📣 Help Shape the Future of UKRI's Gateway to Research (GtR)

We're improving UKRI's Gateway to Research and are seeking your input! If you would be interested in being interviewed about the improvements we're making and to have your say about how we can make GtR more user-friendly, impactful, and effective for the Research and Innovation community, please email gateway@ukri.org.

Concrete Impacts: A Supply Chain and Life Cycle Analysis of the US Military's Environmental Footprint

Lead Research Organisation: Lancaster University
Department Name: Lancaster Environment Centre

Abstract

Militaries are among the most resource intensive institutions in the world, requiring vast volumes of material and energy for both domestic and foreign operations. As a result, militaries are some of the most polluting institutions as well, but very little is known about military contributions to climate change and other forms of environmental degradation, nor about their total material consumption. Furthermore, the accessibility of reliable data about military resource use and environmental damage is highly variable, and depends on military transparency, the context of military operations, and broader emissions reporting requirements between countries. Our preliminary research has shown that one novel, workable approach to examining a military's material footprint is to focus on the logistics that move raw materials move across global military and civilian supply chains. For example, by concentrating on procurement, purchase, and distribution of hydrocarbon-based fuels, we revealed that the U.S. military is a larger polluter than as many as 140 countries. However, a systematic study of the sourcing of raw materials and their circulation supply chains, including the resultant environmental damage, is entirely lacking.

This research will build on our previous work on the climate impacts of US military operations to look at other kinds of materials that have significant environmental impacts. We will source and collate secondary datasets that allow us to quantifying and visualize US military acquisition and use of three seemingly banal materials - sand, water, and concrete- that have serious environmental, social, and economic impacts when purchase and deployed in the large volumes that the US military did during the occupation of Iraq from 2003-2011. We will source this data from publicly available reports produced by the US Congressional Budget Office and individual procurement orders made by the Defense Logistics Agency, supplemented with data from Freedom of Information Act requests as needed. As the most extensive military operation of the 21st century, Iraq from 2003-2011 provides an ideal case study because procurement and supply chains are documented on digital spreadsheets and accessible for analysis, and because analysis of that data can help researchers, governments, and the public understand the consequences and impacts of foreign intervention in new and dynamic ways.

We will undertake a number of activities to make this data useful and available to a range of users, including policymakers and the US military itself. First, we will create a GIS database that collates currently disparate datasets and geographically situates the procurement, distribution and use of sand, water, and concrete. This spatial approach will allow us, and other researchers, to consider all manner of adjacent questions around the social, economic, and environmental impacts of material practices of US military during wartime. Additionally, following our previous research on US military fuel consumption, we will conduct life cycle analyses on all the materials we study, calculating not only the climate change impact of these materials in practice, but also other environmental consequences, such as local air pollution impacts. We will collate all this data and our analysis and visualizations thereof onto a public-facing data lab website, enabling anyone with a web browser to conduct high-powered quantitative analysis of the data for themselves. Further, we will produce policy-relevant literature on the environmental implications of war beyond the usual kinds of analysis in time for the next round of global climate change negotiations at COP26 in Glasgow in November 2021. We seek significant outreach to non-academic partners, such as the US and UK military, climate and environmental policymakers and civil society groups in our current network and beyond.

Related Projects

Project Reference Relationship Related To Start End Award Value
ES/V016296/1 14/10/2021 30/08/2022 £242,913
ES/V016296/2 Transfer ES/V016296/1 31/08/2022 14/01/2024 £140,943
 
Description Recent events have exposed the public to the stark realties of war's environmental impacts. Images of bombed out Ukrainian apartment blocks, tanks and mortars ripping up Europe's most fertile breadbasket, and fears of a nuclear meltdowns in Zaporizhzhia (CITE). This is by no means a new phenomenon, historically, US chemical defoliants including Agent Orange (Truong and Dinh, 2021) and Saddam Hussain's burning of Kuwaiti oil fields during the first Iraq war (Husain 1994) reiterate the relationship between armed conflicts and environmental degradation.
Now more than ever, we need to focus our attention on the pressing issues of conflict emissions- that is, accounting for emissions during war. Recent work around the accounting for military emissions and advocating that governments adhere to their obligations to transparent and accurate reporting of military emissions to the UNFCCC.
This is particularly timely given the events in Ukraine, of course, but also its importance to new draft legislation concerning the 27 legal principles on the Protection of the Environment in Relation to Armed Conflicts (PERAC) were passed by the UN General Assembly on 7 December which speaks little of greenhouse gas emissions. More independent research is needed on conflict emissions with findings making their way into international climate agreements and accounted for in the UN legal principals of PERAC.
Exploitation Route Already we have been working with new colleagues in Germany to develop and design our open-source data lab with scholars who are new calculating the war in Ukraine's impact on the climate and the carbon footprint of conflict emissions by both the Ukrainian and Russian Armed forces. We are not part of a much larger network of scholars both within civil society, military agencies and academia - this group which forms the Military Emissions Gap is evidenced by the Proceedings of the First MEG conference held in Oxford and funded by the grant award: https://ceobs.org/proceedings-of-the-first-military-emissions-gap-conference/
We have also hosted important panels at COP 26, 27, and now 28, as well at the Bonn Climate meetings.
Sectors Aerospace

Defence and Marine

Construction

Energy

Environment

Government

Democracy and Justice

Security and Diplomacy

Transport

URL https://www.concreteimpacts.org/recent-press
 
Description Our findings have been picked up by major news organsiations and though public discussions. The Guardian published an exclusive featuring our work: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/09/emissions-gaza-israel-hamas-war-climate-change We have also been working closely with our partners in Civil Society , Conflict and Env Obs and Scientists for Global Responsibility in developing the MEG framework, which is now being discussed in policy and military circles. This is evidenced by members of the network sitting on panels with military experts at COP26, 27, and 28, and Bonn Climate Conference and at the MEG Oxford conferences. We are now also attending the Defence and Security conference alongside NATO member representatives at the Chatham House in Feb, 2024. Please see these outlets: https://www.concreteimpacts.org/recent-press
First Year Of Impact 2021
Sector Aerospace, Defence and Marine,Environment,Security and Diplomacy
Impact Types Policy & public services

 
Description Life Cycle Analysis of Concrete Structures 
Organisation Institut Wohnen und Umwelt
Country Germany 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution We shared knowledge sharing on our research and experiences with accessing data
Collaborator Contribution They shared their experiences on Life cycle analysis and acquisition of data
Impact We are yet to have any outputs from the collaboration
Start Year 2021
 
Description Military Emissions Gap 
Organisation Conflict and Environment Observatory (CEOBS)
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution We contributed to the content of the 'Emissions gap' website (www.mimitaryemissions.org) to highlight the magnitude of emissions from war and military interventions, as well as the gaps in carbon emission reporting.
Collaborator Contribution Conflict and Environment Observatory (CEOBS) led the organisation of a panel discussion at COP26. CEOBS also led in designing of the 'Emissions gap' website
Impact (i) COP26 Virtual panel discussion on military carbon emissions (ii) Design and launch of the militaryemissions.org website
Start Year 2021
 
Description Nature comment submission 
Organisation Newcastle University
Country United Kingdom 
PI Contribution We participated in a manuscript publication
Collaborator Contribution Helped in prep of manuscript
Impact Submission to Nature
Start Year 2021
 
Description A talk on Conflict, Climate and Food: Managing these Complex Risks at Davos 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Conflict, climate and food insecurity hit at the very foundations of life as we know it. The war in Ukraine is a horrifying example with estimates from the FAO that the crisis will push 12 million people into hunger globally. Experts warn that the world is facing an unprecedented global food crisis. Threats to global food security are also massively amplified by climate change, including shifts in the Arctic. What is often overlooked is the intersection between these risks as well as the significant hidden carbon emissions related to war and military operations.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://arcticbasecamp.org/events/davos-2022/
 
Description Concrete Impacts website 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact We designed a website for the project. At least four people have reached out to express interest in the research.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://www.concreteimpacts.org/about
 
Description Conference Talk 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact Benjamin delivered a talk on 'Concrete Impacts: Blast Walls, Wartime Emissions, and the US Occupation of Iraq' at an event by the Military Surplus: Toxicity, Industry and War research network
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://www.crassh.cam.ac.uk/events/41072/
 
Description Interview with Al Jazeera 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Patrick Bigger was interviewed by Al Jazeera following the publication of our preprint article in SSRN about the emissions from the Israeli-Hamas war.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2y_RdqQmvY
 
Description Interview with Voice of America 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Benjamin Neimark was interviewed by Voice of America following the publication of 'A Multitemporal Snapshot of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from the Israel-Gaza Conflict' as a preprint in the SSRN (http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4684768)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description Interview with the Royal Society of Chemistry's 'Chemistry World' Magazine 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact This was an interview with the Royal Society of Chemistry's 'Chemistry World' Magazine as a follow on to the comment titled "Decarbonize the military - mandate emissions reporting" published in Nature.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://www.chemistryworld.com/news/worlds-militaries-urged-to-account-for-their-outsized-carbon-foo...
 
Description Launch of 'Military Emissions Gap' website and COP26 Virtual Panel discussion 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact This was a virtual panel discussion on the military emissions gap. About 5 media houses or journalists approached members of the research team for interview after the event. The Guardian captured the event in their report: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/nov/11/worlds-militaries-avoiding-scrutiny-over-emissions
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://militaryemissions.org/
 
Description Military Emissions Gap Annual Update, 2022 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact COP27 virtual panel discussion on what militaries are reporting and the gaps.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://militaryemissions.org/
 
Description Military and Conflict GHG Emissions: From Understanding to Mitigation 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Benjamin Neimark and other members of the project team organized a successful workshop titled Military and Conflict Emissions: From Understanding to Mitigation at Oxford University on 26th September 2023. The one day conference brought together academia, civil society and industry experts to consider how best to mitigate the military's contribution to the climate crisis, and how to better understand the emissions footprint of armed conflicts. More than 100 in-person and online participants discussed sources of military greenhouse gas emissions and ways to mitigate them within the broader context of climate security and net-zero commitments.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://ceobs.org/conference-military-and-conflict-ghg-emissions-from-understanding-to-mitigation/
 
Description Newspaper Article on Publication 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact The Guardian newspaper published an article based on our analysis of the greenhouse emissions from the first 60 days of the Israeli-Hamas war.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/09/emissions-gaza-israel-hamas-war-climate-change?s=03
 
Description Newspaper Article on Publication by Jerusalem Times 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact The Jerusalem Times published an article based on our analysis of the emissions from the first 60 days of war between Israel and Hamas.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
URL https://www.jpost.com/environment-and-climate-change/article-782168
 
Description Newspaper article in Geographical Magazine 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact The Geographical Magazine has written an article about the Military Emissions Gap based on outcomes and publications from our research activities.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://geographical.co.uk/magazine-previews/geographical-february-2023
 
Description Panel Discussion on Military Emissions Gap at COP27 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Benjamin Neimark moderated a panel discussion on the Military Emissions Gap as part of activities to launch the annual update on the state of military greenhouse gas reporting to the UNFCCC.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL https://ceobs.org/cop27-virtual-panel-discussion-the-military-emissions-gap-annual-update-2022/
 
Description Presentation at the iLEAPS-OzFlux Joint Conference 2023 in Auckland 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact This was a talk titled 'The hidden socio-ecological impacts of modern warfare: evidence from the US Military combat operations in Iraq' and was presented at the iLEAPS - OzFlux joint 2023 Conference from 31 January - 3 February 2023 in Auckland, New Zealand.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://fluxnet.org/event/ileaps-ozflux-joint-conference-2023/
 
Description Research that works- engagement with early career researchers 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact This was a confab for staff and early career researchers at the Lancaster Environment Centre. The objective was to discuss the challenges of doing useful research that contribute to policy, and development.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022