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Triangulation of values using different valuation methods - CAVEAT

Lead Research Organisation: University of Glasgow
Department Name: School of Interdisciplinary Studies

Abstract

CAVEAT will identify and mitigate the caveats associated with current valuation methods when applied to culture and heritage capital to inform decision making. CAVEAT will explore how to best triangulate existing valuation techniques to assess the value of the stock (and flows) of a complex historic asset, such as a historic high street/neighbourhood, to improve decision makers' confidence when using such results in Social Cost-Benefit Analysis (SCBS).
CAVEAT addresses a key policy and knowledge gap. The protection of heritage assets requires investments in a regime of scarce resources. Historic England's High Street Heritage Action Zone (HSHAZ) programme is an example of how conservation areas may require coordinated actions. Historic High Streets are currently suffering from the impact of businesses closures, and without investment in their conservation and requalification, cities lose a central part of their heritage.
A business case for investment requires decision makers to compare costs and benefits of the intervention within a Social Cost Benefit Analysis (SCBS) framework. The main problem they face is to fully account for the economic values (both use and non-use) associated with a cultural asset and articulate their social benefits, which cannot be captured by simple market transactions. A heritage asset is more than its real estate value, or the value people associate with its use. The non-use value, linked to the cultural, aesthetic, and symbolic quality of the asset and/or the emotional attachment that communities have toward it, define such asset as heritage (Throsby, 1999). The only methods able to capture the non-use values associated to cultural heritage are survey-based techniques such as choice experiment and contingent valuation, which can be used to express in monetary terms the social benefits associated to the conservation of historic assets.
CAVEAT applies several economic valuation techniques to the same historic high street in an English medium sized city to assess the use and non-use values, and understand the reasons for possible divergence in estimates, sources of bias and ways of minimizing them. These techniques capture use values (such as hedonic pricing (HP) and travel cost (TC) methods) and non-use values (contingent valuation (CV) and discrete choice experiment (DCE) methods). It investigates sources of biases, such as embedding effects (the problem of lack of variation of estimates with respect to the scope of the good) and information effects. It explores the role played by emotional attachment of respondents and compares the estimates of values obtained within the hypothetical setting (CV and DCE) with real-world experiments, where actual transaction for non-use values take place. The results from CV and DCE are then tested against a comparable historic high street in another English city. This tests the reliability of results using benefit transfers (inferring the expected values at the comparable site from results obtained from the first site) between the two sites and suggests ways to minimise possible transfer errors.
The main outcome of the project is a guidance for researchers and decision-makers on how to effectively and efficiently triangulate valuation methods for complex assets such as historic high streets/historic neighbourhoods and how to minimise potential biases. CAVEAT provides a framework for the development of future studies. The research will impact the UK cultural sector and beyond. The project team involves two key international heritage stakeholders ICCROM and ICOMOS, engaging governments and experts worldwide.
The project team encompasses expertise from various disciplines (architecture, urban planning, heritage conservation, cultural economics, environmental economics, heritage advocacy, policy making support) who have worked on these themes before and are committed to an interdisciplinary approach.

Publications

10 25 50
 
Description ICCROM priorities
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
 
Description Strand A; Developing a taxonomy for culture and heritage capital
Amount £489,595 (GBP)
Funding ID AH/Y000552/1 
Organisation Arts & Humanities Research Council (AHRC) 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 08/2023 
End 03/2026
 
Title Consortium Meeting at ICCROM HQs in Rome - January 2025 
Description On 14-16th January, the University and Glasgow and ICCROM jointly hosted a program of meetings at ICRROM's Rome HQ offices. This 3-day program was attended by members of the CAVEAT project, as well as representatives from DCMS, ICCROM, and leads from two of the AHRC-DCMS portfolio of CHC projects. The Director General of ICCROM opened the meeting with a presentation that stressed the importance of interdisciplinarity and international approaches to discussions on cultural heritage. 
Type Of Material Improvements to research infrastructure 
Year Produced 2025 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact We organised interactive workshops per each methods that we are using in the CAVEAT project. This has had a major impact on progress of our research approach, and research hypothesis definition. We discussed both empirical and theoretical rationale per each methods, challenges linked to the specific characteristics of the historic High Streets and how this should be accounted for in the design of the various research tools. The presence of DCMS representatives (Harman Sagger and Matthew Bezzano) helped align the discussion with the policy objectives set by DCMS. The presence of 3 other AHRC DCMS funded projects' PIs has also helped a major cross-fertilisation between the projects. 
 
Title Consortium meeting in Glasgow - June 2024 
Description The 2 day workshop, 4-5th June 2024, brought consortium members, and DCMS, together for the first time in person. This was held at the University of Glasgow. This included also a stakeholder engagement event. 
Type Of Material Improvements to research infrastructure 
Year Produced 2024 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact The workshop was opened by Prof. Riganti who gave an overview of the project status, followed by a presentation from David Throsby, finally Mr Harman Sagger outlined DCMS's expectations on the outcomes of the CHC framework. Presentations and discussions on each of the main techniques allowed all task leads to discuss their progress so far, and for all to engage in useful and productive discussion around the next stages. These were invaluable to progress research. 
 
Title Delphi Method approach 
Description The CAVEAT consortium has developed a Delphi approach tailored for our 2 case studies of Poole and Lincoln High Street. This included a questionnaire circulated to selected experts in the field of environmental economics, cultural economics, non-market valuation, architects, conservators and planners. A similar approach was used for residents of our case studies. This represented Phase 1 of the Delphi approach. Phase 2 was a series of online Delphi meetings with experts/residents who made themselves available for this purpose. 
Type Of Material Improvements to research infrastructure 
Year Produced 2024 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact This raised attention to our project and its overall methodological approach. 
 
Title Delphi Questionnaires for Historic High Streets Taxonomy development 
Description The CAVEAT consortium has developed two questionnaires to gather opinions on key characteristics of the 2 Historic High Streets of the town of Poole and Lincoln. One version of the questionnaire was circulated to experts (environmental economists, cultural economists, architects, planners etc). We included a number of questions focusing on benefits/services and dis-benefits that HHS might bring to local populations. We have used the DCMS CHC framework to define the potential services. The Delphi has been developed in cooperation with the other AHRC-DCMS project on Outdoor Heritage led by Exeter University, so our results will inform also their research. Similarly we have developed a questionnaire for residents of Poole and Lincoln focusing on the key characteristics of the HHS, their services, benefits and potential dis-benefits. Those who responded to the questionnaires, were then invited to an online meeting where to discuss and validate the proposed Taxonomy for HHS. 
Type Of Material Improvements to research infrastructure 
Year Produced 2024 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact The results of questionnaires are showing how key stakeholders (residents in the selected towns and experts working in the cultural sector) perceive the benefits/dis-benefits of HHS and their conservation. This not only spurs local and experts' debate, but also will inform the next steps of our research. 
 
Title Discrete Choice Experiment Questionnaire 
Description The CAVEAT project has developed a first DCE experiment questionnaire. Though the structure, aims and objectives of the method have been agreed, we are still exploring the way attributes of the choice should be defined. The work is led by Prof Danny Campbell and Prof Patrizia Riganti, with inputs from Dr Ricky Lawton along with contribution from all consortium members. Participants for the online questionnaire will be recruited by Ipsos UK and the aim is to reach N=3400. N=2400 of those who are local to or visitors of Poole and N=1000 who are local to or visitors of Lincoln. 
Type Of Material Improvements to research infrastructure 
Year Produced 2025 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact This is a crucial step for the development of the triangulation exercise 
 
Title Poole and Lincoln site visits 
Description CAVEAT organised site visits to Poole and Lincoln Historic High Streets in September 2024. These visits were attended by the following members of the CAVEAT consortium: Prof Riganti, University of Glasgow, project PI, Ms Leeson, Historic England, project CoI, Mr Rory Milne, Historic England and Prof Throsby, Macquaire University, team member and key project advisor. We met with specialists from Historic England who are the focal point for the Historic High Street action zone, plus other experts from the Councils and the key planning departments. We had the opportunity also to meet representatives of some civic organisations to discuss the residents' perspective. 
Type Of Material Improvements to research infrastructure 
Year Produced 2024 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact These visits were not planned for the project, but were very important to understand the place and discuss in person with key stakeholders. The whole team found them highly beneficial. 
 
Title Taxonomy for Historic High Streets 
Description The CAVEAT consortium developed a taxonomy of stock/ flows and services for Historic High Streets. Partner, Historic England, led the development, which was discussed on various occasions with the whole consortium and the PI. The taxonomy is currently being validated by means of online Delphi style meetings with experts. It will also be tested during online meetings with residents of the towns of Poole and Lincoln (CAVEAT case studies). The meetings are recorded. 
Type Of Material Improvements to research infrastructure 
Year Produced 2024 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact The taxonomy is based on the DCMS recently published CHC taxonomy. The online meetings with experts have been spurring debate and show a positive impact on the cultural sectors. 
 
Title Travel Cost Method Questionnaire 
Description The CAVEAT team has developed a questionnaire aimed at tourists and visitors of Poole's historic high street. This task is led by Dr Lawton, with the cooperation of Prof Riganti and Prof Campbell. Inputs to the approach have been given by the whole consortium. The data collection, consisting of an intercept of 600 people on Poole's high street, will be carried out by Ipsos UK in April 2025. The 7-minute survey ascertains which parts of the high street participants had visited that day, where they plan to go, reasons for visiting, and dwell time. We are also considering comparing these intercept responses with big data provided by Historic England. 
Type Of Material Improvements to research infrastructure 
Year Produced 2024 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact This development will help the triangulation exercise both in the current phase of ideation and after the various methods implementation. 
 
Title Delphi Questionnaires Dataset 
Description This dataset includes responses to the Delphi Questionnaires administrated to a convenience sample of experts and residents - answered were received from 73 experts and 111 residents of Poole and Lincoln. One online panel discussion has taken place so far between 7 experts in architecture, cultural heritage, and high street advocacy. Data is being analysed, and further meetings are currently being planned. 
Type Of Material Data analysis technique 
Year Produced 2025 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact The data analysis is informing the revision of the Historic High Streets Taxonomy. 
 
Title Hedonic Pricing Method - application to the Historic High Streets. 
Description The CAVEAT consortium has gathered the available dataset of housing transactions for Historic High Streets (HHS) in England. The dataset has been cleaned and prepared for analysis. By means of hedonic pricing equations/model, we will aim to capture how the cultural heritage density and the aesthetic characteristics (among other factors) are captured by the real estate market. This research uses two data sets merged together which comprise of house sales from a period of 1995 to December 2024 and postcode, size of the house, sale price, number of bedrooms, and the energy performance data. The data for Poole and Lincoln has found 125k properties which are within a 25km radius of the HHS. 
Type Of Material Data analysis technique 
Year Produced 2024 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact The analysis is currently ongoing 
 
Description Consulate of Italy in Scotland and Norther Ireland 
Organisation Government of Italy
Department Consulate General of Italy for Scotland and Northern Ireland
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution I have developed a close cooperation with the Consul General of Italy for Scotland and Northern Ireland, Ms Veronica Ferrucci. She facilitated our recent event at the Ministry of Culture in Rome, and is sponsoring a new event related to the CAVEAT project and the DCMS CHC Framework to facilitate engagement with the Scottish Parliament.
Collaborator Contribution Several consortium partners presented at the Italian Ministry of Culture Rome event in January 2025, together with DCMS representatives. Several will also present at the next event planned in Edinburgh for May/June 2025.
Impact This partnership is helping develop and nurture a bilateral cooperation between Italy and UK on cultural heritage valuation.
Start Year 2023
 
Description Istituto Cultura Italiana Edimburgo 
Organisation Italian Cultural Institute, London
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution I am arranging a future event with the Scottish Parliament and this is being facilitated by the Consul General of Italy for Scotland and Northern Ireland and will be hosted by the Italian Culture Institute in Edinburgh.
Collaborator Contribution CAVEAT team members will deliver talks at the event, together with representatives of DCMS and ICCROM.
Impact Plans for future events
Start Year 2024
 
Description Italian Ministry of Cultural Heritage 
Organisation Government of Italy
Department Ministry of Cultural Heritage and Activities
Country Italy 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Following up from the Diplomats event on 6 December 2023, ICCROM and University of Glasgow organised a workshop on Evidencing Heritage Value hosted by the Italian Ministry of Culture at their headquarters in Rome, for cultural economists and heritage practitioners. It considered the use of economic methods as tools for informing heritage policy and investment decision-making and highlighted recent research developments. Prof Riganti presented CAVEAT to the experts.
Collaborator Contribution 1. ICCROM is a intergoveramental organisation with 137 members states with a specific mandate for the conservation of cultural heritage worldwide. ICCROM colleagues played a pivotal role in the organisation of this scientific workshop (particularly Dr Alison Heritage, but the event saw the participation and contribution of several ICCROM experts).
Impact 1. Key outcome is the possible cooperation in future dissemination activities associated to the CAVEAT project. 2. ICCROM is developing with Prof Riganti a roadmap for future cooperation on these topics, which are becoming central to ICCROM policy.
Start Year 2023
 
Description Organization of Stakeholder event in Glasgow 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact On Tuesday 4th June 2024, we held a 2-hour seminar which presented the CHC valuation framework, the CAVEAT project and the overall conceptual framework.
The seminar brought together economists and heritage researchers for an engaging dialogue on the hidden value of cultural heritage assets and their social benefits within a wellbeing economy.
The event was well attended, with approx. 45 audience members comprising of students and academics from the University of Glasgow, DCMS, Historic England representatives, reps from Historic Environment Scotland, UNESCO and other stakeholders in the cultural heritage sectors.

The seminar, which was opened by Professor Graeme Roy, Assistant Vice-Principal and Dean of External Engagement College of Social Sciences, University of Glasgow, showcased the research of three distinguished speakers: David Throsby, Distinguished Professor of Economics at Macquarie University in Sydney; Ricky Lawton, PhD, Cultural Economist and Director of Economic Evaluation at Ipsos; and Patrizia Riganti, Full Professor in Tourism at the University of Glasgow.

Giorgio Fazio, Professor of Microeconomics at Newcastle University then chaired a lively panel discussion between David Throsby, Ricky Lawton, Patrizia Riganti, and Prof Danny Campbell, Professor of Economics at Stirling University, as they fielded questions from the audience.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description Stakeholder Event at the Ministry of Culture, Rome 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Stakeholder event titled 'Unlocking the Benefit of Cultural Heritage for All' was the held at the Ministry of Culture in Rome on Wednesday 15th January 2025. The 2-hour event was jointly organised by the University of Glasgow, ICCROM and the Ministry of Culture. The audience comprised of 37 participants online, although almost 100 had signed up to the event, and 22 joined in person, from academic institutions across Europe, charities, governmental organisations, policy makers and those working in cultural heritage.

The event, aimed to spur dialogue on the hidden value of cultural heritage assets and their social benefits within a wellbeing economy, by fostering a discussion between government, economists, heritage researchers and policy makers to reflect on the opportunities ahead. This international event also highlighted the importance of a commitment to joint research and collaboration.

Ms. Alison Heritage, Project Manager Strategic Planning and Research, ICCROM chaired the event. Opening the seminar portion of the event was distinguished speaker, Ms. Mariassunta Peci, Director for International Relations, Ministry of Culture, Italy, followed by our next distinguished speaker, Ms. Aruna Francesca Maria Gujral, ICCROM Director General. Followed then by presentations by Prof Graeme Roy, Dean of External Engagement, University of Glasgow, Prof David Throsby, Distinguished Professor of Economics at Macquarie University, Australia, Mr. Harman Sagger, Department for Culture, Media and Sport, United Kingdom, and closing the seminar was Prof Patrizia Riganti, Professor in Tourism at University of Glasgow.

The second half of the program featured a roundtable discussion and audience questions, between 5 out of the 6 AHRC-DCMS funded projects in the CHC portfolio. The discussion was chaired by Prof Roy between Prof Riganti, Mr. Sagger, Ms. Adala Leeson, Head of Socio-Economic Analysis and Evaluation at Historic England, Dr Amy Binner, Environmental Economist at the University of Exeter, Dr Tamara West, Third Century Fellow at Manchester Metropolitan University and Dr Ricky Lawton Director of Economic Evaluation at Ipsos UK.

This event was recorded, a link can be made available upon request.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2025