Data Analytics for Health-Care Profiling using Smart Meters

Lead Research Organisation: Liverpool John Moores University
Department Name: Computing and Mathematical Sciences

Abstract

Through the completion of this research, we will demonstrate that a small simple change, using existing infrastructure technologies, can have a large impact with significant benefits for society and academia. As such, the premise of this research is to investigate whether data analysis of smart meter electricity readings can be used to support social care that meets a person's individual needs, maximises independence and promotes a sense of security for those living alone.

By the end of 2020 it is expected that 55% of global electricity meters will be smart meters. Within the UK, Energy suppliers and the government are funding the cost of the smart meter roll out and ongoing maintenance. We envision that by investigating advanced machine learning and load disaggregation techniques of this highly accurate sensing network, detailed habits of an individual's interactions with electrical devices can be mathematically modelled.

This research is needed to support and enable a larger number of people to remain independent whilst living with long-term health conditions, such as Alzheimer's. For example, in the UK, around one in five adults are registered disabled and more than one million of those currently live alone. These conditions place significant demands on healthcare services globally.

Existing monitoring services (such as motion sensors, cameras, fall detectors and communication hubs, wearable body networks) are intrusive, expensive and are met with patient resistance. Additionally, current technical solutions are tailored to a specific application and do not meet the ongoing changing requirements of a patient; whereas our approach would require minimal installation, and builds on the smart meter infrastructure, without the need for user interaction.

Analytics are tailored to an individual's health condition for monitoring, early intervention, detection and prediction of self-limiting conditions. If abnormal behaviour is detected, an alert could then be sent to a carer or family member. Specifically, the research will allow us to devise a system that can detect when an Alzheimer's patient has left an oven on or remained awake at night.

The technology creates a personalised profile of the user's behaviour at home. Our system is a disruptive technological solution within tele-health/tele-medicine. Uniquely, there is no requirement for the deployment of sensors around the home. We are employing an existing highly advanced sensor system, which is readily deployed, to provide peace of mind and remote patient care, compared to current technologies available on the market today.

This research complements other recently funded EPSRC projects conducted on smart meter analytics. However, this research is unique in that it is the first project to propose using the smart grid for health analytics, as other projects are concerned primarily with load balancing and energy reduction practices.

The successful completion of the proposed project will involve research in the areas of computer science, specifically big data analytics, and healthcare. Our collaborators from Mersey Care NHS Trust are supporting the research by providing medical advice on Alzheimer's disease profiling and providing patient trials.

Planned Impact

Who will benefit: This is a disruptive research proposal, offering significant benefits to patients, carers and the NHS through the remote monitoring of medical conditions and social care management. Our initial work in this area has generated external interest from the public and the commercial sector. For example, the Westminster Sustainable Business Forum invited us to present our work on the use of smart meters in healthcare provisioning in July 2016. We also received £35,000 funding from the Innovation to Commercialisation of University Research programme (by Innovate UK) to undertake a market validation. This confirmed our initial ideas relating to the beneficiaries and the impact the technology could achieve. As such, we envision that this research project will directly impact local NHS trusts, housing associations, councils, local authorities and policy makers. Most importantly, it will directly benefit the end-user, their family, friends and carers, providing peace of mind in their own home.
How they will benefit: We envision that healthcare and social care providers will rely heavily on our patient monitoring system to ensure patient safety and welfare in the future, particularly for individuals living alone with Alzheimer's disease. This research may also directly benefit various policymakers, who are setting guidelines for the prioritisation of the smart meter rollout. In particular, we will highlight the importance of a rapid smart meter deployment for vulnerable people in our society. These groups must be given priority and seamless access to smart meters to ensure that state-of-the-art assistive healthcare monitoring services are implemented quickly. Therefore, appropriate policies and guidelines must be established between energy regulators, energy providers, charities and health and social care providers. This is important to ensure a seamless framework is developed between the various parties.
Planned Actions: In addition to the conference attendance and dissemination plans, as outlined in the case for support and pathways to impact, to distribute our results we plan a number of complementary actions. The aim of these actions is to disseminate the work and show proof of concept. Specifically we will exploit existing links (for example with Mersey Care NHS Foundation Trust and Liverpool Council) to attend and host seminar days/sessions to engage with wider industry targets and government organisations.
Track record: The PI is a member of the LJMU PROTECT research centre and the Applied Computing research group, which are comprised of multidisciplinary teams that develop novel approaches and applications in the areas of data analytic and data science, knowledge mining and machine learning. Both groups focus on the application of computing to real-world problems through research and industrial projects. The groups have an excellent track record in developing software and hardware solutions for a variety of domains, from commercial and industrial solutions to experimental evaluations. Generally, their projects have the aim of facilitating personalisation and interpretation of data for specific user needs and to minimise the cognitive burden of information overload. The group attracts on-going research funding from various sources in the UK and the European Union, including from industry, research councils and charitable foundations. For example, their most recent projects have included a one-million pound Innovate UK project on the use of machine learning to investigate to predict the onset of nocturnal enuresis; a (£) 52k project (funded by Al-Khawarizmi International College) on Medical Data Image Compression for Mobile Devices and a Knowledge Transfer Partnership grant on Data Analytics in the Tourist Industry to the value of (£) 60k.
 
Description Early stages of this work focused on working with a large data set of smart meter readings for cluster profiling (grouping similar energy consumer patterns together), for the purposes of developing a remote patient monitoring system. For this, we investigated intelligent anomaly detection techniques, using density-based clustering algorithms. This work is currently under submission with a journal for publication to a wider audience.

The work then moved on to the use of machine learning techniques for developing a remote monitoring system for supporting vulnerable households (for example, households that are at risk of energy poverty). For this work, we devised a novel research methodology, adopting an ensemble detection approach, for the identification of households at risk. This involved the use of a data set, comprised of 7000 households' worth of energy readings accompanied by survey data. This experimentation was the first of its kind in the world to make use of gas smart meter data for wellbeing monitoring and the results are publicly available in our journal publications.
Exploitation Route Our findings might be used actively by health care providers to offer a new (and scalable) remote health monitoring system. Additionally, the system has the potential to increase the up-take of smart metering devices in the UK. As such, organisations such as Smart Energy GB might have a considerable interest in the research. Other applications of the research - such as the ensemble detection model for wellbeing monitoring and the methodology for unemployment detection - have been made publicly available through open access publications in the high-ranking IEEE Access journal. Others will be able to reference and make sure of the papers contents to repeat and advance the experiments to further and build upon the research.
Sectors Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software),Education,Energy,Healthcare,Other

 
Description Emerging societal impact: In December 2018, the research appeared in the Express and Mirror Newspapers. The work is, of course, yet to move beyond small-scale patient trials, but it is receiving positive recognition nationally from the press, NHS and Smart Energy GB. Summary of findings: The findings from our work, have been used in a patient trial and have appeared in national publications. The potential for impact for supporting vulnerable individuals leaving alone with poor health conditions is evident in the recognition the work is getting. Challenges: There is a significant issue of privacy surrounding the system. As such, promoting the work has been a challenge - Although the system is intended for benefit, some are concerned that it would be used for negative purposes - such as, identifying when a home is occupied/empty. However, using the system is optional.
Sector Energy,Healthcare
Impact Types Societal,Policy & public services

 
Description Influence on public documentation by Gov.UK on smart meter benefits
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Implementation circular/rapid advice/letter to e.g. Ministry of Health
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/smart-meters-unlocking-the-future/smart-meters-unlocking-...
 
Description LJMU Star Panel Funding
Amount £9,000 (GBP)
Organisation Liverpool John Moores University 
Sector Academic/University
Country United Kingdom
Start 07/2018 
End 07/2018
 
Title Novel ensemble detection model for wellbeing monitoring 
Description The ensemble model is proposed to achieve autonomous detection, supported by four key measures from gas usage patterns, consisting of i) a tariff detection, ii) a temporally-aware tariff detection, iii) a routine consumption detection and iv) an age-group detection. Using a cloud-based machine learning platform, the proposed approach yielded promising classification results of up to 84.1% Area Under Curve (AUC), when the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) was utilised. 
Type Of Material Improvements to research infrastructure 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact The noteable impact is the publication of an IEEE Access paper which is a high-ranking journal article in order to share the model with the wider academic community. 
URL https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8952612
 
Title Novel Ensemble Detection Model Using Gas Smart Meter Data to Improve Wellbeing Monitoring 
Description The ensemble model is proposed to achieve autonomous detection, supported by four key measures from gas usage patterns, consisting of i) a tariff detection, ii) a temporally-aware tariff detection, iii) a routine consumption detection and iv) an age-group detection. Using a cloud-based machine learning platform, the proposed approach yielded promising classification results of up to 84.1% Area Under Curve (AUC), when the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) was utilised. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact The noteable impact is in the publication of the algorithm in the high-ranking IEEE Access journal, which is open-source so the research can be shared with the wider academic community. 
URL https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8952612
 
Title Novel Unemployment Detection methodology using the Smart Metering Infrastructure 
Description The methodology presents a machine learning model comparison for unemployment prediction of single household occupants, based on features extracted from smart meter electricity readings. A number of nonlinear classifiers are compared, and benchmarked against a generalized linear model, and the results presented. To ensure the robustness of the classifiers, we use repeated cross validation. The results revealed that it is possible to predict employability status with Area Under Curve (AUC) = 74%, Sensitivity (SE) = 54% and Specificity (SP) = 83%, using a multilayer perceptron neural network with dropout, closely followed by the results produced by a distance weighted discrimination with polynomial kernel model. This shows the potential of using the smart metering infrastructure to provide additional autonomous services, such as unemployment detection, for governments using data collected from an advanced and distributed Internet of Things (IoT) sensor network. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact The research and methodology is made public ally available for sharing with the wider academic community through the publication of the work in the high-ranking IEEE Access journal. 
URL https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8970304
 
Description The Irish Social Science Data Archive (ISSDA) - provided data for the research. 
Organisation University College Dublin
Country Ireland 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution ISSDA provided data which was used for the premise of the multiple publications accepted and currently under review as a result of the data analytics conducted by the research team.
Collaborator Contribution ISSDA provided data for the research project - it consisted of Electricty and Gas smart meter data for several thousand homes in Ireland. the data is accompanied by a survey which can be compbined with the energy/gas reading information. Commission for Energy Regulation (CER). (2012). CER Smart Metering Project - Electricity Customer Behaviour Trial, 2009-2010 [dataset]. 1st Edition. Irish Social Science Data Archive. SN: 0012-00. www.ucd.ie/issda/CER-electricity Commission for Energy Regulation (CER). (2012). CER Smart Metering Project - Gas Customer Behaviour Trial, 2009-2010. [dataset]. 1st Edition. Irish Social Science Data Archive. SN: 0013-00. www.ucd.ie/issda/CER-gas
Impact 3 accepted conference papers 3 journals under submission
Start Year 2018
 
Title ANALYSING ENERGY/UTILITY USAGE 
Description A system and method of analysing energy/utility usage receives (316) data describing energy/utility usage derived from an energy/utility monitor, and analyses (2 -11) the data describing energy/utility usage to generate data representing an energy/utility usage behavioural classification model. The model includes at least one classification and is useable for determining whether data describing further energy/utility usage fits into a said classification. 
IP Reference WO2018025019 
Protection Patent granted
Year Protection Granted 2018
Licensed No
Impact No licensing as of yet - but discussions are in progress.
 
Description Faculty Presentation - Experience Sharing Workshop 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Dr Hurst presented at a LJMU-based faculty workshop to present the work and also the EPRSC first grant (first innovator) application process. The workshop was open to the Faculty of Engineering and Technology and admin staff.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description Gov.UK discussion of the research 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Government article referencing the work - 'In 2017 Mersey Care NHS Foundation Trust and Liverpool John Moores launched a project exploring how real time consumption data combined with machine-learning algorithms can support those living with dementia, Parkinson's disease and depression. This has enabled patients to live more safely at home and maintain their independence for as long as possible.'
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/smart-meters-unlocking-the-future/smart-meters-unlocking-...
 
Description IBM Internet of Things Blog 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact Met with Chameloen UK as a project team to discuss the research - this led to the work being outlined in the IBM IoT blog: https://www.ibm.com/blogs/internet-of-things/iot-ai-and-iot-help-an-aging-population/
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://www.ibm.com/blogs/internet-of-things/iot-ai-and-iot-help-an-aging-population/
 
Description Presentation at nternational Conference on Intelligent Computing, Special Session on Machine Learning and Deep Learning approaches in applied computing to support Industry for real-world problems 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact The research was presented at the International Conference on Intelligent Computing, Special Session on Machine Learning and Deep Learning approaches in applied computing to support Industry for real-world problems in Nanchang,China in August 2019. The presentation was concluded discussions and questions relating to the work.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
 
Description Special Conference Session 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Special session at The Fourth International Conference on Applications and Systems of Visual Paradigms (VISUAL 2019) titled: Applications of Data Visualisation. The session is planned for June 30, 2019 to July 04, 2019 - Rome, Italy. Dr Hurst will be delivering the opening speech for the session presenting the work funded through this EPSRC grant.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL http://www.iaria.org/conferences2019/filesVISUAL19/ADV.pdf
 
Description Special Session on Applications of Data Visualisation, with IARIA VISUAL 2019 | The Fourth International Conference on Applications and Systems of Visual Paradigms, 2019 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Applications of Data Visualisation
Along with
IARIA VISUAL 2019 | The Fourth International Conference on Applications and Systems of Visual Paradigms
June 30 to July 04 2019 - Rome, Italy
By using intelligent digital resource allocation, companies are able to reduce production times and up-scale their services. However, within this environment, IoT (Internet of Things)-ready sensors and smart home devices are significantly increasing the amount of data being generated. As such, understanding data in real-time is an incremental challenge; as it is forecast that by 2020, the amount of data in existence will surpass 44ZB. Yet, visualising complex data facilitates a more comprehensive stage for conveying knowledge. Visualising and understanding these complex datasets is a significant challenge for the future, necessary to answer complex questions in a clear and understandable manner. Therefore, this special session invites authors to submit high-quality research papers on:

• Data Visualisation
• Real-time Data Analytics
• Data Mining
• Intelligent data analytics
• Digital Resource Visualisation
• IOT System Visualisation
• Emerging Big Data Analytics Challenges
• Data Visualisation in Healthcare
• Data Visualisation in Industry
• Applications of Augmented Reality
• Applications of Virtual Reality
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
 
Description Which? Online article. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact The article makes reference to the project work but does not directly mention the project - 'Studies are being done into how smart meters could alert you if elderly relatives are showing signs of dementia (by revealing unusual patterns in eating and sleeping shown by electricity use), or dangerously under-heating their homes in winter. Read more: https://www.which.co.uk/reviews/smart-meters/article/smart-meters-explained/smart-meter-roll-out - Which?'
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://www.which.co.uk/reviews/smart-meters/article/smart-meters-explained/smart-meter-roll-out