SBE-RCUK Lead Agency: Co-location of manufacturing and innovation: drivers & impacts of technological innovation along wind energy global value chain

Lead Research Organisation: University of Cambridge
Department Name: Land Economy

Abstract

The proposed research will address the following questions: (i) How have different parts of the wind manufacturing value chain changed in terms of location? What factors explain these changes and differences across firms? (ii) How does the nature and direction of innovation (measured by the focus of patents) differ depending on the location of OEMs (including their R&D and subsidiaries) and suppliers? (iii) How does internationalization of manufacturing and R&D of OEMs and suppliers affect innovation in the wind GVC? The investigators will use mixed-method techniques to conduct this research, using a unique database of 12 major OEMs and their relationships with 470 suppliers (2006 to 2014). The preliminary database developed by the investigators includes firm-level information on the type of component, the locations of firms, etc. The investigators will significantly develop this database by adding new information on firms, public policies, and technology, and by conducting interviews to understand outcomes of internationalization. The analysis will employ a new methodology to characterize patents, social networks to depict the GVC, econometric techniques to determine the relationship between manufacturing shifts and patenting practices, and comparative case studies.

Intellectual merit:
The study of the impacts of manufacturing shifts on technology innovation will test emerging theories in a new sector (wind energy) that is strongly shaped by public policy interventions, while adding an important focus on components and supplier firms. The empirical and theoretical analysis, including the development of a methodology for studying drivers of manufacturing and R&D location decisions and their impacts, will be designed to apply to other industries. Comparative case studies and discussions on OEMs and on countries will further contribute to the understanding of the relationship between trade, energy policy, technology innovation, and local industry development in globally distributed manufacturing industries.

Broader impacts:
This research can have substantial impacts on public policy and on society. For policymakers in high-income economies (e.g., US or UK) interested in domestic manufacturing and employment generation in modern industries, this research will inform on the design of policies that spur local manufacturing and economic competitiveness with a granular understanding of the linkages along GVC. For policymakers in emerging economies interested in new industries, this research can provide insights on leveraging GVCs for local technology and capacity development in an industry greatly relevant for balancing economic growth with environment and climate targets. For society, this research can elucidate the ways in which manufacturing shifts affect the ability of technological innovation to meet climate and environmental challenges, thus supporting design of policies to meet societal goals.

Planned Impact

Our research has substantial impacts on public policy, industry, and society. For policymakers in countries like the US and UK who are interested in domestic manufacturing in modern industries to ensure economic competitiveness, this research can inform the design of policies that spur local manufacturing in small and medium firms (such as specialized component suppliers) with a more granular understanding of competitive advantage along the value chain (e.g. in offshore wind). Our research can inform the design of policies that meet both economic and environmental goals by providing insights into firms' strategic priorities and activities related to manufacturing and innovation in a growing clean energy industry. For policymakers in countries like China, India, the research can similarly provide insight into manufacturing, innovation, and job growth in the context of meeting demand of large domestic markets while generating export opportunities. For emerging economies interested in participating in the wind GVC, or in developing local technology and new industries, this research can provide insights on how small and medium enterprises can be leveraged for local innovation. For firms and industry in growing sectors (such as clean energy) that are heavily shaped by public policy, this research can inform on the choices to engage in overseas manufacturing (or to source components from local suppliers) and how these choices can influence their technology development strategies. For society, this research can elucidate the ways in which manufacturing shifts may hamper or enhance the ability of technological innovation to meet climate and environmental challenges thereby supporting the design of policies to meet societal goals.

The research project itself will have broader, positive impacts in three ways. First, the project led by women PIs with interdisciplinary academic training will emphasize on greater involvement of other women (from PIs home universities) in interdisciplinary research that combines expertise in physical sciences and engineering, energy, public policy, economics, and management. The investigators seek to infuse this project with opportunities for bringing in and mentoring new women in this field and also to allow others already in the field to connect (especially given the relatively few women scientists and engineers who work on energy technologies and in particular on wind technology). Second, the research will involve multiple GAs who will gain experience in the complex interactions between different disciplines as well as the multiple dimensions of public policy-including energy, innovation, and trade-in a growing industry, thus contributing to developing a more informed and competitive workforce. Third, the international collaboration will strengthen cross-country academic linkages and ease wider international dissemination of results, which is particularly needed in a global industry (wind) and a global problem (climate change).
 
Description We have found that the technology complexity of wind turbine components is predictive of the either relocation or international expansion of manufacturers (Nature Energy 2020 paper). This is a really important finding and we have presented it in various conferences. We have also been contacted by policy makers regarding the implications of our work on the complexity of components in the wind value chain and the difficulty of domestic manufacturing. We were asked to propose a book chapter for a US National Academies report on this topic. We were successful and now a 2022 review on global value chains by the US National Academies includes a chapter by us on our finding.

We also used different metrics to understand the evolution of type of innovation happening in wind. Previous work just looked at the quantity of patents or citations. We wanted to learn whether the shift to manufacturing in China had changed the type of innovation, making it less risky, as previous theoretical studies had suggested. Our novel measure to distinguish between longer- and shorter-term (more or less risky) innovation used machine learning and patent data. We assessed the drivers of both
types of innovations along the wind value chain. Our findings suggest that the wind energy industry did not deviate from long-term innovation because of manufacturing shifts to China.

Our third key finding was to consider the extent to which domestic policies, capabilities and technology complexity determine industry catch up in wind. We show that catching-up in the wind energy value chain is path-dependent on the local manufacturing capabilities in sectors that are related to complex wind turbine components. Furthermore, local demand for wind energy enables the mobilisation of resources in those related sectors for catching-up, especially in regions with niche market development in offshore wind farms and low speed wind farms. (Paper under review, 2022)
Exploitation Route The literature should start considering the full value chain of energy technologies and the role that complexity can play to help us understand what policy can and cannot do to foster domestic innovation and manufacturing.

Our work also shows that it is not the case that when other countries innovate the research will hurt disruptive innovation. At the same time, our work shows that an industrial strategy in the energy space needs to go beyond technology complexity to consider the domestic demand pull policies as well as industry structure.
Sectors Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software),Energy,Environment,Manufacturing, including Industrial Biotechology,Transport

 
Description We were contacted by policy makers in the EU Commission to help them think about industrial policy, but no changes have yet resulted (to the best of my knowledge). We were also asked to present our work to a US National Academies conference on value chains about competitiveness with participation from government officials. We also wrote a book chapter. Our Nature Energy paper has already been cited 28 times (Google scholar), our work on Research Policy on long-term innovation and the impact of the manufacturing move to China, which is much more recent, has already been cited 3 times. Given that I am about to start a new Horizon project that builds on our work in this grant by considering technology complexity in energy technology forecasts (PRISMA), I fully expect that there will be many more impacts down the line. I served as an expert in the first report from the newly established Office of Prospective analysis to produce a in the Spanish government 'Spain 2050' report. This paper shaped my inputs about green industrial policy.
First Year Of Impact 2020
Sector Energy,Manufacturing, including Industrial Biotechology
Impact Types Policy & public services

 
Description Considering technology complexity at the component level in energy technologies to understand global value chains
Geographic Reach North America 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
URL https://nap.nationalacademies.org/catalog/26477/innovation-global-value-chains-and-globalization-mea...
 
Description Changing the Environment 2021
Amount £10,000,000 (GBP)
Organisation Natural Environment Research Council 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 03/2022 
End 02/2027
 
Description Economics of Energy Innovation Systems Transition (EEIST)
Amount £5,000,000 (GBP)
Organisation Innovate UK 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 06/2020 
End 07/2023
 
Description PRISMA - Net zero Pathway Research through Integrated Assessment Model Advancements
Amount £5,000,000 (GBP)
Funding ID G117722 
Organisation European Commission H2020 
Sector Public
Country Belgium
Start 01/2023 
End 02/2027
 
Description Academic panel at the EU-SPRI conference (the European Forum for Studies of Policies for Research and Innovation) in Utrecht in June 3-5, 2020. Dr. Deyu Li, the project research associate, proposed the panel. It includes two paper presentations from the project. 
Organisation ETH Zurich
Country Switzerland 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The ESRC funded postdoc, Dr. Deyu Li, worked with a visiting PhD student from ETH Zurich (Martin Beuse) and another Cambridge postdoc (Dr. Sergey Kolesnikov) to propose an academic session in the conference. The panel includes two presentations, one by Dr. Deyu Li (a postdoc funded by the ESRC project) and co-authored by Professor Diaz Anaodn, and one by Dr. Kavita Surana, and also co-authored by Prof. Diaz Anadon. Including the submitted publication, so far we have 3 papers in different stages of progress.
Collaborator Contribution This conference panel will help create an academic community on supply chains, competitiveness and climate change mitigation and it would not have been possible without the award.
Impact https://euspri-forum.eu/eu-spri-forum-conference-2020-in-utrecht-3-5-june-2020/
Start Year 2019
 
Description Continuing partnership with the University of Maryland School of Public Policy on supply chain mobility in other energy technologies 
Organisation Technical University of Munich
Country Germany 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Right
Collaborator Contribution In the process of making progress in this grant the research team (including researchers at the University of Maryland and TU Munich) decided that additional work covering other technologies would be extremely useful. Both teams hired research assistants with additional funds to contribute to building on the work of the ESRC/NSF funded project.
Impact It is too early.
Start Year 2019
 
Description Continuing partnership with the University of Maryland School of Public Policy on supply chain mobility in other energy technologies 
Organisation University of Maryland
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Right
Collaborator Contribution In the process of making progress in this grant the research team (including researchers at the University of Maryland and TU Munich) decided that additional work covering other technologies would be extremely useful. Both teams hired research assistants with additional funds to contribute to building on the work of the ESRC/NSF funded project.
Impact It is too early.
Start Year 2019
 
Description Partnership with Prof. Tobias Schmidt research group at ETH Zurich 
Organisation ETH Zurich
Country Switzerland 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution ETH Zurich paid for the salary, trip and bench fee of a visiting PhD student (Martin Beuse) for 2.5 months. This helped the organization of the session at the conference and is likely to result in future collaborations.
Collaborator Contribution Martin Beuse is a battery and spillover expert and was able to help organize the session at the EU-SPRI conference.
Impact There will be a paper over the next year and the conference will likely bring not just input to our publications but also visibility across this group of European researchers and future collaborations.
Start Year 2019
 
Description Presentation at the International Sustainability Transitions (IST) Conference 2020. It was meant to be in Utrecht but it took place over skype on August 19, 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact Dr. Surana presented the second paper that is coming out of the project.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL http://ist2020.at/ist2020-conference-gallery-new/
 
Description Presentation at the biannual Atlanta Conference on Science and Innovation Policy, on October 14-16, 2019. This is a very competitive international conference that happens every two years. We will be presenting the work on measuring technology complexity and its role on manufacturing localization. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact This presentation took place in October 2019, but getting the paper accepted is already an achievement.

The title of the talk was "Innovation and Manufacturing in Global Value Chains: Impact of Internationalization of Component Suppliers for Wind Energy Technology."

The talk was well attended and we received very good feedback with the other leading academic group in this space: Prof. Erica Fuchs' group at Carnegie Mellon. It was very good to have this paper be presented in this particular session, since it had the other leading scholars and practitioners on the science of innovation and on energy.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://pwp.gatech.edu/scisip/scisip-sessions-at-the-atlanta-conference/
 
Description Presentation at the world-leading APPAM (Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management) Fall Research conference (Washington DC, online) on the session on Connections between Firms, Industries, and Public Policy for Sustainable Energy Technology and Innovation, on November 12, 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact To be completed after November 2020
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
 
Description Presentation of research paper from this project at the prestigious Fall Research APPAM (Association of Public Policy Analysis and Management) conference in Washtingon DC 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Around 40 participants joined this session. Dr. Kavita Surana presented our paper on: Wind Energy Technology Innovation in the Manufacturing Global Value Chain: Exploring the Impact of Internationalisation of Component Suppliers on Innovation. The feedback from the academic and policy maker audience was very useful in improving this paper and thinking about refining the rest of the project. Washington DC policy makers were (as expected) interested in understanding what factors shape the moves in manufacturing of different parts of the wind supply chain. They encouraged us to expand this to other technologies.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL https://appam.confex.com/appam/2018/webprogram/Paper25989.html
 
Description Presentation on our paper on 'Long-Term Innovation in Component Suppliers in the Global Value Chain for Wind Energy Technologies.' Presentation by Dr. Claudia Doblinger (co-authors Prof. Anadon, Dr. Li and Dr. Surana). The presentation was at the APPAM Fall Research Conference on November 12, 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact We presented a paper in this major public policy conference in the US (42nd edition) in a panel on 'Connections between Firms, Industries, and Public Policy for Sustainable Energy Technology and Innovation.' We presented the findings of a paper that we hope to submit over the next few months on how the spatial and temporal dimension of innovation in the wind energy industry by exploring how the direction of innovation changes with the geographic location of large original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their suppliers.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://appam.confex.com/appam/2020/meetingapp.cgi/Paper/36515