Hawking Building the Future of Cosmological Weak Lensing
Lead Research Organisation:
University of Edinburgh
Department Name: Sch of Physics and Astronomy
Abstract
This research seeks answers to some of the biggest questions in the Universe. How did it all begin? How long ago? And what will happen to our Universe in the future?
In order to solve these mysteries, we have to first answer another question: what is the Universe made of, on distance scales of billions of lightyears? The answer to this determines how we understand the past, present, and future evolution of our Universe. Indeed, if the Universe contains copious amounts of matter, which feels and generates the attractive force of gravity, then the expansion of the Universe will slow, potentially even grinding to a halt before collapsing. Alternatively, if the Universe contains a surplus of cosmic fuel powering its expansion - an energy source we call 'dark energy' - then the Universe could expand forever, getting faster all the time. The balance of these two cosmic components determines the Universe's fate, as well as its history.
Fortunately, it is possible to measure this balance using a technique called gravitational lensing. This is the phenomenon in which the light from distant galaxies, whilst travelling through the cosmos to our telescopes here on Earth, is deflected by the gravity of intervening matter. The deflection - or 'lensing' - causes the images of said galaxies to appear distorted, much like the image of a candle is distorted when viewed through a wineglass. The strength of the distortion, measured across millions of galaxies, allows us to estimate how much matter exists between those galaxies and us (more distortion = more matter). This technique is especially powerful as it allows to indirectly measure the abundance of dark matter, a mysterious matter source which bends the light's path in the same way as ordinary matter, but is rendered invisible by virtue of the fact it does not emit, scatter or reflect electromagnetic radiation.
This project will improve how precisely we can measure the abundance of matter in the Universe with gravitational lensing. This will be achieved by using computer simulations of gravitational lensing to make maps of the matter distribution across the sky. Artificial intelligence (AI) will be trained on the simulated maps, and then used to estimate the abundance of matter in the real Universe from observational data.
Another key question this research hopes to solve is whether we have an accurate understanding of how gravity works on distances of billions of lightyears. As our observations of the Universe have improved over time, our understanding of gravity has evolved, from the theories of Isaac Newton, to Albert Einstein's General Relativity. It could be possible that over cosmic distance scales, gravity behaves according to an as-of-yet unknown theory.
To shed light on this, my research develops a framework in which alternative models of gravity can easily be investigated using only computer simulations of Einstein's gravity. This make it much simpler to check how our observations of the Universe would vary if the laws of gravity were different. We can then look for these observational signatures in the real Universe to diagnose whether Einstein's theory, or some other model, reigns supreme when it comes to the Universe as a whole.
The final objective of my research is to ensure that a brand new survey beginning in 2023, produces sufficiently clear images of galaxies in order to measure their gravitational lensing. Many things can distort astronomical images, from defects in the camera, the structure of the telescope, and to turbulence in Earth's atmosphere. I will confirm that this is a small effect, so that we can trust the upcoming gravitational lensing science results.
In order to solve these mysteries, we have to first answer another question: what is the Universe made of, on distance scales of billions of lightyears? The answer to this determines how we understand the past, present, and future evolution of our Universe. Indeed, if the Universe contains copious amounts of matter, which feels and generates the attractive force of gravity, then the expansion of the Universe will slow, potentially even grinding to a halt before collapsing. Alternatively, if the Universe contains a surplus of cosmic fuel powering its expansion - an energy source we call 'dark energy' - then the Universe could expand forever, getting faster all the time. The balance of these two cosmic components determines the Universe's fate, as well as its history.
Fortunately, it is possible to measure this balance using a technique called gravitational lensing. This is the phenomenon in which the light from distant galaxies, whilst travelling through the cosmos to our telescopes here on Earth, is deflected by the gravity of intervening matter. The deflection - or 'lensing' - causes the images of said galaxies to appear distorted, much like the image of a candle is distorted when viewed through a wineglass. The strength of the distortion, measured across millions of galaxies, allows us to estimate how much matter exists between those galaxies and us (more distortion = more matter). This technique is especially powerful as it allows to indirectly measure the abundance of dark matter, a mysterious matter source which bends the light's path in the same way as ordinary matter, but is rendered invisible by virtue of the fact it does not emit, scatter or reflect electromagnetic radiation.
This project will improve how precisely we can measure the abundance of matter in the Universe with gravitational lensing. This will be achieved by using computer simulations of gravitational lensing to make maps of the matter distribution across the sky. Artificial intelligence (AI) will be trained on the simulated maps, and then used to estimate the abundance of matter in the real Universe from observational data.
Another key question this research hopes to solve is whether we have an accurate understanding of how gravity works on distances of billions of lightyears. As our observations of the Universe have improved over time, our understanding of gravity has evolved, from the theories of Isaac Newton, to Albert Einstein's General Relativity. It could be possible that over cosmic distance scales, gravity behaves according to an as-of-yet unknown theory.
To shed light on this, my research develops a framework in which alternative models of gravity can easily be investigated using only computer simulations of Einstein's gravity. This make it much simpler to check how our observations of the Universe would vary if the laws of gravity were different. We can then look for these observational signatures in the real Universe to diagnose whether Einstein's theory, or some other model, reigns supreme when it comes to the Universe as a whole.
The final objective of my research is to ensure that a brand new survey beginning in 2023, produces sufficiently clear images of galaxies in order to measure their gravitational lensing. Many things can distort astronomical images, from defects in the camera, the structure of the telescope, and to turbulence in Earth's atmosphere. I will confirm that this is a small effect, so that we can trust the upcoming gravitational lensing science results.
Organisations
Publications
Davies C
(2024)
Constraining modified gravity with weak-lensing peaks
in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society
Harnois-Déraps J
(2024)
KiDS-1000 and DES-Y1 combined: cosmology from peak count statistics
in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society
Johnston, Harry
(2024)
6x2pt: Forecasting gains from joint weak lensing and galaxy clustering analyses with spectroscopic-photometric galaxy cross-correlations
in 6x2pt: Forecasting gains from joint weak lensing and galaxy clustering analyses with spectroscopic-photometric galaxy cross-correlations
| Title | Cosmology Likelihood Tool |
| Description | This is a software package which allows users to run MCMCs to constrain cosmological parameters using an emulator (machine learning algorithm) to produce the predictions at each step in the chain. It allows for arbitrary combinations of statistics in the likelihood to improve constraining power and marginalisation over various systematic parameters to be included. |
| Type Of Technology | Software |
| Year Produced | 2025 |
| Open Source License? | Yes |
| Impact | Will serve as the open-source software accompaniment to Giblin et al. (In prep) - a paper which will make showcase the first practical application of a new weak gravitational lensing statistic with actual survey data. This will mean the science in this paper is reproducible and open to scrutiny. |
| URL | https://github.com/benjamingiblin/Calc_Lhd_Tool |
| Title | Pseudo-Pipeline |
| Description | An open-source software package which allows users to generate 'pseudo matter power spectra' (Giblin et al. 2019) - cosmological statistics which serve as a crucial ingredient of a modelling framework titled 'the halo model reaction framework' (Cataneo et al. 2019). This framework makes it possible to predict the matter power (abundance of matter in the Universe on scales of million-billion parsec distance scales) in a multitude of extensions to the standard model of cosmology, Lambda-CDM. |
| Type Of Technology | Software |
| Year Produced | 2025 |
| Open Source License? | Yes |
| Impact | An MPhys and a Summer Research student have both used this software package to make considerable steps towards one of the key research goals of this award - identifying the optimal distribution of input parameters for a suite of simulations which will make the halo model reaction framework a working reality for cosmology analyses with upcoming data from, e.g., the Euclid Space Telescope. |
| URL | https://github.com/benjamingiblin/Pseudo_Pipeline |
| Description | Appeared on BBC Scotland TV for solar eclipse in April 2024 |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | Appeared on BBC Scotland news at 6pm talking about the total solar eclipse crossing the USA (partial solar eclipse from Scotland). Was interviewed at the Royal Observatory of Edinburgh and talked about the science of eclipses, as well as the best ways to view the current eclipse. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| URL | https://x.com/BenjaminGiblin/status/1777631008885449065 |
| Description | Bright Club - stand up comedy about scientific research, Stand Comedy Club, Edinburgh |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | Regional |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | Appeared at Bright Club - an event in which academics perform stand up comedy about their research - at the Stand Comedy Club, Edinburgh. Was a near-full room with ~100 people. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| URL | https://www.thestand.co.uk/news/the-bright-club |
| Description | Edinburgh Fringe Show: 'Albert Einstein Ruined My Life' (outreach, stand up comedy) |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | ~30 people attended my Edinburgh Festival Fringe show A stand up comedy / spoken word science outreach show in which I explore the development of general relativity, the rise of modern cosmology, and its impact on my life. Q/A took place with many audience members during and after the show. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| URL | https://tickets.edfringe.com/whats-on/albert-einstein-ruined-my-life |
| Description | Interviewed on STV News for "Planet Parade" - Feb 2024 |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Media (as a channel to the public) |
| Results and Impact | I was interviewed on STV 6pm News about the "Planet Parade" (the fact that the 7 solar system planets were all visible in the night sky at the same time). Interview was recorded at the Royal Observatory of Edinburgh. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| Description | Outreach at World Science Fiction Convention - Glasgow 2024 |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | Did two days of outreach at the World Science Fiction Convention in Glasgow, Aug 2024. We had a big table in the exhibitors' hall and promoted the research of the Institute for Astronomy in Edinburgh, as well as promoting the Scottish Youth Telescope Network (charity founded by Astronomer Royal for Scotland, Catherine Heymans). I demonstrated two amateur telescopes by performing solar astronomy observations outside, showed the public meteorites, and talked about cosmology research. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| URL | https://glasgow2024.org/ |
| Description | Producing and posting 'Humans of Euclid' content for Euclid-UK social media |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | I interviewed ~20 scientists working on the Euclid Space Telescope for a social media series titled 'Humans of Euclid' posted on the Euclid-UK Instagram and Bluesky social media channels. The interviews were published in the form of bite-sized chunks of conversation which give insight into the human stories behind the science of the Euclid mission. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024,2025 |
| URL | https://www.instagram.com/euclid_uk/ |
