Travel Grant Application: Dynamic Energy Planning: Global and National Resilience

Lead Research Organisation: University of Bath
Department Name: Mechanical Engineering

Abstract

This overseas travel grant application seeks to fund some travel for a five and a half month research trip to the University of Toronto. Energy Systems and Engineering are vital to our daily living, but the generation of power for heating, electricity and vehicles propulsion has environmental impacts. This project links research into Energy and Environmental Analysis, particularly related to bioenergy and resource management, in the UK and Canada.

The research will build on the applicant's current research in LCA, bioenergy and energy planning. Emerging energy technologies and resources provide new challenges: can they provide our energy needs, and where will the resultant impact be? As we see with fossil fuels, the impact can be delayed in time (temporal variation) and can vary widely in spatial terms (extraction emissions occur in one place, and localised pollutants occur in another). LCA has become a tool widely used by policy makers in the energy industry, but it is still a somewhat blunt instrument for the job. Generally LCA impacts are amalgamated over time and therefore treated and reported as a single impact at one point in the life cycle of the product or system; the distribution of resource use and emissions over time is lost. Some researchers have begun to look at more dynamic modelling, for example, combining instantaneous and cumulative radiative forcing of GHG over time but none have linked this dynamic modelling across a wide range of inputs and outputs. None have looked at how these impacts, looked at in the wider system of commodity production and emissions can help us plan when impacts occur in order to minimise impact.

The aim of the project is threefold:
1. To gather data to produce:
a. Energy and carbon balances and life cycle assessments of shale gas as it could be used in the UK.
b. Potential Impact of localised emissions associated with bioenergy (and in the longer term, vehicles)
c. Guidance on global policy and GHG accounting methods for resource management

2. To build novel research approaches in energy and resource planning, to develop:
a. A dynamic life cycle emissions model (to be developed into a further grant application)
b. An Energy Planning Framework (again to be developed into a further grant application)

3. Exchange knowledge with, and learn from colleagues at with the aim to build lasting research and teaching relationships with opportunities for further exchange at the PhD and post graduate level:
a. The Institute for Sustainable Energy, University of Toronto, and especially the main contact, Prof Heather McLean
b. The Athena Sustainable Materials Institute
c. The Canadian Energy Research Institute

Planned Impact

This work will lead to the development of a multi objective framework to incorporate spatial and temporal impacts of resource use and emission impact. This will be of use to industry (eg Power Companies (both large and small), policy makers (Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy, DEFRA), OFGEM, and academics in energy and/or resource management and in environmental impact reduction.

The funding applied for will fund a trip to Canada in order to gain knowledge, expertise and data and to build the beginnings of this work which will be further developed in grant applications and paper publications (three journal publications are to be written as a direct consequence of this travel grant).

The travel grant will enable the applicant to share the results of the current UK research in LCA, bioenergy and energy management with experts in Canada through networking and talks and seminars (at the Institute in Toronto and in the two research institutes; Athena Sustainable Materials Institute and the Canadian Energy Research Institute).

The applicant will set up PhD and post-doctoral research exchanges in the future and the work developed will be directly integrated into undergraduate teaching. The applicant teaches a final year MEng Mechanical Engineering unit in Energy and the Environment. As our energy portfolio changes it is likely that more shale gas will enter our market; to be able to present cutting edge knowledge in this as well as in dynamic energy and emission reduction modelling will be of great use and interest to the students. In addition the applicant teaches many PhD and masters level students who will all benefit from additional projects and knowledge in this area.

The applicant has links with DEFRA the DfT and the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (links with DECC, as was) which will help enable the research to be viewed at a national policy level. On return the applicant will give talks at the University (through the Institute of Sustainable Energy and the Environment and the Water Innovation Research Centre) to which she will invite members of these government organisation. As well as journal papers the work will also be written up in a more generally accessible format, for example in The Conversation.
 
Description As this was a travel award much of the output related to building relationships. As a result of this further research applications are pending to build on ideas and concepts discussed. Key findings include:
- there is no global database of impacts associated with the production of novel gas formation. With increased uncertainty of global markets, such a database would be useful to help determine the GHG (and wider) impacts of energy mixes
- LCA methodology is being stretched to be used by policy makers and industrialists through both use at a consequential and an anticipatory level. Workshops have been, and are to be held, at ISSST 2018 and 2019 to develop this further.
- when exploring life cycle impacts the temporal nature of impacts are often ignored. This can have implications for decision makers when trying to optimise emissions over short and longer term.
Exploitation Route The applicant has successfully applied for a small amount of further funding to develop a temporal life cycle model through working on an internal secondment with the University of Bath Institute of Mathematical Innovation. this work is still ongoing, but we are looking at how our results can be built into a stand along Life Cycle Impact Assessment Model.

In addition, there is ongoing work in the area of the LCA of emerging technologies. When complete, these can be used by policy makers and industrialists as well as other academics.

Results to date have been shared via conference papers and special sessions at the ISSST (2018 and soon 2019)

McManus, M.C. (2018) Energy and Infrastructure Systems Impact: Walking the Temporal Tightrope. International Symposium on Sustainable Systems and Technology. Buffalo, NY, 26-28 June 2018.

Bergerson, J., McManus, M.C., Seager T., Williams, E., Morrow, W., MacLean, H., Dale, M., Skone. T., Wang. M., Posen. D., Cresco. J., Miller. S., Matthews. S., Brandt, A., McCoy, S., Marriot, J., Heath, G. (2018) Life Cycle Assessment of Emerging Technologies: The case for a sub discipline network. International Symposium on Sustainable Systems and Technology. Buffalo, NY, 26-28 June 2018.
Sectors Education,Energy,Environment

 
Description Travel Grant Application: Dynamic Energy Planning: Global and National Resilience
Amount £12,008 (GBP)
Funding ID EP/P020836/1 
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 03/2017 
End 02/2018
 
Description Athena 
Organisation Athena Sustainable Materials Institute
Country Canada 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution Work with ASMI began online and worked throughout the grant period and culminated with a visit to their head office in July 2017. A temporal method to determine GHG impact was developed and tested on their data on building impact. This paper has been submitted to the journal Energy and Buildings.
Collaborator Contribution Detailed LCA models for buildings were supplied by the Athena Sustainable Materials Institute. In addition, time, space and resources were provided both during and before my visit. Since returning we have continued our collaboration to explore options to determine material related impact in buildings.
Impact Outputs are still in preparation
Start Year 2017
 
Description Banff Anticipatory Technology Workshop 
Organisation University of Calgary
Country Canada 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution As a result of the initial visit to the University of Calgary I was invited to participate in a small, invitee only workshop in Banff in July 2017. This brought together global leaders in LCA methodology development to explore how to deal with issues of determining impacts associated with emerging technologies (anticipatory LCA). The output from this workshop is a journal paper due for completion in spring 2018.
Collaborator Contribution Colleagues provided time, and accommodation.
Impact Outputs are still in preparation
Start Year 2017
 
Description Collaboration with Canadian Energy Research Insitute 
Organisation Canadian Energy Research Institue
Country Canada 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Canadian Energy Research Institute (CERI) (March 2017) Data and knowledge exchange surrounding shale gas extraction and impact. Much information was obtained about Canada's energy mix and future. Here new contacts were made within CERI, but also with colleagues they had at the University of Calgary. Models of impacts of gas extraction were developed. Plans amended slightly from the original application to include the prospect of importing Canadian gas - this is something they are keen to do post Brexit, and the work will enable a GHG and wider impact assessment of how we best meet our energy needs. University of Calgary (March 2017) At CERI two contacts were made that will formulate longer term relationships and collaborations. I applied for a distinguished visiting fellowship (RAE) for one of these contacts. Colleagues here will be instrumental in developing the gas project above.
Collaborator Contribution CERI devoted time to my visit and access to their data and methods. They have shared raw and processed data which has been instrumental in being able to begin to build models for the impact of gas extraction, and to compare the impact of UK extraction with imported N American gas.
Impact The work from this is still ongoing.
Start Year 2017
 
Description University of Toronto 
Organisation University of Toronto
Country Canada 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution I spent April 2017 in Toronto. We worked on exploring the life cycle impacts of bioenergy and policy implications. We explored temporal and spatial impacts and on LCA methods and emerging technologies. Data and knowledge exchange surrounding bioenergy input data and emissions profiles was undertaken. Work on a multinational bioenergy policy paper was begun - data collection started. Data for (r) NG for rural networks also gained and shared - to be built into a joint paper. In addition lots of new contacts made and numerous ideas for potential future work. Long lasting partnerships were formed during this period which I expect to continue over many years. Chicago (June 2017) Organised and ran a special session in uncertainty at the joint ISST and ISIE conference. Through this I was able to bring together colleagues from Calgary and Toronto as well as new colleagues from Hewlett Packard, Earthshift Global, and the University of Arizona.
Collaborator Contribution Time, space and data exchange was given by partners.
Impact This work is still ongoing
Start Year 2017