NOC Marine Systems Modelling
Lead Research Organisation:
NATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY CENTRE
Department Name: UNLISTED
Abstract
Abstracts are not currently available in GtR for all funded research. This is normally because the abstract was not required at the time of proposal submission, but may be because it included sensitive information such as personal details.
Organisations
- NATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY CENTRE (Lead Research Organisation)
- National Center for Scientific Research (Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique CNRS) (Collaboration)
- Meteorological Office UK (Collaboration)
- Mercator Océan (Collaboration)
- Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) (Collaboration)
People |
ORCID iD |
| Jason Holt (Principal Investigator) |
Publications
Trevail AM
(2021)
Environmental heterogeneity promotes individual specialisation in habitat selection in a widely distributed seabird.
in The Journal of animal ecology
Palmieri J
(2021)
Med-BGC MIP: A Mediterranean Biogeochemical models comparison.
Andersson T
(2021)
A daily to seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting AI
Blaker A
(2021)
FORTE 2.0: a fast, parallel and flexible coupled climate model
in Geoscientific Model Development
Landy J
(2021)
Improved Arctic Sea Ice Freeboard Retrieval From Satellite Altimetry Using Optimized Sea Surface Decorrelation Scales
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
Kizenga H
(2021)
Variability of mackerel fish catch and remotely-sensed biophysical controls in the eastern Pemba Channel
in Ocean & Coastal Management
Brown P
(2021)
Circulation-driven variability of Atlantic anthropogenic carbon transports and uptake
in Nature Geoscience
Solomon A
(2021)
Freshwater in the Arctic Ocean 2010-2019
in Ocean Science
Megann A
(2021)
Exploring Viscosity Space in an Eddy-Permitting Global Ocean Model: Is Viscosity a Useful Control for Numerical Mixing?
in Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Anderson T
(2021)
Is the growth of marine copepods limited by food quantity or quality?
in Limnology and Oceanography Letters
Munday D
(2021)
Relative vs. absolute wind stress in a circumpolar model of the Southern Ocean
in Ocean Modelling
Felgate S
(2021)
Conversion of Forest to Agriculture Increases Colored Dissolved Organic Matter in a Subtropical Catchment and Adjacent Coastal Environment
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences
Mecking J
(2021)
Ocean Heat Transport’s Response to Future Climate Projections
Megann A
(2021)
Mechanisms for Late 20th and Early 21st Century Decadal AMOC Variability
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
Wilson R
(2021)
Large projected reductions in marine fish biomass for Kenya and Tanzania in the absence of climate mitigation
in Ocean & Coastal Management
Yool A
(2021)
Evaluating the physical and biogeochemical state of the global ocean component of UKESM1 in CMIP6 historical simulations
in Geoscientific Model Development
Horsburgh K
(2021)
"Grey swan" storm surges pose a greater coastal flood hazard than climate change
in Ocean Dynamics
Andersson TR
(2021)
Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning.
in Nature communications
Zika J
(2021)
Recent Water Mass Changes Reveal Mechanisms of Ocean Warming
in Journal of Climate
Blaker A
(2021)
Wind-Driven Oscillations in the Meridional Overturning Circulation near the equator. Part I: Numerical Models
in Journal of Physical Oceanography
Wakelin S
(2020)
Controls on near-bed oxygen concentration on the Northwest European Continental Shelf under a potential future climate scenario
in Progress in Oceanography
Rulent J
(2020)
Comparing Water Level Estimation in Coastal and Shelf Seas From Satellite Altimetry and Numerical Models
in Frontiers in Marine Science
| Description | The mission of the Marine Systems Modelling group is to advance our understanding of the marine environment and improve our ability to predict the Earth System on timescales of days to centuries. We work at national, regional and global scales from the coasts to the open ocean and specifically consider the dynamic links between these scales. We achieve this mission through the development, application, assessment and analysis of world-leading ocean models. We aim to exploit this understanding and capability to address societally relevant issues and deliver clear and traceable impacts. |
| Exploitation Route | a wide range of scientific, innovation and policy relevant application involving ocean models. |
| Sectors | Aerospace Defence and Marine Agriculture Food and Drink Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software) Environment Leisure Activities including Sports Recreation and Tourism Transport |
| URL | http://noc.ac.uk/science/research-areas/marine-systems-modelling |
| Description | The findings of this award have been used as follows:- • Climate change impacts Man-made climate change has been estimated to cost the UK economy 5-20% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP)1 amounting to £80-320 billion for 2011 GDP2. The National Oceanography Centre (NOC) is providing impartial, independent, world-leading expertise in developing the international scientific consensus that informs the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) series of Assessment Reports3. NOC provides authoritative oceanographic scientific evidence to underpin the assessments, necessary as climate change has enormous economic and societal implications. NOC research is a significant contributor to the international delivery of evidence on ocean circulation, global temperature, sea level and climate. In response to research evidence presented by the IPCC the UK parliament passed the world's first long-term legally binding framework to tackle the dangers of climate change (The Climate Change Act 20086). The act requires Government to set carbon budgets, which are limits on greenhouse gas emissions in the UK for consecutive five-year periods. In addition to IPCC assessments, NOC data and expertise, including sea-level from PSMSL (Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level), inform studies of impacts of climate change on both national and international levels [e.g. UK Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP), UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP), UK Foresight Flood and Coastal Defence Review, Charting Progress and Charting Progress 2 • Sustainability and health of UK National seas NOC was pivotal in providing advice and evidence feeding into UK assessments on "clean, healthy, safe, productive and biologically diverse oceans and seas". These underpin legislation aimed at achieving this vision, specifically the EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive. In the UK this took the form of the report: "Charting Progress 2 (CP2): The State of UK Seas", and the on-going Evidence Groups. Alongside this, the Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP) and UKCP09 (UK Climate Projections 09) provide assessments of potential future conditions and substantially contributing to the on-going UKCP18 assessment. NOC is the leading UK organisation for providing this evidence, advice, information and future projections for physical oceanography. Its scientists were lead / co-authors for CP2 "Ocean Processes" chapter, most MCCIP science reviews, and the UKCP09 Marine Section. • Improved seasonal forecasting Improved seasonal forecasting of UK winter weather conditions months in advance is key to our ability to manage our environment and resources responsibly, and to be resilient to hazards. For instance, environmental change will affect our infrastructure (through storms, flooding and coastal erosion - particularly damaging for the South-west coastline and the Somerset levels during the winter of 2013/14), food, water and energy resources (changes to rainfall and wind) and the health of our population (the incidence of influenza is related to winter temperatures). Improved seasonal forecasting is therefore of immense societal importance for the UK population, and to our Government for planning and policy development. Many sectors of the UK economy (transport, agriculture, health, etc) need accurate forecasts of weather conditions many months in advance (seasonal forecasts) for planning purposes. These forecasts are provided to UK Government by operational systems run at the Met Office. Through a major strategic partnership, the Joint Weather and Climate Research Programme, a coordinated programme of effort has been established between NOC and the Met Office to provide the best possible ocean models to Met Office forecasting systems. New higher resolution ocean models have in this way been included in the latest seasonal forecasting systems and have led to a dramatic improvement in the skill of winter forecasts for the UK, with widespread benefits to the UK. NOC also works with Met Office in the UK Environmental Prediction Project to develop a national scale land-sea-wave-atmosphere couple system with the aim of improving forecasting of environmental hazards such as coastal flooding and extreme rain fall events. NOC plays a pivotal role in the development and assessment of marine forecasts and reanalysing products delivered by the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. These provide key environmental information for a range of downstream industrial, operational and policy stakeholders. |
| Sector | Aerospace, Defence and Marine,Agriculture, Food and Drink,Energy,Environment,Healthcare,Leisure Activities, including Sports, Recreation and Tourism,Government, Democracy and Justice,Transport |
| Impact Types | Societal Economic Policy & public services |
| Description | Climate Change Impacts |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Citation in other policy documents |
| Impact | Man-made climate change has been estimated to cost the UK economy 5-20% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP)1 amounting to £80-320 billion for 2011 GDP2. The National Oceanography Centre (NOC) is providing impartial, independent, world-leading expertise in developing the international scientific consensus that informs the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) series of Assessment Reports3. NOC provides authoritative oceanographic scientific evidence to underpin the assessments, necessary as climate change has enormous economic and societal implications. NOC research is a significant contributor to the international delivery of evidence on ocean circulation, global temperature, sea level and climate. In response to research evidence presented by the IPCC the UK parliament passed the world's first long-term legally binding framework to tackle the dangers of climate change (The Climate Change Act 20086). The act requires Government to set carbon budgets, which are limits on greenhouse gas emissions in the UK for consecutive five-year periods. In addition to IPCC assessments, NOC data and expertise, including sea-level from PSMSL (Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level), inform studies of impacts of climate change on both national and international levels [e.g. UK Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP), UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP), UK Foresight Flood and Coastal Defence Review, Charting Progress and Charting Progress 2. |
| Description | Improved Seasonal Forecasting |
| Geographic Reach | Europe |
| Policy Influence Type | Participation in a guidance/advisory committee |
| Impact | Improved seasonal forecasting of UK winter weather conditions months in advance is key to our ability to manage our environment and resources responsibly, and to be resilient to hazards. For instance, environmental change will affect our infrastructure (through storms, flooding and coastal erosion - particularly damaging for the South-west coastline and the Somerset levels during the winter of 2013/14), food, water and energy resources (changes to rainfall and wind) and the health of our population (the incidence of influenza is related to winter temperatures). Improved seasonal forecasting is therefore of immense societal importance for the UK population, and to our Government for planning and policy development. Many sectors of the UK economy (transport, agriculture, health, etc) need accurate forecasts of weather conditions many months in advance (seasonal forecasts) for planning purposes. These forecasts are provided to UK Government by operational systems run at the Met Office. Through a major strategic partnership, the Joint Weather and Climate Research Programme, a coordinated programme of effort has been established between NOC and the Met Office to provide the best possible ocean models to Met Office forecasting systems. New higher resolution ocean models have in this way been included in the latest seasonal forecasting systems and have led to a dramatic improvement in the skill of winter forecasts for the UK, with widespread benefits to the UK. |
| Description | Sustainability and health of UK national seas |
| Geographic Reach | Asia |
| Policy Influence Type | Citation in other policy documents |
| Impact | NOC was pivotal in providing advice and evidence feeding into UK assessments on "clean, healthy, safe, productive and biologically diverse oceans and seas". These underpin legislation aimed at achieving this vision, specifically the EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive. In the UK this took the form of the report: "Charting Progress 2 (CP2): The State of UK Seas", and the on-going Evidence Groups. Alongside this, the Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP) and UKCP09 (UK Climate Projections 09) provide assessments of potential future conditions. NOC is the leading UK organisation for providing this evidence, advice, information and future projections for physical oceanography. Its scientists were lead / co-authors for CP2 "Ocean Processes" chapter, most MCCIP science reviews, and the UKCP09 Marine Section. |
| Description | Sources, impacts and solutions for plastics in South East Asia coastal environments |
| Amount | £53,772 (GBP) |
| Funding ID | NE/V009591/1 |
| Organisation | Natural Environment Research Council |
| Sector | Public |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Start | 11/2020 |
| End | 11/2024 |
| Description | NEMO Consortium |
| Organisation | Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) |
| Country | Italy |
| Sector | Charity/Non Profit |
| PI Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Collaborator Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Impact | The consortium provides regular model code updates (currently V4). These form the basis for most model based operational, climate and research oceanography in Europe, including the UK, Frence and italian contributions the CMIP process informing the IPCC Assessment and Special Reports, and also the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. |
| Start Year | 2008 |
| Description | NEMO Consortium |
| Organisation | Mercator Océan |
| Country | France |
| Sector | Private |
| PI Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Collaborator Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Impact | The consortium provides regular model code updates (currently V4). These form the basis for most model based operational, climate and research oceanography in Europe, including the UK, Frence and italian contributions the CMIP process informing the IPCC Assessment and Special Reports, and also the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. |
| Start Year | 2008 |
| Description | NEMO Consortium |
| Organisation | Meteorological Office UK |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Collaborator Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Impact | The consortium provides regular model code updates (currently V4). These form the basis for most model based operational, climate and research oceanography in Europe, including the UK, Frence and italian contributions the CMIP process informing the IPCC Assessment and Special Reports, and also the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. |
| Start Year | 2008 |
| Description | NEMO Consortium |
| Organisation | National Center for Scientific Research (Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique CNRS) |
| Country | France |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Collaborator Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Impact | The consortium provides regular model code updates (currently V4). These form the basis for most model based operational, climate and research oceanography in Europe, including the UK, Frence and italian contributions the CMIP process informing the IPCC Assessment and Special Reports, and also the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. |
| Start Year | 2008 |
| Description | NOC and Met Office Collaboration |
| Organisation | Meteorological Office UK |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | Under the Joint Weather and Climate Research Programme (JWCRP) between NERC and the Met Office, we have forged a strong strategic partnership with the Met Office. This takes the form of the Joint Marine Modelling Project (JMMP; formerly JOMP; the Joint Ocean Modelling Programme and JCOMP; the Joint Coastal Ocean Modelling Programme). JMMP comprises staff from both NOC (from the Marine Systems Modelling group) and the Met Office and enables the best possible versions of the NEMO global and coastal-ocean models to be taken up into predictive systems at the Met Office (for ocean forecasting, coupled weather forecasting, seasonal prediction, decadal prediction, and climate and earth system modelling). Successive versions of NEMO are developed internationally on a regular cycle and have a number of new options. The benefit of these options are assessed both individually and in various combinations through undertaking decadal timescale simulations on MONSooN, a supercomputer facility shared between NERC and the Met Office, and identical in architecture to the main Met Office supercomputer. Once the optimal combination of options has been ascertained, the NEMO model can then be rapidly and easily taken up into the predictive systems at the Met Office. The cycle is repeated approximately every 1-2 years. The shelf seas activities, specifically support the models run operationally in the shelf sea forecasting and reanalysis system at the Met Office and delivered by the European Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. Alongside JMMP, the National Partnership for Ocean Prediction (formally known as the National Centre for Ocean Forecasting) aims to develop and promote the application of world-leading marine products and services to stakeholders, with a focus on national and public benefit. This is achieved firstly through the integration of models, observations and scientific understanding to produce the best information and advice about the marine environment, with rigorous quality assurance and traceability; and secondly through engaging with stakeholders to understand their requirements and to maximise the beneficial use of marine products and services. |
| Collaborator Contribution | Under the Joint Weather and Climate Research Programme (JWCRP) between NERC and the Met Office, we have forged a strong strategic partnership with the Met Office. This takes the form of the Joint Marine Modelling Project (JMMP; formerly JOMP; the Joint Ocean Modelling Programme and JCOMP; the Joint Coastal Ocean Modelling Programme). JMMP comprises staff from both NOC (from the Marine Systems Modelling group) and the Met Office and enables the best possible versions of the NEMO global and coastal-ocean models to be taken up into predictive systems at the Met Office (for ocean forecasting, coupled weather forecasting, seasonal prediction, decadal prediction, and climate and earth system modelling). Successive versions of NEMO are developed internationally on a regular cycle and have a number of new options. The benefit of these options are assessed both individually and in various combinations through undertaking decadal timescale simulations on MONSooN, a supercomputer facility shared between NERC and the Met Office, and identical in architecture to the main Met Office supercomputer. Once the optimal combination of options has been ascertained, the NEMO model can then be rapidly and easily taken up into the predictive systems at the Met Office. The cycle is repeated approximately every 1-2 years. The shelf seas activities, specifically support the models run operationally in the shelf sea forecasting and reanalysis system at the Met Office and delivered by the European Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. Alongside JMMP, the National Partnership for Ocean Prediction (formally known as the National Centre for Ocean Forecasting) aims to develop and promote the application of world-leading marine products and services to stakeholders, with a focus on national and public benefit. This is achieved firstly through the integration of models, observations and scientific understanding to produce the best information and advice about the marine environment, with rigorous quality assurance and traceability; and secondly through engaging with stakeholders to understand their requirements and to maximise the beneficial use of marine products and services. |
| Impact | NEMO model configurations. NW European Shelf Operational Copernicus service. |
| Start Year | 2008 |
| Title | The Marine Model Optimization Testbed (MarMOT) 1.1 software http://noc.ac.uk/project/marmot/marmot-11-software |
| Description | Overview document available at: http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/504004/ Types of beneficiary include: Research Council/Institute;Public Research Organisation |
| Type Of Technology | Software |
| URL | http://noc.ac.uk/project/marmot/marmot-11-software |
| Title | Vertical Discretization In NEMO |
| Description | |
| Type Of Technology | Software |