Partnership Schools for Liberia: Impact on Accountability Mechanisms and Education Outcomes

Lead Research Organisation: Innovations for Poverty Action
Department Name: Country Programmes

Abstract

Liberia's public education system is moribund. The civil war of 1999-2003 and the Ebola epidemic of 2014 have left the Ministry of Education with little capacity to run a national school system. An effort to clean thousands of ghost teachers from Ministry payrolls was cut short (New York Times, 2016), and while systematic data is scarce, teacher absenteeism appears common (Mulkeen, 2009). Nearly two-thirds of primary aged children are not in school, including over 80 percent of children in the poorest quintile, placing Liberia in the lowest percentile of net enrollment rates in the world, and at the 7th percentile in youth (15-24) literacy (EPDC, 2014).

Faced with these dire statistics, the Liberian Ministry of Education announced in early 2016 that it would contract the operation of government primary schools to a group of private companies. Key features of this public-private partnership are that (a) all schools will remain free to students, and (b) teachers will be unionized civil servants, drawing from the existing teaching corps.

We propose a large-scale field experiment to study the effect of this new Partnership Schools for Liberia (PSL), comparing 120 schools that have been delegated to management by private operators to 120 control schools under government management. The randomized field experiment will allow us to investigate three main aspects of accountability:

1. Managerial accountability (of teachers to private operators). A central hypothesis underlying Liberia's charter school program is that private operators with greater capacity to implement routine performance management systems, regularly monitor teacher attendance, and provide teachers with frequent feedback and support will help to overcome teacher absenteeism and low education quality. This is not about carrots and sticks. We will test private operators' ability to generate accountability without authority to fire teachers or hire new teachers on flexible contracts.

2. Bottom-up accountability (of teachers and operators to parents). An underlying hypothesis behind charter schools is that they will be more reactive to parents demands than traditional public schools because their funding is linked directly to enrollment numbers. We will test this by comparing student transfers (exit) and parental involvement (voice) in PSL and control schools.

3. Top-down, results-based accountability (of private operators to the Ministry of Education). Charter school operators' contracts can be terminated if they do not achieve certain pre-established standards, commonly known as results-based accountability. The first year of the PSL pilot (2016/17) will lack any formal mechanism to hold operators accountable for results. A major innovation and focus of the year 2 expansion under study here is to develop and test different forms of top-down accountability based on measurable learning gains.

This proposal seeks support for a follow-up study to track the longer-term effects of the PSL program in years two and three of operation (2017/18 and 2018/19) focused on scalability and sustainability. A separate evaluation of the first year PSL pilot (2016/17) is already underway and will be nearing completion when DFID-ESRC funding decisions are made. The longer-term follow-up study is of paramount importance for several reasons. First, it is important to document whether any learning gains achieved in year 1 can be maintained over a longer horizon. Second, the year 1 pilot has been heavily subsidized and disproportionately concentrated in Monrovia, whereas years 2 and 3 will focus on more cost-effective and sustainable models, including new schools in more remote and underserved areas. Third, in years 2 and 3 the program will introduce new top-down results-based accountability measures mentioned above, which are a major focus of our current proposal.

Planned Impact

We anticipate four groups of research beneficiaries: policymakers in Liberia, researchers focused on accountability in education, policymakers from other countries, and finally, the broader research community.

The most direct beneficiaries include policymakers in Liberia. Our proposed research not only intends to answer whether PSL schools "work" or not, our goal is to understand "why" and "how" PSL schools deliver (or fail to deliver) better learning outcomes. We collect data on intermediate inputs (for example, teacher absenteeism, parental engagement and resource allocation within the school) to effectively inform policymakers on how to improve PPP contracts. To maximize our impact on policymakers' decisions, the research team will be in constant communication with government officials during the course of the evaluation, and participate in continuous discussions to discuss emerging issues, share resources and interpret the evaluation results. The research will be used to prepare a report aimed at Liberian policymakers, with specific recommendations for the improvement of the PSL program. Local and international conferences will be used to disseminate results and technical knowledge. Other outlets, such as electronic media (e.g., blogs) and newspapers, will be used to disseminate policy recommendations considering the interest of the general population in this hotly debated intervention.

The second group of beneficiaries are researchers focused on accountability in education and on market solutions for public service delivery. The main output for this audience will be a draft paper for publication in a peer reviewed journal, which will be disseminated through conferences and seminars.

The third group of beneficiaries are policy makers from other countries who can learn lessons from the Liberian experience. The main output for this group of consumers will be a policy brief containing key policy lessons derived from the academic paper. This brief is intended to maximize the impact of our study in other countries and contexts.

The last group of beneficiaries is comprised of researchers in general. The main output for this group is a rich anonymized dataset comprising 240 schools in Liberia. This dataset can be used to study several features of the education system in Liberia. For example, the dataset would provide insights into teacher absenteeism, parental expenditure in education, and children's aspirations. This dataset will be placed in data repositories accessible to other researchers.

There are several stakeholder involved in the project, and collaboration between them has already begun. They include Ministry of Education (MoE) of Liberia, Ark's Education Partnerships Group (EPG), private operators, and the World Bank. The MoE's role in transforming research findings into impact is evident. Thus, the MoE has actively collaborated with the PICGD in designing the PSL program and its evaluation. A separate MoE team has been assigned to support the implementation of the PSL evaluation.

Ark's Education Partnerships Group (EPG), an international non-profit UK charity, aims to help governments in developing countries provide accessible and quality education by facilitating effective partnerships between state and non-state actors. GoL has asked EPG to advise MoE on the PSL programme design, including the evaluation.

A mix of national and international school operators are involved in the project and all of them have actively participated in the development of the PSL program and the randomization process. We intend to share best practices for future improvements to the PSL program.

Finally, other stakeholders, such as the World Bank, have also been actively engaged. For example, the Education Sector Plan (ESP) by the World Bank may include a decision-tree for PSL scale-up that hinges on the evaluation results from our study.

Publications

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Romero M (2020) Outsourcing Education: Experimental Evidence from Liberia in American Economic Review

 
Description Access: Outsourcing led to increased enrollment in privately-operated schools, but had a negative effect on educational attainment for the students originally in them. Negative effects on pupil-level enrollment emerged in the first year due to mass expulsions by one private operator, Bridge International Academies. After three years, there were still negative impacts on the probability of children still being in school or transitioning to secondary school. (The phenomenon, still concentrated in Bridge schools, appears unrelated to the expulsions in the first year and is driven in part by higher rates of drop-out attributed to pregnancy.)

Learning: After one year, LEAP improved learning outcomes by roughly 0.18 standard deviations in both English and mathematics. After three years, the positive impacts remained statistically significant but were essentially unchanged since the first year. The gains, modest in absolute terms, varied starkly by operator: three of eight produced zero impact, while the remaining five produced somewhat larger, very similar results that drove the overall positive impact.

Child Safety: Overall, corporate punishment declined, but was not eradicated. The percentage of students reporting being hit by their teachers at least occasionally declined 4.6 percentage points from a level of 51 percent in the comparison group.

Despite an influx of new resources and external oversight in partnership schools, sexual abuse did not decline. Survey results from 2019 show 3.6 percent of students reported sexual intercourse with a teacher, and 7.5 percent reported some form of sexual contact with a teacher. While few of the operator-specific results are significant due to limited statistical power for this outcome, there were a few operators who effectively reduced reported sexual abuse to zero, while some others did not.

Sustainability: Costs were high, but fell considerably during the course of the study. At the launch of the program, the Liberian government spent roughly USD $50 per pupil in public primary schools and aimed for private operators to spend an additional $50 per pupil. However, in the first year, per-pupil expenditure by private operators was roughly $300 on average. By year 3, the overall average cost (beyond the government's $50 per pupil) was $119.

The policy brief can be found here (https://www.poverty-action.org/publication/beyond-short-term-learning-gains-impact-outsourcing-schools-liberia-after-three-years)

Detailed results after one year are available in an American Economic Review article here (https://www.poverty-action.org/publication/outsourcing-education-experimental-evidence-liberia)

Detailed results after three years are available in this working paper (https://www.cgdev.org/sites/default/files/beyond-short-term-learning-gains-impact-outsourcing-schools-liberia-after-three-years.pdf)
Exploitation Route IPA and the researchers are actively engaging with policymakers, donors and academics to ensure the key outcomes and findings can be used for LEAP scale-up in Liberia, as well as the applicability of the same in other Sub-Saharan African countries.
Sectors Education

 
Description We have presented our results to several stakeholders including, the Ministry of Education, USAID, and various donors. Several journalist articles have been written about our results so far: https://www.devex.com/news/liberia-forges-ahead-with-education-experiment-despite-lukewarm-evaluation-96238#.Xfo0ecjuZ0o.twitter https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2020/01/02/lessons-from-a-radical-education-experiment-in-liberia https://qz.com/africa/1771847/liberias-experiment-outsourcing-education-shows-mixed-results/
First Year Of Impact 2019
Sector Education
Impact Types Policy & public services

 
Title Survey Instruments 
Description We conduct one-on-one tests in which an enumerator sits with the student, asks questions, and records the answers since literacy cannot be assumed at any grade level. We use a single adaptive test for all students, regardless of the grade. The test has stop rules that skip higher-order skills if the student is not able to answer questions related to more basic skills. We estimate an item response theory (IRT) model for each round of data collection. Following standard practice, we normalize the IRT scores with respect to the control group. The tests and the code to analyze the test can be found in the dataverse. In addition, we surveyed all the teachers in each school and conducted in-depth surveys with those teaching math and English. We asked teachers about their time use and teaching strategies. For a randomly selected class within each school, we conducted a classroom observation using the Stallings Classroom Observation Tool (World Bank, 2015). Furthermore, we conducted school-level surveys to collect information about school facilities, the teacher roster, input availability (e.g., textbooks), and expenditures. During the third round of data collection, we added two additional modules to the survey. In schools, we ask Development World Management Survey (DWMS) style-questions Lemos and Scur (2016). While the DWMS is performed with open-ended questions that are then scored against a rubric, we opted to ask multiple-choice questions based on the DWMS scoring rubric. Thus, our management index based on the DWMS is not directly comparable to measures from other countries. Finally, given the concerns about child safety in partnership schools raised by the sexual abuse scandals involving two of the private providers, we added a sexual violence module to the student survey. Sexual abuse is inherently difficult to measure, and is rarely reported through official channels in Liberian schools. All survey instruments, as well as the SurveyCTO code is available in the dataverse. 
Type Of Material Physiological assessment or outcome measure 
Year Produced 2018 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact The tool has been downloaded 906 times (as of March 11, 2020). We know several other impact evaluations are using similar tools. 
URL https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=doi:10.7910/DVN/5OPIYU
 
Title Code to replicate the paper 
Description The dataverse contains all the code to replicate the paper in R and Stata, including tables, figures, and any other statistical analysis/test performed in the paper. 
Type Of Material Data analysis technique 
Year Produced 2019 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact The dataverse data and code has been downloaded at least 906 times as of March 11th of 2020 
URL https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=doi:10.7910/DVN/5OPIYU
 
Title Database and code to replicate the paper 
Description The dataverse contains all of the de-identified data from the experiment, from the baseline, midline, and endline. This includes: student surveys and test scores, teacher surveys, school-level surveys, classroom observations, and household surveys in some cases. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2019 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact The data has been downloaded 906 times as of March 11th of 2020 
URL https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=doi:10.7910/DVN/5OPIYU
 
Description July 2019 final results dissemination with Liberian Ministry of Education in Monrovia. One on one meeting with operators by the PIs (Justin Sandefur and Mauricio Romero) and IPA team. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact IPA research team that comprised of the Principal Investigators (Justin Sandefur and Mauricio Romero) along with IPA Liberia Country Director, Senior Policy Director and Research Associate, undertook 2 days final results dissemination event in Monrovia between July 10th-12th. IPA team undertook closed-door meeting with the Liberian Ministry of Education to provide detailed results chaired by the Minister of Education (Dr. Ansu Sonii) and Deputy Ministers. All Operators (Bridge, BRAC, Omega, Rising, Street Child, YMCA, More Than Me) were also invited for one-on-one meetings with the researchers for operator-specific results.

On the second day, a dissemination event was held in Monrovia for all Operators and Ministry partners along with an audio conference line open for donors and key stakeholders to join in remotely for the policy results to be shared.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019