ARCADIA: Adaptation and Resilience in Cities: Analysis and Decision making using Integrated Assessment

Lead Research Organisation: University of Cambridge
Department Name: Land Economy

Abstract

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Publications

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Crawford-Brown D (2013) Vulnerability of London's Economy to Climate Change: Sensitivity to Production Loss in Journal of Environmental Protection

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Crawford-Brown, D. (2013) An Economic Model to assess indirect economic impacts Arcadia Factsheet no. 5

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Li J (2013) Modeling imbalanced economic recovery following a natural disaster using input-output analysis. in Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis

 
Description We have discovered that (1) the indirect effects of economic damage following an extreme weather event such as flooding can be as large as, or larger than, the direct economic impacts on the flooded buildings themselves; (2) that specific parts of London's economy (transport, utilities and hotels/catering) are the most important sectors to protect from the flooding is one wants to minimise the effects on GDP; and (3) that repairing damage to economic sectors even before demand for their goods and services returns to normal, is an effective way to reduce the overall damage to GDP (this is important because many businesses prefer to wait for demand to return before they invest in repairing their damaged assets). See http://www.topdad.eu/
Exploitation Route The model we created to do this work can be applied to any city, or even to nations. Through the ToPDAd project, we are building a system that allows cities and nations to examine a larger number of climate-related events, and to assess the effectiveness of adaptation strategies at reducing the risk to the economy.
Sectors Agriculture, Food and Drink,Communities and Social Services/Policy,Construction,Energy,Environment,Leisure Activities, including Sports, Recreation and Tourism,Transport
URL http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/research/cities-and-coasts/arcadia
 
Description The findings have become part of the ToPDAd (FP7; Tool Assisted Policy Development for Adaptation) programme, and have not only become part of the results database on the ToPDAd and EU Clima websites, but have also been presented in workshops to the adaptation teams of London, Copenhagen and Rotterdam.
First Year Of Impact 2014
Sector Agriculture, Food and Drink,Environment,Leisure Activities, including Sports, Recreation and Tourism,Government, Democracy and Justice
Impact Types Economic,Policy & public services