The Future is Our Business: A Visual History of Future Expertise

Lead Research Organisation: Victoria and Albert Museum
Department Name: Research

Abstract

Nearly all cultures have developed models of how to project and predict the future. Ways of thinking about the future range widely: from diviners and alchemists, through urban improvers and insurance companies, trend forecasters and risk assessors, and to film-makers and novelists. Projections of the future engage, whether explicitly or implicitly, with their own present. They may critique an existing state of affairs, or simply offer the promise of a better world.

There is in one sense an inherent contradiction in the premise that expertise in projecting and predicting the future is possible. By their very nature, claims about the future are unverifiable at the time they are made. This places high rhetorical demands on self-proclaimed futurists or experts in the future who must demonstrate their superior insight through spiritual, statistical, or scientific means.

The project will explore what societies at different times and places have considered constitutes expertise in the future, and how this expertise has manifested itself visually.

This project will explore one major aspect of future expertise, specifically examining the visual dimension of the futurist's repertoire of persuasion. Most work in the field has emphasized text as the primary instrument of the futurologist. As a recent BBC radio documentary on the topic suggests, there is popular fascination with the predictions of future experts, from the Oracle at Delphi through Nostradamus and the science fiction authors of the twentieth century, and a rich literature on such expertise exists. The visual analogue to this tradition, however, has typically been treated dismissively. Future projection by artists and designers is sometimes used as an adjunct to verbal description; often it is seen as exceptional or eccentric (with notable exceptions, such as the oeuvre of Leonardo da Vinci). This project will examine less canonical material, seeking to provide an account of future expertise as such rather than a series of monographic examples. In addition, the scope of research will incorporate 'non-artistic' visual material of a technical nature, such as patents, diagrams, maps, charts and graphs.

The research will feed into the V&A's inaugural exhibition for its new set of temporary exhibition galleries opening in 2016. 'The Future: A History' will be a thoughtful, research-driven examination of imaginary projection as a historical phenomenon across the globe. It will chart a passage from medieval depictions of the future as divinely revealed (e.g. medieval images of the last judgment), through increasingly instrumental and secular attempts to control the future (e.g. in modernist city planning), to a more recent exploration of explicit fictionalization as a modus operandi for future-oriented art and design, as practitioners have become more self-aware about their work's fundamentally speculative character. It will explore many interrelated avenues of research: cross-cultural comparison of religious art (eschatological imagery) and material culture (divination and fortune-telling tools); visual representations of utopias and dystopias, which have functioned as important means of political expression, particularly in repressive societies; and specific object typologies that have been used for manifesting possible futures (prototypes, renderings, data visualizations). Together, the physical artefacts and the models they represent constitute the hopes and fears of past and present.

Planned Impact

The project will develop the understanding of the visual representations of projections and predictions of future, therefore its most immediate impact will be on the field of visual arts. In addition to a range of academic beneficiaries, it is expected to influence thinking amongst contemporary art and design practitioners. It is also expected to influence thinking amongst contemporary futurologists and provide a background and provide a greater, more holistic understanding of the multifaceted tradition within which they operate.

All too often, the visual dimension of the futurologist's repertoire of persuasion is dismissed as subsidiary to written dimensions. The project will investigate this visual dimension as it is found in a diverse range of cultural contexts. It is therefore to the benefit of both scholars and the general public in adding to the existing canon.

Whilst the research undertaken will be academically rigorous, the project team are fully mindful of the fact that one of the most immediate beneficiaries of this project is the museum-using public. Research undertaken during the project will directly feed into a major exhibition at the V&A in 2016. The exhibition will be accompanied by a programme of events and activities, as well as a scholarly publication and high-quality web content. This content will draw together projective, predictive, divinatory, and utopian art and design from the middle ages to the present, on a global basis. By illuminating and drawing together visual representations found across different societies, the project will increase understanding of different traditions, and promises to enhance cultural enrichment.

Publications

10 25 50
 
Description We have created a series of podcasts which debate issues arising from the research and are available to a wide public from the project Victoria and Albert website: http://www.vam.ac.uk/blog/network/visionaries-podcast-series-launches
First Year Of Impact 2014
Sector Creative Economy,Education,Culture, Heritage, Museums and Collections
Impact Types Cultural

 
Description Curation and public engagement at National Museums
Geographic Reach Asia 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact The abstraction and theoretical nature of much professional discourse on the future - such as in markets-based expertise or complex technologies - limits broad engagement. Even within academic disciplines, specialists only understand a small percentage of what each other are saying. This needs to be addressed urgently because of the political, social and environmental challenges affecting us today. The project has facilitated greater understanding about the ways in which material artefacts and exhibitions can be used to catalyse and support public debates about historical, scientific and social developments and the collective cultural understanding of futures. A key impact legacy will be the enhanced effectiveness of public services through dissemination of new knowledge and understanding and a direct contribution to the practices of museum collections and display.
 
Description British Council
Amount £25,000 (GBP)
Organisation British Council 
Sector Charity/Non Profit
Country United Kingdom
Start 08/2014 
End 02/2015
 
Description Research Project Funding
Amount £87,000 (GBP)
Organisation BGC Partners 
Sector Private
Country United States
Start 01/2014 
End 01/2017
 
Description Travel Grant INTACH-UK
Amount £1,000 (GBP)
Organisation Indian National Trust for Art and Cultural Heritage 
Sector Charity/Non Profit
Country India
Start 01/2014 
End 10/2014
 
Title Cross-disciplinary research methods for futures studies 
Description New visual methodologies for how futures are shaped, known and told, and new ways of thinking about temporality in the context of museum learning, interpretation and display. Contribution to cross-disciplinary methodologies for the the disciplines of futures studies based in the visual and material. 
Type Of Material Improvements to research infrastructure 
Year Produced 2013 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact This has led to the development of the Scenario research project, including participation from public and private sector organisations. 
URL http://www.vam.ac.uk/content/articles/s/scenario/
 
Description Futures 
Organisation Imperial College London
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Interdisciplinary research expertise at the interface of design and science and technology, and curatorial research expertise with respect to use of historic collections to research trends in how innovation happens through design, ownership and use of material and the technologies used to exploit them.
Collaborator Contribution Research expertise in nanotechnology and project brief for MSc students at Imperial College London on 'hidden nano' in the V&A collections to act as a case study for a larger collaborative research project between the V&A and ICL on creativity and innovation.
Impact This multi-disciplinary collaboration will result in further research into creativity and innovation and opportunities for joint projects between museums and universities.
Start Year 2013
 
Description Scenario 
Organisation Sciences Po
Country France 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution I initiated this collaboration as part of a funding application to follow the AHRC exploratory award funding. This application was short-listed as one of seven for the Large Grants Care for the Future scheme. As a result of the partnership in developing this project, I initiated a publication project with Dr Jenny Andersson at Science Po, to produce an interdisciplinary reader for Futures studies and the proposal is currently under consideration. We are currently in the process of preparing a revised application to the AHRC large grants scheme.
Collaborator Contribution FuturePol contributes specialist expertise in the field of future studies to this project and access to a research team at FuturePol funded by the ERC and part of wider international networks in these fields.
Impact See above
Start Year 2013
 
Description Soirees Project 
Organisation The Royal Society
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution I initiated this project as a result of the networks I developed as part of the Care for the Future award.
Collaborator Contribution The Royal Society will provide and digitise archival material and expertise.
Impact Not yet
Start Year 2014
 
Description 'Visionaries' Podcasts 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact As part of a broader research project about 'future expertise', the V&A organised this series of workshops as part of the AHRC Care for the Future Exploratory award to explore the materiality, trends and designs of the future. The workshops gathered together radically progressive individuals who are reimagining innovation in their field in an attempt to discover the emerging trends of 'what tomorrow knows today', and, in collaboration with multimedia publisher, Future Human, produced the podcast series entitled 'Visionaries'.
'Visionaries' asks avant-garde to tell the story of their visions and their potential impact on the wider world. The podcast series offers listeners interdisciplinary insight into accelerating societal change. These futurological leaps of the imagination are transforming contemporary society across a wide range of fields including science and technology, manufacturing and materials, art and design and trend forecasting as well as influencing politics, science and the arts.

A significant impact of the podcasts has been the dissemination of the project research to wider publics which has informed further development of the project, including specialists and non-specialists and new research networks.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.vam.ac.uk/blog/network/visionaries-podcast-series-launches
 
Description Public workshops 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact The workshops led to extended networks, dissemination and feedback.

The workshops led to development of a larger project and subsequent funding application.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013