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Beyond 'Left Behind Places': Understanding Demographic and Socioeconomic Change in Peripheral Regions

Lead Research Organisation: Newcastle University
Department Name: Sch of Geog, Politics and Sociology

Abstract

Social and spatial inequalities between and within core and peripheral regions have re-emerged as a major economic and political issue in developed economies. Such divisions have generated economic and social discontent and growing levels of political support for populist and nationalist parties in peripheral regions, particularly certain old industrial areas. This turmoil fuelled the Brexit vote in the UK and the election of Donald Trump in the US as well as support for the Rassemblement National (National Rally) and Gilets Jaunes (Yellow Vests) in France and the Alternative für Deutschland in Germany. In response, researchers, commentators and politicians have voiced concerns about the places 'left behind' by globalisation, technological and economic change. While welcome in increasing the political visibility of social and spatial inequalities, the 'left behind' category risks hiding and over-simplifying the different experiences and development paths of people and places.

The aim of the project is to develop a new understanding of demographic and socio-economic change in peripheral regions, examining the circumstances and prospects of places and people currently categorised together as 'left behind'. It will advance understandings of peripheralisation as an on-going process driven by the geographical concentration of people and prosperity in large urban centres alongside the decline or stagnation of other regions. The research is concerned with inner peripheries defined by their disconnection from external territories and networks, particularly urban regions and intermediate areas close to cities experiencing demographic and socio-economic stagnation or decline.

Taking an approach that compares the experiences of France, Germany and the UK in their western European context, the research has four objectives:

i) To understand the distinctive circumstances and development pathways of peripheral regions, overcoming the tendency to subsume different kinds of places beneath the broad category of 'left behind';
ii) To assess the relationships between the population dynamics of peripheral regions and socio-economic, health and political outcomes, covering both people moving from, and staying within, peripheral regions to redress the existing research bias towards migration between regions;
iii) To examine the livelihood activities and practices of residents in peripheral regions, remedying the neglect of how 'ordinary' people deal with peripherality;
iv) To identify new policy responses that combine conventional and alternative perspectives, moving beyond the reliance upon growing larger cities and spreading their prosperity to surrounding regions.

Using a range of research methods and a cross-national research design, the research team will address these objectives by undertaking the following tasks:

i) Identifying and categorising peripheral regions across western Europe to identify their different pathways of development and the key dimensions and processes of concentration and peripheralisation, drawing upon international and national secondary quantitative data;
ii) Investigating the different experiences and outcomes for people moving from, and staying in, peripheral regions in France, Germany and the UK using secondary quantitative data;
iii) Examining people's everyday livelihood strategies and practices in peripheral regions through six neighbourhood case studies (two per country) based on semi-structured interviews, non-participant observation, livelihood infrastructures mapping, and focus groups;
iv) Assessing current and informing future policy approaches to address the varied situations of peripheral regions through analysing secondary documentation and key actor interviews.
v) Synthesising findings, relating them to the overall project aim and objectives, and writing up the project's research outputs (8 international journal articles, 1 monograph and policy report).

Publications

10 25 50

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Le Petit-Guerin M (2025) Identifying trajectories of regional 'left-behindness' in the EU15 from 1982 to 2017 in ZFW - Advances in Economic Geography

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MacKinnon D (2022) Reframing urban and regional 'development' for 'left behind' places in Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society

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MacKinnon D (2024) Spatial policy since the global financial crisis in European Urban and Regional Studies

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Pike A (2023) 'Left behind places': a geographical etymology in Regional Studies

 
Description There are different kinds of 'left behind places'. An analysis of regional development trajectories in the EU-15 between 1982 and 2017 highlighted three main types of 'left behind' regions: 'persistent economic and demographic lag', persistent demographic and economic relative decline' and 'deindustrialisation-driven decline' .
Regions affected by long-term economic decline relative to other regions are, as a whole, not characterised by especially low rates of net migration. In fact, rates of net internal migration are in general higher in lagging regions. In large part, this seems to be driven by lower rates of out-migration, rather than higher rates of in-migration to these territories. Economically lagging regions thus tend to be places where people 'stay put'.
The underlying condition of 'left behindness' is present in the six case study areas, although this took different forms in different areas and for different groups of residents.
'Staying' is a rational choice for many lower-income residents as 'left behind places' provide them with the assets, practical knowledge and social networks to deal with economic insecurity and low pay.
'Left behind places' provide only lower level employment opportunities in sectors such as manufacturing, retail, health and social care and only basic retail services.
Political disinterest and a lack of belief in a better future were more prevalent across the cases than resentment and 'the revenge of the places that don't matter' .
Recent place-based policies in the UK and France lack the sustained local engagement and consultation required to address the needs and aspirations of people in 'left behind places'. By contrast, more local engagement and partnership was apparent in the decentralised German governance system.
Exploitation Route These key findings inform five key policy recommendations. The first concerns the need to open-up and democratise interpretations and visions of 'development' in 'left behind places' to popular participation and decision-making. Second, policy-makers should adopt a place-based approach tailored to local contexts and underpinned by meaningful decentralisation of powers and resources. Third, aim to increase households' residual incomes and people's access to employment. Fourth, fix the foundations of local infrastructures and services to address closure and reduced access to services. Fifth, encourage local policy experimentation and innovation in ways that connect 'conventional' and 'alternative' approaches to economic development.
Sectors Communities and Social Services/Policy

Government

Democracy and Justice

Other

URL https://research.ncl.ac.uk/beyondleftbehindplaces/publicationsanddownloads/
 
Description Our research has been cited in the Report of the High Level Group on the Future of EU Cohesion Policy (European Commission 2024). Our findings on the characteristics and consequences of long-term economic decline in 'left behind places' were highlighted in terms of their contribution to increased political discontent. The Report also draws on our work on social infrastructure in 'left behind places', emphasising the need for increased investment in infrastructure and productive capital, social infrastructure, education, care, innovation, upskilling and institutional improvements in these areas. Our research has also been cited in the House of Lords Built Environment Committee Inquiry Report, 'High Streets: Life Beyond Retail'. Our evidence and the testimony of Professor Tomaney is extensively drawn upon in the Committee's report (published in November 2024), and informs its recommendations.
First Year Of Impact 2024
Sector Communities and Social Services/Policy,Government, Democracy and Justice
Impact Types Policy & public services

 
Description Citation in the Report of the High Level Group on the Future of EU Cohesion Policy
Geographic Reach Europe 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
URL https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/c6e97287-cee3-11ee-b9d9-01aa75ed71a1/langua...
 
Description Evidence for the APPG Left Behind Neighbourhoods Levelling Up Inquiry
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
URL https://www.appg-leftbehindneighbourhoods.org.uk/inquiry-into-levelling-up/
 
Description Evidence to House of Lords Built Environment Committee
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
URL https://parliamentlive.tv/event/index/f7cfe09a-99ce-4421-85dd-ac69e1a09f5f
 
Description House of Lords Built Environment Committee Inquiry report into 'High streets in towns and small cities'
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
URL https://committees.parliament.uk/work/8245/high-streets-in-towns-and-small-cities/publications/
 
Description Presentation to government department
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
 
Description Presentation to government department
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
 
Description Presentation to government department
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
 
Description 'Levelling Up and Recovery' policy stream programme at RGS-IBG Annual Conference 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The project team organised a stream of policy sessions at the Royal Geographical Society Annual Conference in Newcastle on the theme of 'Levelling up and recovery'. They included an interview with the North of Tyne Mayor and 3 panel discussions. The sessions sparked great interest and debate and strengthened our links with policy-makers, economic development practitioners and the regional media.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://virtual.oxfordabstracts.com/#/event/public/2788/session/44083
 
Description Blog for Academy of Social Sciences Levelling Up Hub 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Blog for Academy of Social Sciences Levelling Up Hub, 'Levelling up requires a more geographically focused, decentralised and better resourced approach'
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://acss.org.uk/levelling-up-requires-a-more-geographically-focused-decentralised-and-better-res...
 
Description Blog for OECD Cogito series 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact We were invited to write a blog for the OECD Cogito site, entitled 'Where next for Left Behind places'. This was based on the findings of work package 1, identifying different types of 'left behind places' and their divergent development trajectories over time.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://oecdcogito.blog/2023/07/04/where-next-for-europes-left-behind-places/
 
Description Building Inclusive and Sustainable City Economies 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The project team organised an workshop on 'Inclusive and sustainable city economies' bringing together research, policy-makers and practitioners from the UK, US and Fnnace
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Final project conference (online) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Communication of emerging project findings and results, with discussion panel and audience feedback
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://youtu.be/G3QrXZ-aYXM
 
Description Growth deals beyond the cities 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact This seminar aimed to share and discuss knowledge, experiences and good practice on growth deals in Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales.. The event involved over 70 participants from the public, private and civic sectors from across the UK. The presentations prompted a range of questions and extensive discussion.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://www.ncl.ac.uk/curds/growthdealsbeyondthecitiesseminar/
 
Description Interim findings workshops, Bishop Auckland and Walsall 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact Presentation of emerging findings to key stakeholders from the 2 case study areas
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description Keynote presentation at third sector conference 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Third sector organisations
Results and Impact Keynote presentation at the Sunderland Voluntary and Community Sector Conference 26/3/25
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2025
 
Description Participation in international seminar 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Contribution to an OECD seminar series on the role of place identity in place transformation
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2025
 
Description Presentation and discussion with Resolution Foundation 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The project team were invited to present the project research to the Resolution Foundation think tank. 15-20 people attended and the research sparked considerable interest and discussion after the presentation. We remain in contact with Resolution Foundation and plan to present our findings to them on completion of the project
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Presentation of research at European Week of Regions & Cities 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact We presented the research at a special University session at the European Week of Regions and Cities in Brussels, 11 October 2023. We outlined emerging findings across 3 work packages and all 3 countries (UK, France & Germany) to an international audience of policy-makers.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://regions-and-cities.europa.eu/
 
Description Productivity Institute workshop 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Presentation of project findings at Productivity Institute workshop for local authority, third sector organisations and local businesses, South Tyneside
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description blog 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Invited blog for Royal Geographical Society ' Geography Directions' blog space on their website. The blog, entitled ' 'Left-Behind' Places, Regional Inequalities and 'Levelling Up' is intended to inform debate and policy on 'left behind' places in the UK and levelling up.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://blog.geographydirections.com/2021/06/02/left-behind-places-regional-inequalities-and-levelli...