The Care Life Cycle: Responding to the Health and Social Care Needs of an Ageing Society

Lead Research Organisation: University of Southampton
Department Name: School of Social Sciences

Abstract

The UK's population is ageing, and this presents a major problem for government since older people are the major users of health and social care services. As well as increasing the demand for care, population ageing is affecting the supply of care professionals, as the health workforce itself ages. However, ageing is only one factor in a complex set of issues influencing both the supply of and demand for health and social care. These include changes in the profile of disability and disease, the development of new technologies, and changes in levels of income and wealth. The workforce is influenced by many demographic, political and economic factors. The challenges in forecasting the future health workforce have been frequently highlighted, but no research to date has dealt comprehensively with both the demand and supply side of health and social care. To achieve this will require more than simply adding together models of the different sub-systems - what is important is the way that these sub-systems interact and feedback on each other. In order to make progress on understanding the whole system, a complexity science approach must be taken. Complexity science is an emerging discipline that attempts to model, understand and manage systems that combine scale and connectivity of the kind exhibited by the UK's health and social care systems. It has very broad application to biological, environmental, and physical systems, but here we are interested in applying it within a social science domain that poses unique challenges.In this research programme, we shall bring together teams of researchers from both social science and complexity science in order to work side by side to develop models of the socio-economic processes and organisations implicated in the UK's health care and social care systems. This research addresses the key challenges of developing effective novel modelling tools and techniques, and encouraging more sophisticated ways of carrying this science forward to inform policy on this vital real-world problem. In general then, the pay-off for complexity science offered by this research is to be found partly in the new tools and methodological advances that will be generated in the course of building, analysing and understanding the proposed models, and the pay-off for social science is to be found partly in the new understanding of health and social care that the models generate. But there will also be significant pay-off for both fields in the discoveries made at the interface between modellers and policy makers. In particular, there is a real opportunity to make progress on how complexity scientists can direct, present, and describe their work to maximum effect, something that the field has not always been able to do.Our ambitious programme of work aims to meet the research challenges described above, integrating rigorous empirical studies, sophisticated modelling and reflective engagement with relevant policy makers and planners, under a single framework informed both by modern complexity science and a long-standing track record in the social sciences. We will deliver a step change in the degree to which our understanding of the health care cycle can inform policy change in the form of models, papers, datasets, theory, public engagement and knowledge exchange, PhD and post-doctoral training, conferences and workshops. Simultaneously, we will make progress in developing the fundamental tools, concepts and methodologies of complexity science, particularly in the context of policy making for real-world multi-scale social systems.

Planned Impact

Who will benefit from this research, how, and what will be done to ensure their engagement? Two broad groups of beneficiaries can be identified: 1) Users from the voluntary sector, local government (especially local social services departments and Primary Care Trusts) and national government (especially the Department of Health and the NHS Work Force planning team). The research questions being addressed are by their very nature relevant to policy makers and planners, particularly within the fields of health care and social care. The empirical research findings along with the modelling tools produced will assist local governments in planning services for a range of different client groups including new migrants and older people. The views of key stakeholders will be explicitly sought throughout the programme of work and incorporating these expert opinions into the policy tools is an integral part of the programme of research. The research findings will be made accessible to lay audiences through briefing papers, user workshops and presentations. We will also pay special attention to engaging with the media, as new research comes on-stream. 2) The wider public. The research is also highly relevant to people's everyday lives. An improved understanding of the drivers for health and social care will led to more efficiency in service delivery, which will in turn have a positive impact on the health and well-being of older people and their families. The informed general public will be able to access the project's findings through the website and through briefing papers. The Centre for Research on Ageing has a longstanding partnership with the Southampton Pensioners Forum and will work with them to ensure the involvement of older people themselves. Track record in User Engagement: The broader research group will benefit from the extensive experience in engaging with the policy and user communities amongst the Social Scientists. Prof Falkingham sits on the DWP Modelling Advisory Board; Prof Evandrou has excellent links within the user community, having been Vice-Chair of Age Concern London and Governor of the Centre for Policy on Ageing and a member of the Department of Health modelling advisory group. Prof Williams currently acts as an expert advisory for the Home Office and Prof sally Brailsford has long-standing links with a range of Primary Care Trusts. The research team will also benefit from links with the Centre for Population Change's partners in Scotland and excellent links with the devolved administration in Edinburgh (the Scottish government are funding a link person between CPC and the Scottish Executive). Timeframe for benefits to be realised: The benefits to policy makers and planners and to the wider public will begin to be realised during the project as the research results feed into changes in policy and practice. However the main benefits will be after the project as the new methodologies and tools incorporating complexity science are adopted for planning and policy making.

Publications

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Bijak J (2015) Probabilistic population forecasts for informed decision making in Journal of Official Statistics

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Bijak J (2014) Predicting Migration: Practices, Pitfalls and Perspectives in Joint KNOMAD-UN Population Division Seminar on the role of Migration in Population Modeling

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Bijak J (2014) Uncertainty in international migration studies: A Bayesian view in Trinity 2014 Seminar Series: 'Research Methods in Demography and Beyond'

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Bijak J (2014) Quantifying paradigm change in demography in Demographic Research

 
Description This grant developed a suite of models to explore the health and social care demands of an ageing population. Working in collaboration with local authorities a systems dynamics model shed light on future levels of unmet need that will require planning attention. Changes in family structures, increasing female employment and increasing longevity mean that the demand for care will rise whilst the potential supply of informal care from partners and adult children will decrease.
Exploitation Route The models developed are already being picked up by other research groups across Europe.
Sectors Healthcare

URL http://www.southampton.ac.uk/clc/index.page
 
Description We have worked with Hampshire County Council on modelling long term care needs. We have also worked with Southampton University Hospital Trust on modelling the eye clinic and improving patient services. Our work on Bayesian population projections has been discussed with ONS and follow on work is on-going. As part of this, we have been working with ONS on their forecasts of mortality at oldest ages (90+) and have collaborated on the production of the English Life Tables 2017.
First Year Of Impact 2014
Sector Healthcare,Other
Impact Types Policy & public services

 
Description 'Activity and engagement effects on ageing cognition' and 'Statistical methods for computer experiments' 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Jointly organised CLC/CPC seminar. Dr Carol Holland, Director of ARCHA, will present on 'Activity and engagement effects on ageing cognition'. Dr Alexis Boukouvalas, Research Fellow at ARCHA, will present on 'Statistical methods for computer experiments'

Raised profile of CLC/CPC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description A Hybrid Simulation Model for Age-Related Macular Degeneration 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at INFORMS Healthcare 2015 Conference, Nashville, USA, 29-31 July 2015.

Raise profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
URL http://meetings2.informs.org/wordpress/healthcare2015/
 
Description A Microsimulation Model of Social Care in Wales 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CPC and CLC jointly organised seminar presented by Graham Stark in June 2014. Abstract: In this talk I will discuss a microsimulation model built for the Welsh Government which simulates the costs and distributional effect of changes to the system for paying for social care in Wales, for up to 20 years into the future. The model uses household data from the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS). It has a number of innovative technical features, and a user-friendly Web interface. The program code is freely available under an Open Source licence. I will review the design and implementation of the model, outline possible future developments, and demonstrate the it in use.


Raised the profile of CPC and CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description A Review of the Application of Simulation Using a Variety of Commercial Tools 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC Seminar by Mike Ellarby, Saker Solutions. Abstract: The presentation will provide an introduction and background to the concept of simulation modelling tools. It will focus on highlighting both the similarities and differences between the approaches used by the tools as well as providing an insight into how they are applied across a range of different problem areas.
The session will make use of models from a variety of different tools, including Anylogic, Simul8 and Flexsim (including HC). Although seminar will assume no prior knowledge of simulation it will hopefully be of interest to both practitioners and those new to the subject. The presentation will make use of both real models and a degree of "live" model building to highlight how the tools are used to develop simulations of real problems.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description A comparison of two approaches to hybrid simulation in a healthcare context from an operational researcher's perspective 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Joe Viana presented his paper at the Operational Research Applied to Health Services (ORAHS) 2014 Conference in Portugal

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.orahs2014.fc.ul.pt/
 
Description A hybrid simulation model for age-related macular degeneration 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Paper presentation at the 7th IMA Conference on Quantitative Modelling in the Management of Health and Social Care in London

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description A hybrid simulation model for age-related macular degeneration 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Invited talk at the Health Services and Outcomes Research (HSOR) group at the National University in Singapore.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Accuracy and bias in coherent mortality forecasting for subpopulations based on sex and state: applications to European countries and Australian states 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Jointly organised CPC/CLC Seminar by Dr Heather Booth, Australian National University. Abstract: When mortality forecasts for subpopulations are treated as independent, historic relationships among subpopulations may not be reflected in the forecasts. The product-ratio method of coherent forecasting (Hyndman, Booth and Yasmeen, Demography, 2013) takes account of the relationships among subpopulations based on a single criterion such as sex or state. The coherent forecasts have been shown to improve overall accuracy and to equalise accuracy across subpopulations. Bias is largely unchanged, but is homogenised across subpopulations. The paper compares the accuracy of mortality forecasts when the subpopulations are based on sex and state. The product-ratio method is applied to male and female populations of a group of n states, producing mortality forecasts for 2n subpopulations defined by sex and state. Two forecasts per subpopulation are made: the first set are sex-coherent forecasts for each country, while the second set are country-coherent forecasts for each sex. The accuracy of the two sets of forecasts are compared. Examples include four Nordic countries (Norway, Sweden, Denmark and Finland), three constituents of the UK (England & Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland) and four states of Australia. Implications for forecasting are discussed.

Raised profile of CPC/CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Active Ageing Index 2012: Results for 27 EU Member States 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CPC and CLC jointly organised a seminar by Professor Asghar Kaidi, University of Southampton. Abstract: 'Active Ageing Index' is a research project by the European Commission's DG for Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion together with the UN Economic Commission for Europe, and the European Centre Vienna, within the framework of the 2012 European Year for Active Ageing and Solidarity between Generations and during the 10th anniversary of the 2nd World Assembly on Ageing. The project aims to provide policymakers with a new tool (namely: the Active Ageing Index, AAI) that will highlight various areas for policy interventions across European countries in relation to promoting active and healthy ageing in its multifaceted ways. The AAI makes use of a dashboard of indicators, organised under four different domains: Employment of older workers; Social activity and participation of older people; Independent and autonomous living of older persons; and Capacity and age-friendly enabling environment for active and healthy ageing. In effect, it shows the extent to which older people have and can realise their potential with respect to employment, health, independent and self-reliant living and other unpaid family, social and cultural contributions to the society.The AAI will be available online and it has been designed as a comparative tool tracking progress over time. Thus, the Index aims to help shape future research and policy agendas and influence how existing large-scale comparative data-sets can be further developed to address the impact of population ageing by following the policy discourse of active ageing and solidarity between generations. The coverage of the AAI will also be extended in the near future to the member states of the UNECE that are not part of the EU27.

Raised profile of CPC and CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Age-related Macular Degeneration in the UK: Exploring Links and Dependencies between Health and Social Care through simulation modelling 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Stuart Rossiter presented the poster "Age-related Macular Degeneration in the UK: Exploring Links and Dependencies between Health and Social Care through simulation modelling" at the CSRW policy conference.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.csrw.ac.uk/policy-conference
 
Description Age-related Macular Degeneration in the UK: Exploring Links and Dependencies between Health and Social care through Simulation Modelling 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Change by design:systems modelling and simulation in healthcare conference in Exeter.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Ageing and Sight Loss: Triggers and Implications for Care 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC organised seminar by Julia Barrand, Royal National Institute of Blind People

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
 
Description Agent-Based Modelling and Complexity 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the Workshop on 'The decision to emigrate: Agent-based modelling of international migration' in Germany.

Increased international collaboration
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Agent-Oriented Discrete Event Simulation: A novel way of simulating (the performance of) human centric systems 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC organised a seminar by Dr Peer-Olaf Siebers, University of Nottingham. Abstract: Abstract: There has been some debate about the place of Agent-Based Modelling and Simulation (ABM/S) in OR (Siebers et al 2010; Brailsford 2012). To date most simulation models are still Discrete Event Simulation (DES) or System Dynamics Simulation models. On reason for this is perhaps that the focus in OR simulation is still on processes rather than services - partly because our toolbox is limited. If we want to focus on individuals within a process we currently don't have the right modelling tools at hand as equation based modelling commonly used for individual based modelling in other fields (e.g. social simulation) does not mix well with the graphical flow chart notation we use for DES modelling.
In Software Engineering we have the Unified Modelling Language (UML) for analysing requirements and designing software. UML consists of 26 different types of diagrams which have the capacity of modelling process flows (e.g. activity diagrams) as well as individual object behaviour (e.g. state machine diagrams) and interactions between individual objects (e.g. sequence diagrams).
Using these kinds of diagrams allows us to model human centric service systems where processes are as important as the behaviour/interaction of individuals. We can use these tools to design "Agent-Oriented Discrete Event Simulation" models. At the core we have a DES framework (basically a queuing system). Then we use active objects instead of passive entities usually used in DES in order to represent the activities of individuals. These active entities (agents) are autonomous, make their own decisions, have a memory, and can interact with other agents.
In my talk I will introduce Agent-Based Modelling and Simulation and show how such agents can be integrated into a DES framework. I will provide some examples of ABM and hybrid ABM/DES models to demonstrate the applicability of such models to OR.


Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description Agent-based modeling and simulation Course in Rostock, Germany 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Jakub Bijak and Jason Hilton gave two lectures as part of the course 1) Introduction to the design of computer experiments and 2) Statistical analysis of the results of experiments. They also ran a Computer lab on Design and analysis of computer experiments.

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.demogr.mpg.de/en/education_career/international_advanced_studies_in_demography_3279/cours...
 
Description Agent-based modelling and simulation 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact Guest Lecture at Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Rostock, Germany.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Agent-based modelling and simulation Course in Rostock, Germany 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Jonathan Gray gave a talk on "Decision making in ABM: Agents with Agency" as part of the course

Raise profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.demogr.mpg.de/en/education_career/international_advanced_studies_in_demography_3279/cours...
 
Description Agent-based modelling in demography: Epistemological and methodological challenges 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CPC academic Jakub Bijak presented a Süßmilch Lecture at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock on the 26th October 2015.

Raised the profile of CPC projects.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
URL http://www.demogr.mpg.de/En/news_press/news_1917/agent_based_modeling_in_demography_epistemological_...
 
Description Agent-based models and statistical emulators in demography: An example of modelling social care for the ageing UK 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) Annual Conference in Swansea.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Agent-based models in demography: Modelling the ageing UK population 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Eric Silverman gave an invited seminar presentation to the Oxford Institute of Population Ageing at Oxford University

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description An agent-based decision model of migration embedded in the life course 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Jointly organised CPC/CLC seminar presented by Anna Klabunde from the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, held at the University of Southampton. Abstract: The goal of our research is to build a model which allows analysing population dynamics with respect to the effects of the timing and location of possible future migration flows which might by influenced by policy changes and demographic transitions.
To this end, we develop a prototype for a new generation of models which combine microsimulation of demographic processes with decision-making and interaction in an agent-based fashion.
The proposed model is a combination of two different models: A demographic projection model describing life course dynamics, and an agent-based model for describing unobservable decision processes related to migration. The occurrence and timing of all life events other than migration are determined based on Markovian processes (i.e., by microsimulation), whereas migration events are the outcome of a decision process based on the Theory of Planned Behavior. The parameters of the microsimulation model are estimated using multistate survival models on the MAFE (Migrations between Africa and Europe) data set, a micro survey of Senegalese individuals and heads of household in Senegal and Southern Europe. The unobservable parameters of the decision model are chosen using established calibration methods.

Raised the profile of CPC/CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.cpc.ac.uk/seminars/?link=home.php&id=156
 
Description An exploratory discrete-time multilevel analysis of the effect of social support on the survival of elderly people in China 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the Interdisciplinary Research on Long-term Care and Healthy Ageing Conference, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China, 22-23 May 2015.

Raise profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
 
Description Are the four Baconian idols still alive in demography? 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the Chaire Quetelet 213 in Belgium.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Artificial Life and Social Policy: Prospects for Agent-Based Models of Human Systems 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Presentation as part of Keele University's computer science seminar series.

Raised the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Back to the Future: What can we predict, and how to do it? 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation workshop facilitator
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Jason Noble and Eric Silverman facilitated a breakout session on "Back to the Future: What can we predict, and how to do it?" at the CSRW policy conference.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.csrw.ac.uk/policy-conference
 
Description British and Irish Longitudinal Studies of Ageing (BILS) Annual Conference 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation workshop facilitator
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact CPC academic Robert Wright organised this conference which took place between the 20th and 21st November 2014 at the University of Strathclyde.


Raised the profile of CPC academics
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.sbs.strath.ac.uk/feeds/events.aspx?id=478
 
Description CSRW Policy Conference - Demonstration by Joe Viana 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Joe Viana demonstrated the Hampshire Social care computer model

Raised the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.csrw.ac.uk/policy-conference
 
Description CSRW Policy Conference - Demonstration by Stuart Rossiter 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Stuart Rossiter demonstrated the Age-related Macular Degeneration computer model

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.csrw.ac.uk/policy-conference
 
Description Care Life Cycle: Towards Modelling the Supply and Demand of Health and Social Care in the UK 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Presentation as part of the ARCHA Seminar series at Aston University.

Raised the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Characteristics of and living arrangements amongst informal carers 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study Beta test Workshop at UCL.

Raise profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Characteristics of and living arrangements amongst informal carers at the 2011 and 2001 censuses: stability, change and transition 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Presented paper at the UK Longitudinal Study 2011 Census Linkage Launch event in London

Raised profile of CLC Project
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://calls.ac.uk/news-entry/speakers-announced-for-uk-ls-2011-census-linkage-launch/
 
Description Characteristics of and living arrangements amongst informal carers at the 2011 and 2001 censuses: stability, change and transition - preliminary results from the ONS Longitudinal Study 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the "Beta testing of the 2011 Census data/LS linkage" workshop in London
.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Characteristics of and living arrangements amongst informal carers at the 2011 and 2001 censuses: stability, change and transition - preliminary results from the ONS Longitudinal Study 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Presentation at the Longitudinal Champions Meeting at The Office for National Statistics, Drummond Gate, London.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description Characteristics of and living arrangements amongst informal carers at the 2011 and 2001 censuses: stability, change and transition - preliminary results from the ONS Longitudinal Study 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the Census Research User Conference in London.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Characteristics of and living arrangements amongst informal carers in England and Wales at the 2011 and 2001 Censuses: stability, change and transition 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact James Robards presented the poster at the European Population Conference (EPC2014) in Budapest, Hungary

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.epc2014.hu/
 
Description Characteristics of and living arrangements amongst informal carers in England and Wales at the 2011 and 2001 Censuses: stability,change and transition 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact James Robards presented this paper at the British Society for Population Studies 2014 Annual Conference in Winchester

Raise profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.lse.ac.uk/socialPolicy/BSPS/annualConference/2014-Conference/BSPS-2014-Conference---Winch...
 
Description Characteristics of informal carers in England and Wales at the 2011 and 2001 Censuses: stability, change and transition 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact James Robards presented the poster "Characteristics of informal carers in England and Wales at the 2011 and 2001 Censuses: stability, change and transition" at the CSRW policy conference.

Raised the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.csrw.ac.uk/policy-conference
 
Description Combining Discrete Event, Agent Based and System Dynamics Simulation to explore the Health and Social Care implications of Age Related Macular Degeneration 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at BAMC Conference 2012 Minisymposium on social modelling in London.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Combining Discrete Event, Agent Based and System Dynamics Simulation to explore the Health and Social Care implications of Age Related Macular Degeneration 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the annual European Conference on Operational Research in Lithuania.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Complexity Science as Magic Feather 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Presentation at the 5th ESRC Research Methods Festival in Oxford.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Contagion on Networks with Self-Organised Community Structure 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the European Conference on Artificial Life Annual Conference (ECAL2015), University of York, 20-24 July 2015.

Raise profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
URL https://www.cs.york.ac.uk/nature/ecal2015/
 
Description Creating a population data resource: the SAIL databank 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC organised seminar by Professor David Ford, Director of Health Informatics, College of Medicine at Swansea University

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Deciding to Disclose: Pregnancy and Alcohol Misuse 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Jonathan Gray presented this poster at the "Recent Developments and future directions in ABM in Population Studies" Workshop at the University of Leuven, Belgium

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description Decision Theoretic Agent Based Modelling: Pregnancy and Alcohol Misuse 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the International Conference on Computational Social Science (IC2S2), Helsinki, Finland, 8-11 June 2015.

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
URL http://www.iccss2015.eu/index.html
 
Description Examining the determinants of moving into residential care and sheltered accommodation 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the British Society of Gerontology Annual Conference in Oxford.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Examining the determinants of the supply/demand of health and social care in the UK 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Presentation at the Centre for Workforce Intelligence (CfWI) Analyst and Modeller event in Export House, Woking.

Increased collaboration
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description Expanding the scope of microsimulation by modeling and simulating inter-individual interaction 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC organised seminar by Dr Sabine Zinn, National Educational Panel Study, University of Bamberg, Germany. Abstract: To realistically describe individual behavior, demographic microsimulation has to consider the effect of inter-individual interaction. For example, in the majority of cases the decision to have children depends not only on the woman, but also on the potential father, and presumably additionally on the social network of both. Individual interaction patterns are usually ignored within demographic microsimulations. The only type of inter-individual linkage that has been considered in microsimulation models so far is demographic kinship. However, when modeling kin at this level mostly very simplifying and therefore distorting assumptions are put. For example, in nearly all cases characteristics of members of kin groups are stated to be uncorrelated, which is an assumption that is simply wrong. No general modeling or simulation technique exists that accounts for correlation between linked lives in a microsimulation. To give an example: many microsimulation models incorporate a marriage market to perform mate-matching. However, after a couple has been matched, the subsequent modeling and simulation of the individuals forming the couple is not clear: in the literature neither a stochastic model of the joint behavior of paired individuals is described, nor related simulation algorithms are discussed.
In this talk I propose a way to extend a continuous-time microsimulation model to tackle this shortcoming. I introduce a simulation model and related simulation techniques to account for interdependencies between the life-courses of spouses of (heterosexual) partnerships. That is, I restrict my consideration to binary linkages. The construction of interaction networks comprising more than two individuals is straightforward from a pure technical point of view: binary links between all interacting individuals make up a complete graph mapping an interaction network. I propose to model couple behavior by considering both spouses of a pair jointly. The capability of the novel microsimulation is illustrated using a simplified example that aims at forecasting the contemporary Dutch population. Here I analyze partnership stability and the individual propensity to quit smoking, considering dual- and single-smoker couples.


Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Experiences of enriching modelling through cross-disciplinary working 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the Complexity Science in the Real World Annual Conference held in Shrigley Hall, Manchester.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Feeding the Beast: Can Computational Demographic Models Free Us from the Tyranny of Data 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Multidisciplinary Conference on Ageing and Neuroscience at the University of Southampton.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
URL http://docs.multidisciplinary.soton.ac.uk/28Sept/AgeingConference28Sept2011UoSweb.html
 
Description Forecasting Disability in Europe 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC organised seminar by Dr Govert Bijwaard, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
 
Description Forecasting Social Care Demand in Hampshire 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the OR Applied to Health Services Annual Conference in Cardiff.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
 
Description Forecasting Social Care Demand in Hampshire 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Multidisciplinary Conference on Ageing and Neuroscience at the University of Southampton.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
URL http://docs.multidisciplinary.soton.ac.uk/28Sept/AgeingConference28Sept2011UoSweb.html
 
Description Forecasting demand for Hampshire County Council Social care through whole system computer simulation modelling 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Joe Viana presented this poster at the British Society for Population Studies 2014 Annual Conference in Winchester

Raise profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.lse.ac.uk/socialPolicy/BSPS/annualConference/2014-Conference/BSPS-2014-Conference---Winch...
 
Description Forecasting social care demand in Hampshire 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Joe Viana presented the poster "Forecasting social care demand in Hampshire"

Raised the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.csrw.ac.uk/policy-conference
 
Description From agent-based models to statistical emulators 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation keynote/invited speaker
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the Eurostat/UNECE Work Session on Population Projections in Rome.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description HalthPaths Dynamics - Using Functional Health Trajectories to Quantify Impacts on Health-Adjusted Life Expectancy (HALE) in Canada 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Jointly organised CLC/CPC seminar by Professor Michael Wolfson, University of Ottawa

Raised profile of CLC and CPC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
 
Description Has parental influence on young adults declined? A longitudinal study of families and religion 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Vern Bengtson from the University of California presents his research in a joint CPC/CLC organised seminar.

Raised profile of CPC/CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Health System Patient Flow Simulation Model 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Professor Mike Carter, Centre for Research in Healthcare Engineering, University of Toronto presented a jointly organised CLC/CORMSIS Seminar. Abstract: Our cross-sector patient flow model is a system dynamics simulation focused on the flow rates of patients between health system sectors, and the feedback structures around them. It takes a whole-system, strategic perspective, and is designed to produce output that captures the direction and magnitude resulting from policy changes around patient pathways and service levels.

The model was developed within a geographically large health region of around one million people. It was constructed based on consultations with four expert panels: health policy leaders, acute, institutional and home and community care. The first panel identified the policy levers targeting flows of patients between healthcare sectors, while the other three panels were engaged to develop causal loop diagrams (CSD) that explained admission and discharge flows of their respective sectors. Qualitative input from these panels was merged with health system data to develop a stock-and-flow structure of the health region. Patients are grouped into cohorts by age, sex, clinical condition, referral source and discharge destination. The model output was validated against admission and discharge data collected over a four year period.

The model has been applied to both qualitative (CSD) and quantitative (stock and flow) decision problems. The CSD model was used by the Ontario Ministry of Health and Long Term Care to test a new slow stream rehab option for complex patients. The model demonstrated several negative unintended consequences and led the policy team to revise their recommendations. The quantitative model has been used to validate the Ontario Stroke Strategy to estimate length of stay improvements. We are currently working with the Ministry to make the tool more widely accessible.


Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description Health and social care impact of age related macular degeneration: Exploring the interactions with hybrid simulation 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the INFORMS Annual Meeting, San Francisco, USA, 9-12 November 2014.



Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://meetings2.informs.org/sanfrancisco2014/index.php
 
Description Health outcomes for informal carers in England and Wales - A longitudinal study using nationally representative census data for England and Wales 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) 2015 Conference, University of Leeds, 7-9 September 2015.

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
URL http://www.lse.ac.uk/socialPolicy/BSPS/annualConference/Home.aspx
 
Description Housing pathways and mortality in later life in the United Kingdom 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an open day or visit at my research institution
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the University of Southampton Social and Human Sciences Post Graduate Open Day.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description How can uncertainty quantification methods help us better model complex social systems? 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Jason Hilton presented his poster at the Uncertainty in Computer Models (UCM) 2014 Conference at the University of Sheffield

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.mucm.ac.uk/UCM2014/Overview.html
 
Description How do older people negotiate social care support in England? A Study of the perspectives of older people, their families and policy stakeholders 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the British Society of Gerontology Annual Conference 2015, Northumbria University, 1-3 July 2015.

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
URL http://conferences.ncl.ac.uk/bsg2015/
 
Description How does social care need amongst older adults change over time in the UK? 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) 2015 Conference, University of Leeds, 7-9 September 2015.

Raise profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
URL http://www.lse.ac.uk/socialPolicy/BSPS/annualConference/Home.aspx
 
Description How does social care need amongst older adults change over time in the UK? 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Andrew Amos Channon presented this poster at the American Public Health Association(APHA) 2014 Annual Conference in New Orleans

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.apha.org/events-and-meetings/apha-calendar/conferences/aphas-142nd-annual-meeting-and-exp...
 
Description Hypothesis verification for simulation models: Theory and applications 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CPC and CLC jointly organised a seminar presented by Bogumil Kaminski in April 2014. Abstract: In the presentation we propose a method of hypothesis verification for stochastic simulation models using samples of their outputs. A Bayesian procedure is developed to evaluate the probability that the hypothesis under investigation is true for a single simulation input. Next, we prove that the only coherent way of aggregating such probabilities over different simulation inputs is by averaging. Moreover, conditions for averaging to give consistent and asymptotically unbiased evaluation of input space proportion, for which the tested hypothesis is true, are given. Finally, it is shown that in hypothesis verification, under limited simulation effort capacity assumption, there is a bias-variance trade-off between the number of input points sampled and sample size per point. The obtained theoretical results are illustrated by analysis of a simulation model presented in paper "Volatility Clustering in Financial Markets: Empirical Facts and Agent-Based Models" by Cont (2007).

Raised the profile of CPC and CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description Identifying housing transitions in relation to subsequent mortality at older ages 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) Annual Conference in Swansea.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Investigating unmet need for social care amongst older people 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the British Society of Gerontology Annual Conference 2011 in Plymouth.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
 
Description Investigating unmet need for social care amongst older people 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Multidisciplinary Conference on Ageing and Neuroscience at the University of Southampton.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
URL http://docs.multidisciplinary.soton.ac.uk/28Sept/AgeingConference28Sept2011UoSweb.html
 
Description Is policy succeeding? Gender differences in national pensions in Korea 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact MiYoung An from Kookmin University presents her research on gender differences in national pensions in Korea at a CPC/CLC jointly organised seminar.

Raise profile of CPC and CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Linking lives: An agent-based approach to modelling demographic impacts on social care 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Complexiy Science and Social Science at the Interface to the Real World Conference, held in Chicheley Hall, Milton Keynes.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Making Policy in a Changing World: Using Models to Assess the Impact of Policy Reforms 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC organised seminar by Professor Ann Harding, National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling in Australia

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
 
Description Measuring unmet need for social care in later life 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Research on Ageing Exhibition at the University of Southampton.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Meeting the Challenge of an Ageing Population: Improving the evidence base for social care in later life 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact This event, which was held in the Attlee Committee Room at the House of Lords, was chaired by Baroness Sally Greengross, Chief Executive of the International Longevity Centre. Two case studies from the Care Life Cycle project were presented, one on helping to plan future social care needs in Hampshire, and a second linking health and social care needs for people with age-related sight loss. Tony O'Connor, Head of the Government Operational Research Service and Don Nutbeam, Vice-Chancellor at the University of Southampton attended the event

Raised the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Micro-level simulation models for health and social policy / SNACK Study 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC organised seminar by Professor Marten Lagergren (Stockholm Gerontology Research Centre) and Lisa Brouwers (Swedish Institute for Infectious Disease Control)

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Migration and climate change: an agent-based approach 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC organised seminar by Professor Dominic Kniveton, University of Sussex.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Migration as part of Scenario Generation for Care 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at CSRW Migration Modelling Workshop in Southampton.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Modelling Household Dynamics for Epidemiological Simulation 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC organised seminar by Dr Nic Geard, School of Population Health, University of Melbourne. Abstract: The household has long been recognised as a key focus of infection transmission, and interventions are often directed at household members in the hope of reducing disease spread. Mathematical models serve as a valuable tool in assessing such interventions, but their usefulness relies on models incorporating the relevant factors that affect transmission. Traditional compartmental models of disease spread are limited in their ability to represent the complex structure of real populations. By developing more realistic models of household dynamics and contact patterns, we seek to better understand historic patterns of disease incidence, and design more effective strategies for disease control.
We have developed an agent-based model that explicitly represents the household context of individuals and the demographic processes that modify household composition. This model enables the simulation of disease spread in more realistic populations, with the flexibility to explore various demographic scenarios. In this talk, I will describe the design and validation of the population model, and its application to assessing household-based interventions against pertussis (whooping cough).


Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Modelling for age-related macular degeneration 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Health professionals
Results and Impact Presentation and demo of 'age-related macular degeneration' model at Healthcare Innovation Expo 2013
.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Modelling long-term care for older people in China 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Seminar at Zhejiang University, China, 25 May 2015.

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
 
Description Modelling long-term care in later life in China 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Research on Ageing Exhibition at the University of Southampton.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Modelling long-term care in later life in China 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Operational Research Applied to Health Service (ORAHS) Conference in Turkey.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Modelling long-term care in later life in China 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Complexity Science in the Real World (CSRW) Annual Conference held in Chicheley Hall, Milton Keynes.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Modelling the links between health and social care for an ageing population 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation keynote/invited speaker
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Invited talk at the National SNAC Conference (Swedish National Study on Ageing and Care)
.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Mortality and preceding housing transitions at older ages: evidence from Great Britain 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the IUSSP International Population Conference in Busan, Korea.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Mortality at older ages and moves in residential and sheltered housing 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Research on Ageing Exhibition at the University of Southampton.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Mortality at older ages and moves in residential and sheltered housing-evidence from the UK 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Complexity Science in the Real World (CSRW) Annual Conference held at Chicheley Hall, Milton Keynes.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Multi-agent models in demography 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Jakub Bijak gave an invited seminar presentation to the Division of Decision Analysis and Support at the Warsaw School of Economics

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description Multistate survival analysis with R 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Jointly organised CPC/CLC seminar by Professor Frans Willekens, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute - NIDI. Abstract: In multistate models for survival analysis, the life history is represented by a sequence of states and transitions between states. The history may be described in discrete or continuous time. In this presentation I consider histories in continuous time. The movements between states are governed by origin-destination specific transition intensities that vary with age and depend on current personal attributes, past experiences and contextual factors. Multistate models are used for explanation and prediction.



In the seminar I present the R package Biograph. The package was designed to help explore life history data (using descriptive statistics and graphics) and to facilitate the estimation of multistate models. It uses the graphical capabilities of R to visualize life histories of individuals and cohorts.



Biograph facilitates teaching multistate survival analysis. For instance, it has a utility to retrieve for subjects in the sample the observed life histories and the different types of episodes (open, closed; episodes ending in the event of interest, censored episodes) that are considered in the likelihood function. The display of life histories in a Lexis diagram is a powerful method for explaining multistate survival analysis from demographic and process points of view.



Biograph makes the estimation of multistate models more accessible. It prepares input data for packages for survival analysis (survival, eha) and specialized packages for multistate modelling (mvna, mstate and msm). Several packages for multistate modelling were recently presented in a special issue of Journal of Statistical Software (Vol, 38, Issue 1, January 2011) (www.jstatsoft.org). Biograph predicts life-course trajectories using the concepts of synthetic cohort and synthetic biography, which are also central in the life table.



The package is fully described in "Biograph. Multistate analysis of life histories with R" (forthcoming in the Use R! Series, Springer).

Raised profile of CPC/CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
 
Description Negotiating social care support for older people: a study of the perspectives of older people, their families and policy stakeholders 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Kathryn Wicks presented her poster at the British Society of Gerontology 2014 Conference at the University of Southampton

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.southampton.ac.uk/bsg2014
 
Description Negotiating social care support for older people: a study of the perspectives of older people, their families and policy stakeholders 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Complexity Science in the Real World (CSRW) Annual Conference at Chicheley Hall, Milton Keynes.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description OR modelling for the 21st century NHS 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Operational Research Annual Conference (OR55) at the University of Essex.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Older people's receipt of social support in England 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the British Society for Population Studies Annual Conference in Swansea.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Pathways into long-term care accommodation in England and Wales 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Research on Ageing Exhibition at the University of Southampton.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Population ageing: the time-bomb that isn't? 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CPC and CLC jointly organised a seminar by Professor John MacInnes & Dr Jeroen Spijker from the University of Edinburgh. Abstract: For the first time ever, there are now more elderly (65+) in the UK than children (< 15). While declining fertility and infant mortality levels formed the basis for this growth from the end of the 19th century until WWII, for example through the defeat of child killing infectious diseases, since the 1970s falling old-age mortality has been an additional driving force. This 'population ageing' has worried policy makers because for every worker paying tax and national insurance there are more older citizens, with greater demands on social insurance, health and welfare systems and increasing volumes of morbidity and disability. However, these concerns are based on measures of ageing that do not take proper account of rising life expectancy or changes in the labour force. We therefore propose an alternative, more objective, measurement of ageing that considers remaining life expectancy and the employed population rather than a fixed old-age category and the population of working age. Results show that old age-dependency turns out to have fallen substantially in the UK over recent decades, and is likely stabilize close to its current level.

Raised profile of CPC and CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Quantifying paradigm change in demography 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the Chaire Quetelet 2013 in Belgium.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Reflections on two approaches to hybrid simulation in healthcare 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Presented seminar as part of the CORMSIS Seminar Series, University of Southampton, 23 April 2015.

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
 
Description Research Showcase 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an open day or visit at my research institution
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact CLC contributed to Southampton University's Research Showcase for Greg Clark MP, Minister of State for Universities, Science and Cities and CEO's of EPSRC, BBSRC and NERC. Maria Evandrou, Seth Bullock, Athina Vlachantoni and Joe Viana presented posters of CLC research and demo's of our computer models. This resulted in discussion with the visiting party.


Raised the profile of CLC.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description Risk of admission to care homes for older people: findings from the Northern Ireland Longitudinal Study 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Jointly organised CPC/CLC seminar presented by Mark McCann from the MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, held at the University of Southampton. Abstract: Over the last two centuries, the West has seen huge changes in nutrition, lifestyle, medicine and hygiene, leading to large gains in life expectancy and population health. The net effect of these improvements is to concentrate the need for health and social care onto the older population. Health and social care provision must plan ahead for the demand for services such as long term residential and nursing home care, and formal home care services. The vast majority of the care and support for older people in the community continues to come from informal social support networks, the friends and family of the older person. Better understanding of how this social environment influences care home utilisation can allow for better understanding of how demographic changes may affect the utilisation of formal services and what the appropriate health service response should be.

In this seminar I will present work based on the analysis of the Northern Ireland Longitudinal Study, an administrative data linkage study based on the linkage of health records, Census records, other administrative data sources, and further linkages to data from the regional care home inspectorate. The study investigates risk of admission to care homes for older people, and will focus in particular on the importance of gender, living arrangements, housing tenure, and urban versus rural residence.


Raised the profile of CPC/CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.cpc.ac.uk/seminars/?link=home.php&id=150
 
Description Scenario Generator and it's use within Strategic Health and Social Care Planning in the NHS 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC organised seminar by Claire Cordeaux from SIMUL8

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
 
Description Secrets of IPUMS-International: Integrating and disseminating census microdata to researchers world-wide free of cost 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CPC and CLC jointly organised a seminar by Professor Robert McCaa from University of Minnesota. Abstract: IPUMS-International is a global initiative begun in 1999 to preserve, integrate and disseminate census microdata. 100 official statistical agencies including the Office of National Statistics in the UK have embraced IPUMS-International protocols for managing access to microdata free of cost. Researchers world-wide download custom-tailored extracts from www.ipums.org/international for more than two hundred censuses covering as many as five decades. The talk will bare some of the secrets of the project, share tips for exploiting the database, and discuss new projects: TerraPop (GIS), remote data access, integrating other types of microdata, and cooperation with national, regional and global initiatives.

Raised profile of CPC and CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Silver Shoppers: designing a better supermarket service for the older consumer 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC organised seminar by Dr Yuanyuan Yin, Winchester School of Art. Abstract: Due to the remarkable growth of an aging population across the world, the elderly consumer is regarded as a vital segmentation by the retail industry. This seminar will introduce a research project which aimed to investigate the challenges and difficulties that elderly consumers face during their supermarket shopping process, in turn to understand the way in which supermarket service and environment design can improve elderly consumers' shopping experience. In this project, an ethnographic user study method, which includes direct observations and in-depth interviews, was employed to explore the elderly consumers' shopping behaviour and experience so as to identify challenges that they currently face during the shopping process. Subsequently, co-design workshops were carried out to promote potential design solutions for retailers to improve their service for the elderly consumers. Based on the research results, it has been found that the main difficulties British elderly consumers face at a supermarket environment include poor access to products, inappropriate size of products and poor signage. Recommendations and suggestions have been provided for retailer to improve their service for the elderly consumers. Future research plans will be presented in the seminar as well.


Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Simple uncertainty analysis for an agent-based model of population dynamics 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Uncertainty in Computer Models Conference in Sheffield.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Simulating the cost of social care in an ageing population 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Complexity Science in the Real World (CSRW) Annual Conference held in Chicheley Hall, Milton Keynes.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Simulating the cost of social care in an ageing society 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Eric Silverman presented the poster "Simulating the cost of social care in an ageing society" at the CSRW policy conference.

Raised the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.csrw.ac.uk/policy-conference
 
Description Simulation Modeling of Age Related Macular Degeneration in the UK 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the OR Applied to Health Services Annual Conference (ORAHS 2012) in the Netherlands.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Social care need amongst older adults change over time in the UK 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Presentation at the Social Statistics and Demography PGR/Staff seminar series, University of Southampton, 27 February 2015

Raise profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
 
Description Statistical Analysis of an Agent-Based Model of Inter-Generational Fertility Patterns using Gaussian Process Emulators 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) 2015 Conference, University of Leeds, 7-9 September 2015

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
URL http://www.lse.ac.uk/socialPolicy/BSPS/annualConference/Home.aspx
 
Description Statistical emulators for agent-based models: Quantifying uncertainty 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Jason Hilton presented this talk at the "Recent Developments and future directions in ABM in Population Studies" Workshop at the University of Leuven, Belgium

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description Statistical versus Agent-Based Demography: Bridging the Gap with Gaussian Process Emulators 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Conference presentation by Eric Silverman at the 2013 Joint Statistical Meeting (JSM2013) in Montreal, Canada on 3-8 August 2013.

n/a
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
URL http://www.amstat.org/meetings/jsm/2013/program.cfm
 
Description Strategic modeling solutions for health and social care - the questions people ask 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC organised seminar by Peter Lacey, Whole Systems Partnership. Abstract: Peter Lacey has undertaken simulation and modeling on behalf of a range of local and national, health and social care commissioners as lead consultant for the Whole Systems Partnership. His chosen method is to use system dynamics due to its integration and suitability for supporting partnership development across health and social care in areas such as dementia services, intermediate care and end of life services. This presentation will provide an insight into the questions commissioners ask and how simulation and modeling has helped to answer these.


Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description System-Based Modelling: A New Paradigm for Demography? 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Jakub Bijak presented this talk at the "Recent Developments and future directions in ABM in Population Studies" Workshop at the University of Leuven, Belgium

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description The Armenian Genocide Legacy 100 Years On 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation keynote/invited speaker
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Article on www.asbarez.com about a conference, "The Armenian Genocide Legacy 100 Years On"
Jakub Bijak

Enhanced profile of CPC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
URL http://asbarez.com/133801/the-armenian-genocide-legacy-100-years-on/
 
Description The Care Life Cycle Project 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Presentation at the Knowledge Exchange Trials Workshop on Integrated Care at the Department of Health in London.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description The Care Life Cycle Project and Researching the Use of Telecare to Support People with Dementia 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Health professionals
Results and Impact Presentation at Wessex HIEC Telehealth/care Workshop in Southampton.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description The Care Life Cycle project and Hampshire County Council 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation keynote/invited speaker
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Presentation at the Local Government Knowledge Navigator Seminar : From Analysis to Action, held at Local Government House, London.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description The Care Life Cycle project: linking health and social care for an ageing population 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Presentation at the Centre for Workforce Intelligence (CfWI) Analyst and Modeller event, at Export House, Woking.

Increased collaboration
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description The Care Life Cycle project: modelling health and social care for an ageing society 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation keynote/invited speaker
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Jane Falkingham presented a talk on "The Care Life Cycle project: modelling health and social care for an ageing society" and participated in a panel discussion at the CSRW Policy Conference.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.csrw.ac.uk/policy-conference
 
Description The Care Life Cycle: Complex Systems Modelling for Social and Health Care Futures 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Supporters
Results and Impact Presentation to the EPSRC Council members.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description The Care Life Cycle: Responding to the Health and Social Care Needs of an Ageing Society 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation keynote/invited speaker
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at 'Methodological advances and applications in healthy ageing' workshop.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
 
Description The Risky Business of Asking for Help: An Agent Based Model of Unmet Need 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the British Society for Population Studies (BSPS) 2015 Conference, University of Leeds, 7-9 September 2015.

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
URL http://www.lse.ac.uk/socialPolicy/BSPS/annualConference/Home.aspx
 
Description The Social Care in Action Group (SCA) - supporting better lives 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC organised seminar by Matt Jarratt and Natasha Koerner from SCA Group

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
 
Description The Social and Demographic Determinants of the Disablement Process in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Multidisciplinary Conference on Ageing and Neuroscience at the University of Southampton.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
URL http://docs.multidisciplinary.soton.ac.uk/28Sept/AgeingConference28Sept2011UoSweb.html
 
Description The Social and Demographic Determinants of the Disablement Process in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Society for Social Medicine Annual Conference in Warwick.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
 
Description The Use of Telecare to Support People with Dementia to Live Independently 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at Assistive Technology Market Place event, at The Lighthouse, Poole's Centre for the Arts.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description The Use of Telecare to Support People with Dementia to Remain Living within their own Homes 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at 'Telemedicine & eHealth 2013: Ageing Well - how can technology help?' Conference at The Royal Society of Medicine in London.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description The determinants of the receipt of social care among older people in England: Results from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the British Society of Gerontology Annual Conference 2011 in Plymouth.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
 
Description The determinants of the receipt of social care among older people in England: Results from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Multidisciplinary Conference on Ageing and Neuroscience at the University of Southampton.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
URL http://docs.multidisciplinary.soton.ac.uk/28Sept/AgeingConference28Sept2011UoSweb.html
 
Description The prevalence of informal care and its association with health: longitudinal research using census data for England and Wales 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at Census Applications: Using the UK's population census data, University of Manchester, 16-17 July 2015.

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015
URL http://census.ukdataservice.ac.uk/news-and-events/2015-census-conference
 
Description The use of telecare to support people with dementia to live independently 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an open day or visit at my research institution
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Postgraduate Research Showcase at the University of Southampton.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description The use of telecare to support people with dementia to remain living within their own homes 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Research on Ageing Exhibition at the University of Southampton.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Transitions into residential care in later life: Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey (1991-2008) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation poster presentation
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Multidisciplinary Conference on Ageing and Neuroscience at the University of Southampton.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2011
URL http://docs.multidisciplinary.soton.ac.uk/28Sept/AgeingConference28Sept2011UoSweb.html
 
Description Transitions into sheltered accommodation and residential care in later life: evidence from the British Household Panel Survey (1991-2008) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Presentation at the Annual European Population Conference 2012 in Sweden.

N/A
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2012
 
Description Uncertainty in international migration studies: A Bayesian view 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Jakub Bijak gave an invited seminar presentation to The Oxford Institute of Population Ageing At Oxford University

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description Use of probabilistic forecasts, with focus on population applications 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact CLC jointly organised this Forecasting Workshop to bring together academics and practitioners of probabilistic population forecasting to discuss barriers to the uses of probabilistic forecasts and possible ways to overcome them. Also to learn from the best practice in other areas of application of probabilistic forecasting.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.cpc.ac.uk/resources/downloads/workshop_programme.pdf
 
Description Using simulation and modelling in health and social care: the UK experience 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Invited talk at Stockholm Gerontology Research Centre.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Using simulation to produce virtual environments to evaluate proposed changes 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Joe Viana was invited by the OR Society Simulation Special Interest Group to present at the "Simulation modelling in Health and Social Care" event on 17th November at Warwick Business School. The purpose of this event was to foster relationships between simulation research, practice and the NHS.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://www.wbs.ac.uk/events/view/4548
 
Description What Determines the Receipt of Formal Paid, Formal State or Informal Social Support in Later Life? 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Presentation as part of the ARCHA Seminar Series, at Aston University

Raised profile of CLC project
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
 
Description What determines the receipt of social care from informal, state or private sources? 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Poster presentation at the Research on Ageing Exhibition at the University of Southampton.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description What is the health legacy of informal caring? A longitudinal study using nationally representative census data for England and Wales 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Type Of Presentation paper presentation
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact James Robards presented this paper at the Census Research User Conference 2014 at the Royal Statistical Society, London

Raise the profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2014
URL http://census.ukdataservice.ac.uk/news-and-events/eventsitem/?id=3867
 
Description Whole system simulation modelling of health and social care for AMD sufferers 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact Talk given to Aston Research Centre for Healthy Ageing (ARCHA) at Aston University.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Workforce Planning in Health and Social Care 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other academic audiences (collaborators, peers etc.)
Results and Impact CLC Seminar by Jack Turner, Graham Willis and Sion Cave from the Centre for Workforce Intelligence (CfWI). Presentation focused on how system dynamic modelling can be applied to workforce planning in health and social care.

Raised profile of CLC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013