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The COVID-19 shock: continuity and change in labour markets and employment policies in Japan and the UK

Lead Research Organisation: King's College London
Department Name: Political Economy

Abstract

This project will compare the labour market impacts and policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK and Japan. The COVID-19 pandemic is a sudden and drastic global shock, but has had very different impacts in different labour markets, and this shock will influence future labour market trends even after the immediate health crisis has been resolved. Identifying the similarities and diversity of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the labour market and policy responses, as well as the changes in the perceptions and behaviour of people, companies, and governments, can contribute to finding solutions to the common medium- and long-term problems that predated the COVID-19 pandemic.

In this regard, Japan and UK are two unique and very suitable countries for comparative study in that we observe features of both divergence and convergence in labour markets and policy responses. For example, the characteristics of the labour markets of Japan and UK are very different, but the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the labour market was similar in terms of unemployment. By identifying further areas of convergence and divergence, and analysing the effectiveness of policy responses, we will clarify the short-term and long-term impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on several aspects of labour market and inequality trends; explore whether the COVID-19 shock exacerbated/intensified or mitigated existing megatrends and challenges; and analyse policy implications.

Publications

10 25 50
 
Description Very different patterns in the trajectory of post-pandemic inequality in Japan and the UK, driven by different labour market responses.

Immigration increases in both countries, particularly post-pandemic, reflecting some common factors (labour shortages, especially in care) but also key differences (demographics more important in Japan - but some important future lessons for UK)

The increase in inactivity in the UK (but not Japan) remains a topic of very keen interest. Research is ongoing (although the award has ended).
Exploitation Route There is substantial interest in both trends in inactivity and the labour market impacts of immigration in both the UK and Japan - in the UK there is a recently issued call on the former that some team members may apply for
Sectors Education

Government

Democracy and Justice

URL https://www.pdrc.keio.ac.jp/en/publications/dp/9275/
 
Description Testimony to the House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee on economic inactivity https://www.parliament.uk/business/lords/media-centre/house-of-lords-media-notices/2024/november-2024/how-could-the-benefits-system-be-changed-in-order-to-get-more-people-back-to-work/ subsequently cited by the Committee in its letter to the Secretary of State, which was widely reported and has influenced the government's messaging and (presumably) plans.
First Year Of Impact 2024
Sector Government, Democracy and Justice
Impact Types Economic

Policy & public services

 
Description Policy on economic inactivity
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact Testimony cited in Committee letter to Secretary of STate https://committees.parliament.uk/publications/46296/documents/232987/default/
 
Description Media coverage in multiple national outlets (FT, etc) of research on immigration to the UK post Brexit/covid 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Press release, interviews, articles etc on the impact of Brexit/covid on immigration and the UK labour market.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://www.ft.com/content/11414939-5fb6-48bd-8b84-baa0819fe821
 
Description Media coverage in national and international outlets on labour market and othter economic developments in UK post-covid 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact See above. Multiple media articles and interviews, see eg

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/29/world/europe/israel-hamas-war-uk-parliament.html
https://www.ft.com/content/6d044f4b-18a8-4987-b39e-804778a85747
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022,2023,2024
URL https://www.ft.com/content/6d044f4b-18a8-4987-b39e-804778a85747