Security in Scotland, with or without constitutional change

Lead Research Organisation: University of Edinburgh
Department Name: Sch of Social and Political Science

Abstract

These six one-day seminars will bring together policymakers, politicians, practitioners and academics to explore the implications of constitutional change for security governance in Scotland and the rest of the UK (RUK). Our point of departure is that while important work is underway on the implications of Scottish independence for the 'reserved matters' of foreign affairs and defence (Chalmers, Foreign Affairs Committee), security is an increasingly expansive multi-level governance issue. This is evidenced by the 2010 National Security Strategy (NSS) of the UK which lists the following non-traditional 'priority risks' (at different levels or 'tiers'): terrorism, cyber attacks, major accidents and natural hazards, pandemics, organised crime, disruption to communications, illegal immigration, and energy and trade disruption. This means that many government departments and agencies are now involved in security governance (the CONTEST strategy lists 29), including those in the devolved administration of Scotland. For example, civil contingency planning is now a function of devolved and local government across the UK. The EU also plays a complex and expanding role in internal and external security governance (Bigo, et al.). Corresponding to this proliferation of insecurities, security oversight arrangements in Westminster now extend to at least six different parliamentary committees, occasionally more. This raises questions about the adequacy of security oversight arrangements in Scotland, with or without constitutional change.

This seminar series will explore the implications of Scottish independence and constitutional change for security governance in Scotland and the UK. It will bring together speakers for research and knowledge exchange from the intelligence and security community, UK Government departments with security competences, parliamentary committees providing security oversight, EU institutions, Scottish Civil and Parliamentary Services, Scottish Government, political parties, local government and other bodies such as the forthcoming single integrated Police Service of Scotland. A team of academic security and constitutional experts will facilitate the seminars and provide independent intellectual input and synthesis, supplemented by invited speakers from the UK and comparative European countries.

The seminars will span the referendum date, producing independent research evidence to inform policymaking and public debate in advance of the vote and in response to the outcome. Is the threat environment the same for Scotland as the RUK? What security governance arrangements would an independent Scotland seek to make? Would it create its own security agencies to mirror those of the RUK? What would be the resource and capacity implications? How independent could Scottish security agencies really be, given the multi-level nature of security governance? Alternatively, what is the feasibility of sharing security competences between Scotland and the RUK? What would be the implications for democratic oversight, privacy, and human rights? What oversight capacity would the Scottish parliament want and need? What can we learn from the experience of security governance in Westminster and comparable countries?

Four seminars will fall before the autumn 2014 referendum and two after, covering: 1) Assessing the governance of security in the UK and Scotland under current arrangements; 2) The threat environment of the UK and Scotland in the context of the UK National Security Strategy; 3) The foreign policy and comparative aspects of security governance for the UK, Scotland and its neighbours; 4) Current and prospective accountability and oversight arrangements in the UK and Scotland; 5) The security governance implications of the referendum outcome: independence or interdependence?; 6) Lessons from the seminar series for understanding security governance.

Planned Impact

This seminar series is conceived as a collaboration between policymakers, politicians, practitioners and academics. The non-academic participants will not simply be audiences but full contributors. The knowledge exchange and creation process will take place as much between the non-academic participants from Scotland and the rest of the UK as it will between the academic and non-academic participants. The aim is not to foster political debate between the participants, but for Scottish participants to learn about security governance in the UK and EU in order to inform any future institutional changes, and in turn for RUK participants to explore the implications of Scottish independence and constitutional change for their current policies and practices. The academic participants will provide informed, impartial analysis of the implications raised.

The range of non-academic beneficiaries will be large but targeted. The seminar series will inform the contingency planning that is underway in many parts of the Scottish and UK governments in prospect of constitutional change. Through knowledge exchange it will inform policymaking and public debate before and after the referendum, and create research capacity on security governance in the context of longer-term constitutional change and the developing interdependencies between and across multiple levels of government.

We can categorise the non-academic beneficiaries into the following three groups:

1) Policymakers, including ministers and civil servants from the Scottish and UK governments, and representatives of the governing parties.
2) Politicians (who are not always 'policymakers'), both in their capacity as protagonists in the independence debate and as providers of parliamentary oversight of the government of security (particularly in the relevant parliamentary committees)
3) Practitioners, including local government officials (involved in emergency planning under the terms of the Civil Contingencies Act 2004), senior police officers (involved in enforcement of security policy, e.g. domestic counter-terrorism), cyber-security experts (who are often contracted by government from the private sector), and, ideally, representatives of the UK security agencies (if not then experts on them).

The main pathway to impact will be the seminar activity itself: through dialogue, the creation of knowledge and mutual understanding, and the forging of contacts. The PI and CIs will summarise and disseminate the content and conclusions of each seminar through policy briefs, the University of Edinburgh Press office, our website, and a social media strategy.

The seminars will lead to:

- Improved understanding of actual and potential security governance arrangements among Scottish and RUK policymakers and politicians.
- The forging of knowledge exchange relationships between policy, politics, practitioner and academic communities in the security governance field.
- Learning from academic inputs and experts from comparator countries.
- The involvement of security governance practitioners in Academy of Government policy and practitioner training programmes.
 
Description The seminar series successfully met its objectives (with one exception detailed in the subsequent 'objectives' section). The most significant achievements are:

1. We held five events on Scottish independence and security. The first four were closed-door seminars about the security implications of Scottish independence, held under the Chatham House rule to facilitate frank discussion with policymakers. These attracted a variety of participants from academia and the policy world. The policy side included representatives from: the Scottish government civil service section responsible for risk and resilience planning, the Office for Security and Counter-Terrorism in the Home Office, Police Scotland, the House of Lords, the Scottish Parliament, the Stonesoft cybersecurity company, and former members of the British intelligence community. The academic side included participants from all the main Scottish universities, plus speakers from the universities of Amsterdam and the Faroe Islands, the Peace Research Institute Oslo, and Sciences Po (Paris).

2. Our fifth and final event was the launch of a new Centre for Security Research (CeSeR) with a two-day interdisciplinary security conference. This meets several of our objectives by creating a new Scottish forum for security research and policy dialogue, and new Scottish security research capacity and knowledge, including at the early-career level. The new Centre institutionalizes the security research network we built during the series. At the conference all the draft chapters for the final book output were presented (see below), as well as presentations from other important areas of security research such as surveillance and privacy, and developments in Eastern Europe. The creation of CeSeR is a major achievement and an important new focal point for security research in Scotland.

3. We produced reports that summarised the discussions from the four seminars we held. This enabled us to present the views of those present without revealing their identities. The reports were publicised through the ESRC Future of the UK and Scotland website, and the University of Edinburgh press office. They received media attention, including in the Telegraph, Observer, Guardian and Sunday Times, and informed public and policy debate on the security implications of Scottish independence.

4. We produced an edited book from the most important interventions in the seminar series, including a chapter jointly written by the post-graduate researchers we sponsored to participate. At the time of writing, the proposal and sample chapters are still under review with Palgrave, but we expect a positive response. If Scotland had voted for independence, our research outputs would merit a higher international profile. The 'no' vote means that the security implications of potential Scottish independence, and the security lessons from the referendum campaigns, are more of a niche concern. Nevertheless they will be of interest to scholars and policymakers concerned with small state security and security oversight issues.
Exploitation Route If Scottish independence becomes a pressing issue again, our research will be of use to both 'sides' of the debate, the media and general public.

Academically, our research is valuable for debates on small state security and foreign policy, and democratic security oversight.
Sectors Government, Democracy and Justice,Security and Diplomacy

 
Description The impacts of our grant remain contingent on the possibility of a second Scottish independence referendum. Our seminar series participants contributed to public debate in the run-up to the 2014 referendum, but it is difficult to quantify exactly the 'impact' this had on the referendum result. Although our participants contributed to the critical debate and perhaps even scepticism about the Scottish government's claims about how an independent Scotland would provide for its own national security, it is not possible to isolate the impact of this from the wider critique of Scottish government plans in all policy areas. Nor do we know of evidence to suggest that our seminar series or reports impacted the policy of the Scottish or UK governments in the run-up to the referendum, but even if it had, the highly politicised environment made it very unlikely either government would admit to a policy change at such a febrile time. If the people of Scotland had voted 'Yes' to independence it was likely that our seminar series participants and reports would have become involved in the independence implementation process and the design of new Scottish national security architectures, such as through giving evidence to parliamentary committees (as we can see in the Brexit process for example). A second Scottish independence is a possibility in the context of Brexit, at which point our research would become rather more topical than it currently is. We consider this a case of 'suspended impact', in the sense that we have assembled an important base of knowledge and experts that will inform any future Scottish independence developments. We will publish an open access edited book in the next two months (the publisher is currently proofreading it) that will encapsulate the research we produced in the seminar series, and serve as a resource for anyone revisiting questions of Scottish independence and national security in the coming years.
First Year Of Impact 2016
Sector Aerospace, Defence and Marine,Government, Democracy and Justice,Security and Diplomacy
Impact Types Policy & public services

 
Description An op ed in The Scotsman 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact An op ed on the publication of HM Government's 'Scotland Analysis: Security' paper
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
URL http://www.scotsman.com/news/comment-scotland-wouldn-t-be-out-of-security-loop-1-3184490
 
Description Blog article 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Juliet Kaarbo and Ryan Beasley (April 2014) "Role Contestation & Socialization In The Debate Over Scottish Independence", discoversociety, April, Issue 7. An article in a blog/electronic newsletter.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://discoversociety.org/2014/04/01/role-contestation-socialization-in-the-debate-over-scottish-in...
 
Description Final project conference 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Final conference of seminar series and launch of new Centre for Security Research
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
URL http://www.sps.ed.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0005/183614/CeSeR_conference_programme_final.pdf
 
Description Interview for Mexican national newspaper 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Interview for the El Universal Mexican national newspaper (print circulation 300,000) on the impact of the Manchester Arena bombing on the UK general election.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/articulo/mundo/2017/06/1/campanas-en-reino-unido-retoman-paso-tras-ata...
 
Description Invited talk, "The Scottish Question", Brookings Institution, Washing DC, 12 September 2014 
Form Of Engagement Activity A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press)
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact On September 12, the Brookings Center on the United States and Europe (CUSE) and the Heinrich Böll Foundation North America hosted a panel discussion to consider the pros and cons of Scottish independence and to elaborate on what either outcome would mean for Scotland, the United Kingdom, Europe, and the United States. Brookings Senior Fellow and CUSE Director Fiona Hill provided introductory remarks and moderated the discussion. Panelists included Professors Charlie Jeffery and Juliet Kaarbo of the University of Edinburgh, Financial Times journalist Geoff Dyer and Brookings Fellow Jeremy Shapiro.

This program was broadcast live on CSPAN.org
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.brookings.edu/events/2014/09/12-scotland-independence-referendum
 
Description Talk given to Scottish Green Party Policy Forum 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Part of the Scottish Green Party's policy day. The workshop's purpose is for members to discuss a refresh of the principles the Scottish Green Party has for basing its peace and security policy on. I contributed a 'thinkpiece' presentation, based on my publication Security in a Small Nation at the start of the workshop to help stimulate thinking and discussion.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017