Observational cosmology with multi-wavelength surveys

Lead Research Organisation: Cardiff University
Department Name: School of Physics and Astronomy

Abstract

Cosmology studies the large-scale properties and evolution of the Universe. As such, cosmology is arguably one of the most complete branches of physics in that it must be able to describe the large-scale distribution and motion of matter, governed primarily by the gravitational forces, but also the intricate interactions between subatomic particles that dictated the rules during and after the Big Bang, as well as the violent physical processes that take place in galaxies and clusters of galaxies. However, the most characteristic feature of cosmology that separates it from other branches of physics, is the impossibility to replicate experiments. We only have one set of data: the Universe, and we cannot repeat it. This originally put cosmology in an awkward position, where due to the lack of experimental data, progress was mainly driven by theoretical work based on fundamental premises. Astonishingly, as astronomical observations improved, many of these theoretical predictions were actually found to be valid, and the last couple of decades have seen cosmology grow into a fully fleshed science driven by experimental observations.

Since there is only one Universe to observe, the cosmologist's quest is to observe as much of it as possible: to map out the distribution of matter and energy in the entire observable Universe. The aim of this endeavour is not merely cartographic. Due to the finiteness of the speed of light, we see distant structures the way they were at the time the photons we observe were emitted. This way the cosmologist is also able to travel in time, and therefore the cosmologist's ideal map describes not only the current state of the Universe, but also its evolution since the moment of the Big Bang. So far we have only been able to collect separate pieces of this map, covering the early stages in the evolution of the Universe from measurements of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) emitted shortly after the Big Bang, as well as the late-time steps in this evolution, in terms of observations of the distribution of galaxies around us. However, in the next decade, large steps will be taken towards the completion of the cosmologist's ideal map: at least half of the observable sky will be jointly mapped by different experiments in a wide range of the electromagnetic spectrum, and these observations will cover far larger volumes than have been accessible so far.

However, the cosmological information is encoded into these datasets in the form of an absorbing puzzle: different experiments cover different ranges of radial and angular scales, as well as different energy regimes, and certain sections of the data end up being dominated by non-cosmological sources and instrumental effects. The beautiful cosmologist's map must therefore be carefully disentangled from the raw experimental data, lest it be inevitably contaminated. This project focuses on identifying the regions and combinations of these datasets that are valuable to reconstruct this map, and that contain the most relevant cosmological information, making use of state-of-the-art statistical and computational tools. As an example, one of the main objectives of this project is the detection of primordial gravitational waves, the ripples in space-time originated during the Big-Bang, which could teach us a lot about the physical conditions in the early Universe. These waves leave an imprint in the polarisation of the CMB with an amplitude significantly smaller than the emission of our own galaxy, and therefore the latter must be carefully removed from the data before the former can be studied.

With cosmology soon entering the era of "big data", as most other branches of science are currently doing, many of the algorithms and methods developed for this project will be useful for a wide range of disciplines, from atmospheric physics to the social sciences, and the computing needs of cosmological studies will also act as a driver for technological development.

Publications

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Ade P (2019) The Simons Observatory: science goals and forecasts in Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics

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Alonso D (2019) A unified pseudo- C l framework in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society

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Bellini E (2019) Sheer shear: weak lensing with one mode in The Open Journal of Astrophysics

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Chisari N (2019) Modelling baryonic feedback for survey cosmology in The Open Journal of Astrophysics

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García-García C (2019) a-attractor dark energy in view of next-generation cosmological surveys in Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics

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Hasebe T (2018) Concept Study of Optical Configurations for High-Frequency Telescope for LiteBIRD in Journal of Low Temperature Physics

 
Description This project aims at addressing two main questions: a) Is there evidence of gravitational waves produced during the Big Bang? b) What is the cause of the apparent accelerated expansion of the Universe at late times? We aimed to answer these questions using data from two experiments: the Simons Observatory (SO), targetting the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB, the Universe's first light), and the Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), which will make the largest map to date of the distribution of matter in the Universe using galaxies and the gravitational lensing effect.

The COVID pandemic has caused significant delays, and we have not yet been able to fully exploit these experiments (SO will start taking data this year, while LSST will start in 2024/2025). Nevertheless, while building the analysis tools for these experiments, and applying them to a large suite of existing public datasets, the project has produced several important outcomes:
a) We have been able to tackle one of the most important challenges that would otherwise prevent us from detecting the primordial gravitational wave signal: Galactic foregrounds. The polarised emission from the Milky Way dominates any primordial gravitational wave signal, and separating both using observations at different frequencies can be extremely complicated. We have developed advanced methods for component separation that, we have shown, are able, for the first time, to recover robust constraints on primordial gravitational waves in the presence of the most complicated Galactic foreground models that the community has produced to date. This places us in a strong position to fully exploit SO data in the next few years, and potentially detect this smoking-gun signature of new physics in the early Universe.
b) By employing the analysis tools we have developed for LSST on a large combination of galaxy and lensing datasets, we have produced the most stringent constraints to date on the growth of structure at late times, including its time evolution. We have pinpointed the regime where gravitational lensing data shows evidence of a lower growth than predicted by early-time probes such as the CMB. This could be a smoking-gun signature of a non-standard Dark Energy fluid causing the late-time acceleration, or could lead us to further understand complex astrophysical phenomena that could cause the same effect, with interesting consequences for galaxy formation and evolution.
c) We have developed novel methods to reconstruct the evolution of the building blocks of the Universe's structure (mass density, gas density, gas pressure, star-formation-rate density) during the last 10 billion years using a large suite of galaxy survey data and multi-wavelength observations of the sky. This has allowed us to produce the tightest constraints on the evolution of gas pressure, matter overdensities, and on the history of star formation to date.
d) In producing the science described in the last two points, we have developed robust methods to analyse weak lensing and galaxy clustering data, and to generically characterise the uncertainties of the resulting data without any approximations. These methods are both reliable and easy to implement, and thus will enable the exploitation of LSST and SO data in the next few years.
e) Through the use of a combination of analytical and numerical methods, we have designed strategies to reliably mitigate and propagate uncertainties on both complex astrophysical effects (e.g. galaxy evolution physics) and intricate instrumental systematics (e.g. inaccurate galaxy shapes or redshifts). The methods are also extremely easy to implement, and lead to an important improvement in the performance of key data analysis tasks (e.g. power spectrum estimation, parameter inference). Thus, this constituting an important contribution towards the success of SO and LSST.
f) We have developed a number of novel science cases that exploit the robustness of variious datasets to different observational systematics. These will enable the combination of optical and radio galaxy surveys, together with CMB experiments, to obtain cosmological constraints that are significantly tighter than what any of these datasets would be able to achieve individually.

Besides the scientific results summarised above, the work carried out during this project has solidified our group's leadership within these two large international collaborations. With data-taking starting within the next year, this places us in an ideal position to play a leading role in the new scientific discoveries these data will unveil.
Exploitation Route The work carried out in this project has:
- Unveiled a number of interesting novel science results (evidence of low structure growth, potential departures from the expected evolution of global gas pressure and star formation), which could be further explored by other groups.
- Identified new science cases (e.g. methods for cross-calibration of various systematics), which will be exploited by future experiments.
- Developed several state-of-the-art analysis methods (e.g. advanced CMB component separation methods, fast marginalisation procedures for parameter inference, tomographic reconstruction of background quantities, robust algorithms for power spectrum and covariance estimation), which will enable new science with future surveys. These methods are fully described and accompanied by public software repositories, which will enable any other groups to exploit them with existing and future data.
Sectors Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software),Education,Financial Services, and Management Consultancy

 
Description LSST Enabling Science Award
Amount $9,000 (USD)
Organisation LSST Corporation 
Sector Charity/Non Profit
Country United States
Start 04/2018 
End 04/2018
 
Description Atacama Cosmology Telescope - ACT 
Organisation Princeton University
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution I am a science team member of ACT. My contribution has mostly focused on foreground studies: quantifying the level of Galactic contamination in the maps, providing foreground-corrected legacy maps and foreground avoidance masks. I have also started working on the development of some of the pipeline analysis elements for power spectrum studies in the next season's analysis.
Collaborator Contribution ACT is a ground-based CMB observatory located in the Chilean Atacama plateau. The collaboration provides the combined expertise of different teams to cover all of the steps in the scientific process, data acquisition, reduction, analysis and final cosmological constraints. My work has focus on the intermediate stages, connecting raw data products with science-ready observables.
Impact ACT is one of the most powerful ground-based observatories, and has been at the forefront of CMB science after the Planck mission. Of particular relevance for my research is the fact that ACT will be able to provide state-of-the-art data on CMB B-modes, which will be invaluable to educate the analysis strategies used by the Simons Obsevatory in its quest to put constraints on the amplitude of primordial gravitational waves. I have co-authored several ACT papers.
Start Year 2015
 
Description Large Synoptic Survey Telescope - LSST. Dark Energy Science Collaboration - DESC. 
Organisation LSST Corporation
Country United States 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution For 6 years I served as co-convener of the Large-Scale Structure working group for DESC. As such, I was in charge of coordinating the work needed to provide one of the key data products needed to obtain robust constraints on Dark Energy: summary statistics describing the clustering of galaxies on large scales. As part of this work, I am the lead developer of the software in charge of providing two-point functions in harmonic space for both galaxy clustering and weak gravitational lensing data. I am also heavily involved with the Theory and Joint Probes working group. Within it, I currently lead the development of the Core Cosmology Library, the collaboration's main engine for the production of reliable and efficient theoretical predictions. Finally, I currently co-lead the External Synergies working group, in charge of coordinating activities needed for the joint exploitation of Rubin Observatory data in conjunction with external datasets (e.g. CMB data from the Simons Observatory), and ensuring that needs for other external datasets (e.g. spectroscopic coverage) are met. Besides my scientific role, I am also a member of the DESC Collaboration Council, in charge of most policy issues for the collaboration.
Collaborator Contribution LSST is an 8.4-meter ground-based telescope that will carry out a wide and deep astronomical survey ~20,000 square degrees of the southern sky. LSST has the potential to provide ground-breaking constraints on the properties of the late-time accelerated expansion of the Universe. To achieve this goal, the DESC combines the skills of experts in the 5 main Dark Energy probes: large-scale structure, weak lensing, cluster science, supernovae and strong lenses. The members cover a wide range of skills: instrumentation, data management, data analysis and theory.
Impact LSST will dominate all cosmological constraints on low redshift phenomena from 2020. As part of the preparatory work carried out within the DESC, I have authored four papers since the award of this Fellowship (10.1093/mnras/stz093, 10.21105/astro.2108.13418, 10.1088/1475-7516/2020/03/044, 10.3847/1538-4365/abd62c).
Start Year 2015
 
Description Simons Observatory - SO 
Organisation Simons Observatory
Country Chile 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution I am co-leader for the B-modes Analysis Working Group of SO. As such, I am in charge of delivering one of the key science cases for the collaboration: constraining the amplitude of primordial gravitational waves from the properties of large-scale CMB B-modes. I also contribute to the foregrounds, power spectrum and Sunyaev Zel'dovich working groups. Besides my scientific roles, I am also a member of the Theory and Analysis Committee, overseeing the scientific exploitation plan of SO. I have also served in the SO Publication Panel. In 2019 I secured institutional membership of SO for the University of Oxford, such that current and future postdocs and students in my group can join the collaboration.
Collaborator Contribution SO combines the resources and infrastructure of two existing CMB observatories: the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (which I am also a member of) and the Simons Array, both located in Chile. The collaboration combines the skills of about 100 experts from more than 40 institutions around the world, covering areas from instrumentation to theoretical predictions. The construction of the Observatory is funded by the Simons and Heising-Simons foundations and with contribution from the US lead institutions.In 2019 I secured institutional membership of SO for the University of Oxford, such that current and future postdocs and students in my group can join the collaboration.
Impact SO will start taking data in 2023, and will then provide ground-breaking advances in cosmology, with primordial gravitational waves from B-modes being one of the main science drivers. Since joining the collaboration, I have co-authored more than 10 publications associated to SO.
Start Year 2016
 
Description Simons Observatory - SO 
Organisation Simons Observatory
Country Chile 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution I am co-leader for the B-modes Analysis Working Group of SO. As such, I am in charge of delivering one of the key science cases for the collaboration: constraining the amplitude of primordial gravitational waves from the properties of large-scale CMB B-modes. I also contribute to the foregrounds, power spectrum and Sunyaev Zel'dovich working groups. Besides my scientific roles, I am also a member of the Theory and Analysis Committee, overseeing the scientific exploitation plan of SO. I have also served in the SO Publication Panel. In 2019 I secured institutional membership of SO for the University of Oxford, such that current and future postdocs and students in my group can join the collaboration.
Collaborator Contribution SO combines the resources and infrastructure of two existing CMB observatories: the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (which I am also a member of) and the Simons Array, both located in Chile. The collaboration combines the skills of about 100 experts from more than 40 institutions around the world, covering areas from instrumentation to theoretical predictions. The construction of the Observatory is funded by the Simons and Heising-Simons foundations and with contribution from the US lead institutions.In 2019 I secured institutional membership of SO for the University of Oxford, such that current and future postdocs and students in my group can join the collaboration.
Impact SO will start taking data in 2023, and will then provide ground-breaking advances in cosmology, with primordial gravitational waves from B-modes being one of the main science drivers. Since joining the collaboration, I have co-authored more than 10 publications associated to SO.
Start Year 2016
 
Description Square Kilometre Array - SKA 
Organisation SKA Square Kilometre Array
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution I have coordinated the Cosmological Simulations focus group as part of the Cosmology Science Working Group. As a member of the SKA I have been mostly interested in the use of intensity mapping and continuum surveys for cosmology, as well as synergies with optical and CMB experiments.
Collaborator Contribution The Square Kilometre Array is a large multi radio telescope, the first phase of which is being built in Australia and in the South African Karoo desert. SKA is a multi-science facility targeting a wide range of objectives, such as pulsar science, galaxy evolution, epoch of reionization or cosmology. The members of SKA cover all areas of expertise needed for this experiment, from instrumentation to theory predictions. The focus of the Cosmology Science Working Groups covers mostly the last stages of the analysis process: data analysis and theoretical constraints.
Impact When SKA Phase 1 finishes construction, it will constitute a tremendous improvement in terms of statistical power with respect to existing facilities, and will therefore dominate any advances in the field.
Start Year 2015
 
Title Core Cosmology Library - CCL 
Description LSST DESC Core Cosmology Library (CCL) provides routines to compute basic cosmological observables with validated numerical accuracy. The library is written in C99 and all functionality is directly callable from C and C++ code. We also provide python bindings for higher-level functions. Although CCL has been developed within DESC, it aims to be of use for the cosmology community as a whole, and this has guided is design. 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2018 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact CCL is the official theory library for LSST DESC, and is now being integrated into all analysis pipelines. The Simons Observatory is also considering to add CCL to its likelihood software. I have co-led the development of CCL 
URL http://ccl.readthedocs.io/
 
Title NaMaster 
Description NaMaster is a software package to compute the power spectrum of any two-dimensional astronomical datasets. It provides generic tools to estimate power spectra in the presence of complex masks, systematic contamination from an arbitrary number of sources and E-B leakage in the case of spin-2 fields. It supports calculations in both curved and flat skies. The code has been designed so it implements generic methods that can be applied to any astronomical dataset, facilitating the joint analysis of a wide range of current and future datasets. 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2018 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact NaMaster has been released through a published paper outlining the novel methods implemented in it. The code has also already been used in a number of publications, and has become one of the official analysis tools for both LSST DESC and the Simons Observatory. 
URL http://namaster.readthedocs.io
 
Description Conference organization: Statistical Challenges for Large-Scale Structure in the era of LSST 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact I was the main organizer of a large workshop entitled "Statistical Challenges for Large-Scale Structure in the Era of LSST". This took place at the University of Oxford in April 18-20 2018. It was well attended, by more than 100 international experts on observational cosmology. The discussions taking place during the workshop were posted online live, increasing the impact of the event. In general the workshop was very well received by both in-person and remote participants.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://statlssoxford.web.ox.ac.uk/
 
Description Cosmological Voids 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Invited speaker to international conference on the use of voids for cosmology, where I disseminated my work on using multi-wavelength measurements with voids.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.simonsfoundation.org/event/workshop-on-cosmological-voids/
 
Description Invited seminars at Cardiff University, Rutgers University, Princeton University, University of Bristol, Laboratoire de L'Accélérateur Linéaire 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Invited scientific seminars and colloquia at different universities or research institutions aimed at other researchers, including graduate and undergraduate students, in cosmology and astrophysics.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018,2019
 
Description Oxford Stargazing 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Stargazing Oxford is organized by the University of Oxford Department of Physics on a yearly basis. During this event, members of the public come to the department and take part in a large number of activities, aimed at exploring the most relevant physical phenomena that can be studied through the observation of the cosmos. I have participated in the organisation of this event since 2015. In 2019 we had a total of 1043 participants, who were very satisfied with the activities we had prepared. My contribution to this event has covered different aspects: organising the cosmology stand, delivering short outreach talks or coordinating the planetarium shows.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015,2016,2017,2018,2019
URL http://www2.physics.ox.ac.uk/events/2019/01/26/stargazing-oxford-2019
 
Description South American Workshop on Cosmology in the LSST Era 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Invited speaker to international conference on large-scale structure conference where I disseminated my work, particularly on LSST.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://www.ictp-saifr.org/south-american-workshop-on-cosmology-in-the-lsst-era/
 
Description UNIQ Summer School 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Schools
Results and Impact Summer school organized by the University of Oxford for students in state schools
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017,2018,2019
URL http://www.uniq.ox.ac.uk/
 
Description VI Meeting on Fundamental Cosmology 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Invited talk at international conference to disseminate my work on 21cm cosmology
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://cafpe.ugr.es/fcosmology18/