CEH Hydro-Climate Risks
Lead Research Organisation:
UK CENTRE FOR ECOLOGY & HYDROLOGY
Department Name: UNLISTED
Abstract
Abstracts are not currently available in GtR for all funded research. This is normally because the abstract was not required at the time of proposal submission, but may be because it included sensitive information such as personal details.
People |
ORCID iD |
| Nicholas Reynard (Principal Investigator) |
Publications
Bréchet LM
(2018)
Distinct responses of soil respiration to experimental litter manipulation in temperate woodland and tropical forest.
in Ecology and evolution
Burke E
(2018)
CO 2 loss by permafrost thawing implies additional emissions reductions to limit warming to 1.5 or 2 °C
in Environmental Research Letters
Collet L
(2018)
Future hot-spots for hydro-hazards in Great Britain: a probabilistic assessment
in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Cox PM
(2018)
Emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability.
in Nature
Deb Burman P
(2018)
A Case Study of Turbulence in the Nocturnal Boundary Layer During the Indian Summer Monsoon
in Boundary-Layer Meteorology
Lewis H
(2018)
The UKC2 regional coupled environmental prediction system
in Geoscientific Model Development
Miller J
(2018)
Refining flood estimation in urbanized catchments using landscape metrics
in Landscape and Urban Planning
Rickhaus P
(2018)
Transport Through a Network of Topological Channels in Twisted Bilayer Graphene.
in Nano letters
Salazar A
(2018)
The ecology of peace: preparing Colombia for new political and planetary climates
in Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment
Zelazowski P
(2018)
Climate pattern-scaling set for an ensemble of 22 GCMs - adding uncertainty to the IMOGEN version 2.0 impact system
in Geoscientific Model Development
| Description | A team of scientists from the University of Exeter and the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology has pioneered a new process to reduce uncertainty around climate sensitivity - the expected long-term global warming if atmospheric carbon dioxide is stabilised at double pre-industrial levels.While the standard 'likely' range of climate sensitivity has remained at 1.5-4.5oC for the last 25 years the new study, published in the scientific journal Nature, has reduced this range by around 60 per cent. The study examined equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), defined as the global mean warming that would occur if the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration doubled. It is a key tool for discussing and comparing climate models and an important point of policy discussions, including international climate change agreements. However, a range of ECS estimates have been calculated, which have been hard to reconcile. The new analysis suggests that extremely high estimates of this sensitivity can be ruled out. |
| Exploitation Route | The research team believe that by dramatically reducing the range of climate sensitivity, scientists will be able to have a much more accurate picture of long-term changes to the Earth climate. |
| Sectors | Environment |