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SubNeptunes - Probing Exoplanetary Atmospheres in the Sub-Neptune Regime

Lead Research Organisation: University of Cambridge
Department Name: Institute of Astronomy

Abstract

Sub-Neptune planets represent the new frontier in exoplanet science. Exoplanet demographics reveal that planets between Earth and Neptune in size (1-4 Earth radii) overwhelmingly dominate the known exoplanet population. These planets, collectively referred to as "sub-Neptunes", encompass the entire range of planet types from rocky super-Earths to volatile-rich mini-Neptunes. These planets dominate the exoplanet population but have no analog in the solar system. A defining feature of this population is the "Radius Valley", a bimodal distribution in radii with two peaks separated by a valley around 1.8 Earth radii. As competing theories of planet formation, interiors and atmospheres strive to understand this exotic regime, it is becoming clear that atmospheric observations are essential to place definitive constraints on their properties, physical processes and origins. We propose to conduct a comprehensive atmospheric survey of ten nearby sub-Neptunes across the Radius Valley. The project will address three fundamental questions in exoplanetary science: How diverse are the atmospheric compositions of sub-Neptunes? How do disequilibrium processes operate in sub-Neptune atmospheres? How do sub-Neptunes form and evolve? These questions will be answered using a combination of pioneering approved observations with state-of-the-art facilities in space (HST and JWST) and on ground, and key advancements in theoretical modelling and atmospheric retrieval techniques. This will enable new detections of key molecular species such as H2O, CH4, NH3, and HCN in diverse planets across the radius valley and key constraints on physical and chemical processes in the atmospheres and on their formation conditions. In addition to answering the above transformational questions, we will conduct an in-depth atmospheric characterisation of a habitable-zone sub-Neptune using approved JWST observations.

Publications

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Barrier E (2025) A new convection scheme for GCMs of temperate sub-Neptunes in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society

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Cabot S (2024) High-resolution Spectroscopic Reconnaissance of a Temperate Sub-Neptune in The Astrophysical Journal Letters

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Cooke G (2024) Considerations for Photochemical Modeling of Possible Hycean Worlds in The Astrophysical Journal

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Holmberg M (2024) Possible Hycean conditions in the sub-Neptune TOI-270 d in Astronomy & Astrophysics

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Madhusudhan N (2025) New Constraints on DMS and DMDS in the Atmosphere of K2-18 b from JWST MIRI in The Astrophysical Journal Letters

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Madhusudhan N (2023) Carbon-bearing Molecules in a Possible Hycean Atmosphere in The Astrophysical Journal Letters

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Mitchell E (2025) Prospects for biological evolution on Hycean worlds in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society

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Sairam L (2025) Characterizing M dwarf host stars of two candidate Hycean worlds in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society

 
Title JWST NIRSpec Transmission Spectrum of TOI-270 d 
Description This dataset reports observations of the exoplanet TOI-270 d using JWST's NIRSpec instrument which was obtained on Oct 4, 2023. This data was generated in our following work: Holmberg & Madhusudhan 2024. DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361/202348238 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2024 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact The data was used to investigate the possible hycean conditions in the sub-Neptune TOI-270 d, revealing the presence of methane (CH4) and carbon dioxide (CO2) with no detectable ammonia (NH3). This dataset serves as an important benchmark for understanding temperate sub-Neptune exoplanets. 
URL https://osf.io/8fu36/
 
Title JWST Transmission Spectrum of K2-18 b 
Description This dataset reports the observations of the exoplanet K2-18 b using JWST's NIRSpec and NIRISS instruments. Two primary transits were observed, one with each instrument, under the JWST GO Program 2722, led by PI N. Madhusudhan. The first transit, using NIRSpec G395H, spanned 5.3 hours on January 20-21, 2023, with spectra dispersed over two detectors. The second transit, using NIRISS SOSS, lasted 4.9 hours and covers wavelengths from 0.85 to 2.85 µm. This data is now publicly available. This data was published in our following work: Madhusudhan et al. 2023, DOI: 10.3847/2041-8213/acf577 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2023 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact The dataset has been used to provide the first insights into the atmospheric composition of K2-18 b, including the detection of carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4). Beside reporting the first detection of carbon bearing molecules in a candidate habitable sub-Neptune, the results resolved the long-standing missing methane problem for temperate exoplanets and the degeneracy in the atmospheric composition of K2-18 b from previous observations. This publicly available data has since been used in the field to advance the study of sub-Neptune exoplanets. 
URL https://osf.io/36djh/
 
Description BBC Breakfast Show Interview 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact This interview aimed to share our research findings with the general public. The PI discussed key molecules discovered on exoplanet K2-18b and their implications in the search for habitability and signatures of life beyond the solar system.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-T5utT1k7w
 
Description LBC Radio and Live stream Interview 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact The LBC interview aimed to share the significance of our recent discovery, its potential implications for our understanding of extraterrestrial life, and the methods used in the research. The PI shared, in broader context, the search for life beyond Earth and how the recent discovery of methane and carbon dioxide on exoplanet K2-18b paves the way forward for understanding habitable conditions beyond the solar system. Overall, the interview amassed over 3.6 million views on YouTube in 10 months and over 9,373 comments.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bj0PXPeKJRE&t=3s
 
Description Press release 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact This was a press release for a scientific result reporting the first detections of carbon-bearing molecules in the atmosphere of a potentially habitable exoplanet. The findings received wide coverage in national and international news. The corresponding publication is Madhusudhan et al. 2023, ApJL. DOI: 10.3847/2041-8213/acf577
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://www.cam.ac.uk/stories/carbon-found-in-habitable-zone-exoplanet