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Safe operating spaces for regional rural development - a new conceptual tool for evaluation complex socio-ecological system dynamics

Lead Research Organisation: University of Southampton
Department Name: UNLISTED

Abstract

Abstracts are not currently available in GtR for all funded research. This is normally because the abstract was not required at the time of proposal submission, but may be because it included sensitive information such as personal details.

Publications

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Dearing J (2014) Safe and just operating spaces for regional social-ecological systems in Global Environmental Change

 
Description We have produced the first sets of regional data for ecological constraints (environmental ceilings) on using regulating ecosystem services. The constraints have been defined according to a newly developed set of criteria for analyzing the nonlinear properties of time-series e.g. accelerating trends, tipping points. Existing regional/national norms and available socio-economic data have been used to map the extent to which social needs are currently met (social foundation). Together the data provide a current appraisal of how far development still needs to go and the environmental constraints imposed on any proposed land use activities.
Exploitation Route Once we have published the main publications we will present the Chinese case studies to development agencies (e.g. Oxfam/DfID) for feedback on how to include the information in regional policy making.



There needs to be a full evaluation of the approach by users and stakeholders in other developing regions.


The approach we have developed can be rolled out in other ESPA projects. The first attempt to do this will be the ESPA Deltas Consortium project in then coastal zone of Bangladesh.



There are several 'next steps' that could be taken.

(i) Using the safe and just operating spaces concept to calculate regional contributions to the size of safe operating spaces at the planetary scale;

(ii) Developing new ways to understand and model the links between data/information for the environmental ceilings and social foundations.

(iii) Using the current data as starting points for running systems models to examine the sustainability of alternative futures (over near future of 10-20 years or so).



Essentially, the approach can be applied to any region with multi-decadal time-series for ecosystem services.
Sectors Agriculture

Food and Drink

Communities and Social Services/Policy

Energy

Environment

URL http://complexity.geodata.soton.ac.uk/
 
Description Wessex Water have sponsored (50% funding) a PhD studentship (to JA Dearing and D Sear 2014-2017) to apply the safe operating spaces concept to the management of nutrient loading in Poole Harbour.
First Year Of Impact 2014
Sector Agriculture, Food and Drink,Environment
Impact Types Cultural

Societal

Economic

 
Description Review by Jigsaw evaluation company
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
URL http://www.espa.ac.uk/news-events/espa-news/2016-05/77024
 
Description Complex social-ecological systems: linking theory and reality
Amount £11,000 (GBP)
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 03/2013 
End 04/2013
 
Description International Planetary Boundaries Conference, Berlin, 24-25th April 2017 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Invited keynote lecture in Workshop 3: Building on Experience: Lessons learned from initial operationalizations
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.pb-conference2017.de
 
Description Safe operating spaces for regional rural development 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Oral presentation given at a public event to celebrate ESPA-UN Development Information Day, University of Southampton, 24 October 2012.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Setting up China Resilience Centre 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Invited to Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing to discuss the establishment of a new China Resilience Centre.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017