Arctic PRoductivity in the seasonal Ice ZonE (Arctic PrIZE)

Lead Research Organisation: NATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY CENTRE
Department Name: Science and Technology

Abstract

Arctic PRIZE will address the core objective of the Changing Arctic Ocean Program by seeking to understand and predict how change in sea ice and ocean properties will affect the large-scale ecosystem structure of the Arctic Ocean. We will investigate the seasonally and spatially varying relationship between sea ice, water column structure, light, nutrients and productivity and the roles they play in structuring energy transfer to pelagic zooplankton and benthic megafauna.
We focus on the seasonal ice zone (SIZ) of the Barents Sea - a highly productive region that is undergoing considerable change in its sea ice distribution - and target the critically important but under-sampled seasonal transition from winter into the post-bloom summer period. Of critical importance is the need to develop the predictive tools necessary to assess how the Arctic ecosystems will respond to a reducing sea ice cover. This will be achieved through a combined experimental/modelling programme. The project is embedded within international Arctic networks based in Norway and Canada and coordinated with ongoing US projects in the Pacific Arctic. Through these international research networks our proposal will have a legacy of cooperation far beyond the lifetime of the funding. The project comprises five integrated work packages.

WP1 Physical Parameters: We will measure properties of the water column (temperature, salinity, turbulent fluxes, light, fluorometry) in both open water and under sea ice by deploying animal-borne tags on seals which preferentially inhabit the marginal ice zone (MIZ). We will use ocean gliders to patrol the water around the MIZ and track it as the ice retreats northwards in summer. Measurements of underwater light fields will support development of improved regional remote sensing algorithms to extend the spatial and temporal context of the proposal beyond the immediate deployment period.
WP2 Nutrient Dynamics: We will undertake an extensive program of measuring inorganic and organic nutrients, their concentrations, isotopic signatures and vertical fluxes to understand the role of vertical mixing and advection (WP1) in regulating nutrient supply to PP in the surface ocean.
WP3 Phytoplankton Production: We will investigate nutrient supply (WP2) and light availability (WP1) linked to sea ice affect the magnitude, timing, and composition of phytoplankton production, and the role of seasonal physiological plasticity. Through new numerical parameterisations - cross-tuned and validated using a rich array of observations - we will develop predictive skill related to biological production and its fate; resolve longstanding questions about the competing effects of increased light and wind mixing associated with sea ice loss; and therefore contribute to the international effort to project the functioning of Pan-Arctic ecosystems.
WP4 Zooplankton Behaviour: Zooplankton undergo vertical migrations to graze on PP at the surface. We will use acoustic instruments on moorings and AUVs, with nets and video profiles to measure the composition and behaviours of pelagic organisms in relation in light and mixing (WP1) and phytoplankton production (WP3) over the seasonal cycle of sea ice cover. The behaviours identified will be used to improve models that capture the life-history and behavioural traits of Arctic zooplankton. These models can then be used to investigate how feeding strategies of key Arctic zooplankton species may be modified during an era of reducing sea ice cover.
WP5 Benthic Community: We will use an AUV equipped with camera system to acquire imagery of the large seabed-dwelling organisms to investigate how changes in sea ice duration (WP1), timing of PP (WP3) and bentho-pelagic coupling (WP4) can modify the spatial variation in benthic community composition. We will also conduct time series-studies in an Arctic fjord using a photolander system to record the seasonally varying community response to pulses of organic matter.

Planned Impact

Science-led: Arctic PRIZE is focused on improving the modelling capabilities of pan-Arctic ecosystem models. The modelling community will benefit from this research through integration of Arctic PRIZE with NEMO/MEDUSA (and subsequently with the UK Met Office and Hadley Centre) and other IPCC pan-Arctic model frameworks. We have partnerships with UK, US and Norwegian modelling groups and through these there will be improved projections for Arctic ecosystems in place for the next IPCC assessment.

Broader engagement with the science community will be through one of the largest annual meetings between science and stakeholders in the Arctic - Arctic Frontiers, hosted in Tromso, Norway. Arctic PRIZE will establish a special session at the Arctic Frontiers conference to disseminate the findings of the project and establish academic ties with other Arctic research programs. We will be exceptionally well placed, through our international collaborators, to contribute to regional assessments of the Barents Sea and wider pan-Arctic integration. PDRAs and PhD staff working on Arctic PRIZE will benefit through becoming members of the Association of Polar Early Career Scientists and the Norwegian marine ecology network ARCTOS. This will ensure appropriate career development through training, peer engagement and networking.

Policy-led: The UK government made a clear statement of interest in the Arctic with the publication of the House of Lords report "Responding to a Changing Arctic" in 2015. To support UK interests we will develop a strong relationship with the UK Arctic Office to feed new science towards policy development in the areas of ecosystem services, fisheries and economic development - of particular relevance to emerging trade routes and mineral resources. Internationally, Arctic PRIZE will engage as a collaborator on a coordinated NSF program linked to Alaska fisheries and into Norwegian policy structures through our Project Partners in the Institute of Marine Research.

Outreach-led: The Arctic is a source of great public interest. The research team will interact with the public through personal, group and institutional websites, social media and links to exhibition centres such as SAMS' Ocean Explorer Centre (OEC) and the Glasgow Science Centre (GSC). This activity will be supported by training for PDRAs and PIs in the form of participation in the GSC 'Inspire and Challenge' professional science communication course. PDRAs and PIs will build on this by taking part in 'Meet the Expert' events at GSC before and after cruises and will maintain an interactive 'Arctic Expedition Blog' while at sea. The research team will work with GSC staff to develop an interactive exhibit that illustrates the role of greenhouse gases on warming of the Arctic and impact on ecosystem function. This exhibit will form part of GSCs upcoming EnviroScience Gallery and will showcase our research to an annual audience of over 300,000 visitors, including ~75,000 structured education visits. Arctic PRIZE will also allow us to expand formal science education locally in Argyll, from nursery to primary/secondary schools and undergraduate degree level building on previously highly successful talks/lectures, teaching material and visitor centre facilities (OEC) used to showcase science in the Arctic. Finally Arctic PRIZE will develop focused outreach videos by engaging a scientific film maker. These will help to illustrate and explain the key science messages in Arctic PRIZE to a wider audience.
 
Description Work has contributed to the NOC open day in 2018 and 2019, for the education of the general public, schools etc, as detailed separately in the Engagement activities section. Online chat sessions with school students were also held in 2020 in the "I'm A Scientist Get Me Out Of Here" summer campaign, helping to inform them about the Arctic.
First Year Of Impact 2018
Sector Education
Impact Types Societal

 
Title Global NEMO ocean simulations 
Description Global simulations with the NEMO ocean model at a range of resolutions, including the MEDUSA biogeochemical model, have been undertaken and provide a key resource for CLASS. In addition, CLASS is providing effort to develop the NEMO model and ensure this remains a world-leading model. Co-funding for NEMO development is provided through the EU IMMERSE project. This enables us to form a critical partnership with the UK Met Office and to participate in the international development of NEMO. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2018 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact The NEMO ocean model (developed internationally with the participation of NOC through the CLASS project and others) provides a key component of many of the world's leading climate models. This has been critical in providing advice to Governments about climate change through the CMIP and AR exercises (CMIP5 and now CMIP6). 
URL https://www.nemo-ocean.eu
 
Title UKESM model spin-up (ocean physics and biogeochemistry component) 
Description Output from the UKESM model will be used by ARCTIC PRIZE to drive biogeochemical testbeds. The spin-up of the ocean (physics and biogeochemistry) is the first step towards this - typically needing a long integration to allow equilibration. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2018 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact It is essential to complete the spin up before the fully coupled earth system model can be run which will provide historical and future scenarios for the project. This will underpin the current project (Arctic Prize) and is being carried out jointly with other funding sources. 
 
Title Supplementary material for manuscript: "Evaluating the physical and biogeochemical state of the global ocean component of UKESM1 in CMIP6 Historical simulation" 
Description The attached Matlab scripts were used to produce the figures that appear in a submission to Geoscientific Model Development entitled "Evaluating the physical and biogeochemical state of the global ocean component of UKESM1 in CMIP6 Historical simulation" by Yool et al. The reference number for the GMD manuscript is gmd-2020-333. The scripts are provided as is, and make use of local files that are not included here. The intention is to record the output processing and plotting methods used in the production of the manuscript. 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
URL https://zenodo.org/record/4155210
 
Description Interview for TASS Russian News Agency by Y. Aksenov and M. Luneva on "When will the ice of the Arctic Ocean melt? Scientists Prediction" at the ASSW-2019 in Archangelsk. https://tass.ru/v-strane/6925897 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Interview with the Russian News Agency TASS leading to an article in TASS ( https://tass.ru/v-strane/6925897) expected to reach a wide cross section of the Russian public.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://tass.ru/v-strane/6925897
 
Description NOC Annual Science Open Day 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an open day or visit at my research institution
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact The NOC annual science open day is open to the general public, with typically 500+ people of all ages and interests visiting the centre. The modelling exhibition uses electronic displays, latterly interactive ones, to illustrate the properties of the ocean - physical and biological - that are the focus of our work. This allows us to talk to individual visitors or groups on general topics around ocean physics (circulation, seawater properties) and marine biology (productivity, nutrients), and on high-interest contemporary topics such as climate change and ocean acidification (including how these will affect general ocean properties). Ongoing Arctic change and wider Earth system science are particular foci. Our open day presentations aim to (a) introduce general oceanographic concepts (as illustrated by models), (b) introduce and explain the role of modelling in oceanography and Earth science, and (c) entrain and inform school pupils and undergraduate students about careers and career paths in oceanography.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018,2019
URL https://noc.ac.uk/education/open-days
 
Description Online chat sessions with school students 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Schools
Results and Impact Andrew Yool took part in the 2020 summer campaign of the "I'm A Scientist Get Me Out Of Here" online, student-led STEM enrichment activity". This involved multiple online chat sessions with school students, answering questions on all manner of topics, including the Arctic.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020