Illuminating the seismogenic zones of large, hazardous faults with seismic arrays
Lead Research Organisation:
University of Edinburgh
Department Name: Sch of Geosciences
Abstract
Earth's tectonic plates move past each other at cracks in Earth's crust called faults. Faults move in diverse ways - some faults slowly creep, while others are locked until they suddenly move in catastrophic earthquakes. We now understand that faults are not discrete planes but are zones of deformation, metres to kilometres wide. Laboratory and numerical models tell us that the structure and properties of fault zones control how a fault moves, including governing the size, speed, depth and direction of earthquakes - all factors that determine how much damage results from fault motion. To understand where and how earthquakes occur, and what their rupture styles are likely to be, we therefore have to better discern fault zone structure and controls on seismogenic behaviour.
The best way to 'see' inside faults is by deploying seismic arrays above them. Advances in seismic technology and computing power now make deploying dense seismic arrays in remote areas feasible. I will use seismic arrays to investigate rarely studied but globally significant faults that offer answers to pressing questions in earthquake science. Why do some faults continuously creep whereas others slip in sudden earthquakes? Why do only a small proportion of recorded earthquakes rupture at supershear speeds, with a corresponding increase in ground shaking? How do large spatial (and temporal) temperature variations influence the rupture of faults that are co-located with active volcanoes? Addressing these questions is critical to our ability to mitigate seismic hazard and better understand the physics of faulting and earthquakes.
The best way to 'see' inside faults is by deploying seismic arrays above them. Advances in seismic technology and computing power now make deploying dense seismic arrays in remote areas feasible. I will use seismic arrays to investigate rarely studied but globally significant faults that offer answers to pressing questions in earthquake science. Why do some faults continuously creep whereas others slip in sudden earthquakes? Why do only a small proportion of recorded earthquakes rupture at supershear speeds, with a corresponding increase in ground shaking? How do large spatial (and temporal) temperature variations influence the rupture of faults that are co-located with active volcanoes? Addressing these questions is critical to our ability to mitigate seismic hazard and better understand the physics of faulting and earthquakes.
Organisations
- University of Edinburgh (Lead Research Organisation)
- Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (Collaboration)
- Purdue University (Collaboration)
- Earth Observatory of Singapore (Collaboration)
- Syiah Kuala University (Collaboration)
- Government of Indonesia (Collaboration)
- University College London (Collaboration)
- Victoria University of Wellington (Collaboration)
Publications
Bin Abdul Rahman S
(2024)
Characterization and spatiotemporal variations of ambient seismic noise in eastern Bangladesh
in Frontiers in Earth Science
Feng M
(2023)
Pervasive Crustal Volcanic Mush in the Highly Stretched Sunda Plate Margin of Northern Sumatra
in Geophysical Research Letters
Lythgoe K
(2023)
Persistent asperities at the Kermadec subduction zone controlled by changes in forearc structure: 1976 and 2021 doublet earthquakes
in Earth and Planetary Science Letters
Yao J
(2025)
Seismic Structure of Singapore: Implications for Tectonics, Geothermal Energy Utilization, and Seismic Hazard Estimation
in Seismological Research Letters
| Description | LeNS UK: Large N Seismology for the UK science community |
| Amount | £647,331 (GBP) |
| Funding ID | NE/Z503757/1 |
| Organisation | Natural Environment Research Council |
| Sector | Public |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Start | 08/2024 |
| End | 09/2028 |
| Description | People-Centered Tsunami early Warning for the INdian coastlines (PCTWIN) |
| Amount | £910,074 (GBP) |
| Funding ID | NE/Z503496/1 |
| Organisation | Natural Environment Research Council |
| Sector | Public |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Start | 02/2024 |
| End | 02/2028 |
| Title | A New 3-D crustal velocity model of Singapore |
| Description | A New 3-D Crustal Velocity Model of Singapore via a joint inversion of P-wave Polarization and Receiver function and H-k stacking analysis. |
| Type Of Material | Computer model/algorithm |
| Year Produced | 2025 |
| Provided To Others? | Yes |
| Impact | Model shows near-surface structures in singapore including sediment thickness. It can be used for urban development, seismic hazard analysis and gives insight into singapore's geothermal potential. Publication that discusses model: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220240238 |
| URL | https://zenodo.org/records/14724085 |
| Title | Kermadec 2021 refined earthquake catalogue and slip models |
| Description | Earthquake catalogue and slip models for 2021 Kermadec earthquake sequence. From Lythgoe et al, Earth and Planetary Science Letters (Accepted). The ruptures of the 2021 Mw7.4 and Mw8.1 doublet earthquake sequence in the Kermadec subduction zone are investigated and compared to the 1976 doublet that occurred at the same location. We find that although the 2021 mainshock likely re-ruptured the same asperity as the 1976 Mw7.9 event, the detailed slip distribution is different. Other ruptures in the doublets also differ in character and location. Our observations indicate the variability between large earthquakes on the same segment of the plate boundary in each earthquake cycle. This high-seismicity segment is coincident with an isolated forearc sedimentary basin, possibly formed by basal erosion related to seismogenesis, suggesting that seismic slip has persisted here for several million years. Refined up-dip aftershock and background seismicity focal mechanisms have a steeper dip angle than the slab interface, suggesting these events are located within the subducting oceanic slab, possibly forming a rougher plate interface that facilitates basal erosion. We conclude that the stress heterogeneity within this bounded seismogenic zone is long-lived and has produced a rich spectrum of earthquake ruptures. |
| Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
| Year Produced | 2024 |
| Provided To Others? | Yes |
| Impact | This dataset allows other researchers to analyse the structure of the Kermadec subduction zone and the 2021 earthquakes. It allows other to reproduce the work in Lythgoe et al EPSL (2023). |
| URL | https://datashare.ed.ac.uk/handle/10283/8556 |
| Description | Collaboration with Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika - BMKG, Indonesia |
| Organisation | Government of Indonesia |
| Department | Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency |
| Country | Indonesia |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | Supervise PhD student Hasan Efendi - to start in April 2024. |
| Collaborator Contribution | Contribute a PhD scholarship, joint supervision (with Dr Muzli) and seismic data. |
| Impact | None yet |
| Start Year | 2024 |
| Description | Collaboration with Earth Observatory of Singapore |
| Organisation | Earth Observatory of Singapore |
| Country | Singapore |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | I am jointly supervising PhD student Win Oo regarding seismicity in the Central Myanmar Basin (we have a paper in preparation), and student Mingye Feng (paper published in 2023). I will jointly supervise a new PhD student with Lujia Feng. |
| Collaborator Contribution | Prof Shengji Wei's team, including PhD students Win Oo and Mingye Feng, are analyzing seismic nodal array data. A new PhD student with Lujia Feng will analyse GNSS data from Andaman and Sumatra region. |
| Impact | New PhD studentship funded by EOS. Feng, M., Wei., S., Chen, L., Umar, M., Lythgoe, K., Wang, T., Wu, Z.. (2023). Pervasive crustal volcanic mush in the highly stretched Sunda plate margin of northern Sumatra. Geophysical Research Letters, 50. |
| Start Year | 2023 |
| Description | Collaboration with Purdue, on seismic daylight imaging |
| Organisation | Purdue University |
| Country | United States |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | Providing seismic data to analyse a postulated fault at a geothermal site and idea to develop a seismic method. |
| Collaborator Contribution | Advice regarding data processing and analysis. |
| Impact | Lythgoe, K., Li, Y., Wei, S., Poh, J., Tjiawi, H. (2023), Fault zone identification using seismic noise autocorrelations at a prospective geothermal site in Singapore, EAGE Near-surface Geophysics Expanded Abstracts, 1-5. |
| Start Year | 2023 |
| Description | Collaboration with Syiah Kuala University, Banda Aceh, Indonesia |
| Organisation | Syiah Kuala University |
| Country | Indonesia |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | I led and funded the acquisition of seismic array data in Aceh, Sumatra. I am analyzing this data to investigate characteristics of seismicity in the fault system. |
| Collaborator Contribution | The Aceh team led by Prof Muksin Umar have followed a conventional workflow to detect earthquakes and conduct travel time tomography. One PhD student (Arif) is preparing a manuscript on seismicity, another student (Nadiatul Asra) is lead author on a submitted manuscript focusing on the secondary Pidia Jaya Fault system. |
| Impact | Lythgoe, K., U. Muksin, Arifullah, A. Simanjuntak, and Wei, S., (2022). Striking out into the field to track slip on the Sumatran fault. Eos, 103, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EO220140 Asra, N. Umar M., Muzli, Arifullah, Wei S., Simanjuntak A., Muchlis, Muzakir Z., Idris, Y., Jousset P., Nugraha A. D., Hendrawan Palgunadi K., Lythgoe, K.. Geometry and characteristics of the Pidia Jaya Fault System (Northern Sumatra) from refined seismicity and tomography. (In Review at Journal of Asian Earth Sciences). |
| Start Year | 2020 |
| Description | Collaboration with UCL and Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS) |
| Organisation | Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services |
| Country | India |
| Sector | Public |
| PI Contribution | I am leading the analysis of seismic data for seismic and tsuami hazard assessment in offshore areas surrounding India. |
| Collaborator Contribution | INCOIS are providing seismic data and jointly conducting analysis. UCL are leading the project overall and taking the learnings from the seismic component for tsunami modelling. |
| Impact | We are awaiting official award commencement from UKRI. |
| Start Year | 2024 |
| Description | Collaboration with UCL and Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS) |
| Organisation | University College London |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | I am leading the analysis of seismic data for seismic and tsuami hazard assessment in offshore areas surrounding India. |
| Collaborator Contribution | INCOIS are providing seismic data and jointly conducting analysis. UCL are leading the project overall and taking the learnings from the seismic component for tsunami modelling. |
| Impact | We are awaiting official award commencement from UKRI. |
| Start Year | 2024 |
| Description | Collaboration with Victoria University of Wellington, NZ |
| Organisation | Victoria University of Wellington |
| Country | New Zealand |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | I am supervising a Masters student and co-supervising a PhD student using SALSA data to image the subsurface around the Alpine Fault, NZ. |
| Collaborator Contribution | Contributed new seismic data from the SALSA array. |
| Impact | No outcomes yet |
| Start Year | 2023 |
| Description | Dynamic Earth Careers Showcase |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Schools |
| Results and Impact | Had a stall at the Dynamic Earth Careers Showcase representing the School of Geosciences in Edinburgh, and geophysics generally. Set up a raspberry shake to display live seismic data with audience participation. Inspired students to get involved in geophysics. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2025 |
