transport |
| Impact Types | Economic |
| Description | Addition of Climate Change to Greater Horn of AFrica Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF) |
| Geographic Reach | Africa |
| Policy Influence Type | Influenced training of practitioners or researchers |
| Impact | GHACOF historically has delivered seasonal forecasts. WOrking with ICPAC, HyCRISTAL has made a major contribution to inclusion of climate change in the GHACOF forum. This has informed ~200 stakeholders about expected climate change, HyCRISTAL pilots of use of climate change information, and HyCRISTAL tools |
| URL | https://futureclimateafrica.org/news/hycristal-at-ghacof56-the-ongoing-triple-crisis-an-expected-dry... |
| Description | IDAPs Stakeholders and Influencers Consultation - Phase 1 Report |
| Geographic Reach | Local/Municipal/Regional |
| Policy Influence Type | Contribution to a national consultation/review |
| Description | Introduction of climate change to Greater Horn of Africa CLimate Outlook Forum (GHACOF) |
| Geographic Reach | Africa |
| Policy Influence Type | Participation in a guidance/advisory committee |
| URL | https://futureclimateafrica.org/news/54th-greater-horn-of-africa-climate-outlook-forum-hycristal-int... |
| Description | JASMIN supercomputer access for African scientists . This was enabled in HyCRISTAL, with the techniques used then built on by both GCRF Africa SWIFT and Launchpad |
| Geographic Reach | Africa |
| Policy Influence Type | Influenced training of practitioners or researchers |
| Impact | African researchers accessing the UK JASMIn resource for reserach |
| Description | UGANDA - Synthesising Evidence for Targeted National Responses to Climate Change |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Implementation circular/rapid advice/letter to e.g. Ministry of Health |
| URL | http://www.walker.ac.uk/news-events/walker-institute-team-submits-brief-to-deputy-speaker-of-ugandan... |
| Description | ARA microgrant |
| Amount | £10,000 (GBP) |
| Organisation | ICPAC |
| Sector | Private |
| Country | Kenya |
| Start | 01/2022 |
| End | 04/2022 |
| Description | Climate Information for Resilient Tea Production |
| Amount | £99,000 (GBP) |
| Organisation | Natural Environment Research Council |
| Sector | Public |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Start | 06/2017 |
| End | 03/2018 |
| Description | East meets West (FCFA P1 gap filling) |
| Amount | £72,000 (GBP) |
| Organisation | Natural Environment Research Council |
| Sector | Public |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Start | 04/2018 |
| End | 04/2019 |
| Description | HyCRISTAL Transport Pilot Project (HyTPP) |
| Amount | £150,000 (GBP) |
| Organisation | World Bank Group |
| Sector | Public |
| Country | United States |
| Start | 05/2017 |
| End | 04/2018 |
| Description | HyCRISTAL costed extension |
| Amount | £200,000 (GBP) |
| Organisation | UK Department for International Development |
| Sector | Public |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Start | 07/2019 |
| End | 03/2021 |
| Description | NERC Enviromental Risks |
| Amount | £50,000 (GBP) |
| Organisation | Natural Environment Research Council |
| Sector | Public |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Start | |
| Title | Improved 30+ year satellite-gauge based rainfall data for all Africa |
| Description | • Generation of an improved 30+ year satellite-gauge based rainfall data for all Africa that better captures spatial changes in the rainfall climate (TAMSAT Version 3.0). This dataset will be used to support the characterisation of rainfall changes over the East Africa region. |
| Type Of Material | Computer model/algorithm |
| Provided To Others? | No |
| Impact | • Generation of an improved 30+ year satellite-gauge based rainfall data for all Africa that better captures spatial changes in the rainfall climate (TAMSAT Version 3.0). This dataset will be used to support the characterisation of rainfall changes over the East Africa region. |
| Title | Kampala hydroclimate observations |
| Description | urban hydrometeorology observations in Kampala, Uganda |
| Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
| Year Produced | 2018 |
| Provided To Others? | Yes |
| Impact | Being used in HyCRISTAL, requests from Europe, may be used in HyVic-pilot |
| Title | Rural Livelihoods household economy data collection |
| Description | Weekly meetings with rural livelihoods team in Walker Institute to progress work on household economy data collection planned for Homa Bay (July 2017) |
| Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
| Provided To Others? | No |
| Impact | None yet |
| Title | Supplementary information files for Spatial and temporal scaling of sub-daily extreme rainfall for data sparse places |
| Description | Supplementary information files for article Spatial and temporal scaling of sub-daily extreme rainfall for data sparse places Global efforts to upgrade water, drainage, and sanitation services are hampered by hydrometeorological data-scarcity plus uncertainty about climate change. Intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) tables are used routinely to design water infrastructure so offer an entry point for adapting engineering standards. This paper begins with a novel procedure for guiding downscaling predictor variable selection for heavy rainfall simulation using media reports of pluvial flooding. We then present a three-step workflow to: (1) spatially downscale daily rainfall from grid-to-point resolutions; (2) temporally scale from daily series to sub-daily extreme rainfalls and; (3) test methods of temporal scaling of extreme rainfalls within Regional Climate Model (RCM) simulations under changed climate conditions. Critically, we compare the methods of moments and of parameters for temporal scaling annual maximum series of daily rainfall into sub-daily extreme rainfalls, whilst accounting for rainfall intermittency. The methods are applied to Kampala, Uganda and Kisumu, Kenya using the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM), two RCM simulations covering East Africa (CP4 and P25), and in hybrid form (RCM-SDSM). We demonstrate that Gumbel parameters (and IDF tables) can be reliably scaled to durations of 3 h within observations and RCMs. Our hybrid RCM-SDSM scaling reduces errors in IDF estimates for the present climate when compared with direct RCM output. Credible parameter scaling relationships are also found within RCM simulations under changed climate conditions. We then discuss the practical aspects of applying such workflows to other city-regions. |
| Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
| Year Produced | 2022 |
| Provided To Others? | Yes |
| URL | https://repository.lboro.ac.uk/articles/dataset/Supplementary_information_files_for_Spatial_and_temp... |
| Title | Supplementary information files for Spatial and temporal scaling of sub-daily extreme rainfall for data sparse places |
| Description | Supplementary information files for article Spatial and temporal scaling of sub-daily extreme rainfall for data sparse places Global efforts to upgrade water, drainage, and sanitation services are hampered by hydrometeorological data-scarcity plus uncertainty about climate change. Intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) tables are used routinely to design water infrastructure so offer an entry point for adapting engineering standards. This paper begins with a novel procedure for guiding downscaling predictor variable selection for heavy rainfall simulation using media reports of pluvial flooding. We then present a three-step workflow to: (1) spatially downscale daily rainfall from grid-to-point resolutions; (2) temporally scale from daily series to sub-daily extreme rainfalls and; (3) test methods of temporal scaling of extreme rainfalls within Regional Climate Model (RCM) simulations under changed climate conditions. Critically, we compare the methods of moments and of parameters for temporal scaling annual maximum series of daily rainfall into sub-daily extreme rainfalls, whilst accounting for rainfall intermittency. The methods are applied to Kampala, Uganda and Kisumu, Kenya using the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM), two RCM simulations covering East Africa (CP4 and P25), and in hybrid form (RCM-SDSM). We demonstrate that Gumbel parameters (and IDF tables) can be reliably scaled to durations of 3 h within observations and RCMs. Our hybrid RCM-SDSM scaling reduces errors in IDF estimates for the present climate when compared with direct RCM output. Credible parameter scaling relationships are also found within RCM simulations under changed climate conditions. We then discuss the practical aspects of applying such workflows to other city-regions. |
| Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
| Year Produced | 2022 |
| Provided To Others? | Yes |
| URL | https://repository.lboro.ac.uk/articles/dataset/Supplementary_information_files_for_Spatial_and_temp... |
| Title | Wash Model |
| Description | Developing conceptual model for the urban WASH work, and started refining the element focused on calculating health burden of WASH system |
| Type Of Material | Data analysis technique |
| Provided To Others? | No |
| Impact | None yet |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | African Centre for Health and Societal Transformation |
| Country | Uganda |
| Sector | Charity/Non Profit |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | County Government of Kisumu |
| Department | Green Energy and Climate Change County Government of Kisumu |
| Country | Kenya |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | County Government of Kisumu |
| Country | Kenya |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | DFID Uganda |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | Friends of Lake Victoria - OSIENALA |
| Country | Kenya |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | ICPAC |
| Country | Kenya |
| Sector | Private |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | International Centre for Maize and Wheat Improvement (CIMMYT) |
| Country | Mexico |
| Sector | Charity/Non Profit |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | International START Secretariat |
| Country | United States |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | Kenya Agriculture & Livestock Research Organization (KALRO) |
| Country | Kenya |
| Sector | Private |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | Kenya Forestry Research Institute |
| Country | Kenya |
| Sector | Private |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | Kenya Marine and Fisheries Research Institute |
| Country | Kenya |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | Lake Victoria Basin Commission |
| Country | Kenya |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | Lake Victoria Fisheries Organisation |
| Country | Uganda |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry |
| Country | United States |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | National Agricultural Research Laboratories (NARL) |
| Country | Uganda |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | Natural Environment Research Council |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | Rwanda Meteorology Agency |
| Country | Rwanda |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | Tanzania Fisheries Research Institute |
| Country | Tanzania, United Republic of |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | University of Dar es Salaam |
| Country | Tanzania, United Republic of |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | Engagement of a wide range of partner organisations to establish user needs for climate-change information in East Africa, and relevant metrics for that change. |
| Organisation | University of Rwanda |
| Country | Rwanda |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | Setup meeting and initiated collaboration |
| Collaborator Contribution | Attended meeting and engaged in dialogue |
| Impact | HyCRISTAL climate-change metrics developed & published Kampala Capital City Authority (value £5000 - they have given us some super useful sanitation data) Kisumu Water and Sewerage Company (value £500 - we are just about to enter into a Strategic Partnership agreement/ MOU with them) National Water and Sewerage Company, Uganda (value £200 they have been supportive of the project and shared some maps/ datasets with us) |
| Start Year | 2015 |
| Description | GCRF Africa SWIFT & HIGHWAY for HyVic-pilot |
| Organisation | World Meteorological Organization |
| Country | Switzerland |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Worked with SWIFT team and HIGHWAY , NCAS & Met Office to deliver HyVic pilot flights over Lake Victoria, contributing staff time & funds |
| Collaborator Contribution | SWIFT-staff Met Office-staff HyCRISTAL-staff HIGHWAY - main funds for aircraft on the ground HyCRISTAL-small funds NCAS-flight hours |
| Impact | Atmos Sci paper in progress |
| Start Year | 2019 |
| Description | Where East meets West: Convection and rainfall over Ethiopia and South Sudan under climate change |
| Organisation | ICPAC |
| Country | Kenya |
| Sector | Private |
| PI Contribution | The PI (Declan Finney, University of Leeds) is part of the team, and he takes on the main supervisory role. He also facilitates the access to model data and provides expertise in use of data. The research team provide expertise in tropical meteorology, East African climate, and climate change research, and use of climate and regional models. We also facilitate involvement into the wider HyCRISTAL project studying climate change in East Africa. |
| Collaborator Contribution | Our partners at ICPAC carry out analysis of model data (primarily the research assistant Herbert Misiani). The team at ICPAC provide expertise in relevant fields and provide local supervision for Mr MIsiani. The ICPAC team also facilitate interaction with the ICPAC network. |
| Impact | Training for African ECR in python. A visit to the UK for African ECR in order to network with relevant researchers at the University of Leeds and University of Reading. No research outcomes or outputs as yet. |
| Start Year | 2018 |
| Description | 'Eastern African Paradox' rainfall decline due to shorter not less intense Long Rains |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | oral presentation for African Climate Risks Conference, Oct 2019 given by Caroline M. Wainwright, John H. Marsham, Richard J. Keane, David P. Rowell, Declan L. Finney, Emily Black, Richard P. Allan |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | 23rd March 2018 - Tea Research Institute, Kericho, Kenya - 54 stakeholders from the Tea Research Institute, smallholder famers and representatives from large commercial estates. |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Industry/Business |
| Results and Impact | 23rd March 2018 - Tea Research Institute, Kericho, Kenya - 54 stakeholders from the Tea Research Institute, smallholder famers and representatives from large commercial estates. The participatory workshops were organised to share the preliminary results of CI4Tea project for future temperature and rainfall projections. It helped in understanding the user needs and their feedback helped in improving/simplifying the climate visualisations for making communication more effective for the later stages. We identified and prioritised climate change adaptation options using Multi-Criteria Analysis method separately for both smallholder farmers and large commercial estates in Malawi and Kenya. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| Description | 4th July 2018 - Smallholder farmers meetings, Mulanje, Malawi - 9 smallholder farmers |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Industry/Business |
| Results and Impact | 4th July 2018 - Smallholder farmers meetings, Mulanje, Malawi - 9 smallholder farmers The participatory workshops were organised to share the preliminary results of CI4Tea project for future temperature and rainfall projections. It helped in understanding the user needs and their feedback helped in improving/simplifying the climate visualisations for making communication more effective for the later stages. We identified and prioritised climate change adaptation options using Multi-Criteria Analysis method separately for both smallholder farmers and large commercial estates in Malawi and Kenya. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| Description | 54th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum: HyCRISTAL presents on decision-making for climate change preparedness |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | Regional |
| Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
| Results and Impact | HyCRISTAL are share their experiences with users at GHACOF54, and working with users to start the dialogue on the time-lines of actions needed in response to the climate risks the region faces, addressing all the sectors represented at GHACOF, and their inter-dependencies |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
| URL | https://futureclimateafrica.org/news/54th-greater-horn-of-africa-climate-outlook-forum-hycristal-int... |
| Description | AMS annual meeting 2017 |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | American Meteorological Society Annual meeting, presentatuon on the HyCRISTAL consortium: Intergrating Hycro-Climate Science into Policy Decisions for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2017 |
| Description | Aircraft observations of the lake-land breeze circulation over Lake Victoria from the HyVic pilot flight campaign |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | oral presentation for African Climate Risks Conference, Oct 2019 given by Beth Woodhams, Cathryn Birch, John Marsham, Caroline Bain, Andy Hartley, Jennifer Fletcher, Paul Barrett, Stuart Webster |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | Are WASH services climate ready? Vulnerability assessment and adaptation options. World Water Week |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | HyCRISTAL experience was presented at the session "Are WASH services climate ready? Vulnerability assessment and adaptation options" at World Water Week 2019- Stockholm |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| URL | https://programme.worldwaterweek.org/Content/ProposalResources/PDF/2019/pdf-2019-8400-2-20190827_%20... |
| Description | BBC news 24: UK extreme rain interview |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | TV interview on recent publication showing exterme rainfall has increased in UK |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| Description | BBC radio Leeds; Hothouse earth interview |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | Regional |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | BC radio Leeds interview on Hothouse earth and climate chnage |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| Description | CI4Tea video |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Media (as a channel to the public) |
| Results and Impact | CI4Tea video with over 1000 views - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KpxG5p1wASg |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| URL | https://youtu.be/KpxG5p1wASg |
| Description | COP21: United Nations Conference on Climate Change, Side event: Future Climate for Africa (FCFA) launch event |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
| Results and Impact | Cornforth, R., Worldwide launch of FCFA programme including HyCRISTAL |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2015 |
| URL | http://futureclimateafrica.org/news/feature-fcfa-promises-climate-information-to-tackle-development-... |
| Description | Chnage Frameworks at GHACOF 2018 |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Showcasing HyCRISTAL climate chnage narratives and changeframeworks for user feedback at the Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum, Aug 2018 |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| Description | Climate Risks Narratives |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | oral presentation for African Climate Risks Conference, Oct 2019 given by Richard Jones |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | Climate change and sustainable sanitation in Africa - An introduction |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
| Results and Impact | Future Climate for Africa hosted a technical breakout session on "Inclusive and sustainable urban water, sanitation and drainage services under climate change - lessons from African cities" at the 7th Africa Water Week in Libreville (Gabon), from 29 October - 2 November 2018. The session drew together the latest research findings with the lived experiences of flooding and sanitation in several African cities. Speakers included experts across several international research programmes focused on climate change and African urban WASH contexts, as well as local city representatives. The objectives of the session were to: Share lessons on how climate change may alter current good practice for ensuring inclusive and sustainable urban sanitation, and experiences on enhancing water and sanitation resilience to climate change. The session drew on learning from African urban contexts, including Kisumu (Kenya), Kampala (Uganda), Lusaka (Zambia), eThekwini (South Africa), and Ouagadougou (Burkina Faso). Promote discussion on approaches to integrate climate change considerations into WASH sector decision making. The session was hosted through a series of virtual presentations and short videos. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| URL | http://www.futureclimateafrica.org/news/africa-water-week-2018-inclusive-urban-wash-services-under-c... |
| Description | Community Flooding Workshops for HyCRISTAL |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | Local |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | Celia Way was in Kampala in July 2017 holding some community flooding workshops for the HyCRISTAL project. Celia was engaging with communities in informal settlements who had been affected by flooding, and asking them to mark-up satellite images of their area with flood extents and depths that the team could cross-reference with theoretical flood models. The groups really enjoyed the experience, particularly being allowed to draw their own lines on the maps. This work will feed through to a better understanding of how water and sanitation provision should be developed, given the changes in extreme rainfall and flooding expected under climate change. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2017 |
| URL | https://us10.campaign-archive.com/?u=73e7f71a85f88391a5f8a5856&id=2e7932369a |
| Description | Conference - 5th Climate Change and Development in Africa conference (CCDA-V), Side panel event: Future Climate for Africa (FCFA) launch event |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
| Results and Impact | Anyah, R. - Side panel event: African launch of FCFA programme including HyCRISTAL |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2015 |
| URL | http://futureclimateafrica.org/news/fcfa-launches-at-victoria-falls/ |
| Description | Conference poster - Impact of Land Use and Land Cover on the Local Climate of Lake Victoria Basin. American Meteorological Society 96th Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Gudoshava M., and F. Semazzi, Academic engagement/engagement with non-academic meteorologists |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2016 |
| URL | https://ams.confex.com/ams/96Annual/webprogram/Paper290745.html |
| Description | EGU General Assembly 2019 presentation by John Marsham |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | PICO presentation (EGU2019-16577) to be given at the EGU General Assembly titled: HyCRISTAL: Integrating Hydro-Climate Science into Policy Decisions for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa by John Marsham et al. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | ELVIC: a convection permitting model ensemble over the Lake Victoria region |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | oral/poster presentation for African Climate Risks Conference, Oct 2019 given by Grigory Nikulin, Jonas Van de Walle and complete ELVIC team |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | ESA Leicester training |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Report by Mercy Mwaniki (on behalf of HyCRISTAL) The ESA Leicester training for Land remote sensing was a significant eye-opener on the latest technologies of processing Earth observation data for various applications ranging from water resources, urban cities, disaster (fire, flood and earthquakes) monitoring and forestry mapping and management. The availability of high-temporal and the synergy of using multi-sensor datasets for mapping various applications coupled with practical sessions for data processing (utilising open access platforms) was very skilfully done covering the science principles /theories behind the methodologies. This set-up enabled me to meet leading scientists from various parts of Europe and to understand the opportunities and challenges of handling big data. The training also gave me an opportunity to network for future research collaborations and understand the opportunities of utilising Sentinel Series Earth Satellites for various applications. Consequently, this meeting will enable me to process maps for validating flood disasters for the HyCRISTAL Kisumu Urban WASH work-package. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| Description | Esri Ocean GIS Forum presentation |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Report submitted by of Mr. Benson Onyango Mbani, who travelled to the ESRI event on behalf of HyCRISTAL. The trip involved travel from Nairobi to California USA to attend the ESRI Ocean GIS which was held between Tuesday, November 6- Thursday, November 8, 2018 at the ESRI Campus in Redlands, California, USA. The audience comprised a unique group of oceanographers, geologists, biologists, hydrographers, and coastal managers. It represented Federal, State and Local Government, Conservation Science, Commercial Operators, Defense, and more. We learnt about modern approaches to map the ocean by collecting data, integrating and sharing with other sources, to finally create data products and services that inform our understanding. The ESRI Ocean GIS Forum provided a platform to share new data collection methods or research, contributing to the future of Ocean GIS. We discussed ways multi-dimensional data and web apps can help people put scientific information to work our respective organizations/departments, leveraging the potential for sharing knowledge across disciplines and collaborating with multiple stakeholders. This was our chance as the JKUAT team to work with the ocean GIS community and forge new concepts in ocean analytics and applications. Specifically, we set out to interact with the Ocean GIS community in order to learn the best ways to simulate impacts of lake level rises including projecting the same under varying lake levels. We met researchers from Puerto Rico state university who were working on similar research and they gave us useful hints in terms of modeling the shoreline erosion using the DSAS software and specifically with respect to modeling it using the linear rate of change (LRC) and end point rate (EPR). We further discussed methods and techniques of projecting future simulations and we discussed how to define variables such as wave period and amplitude, breaking depth etcetera within a process-based model. All these are important in our research at HyCRISTAL since it is one of our core outputs. There were to hands-on workshops that I attended. The first was 'Insights of GIS with ocean and atmospheric data' in which we were taught modern techniques of automating GIS data capture and computing on the cloud. Moreover, I attended a hands-on session on advanced analytical workflows for ocean and atmospheric data, in which we were trained on using machine learning algorithm (Random Forest) to process ocean related data. These are important skills that we may contemplate including in our research, one way or another. ESRI offers frequent workshops that touch on the various ways in which they support the varying needs of ocean GIS community. The next forum shall be held in Dubai and it shall be the developer's forum where participants shall showcase the various ways in which they are utilizing ESRI products in their line of work. It would be a great event to attend as well since we are also doing development in this research using ESRI suite of products. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| URL | https://www.esri.com/en-us/about/events/ocean-gis-forum/agenda/technical-workshop |
| Description | FCFA EGU overview talk led by Chris Taylor |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | FCFA EGU overview talk led by Chris Taylor |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | FCFA Pan FCFA meeting - Pan-African and regional climate in the CP4A convection-permitting simulation (Finney et al) |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Other audiences |
| Results and Impact | Academic conf presentation |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2017 |
| Description | Fourth Africa Climate Resilience Investment Summit 2019: Virtual presentations |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
| Results and Impact | Professor Barbara Evans, delivered her virtual contribution for the panel session: Climate Risk Management and Resilience: Stepping up our Game". Barbara's presentation, which looks into how cities can take into account climate change when planning basic infrastructure, can be viewed here. https://youtu.be/92J-L_UeaC4 |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| URL | http://www.futureclimateafrica.org/news/fourth-africa-climate-resilience-investment-summit-2019-virt... |
| Description | GEWEX Hydroclimatology Panel (GHP) - Meeting |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Ogutu-Ohwayo R., Semazzi F - oral presentation GEWEX Hydroclimatology Panel (GHP) |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2015 |
| URL | http://www.gewexevents.org/wp-content/uploads/HyCRISTAL_Ogutu-Ohwayo.pdf |
| Description | Global newsletter - First HyCRISTAL Workshop - Integrating Hydroclimate Science into Policy Decisions for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa, GEWEX news, 27(4), 23-24, November 2015 |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | John Marsham, David Rowell, Barbara Evans, Rosalind Cornforth, Fred Semazzi, Rob Wilby, Jackson Efitre , Kamazima Lwiza and Richard Ogutu-OhwayoArticle submitted to the quarterly published newsletter GEWEX News which disseminates information related to GEWEX activities, including scientific research results, new data sets, and reports of workshops and meetings - Raise awareness of HyCRISTAL and increase collaboration. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2015 |
| URL | http://www.gewex.org/gewex-content/files_mf/1447702455Nov2015GEWEXNewsletter.pdf |
| Description | Highlights and lessons learnt from the HyCRISTAL (Intergrating Hycro-Climate Science into Policy Decisions for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa) project |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | oral presentation for African Climate Risks Conference, Oct 2019 given by J Marsham*, D Rowell, B Evans, R Cornforth, F Semazzi, R Wilby, A Ainslie, D Anande, R Anyah, M Ascott, E Black, P Boorman, B Booth, J Bornemann, L Burgin, D Clegg, A Clenaghan, G De Giusti, M Demory, J Efitre, B Evans, J Evans, D Finney, M Gudoshava , H Houghton-Carr, E Kendon, A Kingiri, J Kisembe, A Kondowe, D Lapworth, G Lopez-Gonzalez, K Lwiza, D Macdonald, R Maidment, B Mbani, H Misiani, N Mittal, F Mutua, M Mwaniki, R Nakabugo, J Owuor, C Petty, G Sabiiti, C Sangalugembe, C Scanell, J Seaman, S Sekunda, K Smith, A Tadege, G Walker, P Waniha, C Wainwright, C Way, B Winterbourn, S Xia |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | Household Economy Approach and Individual Household Method |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Two early career researchers attended the "Household Economy Approach and Individual Household Method" workshop in Reading UK. This training could benefit FCFA because it focuses on the analysis of household vulnerability due to changes in production and livelihoods. Household Economy Approach is very important in modelling the impact of climate change on poor households and think through interventions to mitigate climate risks and social vulnerability. It uses climate change models and scenarios analysis to give policy advice to policymakers. It is important in understanding climate risk reduction, governance of climate change adaptation and climate change policy-making process. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| Description | How does explicit modelling of convective storms affect predictions of future water resource availability in the Lake Victoria Basin? Implications for climate change adaptation in the water sector |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | oral presentation for African Climate Risks Conference, Oct 2019 given by Matthew Ascott, Vasileios Christelis, Dan Lapworth, David Macdonald, John Marsham, Declan Finney, Callist Tindumugaya, Anthelem Iragena |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | HyCRISTAL Annual meeting : 23-27 April 2018 |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Annual HyCRISTAL meeting, ongoing engagment with project partners |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| Description | HyCRISTAL webpage in weADAPT plataform |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | The collaborative platform weADAPT invited HyCRISTAL to promote the project and project activities on its website. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2017 |
| URL | https://www.weadapt.org/knowledge-base/using-climate-information/hycristal-integrating-hydro-climate... |
| Description | HyCristal Annual Meeting. Kenya, November 2016 |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | The HyCRISTAL 2nd annual meeting took place in Kisumu Kenya in November 2016. HyCRISTAl aims to develop our understanding of East African climate change and use this for long-term decision making in the region. The research focuses on East Africa, with project sites in the Lake Victoria Basin. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2016 |
| Description | HyTea: - Hydrological Implication of Tea production under future climatic scenarios in Sondu Miriu River, Kenya |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | oral presentation for African Climate Risks Conference, Oct 2019 given by Joseph Sang, Neha Mittal, John Marsham, Andrew Dougill, John Bore, Caroline Maina, Anne Tallontire |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | Hycristal Urban group meeting for the WASH project |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Report from Mercy Mwaniki on behalf of HyCRISTAL The Hycristal Urban group meeting for the WASH project was also very successful in that we were able to see the clear direction of the outputs and prepare for the main milestones. I was able to interact with the Leeds Urban WASH team in a manner that the GIS skills are of best use to process and visualise the impacts of the various scenarios of the floods on the sanitation aspects. As a result of this meeting, it was possible to settle on the model to use for modelling the urban floods so as to link their impacts on the existing sanitation types. As a result of this meeting, I was able to meet various experts drawn from various UK universities widely published in the hydrology field. In future, FCFA could benefit from this work package through publications and influence on sanitation policy as a result of the possible intervention measures that should be undertaken to reduce the impacts of future urban floods on infrastructure and various aspects of human developments. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| Description | ICPAC-led webinar & panel discussion: Climate change's impact on water and hydrological resources in East Africa |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | ICPAC-led webinar & panel discussion: Climate change's impact on water and hydrological resources in East Africa |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
| Description | Invited presentation at NCAS S2S meeting HyCRISTAL |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Other audiences |
| Results and Impact | academic talk |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2017 |
| Description | John Marsham is quoted in Climate Change News - Scientists say east Africa will get wetter, so why is it drying out? |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | John Marsham is quoted in Climate Home News. Scientists say east Africa will get wetter, so why is it drying out? Despite models predicting increased rainfall with climate change, the region has collapsed into drought - a puzzle known as the East African paradox. Published 13.07.17 |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2017 |
| URL | http://www.climatechangenews.com/2017/07/13/scientists-say-east-africa-will-get-wetter-drying/ |
| Description | Lake Victoria field campaign session by Jennifer Fletcher |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | oral presentation for African Climate Risks Conference, Oct 2019 |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | Meetings with key stakeholders (Kampala and Kisumu) |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Following the AGM, meetings were arranged with key stakeholders to raise awareness and engagement with HyCRISTAL. This involved around 30 people from 15 different organisations, split between our two case study cities of Kisumu and Kampala. The relationships initiated in these meetings are assisting in developing and facilitating fieldwork in 2017 and beyond. We have since co-created MOUs between key organisaitons. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2016,2017 |
| Description | Numerical Weather Prediction Models: Progress in Improving Weather Prediction over Tropical Africa |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | oral presentation for African Climate Risks Conference, Oct 2019 given by Elijah Adefisan |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | PICO presentation at EGU Assembly meeting by Declan Finney |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | EGU General Assembly 2019:EGU2019-3133, titled: Future mean and extreme rainfall over Eastern Africa in a convection-permitting model by Declan Finney et al. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | Pan Future CLimate for Africa meeting |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Future CLimate for Africa programme meeting, presentation on HyCRISTAL |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2017 |
| Description | Plausible ranges of Lake Victoria levels and outflows for decision-making under climate change |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | poster presentation for African Climate Risks Conference, Oct 2019 given by Helen Houghton Carr*, Kara Smith, Matt Ascot, Jorge Bornemann, Emma Brown, Frank Farquharson, Declan Finney, Jesse Kisembe, Nick Mandeville, John Marsham, David Plinston, David Rowell, Geoffrey Sabiiti, Fred Semazzi, Dean Walker |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | Presentation given by Lawrence Jackson for EGU General Assembly |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Presentation at EGU General Assembly 2019: EGU2019-14325, titled: Differences in the regional response of rainfall to convectively coupled Kelvin waves over tropical Africa by Lawrence Jackson et al. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| Description | Presentation of the preliminary results at the 2nd Africa Tea Science Symposium - sector wide engagement |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | The participatory workshops were organised to share the preliminary results of CI4Tea project for future temperature and rainfall projections. It helped in understanding the user needs and their feedback helped in improving/simplifying the climate visualisations for making communication more effective for the later stages. We identified and prioritised climate change adaptation options using Multi-Criteria Analysis method separately for both smallholder farmers and large commercial estates in Malawi and Kenya. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| Description | Radar Polarimetry training and POLINSAR WORKSHOP 2019 at ESA- ESRIN, Frascati (Rome, Italy) for Mercy Mwaniki, JKUAT |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Report on the event by Mercy Mwaniki, on behalf of HyCRISTAL. The Radar Polarimetry training and POLINSAR-2019 Workshop held in ESA ESRIN has been a significant eye opener packaged with lots of skills to enable exploitation current and future satellite missions targeted for various applications ranging from disaster management (floods, earth quakes, ), ocean applications, agriculture, tomography for forest and biomass estimations, and land applications (urban cities, resource mapping). The training provided an opportunity to learn first-hand and up-to-information on the state of the art in Radar Polarimetry, Polarimetric SAR Interferometry and SAR Tomography. Various tools and methods for exploitation of dual-pol and full-polarimetric data backed with the theoretical principles, processing algorithms, data products and their use in various applications were explored providing key insights for the exploitation of earth observation data for current and future scientist. The set-up of this training and the workshop enabled me to meet leading scientist from various parts of Europe and to understand the opportunities and challenges of handling big data. The training also gave me an opportunity to network for future research collaborations and understand the opportunities of utilising satellite mission Earth Satellites datasets for various applications. As a result of this workshop and training I am now in a better position to supervise and undertake tasks involving use of various satellite missions especially for disaster management applications such as flooding and land surface deformation monitoring. Consequently, this meeting will enable me to explore ways of improving the HyCRISTAL Kisumu and Kampala Urban WASH work-package. In future, FCFA could benefit from this work package through publications and improved climate change impact mapping which could provide insights for early warning, and mitigation and adaptation measures to cope with the resulting impacts. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| URL | https://earth.esa.int/web/guest/events/all-events/-/article/polinsar-2019 |
| Description | Scohol talks by John Marsham |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | Regional |
| Primary Audience | Schools |
| Results and Impact | TWo talks on ein person at local school, one virtually to a schools network, on impacts & solutions to climate change |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
| Description | Stakeholder workshops |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | Local |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | 5-10 Local stakeholders in Kisumu and Kampala have attended 1-2 workshops a year relating to the development of a health hazard mapping tool for their city (Kisumu or Kampala). These have prompted discussion around the impact of climate change on sanitation through flooding and the subsequent health impacts and what they could do about it through their work in their respective jobs (City Government, Water and Sanitation NGO, Water and Sewerage Utility Company, Public Health Officer among others). |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018,2019,2020 |
| Description | Time for tea: lessons from co-producing future climate information for tea production in Kenya and Malawi |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | oral presentation for EMS Annual Mtg 2018 given by Neha Mittal et al. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| Description | UK hydrology meeting |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Speaker at meeting on East African hydrology |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| Description | UK school strikes: Feb & march |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | Regional |
| Primary Audience | Schools |
| Results and Impact | Held a "Ask a climate scientist" session atthe Leeds School climate strikes |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |
| Description | UPGro workshop |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Postgraduate students |
| Results and Impact | Communicated HyCRISTAL activities to 20 researchers at an UPGro workshop in Montpellier (29 September). Possibility of FCFA-UPGro link on future scenarios/modelling. Upgro webinar planned for 2017. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2016 |
| Description | Virtual contributions to GHACOF May 2020, Aug2020, Feb21 on HyCRISTAL narratives, relationship between current extremes & climate change |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Virtual contributions to GHACOF May 2020, Aug2020, Feb21 on HyCRISTAL narratives, the relationship between current extremes & climate change (will continue through to at least Feb 2022) |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020,2021 |
| Description | Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and METplus Tutorials |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Four members of the Tanzanian Met Office- HyCRISTAL team attended the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and METplus Tutorials in Colorado. It has been reported that the travel has improved the TMA team skills in methodologies of model products evaluation and verifications. The skills helped in the analysis of the WRF model products for the research paper on Evaluation of the WRF-ARW regional climate model over Lake Victoria Basin. Furthermore, the TMA team learned how to install many dependencies necessary for MET plus and any other atmospheric model installation |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
| URL | https://www.mmm.ucar.edu/wrf-tutorial-0 |
| Description | Workshop on Improving the use of Climate Change Information for Adaptation in Uganda (March 2022) |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
| Results and Impact | Workshop on Improving the use of Climate Change Information for Adaptation in Uganda (March 2022) Workshop in Uganda with virtual participation from UK, setup up through Ugandan Ministry of Water and Environment, with mainly their staff in attendance. Fedback showed great interest in data and resources for climate change planning, and provided ideas for future work |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2012,2022 |
| Description | stakeholders the Tea Research Foundation of Central Africa |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Industry/Business |
| Results and Impact | 8th October 2018 - Mulanje, Malawi - 32 stakeholders the Tea Research Foundation of Central Africa, smallholder famers and representatives from large commercial estates. The participatory workshops were organised to share the preliminary results of CI4Tea project for future temperature and rainfall projections. It helped in understanding the user needs and their feedback helped in improving/simplifying the climate visualisations for making communication more effective for the later stages. We identified and prioritised climate change adaptation options using Multi-Criteria Analysis method separately for both smallholder farmers and large commercial estates in Malawi and Kenya. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2018 |