Young people in the great recession: Comparative analysis of international longitudinal data resources

Lead Research Organisation: University College London
Department Name: Quantitative Social Science

Abstract

The motivation for this network originated in an idea for research on young people in difficult times from Walter Heinz (Bremen), John Bynner(London) and Glen Elder (Chapel Hill North Carolina), who since July 2010 initiated a number of meetings to discuss the potential for comparative international research collaborations. Their initiative was inspired by Glen Elder's path breaking book 'Children of the Great Depression' (Elder, 1979/1999) documenting the developmental effects of a global economic crisis, highlighting the particular vulnerabilities of young people making the transition into adulthood during a time in which the steps for getting ahead in life had changed dramatically.
Today, new cohorts are making their way to adulthood, amidst uncertainty brought on by the transformation of an increasingly global labour market, and accentuated by the current financial crisis which is being experienced and responded to in different ways depending upon the national and regional context. What will happen to the current cohorts of young people is uncertain, raising the spectre of lost generations. Life course scientists face the challenge of making sense of what is happening, identifying what is unique to the current recession and what is part of other long term trends, and then to use the resulting knowledge to inform policy.

Prior meetings of the emerging network have taken place in Munich (July 2010, funded by the DFG), London (September 2010, funded by the Nuffield Foundation), London (March, 2011, funded by the ESRC), Ann Arbor (May 2011, U of Michigan, funded by the ISR and SRCD) and have led to the formation of teams or research consortia held together by joint research interests. Currently funds are being raised to run additional workshops and seminars, and this proposal is one of these attempts to raise monies for three London workshops. Funding for a meeting in Bremen during November 2011 has already been confirmed. The funding model for each of the London workshops is to cover the attendance of 10 UK longitudinal researchers, including three early career researchers, plus 3 researchers from each of the two overseas partner consortia. Other participants will be home-funded making up to 30-40 in total.

The London workshops will have both short-, medium- and long-term written and other communication products and will contribute to methodological innovation and capacity building within the social science community. Anticipated outcomes and project milestones include:
a. A special issue of a journal (e.g., Journal of Social Issues or International Journal of Longitudinal and Life-course Studies) based on the papers and reports that will be presented at the meetings
b. Symposia at national and international conferences (e.g. SRCD meeting on Transitions to Adulthood, the next SLLS and BSA conferences)
c. Recommendations to the PIs responsible for ongoing longitudinal studies about new measures and scales to be added, aiming for a harmonized approach of data collection (e.g., forthcoming waves of Understanding Society, the Birth Cohort Studies, LSYPE, and the US NLSY and NICHD Study of Early Child Care)
d. Recommendations and reports to the ESRC, DFG and the US National Science Foundation addressing issues of comparative approaches and harmonized measures
e. Newsletter briefings and synopses of findings to be circulated to academic and nonacademic researchers and policy makers

This is the time to lay the basis for what is likely to be an ongoing study of the effects of the current 'Great Recession' on young people's life trajectories and life chances - a window of opportunity, which must not be missed. Doing so in a coordinated way necessitates the structured organization of meetings with hard deadlines, required products, and the goal of being widely visible and practically useful to social science researchers. We have the track record to ensure that these plans can be realised.

Planned Impact

There are five key groups who will benefit from the networks' programme: academics from a range of disciplines; early career researchers and PhD students; policy makers in national and local government and related agencies and think tanks; educational professionals and practitioners; the wider public. The impact plan will focus on directly reaching all five of them. Through informing and influencing these groups, and inviting them to the workshops, we would hope to create a 'trickle-down' effect which would impact on all potential beneficiaries.

The proposed activities of the network address directly three of the current ESRC strategic priorities, i.e. health and wellbeing, understanding individual behaviour, and social diversity and population dynamics. The network's programme will add value and maximise the international scientific, economic and societal impact of current work through international collaboration, providing access to data resources and expertise from overseas, and creating an ongoing international and interdisciplinary research network. It will facilitate capacity building and support the next generation of world-class researchers engaged in the use of longitudinal data sets by creating opportunities for networking and exchange of ideas among early career researchers and senior staff involved in state-of-the art research at highly prestigious institutions.

The research conducted will help answer questions about the causal processes that lead to positive and negative adaptations to economic stress. Developing a better understanding of these causal pathways can:
a) support improved quality and better targeting of services directed at young people
b) provide evidence to inform current policies focused on improving life chances of those whose transitions are the most problematic such as for those leaving school early, those not in education employment or training (NEET), teenaged parents and carers, etc.
c) raise awareness of the factors that have a positive impact on youth transitions and their outcomes in education employment, family life, citizenship and health

The insights gained will be of immense value to policy makers, offering a comparative framework against which UK policy initiatives aiming to support young people in the time of economic crisis can be set against those of other countries. Government priorities, such as developing apprenticeship as the main transition route for young people not going to university can be viewed against shifts in the willingness of employers to take on young people, the changing levels of government support available, and how these vary internationally. Those working in the Education, Youth, Social and Health services will gain better understanding of how to target and adapt their provision to young people's need, and employers how to improve and target better their recruitment and training.

The findings will be disseminated widely across social science, policy and practice. In addition to presenting them at national conferences and workshops and publishing them in peer reviewed journals, a 'main findings' research summary will be made accessible to the general public via our website and the media. Other users of the longitudinal datasets will be alerted to the findings through e-newsletters posted on the relevant websites. Through the research centres participating in the network there is extensive experience of effective means of communicating longitudinal research findings in an easily accessible manner, and the means of accessing the data on which the findings are based that will be capitalised on to the full.
 
Description We held 2 international workshops at the Institute of Education in London, 1 workshop at the University of Bremen, and 1 policy workshop at the Cabinet Office.

In the first workshop we assessed the comparability of markers of the transition to adulthood, their antecedents and associated outcomes in the UK, US and Germany using information from panel study data. The findings suggest that some indicators, such as education and partnership are more difficult to compare than others, such as employment or parenthood. Furthermore, the economic downturn appears to have had different effects in different countries, and varied for different age groups. The Great Recession has to be understood as a variable feature of the current epoch, and government policy and the prevailing international macroeconomic circumstances are key drivers of the emerging development of the next generations.

The second workshop focused on issues related to the analysis and teasing out of pre-existing trends and direct recession effects on young people's education and employment trajectories. The use of regional indicators and employment statistics as well as macro level indicators of GDP and low growth, suggests variations in response to the recession, pointing to pockets of resilience versus deep vulnerability and a growing precariat experiencing long spells of career instability.

The third workshop examined the wider effects of the recession on youth transitions, focusing not only on participation in education and employment, independent living, partnership and family formation, but also on psycho-social outcomes, such as health, aspirations, outlook to the future and civic engagement. The findings from the presentations suggest that the effect of the recession has been relatively small (compared to pre-existing trends), is not consistent across outcomes, and varies by countries and for different subgroups of the population. They point to the role of institutional levers as well as individual characteristics in shaping opportunities. Across the different studies education appears to be a significant predictor of subsequent demographic behaviour.

The policy workshop stimulated a debate especially regarding the importance of sub group analysis, the role of churning during the period of first labour market entry, and the implications for longer term outcomes in the labour market. Another issue concerned the skills and qualifications needed during the economic downturn for enabling flexible response to economic ebbs and flows, and the perceptions and attitudes of young people towards work, different types of work, and receipt of benefits.

We have addressed some of these issues in more detail in a special section of the Journal of Longitudinal and Life Course Studies. Moreover, and most recently (January 2017) Schoon in collaboration with Mortimer edited a special section in the International Journal of Psychology on 'Youth and the Great Recession - are values, achievement orientation and outlook to the future affected? '. Moreover, new evidence regarding these questions and issues will be presented in an edited book (Schoon and Bynner are joint editors) on Young People's Development and the Great Recession: Uncertain Transitions and Precarious Futures, published by Cambridge University Press (the book is currently in print and will be released in summer 2017).

Evidence from Europe and the United States suggests that the impact of the recession varies for distinct outcomes and by age, the latter pointing to potential sensitive periods for interventions. Although the direct effects of the recession are not as dramatic as we originally thought, they accelerate pre-existing trends towards more prolonged and precarious transitions to independence, and are likely to bring with them long-term scarring with respect to health and wellbeing. Of special concern are problems of entering the labour market, which now also affect graduates, and the growth of low paid, temporary employment, especially regarding the 'gig' economy. Moreover, while feelings of self-confidence and self-worth have eroded, young people continue to subscribe to the "American Dream," the belief that in principle it is possible to make it - even if limitations to one's own capabilities are recognised. Trust in institutions has declined, but support and concern for others have increased, suggesting that in times of economic hardship and uncertainty social relationships become more salient. Young people's response to the recession appears to be less of a "me-first" reaction than "let's help each other": a form of "collective agency" to counter the inadequacy of social safety nets.
Exploitation Route We have established a highly motivated international team of researchers and are continuing the study of transition experiences of young people, examining the short- and longer-term impacts of recession effects.

The team has published a special section in in Longitudinal and Life Course Studies comprising seven articles with evidence on the experiences of young people in the recession from the US, UK and Germany. Another special section on 'Youth and the Great Recession - are values, achievement orientation and outlook to the future affected? '(edited by Schoon and Mortimer) has most recently (January 2017) been published by the International Journal of Psychology.

Furthermore, we now have submitted the manuscript for a book publication on 'Young People's Development and the Great Recession: Uncertain Transitions and Precarious Futures' to our publishers Cambridge University. the book is currently in press and will be out in summer 2017.

The findings were of great interest to the Department of Work and Pensions, and Schoon was invited to a series of advisory meetings. the findings will be used in preparation of the forthcoming Social Justice Green Paper
Sectors Communities and Social Services/Policy,Education,Government, Democracy and Justice

 
Description The findings of our research group had a long reach. They are relevant for academics from a range of disciplines (including early career researchers), policy makers, educational professionals and the wider public aiming to steer the institutionalised pathways and interventions aiming to prepare young people for making the step into adulthood and obtaining economic independence in a global context. Following the seminar series and associated workshops with policy makers and education professionals, research on the topic was continued, resulting in the publication of 1 book, 2 special issues and a number of research papers in academic journals. The findings were widely disseminated and reached diverse audiences at the national and international level. Following presentations to international partners there were collaborations towards the harmonisation of questions used in studies on school-to-work transitions (e.g. Growing Up in Ireland and the Swiss Longitudinal Study on Transitions from Education to Employment (TREE) ). To reach our target audience we held three international workshops between 2012 and 2014 aimed at academics (described in the section on Key Findings), a policy workshop at the Cabinet Office, and engaged in different dissemination activities to reach a wider audience, including educational professionals and the wider public: In April 2013 we were invited to the Cabinet Office to present and discuss our findings with policy makers and researchers. The findings have influenced further debates among policy makers regarding the improvement of vocational training and competence development of young people (focus on cognitive as well as social and emotional skills). In May 2013 Schoon was invited by the Education and Employer Task Force to give a presentation on Young People's career expectations and their impact on the transition to adulthood. The presentation stimulated discussions with professional organisations and teachers about how to prepare young people for a changing future and how to engage employers in education. http://www.educationandemployers.org/research/young-peoples-career-expectations-and-their-impact-on-the-transition-to-adulthood/ In September 2013 Schoon was invited to give a Keynote at the Penn State' Annual Symposium on Family Issues, on 'Diverging Pathways: Rethinking the Transition to Adulthood'. The paper was commented on by US academic colleagues and published in a book edited by P. Amato, A. Booth, S. McHale, & J. Van Hook in 2015 providing opportunity for further knowledge exchanges with international academics, policy makers, and other interested organisations. http://www.pop.psu.edu/event/587/21st-annual-symposium-family-issues-%E2%80%93-diverging-destinies-families-era-increasing-inequality In 2014 the network published a Special Section in Longitudinal and Life Course Studies, edited by Jeylan Mortimer, on Youth, economic hardship, and the worldwide "Great Recession". The special section included seven contributions from our network and has reached a wide international readership. http://www.llcsjournal.org/index.php/llcs/issue/view/26 In July 2014 Ingrid Schoon started a research professorship at the Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin (WZB) to conduct a comparative analysis of risk and resilience in the transition to adulthood. The secondment is funded for 5 years. https://www.wzb.eu/en/persons/ingrid-schoon In September 2014 Schoon was invited to give a keynote for the 1st International Conference of the Berlin Interdisciplinary Education Research Network (BIEN) at the Deutsches Institute für Wirtschaft (DIW), Berlin, I.: Preparing for the Transition to Adulthood: The role of school experiences. The discussions highlighted in particular the effectiveness of supporting so-called non-cognitive skills, such as school motivation, self-regualtion and self awareness to facilitate a smooth school-to-work transition and stimulated plans for collaborative and comparative research among interdisciplinary teams of educational researchers and professionals. http://bien-edu.net/1-bien-jahrestagung-hat-stattgefunden/ In October 2014 Schoon was invited to give a keynote on ' Making it Against the Odds: Diverse Strategies and Successful Adaptation' at the SRCD special topic meeting on Positive Youth Development in Prague, stimulating discussion and debate with international scholars and policy makers about a global response to young people's experiences in the great recession. http://www.srcd.org/sites/default/files/documents/invited_program_summary.pdf . A book publication of the proceedings (edited by Anne Petersen) has been published in 2016 by Routledge: https://www.taylorfrancis.com/books/e/9781315307268 In January 2015 Schoon was invited to deliver a Masterclass on 'Becoming Adults in the 21st Century Britain: Rethinking transitions to adulthood' to the Department of Business, Innovation and Skill (BIS) at Westminster (with Karen Evans) - which had 142 views. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D5c3orR4KDg?dex=2&list=PLBKSiHxV0EKb_Q7divA1mhGLOJEssoKIl In July 2015 Bynner and Schoon received a contract from Cambridge University Press to publish a book on 'Young People's Development and the Great Recession: Uncertain Transitions and Precarious Futures'. The book was published in 2017, comprising contributions of the workshops as well as a final discussion and evaluation with comments from Glen Elder and Walter Heinz. https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/young-peoples-development-and-the-great-recession/2EB9B375339F3835FC7AD8386124D620 Also in July 2015 a call went out for a special issue on young people and the Great Recession in the International Journal of Psychology, to be edited by Ingrid Schoon and Jeylan Mortimer http://oowsection.org/2015/07/23/call-for-papers-a-proposal-for-a-special-section-in-the-international-journal-of-psychology/ . In January 2017 the special section on 'Youth and the Great Recession - are values, achievement orientation and outlook to the future affected?' was published in the International Journal of Psychology, 52(1), 1-8: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27878820 In October 2015 Schoon organised a symposium on 'Transitions to Adulthood in Context' at the conference of the International Society for Longitudinal and Life Course Studies in Dublin. http://www.slls.org.uk/#!programme/cxv2 In November 2015 Schoon was invited to become a member of the Scientific Advisory Team for the 'Growing up in Ireland' Longitudinal Study , and in 2016 she became a member of the Scientific Advisory Board for the Swiss Longitudinal Study 'Transitionen von der Erstausbildung ins Erwerbsleben (Transition from Education to Employment)´(TREE) In January 2016 Schoon was invited to join a Plenary debate on 'inequality in educational transitions' at an International Conference organized by the College for Interdisciplinary Educational Research at the Social Science Centre (WZB ), Berlin. http://www.ciderweb.org/conference In April 2016 Schoon (Ingrid) and Lyons-Amos (mark) published a paper on ' Diverse pathways in becoming an adult: the role of structure, agency and context.' in Research in Social Stratification and Mobility. ISSN 02765624. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0276562416300178 In May 2016 was asked to give advise the Department for Work and Pensions on how to support competence development among adolescents and young adults, focusing on vulnerable young people and those at risk of NEET. In June 2016 Schoon was invited to give a Keynote Lecture on 'Making it against the odds: diverse strategies and successful adaptation in school-to-work transitions in England' at the Llakes Research Conference 'Growing Up and Global Austerity: comparing youth opportunities, aspirations and civic values around the world In June 2016 Schoon also was invited to give a keynote lecture on 'Diverse Strategies and Successful Adaptation in the Transition to Adulthood' at the International Conference on Beliefs and Behavior in Education and Culture, West University of Timisoara, Romania In January 2017 Schoon was asked to provide advice to the Department for Work on Pensions regarding the specification of a family life course framework related to the development of the Social Justice Green Paper. In June 2017 Schoon was invited to give a keynote on "Young People in Uncertain Times: Making the Transition from School to Work" at the International Conference on Occupations and Social Inequality at the German Institute of Employment Research (IAB), Nürnberg. https://www.xing-events.com/cosi2017.html In September 2017 Schoon was invited to present a keynote on "Diversity in the transition from school to work: The role of structure, agency and time" at the 3rd International Conference on Transitions in Youth, Young Adulthood and Beyond, University of Bern. http://www.tree.unibe.ch/events/events/tree_conference_2017/index_ger.html In June 2018 Schoon was invited to give a keynote on "Structure and agency in the transition from school-to-work. A socio-ecological developmental approach" at the German Institute for International Pedagogical Research, PHDIPF Academy, Frankfurt In November 2018 Schoon was invited to presented a keynote on "Navigating the transition to adulthood: The role of structure and agency" at the Annual Conference of Growing Up in Ireland, the National Longitudinal Study of Children in Dublin, Ireland. The conference was attended by the Irish minister for Children and Youth Affairs. https://www.growingup.ie/information-for-researchers/gui-conferences/
First Year Of Impact 2013
Sector Education,Government, Democracy and Justice
Impact Types Societal

 
Description Research Professor at the Social Science Centre Berlin (WZB) 
Organisation WZB Berlin Social Science Center
Country Germany 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The Research Professorship is funded by the WZB and covers 3 months of my time to be spend in Berlin
Collaborator Contribution The Research Professorship with a focus on the Transition to Adulthood in Times of Social Change is funded by the WZB which covers 3 months of my time to be spend in Berlin. In addition the WZB has supported the organization of an annual Anglo-German Workshop on "Skill Formation in Context" which are held in Berlin and London
Impact Schoon, I. & Bynner J. (Eds.) (2017). Young People's Development and the Great Recession: Uncertain Transitions and Precarious Futures. Cambridge University Press Schoon I. & Mortimer, J.T. (2017). Youth and the Great Recession - are values, achievement orientation and outlook to the future affected? International Journal of Psychology, 52(1), 1-8 Ng-Knight, T. & Schoon, I. (2017). Can locus of control compensate for socioeconomic adversity in the transition from school to work? Journal of Youth and Adolescence, 46(10), 2114-2128 Schoon, I., & Ng-Knight, T. (2017). Co-development of educational expectations and effort: their antecedents and role as predictors of academic success. Research in Human Development, 14(2), 161-176 Schoon I. & Lyons-Amos, M. (2017). A socio-ecological model of agency. The role of psycho-social and socio-economic resources in shaping education and employment transitions in England. Longitudinal and Life Course Studies, 8(1), 35-56 NgKnight, T. and I. Schoon (2016). Disentangling the influence of socioeconomic risks on children's early self concept. Journal of Personality. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jopy.12288/full Symonds, J., I. Schoon, and K. Salmela-Aro (2016). Developmental trajectories and emotional disengagement from schoolwork and their longitudinal associations in England. British Educational Research Journal. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/berj.3243/full#references, 2016. Schoon, I. and M. Lyons-Amos (2016). Diverse pathways in becoming an adult: the role of structure, agency and context. Research in Social Stratification and Mobility. ISSN 02765624. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0276562416300178, 2016.
Start Year 2014
 
Description Delivering a Masterclass to the Department of Business, Innovation and Skills on 'Becoming Adults in the 21st Century Britain: Rethinking transitions to adulthood'.(with Karen Evans) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact about 60 people attended this event which was also put onto youtube
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
URL https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D5c3orR4KDg&index=2&list=PLBKSiHxV0EKb_Q7divA1mhGLOJEssoKIl
 
Description Invited Keynote on 'Making it Against the Odds: Diverse Strategies and Successful Adaptation' for the SRCD special topic meeting on positive youth transitions in Prague. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact international interest in what can be done to protect young people from the effects of a global economic downturn and uncertainty
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://srcd.org/meetings/2014-special-topic-meetings/3-positive-youth-development
 
Description Invited keynote: Conceptualising transitions within a life-course framework. The role of structure, agency, and time. Paper presented at the International Conference 'Doing Transition' held at the Goethe University of Frankfurt 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact About 150 delegates attended this international conference on 'Doing Transtions'. Transition research has developed and diversified across different disciplines, epistemological interests and approaches as well as research methodologies, partly driven by the scientific community, partly by national and international political actors - and one may argue that the latter have been particularly influential in setting the agenda. These developments have resulted in a research scenery which is difficult to be overlooked while there seems to be a lack of theory on transitions. Research seems to operate with different understandings of transitions which are rarely made explicit. In fact, the meaning of transitions seems to be self-evident and to connect smoothly with other research phenomena and paradigms that theoretical clarification appears to be dispensable.
This conference provided an opportunity to take stock of concepts and controversies, findings and insights, perspectives and paradigms of transition research in the life course in the last three decades as well as open questions in order to find common ground for theorising transitions.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://doingtransitions.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/FlyerTransitionsconference20170411.pdf
 
Description Invited keynote: Diversity in the transition from school to work: The role of structure, agency and time. 3rd International Conference on Transitions in Youth, Young Adulthood and Beyond, University of Bern 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact About 100 delegates attended this international conference on Transitions in Youth and Young Adulthood. The conference served as a platform for scientific exchange among researchers working with longitudinal data in this field. With a growing number of longitudinal surveys internationally, there is also a growing potential for comparative research.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.tree.unibe.ch/events/events/tree_conference_2017/index_ger.html
 
Description Invited keynote: Young People in Uncertain Times: Making the Transition from School to Work. Paper presented at the International Conference on Occupations and Social Inequality at the German Institute of Employment Research (IAB), Nürnberg 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact About 100 delegates including policy makers, social researchers, post-graduate students and practioners attended this conference, examining the role of occupations as a decisive 'motors' for the (re-)production of social inequalities. Occupations comprise not only groups of individuals who perform similar activities and have comparable skills and competencies. They also confer social power to their members which is deriving from their occupational positions within the social division of labour. In many welfare states, occupations are an institution connecting the education system and the labour market. Particularly in vocationally organised labour markets, vocational (and academic) certificates not only signal a certain amount of education, but also suggest that job applicants have acquired a certain bundle of general and occupation-specific skills. As a consequence, occupational certificates are necessary prerequisites for finding and keeping stable and regular employment. At the same time, they limit access to specific occupations and associated resources such as prestige and income. Thus, occupations are a decisive mechanism of social stratification by social origin, gender and ethnicity.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.xing-events.com/cosi2017.html
 
Description invited presentation 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Third sector organisations
Results and Impact Ingrid Schoon was invited to give a presentation on 'The transitions from school to work: The role of young people's health' at the German Youth Institute, Munich, 9 May 2017. Plans for future funding collaborations focusing on the role of young people's health in shaping their transition from school to work, and the impact of the transition onto young people's health was discussed, and funding opportunities evaluated.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016