Multiscale Modelling to maximise Demand Side Management (Part 2)
Lead Research Organisation:
University of Strathclyde
Department Name: Economics
Abstract
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Organisations
People |
ORCID iD |
| Peter McGregor (Principal Investigator) |
Publications
| Description | This provided the first system-wide analysis of the likely economic and environmental impact of the roll out of smart meters, generating an increase in efficiency in electricity consumption. While higher substitution among fuels in household energy consumption increases the rebound, and the risk of backfire, it may also reduce overall emissions. DECC's projections of offshore wind capacity are conducted in a model that neglects wider economy-energy-enviornment interaction. In the other paper we establish that DECC's learning rate assumptions about offshore wind technology is in itself insufficient to ensure the targets are met. However, despite the economic expansion resulting from technological improvements in the offshore wind electricity generating sector, overall emissions fall, as the electricity mix becomes less fossil-fuel intensive. |
| Exploitation Route | Both in the analysis of smart meters and the projections for offshore wind the nature and rate of learning rates proves crucial. We are undertaking a systematic treatment of this in an explicitly system-wide context, contrasting the conventional engineering model of learning with that embodied in endogenous growth models. A number of additional outputs are planned. |
| Sectors | Energy Environment Government Democracy and Justice |
| Description | The results of our smart meter paper were picked up by the Herald newspaper. |
| First Year Of Impact | 2014 |
| Sector | Energy,Environment |
| Impact Types | Policy & public services |
| Description | Gave evidence to the Scottish Parliament's Finance Committee (11 April 2014) on likely scenarios for Scottish Public Finances post-indyref |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Contribution to a national consultation/review |
| Impact | The Finance Committee was investigating the likely impact of changes in powers, including independence, would have on taxation, borrowing, public sector debt and fiscal rules. In the words of the committee's convenor, Kenneth Gibson MSP, "Our evidence sessions will provide a vital platform for debate and clarity on some of the most important financial issues at the forefront of the Scottish public's mind. That is why we have invited respected experts in the fields of taxation, debt and pensions to share their views on what Scotland's public finances will look like after 2014." |
| URL | http://www.scottish.parliament.uk/newsandmediacentre/75333.aspx |
| Description | Analysis article for the Herald 10 June 2015: There are two sides to the debate about using extra fiscal powers |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | Asked to write an op-ed article for the Herald newspaper on the subject of the frequently suggested Scandinavian model for Scottish public finances. The Herald has a readership of over 30,000, including key decision makers. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2015 |
| URL | http://www.heraldscotland.com/opinion/13412228.There_are_two_sides_to_the_debate_about_using_extra_f... |
| Description | Blog for Centre on Constitutional Change Website (5 December 2013): Would Scotland be wealthier under independence |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | The issue of economic benefit or cost has been identified as the single largest determining factor influencing people's vote in the Scottish Independence Referendum. The blog had a readership in the tens of thousands in the lead up to the referendum, including key decision makers and influencers. A request for further information was subsequently received from the Scottish Labour Party. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2013 |
| URL | http://www.centreonconstitutionalchange.ac.uk/blog/would-scotland-be-wealthier-under-independence |
| Description | Blog on the Centre on Constitutional Change's Website (19 March 2014) - Devolution Commission reflections: Proposals for Taxation |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | The Labour Party's Devolution Commission produced two key recommendations on taxation. This blog reflected on how those powers would (or could) work. Te debate subsequently began to address these issues - what would greater devolution, as opposed to independence, look like. Subsequent events have given added significance to commentary at that time. This was one of several outputs that placed the centre at the heart of the debate and led to enormous interest in our work from the domestic and international media, the policy community and all of the UK's parliaments and governments. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2014 |
| URL | http://www.centreonconstitutionalchange.ac.uk/blog/devolution-commission-reflections-proposals-taxat... |
| Description | Blog post on the Centre on Constitutional Change's website (8 May 2014): Evaluating new tax powers in the event of a no vote |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | The question of what a 'post-No' Scotland would look like was one that was only addressed in the very late stages of the campaign but which subsequently had a huge impact on the process of devolution. This blog was posted on the Centre's site which analytics tell us is widely read by the policy and political community. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2014 |
| URL | http://www.centreonconstitutionalchange.ac.uk/blog/evaluating-new-tax-powers-event-no-vote |
| Description | Chapter in an e-book '16 Questions' regarding Indyref, which received 100.000 downloads |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | The '16 Questions' ebook was a collaboration with the Tom hunter Foundation and was distributed through the websites of the Sunday Times, the Centre on Constitutional Change and the foundation itself. This chapter focused on what independence would mean for energy markets. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2014 |
| URL | http://www.centreonconstitutionalchange.ac.uk/blog/scotlands-decision-business-and-competition |
| Description | News reports of "Scotland's Future: the Economics of Constitutional Change" - 30 March 2016 |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Media (as a channel to the public) |
| Results and Impact | In the words of Douglas Fraser, BBC Scotland's Economics Editor, "So it's with impeccable timing that a mighty tome dropped this week, and with a thud: 330 pages of book called "Scotland's Future: the Economics of Constitutional Change", providing a guide to the economic dimensions of the big choice facing Scotland on 18 September 2014." This was a significant contribution to the debate and reported extensively in the specialist and general media. The publication led to inquiries from the media. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2013 |
| URL | http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-business-21980770 |
| Description | Public Event (26 April 2014) - What happens if Scotland votes no? |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | This was one of a pair of events - nicknamed 'If Yes' and 'If No'. There was, naturally, intense scrutiny of the first of those possibilities but the aim of this event was to address the question of what would happen in the event of a No vote. Obviously, in the light of subsequent events, this was the more prescient of the two. Although this was open to the general public, there was an impressive attendance from the policy and media communities at the event, which helped lay the foundations for subsequent engagement activities. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2014 |
| URL | http://www.centreonconstitutionalchange.ac.uk/events/what-happens-if-scotland-votes-no |
| Description | Public Event (30/11/2013): Exploring independence after the White Paper |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | The publication of the Scottish Government's blueprint for an independent Scotland on the 26th inevitably raised questions in the minds of the policy community, the general public and the media. This one-day event was one of the first to bring academic expertise to bear on the proposals that would come to dominate the independence debate. Subsequent follow up from influencers and decision makers suggests that this event was widely appreciated. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2013 |
| URL | http://www.centreonconstitutionalchange.ac.uk/events/exploring-independence-after-white-paper |