Cloud-aERosol inTeractions & their impActs IN The earth sYstem (CERTAINTY)

Lead Participant: IMPERIAL COLLEGE LONDON

Abstract

Cloud, aerosols and their interactions are key regulators of climate. However, uncertainties in the magnitude of the net cooling impact
of aerosols on climate and in the cloud response to evolving anthropogenic emissions and climate change induced feedbacks on
natural emissions are major challenges that limit our understanding of how global and regional climate, including extremes, respond
to changes in greenhouse gases. It is of paramount importance to better understand aerosol-cloud processes and their role in the Earth
System, from regional to global scales, and over different time scales, from days to decades. Over the last decade, extensive research
networks, infrastructures, satellite instruments, and atmospheric models have been developed, making it possible to obtain a holistic
view of the effects of clouds and aerosols on climate and weather. CERTAINTY will capitalise on this available data together with
advanced algorithms, machine learning and data assimilation methods, high resolution models, and Earth system models to bring the
fundamental knowledge of interactions between clouds, aerosols, and radiation to a new level. The consortium partners are in key roles as
operators, data originators, developers, providers, and users of European aerosol and cloud data and ESMs/high resolution models. The
consortium leads the activities of next generation satellite missions (such as EarthCARE), and the development of new satellite products,
to facilitate their scientific use in CERTAINTY by preparing tools for early adoption of data. CERTAINTY will bring the observationbased knowledge to be used in modeling frameworks to improve predictive models and knowledge of processes controlling aerosols,
clouds, and their interactions from hours to decades. The ultimate outcome will be better understanding and predictions of extreme events
that facilitates planning of climate mitigation/adaptation strategies for the good of European citizens and global society

Lead Participant

Project Cost

Grant Offer

 

Participant

IMPERIAL COLLEGE LONDON

Publications

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