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SUS-POL: Supply-Side Policies for Fossil Fuels

Lead Research Organisation: University of Sussex
Department Name: Sch of Global Studies

Abstract

To achieve the goals of the Paris agreement on climate change, a radically new approach to climate governance is needed. The
regulation of end-use emissions is no longer an adequate approach since a large proportion of remaining fossil fuels need to remain
in the ground through supply-side policies (SUS-POL). This research considers how policies have been adopted to date by 'first mover'
countries to limit the supply of fossil fuels and what pathways and mechanisms might support their wider adoption. Resistance to
such policies is widespread and establishing the conditions for their wider uptake is an ambitious endeavor, but a vital one if we are
to address the climate crisis.

This research will provide the first attempt to identify the political-economic and socio-cultural conditions and processes that give rise
to innovative policies focused on reducing fossil fuel supply. The aim is to understand what motivates early adopters of policies to
curtail fossil fuel extraction; to explore how these new policies might spread to other countries, including via international
governance regimes, and to understand the nature of resistance to them. This project thus has two objectives: (1) to develop a global
political economy account based on an integrative and inter-disciplinary understanding of the dynamics driving new national policies
by identifying key interacting political-economic and socio-cultural factors and the regional and international geopolitical contexts
which shape policies aimed at limiting fossil fuel extraction (2) To explore political pathways for expanding these early successful
efforts to other fossil fuel producing nations, including via international regimes. To achieve this, it will develop a quantitative analysis
of supply-side policies supported by the production of a novel dataset and combine this with both primary qualitative research in a
number of first mover countries and forward-looking scoping of future pathways.

Publications

10 25 50

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Newell P (2024) Understanding supply-side climate policies: towards an interdisciplinary framework in International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics

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Newell P. (2024) Supply-side climate policy: A new frontier in climate governance in Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change

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Tilsted J (2025) Synthetic transitions: the political economy of fossil fuel as feedstock in Review of International Political Economy

 
Description 2023: Review of Irish government climate strategy
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact Improved evidence case for the climate strategy. My role was to suggest relevant research and identify gaps in the strategy.
 
Description 2023: UNCTAD background paper on aligning the global financial system with climate compatible development
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
 
Description Climate Strategies briefing on Prosperity Post Fossil Fuels
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact The "Policy Dialogue for Just Energy Transitions: Identifying Pathways to Prosperity Post Fossil Fuels", co-hosted by Climate Strategies and Salzburg Global Seminar from September 8 to 12, 2024, brought together policymakers, decisionmakers, and leading researchers from ten oil and gas producing countries as well as representatives from international organisations. They shared and discussed evidence-based approaches to the transition from fossil fuel dependent economies to inclusive, equitable, and sustainable systems. As part of our efforts to ground the dialogue in evidence-based research, we commissioned five in-country briefs exploring just energy transitions in oil and gas producing nations. This briefing, authored by Peter Newell, provided insights into just energy transitions internationally ahead of the gathering.
URL https://climatestrategies.org/publication/prosperity-post-fossil-fuels-briefing-international/
 
Description Giving evidence to European Economic and Social Committee expert hearing -How can Europe eliminate fossil fuel subsidies addressing the socio-economic implications? 20th meeting of the ad hoc group on the UNFCCC 15 May 2024
Geographic Reach Europe 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
 
Description Interview and input into Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology briefing on Just Transitions from fossil fuels
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
URL https://post.parliament.uk/research-briefings/post-pn-0706/
 
Description Prosperity Past Fossil Fuels Policy Dialogue - Salzburg Global seminar
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Conversations are ongoing, but there will be further dialogues, ideas surfaced about new collaborations, media inputs and follow up calls are planned with key governments and institutions. Colleagues from IRENA and the World Bank also showed they had read work emerging from our project and were positive about the impact it has had on their thinking.
URL https://climatestrategies.org/projects/ppff/
 
Description Publication of a journal article in well regarded and influential journal amongst current Labour Government
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Implementation circular/rapid advice/letter to e.g. Ministry of Health
URL https://journals.lwbooks.co.uk/renewal/vol-32-issue-4/
 
Description An op-ed in The Ecologist, co-authored by Peter Newell and Freddie Daley, analysing the outcome of COP28 and what it means for supply-side climate policies 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact The article, titled 'Where next for fossil fuel fight?', was published and achieved in the region of 1,500 views and multiple engagements on Twitter.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://theecologist.org/2024/jan/16/where-next-fossil-fuel-fight
 
Description COP28 Side Event on 'Information Architecture for a Just Transition Away from Fossil Fuels' - presented the tracker and helped organise the event 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact During this side event at COP28 in Dubai, the SUS-POL project brought together a range of organisations from around the world to share reflections of the data tools that they have created in order to bridge gaps in the space and hear from the users of these data tools-advocacy groups, social movements, policymakers, and academics-as to how these tools could be better equiped to shape and inform their respective strategies. The side event was very well attended, with participants overflowing out of the space and people joining virtually from around the world.

Off the back of the event, SUS-POL will act as a convenor for this group of data providers and tools, bringing them together periodically to discuss collaboration, pooling resources and helping to move the space forward in view of accelerating supply-side policies.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://0ckmnb0o3z.preview-postedstuff.com/V2-BAQl-sEWG-D6aG-ZEVzq/
 
Description Interview with department of energy security and net zero officials about the geopolitics of energy transitions 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact I was invited to speak to and be interviewed by the UK Department of Energy Security and Net Zero team about the UK's role in global energy transitions, including around fossil fuels. It was a one hour meeting to feed into their strategic workplan and strengthen the evidence base of their work.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description Keynote talk for Scientists for Global Responsibility annual conference 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact 75 people attended the keynote talk on global approaches to fossil fuel supply-side policy for the annual conference of the organisation Scientists for Global Responsibility.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://www.sgr.org.uk/events/defusing-carbon-bombs-how-do-we-stop-remaining-dangerous-fossil-fuels-...
 
Description Panel discussion and film on divestment from fossil fuels 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Peter Newell participated in a panel debate about fossil fuel divestment following a screening of a film about the divestment movement at the Lewes depot cinema. 27th January 2025.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2025
URL https://lewesdepot.org/film/divest
 
Description Panel participation in Futures from the frontiers of climate science 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact I emphasised the importance of supply-side policies based on our research to attempts to deepen and accelerate decarbonisation of the economy. It was attended by 1,500 practitioners, government representatives, academics, business and civil society representatives.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://www.universiteitleiden.nl/en/events/2023/11/https---forum.frontiersin.org-2023-paul-behrens
 
Description Peter Newell spoke an UNRISD organised webinar on 'Putting the 'J' in Just Transitions' Sept 27th 2023. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Third sector organisations
Results and Impact Peter Newell spoke an UNRISD organised webinar on 'Putting the 'J' in Just Transitions' Sept 27th 2023, particularly emphasising the justice issues around fossil fuel phase out policies.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Peter Newell spoke at an event the Geneva Academy is organizing on the subject of "Pathways to Equitable Fossil Fuel Supply Side Management" on November 8th 2023. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Peter Newell spoke at an event the Geneva Academy is organizing on the subject of "Pathways to Equitable Fossil Fuel Supply Side Management" on November 8th 2023.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://www.genevaenvironmentnetwork.org/events/pathways-to-equitable-fossil-fuel-supply-management/
 
Description Peter Newell spoke on October 19th 2023 at an Environmental Politics working group webinar on 'Implementing Just Transitions: Who pays what, to whom and how?' 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact Peter Newell spoke on October 19th 2023 at an Environmental Politics working group webinar on 'Implementing Just Transitions: Who pays what, to whom and how?' focused on the justice issues of fossil fuel phase outs and supply-side policies.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Policy briefing published ahead of COP29 drawing together some of the key themes in supply-side climate policy 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Freddie Daley authored a policy briefing ahead of COP29 conference in Baku exploring some of the key themes in supply-side climate policy and some of the risks facing these developments in the years ahead.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://www.sussex.ac.uk/webteam/gateway/file.php?name=final-cop29-sus-polbriefing-2024.pdf&site=676
 
Description Presentation of research briefing to network of international NGOs and research institute 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Third sector organisations
Results and Impact Freddie presented some of the SUS-POL research and introduced the programme to the Global Gas and Oil Network's Research Group. There were 20 participants from international NGOs ranging from OCI, Stand Earth, GEM, IISD, LINGO, Greenpeace USA, Natural Justice, Earthworks and GGON.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description Presentation to the International Energy Agency 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The presentation covered a range of themes concerning global energy transitions but introduced the audience of over 65 colleagues working at IEA to the SUS PL tracker and drew on examples from the project fieldwork. The presentation led to a lively and engaged discussion and several representatives of IEA- the major UN body working on energy- have since been in touch which I hope will lead to further impact for the work.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description Publishing a Policy Briefing on supply-side outcomes from COP28, titled 'Taking stock of supply: Where next for fossil fuels after COP28? ' 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact After the outcome of COP28, the SUS-POL project published a policy briefing analysing the key outcomes of the conference and how they related to supply-side climate policies. The briefing is hosted on the SUS-POL site and was circulated on social media. The pdf was downloaded 729 times from the Sussex University website and shared across Twitter and LinkedIn.

Some feedback from readers of the Policy Briefing: "What a fantastic analysis."; "An excellent primer for those of us considering the supply side as we go into 2024"; ". An interesting analysis, the best so far, thanks."
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://www.sussex.ac.uk/webteam/gateway/file.php?name=suspol-cop28-policy-briefing-final-accessible...
 
Description Webinar on Supply-side climate policy: Emerging lessons and next steps 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Third sector organisations
Results and Impact We organised a webinar to promote the special issue of the journal International Environmental Agreements which I edited with Angela Carter. I gave an overview before some of the contributors presented their work and then we had over an hour of questions, debate and exchange. It was attended by over 60 people from NGOs, media and academia. Feedback has been very positive about the value of the event.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description Webinar on fossil fuel reduction policies across Latin America 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Daniela Soto Hernandez and Peter Newell hosted a webinar on fossil fuel reduction policies across Latin America attended by over 70 people and with a panel of former and current government ministers from Chile, Colombia and Costa Rica as part of their SUS POL project. The panellists discussed a policy briefing written by Daniela and Peter based on a workshop they hosted in Costa Rica in November 2024.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2025