Risky Business: investing in innovation and Britain's economic development, 1600-1750
Lead Research Organisation:
University of Manchester
Department Name: Arts Languages and Cultures
Abstract
The pursuit of innovation in a defining feature of our world. Over the past four centuries, innovation has been lauded as an investment opportunity, contributing to economic growth and the improvement of people's daily lives. During the economic boom of the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries, investors flocked to opportunities in trade, manufacturing, extractive industry, and agriculture in the hope of making their fortunes and take part in Britain's economic success. Successful innovation, through improvement or invention, depended just as much then as it does today on the willingness of individuals to undertake the risky business of overcoming uncertainty and putting their money on the line. Macroeconomic indicators do not tell us how specific projects, innovations and improvements overcome the risk-reticence of investors, nor how individual investors function within wider investment networks. Yet, despite their essential participation in productive and financial innovation, the ways in which individual investors made decisions about where, when, and how to invest have been side-lined in the existing historiography of capitalism.
"Risky Business: investing in innovation and Britain's economic development, 1600-1750" will address these gaps by investigating how these actors came to view financial investment, perceive risk, and self-consciously participate in 'improvement', 'innovation' and economic growth. In doing so, it will reshape inquiry into the cultural and social dimensions of investment during the seventeenth and early eighteenth centuries - a period in which financial revolution accelerated the development of the first modern economies. Through this analysis, it will expand beyond both state-focused or institutional accounts and efficient market explanations of the nature of economic development to instead assess 'investment practices' and examine the diverse means by which investment choice was experienced, understood and tackled in everyday life - from an investor's education to their business organisation, experience of failure, and how they functioned as part of an 'investing public'. Thus, this work will make key methodological contributions to current research by modelling the utility of a shift in attention to 'bottom-up' history of investment. More and better examination of the social and cultural practices underlying investment in innovation will transform our understanding of the shape and direction of economic change. This project therefore presents a new research framework for the study of economic development that recognises how individuals and communities responded to, and took part in, ventures that were risky, uncertain, and sometimes driven by considerations that had nothing to do with the profit principle.
The project will draw on an extensive body of primary sources and will employ an innovative methodological framework to present and interpret them. Through the development of a unique dataset, it will examine the economic activities, networks and behaviours of actors who invested in innovation and assess the cultural foundations of how they identified opportunity, understood uncertainty and mitigated against risk. Through this interpretation, this project will move beyond 'portfolio analysis'-focused interpretations of investment choice to present a more holistic understanding of how investors engaged in the innovation market and its impact on Britain's economic growth. It will also allow historians and social scientists to interrogate how seemingly unimportant or counter-intuitive relationships between individuals, business, and social engagements had considerable and dynamic influence on wider networks. In conclusion, through this analysis the project will present an interpretation of economic growth that moves beyond assessments of 'where' the economy expanded and start to question precisely 'why' and 'how' investors chose to drive the economy in those directions.
"Risky Business: investing in innovation and Britain's economic development, 1600-1750" will address these gaps by investigating how these actors came to view financial investment, perceive risk, and self-consciously participate in 'improvement', 'innovation' and economic growth. In doing so, it will reshape inquiry into the cultural and social dimensions of investment during the seventeenth and early eighteenth centuries - a period in which financial revolution accelerated the development of the first modern economies. Through this analysis, it will expand beyond both state-focused or institutional accounts and efficient market explanations of the nature of economic development to instead assess 'investment practices' and examine the diverse means by which investment choice was experienced, understood and tackled in everyday life - from an investor's education to their business organisation, experience of failure, and how they functioned as part of an 'investing public'. Thus, this work will make key methodological contributions to current research by modelling the utility of a shift in attention to 'bottom-up' history of investment. More and better examination of the social and cultural practices underlying investment in innovation will transform our understanding of the shape and direction of economic change. This project therefore presents a new research framework for the study of economic development that recognises how individuals and communities responded to, and took part in, ventures that were risky, uncertain, and sometimes driven by considerations that had nothing to do with the profit principle.
The project will draw on an extensive body of primary sources and will employ an innovative methodological framework to present and interpret them. Through the development of a unique dataset, it will examine the economic activities, networks and behaviours of actors who invested in innovation and assess the cultural foundations of how they identified opportunity, understood uncertainty and mitigated against risk. Through this interpretation, this project will move beyond 'portfolio analysis'-focused interpretations of investment choice to present a more holistic understanding of how investors engaged in the innovation market and its impact on Britain's economic growth. It will also allow historians and social scientists to interrogate how seemingly unimportant or counter-intuitive relationships between individuals, business, and social engagements had considerable and dynamic influence on wider networks. In conclusion, through this analysis the project will present an interpretation of economic growth that moves beyond assessments of 'where' the economy expanded and start to question precisely 'why' and 'how' investors chose to drive the economy in those directions.
People |
ORCID iD |
| Edmond Smith (Principal Investigator) |
Publications
Smith E
(2022)
Reinterpreting the Virginia Plantation, 1609-1618
in Journal of British Studies
Smith E
(2022)
Everyday News in the Early Modern Mediterranean
in Cultural and Social History
Smith Edmond
(2025)
Ruthless: A New History of Britain's Rise to Wealth and Power
| Description | During the economic boom of the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries, investors flocked to opportunities in trade, manufacturing, extractive industry, and agriculture in the hope of making their fortunes and taking part in Britain's economic success. Successful innovation, through improvement or invention, depended just as much then as it does today on the willingness of individuals to undertake the risky business of overcoming uncertainty and putting their money on the line. Yet, despite their essential participation in productive and financial innovation, the ways in which individual investors made decisions about where, when, and how to invest has been side-lined in the existing historiography of capitalism. With the development of an extensive dataset of investors and wide-ranging qualitative archival research, this project has set out to rectify that gap by offering an analysis of institutional development that foregrounds the role of social networks and common cultural practices to understand how Britain's economy sustained multiple cycles of innovation across sectors during the two centuries before 1800. Understanding the processes by which individuals invested in innovation is of world historical importance for two key reasons: first, Britain's economic development - often presented as the 'first industrial or modern economy'. In exploring the institutional conditions that made this possible, the project's outcomes present a better understanding of investment practices and help bridge the gap between historiography examining 'financial institutions' and 'firms' on the one hand and the 'knowledge economy' on the other. This allows for a system-level analysis of economic development and the relationship between innovation and growth. Secondly, the project develops a context sensitive analysis by drawing on unparalleled datasets and qualitative data that make it possible to challenge and firmly revise accounts of British economic development that foreground state-led institutional change as the principal factor explaining these changes. Instead, the project's outcomes demonstrate how Britain's investors operated in an environment whereby facilities crossing corporate, state and individual networks were required to access investment opportunities, demanding institutional practices that facilitated interaction and engagement across a multiplicity of different social, cultural and political networks. This approach reveals how consequent relationships resulted in complex social-contracts between investors, companies, the state and the 'public' that tied the benefits (and risks) of economic development with contemporary conceptions of social, cultural and political good. By examining how British entrepreneurs and investors lived, worked, innovated, and exploited opportunities, this project demonstrates therefore that Britain's economic growth was triggered not by a single industry, commodity, invention, or regulation, nor by getting access to multiple economic frontiers including new territories, technologies, and markets. Britain had multiple economic frontiers that could be exploited simultaneously and institutions that helped them blend together. Sometimes this took the form of support from the state, but it just as often depended on common cultural and social networks and practices that made it easier for people from different backgrounds and industries to work together. Britain's success depended on what I call 'networked capital': the mutually reinforcing combination and exploitation of financial, natural, physical, human and social capital across different businesses and sectors. Entrepreneurs in Britain benefited from webs of social and cultural interaction that tied their businesses together and provided mutually reinforcing benefits. Although some of the capitalist enterprises that drove Britain's economic development were disconnected or haphazard, many more were joined through personnel, investors, customers, or common markets. Investors in innovation may have come from a range of different professional, geographical and social backgrounds, but networks of interest, expertise and investment that connected the exploitation of land and people across Britain and its empire with scientific and technological advancements drew them together and created a perfect storm for economic growth. |
| Exploitation Route | These outcomes have repercussions for the study of the history of capitalism, the history of early modern Britain, and economic history. At the same time, a new historical perspective and context will benefit work in related disciplines concerned with the nature of economic life, notably economic sociology, institutional and behavioural economics, and development studies. The strong relationship identified between colonial and domestic economic activity has already led to the development of work with heritage organisations, who could continue to benefit from this work. Additionally, during the project I have worked with policy and private sector partners, both to offer an alternative perspective for understanding the complex relationship between institutional change and economic development, and the ways in which economy behaviour are shaped by social, cultural and emotional conditions. Beyond academia, it is in these areas where I would be most keen to see the outcomes of this project taken forward and put to use. |
| Sectors | Financial Services and Management Consultancy Culture Heritage Museums and Collections Security and Diplomacy |
| Description | This project has contributed to a number of panels, consultations and events for policy, industry and public audiences. Much of this work is ongoing and data regarding these outputs will continue to be collected over the coming year. One major outcome, a public exhibition at the John Rylands Library, is launching in November 2025, which will inform the completed narrative impact review for the 2026 submission. |
| First Year Of Impact | 2021 |
| Sector | Communities and Social Services/Policy,Financial Services, and Management Consultancy,Culture, Heritage, Museums and Collections,Security and Diplomacy |
| Impact Types | Cultural Economic Policy & public services |
| Description | Economic Security Committee - Written Evidence |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Contribution to a national consultation/review |
| URL | https://committees.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/127413/html/ |
| Description | ERC Starting Grant (UKRI Guarantee) |
| Amount | £1,245,165 (GBP) |
| Funding ID | EP_Y036557_1 |
| Organisation | European Research Council (ERC) |
| Sector | Public |
| Country | Belgium |
| Start | 08/2024 |
| End | 08/2029 |
| Description | JRRIL Manchester |
| Organisation | University of Manchester |
| Department | John Rylands Library |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | This partnership has focused on developing public facing outputs from the Risky Business project in collaboration with the John Rylands Library to connect their historical collections, Manchester's heritage, and the project's research outputs with a wider public audience. This has involved working intensively with the curatorial and public outreach team at the library to produce events and a public exhibition based on this research, which will open in September 2025. |
| Collaborator Contribution | See above. |
| Impact | Risky Business event 1 (November 2023): A primary source showcase giving public access to historic business records and using evidence from research programme to show how we can use them to understand contemporary economic and societal challenges. Risky Business event 2 (November 2023): Behavioural economics focused public "game" using evidence from research programme to help members of the public think about how they make investment decisions. Risky Business event 3 (May 2024): Event designed for Department of Science, Innovation and Technology on understanding long-term technological change, showcasing project research and using library's collection to help show how heritage and history continue to serve an important role in shaping economies today. Risky Business exhibition (opening September 2025): An exhibition sharing project's research outputs for a public audience, around them of "Cottonopolis: Manchester's Global Origins". |
| Start Year | 2021 |
| Description | MIOIR |
| Organisation | University of Manchester |
| Department | Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIoIR) |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | In summer 2023 I invited colleagues from the Manchester Institute for Innovation Research to work with me on a number of events and outputs designed to engage with policy and industry audiences. We have since run workshops and established a research network to continue our collaboration and to build further opportunities for research. |
| Collaborator Contribution | See above. |
| Impact | Policy Workshop 1 Policy Workshop 2 National Consultation - Evidence for joint committee enquiry |
| Start Year | 2023 |
| Description | UPO Seville |
| Organisation | Pablo de Olavide University |
| Country | Spain |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | We have established an ongoing collaboration with Dr Joao de Melo at UPO Seville to develop a comparative framework for understanding long-term economic change. This collaboration was launched at a successful workshop in Seville, funded by Dr Melo's project (c. 2000 EUR in-kind contribution), that took myself, the project PDRA, and other researchers from Manchester to Seville to present our research and develop a framework for ongoing research. |
| Collaborator Contribution | The Seville participants provided expert feedback and contributed to the framework for ongoing research noted above. |
| Impact | This collaboration is multi-disciplinary (across the humanities, mainly history and related economic and social science disciplines) and has resulted in ongoing research collaboration, with a second event planned for 2024. |
| Start Year | 2022 |
| Description | CI Panel |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
| Results and Impact | This is an ongoing, policy-focused panel working with business leaders and government related to long-term innovation and economic change. The work is ongoing and the outputs will be reported at the end of the project in the "influence on policy" section. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022,2023 |
| Description | CMCE Workshops: Risky Business |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | International |
| Primary Audience | Industry/Business |
| Results and Impact | Over four workshops, each including c. 25 industry professionals, mostly working in some area of management consulting, I led and presented research from this project, as well as organising additional speakers and activities, to share insights into how people respond to innovation. Participants reported increased interest in behavioural and emotional ideas related to understanding innovation, with many agreeing that it was an area they would explore further and some identifying specific opportunities to employ insights into their work. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
| URL | https://www.cmce.org.uk/event/cmce-next-gen-20-risky-business |
| Description | Policy Workshop 1 - Wholesale CBDC |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
| Results and Impact | 20 academics, policy professionals and industry attended a half-day workshop at The University of Manchester, that shared best academic practice about the impact of major technological change on economic systems and the practical repercussions of Wholesale CBDC from an economic security perspective. This generated extensive discussion during the event, a co-authored policy brief (by the project PI, a partner at MIOIR, and an industry partner) that was distributed to the with a number of different policy and industry channels. Follow up meetings with NCSC and DSIT to develop collaboration further in relation to the broad theme of system economic change developed from this workshop. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |
| URL | https://research.manchester.ac.uk/en/publications/policy-briefing-wholesale-central-bank-digital-cur... |
| Description | Policy Workshop 2 - Innovation and UK Economic Security |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
| Results and Impact | 25 academics, policy professionals and industry attended a half-day workshop at The University of Manchester, that shared best academic practice about the impact of major technological change on economic systems and the practical ways in which innovation ecosystems can be supported by government. This generated extensive discussion during the event, invitations to present follow up research to policy professionals, and the organisation of further events with policy participants arranged for May 2024 alongside partners from JRRIL and MIOIR. |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |
| Description | Public Event 1 - Risky Business: Would you be swayed? |
| Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
| Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
| Results and Impact | A pair of events, organised with JRRIL and hosted at the John Rylands Library, attracted approximately 60 members of the public during an afternoon "walk in" session and 39 registered participants for an evening session. The evening session used historical materials as the starting point for a behavioural economics "game" that presented participants with a range of material (such as mocked-up investment prospectuses, newspapers, policy papers, twitter-feed and blogs) before challenging them to think about how they personally engaged in decision making, conceived risk, and thought about innovation. This generated an excellent discussion during the event and very positive feedback, including: "Very engaging programme! Give us chances to rethink the rationales of investment decision. It is a good way to comprehend what we are really thinking about!" "Very thought-provoking and helped me better understand different ways people think about investments." "Really enjoyed this! The experiential element to the event made this more accessible to those who are not within the field." "There was so much clever detail in how it was put together with the three paired investment opportunities, the insight into models of entrepreneurship, the original sources from the heart of the industrial revolution and the new sources. I was smitten by the amazing old book, my partner was fascinated by what we learned about how we make decisions and I think it was the best history lesson ever for my son. THANKS!" |
| Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |
| URL | https://events.manchester.ac.uk/event/event:d23d-lnmxqnz7-qvz714/risky-business-would-you-be-swayed |