Virtual reality Experiment to study the Role of social Conformity in the acceptance of Autonomous vehicles

Lead Research Organisation: Newcastle University
Department Name: Sch of Engineering

Abstract

Context. Many governments worldwide are introducing new plans to promote and anticipate the recent rapid development of automation. In this international scenario, the UK is playing a leading role. As stated by John Hayes MP "The UK is increasingly seen as one of the best places in the world for connected and autonomous vehicles" (Cohen et al., 2017). The economic and societal benefits of autonomous vehicles are foreseen to be enormous (up to Euros 17tn to GDP). But, these benefits could be jeopardised if users fail to adopt the technology. The recent scoping study (Cohen et al., 2017) commissioned by the Department for Transport, clearly highlights that "it is impossible to say whether full automation will happen (ostensibly a technical question) without asking at the same time whether there would be a substantial consumer interest in purchasing/using such products and whether widespread deployment would be societally acceptable. Hence, almost all useful questions about AVs have at least a social or behavioural component."

In response to this urgent need, the project aims to take advantage of virtual reality technologies, which have made significant progress in the last decade in computer games, to use them in a scientific context to understand and then model users' acceptance of Fully Autonomous Vehicles (FAVs). The project aims to understand what are the conditions under which citizens will accept to move (live, work etc.) in an urban environment where traffic will include FAVs or it will be formed only of FAVs and use them as a public transport system.

In order to achieve the research overall aim, the project set the following specific objectives:
- Understand to which extent the acceptance of FAVS is affected by how much familiar we can get with this highly technological and innovative product and by what other people around us (people we know but also people that we do not know) think about and how they behave with respect to FAVs.
- Develop a new method for studying acceptance of innovative products, which includes a method to collect the information from customers and a method to analyse this data that can be used then to take policy and industrial decisions that affect every day citizens' life.
- Test the benefit of the experiment created to be used across the population to help people (in particular specific categories like older people) to live in and adapt to the forthcoming new technological urban environments.

Potential applications and benefits.
This research will add extensive value to the critical discussions about adoption and diffusion of FAVs and about the policy incentives that should be given to foster the market. The results from this research will have Social, Economic, Industrial and Academic impacts. The results from this research will allow the quantification of the economic and societal benefits of FAVs with the important potential benefit of reducing the risks associated with the current huge investments that governments (in the UK and worldwide) are currently making on AVs deployment. These results from this project will also guide local and national governments to develop policies that can facilitate the sustainable, rapid, and least-disruptive growth of these technologies and services, investing public money in a more cost-effective way. The usability of Virtual Reality environment to social contexts will open opportunities for new applications. The application of the VR environment created can potentially be extended to study cases of autism where VR experiments have already proved to provide significant benefits.

Planned Impact

The research proposed is highly interdisciplinary. The theories and the methodology developed in this research, as well as the results obtained will be useful far beyond the specific context of application of autonomous vehicles or the broader transport field. As described in the section Academic beneficiaries, this research will be of interest for researchers in an ample spectrum of fields (behavioural analysis, economics, psychology, demand modelling, data collection) and diverse contexts of application (education, social exclusion, environment, urban planning, safety, food, health, agriculture, energy, video game, etc.).

The results obtained from this research will impact the following groups:

- Policy makers at national level. The results from this research will, for the first time, allow the quantification of the economic and societal benefits of FAVs, based on the rigorous estimation of the user's adoption of FAVs. This will reduce the risks associated with the current huge investments that governments (in the UK and worldwide) are currently making on AVs deployment. These results will affect policy decisions surrounding the cost of technical development, the creation of product trials, and the deployment of informational campaigns targeted to specific categories of users who may be less prone to accept autonomous vehicles.

- Municipalities and urban planner. For example, the results from this project will guide about the type of road designs or specific signals to be provided that facilitate the acceptance of autonomous vehicles on the streets from the users' perspective. Results will provide a systematic understanding of the behavioural and societal effects of forthcoming transportation innovations, to allow municipalities to develop policies that can facilitate the sustainable, rapid, and least-disruptive growth of these technologies and services.

- Local communities. They can use the research developed in this project and the VR platform created and freely shared as training tool to help the population (in particular specific categories like older people) to live in and adapt to the forthcoming new technological urban environments.

- Private businesses. They can use the new development of VR environments to develop new commercial projects for example on the innovative interaction between transport technology and social aspects.

- Car manufacturers, who will be informed about how customers respond to new technologies allowing customization of their products according to user input.

Publications

10 25 50
 
Description Member of the Expert Committee on "Climate Changes, Infrastructure and Sustainable Mobility". Transport Ministry, Italian Government
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact it is difficult to assess this impact, but the work has impacted significantly on the current vision and way of implementing policies to decarbonise the transport system in Italy. The government has changed recently, I do not know if there will be a follow up on this work.
 
Description Canada First Research Excellence Fund
Amount $90,000,000 (CAD)
Organisation National Research Council of Canada 
Sector Public
Country Canada
Start 06/2023 
End 05/2030
 
Description Towards Social Intelligence in Smart Mobility Systems: Technologies, Methods, and Applications
Amount $310,000 (CAD)
Funding ID RGPIN-2020-04492 
Organisation Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC) 
Sector Public
Country Canada
Start 04/2020 
End 03/2025
 
Title Stated choice experiment embedded in the immersive Virtual Reality environment 
Description we built for Newcastle in UK and for Toronto in Canada a virtual reality environment with a stated choice experiment embedded in it, where respondents can move in the urban environment where traffic will include fully automated vehicles (exclusively or with other vehicles) and choose to use them as a public transport system (in particular as taxi). 
Type Of Material Improvements to research infrastructure 
Year Produced 2022 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Paper accepted at the 12th International Conference on Transport Survey Methods "Conducting Stated Choice Experiments within an Immersive Virtual Reality Environment: an Application to the choice of Automated Taxi" The conference was originally planned for June 2020, but due to covid has been postponed and is now taking place March 2022. 
 
Title Demand model estimation 
Description We have analysed the data collected, estimated mathematical models and evaluated the results to understand if there was something that needed to be changed in the survey built. According to the research plan, the data collection online and with the VR should have occurred at the same time (or at one week distance one from each other). However, due to COVID, it has not been possible to run the VR experiment, and this has delayed also the collection of the online data. in order to reduce this delay, we have modified the original plan, such as we will run first the survey for the part of the sample that will answer only the online sample. In this was we will be able at least to progress with the analysis of the adoption of AV using the traditional survey methodology. As soon as COVID will allow, we will complete the survey with the sample that will reply both the online and the VR experiment. The online survey is ready to be launched. 
Type Of Material Data analysis technique 
Year Produced 2021 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact The two international workshops were I was invited were held one in person (the Transportation Research Board Conference in January 2020 in Washington) and one online (the Large Scale Autonomy: Connectivity and Mobility Networks workshop in November at UCLA). As planned I participated in both workshops and presented the initial results of this research. The International Survey Method Conference where I have a paper accepted for presentation has been postponed to March 20-25th 2022. The paper is by Hao Yin & Elisabetta Cherchi and the title is "Conducting Stated Choice Experiments within a Virtual Reality environment: an application to the choice of automated taxi." 
 
Title Lab tests started also in Toronto 
Description Canada has been in strict lockdown until recently. Now that has reopened, pilot tests just started this week giving experience to people who are not involved in the project about the VR and the research we are conducting. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2022 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact There are not yet results. 
 
Title Online stated choice data collection and model estimation 
Description The stated choice experiment is finalised and vastly tested online. Data collected online have been analysed using discrete choice models. Psychological statements including social conformity effects have been finalised and vastly tested online. Data collected online have been analysed using structural equation models 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2022 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact We are preparing a paper to be submitted to the International Association of Travel Behaviour Research Conference, that will be held In Santiago de Cile in December 2022 
 
Title VR data collection and model estimation in Toronto 
Description VR data collection in progress, almost completed 
Type Of Material Data analysis technique 
Year Produced 2022 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact Nazemi, M., Zhao, T., Ramos, D., Farooq, B., Yin, H., Bektas, M., and Cherchi, E. (2022) The role of social conformity in pedestrian-autonomous vehicles interaction. 16th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research, December 11 - 15, 2022, Santiago, Chile. Kamal, K., Farooq, B., Mudassar, M., Kalatian, A. (2022) Ordered-logit pedestrian stress model for traffic flow with automated vehicles. 2022 IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV), 1831-1834 Nazemi, M., Zhao, T., Ramos, D., Farooq, B. (2023) Stress level of pedestrians in the presence of autonomous vehicles. 11th International Conference on Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics (PED2023), Eindhoven, June 28-30, 2023, The Netherlands. 
 
Title VR data collection and model estimation in Newcastle 
Description Data collected with VR completed Analysis of the stated choice experiments using discrete choice models almost completed. Analysis of the pedestrian data, in progress 
Type Of Material Data analysis technique 
Year Produced 2022 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Yin, H. and Cherchi, E. (2022) A stated choice experiment embedded in immersive virtual reality to estimate preference for fully automated taxis. 16th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research. Santiago, Chile. Yin, H and Cherchi, E. (2023) A stated choice experiment to estimate preference for fully automated taxis: comparison between immersive virtual reality and online surveys. paper submitted to the 11th Symposium of the European Association for Research in Transportation Conference, Zurich, Switzerland 
 
Title VR pilot data 
Description The project started less than one year ago, at the moment we have collected pilot data to test the use of VR to collect data on the acceptance of automated vehicle. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact I have been invited to present the research I am doing at two international workshops. One was at the Transportation Research Board Conference in January 2020 in Washington, Another one is the Large Scale Autonomy: Connectivity and Mobility Networks workshop that will take place in November at the Institute for Pure and Applied Mathematics (IPAM) on the UCLA campus. I have also a paper accepted to the International Survey Method Conference that will be held in June in Portugal. The paper is by Hao Yin & Elisabetta Cherchi and the title is "Conducting Stated Choice Experiments within a Virtual Reality environment: an application to the choice of automated taxi." 
 
Title online data collection and model estimation in Toronto 
Description data collection of the stated choice experiment in Toronto complete preliminary models estimated. modelling analysis in progress 
Type Of Material Data analysis technique 
Year Produced 2023 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact not yet available 
 
Description collaboration with Ryerson University 
Organisation Ryerson University
Country Canada 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution My team and myself contributed to the methodological and empirical work related to the acceptance of using automated vehicles. We also contributed to the implementation of this methodology online and in the VR environment.
Collaborator Contribution The partner and his team at Ryerson contributed to the methodological and empirical work related to the acceptance by the pedestrians of interacting with automated vehicles. They also contributed to the implementation of this methodology in the VR environment.
Impact the output described in the software section is the result of this collaboration
Start Year 2020
 
Title VR software for choice of automated taxi 
Description we built a VR software where respondents can interact with automated vehicles circulating in a "real" street and select a taxi that can be a normal one with driver or an automated taxi. The street is "real" in the sense that we reproduce in the VR environment a street that exists and where there is currently a taxi rank for normal taxi The software has been tested with a pilot of colleagues and students until March 2020, before the start of the lockdown. Since then we kept working on it, but we could only test it among ourselves, the researchers (as covid did not allow to have any external participants to test the VR). We have managed to advance. The software is now ready 90%, but need to have a final test with "real" participants. Unfortunately, the VR uses headsets, and due to covid, it is not yet possible to do any real tests. The software has been updated in 2022, re-tested and used to run lab experiments in both Newcastle and Toronto. the lab experiment is concluded in Newcastle, in progress in Toronto. 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2022 
Impact 2020: at the moment there is no notable impacts, except the invitation to workshops to present this software to the international community 2022: after extensive use of the software for data collection, the software is powerful and many participants made the comment that they wish to have it. In the research environment, this is one of the most advanced software used to study behaviour in transport area. 
 
Description CCAV/ BritainThinks Specialist Group March Meeting 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact specialist group with the role to support the research commissioned by DfT to BritainThinks, in partnership with Aurrigo and University College London (UCL) to deliver a programme of research to understand public attitudes to automated vehicles and their role in the UK's transport system.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022