Beyond 'Left Behind Places': Understanding Demographic and Socioeconomic Change in Peripheral Regions

Lead Research Organisation: Newcastle University
Department Name: Sch of Geog, Politics and Sociology

Abstract

Social and spatial inequalities between and within core and peripheral regions have re-emerged as a major economic and political issue in developed economies. Such divisions have generated economic and social discontent and growing levels of political support for populist and nationalist parties in peripheral regions, particularly certain old industrial areas. This turmoil fuelled the Brexit vote in the UK and the election of Donald Trump in the US as well as support for the Rassemblement National (National Rally) and Gilets Jaunes (Yellow Vests) in France and the Alternative für Deutschland in Germany. In response, researchers, commentators and politicians have voiced concerns about the places 'left behind' by globalisation, technological and economic change. While welcome in increasing the political visibility of social and spatial inequalities, the 'left behind' category risks hiding and over-simplifying the different experiences and development paths of people and places.

The aim of the project is to develop a new understanding of demographic and socio-economic change in peripheral regions, examining the circumstances and prospects of places and people currently categorised together as 'left behind'. It will advance understandings of peripheralisation as an on-going process driven by the geographical concentration of people and prosperity in large urban centres alongside the decline or stagnation of other regions. The research is concerned with inner peripheries defined by their disconnection from external territories and networks, particularly urban regions and intermediate areas close to cities experiencing demographic and socio-economic stagnation or decline.

Taking an approach that compares the experiences of France, Germany and the UK in their western European context, the research has four objectives:

i) To understand the distinctive circumstances and development pathways of peripheral regions, overcoming the tendency to subsume different kinds of places beneath the broad category of 'left behind';
ii) To assess the relationships between the population dynamics of peripheral regions and socio-economic, health and political outcomes, covering both people moving from, and staying within, peripheral regions to redress the existing research bias towards migration between regions;
iii) To examine the livelihood activities and practices of residents in peripheral regions, remedying the neglect of how 'ordinary' people deal with peripherality;
iv) To identify new policy responses that combine conventional and alternative perspectives, moving beyond the reliance upon growing larger cities and spreading their prosperity to surrounding regions.

Using a range of research methods and a cross-national research design, the research team will address these objectives by undertaking the following tasks:

i) Identifying and categorising peripheral regions across western Europe to identify their different pathways of development and the key dimensions and processes of concentration and peripheralisation, drawing upon international and national secondary quantitative data;
ii) Investigating the different experiences and outcomes for people moving from, and staying in, peripheral regions in France, Germany and the UK using secondary quantitative data;
iii) Examining people's everyday livelihood strategies and practices in peripheral regions through six neighbourhood case studies (two per country) based on semi-structured interviews, non-participant observation, livelihood infrastructures mapping, and focus groups;
iv) Assessing current and informing future policy approaches to address the varied situations of peripheral regions through analysing secondary documentation and key actor interviews.
v) Synthesising findings, relating them to the overall project aim and objectives, and writing up the project's research outputs (8 international journal articles, 1 monograph and policy report).

Publications

10 25 50
 
Description There are different kinds of 'Left behind' places. Almost all 'left behind' places are characterised by either economic decline or a persistently low economic level of development since 1991. Yet some places have experienced more depopulation, outmigration of young adults, and ageing population structures than others.
The contrasting trajectories of regions affected by deindustrialisation during the 1980s and 1990s show how some were able to build on pre-existing strengths to adapt to a more service-oriented economy whereas others fell increasingly behind.
Over the period 1982-2017, some initially lagging regions caught up with national levels of development. But this catch-up seems to have halted in the decade or so since the 2008 financial crisis, demonstrating the fragile nature of regional recovery.
Regions affected by long-term economic decline relative to other regions are, as a whole, not characterised by especially low rates of net migration. In fact, rates of net internal migration are in general higher in lagging regions. In large part, this seems to be driven by lower rates of out-migration, rather than higher rates of in-migration to these territories. Economically lagging regions thus tend to be places where people 'stay put'.
Emergent polices for 'left behind places' are largely based on theories and models derived from the experiences of advanced metropolitan regions. This means that these places continue to lack distinctive locally-based responses and solutions to their problems, relying instead on the incorporation of concepts of competitiveness, innovation and attractiveness associated with strategies for larger city-regions
Exploitation Route These key findings have the following implications for policy-makers:
'Left behind places' need place-sensitive policies that are tailored to engage with regional assets and challenges.
Addressing spatial inequalities requires long-term vision, sustained policy attention, and large-scale investment.
Encouraging out-migration from 'left behind' regions towards more economically prosperous regions are unlikely to be an adequate or even desirable solution to lasting geographical inequalities.
National-level policies for the provision of social safety nets and funding for essential public services and infrastructure are important for improving living standards in 'left behind places'.
Sectors Communities and Social Services/Policy

Government

Democracy and Justice

Other

URL https://research.ncl.ac.uk/beyondleftbehindplaces/publicationsanddownloads/
 
Description Our research has been cited in the Report of the High Level Group on the Future of EU Cohesion Policy (European Commission 2024). Our findings on the characteristics and consequences of long-term economic decline in 'left behind places' were highlighted in terms of their contribution to increased political discontent. The Report also draws on our work on social infrastructure in 'left behind places', emphasising the need for increased investment in infrastructure and productive capital, social infrastructure, education, care, innovation, upskilling and institutional improvements in these areas.
First Year Of Impact 2024
Sector Communities and Social Services/Policy,Government, Democracy and Justice
Impact Types Policy & public services

 
Description Citation in the Report of the High Level Group on the Future of EU Cohesion Policy
Geographic Reach Europe 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
URL https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/c6e97287-cee3-11ee-b9d9-01aa75ed71a1/langua...
 
Description Evidence for the APPG Left Behind Neighbourhoods Levelling Up Inquiry
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
URL https://www.appg-leftbehindneighbourhoods.org.uk/inquiry-into-levelling-up/
 
Description Evidence to House of Lords Built Environment Committee
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
URL https://parliamentlive.tv/event/index/f7cfe09a-99ce-4421-85dd-ac69e1a09f5f
 
Description 'Levelling Up and Recovery' policy stream programme at RGS-IBG Annual Conference 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The project team organised a stream of policy sessions at the Royal Geographical Society Annual Conference in Newcastle on the theme of 'Levelling up and recovery'. They included an interview with the North of Tyne Mayor and 3 panel discussions. The sessions sparked great interest and debate and strengthened our links with policy-makers, economic development practitioners and the regional media.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://virtual.oxfordabstracts.com/#/event/public/2788/session/44083
 
Description Blog for OECD Cogito series 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact We were invited to write a blog for the OECD Cogito site, entitled 'Where next for Left Behind places'. This was based on the findings of work package 1, identifying different types of 'left behind places' and their divergent development trajectories over time.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://oecdcogito.blog/2023/07/04/where-next-for-europes-left-behind-places/
 
Description Building Inclusive and Sustainable City Economies 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The project team organised an workshop on 'Inclusive and sustainable city economies' bringing together research, policy-makers and practitioners from the UK, US and Fnnace
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Growth deals beyond the cities 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact This seminar aimed to share and discuss knowledge, experiences and good practice on growth deals in Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales.. The event involved over 70 participants from the public, private and civic sectors from across the UK. The presentations prompted a range of questions and extensive discussion.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://www.ncl.ac.uk/curds/growthdealsbeyondthecitiesseminar/
 
Description Presentation and discussion with Resolution Foundation 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The project team were invited to present the project research to the Resolution Foundation think tank. 15-20 people attended and the research sparked considerable interest and discussion after the presentation. We remain in contact with Resolution Foundation and plan to present our findings to them on completion of the project
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Presentation of research at European Week of Regions & Cities 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact We presented the research at a special University session at the European Week of Regions and Cities in Brussels, 11 October 2023. We outlined emerging findings across 3 work packages and all 3 countries (UK, France & Germany) to an international audience of policy-makers.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://regions-and-cities.europa.eu/
 
Description blog 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Invited blog for Royal Geographical Society ' Geography Directions' blog space on their website. The blog, entitled ' 'Left-Behind' Places, Regional Inequalities and 'Levelling Up' is intended to inform debate and policy on 'left behind' places in the UK and levelling up.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://blog.geographydirections.com/2021/06/02/left-behind-places-regional-inequalities-and-levelli...