Reputation, Trust, and Privacy in the Sharing Economy: A Network Science Approach

Lead Research Organisation: University College London
Department Name: Computer Science

Abstract

This project will develop a complete statistical description of distributed online systems where interactions between users are driven by reputation. Such systems are epitomised by the emerging online marketplaces of the sharing economy, such as Airbnb or Uber, where "micro entrepreneurs" and customers build a reputation through an online peer-review process.

Recent estimates project revenues from the top five sectors of the UK sharing economy to reach £9 billion within the next ten years. Such a fast growth will dramatically increase the interconnectedness between different online marketplaces and their users. This, in turn, will bring about the need to promote trust on large scales by merging the reputations developed by the same users on different platforms. Indeed, a few startup companies already offer embryonic services whose users receive a portable reputation score based on the aggregate of their public online activity. Similar practices will require digital personhood to become more and more transparent to others, with serious implications to online privacy.

This project will address the interplay between reputation, trust, and privacy lying at the core of the sharing economy. In order to do so, it will start from the observation that the sharing economy is a large complex network of interactions. As such, it falls squarely within the realm of application of Statistical Physics and Complexity Science, where collective macroscopic behaviour emerges from local interactions between elementary components. By taking this perspective, this project will produce a network vision of the sharing economy by first analysing data from platforms where reputation-driven interactions are at play, and by studying how reputation and trust between users form in online environments with the methods of Experimental Psychology. Then, by building upon this empirical and behavioural knowledge, network models capable of reproducing and predicting the macroscopic behaviour of complex online marketplaces will be designed.

The project's high-level objectives are:

1. To identify the main empirical and behavioural regularities of online marketplaces driven by reputation

2. To model trust and efficiency in sharing economies as collective network phenomena emerging from the interactions between users

3. To model the effects of reputation aggregation in realistic multi-platform sharing economies

Planned Impact

The main non-academic beneficiaries of the proposed research will be startup digital companies active in the sharing economy sector. At present, several players have implemented notions of reputation and trustworthiness in online marketplaces. However, most of them are individual-centric metrics that do not take into account the crucial impact of indirect interactions with others. Several modeling efforts throughout the Fellowship will lead to the identification of notions of reputation and trust that fully account for the complex network structures supporting the interactions between users of the sharing economy. Industrial impact will therefore be achieved with the uptake by relevant players of the main ideas put forward in the proposed research plan, which will be promoted through the organisation of industry-academia workshops, and the engagement with some of the major startup accelerators in the London area.

The later stages of the Fellowship will focus on reputation aggregation, a budding practice in the sharing economy which entails the merging into portable aggregate scores of the reputations developed by a single user in different contexts. The proposed research plan puts forward the first systematic study of this practice, which is currently implemented by a few digital companies via black-box algorithms. The project's results in terms of reputation aggregation will seek to outperform the existing standards by devising protocols that prevent users from being exceedingly rewarded or marginalised across multiple platforms due to good or bad performance in a fraction of them. This output will provide guidelines for practical solutions that are likely to have the potential for commercialisation, which will be sought through the launch of an academic spinoff.

Parts of the project will also provide useful input to upcoming policy-making processes. Indeed, both the UK private and public sector have recently begun addressing the need for regulation in the sharing economy and its possible scope. In partnership with the OECD Directorate for Science, Technology and Innovation, the Fellowship will model several aspects of the sharing economy that are likely to be addressed by regulators in the near future, such as privacy requirements, online trust, and the aforementioned practice of reputation aggregation. Models will be designed in order to allow for the easy numerical experimentation of different policy options.

In summary, the main beneficiaries from the output of the Fellowship are expected to be:

1. Emerging digital companies through the uptake of results and guidelines put forward by the proposed research

2. Users and customers of sharing economy platforms, through the commercialisation of the Fellowship's core results on reputation aggregation

3. Policy-makers through the dissemination of the Fellowship's ideas that are of relevance to the upcoming regulatory process of the sharing economy

Publications

10 25 50
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Bardoscia M (2017) Statistical mechanics of complex economies in Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment

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Caccioli F (2016) Banking Beyond Banks and Money

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Kojaku S (2021) Detecting anomalous citation groups in journal networks. in Scientific reports

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Li W (2019) Reciprocity and impact in academic careers in EPJ Data Science

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Livan G (2019) Don't follow the leader: how ranking performance reduces meritocracy. in Royal Society open science

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Marcaccioli R (2019) A Pólya urn approach to information filtering in complex networks. in Nature communications

 
Description Peer-to-peer "Sharing Economy" platforms are often thought of as paradigms of online meritocracy. Indeed, popular platforms such as Airbnb or Uber implement reputation systems that allow users to rate each other after having completed a transaction through the platform (for instance, Airbnb hosts and guests rate each other at the end of a stay). The rationale underpinning such systems is to foster trust between participants: over time, the best platform participants are rewarded through the accumulation of positive ratings, therefore gradually increasing the reliability of potential counterparts in the platform.
A number of results obtained from the work funded through this award should encourage us to rethink the above paradigm critically. Through a combination of experimental, empirical, and theoretical work, this award has shown that the functioning of reputation in online platforms is often rather suboptimal. In fact, results from this award have provided empirical evidence of both direct and indirect manipulation of reputation scores in a number of platforms, as well as evidence that sometimes platform users may be rewarded or penalised based on their gender or ethnicity.
Furthermore, the above results generalise to "offline" contexts where reputation also plays a crucial role. This is the case, for instance, in academia. Findings from this award have demonstrated, in fact, that the most widely used proxies of academic reputation (e.g., citation-based bibliometric indicators) may also be inflated due to indirect manipulation.
Exploitation Route The outputs of this award could be taken up by peer-to-peer and Sharing Economy platforms in order to (partially) redesign their reputation systems. In particular, outputs from this award have provided a number of platform design recommendations in order to reduce, e.g., direct / indirect discrimination and manipulation practices resulting in a disconnect between a platform user's actual performance and their reputation score on the platform.
Sectors Communities and Social Services/Policy,Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software)

 
Description The results obtained by my team on user behaviour the Sharing Economy (https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0209071) have contributed to inform the design of an OECD survey about consumer habits and preferences (https://doi.org/10.1787/1a893b58-en)
First Year Of Impact 2017
Sector Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software),Other
Impact Types Economic

 
Description Participation in advisory committee for the OECD survey on Trust in Peer-platform markets (OECD Digital Economy Papers - November 2017, No. 263)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
URL http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/science-and-technology/trust-in-peer-platform-markets_1a893b58-en
 
Description Leveraging insights from sports analytics to quantify academic impact
Amount £135,561 (GBP)
Funding ID RPG-2021-282 
Organisation The Leverhulme Trust 
Sector Charity/Non Profit
Country United Kingdom
Start 11/2021 
End 10/2023
 
Description Collaboration with the OECD Directorate for Science, Technology and Innovation 
Organisation Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development OECD
Country France 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution I am part of the Committe on Consumer Policy's (CCP) advisory group that assists in an OECD research project on consumer trust in peer platform markets. The primary task of the group is to contribute to the development of a questionnaire that will form the basis of an online survey in 10 countries. The results of the survey will contribute to inform the OECD's policy recommendations towards peer platform markets and will be presented at a conference later this year. As a member of the advisory group, I have contributed to developing the first draft of the questionnaire, and later contributed by commenting on the following versions. In particular, as an academic, my input has been focused on developing survey questions according to the current state-of-the-art standards in behavioural research.
Collaborator Contribution The results of the survey on peer platform markets will provide extremely valuable information to develop the next steps of my research in the modeling of peer platform markets. In particular, the results will inform the development of realistic agent based models of peer platform markets.
Impact The main output of this collaboration is the survey on peer platform markets and its results (to be published later in 2017). The collaboration is multi-disciplinary, as it involves contributions from OECD economists, policy makers, and academics from a variety of disciplines.
Start Year 2016
 
Description Invitation to deliver a series of lecture for economists at Latin American central banks 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Invitation to deliver a series of technical lectures at CEMLA (Centre for Latin American Monetary Studies, Mexico City), a policymaking body that coordinates all central banks in Latin America. Dr Livan was invited to deliver lectures about methodologies that may be of relevance to identify anomalies in large datasets of payments and loans. As a result of the event, two collaborations have been formed with economists at the Colombian and Uruguayan central banks, with the latter resulting in an academic paper submitted to a peer-reviewed journal.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
 
Description Organisation of a summer school for PhD students 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact In 2019 I co-organised the pre-conference school of WEHIA (Workshop on the Economics of Heterogeneous Interacting Agents). This is a conference held annually which attracts around 200 academics, policymakers and practitioners.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://sites.google.com/view/2019wehiaschool/home
 
Description Organisation of satellite workshop at the 2018 Conference on Complex Systems 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact I co-organized a satellite Workshop at the 2018 Conference on Complex Systems (held in Thessaloniki, Greece), which is held annually and is devoted to all applications of Complex Systems Science. The conference has a strong focus on interdisciplinary applications. It mostly attracts academics, but also attracts substantial participation from non-academic stakeholders in its satellite meetings. The meeting I co-organized was devoted to the applications of statistical validation methods to the study of several complex systems, such as online platforms, blockchain technologies, and innovation ecosystems. The event lasted one days, and was attended by around 60 participants. The meeting substantially contributed to increase awareness about the potential for application of the ideas and methods of Complex Systems Science outside the natural sciences, and contributed to lay the foundations for the formation of a new scientific community (the meeting will take place again at the 2019 Conference on Complex Systems).
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://sites.google.com/view/ccs-statistical-validation/
 
Description Organisation of satellite workshop at the 2019 Conference on Complex Systems 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact I co-organized a satellite Workshop at the 2019 Conference on Complex Systems (held at NTU, Singapore), which is held annually and is devoted to all applications of Complex Systems Science. The conference has a strong focus on interdisciplinary applications. It mostly attracts academics, but also attracts substantial participation from non-academic stakeholders in its satellite meetings. The meeting I co-organized was devoted to the applications of statistical validation methods to the study of several complex systems, such as online platforms, blockchain technologies, and innovation ecosystems. The event lasted one day, and was attended by around 60 participants. The meeting substantially contributed to increase awareness about the potential for application of the ideas and methods of Complex Systems Science outside the natural sciences, and contributed to lay the foundations for the formation of a new scientific community (the meeting will take place again at the 2019 Conference on Complex Systems).
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://sites.google.com/view/ccs-statistical-validation-2/home
 
Description Sigma Phi workshop on Statistical Physics for the Digital Economy 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact I co-organized a satellite Workshop at the 2017 Sigma Phi Conference (held in Corfu, Greece), which is held every 3 years and is devoted to all applications of Statistical Physics. The conference has a strong focus on interdisciplinary applications. It mostly attracts academics, but also attracts substantial participation from non-academic stakeholders in its satellite meetings. The meeting I co-organized was devoted to applications of methods from Statistical Physics to the study of several aspects of the Digital Economy. Substantial focus was devoted to the modelling of blockchain technologies and their impact (the event was co-organized by the UCL Centre for Blockchain Technologies, of which I am a member). The event lasted two days, was attended by around 50 participants, and more than 20 talks were given. The meeting substantially contributed to increase awareness about the potential for application of the ideas and methods of Statistical Physics outside the natural sciences, and contributed to lay the foundations for the formation of a new scientific community.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://blockchain.cs.ucl.ac.uk/sigma-phi/
 
Description Workshop on online reputation and opinion formation at the London Digital Catapult 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact A few tens of people attended the workshop. The audience included UK academics and industry practitioners, mostly from the London startup scene. The workshop featured 3 talks and an informal discussion plus breakout sessions devoted to identify the main industrial issues related to the theme of online reputation. The discussions were extremely productive, and contributed both to inform academics in the audience about the main practical challenges faced in the industry, and to inform practitioners about the latest steps in the research devoted to the measurement and monitoring of online reputation in peer platform markets.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.digitalcatapultcentre.org.uk/event/online-reputation-and-opinion-formation/