NSFPLR-NERC: Geological history constraints on the magnitude of grounding line retreat in the Thwaites Glacier system
Lead Research Organisation:
British Antarctic Survey
Department Name: Science Programmes
Abstract
We propose to obtain geological evidence from the Thwaites-Pine Island glacier system that will show whether glaciers were less extensive than they are at present, and, if so, when. Our goals are to: (i) determine whether previous grounding-line retreat-advance cycles, as suggested by existing geological evidence, occurred in the late Holocene, and (ii) establish under what climate and sea-level boundary conditions they took place. Determining the conditions under which the Thwaites and Pine Island Glacier grounding lines have retreated and re-advanced in the past is critically relevant to determining whether or not present-day grounding-line retreat is irreversible.
We will utilize two approaches to achieve these goals. To obtain geological evidence for past grounding-line retreat episodes, we will apply cosmogenic-nuclide exposure-dating of subglacial bedrock. Using drill systems recently developed in the USA for subglacial bedrock recovery and proven in the 2016-17 Antarctic field season, we will obtain subglacial bedrock from sites where ice thickness is dynamically linked to grounding line position in the Thwaites system. The observation of significant cosmogenic-nuclide concentrations in these samples would provide direct, unambiguous evidence for past episodes of thinning linked to grounding line retreat as well as constraints on their timing and duration. To reconstruct Holocene relative sea level, we will map and date raised marine and shoreline deposits throughout Pine Island Bay.
We will utilize two approaches to achieve these goals. To obtain geological evidence for past grounding-line retreat episodes, we will apply cosmogenic-nuclide exposure-dating of subglacial bedrock. Using drill systems recently developed in the USA for subglacial bedrock recovery and proven in the 2016-17 Antarctic field season, we will obtain subglacial bedrock from sites where ice thickness is dynamically linked to grounding line position in the Thwaites system. The observation of significant cosmogenic-nuclide concentrations in these samples would provide direct, unambiguous evidence for past episodes of thinning linked to grounding line retreat as well as constraints on their timing and duration. To reconstruct Holocene relative sea level, we will map and date raised marine and shoreline deposits throughout Pine Island Bay.
Planned Impact
The project will have broad societal impact via the following public engagement and outreach programmes in the US and UK:
1. Mobile, dynamic, physical sea-level visualization: It is common practice in coastal and riverine cities throughout the US, UK, and elsewhere to mark the height of significant historical floods on buildings, telephone poles, or other structures. This provides a sense that city residents have endured shared hardships, a powerful reminder of vulnerability to natural processes, and a spur to planning and preparedness against future flooding. Brent Goehring (Tulane University, USA) will start with this idea, migrate it from past to future sea-level rise scenarios, and realize it as a mobile, dynamic visualization tool that attracts and fixes public attention.
2. Outreach to UK schools: We will undertake a programme of public engagement, in particular outreach to schools, through the existing 'Think Geophysics' initiative run by Woodward at Northumbria University, which builds on the nuSTEM project led by Northumbria (currently funded at £1.2 million by the Higher Education Funding Council for England). nuSTEM targets gender imbalance in physics at UK universities by changing the way young people engage with science during their school years and path to university, and works with 40 partner schools, aiming to engage over 100,000 young people by 2025. 'Think Geophysics' will adapt the nuSTEM cradle-to-career blueprint to environmental geochemistry and geophysics, aiming to inspire young people, particularly women and underrepresented groups, into science careers through the following actions: Engage pupils at 20 partner schools through 'Think Geophysics' workshops that cover climate change in Antarctica including sea level rise, introduce key concepts in geochemistry and geophysics, and allow children to explore these themselves through hands-on activities. In conjunction with a local artist, bespoke workshops will be developed to help young people explore scientific concepts of climate change through media not traditionally used in the teaching of geochemistry and geophysics.
3. Public engagement: We will also link to Centres, museums, festivals and events to target young people's support networks and bring 'Think Geophysics' to new audiences, specifically the Cambridge Science Festival (an established annual event attracting 25,000); the Annual Big Bang Fair at the The Centre for Life, Newcastle; and the Imperial Festival and Imperial Fringe at Imperial College London and Natural History Museum (Nature Live talks). We will utilize the 'Think' digital presence to enhance learning from the workshops, show real-life applications and associated career pathways. This includes activities for children and parents to continue learning outside of school, resources for teachers, case studies of students studying these subjects and geologists working in the field, and engagement through video, podcasts and social media.
For outreach and public engagement via print and online media, we will work with a freelance science writer who will join one of the two field groups undertaking subglacial bedrock recovery drilling and subsequently report on this aspect of the project, as well as other parts of this project and Thwaites Glacier research generally, in online and print outlets in both the US and UK.
4. The project will support 3 early-career scientists, graduate and undergraduate research at Tulane University, University of Maine, University of Washington, and Imperial College London, and a PhD student hosted at British Antarctic Survey.
1. Mobile, dynamic, physical sea-level visualization: It is common practice in coastal and riverine cities throughout the US, UK, and elsewhere to mark the height of significant historical floods on buildings, telephone poles, or other structures. This provides a sense that city residents have endured shared hardships, a powerful reminder of vulnerability to natural processes, and a spur to planning and preparedness against future flooding. Brent Goehring (Tulane University, USA) will start with this idea, migrate it from past to future sea-level rise scenarios, and realize it as a mobile, dynamic visualization tool that attracts and fixes public attention.
2. Outreach to UK schools: We will undertake a programme of public engagement, in particular outreach to schools, through the existing 'Think Geophysics' initiative run by Woodward at Northumbria University, which builds on the nuSTEM project led by Northumbria (currently funded at £1.2 million by the Higher Education Funding Council for England). nuSTEM targets gender imbalance in physics at UK universities by changing the way young people engage with science during their school years and path to university, and works with 40 partner schools, aiming to engage over 100,000 young people by 2025. 'Think Geophysics' will adapt the nuSTEM cradle-to-career blueprint to environmental geochemistry and geophysics, aiming to inspire young people, particularly women and underrepresented groups, into science careers through the following actions: Engage pupils at 20 partner schools through 'Think Geophysics' workshops that cover climate change in Antarctica including sea level rise, introduce key concepts in geochemistry and geophysics, and allow children to explore these themselves through hands-on activities. In conjunction with a local artist, bespoke workshops will be developed to help young people explore scientific concepts of climate change through media not traditionally used in the teaching of geochemistry and geophysics.
3. Public engagement: We will also link to Centres, museums, festivals and events to target young people's support networks and bring 'Think Geophysics' to new audiences, specifically the Cambridge Science Festival (an established annual event attracting 25,000); the Annual Big Bang Fair at the The Centre for Life, Newcastle; and the Imperial Festival and Imperial Fringe at Imperial College London and Natural History Museum (Nature Live talks). We will utilize the 'Think' digital presence to enhance learning from the workshops, show real-life applications and associated career pathways. This includes activities for children and parents to continue learning outside of school, resources for teachers, case studies of students studying these subjects and geologists working in the field, and engagement through video, podcasts and social media.
For outreach and public engagement via print and online media, we will work with a freelance science writer who will join one of the two field groups undertaking subglacial bedrock recovery drilling and subsequently report on this aspect of the project, as well as other parts of this project and Thwaites Glacier research generally, in online and print outlets in both the US and UK.
4. The project will support 3 early-career scientists, graduate and undergraduate research at Tulane University, University of Maine, University of Washington, and Imperial College London, and a PhD student hosted at British Antarctic Survey.
Organisations
People |
ORCID iD |
Joanne Johnson (Principal Investigator) |
Publications
Adams J
(2022)
New 10 Be exposure ages improve Holocene ice sheet thinning history near the grounding line of Pope Glacier, Antarctica
in The Cryosphere
Adams J
(2022)
New 10 Be exposure ages improve Holocene ice sheet thinning history near the grounding line of Pope Glacier, Antarctica
in The Cryosphere
Balco G
(2023)
Reversible ice sheet thinning in the Amundsen Sea Embayment during the Late Holocene
in The Cryosphere
Braddock S
(2022)
Relative sea-level data preclude major late Holocene ice-mass change in Pine Island Bay
in Nature Geoscience
Braddock S
(2022)
Relative sea-level data preclude major late Holocene ice-mass change in Pine Island Bay
in Nature Geoscience
Herbert L
(2023)
Volcanogenic fluxes of iron from the seafloor in the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica
in Marine Chemistry
Johnson J
(2022)
Review article: Existing and potential evidence for Holocene grounding line retreat and readvance in Antarctica
in The Cryosphere
Studentship Projects
Project Reference | Relationship | Related To | Start | End | Student Name |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
NE/S006710/1 | 01/04/2019 | 31/12/2025 | |||
2751352 | Studentship | NE/S006710/1 | 01/10/2019 | 30/06/2023 | Jonathan Adams |
Description | The purpose of this project is to determine whether the West Antarctic Ice Sheet was ever smaller than present during the last ~12,000 years (the "Holocene") in the Thwaites Glacier-Pine Island Glacier region, and what conditions may have influenced ice sheet behaviour at that time. The work funded through this award had two strands: 1) retrieval and cosmogenic nuclide analysis of subglacial bedrock from two sites in the catchment, and 2) determination of a relative sea level record for Pine Island Bay using radiocarbon dating of organic material from beaches left behind after sea level fell following the last glacial maximum. Our methods and results are outlined as follows: Strand 1: Fieldwork in the Hudson Mountains, Antarctica, was undertaken in 2019-20. The primary objective of the fieldwork was to survey the area for suitable sites for subglacial bedrock recovery drilling. Three candidate sites were identified, and a drill site at Winkie Nunatak was chosen as the most suitable site. To aid with site selection, reconnaissance radar survey was undertaken at several nunatak sites and along an ice divide between Evans Knoll and Winkie/Webber Nunataks. In addition, 85 rock samples were collected for surface exposure dating from 14 out of the 16 peaks in the Hudson Mountains. 10Be and in situ 14C analysis of these is ongoing, and will provide a record of the timing and extent of ice sheet thinning during the last deglacial period. Drilling to retrieve bedrock from Winkie Nunatak was due to take place in the 2020-21 season but was postponed twice due to COVID-19. It finally took place in 2022-23. Unfortunately the drilling team were not able to recover bedrock due to a combination of logistical and technical difficulties. Lessons learned from the season will be published in due course. A successful subglacial bedrock drilling campaign was, however, undertaken at Mt Murphy, west of Thwaites Glacier, in 2019-20. Bedrock cores of 33 mm diameter were retrieved from 36-41 metres below the ice sheet surface at four boreholes. At three of these, the cores recovered were 114 to 137 cm long, with only a 7 cm-long core recovered at the fourth hole. Measurements of the concentration of the rare cosmogenic isotopes 10Be and in-situ 14C from depth profiles within each of these cores together show that the ice sheet surface at this site was at least 35 metres thinner than present for much of the past 3,000 years. This thinning was most likely associated with retreat of the grounded part of the ice sheet inland of its present margin. This is the first time that Antarctic bedrock has been recovered from beneath the ice sheet with the express purpose of understanding Holocene (i.e. last ~12,000 years) glacial history. Strand 2: The grant also supported a study of relative sea level change during the Holocene period in the Thwaites Glacier catchment. Radiocarbon dating of shells and penguin bones collected in 2018-19 from a series of islands located in Pine Island Bay, east of Thwaites Glacier, showed that there has been steady uplift of the earth's surface for at least the past 5,000 years. There was no evidence for changes in the rate of this rise that would be consistent with a large-scale ice sheet retreat. This result is consistent with the result from Strand 1, which showed only a small amount of ice thinning below present occurred during the late Holocene. It also supports the suggestion that today's extremely rapid retreat rates are unprecedented in the last 5,000 years. |
Exploitation Route | Results of our studies will be used by ice sheet and glacial-isostatic adjustment modellers to validate and improve model simulations of future change of Thwaites and Pine Island Glaciers. They will be highly relevant to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), who identified in their 2019 special report that an urgent challenge facing society is to understand "whether recent Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) mass loss could be irreversible over decades to millennia". |
Sectors | Environment |
URL | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-022-00961-y |
Title | Beryllium-10 exposure ages for Pope Glacier from a scoria cone 1.5 km west of Mount Murphy in the Amundsen Sea Embayment |
Description | The dataset contains 12 new Be-10 cosmogenic nuclide surface exposure ages. The samples were collected from a scoria cone 1.5 km west of Mt. Murphy an exposed volcanic edifice adjacent to Pope Glacier in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, Antarctica. Samples of erratic cobbles which showed evidence of transport by ice were collected over the 2015-2016 AmuNdsen Sea Embayment Exposure Dating (ANISEED) Field Season, prepared at the CosmIC laboratory, Imperial College London and measured for Be-10 at the Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation. Beryllium-10 concentrations were measured by Accelerated Mass Spectrometry (AMS). Samples were measured to determine timing of deglaciation of two rock outcrops to better constrain the ice sheet lowering history of Pope Glacier during the Holocene. Study forms part of the wider International Thwaites Glacier Collaboration Project (ITGC). Samples were collected by Dr. Joanne Johnson and Dr. Stephen Roberts (British Antarctic Survey), supported by field assistants Alistair Docherty and Iain Rudkin. Sample preparation for 10Be measurement was carried out by Jonathan Adams - PhD candidate affiliated with British Antarctic Survey/ Imperial College London under the supervision of Dr. Dylan Rood - Imperial College London. AMS measurements of Beryllium-10 concentrations were performed by Dr. Klaus Wilcken - Australia's Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation (ANSTO). National Science Foundation (NSF: Grant OPP-1738989) and Natural Environment Research Council (NERC: Grants NE/S006710/1, NE/S006753/1 and NE/K012088/1 and studentship to JRA). ITGC Contribution No. ITGC. |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2022 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | These data were used to constrain the timing of thinning of the ice sheet below its present elevation, derived from in situ 14C measurements in subglacial bedrock cores. The resulting paper is: Balco et al., 2022 (https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2022-172) |
URL | https://data.bas.ac.uk/full-record.php?id=GB/NERC/BAS/PDC/01661 |
Description | Antarctic science |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Schools |
Results and Impact | Schools talk - interest expressed by pupils |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
Description | IceWorlds Greenwich - Keir Nichols |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Keir Nichols attended IceWorlds Greenwich and talked to the general public about Antarctica and ice sheets. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Joanne Johnson featured in an article for The Guardian Magazine |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Joanne Johnson was interviewed for an article in the "Experience" column of the Guardian Magazine. The article produced was focused on her experience of undertaking remote fieldwork with only one person, someone she had never met before. Many people commented that they had appreciated the article and it had made them think about what Antarctic fieldwork must be like. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
URL | https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2020/oct/16/experience-i-made-a-friend-in-antarctica |
Description | Joanne Johnson filmed for Sky News broadcast |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Joanne Johnson was filmed at Rothera Research Station talking about Thwaites Glacier and its potential contribution to future sea level rise. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
Description | Joanne Johnson gave a talk and answered questions about her career and Antarctic research at STEM event with US Embassy for Women in Engineering Day |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Schools |
Results and Impact | The event was organised by STEM in partnership with the US Embassy, to celebrate Women in Engineering Day. Joanne was one of 3 speakers who gave a talk about their career and answered questions about their research. The event was introduced by Woody Johnson, and aimed at schools and teachers, as well as the general public. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
Description | Joanne Johnson interviewed for BBC Radio 4 PM |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Joanne Johnson gave a pre-recorded interview with Evan Davis for BBC Radio 4 PM show, about spending Christmas in Antarctica. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
URL | https://twitter.com/geologicalJo/status/1339135348731940864 |
Description | Joanne Johnson interviewed for BBC Radio, Paul Hudson Weather Show |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Joanne Johnson was interviewed for the BBC Paul Hudson Weather Show. She talked about this project and its context and importance for understanding the impact of climate change. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
Description | Joanne Johnson interviewed for BBC Songs of Praise (television) |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Television interview for broadcast, on the theme of climate change. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p09sn29l |
Description | Joanne Johnson interviewed for BBC The One Show |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Interviewed by Kevin Duala for The One Show, talking about dealing with isolation during Antarctic fieldwork. Also provided video footage and photos for showing during the Show. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
URL | https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000hbpb |
Description | Joanne Johnson interviewed for BBC Womens Hour (radio broadcast) |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Joanne Johnson was interviewed for BBC Womans Hour about the changing role of women in Antarctica. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m0012s7l |
Description | Joanne Johnson interviewed for Royal Museums Greenwich website article |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Interview that resulted in article for the IceWorlds Greenwich exhibition. The topic was living and working in Antarctica. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.rmg.co.uk/stories/topics/camping-in-antarctica-deep-field-research-polar-science |
Description | Joanne Johnson interviewed for pre-recorded broadcast by BBC Radio 4 Today Programme |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Joanne Johnson was interviewed at Rothera Research Station for a BBC Radio 4 programme edited by Greta Thunberg. This was broadcast on 30 December 2019. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Live interview on BBC Radio 4 Today Programme |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Joanne Johnson was interviewed live on BBC Radio 4 about this project and the fieldwork associated with it. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
URL | https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000gdsw |
Description | Northumbria University Geography department seminar given by Joanne Johnson |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Joanne Johnson gave a seminar to the Northumbria University Geography department outlining the results and interpretations of the project. Approximately 25 people attended, including university lecturers, head of faculty, and postgraduate students. They asked several questions. The talk exposed some of the postgraduate students to new research techniques. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | School visit (Cambridge) - Joanne Johnson |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Local |
Primary Audience | Schools |
Results and Impact | Joanne Johnson attended Girton Glebe Primary School, year 3 class, to talk about volcanic rocks. She spoke to 30 pupils and showed them rock samples and a microscope. The school reported great enthusiasm amongst the children about the visit. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Talk to Brownies about Antarctica |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Local |
Primary Audience | Third sector organisations |
Results and Impact | 12 girls attended for a short illustrated talk on living in Antarctica. They asked questions and had some discussion. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |