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The North Atlantic Climate System Integrated Study (ACSIS) - 1 year extension (NCEO)

Lead Research Organisation: University of Leicester
Department Name: National Centre for Earth Observation

Abstract

Major changes are occurring across the North Atlantic climate system: in oceanic and atmospheric temperatures and circulation, in sea ice thickness and extent, and in key atmospheric constituents such as ozone, methane and particles known as aerosols. Many observed changes are unprecedented in instrumental records. Changes in the North Atlantic directly affect the UK's climate, weather and air quality, with major economic impacts on agriculture, fisheries, water, energy, transport and health. The North Atlantic also has global importance, since changes here drive changes in climate, hazardous weather and air quality further afield, such as in North America, Africa, and Asia.

The ACSIS extension is a 1 year continuation of an ongoing 5-year strategic research programme called ACSIS: the North Atlantic Climate System Integrated Study.

ACSIS brings together and exploits a wide range of capabilities and expertise in the UK environmental science community. Its goal is to enhance the UK's capability to detect, attribute (i.e. explain the causes of) and predict changes in the North Atlantic Climate System. ACSIS is delivering new understanding of the North Atlantic climate system by integrating new and old observations of atmospheric physics and chemistry, of the ocean state and of Arctic ice, complemented by detailed data analysis and state-of-the-art computer simulations. Observations are obtained from diverse sources including NERC's observational sites in the North Atlantic, satellite remote sensing and the NCAS FAAM aeroplane. The computer modelling component is providing simulations of the atmosphere, ocean, and sea ice with unprecedented spatial detail.

The ACSIS extension will exploit advances made during the past 5 years to address specific new research questions which have arisen recently. It will investigate exciting evidence that changes in the climate of the North Atlantic/European region are much more predictable than was previously thought and will start to assess the impact of North Atlantic changes on the UK environment.

Publications

10 25 50
 
Description This study was able to perform a comparison between trends in satellite observed ozone in the atmosphere and the modelling of it over the same period in the UK climate-chemistry model. These comparisons of time series allow us to quantify differences and point to potential improvement routes in the model. The discrepancy between modelled and observed ozone trends for 2005-2018 could be linked to the model underestimating lower stratospheric ozone trends and associated stratosphere to troposphere transport. We also found that the modelled ozone is too strongly correlated to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) compared to observed ozone. This is linked to shortcomings in the lightning flashes parameterization so improved representation of this is important for the future.
Exploitation Route The outcomes should be used to assess the uncertainties in modelling of ozone and hence future predictions of ozone in the frame of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Sectors Environment

Healthcare

 
Description Copernicus Climate Change Service 
Organisation German Aerospace Centre (DLR)
Country Germany 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Production and provision of multi-year global data sets on aerosol, cloud/radiative fluxes and ozone from satellite observations
Collaborator Contribution Production and provision of other data sets on aerosol, cloud and ozone
Impact Outputs and outcomes from provision of satellite data sets to the Copernicus Climate Change Service are generally not directly traceable to our inputs. However, C3S information is accessed widely by the climate research community and is also accessed by policy makers and media. Journal papers exploiting C3S ozone data as supplied to C3S have been published by UK partners.
Start Year 2016
 
Title Figure plotting scripts/programs for Earth System Science Data publication https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2023-405 
Description These programs and scripts plot the Figures for the paper "Data supporting the North Atlantic Climate System: Integrated Studies (ACSIS) programme, including atmospheric composition, oceanographic and sea ice observations (2016-2022) and output from ocean, atmosphere, land and sea-ice models (1950-2050)" Preprint essd-2023-405, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2023-405.   The paper was jointly written by a large number of authors. The Figures were plotted by a small subset of the authors in a variety of plotting packages:   Figure 1 - Emily Matthewsa (Python) Figures 2,3 - Freya Squires (R) Figures 4,5 - Katie Read (R) Figures 6,7 - Mingxi Yang (matlab) Figure 8 - Maria Russo (IDL) Figure 9 - Bengamin Moat (matlab) Figs 10,11,12,13 - Alex Megann (Ferret journal files) Figs 14 - David Schroeder (R) 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2024 
Open Source License? Yes  
URL https://zenodo.org/doi/10.5281/zenodo.13972336