Synchrony in metapopulations at multiple time scales: theory, experiments, and field data
Lead Research Organisation:
Sir Alister Hardy Foundation for Ocean Science
Department Name: Sir Alister Hardy Found for Ocean Sci
Abstract
This is a subsidiary part of a joint proposal. Please see the main proposal with PI Daniel Reuman of Imperial College London.
People |
ORCID iD |
| Philip Reid (Principal Investigator) |
Publications
Beaugrand G
(2012)
Relationships between North Atlantic salmon, plankton, and hydroclimatic change in the Northeast Atlantic
in ICES Journal of Marine Science
Beaugrand G
(2019)
Prediction of unprecedented biological shifts in the global ocean
in Nature Climate Change
Defriez E
(2016)
Climate change-related regime shifts have altered spatial synchrony of plankton dynamics in the North Sea
in Global Change Biology
Reid P
(2012)
Global synchrony of an accelerating rise in sea surface temperature
in Journal of the Marine Biological Association of the United Kingdom
Reuman DC
(2017)
Synchrony affects Taylor's law in theory and data.
in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Sheppard L
(2017)
Rapid surrogate testing of wavelet coherences
in EPJ Nonlinear Biomedical Physics
Zhao L
(2019)
Proximate determinants of Taylor's law slopes.
in The Journal of animal ecology
| Description | Changes in plankton abundance, community composition and the distribution ranges of species to either side of the 1980s regime shift (a step change from one level to another) in the North Sea are well studied, but oscillatory aspect (synchrony) of their changes through time and space have not been investigated. The basic idea behind our research is that oscillations of the abundance of a species in a location are decomposed by the frequency they occur there at, and we obtain their strength and phase as a function of time and frequency. Our mathematical analyses, undertaken so far, indicate that there is considerable variability in synchrony between species and that the abundance of the plankton species examined does not affect their synchrony. Two species show similar patterns to temperature. A manuscript describing these results: "Climate change-related regime shifts have altered spatial synchrony of plankton dynamics in the North Sea", with Emma Defriez as first author,was published in 2016 in Global Change Biology. A second paper with Lawrence Sheppard as first author and presented by him at the '9th conference of the European Study Group on Cardiovascular Oscillations' entitled 'Rapid surrogate testing of wavelet coherences' has been reviewed and is close to acceptance in 'EPJ - Nonlinear Biomedical Physics'. This paper has again used data from the Continuous Plankton Recorder. |
| Exploitation Route | We expect that our work will prove of value 1) in contributing to understanding of the rate and scale of environmental and climate change 2) thorugh application to ecosystem and resource management of the seas around the UK and 3) by making available new tools that can be applied in marine and terrestrial ecology and medical science.. |
| Sectors | Aerospace, Defence and Marine,Education,Environment,Healthcare,Pharmaceuticals and Medical Biotechnology |
| Description | Our work is still at too early a stage for the findings to have been used as no papers have been published as yet. |
| First Year Of Impact | 2010 |
| Sector | Aerospace, Defence and Marine,Education,Environment |
| Impact Types | Societal,Economic |