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The Effects of Coupled Wave Power and Plasma Properties on Radiation Belt Dynamics

Lead Research Organisation: NERC British Antarctic Survey
Department Name: Science Programmes

Abstract

The Earth's radiation belts consist of energetic charged particles which surround the Earth like a ring doughnut. They were first discovered over 60 years ago, at the beginning of the space age, but many questions remain regarding the relative importance of the physical processes controlling their behaviour. The inner radiation belt, which typically lies at altitudes between 600 and 6,000 km in the magnetic equatorial plane, is relatively stable, but the outer radiation belt, which typically lies at altitudes between 12,000 and 45,000 km, is highly dynamic. Here the number of relativistic electrons can vary by orders of magnitude on timescales ranging from minutes to days. Understanding, modelling and ultimately predicting the behaviour of these so called "killer" electrons is critical because enhanced fluxes of these particles can damage satellites and pose a risk to humans in space.

A variety of plasma waves co-exist with the energetic charged particles in the Earth's radiation belts. They can interact strongly with the relativistic electrons and play a fundamental role in the dynamics of the belts, although their precise roles are yet to be determined. Two very important wave modes are whistler mode chorus and plasmaspheric hiss. Whistler mode chorus, so-called because it often resembles the twittering of birds in the dawn chorus when converted to sound, plays a dual role, contributing to both the acceleration and loss of energetic electrons. In contrast, plasmaspheric hiss, so-named because it resembles audible hiss when played back as sound, is primarily a loss mechanism. Our proposed project will assess the role of both wave modes to understand the basic physics and to improve radiation belt models and forecasts.

Current models for the interaction of plasma waves with electrons use models of the plasma waves based on spatial location and geomagnetic activity. The local plasma conditions in each location, which are also important for modelling the dynamics of the radiation belts, are modelled independently. However, recent studies have shown that it is important to incorporate co-located measurements of the local environment and wave spectra in radiation belt modelling. These new results mandate the development of new wave models binned not only by satellite location and geomagnetic activity, but also by the characteristics of the local environment.

The roles of chorus and plasmaspheric hiss using this new method are currently being investigated in a limited region of the radiation belts as part of the NERC-funded Space Weather Instrumentation Measurement Modelling and Risk (SWIMMR) project Sat-Risk. This study is mostly restricted to the region inside 28,000 km (in the magnetic equatorial plane) and absolute magnetic latitudes less than 21 degrees, excluding the important geostationary orbit region and beyond.

In this project we will use data from four additional satellites, THEMIS-A, -D, -E and Arase, to study how chorus and plasmaspheric hiss influence the behaviour of energetic electrons throughout the Earth's radiation belts. This will improve our understanding of the physics of the processes governing the behaviour of the belts and is essential for the accurate modelling and forecasting of space weather. Specifically, we will establish the importance of chorus at altitudes greater than 28,000 km on the acceleration and loss of energetic electrons in the Earth's outer radiation belt. We will also establish the importance of mid-latitude (21 < |MLAT| < 42 degrees) chorus and plasmaspheric hiss on radiation belt dynamics. Furthermore, we will run simulations with the outer radial boundary at the last closed drift shell to examine the roles of radial diffusion and chorus in the generation of MeV electrons throughout the outer radiation belt. The results will also be used to improve our radiation belt models and forecasts and, as such, will be of great value to satellite engineers, operators and insurers.

Publications

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Title Halley VLF Recordings 
Description Our planet naturally produces a wide variety of radio emissions. These electromagnetic waves cannot be heard directly but they can be converted to audio files and played back as sound. This process reveals a series of weird and wonderful noises known as the 'sounds of space' and, on hearing them, it's a bit like entering the film set of a 1960's sci-fi movie. In this album we present a selection of the various signals that we regularly detect at the Halley Research Station in Antarctica, accompanied by descriptions in the liner notes. They include some of the very first 'sounds' that we worked with as a team, inspiring us to form the Sounds of Space Project. 
Type Of Art Composition/Score 
Year Produced 2024 
Impact Some of the recordings on this album inspired and were used on an exciting new ambient album, "Earth, What Did You Say?", by dReaMSoaKeR. For the various versions of "Earth, What Did You Say?", VLF recordings from 19th July 2012, a day full of a rich variety of space "sounds", were incorporated as an ambient "bed" for inspiration and to set the tone for the music. Some were left as is and some were pitched up or down. THX Spatial was incorporated to give each 1 minute file its own space. An edited "whistle" or "Swoosh" was looped to provide a drone like beat that repeats throughout. The music was then improvised as the VLF recordings provided the inspiration and "conducted" the direction of the music. For the tracks "Warble And Chatter" and "Chattering Warriors", two distinct files were combined (one on the right channel and one for the left). These "warble and chatter" recordings, available as tracks 11 and 12 on the Halley VLF Recordings album, provided a haunting yet euphoric backdrop for the ambient music which it inspired. 
URL https://soundsofspaceproject.bandcamp.com/album/halley-vlf-recordings
 
Title In Aurora's Garden 
Description In Aurora's garden is the fourth album of the art-science collaboration "Sounds of Space Project". Here we experience the solar storm of 17th June 2012. A few days prior to this, on the 13th and 14th June, two large explosions on the surface of the Sun released bursts of charged particles and magnetic field which travelled outwards and towards the Earth. The material reached the Earth on the 17th June, the day chosen for our album, tearing open the Earth's magnetic field, leading to a geomagnetic storm. Particles were injected into near Earth space giving rise to radio emissions including chorus and plasmaspheric hiss. At lower altitudes electrons rained down on the Earth's upper atmosphere leading to some beautiful and stunning displays of the aurora. We hear the crackles and pops of lightning spherics, the descending tones of whistlers, the rising and falling tones of chorus and the steady hum of plasmaspheric hiss. The musical response is wide and varied and includes gongs, wood blocks, bells, vibraphones, glockenspiels, the piano, a synthesis rig, the Japanese shakuhachi and the tabla. We also hear soprano Heather Lee, in Kim Cunio's setting of a traditional Chinese text, as well as a new version of the Joni Mitchell classic Both Sides Now. Artwork produced by multimedia artist Diana Scarborough, inspired by Antarctica, the space weather data and the music, adds a rich visual element to the album. The Sounds of Space Project are myself (science lead), multimedia artist Diana Scarborough and Australian composer and musician Kim Cunio. 
Type Of Art Composition/Score 
Year Produced 2023 
Impact The album was released on bandcamp in December 2023. Tracks from teh album have been played on The Dark Train on Warminster Community Radio, the Phantom Circuit on Beachy Head Radio and the Institute of Spectra-Sonic Sound on KEPW 97.3 FM. Tracks from the album have been played 772 times on bandcamp. 
URL https://soundsofspaceproject.bandcamp.com/album/in-auroras-garden
 
Title Radio Session - "In Aurora's Garden" 
Description A 1 hour radio session on "The Dark Train" on Warminster Community Radio featuring music from our album "In Aurora's Garden" released in 2023. Nigel Meredith created the session and provided commentary throughout. 
Type Of Art Artistic/Creative Exhibition 
Year Produced 2024 
Impact The session was aired on the Dark Train on Warminster Community Radio on 17th June 2024. It was later uploaded to Mixcloud where it received 59 listens. The show was rated 2nd in the Avant-Garde chart, 7th in the Experimental Ambient Chart and 60th in the Electronic chart. 
URL https://www.mixcloud.com/katebosworth/wcrdark-train-ddix-b10011dr-nigel-meredith-the-sounds-of-space...
 
Title Radio Session - "Sunconscious" 
Description A 1 hour radio session on The Dark Train on Warminster Community Radio featuring music from our album "Sunconscious" released in 2022. Timed to coincide with the launch of NASA's heliophysics big year the session included music inspired by and including the 'sounds' of the Sun. Nigel Meredith created the session and provided commentary throughout. 
Type Of Art Artistic/Creative Exhibition 
Year Produced 2023 
Impact The session was aired on the Dark Train on Warminster Community Radio on 16th October 2023. It was later uploaded to Mixcloud where it received 69 listens. The show was rated 1st in the Avant-Garde chart, 6th in the Experimental Ambient Chart and 59th in the Electronica chart. 
URL https://www.mixcloud.com/katebosworth/wcr-dark-train-ma84-dr-nigel-merediths-sunconscious-session-16...
 
Title The Seventh Continent 
Description The Seventh Continent offers a unique aural journey to Antarctica. The album features contributions from Dr Nigel Meredith and Kat Turner from British Antarctic Survey (BAS), Professor Kim Cunio, Head of the New Zealand School of Music, and Cambridge-based multi-media artist Diana Scarborough. The album takes listeners inside the BAS's 2023 BIOPOLE mission on the RRS Sir David Attenborough, with a blend of original music and field recordings.The album captures the diverse sounds of Antarctica, including the rumble of the ship at sea, the echo of an inlet by the world's largest iceberg, the sounds of scientific research in progress, and the calls of local wildlife such as elephant seals and skuas. The Seventh Continent offers a fresh, aural perspective on the beauty of the planet's most extreme and isolated continent, and the epic research efforts to understand this remote region. 
Type Of Art Composition/Score 
Year Produced 2024 
Impact Music from The Seventh Continent featured at the BAS exhibition at the Science Museum Lates in December (https://www.bas.ac.uk/event/british-antarctic-survey-at-the-science-museum-christmas-lates/) 
URL https://www.bas.ac.uk/media-post/sounds-of-antarctica-come-to-life-in-new-album/
 
Title Charging Currents and Electric Fields of Satellite Cables during a reasonable worst case scenario 
Description AE9_diff_omni_spec_L.txt describes the 99 percentile equatorial omnidirectional differential flux from the AE9 model at different orbits. equatorial_extreme_flux_n=2.txt describes what the equatorial flux would be at different L shells, using the data from (Meredith, 2023), during a 1 in 10, 1 in 50, and 1 in 100-year event. currents_vs_L.txt describes what the charging current at equilibrium of a coaxial cable would be, at different L shells (on the equatorial plane) during a 1 in 100-year event. All the other files describe what the maximum value of electric field within the dielectric layer of a coaxial cable would be, at different L shells (on the equatorial plane) during a 1 in 100-year event. However, they differ in whether the worst-case estimate from LANL GEO satellites were also included, and differ in the value of kp (which controls the impact of radiation induced conductivity) used for the model simulation. Both variables are described within the filenames. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2024 
Provided To Others? Yes  
URL https://data.bas.ac.uk/full-record.php?id=GB/NERC/BAS/PDC/01946
 
Title Strong relativistic electron flux events in GPS orbit (2000 - 2020) 
Description Relativistic electrons cause internal charging on satellites and are a significant space weather hazard. In this study we analyse approximately 20 years of data from the US Global Positioning System (GPS) satellite NS41 to determine the conditions associated with the largest daily averaged fluxes of E = 2.0 MeV relativistic electrons. The largest flux events at L = 4.5 and L = 6.5 were associated with moderate to strong coronal mass ejection (CME)-driven geomagnetic storms. However, the majority of the fifty largest flux events at L = 4.5 (30 out of 50) and L = 6.5 (37 out of 50) were associated with high speed solar wind streams from coronal holes. Both solar drivers are thus very important for relativistic electron flux enhancements in GPS orbit. The 1 in 3 year flux level was not exceeded following any of the fifteen largest geomagnetic storms as monitored by the Dst index, showing that the largest geomagnetic storms, most often associated with extreme space weather, do not result in significantly larger relativistic electron flux events in GPS orbit. The research leading to these results has received funding from the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) grants NE/V00249X/1 (Sat-Risk), NE/X000389/1 and NE/R016038/1. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2024 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact The data analysis undertaken for this paper is currently being used in two follow-on studies looking at the geophysical conditions associated with the flux enhancements. 
URL https://data.bas.ac.uk/full-record.php?id=GB/NERC/BAS/PDC/01885
 
Description "Sounds of Space" article for Antarktikos Magazine by Nigel Meredith, Diana Scarborough and Kim Cunio 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact This article described the 'sounds' of space and how I have used them in a muti-disciplinary art-science collaboration to produce three albums, 'Aurora Musicalis', 'Celestial Incantations' and 'Sunconscious'. All three albums are available on bandcamp. Antarktikos is a bi-annual print magazine that combines artistic and scientific exploration within the awe-inspiring and thought-provoking context of Antarctica. This article has thus enabled me to share my work and art-science collaboration with a wider audience.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://www.antarktikos.com
 
Description 'Sounds of Space" at BAS Open Day 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an open day or visit at my research institution
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Nigel Meredith presented the "Sounds of Space" at "Expedition Ice", the BAS Open Day as part of the Cambridge Festival.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://www.bas.ac.uk/event/cambridge-festival-expedition-ice/
 
Description Invited talk to the Stour Astronomical Society 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Kaine Bunting gave an invited talk on Sun-Earth Connections with emphasis on the May 2024 geomagnetic storm which led to widespread observations of the aurora, followed by a question and answer session.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description Nigel Meredith spoke to Dr Alfredo Carpineti of IFLScience about space weather and how it affects us all in Series 3 of the "The Big Questions" podcasts, released on 18th August 
Form Of Engagement Activity A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press)
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact In this podcast I talked about space weather and how it affects us all. I also described some of the exciting ongoing research being conducted in the Space Weather and Atmosphere Team at BAS. I concluded by talking about and introducing some of the amazing 'sounds' of space weather as recorded by the VLF Receiver at Halley VI Research Station.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://www.iflscience.com/iflscience-the-big-questions-what-is-space-weather-and-how-does-it-affect...
 
Description Radio Interview 
Form Of Engagement Activity A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press)
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Nigel Meredith (BAS) and colleagues Kim Cunio and Dana Scarbrough spoke to Monday Drive's Ben Curdie on 2SER 107.3 FM in Sydney about our latest album "In Aurora's Garden (2023)", the ins and outs of making actual space music (with real scientific equipments) and the inherent existentialism of making 21st century art from the last audible throes of 1.3 billion-year old dead stars. The programme first aired on Monday 22nd April 2024.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://2ser.com/sounds-of-space-projects-space-music/
 
Description School visit 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Schools
Results and Impact Kaine Bunting delivered a talk on space weather to 3 different groups of children ranging in age from 6 to 10, each followed by a lively question and answer sessions.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description Talk at European Space Weather Week 2024 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact I gave a presentation, delivered remotely, on my recent research entitled "Strong Relativistic Electron Flux Events in GPS Orbit".

In this study I analyzed approximately 20 years of data from the US Global Positioning System (GPS) satellite NS41 to determine the conditions associated with the largest daily averaged fluxes of E = 2.0 MeV relativistic electrons. The largest flux events at L = 4.5 and L = 6.5 were associated with moderate to strong CME-driven geomagnetic storms. However, the majority of the 50 largest flux events at L = 4.5 (30 out of 50) and L = 6.5 (37 out of 50) were associated with high speed solar wind streams from coronal holes. Both solar drivers are thus very important for relativistic electron flux enhancements in GPS orbit. The 1 in 3 year flux level was not exceeded following any of the 15 largest geomagnetic storms as monitored by the Dst index, showing that the largest geomagnetic storms, most often associated with extreme space weather, do not result in significantly larger relativistic electron flux events in GPS orbit.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://esww2024.org/programme/parallel-sessions/swr3-session-plan/