NOC Marine Systems Modelling
Lead Research Organisation:
NATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY CENTRE
Department Name: UNLISTED
Abstract
Abstracts are not currently available in GtR for all funded research. This is normally because the abstract was not required at the time of proposal submission, but may be because it included sensitive information such as personal details.
Organisations
- NATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY CENTRE (Lead Research Organisation)
- National Center for Scientific Research (Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique CNRS) (Collaboration)
- Meteorological Office UK (Collaboration)
- Mercator Océan (Collaboration)
- Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) (Collaboration)
People |
ORCID iD |
Jason Holt (Principal Investigator) |
Publications

Dmitrenko I
(2014)
Heat loss from the Atlantic water layer in the northern Kara Sea: causes and consequences
in Ocean Science

Williamson D
(2014)
Evolving Bayesian Emulators for Structured Chaotic Time Series, with Application to Large Climate Models
in SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification

Moat B
(2014)
Impact of Barents Sea winter air-sea exchanges on Fram Strait dense water transport
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans

Grist J
(2014)
Seasonal variability of the warm Atlantic water layer in the vicinity of the Greenland shelf break
in Geophysical Research Letters

Bricheno L
(2014)
Impacts of high resolution model downscaling in coastal regions
in Continental Shelf Research

Hill J
(2014)
Adapting to life: ocean biogeochemical modelling and adaptive remeshing
in Ocean Science

Williamson D
(2014)
Identifying and removing structural biases in climate models with history matching
in Climate Dynamics

Kwiatkowski L
(2014)
iMarNet: an ocean biogeochemistry model intercomparison project within a common physical ocean modelling framework
in Biogeosciences

O'Hara Murray R
(2014)
Briefing: Young Coastal Scientists and Engineers Conference 2013
in Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Maritime Engineering

Vincent E
(2014)
Influence of upper ocean stratification interannual variability on tropical cyclones
in Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Hirschi J
(2014)
A New Index for the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26°N
in Journal of Climate

Mayor DJ
(2014)
Microbial gardening in the ocean's twilight zone: detritivorous metazoans benefit from fragmenting, rather than ingesting, sinking detritus: fragmentation of refractory detritus by zooplankton beneath the euphotic zone stimulates the harvestable production of labile and nutritious microbial biomass.
in BioEssays : news and reviews in molecular, cellular and developmental biology

Rodgers K
(2014)
Strong sensitivity of Southern Ocean carbon uptake and nutrient cycling to wind stirring
in Biogeosciences

Benshila R
(2014)
The upper Bay of Bengal salinity structure in a high-resolution model
in Ocean Modelling

Silvester J
(2014)
Observations of a diapycnal shortcut to adiabatic upwelling of Antarctic Circumpolar Deep Water
in Geophysical Research Letters

O'Dea E
(2014)
An operational ocean forecast system incorporating NEMO and SST data assimilation for the tidally driven European North-West shelf
in Journal of Operational Oceanography

Samson G
(2014)
The NOW regional coupled model: Application to the tropical Indian Ocean climate and tropical cyclone activity
in Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Nurser A
(2014)
The Rossby radius in the Arctic Ocean
in Ocean Science

Wahr J
(2014)
Seasonal variability of the Red Sea, from satellite gravity, radar altimetry, and in situ observations
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans

Josey S
(2014)
The Surface-Forced Overturning of the North Atlantic: Estimates from Modern Era Atmospheric Reanalysis Datasets
in Journal of Climate

Sinha B
(2014)
North Atlantic SST Anomalies and the Cold North European Weather Events of Winter 2009/10 and December 2010
in Monthly Weather Review

Evans D
(2014)
The imprint of Southern Ocean overturning on seasonal water mass variability in Drake Passage
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans

Drushka K
(2014)
Processes driving intraseasonal displacements of the eastern edge of the warm pool: the contribution of westerly wind events
in Climate Dynamics

Howarth M
(2014)
Assessment of coastal density gradients near a macro-tidal estuary: Application to the Mersey and Liverpool Bay
in Continental Shelf Research

Glibert PM
(2014)
Vulnerability of coastal ecosystems to changes in harmful algal bloom distribution in response to climate change: projections based on model analysis.
in Global change biology

Blaker A
(2014)
Historical analogues of the recent extreme minima observed in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26°N
in Climate Dynamics

Brearley J
(2014)
Deep boundary current disintegration in Drake Passage
in Geophysical Research Letters

MacLachlan C
(2014)
Global Seasonal forecast system version 5 (GloSea5): a high-resolution seasonal forecast system
in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society


Webb DJ
(2014)
On the adjoint of Laplace's tidal equations

Megann A
(2014)
GO5.0: the joint NERC-Met Office NEMO global ocean model for use in coupled and forced applications
in Geoscientific Model Development

Martínez-Asensio A
(2014)
Impact of the atmospheric climate modes on Mediterranean sea level variability
in Global and Planetary Change

Hughes C
(2014)
Antarctic circumpolar transport and the southern mode: a model investigation of interannual to decadal timescales
in Ocean Science

Danabasoglu G
(2014)
North Atlantic simulations in Coordinated Ocean-ice Reference Experiments phase II (CORE-II). Part I: Mean states
in Ocean Modelling

Rye C
(2014)
Rapid sea-level rise along the Antarctic margins in response to increased glacial discharge
in Nature Geoscience

Sánchez-Arcilla A
(2014)
Oceanography at coastal scales: Introduction to the special issue on results from the EU FP7 FIELD_AC project
in Continental Shelf Research

Bricheno L
(2013)
Effect of High-Resolution Meteorological Forcing on Nearshore Wave and Current Model Performance
in Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology

Sévellec F
(2013)
On the Near-Inertial Resonance of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
in Journal of Physical Oceanography

Bouillon S
(2013)
The elastic-viscous-plastic method revisited
in Ocean Modelling

Tzortzi E
(2013)
Tropical Atlantic salinity variability: New insights from SMOS
in Geophysical Research Letters

Dufresne J
(2013)
Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5
in Climate Dynamics

Palmer M
(2013)
Variable behavior in pycnocline mixing over shelf seas
in Geophysical Research Letters

Hemmings JCP
(2013)
The Marine Model Optimization Testbed (MarMOT)

Polton J
(2013)
The vertical structure of time-mean estuarine circulation in a shallow, rotating, semi-enclosed coastal bay: A Liverpool Bay case study with application for monitoring
in Continental Shelf Research

Barnier B
(2013)
Observation-Based Estimates of Surface Cooling Inhibition by Heavy Rainfall under Tropical Cyclones
in Journal of Physical Oceanography

Vancoppenolle M
(2013)
Role of sea ice in global biogeochemical cycles: emerging views and challenges
in Quaternary Science Reviews


Yool A
(2013)
Climate change and ocean acidification impacts on lower trophic levels and the export of organic carbon to the deep ocean
in Biogeosciences

Vancoppenolle M
(2013)
Future Arctic Ocean primary productivity from CMIP5 simulations: Uncertain outcome, but consistent mechanisms
in Global Biogeochemical Cycles
Description | The mission of the Marine Systems Modelling group is to advance our understanding of the marine environment and improve our ability to predict the Earth System on timescales of days to centuries. We work at national, regional and global scales from the coasts to the open ocean and specifically consider the dynamic links between these scales. We achieve this mission through the development, application, assessment and analysis of world-leading ocean models. We aim to exploit this understanding and capability to address societally relevant issues and deliver clear and traceable impacts. |
Exploitation Route | a wide range of scientific, innovation and policy relevant application involving ocean models. |
Sectors | Aerospace Defence and Marine Agriculture Food and Drink Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software) Environment Leisure Activities including Sports Recreation and Tourism Transport |
URL | http://noc.ac.uk/science/research-areas/marine-systems-modelling |
Description | The findings of this award have been used as follows:- • Climate change impacts Man-made climate change has been estimated to cost the UK economy 5-20% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP)1 amounting to £80-320 billion for 2011 GDP2. The National Oceanography Centre (NOC) is providing impartial, independent, world-leading expertise in developing the international scientific consensus that informs the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) series of Assessment Reports3. NOC provides authoritative oceanographic scientific evidence to underpin the assessments, necessary as climate change has enormous economic and societal implications. NOC research is a significant contributor to the international delivery of evidence on ocean circulation, global temperature, sea level and climate. In response to research evidence presented by the IPCC the UK parliament passed the world's first long-term legally binding framework to tackle the dangers of climate change (The Climate Change Act 20086). The act requires Government to set carbon budgets, which are limits on greenhouse gas emissions in the UK for consecutive five-year periods. In addition to IPCC assessments, NOC data and expertise, including sea-level from PSMSL (Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level), inform studies of impacts of climate change on both national and international levels [e.g. UK Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP), UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP), UK Foresight Flood and Coastal Defence Review, Charting Progress and Charting Progress 2 • Sustainability and health of UK National seas NOC was pivotal in providing advice and evidence feeding into UK assessments on "clean, healthy, safe, productive and biologically diverse oceans and seas". These underpin legislation aimed at achieving this vision, specifically the EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive. In the UK this took the form of the report: "Charting Progress 2 (CP2): The State of UK Seas", and the on-going Evidence Groups. Alongside this, the Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP) and UKCP09 (UK Climate Projections 09) provide assessments of potential future conditions and substantially contributing to the on-going UKCP18 assessment. NOC is the leading UK organisation for providing this evidence, advice, information and future projections for physical oceanography. Its scientists were lead / co-authors for CP2 "Ocean Processes" chapter, most MCCIP science reviews, and the UKCP09 Marine Section. • Improved seasonal forecasting Improved seasonal forecasting of UK winter weather conditions months in advance is key to our ability to manage our environment and resources responsibly, and to be resilient to hazards. For instance, environmental change will affect our infrastructure (through storms, flooding and coastal erosion - particularly damaging for the South-west coastline and the Somerset levels during the winter of 2013/14), food, water and energy resources (changes to rainfall and wind) and the health of our population (the incidence of influenza is related to winter temperatures). Improved seasonal forecasting is therefore of immense societal importance for the UK population, and to our Government for planning and policy development. Many sectors of the UK economy (transport, agriculture, health, etc) need accurate forecasts of weather conditions many months in advance (seasonal forecasts) for planning purposes. These forecasts are provided to UK Government by operational systems run at the Met Office. Through a major strategic partnership, the Joint Weather and Climate Research Programme, a coordinated programme of effort has been established between NOC and the Met Office to provide the best possible ocean models to Met Office forecasting systems. New higher resolution ocean models have in this way been included in the latest seasonal forecasting systems and have led to a dramatic improvement in the skill of winter forecasts for the UK, with widespread benefits to the UK. NOC also works with Met Office in the UK Environmental Prediction Project to develop a national scale land-sea-wave-atmosphere couple system with the aim of improving forecasting of environmental hazards such as coastal flooding and extreme rain fall events. NOC plays a pivotal role in the development and assessment of marine forecasts and reanalysing products delivered by the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. These provide key environmental information for a range of downstream industrial, operational and policy stakeholders. |
Sector | Aerospace, Defence and Marine,Agriculture, Food and Drink,Energy,Environment,Healthcare,Leisure Activities, including Sports, Recreation and Tourism,Government, Democracy and Justice,Transport |
Impact Types | Societal Economic Policy & public services |
Description | Climate Change Impacts |
Geographic Reach | National |
Policy Influence Type | Citation in other policy documents |
Impact | Man-made climate change has been estimated to cost the UK economy 5-20% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP)1 amounting to £80-320 billion for 2011 GDP2. The National Oceanography Centre (NOC) is providing impartial, independent, world-leading expertise in developing the international scientific consensus that informs the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) series of Assessment Reports3. NOC provides authoritative oceanographic scientific evidence to underpin the assessments, necessary as climate change has enormous economic and societal implications. NOC research is a significant contributor to the international delivery of evidence on ocean circulation, global temperature, sea level and climate. In response to research evidence presented by the IPCC the UK parliament passed the world's first long-term legally binding framework to tackle the dangers of climate change (The Climate Change Act 20086). The act requires Government to set carbon budgets, which are limits on greenhouse gas emissions in the UK for consecutive five-year periods. In addition to IPCC assessments, NOC data and expertise, including sea-level from PSMSL (Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level), inform studies of impacts of climate change on both national and international levels [e.g. UK Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP), UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP), UK Foresight Flood and Coastal Defence Review, Charting Progress and Charting Progress 2. |
Description | Improved Seasonal Forecasting |
Geographic Reach | Europe |
Policy Influence Type | Participation in a guidance/advisory committee |
Impact | Improved seasonal forecasting of UK winter weather conditions months in advance is key to our ability to manage our environment and resources responsibly, and to be resilient to hazards. For instance, environmental change will affect our infrastructure (through storms, flooding and coastal erosion - particularly damaging for the South-west coastline and the Somerset levels during the winter of 2013/14), food, water and energy resources (changes to rainfall and wind) and the health of our population (the incidence of influenza is related to winter temperatures). Improved seasonal forecasting is therefore of immense societal importance for the UK population, and to our Government for planning and policy development. Many sectors of the UK economy (transport, agriculture, health, etc) need accurate forecasts of weather conditions many months in advance (seasonal forecasts) for planning purposes. These forecasts are provided to UK Government by operational systems run at the Met Office. Through a major strategic partnership, the Joint Weather and Climate Research Programme, a coordinated programme of effort has been established between NOC and the Met Office to provide the best possible ocean models to Met Office forecasting systems. New higher resolution ocean models have in this way been included in the latest seasonal forecasting systems and have led to a dramatic improvement in the skill of winter forecasts for the UK, with widespread benefits to the UK. |
Description | Sustainability and health of UK national seas |
Geographic Reach | Asia |
Policy Influence Type | Citation in other policy documents |
Impact | NOC was pivotal in providing advice and evidence feeding into UK assessments on "clean, healthy, safe, productive and biologically diverse oceans and seas". These underpin legislation aimed at achieving this vision, specifically the EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive. In the UK this took the form of the report: "Charting Progress 2 (CP2): The State of UK Seas", and the on-going Evidence Groups. Alongside this, the Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP) and UKCP09 (UK Climate Projections 09) provide assessments of potential future conditions. NOC is the leading UK organisation for providing this evidence, advice, information and future projections for physical oceanography. Its scientists were lead / co-authors for CP2 "Ocean Processes" chapter, most MCCIP science reviews, and the UKCP09 Marine Section. |
Description | Sources, impacts and solutions for plastics in South East Asia coastal environments |
Amount | £53,772 (GBP) |
Funding ID | NE/V009591/1 |
Organisation | Natural Environment Research Council |
Sector | Public |
Country | United Kingdom |
Start | 11/2020 |
End | 11/2024 |
Description | NEMO Consortium |
Organisation | Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) |
Country | Italy |
Sector | Charity/Non Profit |
PI Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
Collaborator Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
Impact | The consortium provides regular model code updates (currently V4). These form the basis for most model based operational, climate and research oceanography in Europe, including the UK, Frence and italian contributions the CMIP process informing the IPCC Assessment and Special Reports, and also the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. |
Start Year | 2008 |
Description | NEMO Consortium |
Organisation | Mercator Océan |
Country | France |
Sector | Private |
PI Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
Collaborator Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
Impact | The consortium provides regular model code updates (currently V4). These form the basis for most model based operational, climate and research oceanography in Europe, including the UK, Frence and italian contributions the CMIP process informing the IPCC Assessment and Special Reports, and also the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. |
Start Year | 2008 |
Description | NEMO Consortium |
Organisation | Meteorological Office UK |
Country | United Kingdom |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
Collaborator Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
Impact | The consortium provides regular model code updates (currently V4). These form the basis for most model based operational, climate and research oceanography in Europe, including the UK, Frence and italian contributions the CMIP process informing the IPCC Assessment and Special Reports, and also the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. |
Start Year | 2008 |
Description | NEMO Consortium |
Organisation | National Center for Scientific Research (Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique CNRS) |
Country | France |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
Collaborator Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
Impact | The consortium provides regular model code updates (currently V4). These form the basis for most model based operational, climate and research oceanography in Europe, including the UK, Frence and italian contributions the CMIP process informing the IPCC Assessment and Special Reports, and also the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. |
Start Year | 2008 |
Description | NOC and Met Office Collaboration |
Organisation | Meteorological Office UK |
Country | United Kingdom |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | Under the Joint Weather and Climate Research Programme (JWCRP) between NERC and the Met Office, we have forged a strong strategic partnership with the Met Office. This takes the form of the Joint Marine Modelling Project (JMMP; formerly JOMP; the Joint Ocean Modelling Programme and JCOMP; the Joint Coastal Ocean Modelling Programme). JMMP comprises staff from both NOC (from the Marine Systems Modelling group) and the Met Office and enables the best possible versions of the NEMO global and coastal-ocean models to be taken up into predictive systems at the Met Office (for ocean forecasting, coupled weather forecasting, seasonal prediction, decadal prediction, and climate and earth system modelling). Successive versions of NEMO are developed internationally on a regular cycle and have a number of new options. The benefit of these options are assessed both individually and in various combinations through undertaking decadal timescale simulations on MONSooN, a supercomputer facility shared between NERC and the Met Office, and identical in architecture to the main Met Office supercomputer. Once the optimal combination of options has been ascertained, the NEMO model can then be rapidly and easily taken up into the predictive systems at the Met Office. The cycle is repeated approximately every 1-2 years. The shelf seas activities, specifically support the models run operationally in the shelf sea forecasting and reanalysis system at the Met Office and delivered by the European Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. Alongside JMMP, the National Partnership for Ocean Prediction (formally known as the National Centre for Ocean Forecasting) aims to develop and promote the application of world-leading marine products and services to stakeholders, with a focus on national and public benefit. This is achieved firstly through the integration of models, observations and scientific understanding to produce the best information and advice about the marine environment, with rigorous quality assurance and traceability; and secondly through engaging with stakeholders to understand their requirements and to maximise the beneficial use of marine products and services. |
Collaborator Contribution | Under the Joint Weather and Climate Research Programme (JWCRP) between NERC and the Met Office, we have forged a strong strategic partnership with the Met Office. This takes the form of the Joint Marine Modelling Project (JMMP; formerly JOMP; the Joint Ocean Modelling Programme and JCOMP; the Joint Coastal Ocean Modelling Programme). JMMP comprises staff from both NOC (from the Marine Systems Modelling group) and the Met Office and enables the best possible versions of the NEMO global and coastal-ocean models to be taken up into predictive systems at the Met Office (for ocean forecasting, coupled weather forecasting, seasonal prediction, decadal prediction, and climate and earth system modelling). Successive versions of NEMO are developed internationally on a regular cycle and have a number of new options. The benefit of these options are assessed both individually and in various combinations through undertaking decadal timescale simulations on MONSooN, a supercomputer facility shared between NERC and the Met Office, and identical in architecture to the main Met Office supercomputer. Once the optimal combination of options has been ascertained, the NEMO model can then be rapidly and easily taken up into the predictive systems at the Met Office. The cycle is repeated approximately every 1-2 years. The shelf seas activities, specifically support the models run operationally in the shelf sea forecasting and reanalysis system at the Met Office and delivered by the European Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. Alongside JMMP, the National Partnership for Ocean Prediction (formally known as the National Centre for Ocean Forecasting) aims to develop and promote the application of world-leading marine products and services to stakeholders, with a focus on national and public benefit. This is achieved firstly through the integration of models, observations and scientific understanding to produce the best information and advice about the marine environment, with rigorous quality assurance and traceability; and secondly through engaging with stakeholders to understand their requirements and to maximise the beneficial use of marine products and services. |
Impact | NEMO model configurations. NW European Shelf Operational Copernicus service. |
Start Year | 2008 |
Title | The Marine Model Optimization Testbed (MarMOT) 1.1 software http://noc.ac.uk/project/marmot/marmot-11-software |
Description | Overview document available at: http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/504004/ Types of beneficiary include: Research Council/Institute;Public Research Organisation |
Type Of Technology | Software |
URL | http://noc.ac.uk/project/marmot/marmot-11-software |
Title | Vertical Discretization In NEMO |
Description | |
Type Of Technology | Software |