Solid Foundations, Mother-Tongue Literacy, and the Transition to Adolescence
Lead Research Organisation:
Uni of Illinois at Urbana Champaign
Department Name: Economics
Abstract
A large amount of money goes into funding education, especially literacy, with the belief that there will be long-term, positive effects. However, literacy rates - especially in Sub-Saharan Africa - remain incredibly low. Very few of the hundreds of rigorously evaluated interventions show more than moderate gains in student learning; almost none provide longitudinal evidence on longer-term outcomes. In short, there is little evidence from longitudinal studies in Africa about the effects of early learning on later school or life outcomes, and whether a strong early foundation better supports transitions, paving the way for continuing education, life-long learning and post-primary success. In response to this gap, our project will provide some of the first rigorous evidence regarding how investments in the early years of schooling from a highly successful literacy program can translate into long-term academic success and life outcomes.
The project builds upon a randomized evaluation of an early grade literacy program in Northern Uganda. The evaluation involved 128 schools and studied a teacher training and support program for mother-tongue literacy in grades one through three. After four years of the program, we found massive effects of the program: Grade 4 pupils tested in 2017 after being exposed to the program in grades 1-3 scored 0.92 standard deviations higher in mother tongue reading - equivalent to 6.3 grade levels - more than the control students. The effects on English oral reading fluency were almost just as large. While it was impressive that such large gains were possible, in a post-conflict low-resource setting, a new set of open questions emerged. Specifically, at the end of 2017, only 52% of our study respondents were found during school visits. Importantly, we found no differential attrition across study arms - in other words, despite the unprecedented learning gains from the program, there was no positive impact on keeping children in school suggesting that outside factors - such as barriers and marginalization - rather than learning, play an important role in education transitions.
This study addresses the following new questions:
1. How do children and parents/guardians plan for, and navigate challenges to, successful school and life transitions and how does early grade literacy help this navigation and transitions?
2. What are the causal effects of solid foundations in early grade literacy on learning, life skills, and school and life transitions?
3. What are the factors that, in a resource-poor environment, affect children's ability to harness the potential returns of early literacy skills?
This proposed study will extend the NULP longitudinal data by interviewing a sub-sample of children and their parents/caregivers as they transition into adolescence. We will collect three rounds of data from children, and one round of data from parents/caregivers, over two years to measure learning life skills, school and life transitions. The study will conduct innovative qualitative child journey mapping and quantitative experimental analyses to provide some of the first evidence on how investments in the early years from a highly successful literacy program can improve learning, school and life transitions.
The project builds upon a randomized evaluation of an early grade literacy program in Northern Uganda. The evaluation involved 128 schools and studied a teacher training and support program for mother-tongue literacy in grades one through three. After four years of the program, we found massive effects of the program: Grade 4 pupils tested in 2017 after being exposed to the program in grades 1-3 scored 0.92 standard deviations higher in mother tongue reading - equivalent to 6.3 grade levels - more than the control students. The effects on English oral reading fluency were almost just as large. While it was impressive that such large gains were possible, in a post-conflict low-resource setting, a new set of open questions emerged. Specifically, at the end of 2017, only 52% of our study respondents were found during school visits. Importantly, we found no differential attrition across study arms - in other words, despite the unprecedented learning gains from the program, there was no positive impact on keeping children in school suggesting that outside factors - such as barriers and marginalization - rather than learning, play an important role in education transitions.
This study addresses the following new questions:
1. How do children and parents/guardians plan for, and navigate challenges to, successful school and life transitions and how does early grade literacy help this navigation and transitions?
2. What are the causal effects of solid foundations in early grade literacy on learning, life skills, and school and life transitions?
3. What are the factors that, in a resource-poor environment, affect children's ability to harness the potential returns of early literacy skills?
This proposed study will extend the NULP longitudinal data by interviewing a sub-sample of children and their parents/caregivers as they transition into adolescence. We will collect three rounds of data from children, and one round of data from parents/caregivers, over two years to measure learning life skills, school and life transitions. The study will conduct innovative qualitative child journey mapping and quantitative experimental analyses to provide some of the first evidence on how investments in the early years from a highly successful literacy program can improve learning, school and life transitions.
Planned Impact
Who will benefit from this research?
The research will benefit schools, teachers, head teachers, parents, children, local language communities, government institutions, local education officials, primary teachers' colleges, education civil society organizations, vulnerable communities, academics and education policymakers and practitioners. The research is beneficial for stakeholders in the region where the program is implemented, the country of Uganda, East Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, developing countries, non-native speakers and educators in developed countries, NGOs, donors and multi-laterals.
How will they benefit from this research?
Achieving the aims and objectives of the study will deliver a series of practical benefits to stakeholders:
- Improved policymaking: Policymakers will be provided with clear evidence of impact of early grade reading investments, enabling them to make informed decisions about policies. They will have a better understanding of what factors are most important for leveraging early grade literacy and what factors and timing in a child's life may compromise these benefits.
- Improved understanding about intervention delivery and scale: The RCT that tests a full-cost model with a more scalable model will inform policymakers about the returns to program types. This will inform governments and donors on scalable strategies for education program design.
- Knowledge of long-term impacts of interventions in a randomized trial context: There are a limited number of studies following respondents beyond 1-2 years. This study will inform researchers, policymakers, and other stakeholders on the effects of an intervention a decade after exposure. The research will increase awareness on the importance of mother-tongue foundations, spillovers to English and (potentially) other subjects. This will generate buy-in to mother tongue literacy, while the pressure for children to excel in English grows.
- Improved knowledge base: The evidence produced in this study will broaden our understanding of children's experience in the education system and their education decisions in the context of family and life transitions and contexts. It will inform other researchers of new methods, data collection techniques, analysis approaches, and findings about youth transition.
What will be done to ensure that they have the opportunity to benefit from this activity?
The research study has a reputation and proven record for communicating to stakeholders and providing important and policy-relevant results. The technical abilities of our team in early grade reading, literacy assessment, teacher training and support supervision have been flagged by government, donors and other education sector actors as relevant and important to addressing key education issues. We will leverage this position and expand our work in this phase. Results will further dialogue by improving understandings of the relationship between socio-emotional skills, school and life transitions, and learning. Engagement with parents will improve our understanding of how parents and children differ in their perspectives about life decisions/transitions, how this affects our understanding of these events, and data collection methodologies. The RCT's approach to testing modes of delivery between an NGO and the government has identified that we can generate large learning gains among teachers and pupils within government systems - and at a greatly reduced cost (even where other programs have failed). The government is extremely interested in this outcome and frequently requests Mango Tree/Ichuli to formally present results and cost effectiveness analysis to its technical teams and working groups.
The research will benefit schools, teachers, head teachers, parents, children, local language communities, government institutions, local education officials, primary teachers' colleges, education civil society organizations, vulnerable communities, academics and education policymakers and practitioners. The research is beneficial for stakeholders in the region where the program is implemented, the country of Uganda, East Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, developing countries, non-native speakers and educators in developed countries, NGOs, donors and multi-laterals.
How will they benefit from this research?
Achieving the aims and objectives of the study will deliver a series of practical benefits to stakeholders:
- Improved policymaking: Policymakers will be provided with clear evidence of impact of early grade reading investments, enabling them to make informed decisions about policies. They will have a better understanding of what factors are most important for leveraging early grade literacy and what factors and timing in a child's life may compromise these benefits.
- Improved understanding about intervention delivery and scale: The RCT that tests a full-cost model with a more scalable model will inform policymakers about the returns to program types. This will inform governments and donors on scalable strategies for education program design.
- Knowledge of long-term impacts of interventions in a randomized trial context: There are a limited number of studies following respondents beyond 1-2 years. This study will inform researchers, policymakers, and other stakeholders on the effects of an intervention a decade after exposure. The research will increase awareness on the importance of mother-tongue foundations, spillovers to English and (potentially) other subjects. This will generate buy-in to mother tongue literacy, while the pressure for children to excel in English grows.
- Improved knowledge base: The evidence produced in this study will broaden our understanding of children's experience in the education system and their education decisions in the context of family and life transitions and contexts. It will inform other researchers of new methods, data collection techniques, analysis approaches, and findings about youth transition.
What will be done to ensure that they have the opportunity to benefit from this activity?
The research study has a reputation and proven record for communicating to stakeholders and providing important and policy-relevant results. The technical abilities of our team in early grade reading, literacy assessment, teacher training and support supervision have been flagged by government, donors and other education sector actors as relevant and important to addressing key education issues. We will leverage this position and expand our work in this phase. Results will further dialogue by improving understandings of the relationship between socio-emotional skills, school and life transitions, and learning. Engagement with parents will improve our understanding of how parents and children differ in their perspectives about life decisions/transitions, how this affects our understanding of these events, and data collection methodologies. The RCT's approach to testing modes of delivery between an NGO and the government has identified that we can generate large learning gains among teachers and pupils within government systems - and at a greatly reduced cost (even where other programs have failed). The government is extremely interested in this outcome and frequently requests Mango Tree/Ichuli to formally present results and cost effectiveness analysis to its technical teams and working groups.
Organisations
- Uni of Illinois at Urbana Champaign (Lead Research Organisation)
- Ichuli Institute (Collaboration)
- University of Wisconsin-Madison (Collaboration)
- University of Southern California (Collaboration)
- Mango Tree Literacy Laboratory (Collaboration)
- University of Minnesota (Collaboration)
- Baylor University (Collaboration)
- IESEG School of Management (Collaboration)
- Ichuli (Consulting and Institute) (Project Partner)
Publications

Buhl-Wiggers J
(2022)
Some Children Left Behind: Variation in the Effects of an Educational Intervention
in Journal of Econometrics

Buhl-Wiggers J
(2024)
Some children left behind: Variation in the effects of an educational intervention
in Journal of Econometrics

Kerwin J
(2021)
Making the Grade: The Sensitivity of Education Program Effectiveness to Input Choices and Outcome Measures
in The Review of Economics and Statistics
Description | We have tracked students with follow-up surveys and assessments. We find large sustained effects of the intervention on local language reading that is approximately 50% after 8 years, and effects on English about 100% of the original effect. There are no effects on math. We find relatively similar effects among boys and girls, although somewhat different across the full-cost and reduced cost versions of the program. We see a small effect on grade repetition and no impacts on dropouts. No impact on life outcomes yet. |
Exploitation Route | We are still analyzing data and writing up the results. In addition, we are taking the lessons learned to policy makers in Uganda and Africa to disseminate. We are seeking to get more funding to track students further into adulthood. |
Sectors | Education |
Description | We will be analyzing data collected in 2021 and will be collecting further data. Our results on grade-repetition are being discussed in Uganda and contributing to policy conversations. |
Sector | Education |
Impact Types | Societal Policy & public services |
Description | Citation - reading for life |
Geographic Reach | National |
Policy Influence Type | Citation in other policy documents |
URL | https://aae-jmc.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/monica2/JMP_Agarwal_UWMadison.pdf |
Description | Citations - SCLB |
Geographic Reach | Multiple continents/international |
Policy Influence Type | Citation in other policy documents |
URL | https://scholar.google.com/scholar?oi=bibs&hl=en&cites=6167853225833591476,681743233604708950&as_sdt... |
Description | Making the grade - citations |
Geographic Reach | Multiple continents/international |
Policy Influence Type | Citation in other policy documents |
URL | https://scholar.google.com/scholar?oi=bibs&hl=en&cites=308509780127112243,7246624653406892628,173671... |
Description | SCLB Citation |
Geographic Reach | Multiple continents/international |
Policy Influence Type | Citation in other policy documents |
URL | https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0193841X221090731?casa_token=O8SacwRao08AAAAA:hljiGFvBP... |
Description | Some children left behind - citation |
Geographic Reach | Multiple continents/international |
Policy Influence Type | Citation in other policy documents |
URL | https://arxiv.org/abs/2110.01427 |
Description | Center for International Food and Agricultural Policy (CIFAP) Graduate Grant |
Amount | $24,980 (USD) |
Organisation | University of Minnesota |
Sector | Academic/University |
Country | United States |
Start | 01/2022 |
End | 12/2022 |
Description | Faculty Research funds |
Amount | $25,000 (USD) |
Funding ID | Faculty research start up |
Organisation | Baylor University |
Sector | Academic/University |
Country | United States |
Start | 07/2022 |
Description | Jason Kerwin faculty research grant |
Amount | $16,000 (USD) |
Funding ID | faculty research grant |
Organisation | University of Minnesota |
Sector | Academic/University |
Country | United States |
Start |
Description | LAI - The Long-Run Benefits of Improved Literacy in Uganda |
Amount | $399,998 (USD) |
Organisation | JPAL - The Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab |
Sector | Private |
Country | United States |
Start | 04/2024 |
Description | Solid Foundations and the Transition to Post-Primary School |
Amount | $148,647 (USD) |
Funding ID | 0981 |
Organisation | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
Sector | Academic/University |
Country | United States |
Start | 05/2019 |
End | 06/2021 |
Description | The Long-Run Effects of a Literacy Program on Cognitive and Non-Cognitive Skills |
Amount | $25,000 (USD) |
Organisation | Bunka Gakuen University |
Department | Graduate School |
Sector | Academic/University |
Country | Japan |
Start | 01/2022 |
Title | Follow-up survey and assessment |
Description | Follow-up survey of students to assess life outcomes and reading and math skills. |
Type Of Material | Physiological assessment or outcome measure |
Year Produced | 2022 |
Provided To Others? | No |
Impact | We have new data on yearly activities for these children since grade one. |
Title | Parent journey questionnaire |
Description | Questionnaire to track student journeys from 1st grade |
Type Of Material | Physiological assessment or outcome measure |
Year Produced | 2021 |
Provided To Others? | No |
Impact | None yet, currently being implemented |
Title | Student assesments |
Description | SEGMA, EGRA, EGMA |
Type Of Material | Physiological assessment or outcome measure |
Year Produced | 2021 |
Provided To Others? | No |
Impact | Currently being collected |
Title | Student journey questionnaire |
Description | collect information on study journeys from grade 1 |
Type Of Material | Physiological assessment or outcome measure |
Year Produced | 2021 |
Provided To Others? | No |
Impact | Currently being implemented |
Title | 2021 Followup data |
Description | Follow-up data set |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2021 |
Provided To Others? | No |
Impact | Follow-up data to analyze long term effects of intervention |
Title | Baseline and Followup in Amolatar |
Description | We have collected the baseline and follow-up survey data in Amolatar, Uganda. |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2019 |
Provided To Others? | No |
Impact | This database will inform us the impact of pregnancy test provision on family planning uptake. The result from the data analysis can inform the policy. |
Title | Pilot tracking data |
Description | Data on locations and contact information for students in our study to be used for tracking |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2019 |
Provided To Others? | No |
Impact | These data will allow us to follow-up with students over time |
Description | Collaboration with Hannah Han - UWisconsin |
Organisation | University of Wisconsin-Madison |
Country | United States |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | Student collaboration and co-authorship |
Collaborator Contribution | Coauthorship |
Impact | Working on a draft paper |
Start Year | 2023 |
Description | Collaboration with Ichuli Institute |
Organisation | Ichuli Institute |
Country | Uganda |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | We are now collaborating with Ichuli to help with implementation and oversight of the study. |
Collaborator Contribution | We are now collaborating with Ichuli to help with implementation and oversight of the study. |
Impact | None yet |
Start Year | 2017 |
Description | Collaboration with Isaac Ahimbisibwe |
Organisation | University of Southern California |
Country | United States |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | Collaboration with new partner who does research on Education in Uganda |
Collaborator Contribution | We are having him join our team upon arrival at his new job at Baylor University |
Impact | None yet. Economics |
Start Year | 2023 |
Description | Collaboration with Ricardo Montero De La Piedra (Minnesota) |
Organisation | University of Minnesota |
Country | United States |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | Analysis, data cleaning, report writing |
Collaborator Contribution | Analysis, data cleaning, report writing |
Impact | Working paper, clean data, paper submissions |
Start Year | 2020 |
Description | Collaboration with Sujey Soori |
Organisation | Baylor University |
Country | United States |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | This is a MA student at Baylor University who started working with our team |
Collaborator Contribution | Research Collaborations |
Impact | Additional working papers are coming out of this collaboration. |
Start Year | 2022 |
Description | Collaboration with University of Minnesota - Jason Kerwin |
Organisation | University of Minnesota |
Country | United States |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | Collaborative work on design of the study and analysis of the data. |
Collaborator Contribution | Collaborative work on design of the study and analysis of the data. |
Impact | Publication drafts |
Description | Juan Morales |
Organisation | IESEG School of Management |
Country | France |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | Researcher |
Collaborator Contribution | drafting papers and running analysis |
Impact | Draft of heterogeneity paper |
Start Year | 2019 |
Description | Mango Tree Literacy Lab |
Organisation | Mango Tree Literacy Laboratory |
Country | Uganda |
Sector | Private |
PI Contribution | We provide input from our data to the Literacy Lab for the development of their educational programs. |
Collaborator Contribution | They provide the connection with schools and communities. |
Impact | Spin-off research projects have developed as well as dissemination to the communities. New programs have been developed such as the Mentor Teacher Program, Parent Engagement, Mentor Student Program, and the Portable Library Program |
Start Year | 2017 |
Description | PAA presentation - jeff smith 2024 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | PAA session |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
Description | Phase 1 tracking |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Local |
Primary Audience | Schools |
Results and Impact | Meetings to track students and parents |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
Description | Phase 2 tracking |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Local |
Primary Audience | Schools |
Results and Impact | Phase 2 to locate students and parents |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
Description | Reading for Life - NBER - Jason Kerwin |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Presentation of results to academics |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
Description | Reading for life CESifo Education Group meetings in Munich in September of 2023. - jeff Smith |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Presentation of results to academics |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |
Description | Reading for life Georgetown (January 2024) - Jason Kerwin |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Presentation of results to academics |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
Description | Reading for life IFPRI (January 2024) - jason kerwin |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Presentation of results to academics |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
Description | Reading for life Queensland University of Technology (April 2024)- Jason Kerwin |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Presentation of results to academics |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
Description | Reading for life UAPS Conference, Lilongwe (May 2024) - Jason Kerwin |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Presentation of results to academics |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
Description | Reading for life University of Hawaii (January 2024) - Jason kerwin |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Presentation of results to academics |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
Description | Reading for life University of Melbourne (April 2024) - Jason Kerwin |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Presentation of results to academics |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
Description | Reading for life University of Michigan (March 2024) - Jason Kerwin |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Presentation of results to academics |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
Description | Reading for life University of Washington (March 2024) - Jason Kerwin |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Presentation of results to academics |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
Description | Reading for life World Bank (October 2023) - Jason Kerwin |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Presentation of results to academics and policy makers |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |
Description | VAM - University of California Riverside, Department of Economics - Rebecca Thornton |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Presentation of results to academics |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |
Description | VAM Michigan State University, Department of Economics - Rebecca Thornton |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Presentation of results to academics |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |