Labour law, development and poverty alleviation in low and middle-income countries

Lead Research Organisation: University of Cambridge
Department Name: Centre For Business Research

Abstract

The research will examine the contribution of labour law reform to poverty alleviation in low and middle-income countries. Since the early 1990s, the World Bank and other international financial institutions have argued that labour laws in developing countries should be made more flexible, with a view to promoting a more 'business friendly' environment in those countries. In some cases, deregulatory labour law reforms have been inititated as a condition of countries receiving financial aid from the World Bank. Recent research suggests that the World Bank's approach understates the role that protective labour laws can play in stimulating economic growth by encouraging investment in human capital and technological upgrading by firms. In addition, labour law institutions such as collective bargaining and social insurance can play a direct role in addressing poverty by redistributing wealth and protecting the least well off in society against workplace hazards and social risks associated with unemployment, sickness and old age. At the same time, this emerging body of evidence suggests that, in order to be effective, labour law rules must be appropriate for developing country contexts. Labour laws which are transplanted from industrialised countries may be inappropriate for emerging and developing labour markets in which only a small part of the labour force has access to regular, waged employment, or where private sector enterprises have limited capacity to comply with labour standards or to adapt to regulatory requirements by increasing their investment in new skills and technologies. Labour laws which do not bed down in a given environment may have the counter-productive effect of increasing informality and casualisation of employment. Thus it is important to have an understanding of the preconditions for the effectiveness of labour laws in practice in developing and emerging markets. The present project proposes to develop a new analytical framework for studying the nature of the 'fit' between labour law institutions and the economic and political context of low and middle income countries. The research will take the form of a series of case studies, based on paired comparisons of countries at roughly equivalent stages of development, but with different institutional, economic and political characteristics: Burkina Faso and Cambodia (which have different experiences of the role of financial conditionality in labour law reform); Chile and South Africa (where the political cycle has taken different forms in the recent past); and India and China (which offer contrasting cases of relative stasis in labour law versus recent reform of labour law institutions, taking place, in both cases, alongside rapid economic growth). The experiences of these countries will be studied using a mix of quantitative and qualitative research techniques, which will allow for a more systematic assessment of the nature of the labour law reform process in the different contexts being studied. The end result of the project will be an analytical template for the evaluation of labour law rules which can be used more widely to assess their contribution to poverty alleviation in low and middle income countries. The template will be developed by the research team in collaboration with officials from the ILO and with the active involvement of users of the research in government, the social partners, global NGOs, and civil society organisations in the case study countries. The project will also make a fundamental contribution to understanding the role that formal, quantitative measures and more qualitative indicators of law and development can play in evaluating policy and reform initiatives in relation to poverty alleviation.

Planned Impact

The beneficiaries of the research will include officials of the International Labour Office (ILO) charged with the responsibility for giving technical advice on labour law-related matters to national governments and other parties concerned with the application and operation of labour standards; officials of international financial institutions, in particular the World Bank, who have an interest in the implications of labour law regulation for the nature of the business environment in developing countries; to government officials, particularly in developing economies, interested in the conditions for the effective application of labour law rules; officers of trade unions and employers' organisations, at national, regional and global level, with an interest in the operation of labour law systems; managers in firms concerned with the interaction of labour law rules with other institutional and economic factors in shaping the business environment of developing countries; investors with an interest in understanding the legal, economic and political dimensions of countries in which they are considering making an investment; members of civil society organisations and NGOs involved in poverty alleviation; and the poor in low and middle-income countries, who will be in a position to benefit directly from the more effective implementation of labour law rules aimed at poverty alleviation and wealth redistribution.

In the immediate term, impact will take the form of dissemination of research findings through user workshops in the case study countries and a user conference planned for the summer of 2015, and of the diffusion through ILO and CBR working papers and national and international media outlets. In the medium term, the research has the potential to inform the work of ILO officials who give technical advice on the implementation of labour standards to the governments of ILO member states. The provision of technical advice has been one of the major functions of the ILO since the inter-war period (Bronstein, 2005). In recent years a substantial body of technical advice has been provided to countries at various stages of development, and in particular to low-income countries where difficulties of the transplantation and diffusion of labour law norms are often at their most acute (Fenwick and Vargha, 2011). The ILO recognises the principle that programmes of labour law reform need to be tailored to local country and industry conditions and should be based on a dialogue involving government and the social partners. The development of a robust analytical framework for identifying the conditions under which labour law rules can be made effective and thereby contribute to poverty alleviation will accordingly be of direct interest to the ILO. The ILO commissioned the research by Marshall (2010) and Deakin (2010a) which led to the formulation of the analytical template that will be developed further in the course of the current project. ILO officials have been centrally involved in developing the current project application and will play a major part in the conduct of the research. It is anticipated that the development of the refined template will contribute to operational change in the ILO, in particular in the way that it provides technical advice on labour law reform.

In the longer term, the research has the potential to address interests of wider concern in the debate over the relationship between labour standards, international trade, and economic and human development. A robust and empirically grounded account of the conditions under which labour laws can be effective in meeting their explicit goals of extending social protection and addressing the needs of some of the poorest and most vulnerable members of society will be of interest to a range of policy makers and government officials, and of practical value to the poor in low and middle income countries.
 
Description We constructed a new dataset coding for changes in labour law in 117 countries over the period 1970 to 2013 (the CBR Labour Regulation Index or 'CBR-LRI'). The wide reach of the dataset and its decades-long time series make it unique in the field. Its nearest equivalent, the OECD's Employment Protection Index, codes for a times series only from the mid-1990s, and does not cover working time or most aspects of collective labour law. The CBR-LRI provides data on for five areas of labour regulation (different forms of employment, working time, dismissal, employee representation, and collective action) using a series of original coding algorithms. All codings are precisely sourced to specific laws or regulations.

We then carried out time-series and panel data econometrics in conjunction with the new dataset to estimate the effects of changes in labour laws on economic outcome variables. Exploratory analysis using the pooled mean group regression model suggests that strengthening worker protection generally increases the labour share of national income (after controlling for GDP growth and for differences in institutional quality as proxied by 'rule of law' indices). Improvements in employee representation and dismissal protection generally have positive effects on productivity and employment. The picture is more mixed for strike law. Overall the research suggests that worker-protective labour laws can contribute to poverty alleviation both directly, through their impact on distribution, and indirectly, through their effects on growth, but that these effects depend on context and may not be present consistently across all countries.

Qualitative fieldwork was undertaken on the operation of labour laws in MICs and LICs. The Chinese case suggests that legislatively-mandated labour standards can be successfully implemented if there is effective state capacity, but also illustrates the limits of legal strategies in the context of global value chains. The Cambodian, Chinese and South African fieldwork highlighted the importance of labour arbitration systems for providing unions and workers with low-cost access to justice. The Cambodian case illustrated ways in which legislated standards interacted with monitoring by NGOs. The Indian case illustrated the problems that can arise from political deadlock over labour law reform.

A number of methodological advances were made. The project demonstrated the potential of quantitative approaches to the study of legal institutions ('leximetrics') to generate new knowledge and opportunities for statistical testing of law-economy interactions. It also demonstrated the value of multiple-methods approaches, combining quantitative and qualitative analysis. In 2017 an updated version of the CBR-LRI dataset was posted on the University of Cambridge Apollo Data Repository, where it is one of the most frequently downloaded datasets. In November 2016 Simon Deakin gave a talk on the dataset to the OpenConCam 2016 conference, Building Impact through Openness, https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUz0Zf0Nr52HPjx1y_sKUnQ.
Exploitation Route There is scope for other researchers to use our leximetric datasets to study the economic impacts of changes in labour laws. The qualitative data may also be of interest to those researching labour law and development issues.
Sectors Government, Democracy and Justice

URL http://www.cbr.cam.ac.uk/research/research-projects/labour-law-poverty-alleviation-in-low-middle-income-countries/
 
Description In 2015 project findings were used by the International Labour Organization in the preparation of data and reports on global trends in labour regulation and its economic and social effects. This joint work was reported in the ILO's 2015 World Employment and Social Outlook. In addition, in 2015, Simon Deakin used the dataset to contribute to a discussion on labour law reform organised by leading officials of the European Commission. In 2015-16 the data were made available to the Asian Development Bank for econometric analysis. During 2015 Simon Deakin used part of the findings in the course of consulting work on labour law reform for the Vietnamese government. This work, connected to reforms of labour dispute resolution procedures, was presented by Deakin at workshops in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City, in March 2015. In 2016 team members contributed to a discussion of benchmarking of employment protection laws organised by the European Commission and to a workshop at the OECD to discuss proposed reforms to its Jobs Strategy. In 2016 and 2017 they contributed to the deliberations of the European Economic and Social Committee. In September 2016 a user workshop was held in Cambridge with support from the ESRC Rising Powers and Interdependent Futures Research Programme. The workshop was attended by officials from the International Labour Office and Trade Union Advisory Council of the OECD. At the workshop, there were presentations of results from quantitative research analyzing the CBR-LRI dataset, and from fieldwork in developing countries conducted by the CBR team and by colleagues at the University of Manchester. Case studies explored the interaction of labour laws with private labour standards operating in global supply chains, and investigated the influence of civil society actors and states in the development of private regulatory initiatives and in the framing of discourses on labour standards. A report of the workshop proceedings was placed on the CBR website along with a blog and podcast (http://www.blogs.jbs.cam.ac.uk/cbr/labour-standards-and-labour-law-reforms-in-the-rising-powers-trends-and-prospects-in-public-and-private-regulations/). In 2018 the work of the project was prominently featured in a special issue of the University of Cambridge's research magazine, Research Horizons, devoted to the theme of 'work' (https://www.cam.ac.uk/research/research-at-cambridge/research-horizons). An article written by the University's central communications team reported that 'ten years (with various intermissions) in the making, the project involved around 20 legal, economic and statistical researchers - from senior academics to PhD students and postdocs - pulling together numerous data sources before refining the analysis with sophisticated regression models based on equations created by Cambridge economists in the 1990s'. The dataset is increasingly being used by other research teams and international organisations. It recently formed the basis for an analysis conducted by ILO officials which was published in the World Employment and Social Outlook Report for 2017 (http://socialprotection-humanrights.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/wcms_579893.pdf). The dataset has been cited over 100 times in academic papers.
First Year Of Impact 2015
Sector Government, Democracy and Justice
Impact Types Societal,Economic

 
Title CBR Labour Regulation Index 
Description The CBR-LRI is a new, unique dataset which has been constructed using a version of 'leximetric' methodology which provides a basis for the quantitative analysis of legal rules. The period coded is, in principle, from 1970 to the end of 2013. In the case of post-socialist countries, the relevant period is that following the establishment of a market economy and the legal rules corresponding to it, which in most cases will be from some point in the early 1990s. This date differs across countries depending on the point at which new legal codes or rules were adopted or, in some cases, when a new state came into existence. The coding was done by identifying the provisions of law and relevant court decisions applicable to or answering the description of each of the indicators or variables in the index. Secondary sources, relevant databases of national laws, and the ILO's NATLEX database were consulted. Primary sources were retrieved from texts available in law libraries or online. Wherever possible, texts were consulted in their original language (the languages read in the original were English, French, German, Italian, and Spanish). Where translations of texts were consulted, it was generally possible to find a translation authorised by the government of the country concerned or by an international organisation. The coding algorithm for the CBR-LRI was devised collectively by members of the CBR when the Centre's leximetric coding project was initiated in 2005, and was first reported in Deakin, Lele and Siems (2007). The codings reported in the current (December 2015) version of the dataset were arrived at by a process of iteration involving discussion between the authors of the dataset. In some cases the reported codings draw on advice provided by national experts who were consulted during the coding process. Five areas of labour law are coded, producing five sub-indices. These are: the law governing the definition of the employment relationship and different forms of employment; (including the regulation of the parties' choice of legal form, and the rules relating to part-time, fixed-term and temporary agency work); the law on working time; the law relating to dismissal; the law governing employee representation; and the law relating to collective action. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2015 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact The dataset was used by the ILO in collaboration with researchers from the CBR in January 2015, leading to work which appeared in the ILO's 2015 World Employment and Social Outlook report. In December 2015 the dataset was made available to the Asian Development Bank and researchers from the CBR worked with them in the period to February 2016 on analysis which the ADB will develop in the course of 2016. The dataset will be placed online via the UK Data Service later in 2016. 
 
Title CBR Leximetric Datasets [updated] 
Description The CBR Leximetric Datasets are the product of work carried out at the Centre for Business Research (CBR) in Cambridge, beginning in 2005 when the Centre received funding from the Economic and Social Research Council to carry out a research project on law, development and finance. Further funding from the ESRC, the European Union's FP5 and FP6 programmes, the Isaac Newton Trust, the Cambridge Political Economy Society and the International Labour Organization made it possible to expand the original datasets to their current state. As of July 2016, there are three principal datasets, coding, respectively, for labour laws in 117 countries between 1970 and 2013 (the CBR Labour Regulation Index), shareholder protection in 30 countries between 1990 and 2013 (the CBR Extended Shareholder Protection Index), and creditor protection in 30 countries between 1990 and 2013 (the CBR Extended Creditor Protection Index). The coding of legal data is carried out using a so-called leximetric coding methodology developed in the CBR and more fully explained in the codebooks which accompany each of the datasets. Taken together, the datasets provide a unique time series which enables researchers and other research users to track changes in labour, company and insolvency law over long periods of time for many countries. A distinguishing feature of these datasets is that all legal sources for the data coding are fully described in the relevant codebooks, thereby assisting transparency, external validity and replicability of results. The work of further developing the datasets on shareholder and creditor rights, so that they match the labour regulation index in terms of years and countries covered, is ongoing. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2017 
Provided To Others? Yes  
 
Description Report on labour court reform in Vietnam 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact At the invitation of the Justice Partnership Programme for Vietnam, Simon Deakin prepared a report on labour court reform, drawing on comparative evidence obtained through the funding made available by the DFID ESRC Joint Fund project on which he has been PI. The report was presented to judges, civil servants and lawyers at two seminars, one in Hanoi and the other in Ho Chi Minh City, in March 2015.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2015