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Hawking - How massive are debris discs? Weighing a fundamental component of planetary systems

Lead Research Organisation: University of Warwick
Department Name: Physics

Abstract

Our Solar System contains lots of 'debris', which refers to any solid object smaller than a planet: asteroids, comets, dust and dwarf planets (like Pluto) are all debris. Much of the debris in the Solar System is concentrated in the Asteroid and Kuiper Belts, which are more generally referred to as 'debris discs'. Such discs contain debris with a huge range of sizes, from tiny dust grains all the way up to asteroids and dwarf planets. Surprisingly, we can see debris discs around other stars too; modern instruments can see the dust in extrasolar debris discs, although the larger bodies (asteroids and dwarf planets) cannot be detected with current technology. This leads to a problem: we do not know how massive debris discs are, because their masses are dominated by the unseen large bodies. These debris discs look very different to our own Asteroid and Kuiper Belts, and establishing their masses would really help us to understand how planetary systems form, how they evolve, where exoplanets orbit, and how typical (or unusual) our Solar System is.

My proposed research combines brand new dynamical theory with cutting-edge data from the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), to measure debris-disc masses for the first time. This is done by considering the interactions that occur when an exoplanet orbits close to a debris disc. These interactions affect both the disc shape and the exoplanet orbit, and depend on the debris-disc mass; I would use these interactions to measure debris-disc masses directly. This new method has the advantage that, unlike previous techniques, it does not require a lot of assumptions about unknown quantities. Specifically, I identify two types of known debris disc that are particularly susceptible to having their masses measured in this way: first, discs that are both narrow and elliptical in shape, and second, discs that are both wide and contain a gap. I am a member of several JWST programmes, which will look for exoplanets near these discs before the fellowship starts; as a fellow I would then measure the debris-disc masses by combining these observations with new dynamical theory. These masses would then be used to determine the sizes of the largest debris bodies (asteroids or dwarf planets) that lie within the discs; finally, these debris sizes would be used to test key aspects of debris theory and system-formation models.

In parallel to my scientific research, I also plan a large public-engagement programme to raise awareness of how vital mathematics is to almost all products and services that people rely on today. Without maths we could not design aeroplanes, build mobile phones, perform medical scans or understand the universe, but to many people maths can be boring, annoying or even scary. My aim is to show to young people that mathematics has many fascinating applications beyond what most people experience in their everyday lives; for example, try building a city or launching a rocket to Mars without maths. I propose to build fun, interactive computer software that demonstrates the diverse and exciting applications of mathematics to primary school pupils, to foster an early understanding that maths has enormous potential beyond people's day-to-day experiences. The aim is not to teach maths, but to provide a supplementary tool for teachers to show the amazing things that maths can tackle, to help demonstrate why maths is important and worth learning. Ultimately, it could even inspire the next generation of STEM students.

People

ORCID iD

Publications

10 25 50
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Ertel S (2025) Review and Prospects of Hot Exozodiacal Dust Research For Future Exo-Earth Direct Imaging Missions in Publications of the Astronomical Society of the Pacific

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Franson K (2024) JWST/NIRCam 4-5 µm Imaging of the Giant Planet AF Lep b in The Astrophysical Journal Letters

 
Description ALMA ARKS large programme 
Organisation University of Exeter
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution I am very involved in the dynamics sub-team, have lead one paper (Pearce et al. 2024a) and am leading several more now. The first large tranche of ARKS papers (10 in total) will be submitted next month, and I made significant dynamical contributions to all of them.
Collaborator Contribution This is a large consortium of ~50 people, divided into 6 sub-teams. The other teams work on reducing the data and fitting with parametric models. I am very established in the dynamics team.
Impact Pearce et al. 2024a: 10.1093/mnras/stad3462 10 further papers will be submitted this month
Start Year 2022
 
Description ISSI Exocomet textbook 
Organisation International Space Science Institute (ISSI)
Country Switzerland 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution We are writing a 7-chapter textbook summarising our knowledge of exocomets. I co-lead two chapters and am involved in two more. The first chapters have been submitted for review and the last will be submitted next week
Collaborator Contribution This is a 50 person collaboration from an invite-only meeting at ISSI. Together we are writing a 7-chapter report.
Impact The first chapters have been submitted for review and the last will be submitted next week. Each will be published separately online as well as in a book
Start Year 2024
 
Description NASA ExoPag SAG23 
Organisation Space Telescope Science Institute
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution This is a NASA commissioned report into the potential impact of hot dust on future exo-Earth imaging missions. We are writing a 9-chapter report. I am co-lead on two of the nine chapters chapters. One is already published separately
Collaborator Contribution There are 35 participants, between them writing 9 chapters
Impact Ertel, Pearce et al. 2025: 10.1088/1538-3873/adb6d5
Start Year 2022
 
Description Expert comment in Sky and Telescope magazine 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Wrote expert comment for an article in magazine
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description Hosted school visit to Warwick 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an open day or visit at my research institution
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Schools
Results and Impact Hosted a school visit to Warwick astrophysics department. Gave overview talk and lead activity
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description Maths is everywhere programme 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Schools
Results and Impact For my Hawking I lead my Maths is Everywhere programme, where I design and build support software for primary schools, to demonstrate the relevance and universality of maths. Rollout to local schools is expected this year. This takes ~20% of my time, so naturally reduces my science output.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description Nottingham Astronomical Society talk 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Talk to astronomy society
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2025
 
Description Visited local primary schools to teach coding and mathematics (2 instances) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Schools
Results and Impact Taught Coding with Sophie (twice), teaching primary school pupils to code
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://codingwithsophie.warwick.ac.uk/