The relationship between ideology and political practice, with Iran as the case study

Lead Research Organisation: University of Oxford
Department Name: Politics and International Relations

Abstract

This research will examine the relationship between ideology and political practice, with Iran as the case study. More specifically, it will assess Iran's international policy on political and armed conflicts in the Middle East 2005-2015, covering Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon. It will investigate whether Iran's policies and actions in this period have been a challenge to the prevailing international ideology, or simply a geostrategic manoeuvre. I will aim to highlight the relevance of an ideological dimension, in particular to Iran's foreign policy on Middle Eastern conflicts, and which includes a high ideological affinity between Iran and the movements it supported.
The choice of approaches for establishing whether Iran's policy can be explained most effectively in terms of interests alone , or whether ideological considerations played a role , is crucial for this research. Two different theoretical models initially appear suitable for the task: one belonging to the realist or neorealist school, with the second combining the English school's historical approach, and the constructivist focus on ideology. In order to assess ideological affinity, the first step will be to trace the contours of Iran's official political ideology in the 21st century. For this, both official documents and intellectuals' original material can be used, as well as secondary sources. The most challenging task is to examine the ideological line of those political movements Iran either supported or opposed. Since the period considered here is recent (2005-2015), there is no lack of primary sources available, along with first-hand accounts of the aims and policies of those movements. Concerning the range of historical and empirical material, I would focus on Iran's impact on the political conflicts in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and possibly Afghanistan. This choice is dictated by geographical proximity, and thus strategic importance, as well as by the highly international dimension of these particular conflicts.

Publications

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Pegolo V (2021) The Geopolitics of Iran

Studentship Projects

Project Reference Relationship Related To Start End Student Name
ES/P000649/1 30/09/2017 29/09/2028
1925865 Studentship ES/P000649/1 30/09/2017 02/03/2022 Valentina Pegolo
 
Description Through the course of my 2 years MPhil, I have looked at the way in which ideas influence Iran's foreign policy. I have concluded that the relationship is more complicated than many media and policy circles hold it to be. I demonstrated that there is no clear evidence of a correlation between the ideology and discourse of the Iranian Republic, and the policy they have implemented regionally in the Middle East between 2009-2017. This finding disproves the claim that ideology is teh key driving force of Iranian foreign policy, and provides support for the scholars that point at an evolution in Iran's approach to the world towards pragmatism.

At the same time, the findings of my MPhil thesis showed that there is evidence for a correlation between Iranian ideology and their global posture towards the West and the international system as a whole. In the same time period, 2009-2017, my analysis of policies and speeches has shown that ideas that guided the creation of the Islamic identity of Iran during the 1979 are still very much at the forefront of the decision making process for policies that concern Iran's relationship with the West, US and Europe in particular.

These two different pattern show that ideology does matter in Iran's foreign policy, but it does so conditionally to the issues at hand: the more vital the issues are seen for Iran's regime survival and state identity, the stronger the influence of ideology; the less vital these issues are, as in regional negotiations, the more likely it is that ideology does not play a decisive role in the shaping of policy outcomes.
Exploitation Route These outcomes show the need for a more sophisticated diplomatic and foreign policy approach to Iran. They highlight the need to differentiate between vital and secondary issues in the on-going negotiations for the survival of Iran's nuclear deal; this needs to be done not by applying the criteria of what counts as a vital issue from the experience of Western countries, but by looking at the unique intersection between necessity and ideology in the case of Iran. For instance, the way in which ideas of autonomy and independence have evolved in the ideology of Iran have connected to the symbol of possessing nuclear power: hence, the possession of nuclear technology per se has become a vital issue to the Iranian regime.
On the other hand, this research shows that there is more room to negotiate than expected if one is willing to engage with Iran as a legitimate player in the Middle East and wider region: for this has shown to be the field in which Iran is more willing to adopt pragmatic solutions and compromise. By bundling together the issue of nuclear proliferation with not only sanction relief, but the prospect of the creation of some form of regional cooperation it may be possible to alleviate enough the sense of insecurity and isolation that is driving Iran's aggressive policy.
Sectors Government

Democracy and Justice

Security and Diplomacy

 
Description I have written two political opinion pieces publishes on the news outlet "Jacobin". One in particular dealt with how my approach to ideology could help us make sense of the on-going crisis in May-August 2019 concerning the mutual seizure of two oil tanks on part of British and Iranian forces. This has sparked a private conversation with some professionals on the matter.
First Year Of Impact 2019
Sector Government, Democracy and Justice,Security and Diplomacy
Impact Types Policy & public services

 
Description Article: "Kowtowing to Egypt's Military Regime Is Letting It Get Away With Murder" 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Kowtowing to Egypt's Military Regime Is Letting It Get Away With Murder
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://jacobinmag.com/2020/12/egypt-military-regime-italy-eu-foreign-policy
 
Description Article: Trump's "Maximum Pressure" on Iran Is Making COVID-19 Worse 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Trump's "Maximum Pressure" on Iran Is Making COVID-19 Worse
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://jacobinmag.com/2020/04/iran-sanction-regime-coronavirus-covid-crisis-trump
 
Description Blog post: "Will the Raisi administration reinforce Iranian pragmatism in Afghanistan?" 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Will the Raisi administration reinforce Iranian pragmatism in Afghanistan?
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://research.sharqforum.org/2021/07/16/will-the-raisi-administration-reinforce-iranian-pragmatis...
 
Description Italy in the Middle East: The disconnect between geopolitics and arm diplomacy 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Italy in the Middle East: The disconnect between geopolitics and arm diplomacy.

Long piece (10 pages) in depth analysis. Published by outlet engaged in promoting and monitoring Turko-European relations, as well as monitoring democracy and human rights in Middle East
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://research.sharqforum.org/2021/05/04/italy-in-the-middle-east-the-disconnect-between-geopoliti...
 
Description Produced opinion piece on Iran-British relationship, and the role of ideology therein. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact I intended to raise the issue of how we think of Iran's ideology to the wider general public through this piece. I choose an on-going confrontation (the seizure of STENA IMPERO and Grace I in the summer 2019) to highlight this.

My piece was reposted on two other independent media channels after its first publication on the Jacobin.

A German professional contacted me through Linkedin following the publication to discuss my views on the matter.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2019
URL https://jacobinmag.com/2019/08/iran-united-kingdom-navy-tensions
 
Description SPEAKER AT WEBINAR: 'IRAN'S ROLE IN THE MIDDLE EAST AFTER THE VIENNA PROCESS' 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact Presented on topic: 'Iran's position in between regions: current trends and future predictions' in June 2021 at a virtual seminar at CIHAN UNIVERSITY DUHOK, IRAQ in front of 200+ audience of researchers and students.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
 
Description The Suez Canal Blockage activating the Iranian-forgotten International North-South Transport Corridor 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Blog post commenting on Iran's geopolitical manoeuvres in light of Suez Canal blockade. The organisation through which it was published (MEPEI) engages Middle Eastern ambassadors to Romania and other European countries to provide them with policy analysis.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://mepei.com/the-suez-canal-blockage-activating-the-iranian-forgotten-international-north-south...
 
Description Took part as an expert guest speaker in Oxford PPE society debate on Trump's policy on Iran 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Undergraduate students
Results and Impact During this debate I had a chance to present my position on the on-going development in Iranian-US relations. I thus presented my idea of the conditional influence of ideology in Iran's policymaking (derived from the results of my MPhil), and the danger that we were facing in treating the Iranian political system as a monolith.

I was luck enough to share the stage with Professor Yossi Mekelberg, who is a specialist on Middle East policy at Chatham House. We took questions for the audience at the end of the debate.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://www.facebook.com/events/511131059825235/